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05:34","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条 | 鲍威尔不指望软着陆了？击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264765239","media":"环球市场播报","summary":" 忘了软着陆吧。美联储主席鲍威尔现在为了遏制通胀打算让经济承受比软着陆大的多的痛苦。 毕马威首席经济学家Diane Swonk表示，鲍威尔8月26日在杰克逊霍尔的演讲基本上埋葬了软着陆这个概念，美联储现在的目标是通过让经济增长率低于1.8%的潜在水平来压低通胀。 摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师兼首席投资官迈克威尔逊表示，美国股票投资者应该为更多的痛苦做好准备，因为今年指数尚未触底。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p><blockquote><b>1、鲍威尔不指望软着陆了 要击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>2、Snap宣布重组计划 计划裁掉20%员工并任命新的首席运营官</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>威尔逊：美股指数尚未触底，投资者应为更多痛苦做好准备</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>4、欧洲央行下周大跨步加息正在成为华尔街的普遍预期</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>5、提出“美元微笑理论”的对冲基金CEO预计 美元涨势到年底会消散</b></blockquote><blockquote><b>6、对冲基金经理Pierre Andurand称石油市场已经失灵</b></blockquote><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c9bed6480d189951d97aed2d2da2c5\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"340\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>鲍威尔不指望软着陆了 要击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可</b></p><p>忘了软着陆吧。美联储主席鲍威尔现在为了遏制通胀打算让经济承受比软着陆大的多的痛苦。问题是，即使这样可能也不够。</p><p>经济学家以“增长型衰退”（growth recession）来形容此类情境。与软着陆不同，它指的是经济长期增长微弱且失业率上升，但又不属于经济萎缩。</p><p>毕马威首席经济学家Diane Swonk表示，鲍威尔8月26日在杰克逊霍尔的演讲基本上埋葬了软着陆这个概念，美联储现在的目标是通过让经济增长率低于1.8%的潜在水平来压低通胀。</p><p>“这就像滴水穿石，”上周出席了杰克逊霍尔年会的Swonk补充说。 “它是一个曲折的过程，但比突然的衰退要少些痛苦和折磨”。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32941f05373ca4bfa8f5eea4124ab9de\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"280\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>Snap宣布重组计划 计划裁掉20%员工并任命新的首席运营官</b></p><p>Snap盘中最高上涨15%，此前该公司证实有报道称将裁减6000多名员工中的20%，并表示将取消几个项目，包括Pixy拍照无人机和Snap Originals优质节目阵容。</p><p>首席执行官埃文·斯皮格尔周二在一份备忘录中宣布了这些举措，并告诉员工公司需要重组业务以应对财务挑战。他表示，该公司目前8%的季度收入同比增长率“远低于我们今年早些时候的预期”。</p><p>Snap 还将Jerry Hunter从工程高级副总裁提升为首席运营官。</p><p>7月，Snap的股价暴跌超过25%，此前该公司公布的第二季度业绩未达顶线和底线，并表示不会为当前季度提供指导。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df2e38fc5c10e4da4eb2d943db686646\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"310\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>摩根士丹利威尔逊：美股指数尚未触底，投资者应为更多痛苦做好准备</b></p><p>摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师兼首席投资官迈克威尔逊表示，美国股票投资者应该为更多的痛苦做好准备，因为今年指数尚未触底。</p><p>“6 月可能是普通股的低点，”他在周三表示，但指数方向“至少在下一季度或两个季度下跌”。</p><p>他说，原因是营业利润率的趋势比预期的要差，而且这种情况将持续下去。</p><p>“市场对盈利前景过于乐观，”威尔逊说。“市盈率将开始下降，收益将被削减。”</p><p>由于美联储仍然高度关注经济数据，威尔逊认为央行“总是会迟到”，因为它依赖于两个最落后的数据点——劳动力市场数据和通胀。</p><p>事实上，他说，“投资者对美联储太全神贯注了。”</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cc3dc4b06ccecb698fea910eda2b908\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>欧洲央行下周大跨步加息正在成为华尔街的普遍预期</b></p><p>华尔街大银行纷纷提高对欧洲央行加息幅度的预测，表示高于预期的通货膨胀将说服决策者采取更激进的应对措施。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>的经济学家现在预计，欧洲央行下周的会议上将加息75个基点。欧洲央行管理委员会的多位鹰派委员最近不断提到这个选项。投资者也在完全定价10月底之前有这个幅度的加息。</p><p>欧元区周三的数据显示通货膨胀率在8月份达到9.1%，创历史新高，高于经济学家预测，进一步远离欧洲央行2%的目标水平。核心通胀指标也达到创纪录4.3%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5678084b4698bd0b0414ce08fb627f05\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"330\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>提出“美元微笑理论”的对冲基金CEO预计 美元涨势到年底会消散</b></p><p>以“美元微笑理论”（dollar smile theory）而知名的对冲基金首席执行官Stephen Jen表示，美元近期的涨势可能已接近顶部。</p><p>经营Eurizon SLJ Capital Ltd．的Jen周三在报告中表示，他预计美元到年底将走软，原因是预期美国通胀将见顶回落，这让美联储不再面临2023年继续加息的压力。</p><p>“我的预期是，下半年美国通胀和利率见顶将导致美元到年底时温和走弱，”他在报告中表示。</p><p>随着美联储收紧货币政策令美国和海外之间的利差扩大，一项<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDindex.FOREX\">美元指数</a>今年以来已上涨逾10%，迈向2014年以来最大涨幅。与此同时，经济显现出维持强势的迹象，尽管金融环境收紧，但就业市场依然强劲。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5c2c1ae120f665816d70fa5d78652dd2\" tg-width=\"400\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>对冲基金经理Pierre Andurand称石油市场已经失灵</b></p><p>对冲基金经理Pierre Andurand表示，石油市场已经失灵。</p><p>这位以看涨而闻名的大宗商品交易员表示，石油期货现在可以一天下跌10美元而“没有明显的原因”。多位市场参与者最近也有这个看法，包括沙特能源大臣Abdulaziz bin Salman——后者表示，极端波动和缺乏流动性导致期货市场越来越脱离基本面。</p><p>今年以来，油价日波幅超过5美元的次数已经有十多次，尤其在俄乌冲突之后。以前，这样的波动往往被认为失常。但石油期货的未平仓合约处于七年低点，使得价格更有可能大幅波动。渣打银行在一份报告中表示，四种主要布伦特和WTI原油合约的未平仓合约总量上周跌破40亿桶，为2015年6月以来首次。</p><p>“市场甚至不再问为什么我们一天下跌5美元，或者为什么今天上午下跌2.50美元，”ICAP的能源专家Scott Shelton说。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条 | 鲍威尔不指望软着陆了？击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条 | 鲍威尔不指望软着陆了？击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 05:34 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-01/doc-imiziraw0586499.shtml><strong>环球市场播报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、鲍威尔不指望软着陆了 要击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可2、Snap宣布重组计划 计划裁掉20%员工并任命新的首席运营官3、摩根士丹利威尔逊：美股指数尚未触底，投资者应为更多痛苦做好准备4、欧洲央行下周大跨步加息正在成为华尔街的普遍预期5、提出“美元微笑理论”的对冲基金CEO预计 美元涨势到年底会消散6、对冲基金经理Pierre Andurand称...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-01/doc-imiziraw0586499.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5c9bed6480d189951d97aed2d2da2c5","relate_stocks":{"BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","SNAP":"Snap Inc","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4576":"AR","MS":"摩根士丹利","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2022-09-01/doc-imiziraw0586499.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264765239","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：1、鲍威尔不指望软着陆了 要击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可2、Snap宣布重组计划 计划裁掉20%员工并任命新的首席运营官3、摩根士丹利威尔逊：美股指数尚未触底，投资者应为更多痛苦做好准备4、欧洲央行下周大跨步加息正在成为华尔街的普遍预期5、提出“美元微笑理论”的对冲基金CEO预计 美元涨势到年底会消散6、对冲基金经理Pierre Andurand称石油市场已经失灵鲍威尔不指望软着陆了 要击败通胀非放出“猛虎”不可忘了软着陆吧。美联储主席鲍威尔现在为了遏制通胀打算让经济承受比软着陆大的多的痛苦。问题是，即使这样可能也不够。经济学家以“增长型衰退”（growth recession）来形容此类情境。与软着陆不同，它指的是经济长期增长微弱且失业率上升，但又不属于经济萎缩。毕马威首席经济学家Diane Swonk表示，鲍威尔8月26日在杰克逊霍尔的演讲基本上埋葬了软着陆这个概念，美联储现在的目标是通过让经济增长率低于1.8%的潜在水平来压低通胀。“这就像滴水穿石，”上周出席了杰克逊霍尔年会的Swonk补充说。 “它是一个曲折的过程，但比突然的衰退要少些痛苦和折磨”。Snap宣布重组计划 计划裁掉20%员工并任命新的首席运营官Snap盘中最高上涨15%，此前该公司证实有报道称将裁减6000多名员工中的20%，并表示将取消几个项目，包括Pixy拍照无人机和Snap Originals优质节目阵容。首席执行官埃文·斯皮格尔周二在一份备忘录中宣布了这些举措，并告诉员工公司需要重组业务以应对财务挑战。他表示，该公司目前8%的季度收入同比增长率“远低于我们今年早些时候的预期”。Snap 还将Jerry Hunter从工程高级副总裁提升为首席运营官。7月，Snap的股价暴跌超过25%，此前该公司公布的第二季度业绩未达顶线和底线，并表示不会为当前季度提供指导。摩根士丹利威尔逊：美股指数尚未触底，投资者应为更多痛苦做好准备摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师兼首席投资官迈克威尔逊表示，美国股票投资者应该为更多的痛苦做好准备，因为今年指数尚未触底。“6 月可能是普通股的低点，”他在周三表示，但指数方向“至少在下一季度或两个季度下跌”。他说，原因是营业利润率的趋势比预期的要差，而且这种情况将持续下去。“市场对盈利前景过于乐观，”威尔逊说。“市盈率将开始下降，收益将被削减。”由于美联储仍然高度关注经济数据，威尔逊认为央行“总是会迟到”，因为它依赖于两个最落后的数据点——劳动力市场数据和通胀。事实上，他说，“投资者对美联储太全神贯注了。”欧洲央行下周大跨步加息正在成为华尔街的普遍预期华尔街大银行纷纷提高对欧洲央行加息幅度的预测，表示高于预期的通货膨胀将说服决策者采取更激进的应对措施。高盛、美国银行和摩根大通的经济学家现在预计，欧洲央行下周的会议上将加息75个基点。欧洲央行管理委员会的多位鹰派委员最近不断提到这个选项。投资者也在完全定价10月底之前有这个幅度的加息。欧元区周三的数据显示通货膨胀率在8月份达到9.1%，创历史新高，高于经济学家预测，进一步远离欧洲央行2%的目标水平。核心通胀指标也达到创纪录4.3%。提出“美元微笑理论”的对冲基金CEO预计 美元涨势到年底会消散以“美元微笑理论”（dollar smile theory）而知名的对冲基金首席执行官Stephen Jen表示，美元近期的涨势可能已接近顶部。经营Eurizon SLJ Capital Ltd．的Jen周三在报告中表示，他预计美元到年底将走软，原因是预期美国通胀将见顶回落，这让美联储不再面临2023年继续加息的压力。“我的预期是，下半年美国通胀和利率见顶将导致美元到年底时温和走弱，”他在报告中表示。随着美联储收紧货币政策令美国和海外之间的利差扩大，一项美元指数今年以来已上涨逾10%，迈向2014年以来最大涨幅。与此同时，经济显现出维持强势的迹象，尽管金融环境收紧，但就业市场依然强劲。对冲基金经理Pierre Andurand称石油市场已经失灵对冲基金经理Pierre Andurand表示，石油市场已经失灵。这位以看涨而闻名的大宗商品交易员表示，石油期货现在可以一天下跌10美元而“没有明显的原因”。多位市场参与者最近也有这个看法，包括沙特能源大臣Abdulaziz bin Salman——后者表示，极端波动和缺乏流动性导致期货市场越来越脱离基本面。今年以来，油价日波幅超过5美元的次数已经有十多次，尤其在俄乌冲突之后。以前，这样的波动往往被认为失常。但石油期货的未平仓合约处于七年低点，使得价格更有可能大幅波动。渣打银行在一份报告中表示，四种主要布伦特和WTI原油合约的未平仓合约总量上周跌破40亿桶，为2015年6月以来首次。“市场甚至不再问为什么我们一天下跌5美元，或者为什么今天上午下跌2.50美元，”ICAP的能源专家Scott Shelton说。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":870,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":667043920,"gmtCreate":1668474564560,"gmtModify":1668474565389,"author":{"id":"3556542627556147","authorId":"3556542627556147","name":"尛尛杜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04eb563f663bc30c05cc71444e49fab2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556542627556147","authorIdStr":"3556542627556147"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a><v-v 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