gyk的个人主页 - 老虎社区

gyk

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0勋章

2022-01-13

$Electrocore LLC(ECOR)$怎么突然暴涨了

2021-10-13

有些消息得反着听

摩根士丹利：将虎牙(HUYA.N)评级下调至减配目标价7美元

2021-09-24

那还下跌了呢？

腾讯控股：今日耗资约1.022亿港元，回购22万股

2021-09-08

为什么

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-09-08

它增发股票，我们股价下跌怎么算，只能自认倒霉吗？

蔚来拟增发至多20亿美元股票，盘后跌超3%

2021-09-07

[强] [强] [强] [强]

芒格：受情绪干扰的投资是愚蠢的，警惕“自我欺骗”

2021-09-02

又说那话

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-25

[强] [强] [强] [强] [强] [强] [强] [强]

传台积电通知客户全面涨价20%，即起生效

2021-08-17

真明白

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-08-12

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$哪个地方都有犯罪，说明那个地方都不好吗？被灌了几十年假酒，分不清东南西北了！

2021-08-10

$腾讯控股(00700)$[强] [强] [强] [强] [强]

2021-07-28

$好未来(TAL)$上涨30%

2021-07-28

$好未来(TAL)$👌

2021-07-28

👌

中概在线教育股走强好未来(TAL)涨近20%

2021-07-27

$新东方(EDU)$大家上手bikong

2021-07-26

$滴滴(DIDI)$空头去死吧！

2021-07-21

这家伙做空了吧[微笑]

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-15

$斗鱼(DOYU)$兄弟们，该出手了，可以疯狂了！

2021-01-23

$ERJ航空(ERJ)$巴西是出什么事了吗？

2021-01-23

$巴西电力(EBR)$下跌是什么情况？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2488184ce4815610e2426c10250da75","relate_stocks":{"HUYA":"虎牙"},"source_url":"http://hk.eastmoney.com/a/202110132136748881.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2175130464","content_text":"摩根士丹利：将虎牙(HUYA.N)评级下调至减配，目标价7美元。（文章来源：金十数据）","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2707,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861837065,"gmtCreate":1632480149957,"gmtModify":1632480149957,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那还下跌了呢？","listText":"那还下跌了呢？","text":"那还下跌了呢？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861837065","repostId":"1116400803","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116400803","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632479601,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116400803?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 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content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>腾讯控股：今日耗资约1.022亿港元，回购22万股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n腾讯控股：今日耗资约1.022亿港元，回购22万股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-09-24 18:33</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>9月24日，腾讯控股：今日以456.4港元-472.4港元/股的价格回购22万股公司股票，共耗资约1.022亿港元。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/494a6b8e576a9389479977020e8eb05c\" tg-width=\"1593\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>近期回购一览</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c8a0f85de734d3ce1c0935832a43391\" tg-width=\"1556\" tg-height=\"880\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a4f9187a56a7d9343c921d75f853cac\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7799eeb7043b8caaf3d109c3b13109e","relate_stocks":{"00700":"腾讯控股"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116400803","content_text":"9月24日，腾讯控股：今日以456.4港元-472.4港元/股的价格回购22万股公司股票，共耗资约1.022亿港元。近期回购一览","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889351372,"gmtCreate":1631110925996,"gmtModify":1631110925996,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"为什么","listText":"为什么","text":"为什么","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889351372","repostId":"1162147699","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880566412,"gmtCreate":1631066063036,"gmtModify":1631066063036,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"它增发股票，我们股价下跌怎么算，只能自认倒霉吗？","listText":"它增发股票，我们股价下跌怎么算，只能自认倒霉吗？","text":"它增发股票，我们股价下跌怎么算，只能自认倒霉吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880566412","repostId":"1114850169","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1114850169","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631065201,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114850169?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 09:40","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"蔚来拟增发至多20亿美元股票，盘后跌超3%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114850169","media":"凤凰网科技","summary":"凤凰网科技讯 北京时间9月8日消息，在工信部副部长辛国斌发言拉动下，星期二早盘蔚来股价一度摸高41.86美元，截至收盘上涨0.22美元，涨幅为0.54%，报收于40.59美元。只是，公布增发20亿美元","content":"<p>凤凰网科技讯 北京时间9月8日消息，在工信部副部长辛国斌发言拉动下，星期二早盘<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>股价一度摸高41.86美元，截至收盘上涨0.22美元，涨幅为0.54%，报收于40.59美元。只是，公布增发20亿美元美国存托股后，蔚来股价跌幅一度超过3%。<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5793492040421f1dd8556199613002b\" tg-width=\"711\" tg-height=\"532\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>蔚来向美国证券交易委员会提交招股说明书，计划按市价增发价值至多20亿美元美国存托股。根据40.59美元的收盘价计算，蔚来将增发至多约5000万股美国存托股。蔚来称增发股票募集的资金将用于一般企业用途和强化资产负债表。</p>\n<p>继数个月前以每股17美元的价格出售8850万股股票后，蔚来去年末以39美元的价格出售6800万股股票，融资26.5亿美元。由于投资者兴趣高涨，除蔚来外，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>等电动汽车厂商也纷纷增发融资。</p>","source":"ifeng_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>蔚来拟增发至多20亿美元股票，盘后跌超3%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n蔚来拟增发至多20亿美元股票，盘后跌超3%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-08 09:40 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://i.ifeng.com/c/89MRVIm5AHe><strong>凤凰网科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>凤凰网科技讯 北京时间9月8日消息，在工信部副部长辛国斌发言拉动下，星期二早盘蔚来股价一度摸高41.86美元，截至收盘上涨0.22美元，涨幅为0.54%，报收于40.59美元。只是，公布增发20亿美元美国存托股后，蔚来股价跌幅一度超过3%。\n蔚来向美国证券交易委员会提交招股说明书，计划按市价增发价值至多20亿美元美国存托股。根据40.59美元的收盘价计算，蔚来将增发至多约5000万股美国存托股。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://i.ifeng.com/c/89MRVIm5AHe\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3380231cb191ca9bea37a0c70765537d","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://i.ifeng.com/c/89MRVIm5AHe","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/c960c7f4c0092beb709d7c2cf507bdee","article_id":"1114850169","content_text":"凤凰网科技讯 北京时间9月8日消息，在工信部副部长辛国斌发言拉动下，星期二早盘蔚来股价一度摸高41.86美元，截至收盘上涨0.22美元，涨幅为0.54%，报收于40.59美元。只是，公布增发20亿美元美国存托股后，蔚来股价跌幅一度超过3%。\n蔚来向美国证券交易委员会提交招股说明书，计划按市价增发价值至多20亿美元美国存托股。根据40.59美元的收盘价计算，蔚来将增发至多约5000万股美国存托股。蔚来称增发股票募集的资金将用于一般企业用途和强化资产负债表。\n继数个月前以每股17美元的价格出售8850万股股票后，蔚来去年末以39美元的价格出售6800万股股票，融资26.5亿美元。由于投资者兴趣高涨，除蔚来外，特斯拉、小鹏汽车和理想汽车等电动汽车厂商也纷纷增发融资。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2661,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3486639528801532","authorId":"3486639528801532","name":"黄瓜辣眼睛","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3486639528801532","authorIdStr":"3486639528801532"},"content":"公司回购股票 股票上涨 你会补股票差价吗？同理 对于这种极其缺钱的公司增股 早晚的事， 这就是市场","text":"公司回购股票 股票上涨 你会补股票差价吗？同理 对于这种极其缺钱的公司增股 早晚的事， 这就是市场","html":"公司回购股票 股票上涨 你会补股票差价吗？同理 对于这种极其缺钱的公司增股 早晚的事， 这就是市场"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817679405,"gmtCreate":1630956871307,"gmtModify":1630956871307,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强] [强] [强] [强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/817679405","repostId":"1176528838","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1176528838","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630930269,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1176528838?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-06 20:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"芒格：受情绪干扰的投资是愚蠢的，警惕“自我欺骗”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1176528838","media":"证券市场红周刊","summary":"近期在美国华尔街价值投资圈非常火的一本书，威廉·格林(William Green)所撰写的《Richer, Wiser, Happier》，翻译成中文就是《更富有、更有智慧、更快乐》（编者注：目前该书","content":"<p>近期在美国华尔街价值投资圈非常火的一本书，威廉·格林(William Green)所撰写的《Richer, Wiser, Happier》，翻译成中文就是《更富有、更有智慧、更快乐》（编者注：目前该书仅有英文版，尚未有中文版）。</p>\n<p>在此前的文章中，我们通过本书了解了巴菲特、比尔·米勒等顶级投资人眼中的芒格，以及芒格推崇的逆向思维，如何在投资和生活中应用。</p>\n<p>本期我们将聚焦芒格对心理学在投资和生活中应用的看法。芒格强调，激励机制在认知与行为变化中起到很重要的作用；同时要警惕大脑的“自欺欺人”，因思考上的捷径而做出仓促的决策并导致灾难；愿意欣然发现自己的错误才能不断进步；所有好的投资者都是非情绪化的。</p>\n<p><b>以下为文字摘录（有删节和编辑）：</b></p>\n<p><b>芒格的心理学集锦</b></p>\n<p><b>是份实用的避免“灾难”的清单</b></p>\n<p>我们作为投资者，面临的最棘手的问题之一，便是人类大脑本身就不是为做理性决策而设计的。</p>\n<p>我们的判断常被诸如恐惧、贪婪、嫉妒与缺乏耐心等情绪所支配，会使我们对现实的认知因既有的偏见而扭曲，会被同辈竞争和销售话术所影响，会因不完全的或有谬误的信息而采取行动。</p>\n<p>正如进化生物学家罗伯特·特里弗斯&nbsp;(Robert Trivers)在《傻子的傻事：人类生活中的欺骗与自我欺骗逻辑》一书中所写，“我们感知世界的伟大器官”让我们能获得那些我们的大脑能系统性地“降解并摧毁”的信息。</p>\n<p>在上世纪90年代，芒格在三次不同的演讲中针对“人类误判的心理因素”这个难题提出了解决办法。在2005年，他写了一篇现在已经录入《穷查理宝典》的长文。在这篇被尼克·斯利浦(Nick Sleep)称作“有史以来最好的投资演说”的文章里，芒格将其卓越智识展现无遗。</p>\n<p>从未上过任何心理学课程，只读过三本心理学书籍的芒格总结出一个长达二十五条的可能导致我们的大脑犯错的“心理倾向”，并给了他们许多生动形象的名称，诸如“自视甚高倾向”、“瞎扯蛋倾向”、“简单的疼痛规避倾向心理”等。他甚至斗胆批判学术界的心理学家们并不懂这门属于他们自己的学科。</p>\n<p>芒格的这个“集锦”为他和我们都提供了一个避免灾难的实用清单。“这里的窍门在于首先理解他们，然后按照这个清单去训练你自己”，斯利浦说道，“能对清单上的内容如数家珍是一回事，但能把这些内容内化却又是完全不同的一回事了。后者是你需要下功夫的。”然而，这又是必须要做的，因为“最可持续的优势是心理上的优势”。</p>\n<p><b>芒格：永远不要忽略激励机制的强大力量</b></p>\n<p>芒格的第一条“心理倾向”如此显而易见以至于我们可能都会忽视它：激励机制在认知与行为变化中所起到的作用。</p>\n<p>他援引了一句他的英雄，本杰明·富兰克林的话，“如果你想说服别人，一定要诉诸对方的利益，而非理性。”芒格写道，“这条玉律是生活中伟大而简单的一条指导：永远，永远不要在你应思考激励机制的强大力量的时候思考任何其他的东西。”</p>\n<p>激励机制在生活中的方方面面都至关重要，无论是激励员工还是劝服对手。芒格警告人们要当心那些因激励机制而给出带有偏见的意见的销售员们，因这类激励会使得即便“非常体面的个体”做出“非道德的行为以获得奖金”。作为反制，芒格建议我们要尤其警惕那些对于顾问们有利的职业资讯与建议。</p>\n<p>芒格常常强调与值得尊敬的且无私的人们合伙的重要性，同时应避免那些有“不良动机”的人们。他在2008年-2009年被华尔街最聪明且机智的人们，因重组次级贷款并创造具有投资级别评级的有毒债券的行为最终导致金融危机而感到震惊。</p>\n<p>当别人都在做同样龌龊的事并从中获利时，我们总是更容易将这类卑污的行为理性化。但芒格推荐我们遵循一条更高的道德标准，并对这类行为予以回应：“我比你们更崇高。”</p>\n<p><b>芒格：要警惕大脑“自我欺骗”</b></p>\n<p>另一个认知危害来自于芒格演说中所提到的“倾向于尽快阙疑”并迅速决策—这一倾向的诱因常常是外界压力。这种“避免疑惑的倾向”也合乎进化逻辑，因为我们的祖先们常需在紧迫的威胁面前快速回应。</p>\n<p>然而思考上的捷径常使投资者们做出仓促的决策并导致灾难。</p>\n<p>更糟糕的是，我们还经常变成芒格所谓的“避免不一致倾向”的受害者，并使得我们抵触可能与我们既有结论相左的新的信息和洞见，无论我们可能是如何仓促地形成那些既有结论的。</p>\n<p>芒格曾提供过一个生动的比喻：“当一个精子跑进一颗人卵后，卵子有一个自动关门功能，直接把其他的精子都拒之门外了。人类的大脑也有非常强的类似倾向。”</p>\n<p>不愿重新审视或改变我们的观点是理性思考的最大障碍之一。比起开放的心态，我们更倾向于有意无意地给那些支持我们既有信仰的信息以优先级。这种盲目附着于我们既有信仰的错误可以因为其他几类心理学倾向而被加剧。</p>\n<p>“自视甚高倾向”让我们高估我们的才华、观点和决策。</p>\n<p>“过度乐观倾向”将我们引诱到财务自负的大意行为中，尤其是在我们觉得一切正按照计划进行且自己仿佛很聪明的时候。</p>\n<p>“简单疼痛规避心理”让我们在无法承担现实的苦楚时扭曲事实。这种倾向解释了为什么那么多投资者们自欺欺人的觉得他们能够在长时间内战胜指数，尽管他们可能缺少这么做所需要的技巧、性格和成本管控。</p>\n<p>芒格很喜欢古希腊雄辩家德摩斯梯尼(Demosthenes)的一个观察：“没什么比自欺欺人更简单。每个人所希望的，都是他信以为真的。”</p>\n<p><b>愿意欣然发现自己的错误才能不断进步</b></p>\n<p>如果人脑如此容易自我欺骗，那我们如何才能做出理性的投资决策呢？首先，我们必须承认这一事实。就像格雷厄姆说的，“投资者主要的问题——以及他最大的敌人——或许就是他自己。”</p>\n<p>芒格对抗非理性的方法，是效仿一些“极端客观”的科学家，诸如查尔斯·达尔文，亚伯特·爱因斯坦和理查德·费曼。</p>\n<p>当我问到我们应如何向他们学习并思考问题时，芒格说：“他们对自己非常严苛…他们不断试图减少愚蠢。他们在乎正确的思考方式。他们能聚精会神很久，且通过工作，工作，再工作来避免愚蠢。”</p>\n<p>芒格尤其崇尚他们坚定不移地找出“证伪证据”的决心，即便是面对他们最钟爱的信仰。比如达尔文拒绝让他的基督信仰或大众共识影响他惊艳四座的进化理论。在他1859年所著的《物种起源》中，他放弃了圣经中一个不可亵渎的信条：“经过在我能力范围内的细致的学习和不带感情的研判，我可以确凿无误地说，那些大多数自然学家所信仰的以及我曾经所信仰过的所有生物都是被独立创造出来的这一观点，是个谬误。”</p>\n<p>愿意欣然发现我们自己的错误这一习惯对个体而言是一个巨大的优势。芒格通过在每次摧毁一个自己曾深信不疑的信条之后给自己鼓掌来培养这个习惯，并让该习惯变成一种带有满足感而非耻辱感的“铲除无知”的行为。</p>\n<p>他有一次这么评述，“如果伯克希尔有过什么进步，那其中很大一部分应是我和沃伦都很善于摧毁我们最喜欢的想法。如果有哪一年你没有摧毁一个你自己钟爱的想法，你恐怕就浪费了那一年。”</p>\n<p>另一种保证我们孱弱的想法和懒惰的偏见不会横行霸道的方法，是找一个充满智慧的、愿意与我们针锋相对的对手。</p>\n<p>巴菲特曾有一次评述道，“人类最擅长做的，是把所有新的信息都遵循他们既有的结论来进行诠释…这是一个我们每一个人都与生俱来的能力。我们如何对抗这种倾向呢？”</p>\n<p>他的答案是：“找一个不卑不亢并高度逻辑化的合伙人…或许是你可以找到的最好的应对机理了。”芒格，作为一个理想的击剑对手，扼杀了如此多个巴菲特的投资想法，甚至被巴菲特称为“那个喜欢说不的讨厌鬼”。</p>\n<p><b>所有的好的投资者都是非情绪化的</b></p>\n<p>我们都需要诚实和自我认知来保证我们的情绪不会蒙蔽我们的判断并影响我们的表现，这样我们才能高度小心地继续前行。</p>\n<p>广泛的说，我们需要构筑一种有利于我们冷静并有韧性的生活方式。</p>\n<p>芒格便是一个会花很多时间去做不少能够给予他平衡和健康的各类活动之人，这里包括在他家中的图书馆读书，和朋友们打桥牌、打高尔夫，或钓鱼。他也会维持一个不那么紧凑的生活节奏以便于他有足够空间进行冥想。</p>\n<p>细节可能各不相同，但我们都需要一些习惯和兴趣爱好来加强我们内心的平静。</p>\n<p>不过，是事实，芒格很少像我们普罗大众那样需要努力去平衡自己的情绪。当我问他是否同意霍华德·马克思的观点，即所有的好的投资者都是非情绪化的，他回答说，“是的。当然。”</p>\n<p>“您是否有过为某一笔投资感到不安或害怕呢？”</p>\n<p>“从不。”</p>\n<p>“因此您不需要刻意去对抗那些情绪，因为您根本不会经历那些情绪？”</p>\n<p>“对的”</p>\n<p>当没有极端情绪干扰时，芒格便有足够的自由来聚焦到那些赔率对他有压倒性的吸引力的标的上。当银行股在金融危机期间暴跌时，他认为富国银行是如此的便宜以至于其可以被视作为一个“四十年一遇的机会”。</p>\n<p>他为DJ在2009年3月市场见底之际精确吃入富国银行的股票，这在他看来便是一个“理性和判断力强”的完美案例。</p>\n<p>他在情绪上的缺失是一个内生的竞争优势，很少有投资者同样拥有这种优势。“沃伦也是这样的”，他说。“在这点上我俩很相似。”</p>\n<p>芒格也学会了如何去控制一些可能对他享受生活造成不利影响的垃圾情绪。</p>\n<p>“疯狂的愤怒，疯狂的仇恨，回避那些东西，”他说。</p>\n<p>“我不会让这些情绪肆虐，我压根不会让这些情绪萌芽。”</p>\n<p>他的话也适用于嫉妒这种情绪。他认为这是七种不可饶恕的原罪中最为愚蠢的，因为这种情绪甚至都不好玩(Not Even Fun)。他看不起那些倾向于将自己看作是受害者的人们，也没有耐心听别人怨天尤人。</p>\n<p>当我问他是否他有一种思考过程让他疏散自我击溃的情绪时，他说，“我知道愤怒是愚蠢的。我知道仇恨是愚蠢的。我知道自怜是愚蠢的。因此我就不做他们…我试着每时每刻都不做蠢事。”</p>","source":"lsy1571701096748","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>芒格：受情绪干扰的投资是愚蠢的，警惕“自我欺骗”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n芒格：受情绪干扰的投资是愚蠢的，警惕“自我欺骗”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-06 20:11 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/s5szfhbaKyyyVkFxoxX3vA><strong>证券市场红周刊</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近期在美国华尔街价值投资圈非常火的一本书，威廉·格林(William Green)所撰写的《Richer, Wiser, Happier》，翻译成中文就是《更富有、更有智慧、更快乐》（编者注：目前该书仅有英文版，尚未有中文版）。\n在此前的文章中，我们通过本书了解了巴菲特、比尔·米勒等顶级投资人眼中的芒格，以及芒格推崇的逆向思维，如何在投资和生活中应用。\n本期我们将聚焦芒格对心理学在投资和生活中应用...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/s5szfhbaKyyyVkFxoxX3vA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d30d3e4a8c584dc0c7143999338c880","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/s5szfhbaKyyyVkFxoxX3vA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1176528838","content_text":"近期在美国华尔街价值投资圈非常火的一本书，威廉·格林(William Green)所撰写的《Richer, Wiser, Happier》，翻译成中文就是《更富有、更有智慧、更快乐》（编者注：目前该书仅有英文版，尚未有中文版）。\n在此前的文章中，我们通过本书了解了巴菲特、比尔·米勒等顶级投资人眼中的芒格，以及芒格推崇的逆向思维，如何在投资和生活中应用。\n本期我们将聚焦芒格对心理学在投资和生活中应用的看法。芒格强调，激励机制在认知与行为变化中起到很重要的作用；同时要警惕大脑的“自欺欺人”，因思考上的捷径而做出仓促的决策并导致灾难；愿意欣然发现自己的错误才能不断进步；所有好的投资者都是非情绪化的。\n以下为文字摘录（有删节和编辑）：\n芒格的心理学集锦\n是份实用的避免“灾难”的清单\n我们作为投资者，面临的最棘手的问题之一，便是人类大脑本身就不是为做理性决策而设计的。\n我们的判断常被诸如恐惧、贪婪、嫉妒与缺乏耐心等情绪所支配，会使我们对现实的认知因既有的偏见而扭曲，会被同辈竞争和销售话术所影响，会因不完全的或有谬误的信息而采取行动。\n正如进化生物学家罗伯特·特里弗斯 (Robert Trivers)在《傻子的傻事：人类生活中的欺骗与自我欺骗逻辑》一书中所写，“我们感知世界的伟大器官”让我们能获得那些我们的大脑能系统性地“降解并摧毁”的信息。\n在上世纪90年代，芒格在三次不同的演讲中针对“人类误判的心理因素”这个难题提出了解决办法。在2005年，他写了一篇现在已经录入《穷查理宝典》的长文。在这篇被尼克·斯利浦(Nick Sleep)称作“有史以来最好的投资演说”的文章里，芒格将其卓越智识展现无遗。\n从未上过任何心理学课程，只读过三本心理学书籍的芒格总结出一个长达二十五条的可能导致我们的大脑犯错的“心理倾向”，并给了他们许多生动形象的名称，诸如“自视甚高倾向”、“瞎扯蛋倾向”、“简单的疼痛规避倾向心理”等。他甚至斗胆批判学术界的心理学家们并不懂这门属于他们自己的学科。\n芒格的这个“集锦”为他和我们都提供了一个避免灾难的实用清单。“这里的窍门在于首先理解他们，然后按照这个清单去训练你自己”，斯利浦说道，“能对清单上的内容如数家珍是一回事，但能把这些内容内化却又是完全不同的一回事了。后者是你需要下功夫的。”然而，这又是必须要做的，因为“最可持续的优势是心理上的优势”。\n芒格：永远不要忽略激励机制的强大力量\n芒格的第一条“心理倾向”如此显而易见以至于我们可能都会忽视它：激励机制在认知与行为变化中所起到的作用。\n他援引了一句他的英雄，本杰明·富兰克林的话，“如果你想说服别人，一定要诉诸对方的利益，而非理性。”芒格写道，“这条玉律是生活中伟大而简单的一条指导：永远，永远不要在你应思考激励机制的强大力量的时候思考任何其他的东西。”\n激励机制在生活中的方方面面都至关重要，无论是激励员工还是劝服对手。芒格警告人们要当心那些因激励机制而给出带有偏见的意见的销售员们，因这类激励会使得即便“非常体面的个体”做出“非道德的行为以获得奖金”。作为反制，芒格建议我们要尤其警惕那些对于顾问们有利的职业资讯与建议。\n芒格常常强调与值得尊敬的且无私的人们合伙的重要性，同时应避免那些有“不良动机”的人们。他在2008年-2009年被华尔街最聪明且机智的人们，因重组次级贷款并创造具有投资级别评级的有毒债券的行为最终导致金融危机而感到震惊。\n当别人都在做同样龌龊的事并从中获利时，我们总是更容易将这类卑污的行为理性化。但芒格推荐我们遵循一条更高的道德标准，并对这类行为予以回应：“我比你们更崇高。”\n芒格：要警惕大脑“自我欺骗”\n另一个认知危害来自于芒格演说中所提到的“倾向于尽快阙疑”并迅速决策—这一倾向的诱因常常是外界压力。这种“避免疑惑的倾向”也合乎进化逻辑，因为我们的祖先们常需在紧迫的威胁面前快速回应。\n然而思考上的捷径常使投资者们做出仓促的决策并导致灾难。\n更糟糕的是，我们还经常变成芒格所谓的“避免不一致倾向”的受害者，并使得我们抵触可能与我们既有结论相左的新的信息和洞见，无论我们可能是如何仓促地形成那些既有结论的。\n芒格曾提供过一个生动的比喻：“当一个精子跑进一颗人卵后，卵子有一个自动关门功能，直接把其他的精子都拒之门外了。人类的大脑也有非常强的类似倾向。”\n不愿重新审视或改变我们的观点是理性思考的最大障碍之一。比起开放的心态，我们更倾向于有意无意地给那些支持我们既有信仰的信息以优先级。这种盲目附着于我们既有信仰的错误可以因为其他几类心理学倾向而被加剧。\n“自视甚高倾向”让我们高估我们的才华、观点和决策。\n“过度乐观倾向”将我们引诱到财务自负的大意行为中，尤其是在我们觉得一切正按照计划进行且自己仿佛很聪明的时候。\n“简单疼痛规避心理”让我们在无法承担现实的苦楚时扭曲事实。这种倾向解释了为什么那么多投资者们自欺欺人的觉得他们能够在长时间内战胜指数，尽管他们可能缺少这么做所需要的技巧、性格和成本管控。\n芒格很喜欢古希腊雄辩家德摩斯梯尼(Demosthenes)的一个观察：“没什么比自欺欺人更简单。每个人所希望的，都是他信以为真的。”\n愿意欣然发现自己的错误才能不断进步\n如果人脑如此容易自我欺骗，那我们如何才能做出理性的投资决策呢？首先，我们必须承认这一事实。就像格雷厄姆说的，“投资者主要的问题——以及他最大的敌人——或许就是他自己。”\n芒格对抗非理性的方法，是效仿一些“极端客观”的科学家，诸如查尔斯·达尔文，亚伯特·爱因斯坦和理查德·费曼。\n当我问到我们应如何向他们学习并思考问题时，芒格说：“他们对自己非常严苛…他们不断试图减少愚蠢。他们在乎正确的思考方式。他们能聚精会神很久，且通过工作，工作，再工作来避免愚蠢。”\n芒格尤其崇尚他们坚定不移地找出“证伪证据”的决心，即便是面对他们最钟爱的信仰。比如达尔文拒绝让他的基督信仰或大众共识影响他惊艳四座的进化理论。在他1859年所著的《物种起源》中，他放弃了圣经中一个不可亵渎的信条：“经过在我能力范围内的细致的学习和不带感情的研判，我可以确凿无误地说，那些大多数自然学家所信仰的以及我曾经所信仰过的所有生物都是被独立创造出来的这一观点，是个谬误。”\n愿意欣然发现我们自己的错误这一习惯对个体而言是一个巨大的优势。芒格通过在每次摧毁一个自己曾深信不疑的信条之后给自己鼓掌来培养这个习惯，并让该习惯变成一种带有满足感而非耻辱感的“铲除无知”的行为。\n他有一次这么评述，“如果伯克希尔有过什么进步，那其中很大一部分应是我和沃伦都很善于摧毁我们最喜欢的想法。如果有哪一年你没有摧毁一个你自己钟爱的想法，你恐怕就浪费了那一年。”\n另一种保证我们孱弱的想法和懒惰的偏见不会横行霸道的方法，是找一个充满智慧的、愿意与我们针锋相对的对手。\n巴菲特曾有一次评述道，“人类最擅长做的，是把所有新的信息都遵循他们既有的结论来进行诠释…这是一个我们每一个人都与生俱来的能力。我们如何对抗这种倾向呢？”\n他的答案是：“找一个不卑不亢并高度逻辑化的合伙人…或许是你可以找到的最好的应对机理了。”芒格，作为一个理想的击剑对手，扼杀了如此多个巴菲特的投资想法，甚至被巴菲特称为“那个喜欢说不的讨厌鬼”。\n所有的好的投资者都是非情绪化的\n我们都需要诚实和自我认知来保证我们的情绪不会蒙蔽我们的判断并影响我们的表现，这样我们才能高度小心地继续前行。\n广泛的说，我们需要构筑一种有利于我们冷静并有韧性的生活方式。\n芒格便是一个会花很多时间去做不少能够给予他平衡和健康的各类活动之人，这里包括在他家中的图书馆读书，和朋友们打桥牌、打高尔夫，或钓鱼。他也会维持一个不那么紧凑的生活节奏以便于他有足够空间进行冥想。\n细节可能各不相同，但我们都需要一些习惯和兴趣爱好来加强我们内心的平静。\n不过，是事实，芒格很少像我们普罗大众那样需要努力去平衡自己的情绪。当我问他是否同意霍华德·马克思的观点，即所有的好的投资者都是非情绪化的，他回答说，“是的。当然。”\n“您是否有过为某一笔投资感到不安或害怕呢？”\n“从不。”\n“因此您不需要刻意去对抗那些情绪，因为您根本不会经历那些情绪？”\n“对的”\n当没有极端情绪干扰时，芒格便有足够的自由来聚焦到那些赔率对他有压倒性的吸引力的标的上。当银行股在金融危机期间暴跌时，他认为富国银行是如此的便宜以至于其可以被视作为一个“四十年一遇的机会”。\n他为DJ在2009年3月市场见底之际精确吃入富国银行的股票，这在他看来便是一个“理性和判断力强”的完美案例。\n他在情绪上的缺失是一个内生的竞争优势，很少有投资者同样拥有这种优势。“沃伦也是这样的”，他说。“在这点上我俩很相似。”\n芒格也学会了如何去控制一些可能对他享受生活造成不利影响的垃圾情绪。\n“疯狂的愤怒，疯狂的仇恨，回避那些东西，”他说。\n“我不会让这些情绪肆虐，我压根不会让这些情绪萌芽。”\n他的话也适用于嫉妒这种情绪。他认为这是七种不可饶恕的原罪中最为愚蠢的，因为这种情绪甚至都不好玩(Not Even Fun)。他看不起那些倾向于将自己看作是受害者的人们，也没有耐心听别人怨天尤人。\n当我问他是否他有一种思考过程让他疏散自我击溃的情绪时，他说，“我知道愤怒是愚蠢的。我知道仇恨是愚蠢的。我知道自怜是愚蠢的。因此我就不做他们…我试着每时每刻都不做蠢事。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":816740256,"gmtCreate":1630538502275,"gmtModify":1630538502275,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"又说那话","listText":"又说那话","text":"又说那话","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/816740256","repostId":"2164811839","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2815,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837825419,"gmtCreate":1629876635531,"gmtModify":1629876635531,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强] [强] [强] [强] [强] [强] [强] [强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837825419","repostId":"1193505193","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193505193","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1629876341,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193505193?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-25 15:25","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"传台积电通知客户全面涨价20%，即起生效","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193505193","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月25日，据台湾经济日报，台积电已在今日中午通知客户全面涨价20%，而且今天上线生产都是涨价后的价格，且已下单也在涨价之列。但对于涨价的消息，台积电不做评论。\n由于晶圆代工产能仍严重不足，因此后市持","content":"<p>8月25日，据台湾经济日报，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>已在今日中午通知客户全面涨价20%，而且今天上线生产都是涨价后的价格，且已下单也在涨价之列。但对于涨价的消息，台积电不做评论。</p>\n<p>由于晶圆代工产能仍严重不足，因此后市持续报价上涨已在市场预期中，但先前对于台积电涨价时间，先后传出不同消息，但以预计第四季调涨较多，对于今日火速涨价的消息，台积电暂未发表评论。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1485faa428f749850f1d8b51f2295597\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>传台积电通知客户全面涨价20%，即起生效</title>\n<style 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07:52","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨：美联储扫货债市！美股创逾20年最佳季度表现","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163558592","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要：道指收涨近1%，三大股指均创下至少21年来的最佳季度表现；美联储“兜底”债市！微软苹果伯克希尔都成受益者；金价突破1800美元创近9年新高；特斯拉市值突破2000亿美元。海外市场1、美股全线收涨","content":"<blockquote><span>摘要：道指收涨近1%，三大股指均创下至少21年来的最佳季度表现；美联储“兜底”债市！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>都成受益者；金价突破1800美元创近9年新高；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>市值突破2000亿美元。</span></blockquote><p><b>海外市场</b></p><p><b><span>1、美股全线收涨！道指涨超200点，二季度创下33年来最佳季度表现</span></b></p><p>美股周二低开高走全线收涨，道指涨超200点，华尔街三大股指均创下至少21年来的最佳季度表现。恐慌指数VIX跌4.25%，报30.43点。能源板块领跌，科技板块领涨。</p><p>截至收盘，道指涨217.08点，报25812.88点，涨幅为0.85%；纳指涨184.62点，报10058.77点，涨幅为1.87%；标普500指数涨47.05点，报3100.29点，涨幅为1.54%。</p><p>截至第二季度结束，道琼斯指数上涨17.8%。这是该指数自1987年第一季度上涨21.6%以来的最大季度涨幅。标准普尔500指数出现了1998年第四季度以来的最大季度涨幅，飙升了近20%。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数本季度上涨了30.6%，这是自1999年上涨以来的最佳季度表现。</p><p><b><span>2、中概股收盘：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>再度大涨近7%，九城涨超21%</span></b></p><p>衡量中概股走势的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">纽约梅隆银行</a>中国ADR指数上涨0.98点，报收于627.57点，涨幅为0.16%。</p><p>大型中概股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨0.32%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌1.86%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>涨1.01%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>跌0.75%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>跌1.15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>涨1.39%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZTO\">中通快递</a>跌1.05%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌0.72%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>跌0.30%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>涨1.80%，携程跌0.61%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">跟谁学</a>涨2.85%，蔚来涨6.78%，微博涨0.81%。</p><p><b><span>3、新冠疫情加深导致美油收跌1.1%，但第二季度累计飙升近92%</span></b></p><p>纽约商品交易所8月份交割的西德克萨斯轻质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌43美分，报收于每桶39.27美元，跌幅为1.1%，此前该合约在周一的交易中收盘上涨3.1%。与此同时，伦敦ICE欧洲期货交易所8月份交割的北海布伦特原油期货价格也下跌56美分，报每桶41.15美元，跌幅为1.3%，该合约已在周二收盘时到期；现已成为即月合约的9月份布伦特原油期货价格也下跌58美分，报收于每桶41.27美元，跌幅为1.4%。</p><p><b><span>4、金价收盘突破1800美元创下近9年新高！第二季度累计大涨近13%</span></b></p><p>纽约商品交易所8月份交割的黄金期货价格上涨19.30美元，报收于每盎司1800.50美元，涨幅为1.1%。据财经信息供应商FactSet提供的数据显示，按主力合约计算，黄金期货价格自2011年9月份以来从未报收于每盎司1800美元上方。在2011年8月份，黄金期货创下了每盎司1891.90美元的收盘历史高点。FactSet数据还显示，在今年上半年中，黄金期货价格累计上涨了18%左右，第二季度累涨近13%，6月份则上涨了将近3%。</p><p><b><span>5、欧股收盘微涨0.1%，第二季度累计大涨近13%</span></b></p><p>欧洲斯托克600指数上涨0.45点，报收于360.34点，涨幅为0.13%，各个行业板块和欧洲主要国家的股市涨跌不一。在整个第二季度的交易中，这项欧洲基准股指累计上涨了将近13%，创下自2015年第一季度以来的最大单季涨幅。</p><p>在欧洲各国股市中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XDDX.UK\">德国DAX 30</a>指数上涨0.64%，报收于12310.93点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数下跌0.90%，报收于6169.74点；法国CAC 40指数下跌0.19%，报收于4935.99点。与此同时，意大利富时MIB指数也下跌0.37%，报收于19375.52点。</p><p><b>国际宏观</b></p><p><b><span>1、美联储主席鲍威尔：经济活动反弹值得欢迎，但新冠病毒带来新的挑战</span></b></p><p>美国财政部长姆努钦断言，由新冠病毒大流行引发的经济衰退的最糟糕的时期已经过去；但美联储主席鲍威尔则警告称，在遭受了“难以用语言表达的痛苦”之后，美国经济仍旧面临着令人望而生畏的障碍。</p><p><b><span>2、新冠疫情正使数以十万计的美国小企业破产</span></b></p><p>美国国家经济研究局(National Bureau of Economic Research)5月份的一项研究估计，由于大流行，超过10万家小企业永久关闭。多家大型企业也无法幸免。一些在美国各地设有数百家分店的大型美国公司也都处于挣扎之中。</p><p><b><span>3、美联储<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>：尽管最坏情况已经过去 美国经济全面复苏仍道阻且长</span></b></p><p>威廉姆斯在国际金融协会主办的线上谈话中说：“有迹象表明，我们可能已经过去了极端经济困境中最为糟糕的时刻，而且已经开始出现复苏的早期迹象。”</p><p><b><span>4、英国政府：与美贸易谈判中 对医疗和食品安全标准不会妥协让步</span></b></p><p>英国政府表示，在与美国就“脱欧”后贸易协定进行的谈判中，英国不会对国民医疗服务体系、环境保护、动物权益和食品安全标准这些方面做出妥协让步。</p><p><b><span>5、IMF：2020年亚太区经济预计将收缩1.6% 为人们记忆中首次</span></b></p><p>亚洲经济增长预计将收缩1.6%，这是人们记忆中首次出现的情况。相比4月的零增长预测，目前的预测已经下调。亚洲2020年第一季度的经济增长表现好于4月《世界经济展望》的预测，一定程度上是由于一些国家的疫情较早地稳定下来。然而，该地区多数国家的2020年增长预测已经下调，原因是全球经济形势更为疲弱，并且，一些新兴经济体的防控措施将持续更长的时间。</p><p><b><span>6、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048939973\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>“兜底”债市！美联储现身多支公司债ETF最大持有人榜单</span></b></a><b><span></span></b></p><p>目前，最新披露的美联储拥有的接近90亿美元公司债券相关资产中，仅有4.3亿为单个公司债券，其他均为各种公司债市的ETF，但即便如此，美联储“兜底”债市的力度也已经相当大了。</p><p><b><span>7、微软苹果伯克希尔都成受益者 美联储公司债购买计划引争议</span></b></p><p>本周日发布的信贷工具安排文件显示，美联储不仅在购买因新冠疫情而陷入困境的公司的债券，还买入了美国一些行业巨头的债券。美联储直接持有微软、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a>发行的债券，还通过其所购买的ETFs，间接持有其他数家大企业的债券，其中包括苹果公司和高盛集团。</p><p><b>市场观点</b></p><p><b><span>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>：下半年科技股和防御股将领涨美股</span></b></p><p>摩根大通策略师米斯拉夫-马捷卡(Mislav Matejka)及该行策略师团队给投资者的建议是，在今年剩余的时间里，要坚持选择“优胜者”。</p><p>他们指出，“我们认为，(在今年剩余的时间里)，美股仍将是表现相对好一些的市场，而领涨美股的必然是科技股和防御股。在5月下旬和6月上旬，科技股和防御股迎来了战术性价值反弹。”</p><p><b><span>2、经济学家:投资者应继续看空美股，股市反弹还“为时过早”</span></b></p><p>TS Lombard表示，在冠状病毒大流行造成的经济损害完全明朗之前，投资者应该继续看空美国股市。TS Lombard同时警告称，投资者高估了美国企业收益的快速复苏。</p><p><b><span>3、分析师：今夏美股将来回剧烈波动，但还不到该要卖出的时候</span></b></p><p>以道格-佩塔(Doug Peta)为首的BCA Research分析师在报告中写道：“中性是乏味的，既不热也不冷，既非此也非彼，在平衡的投资组合中推荐一种基准的股票权重让我们感到不安。”但分析师同时补充称，在风险回报动形势得足够清晰，可以证明“值得减持或增持”之前，没有理由改变资产配置。</p><p><b>4、华尔街九大机构点评美股：美联储承诺支持经济，但市场行为与复苏脱节</b></p><p><b><span>5、41%散户投资者看衰美股 预计未来5年内将出现负回报</span></b></p><p>调查结果显示，超40%(41%)的散户投资者预计，未来五年内美股会陷入困境，出现负回报率；18%的散户投资者认为，下跌幅度将介于0%-5%之间；11%的散户投资者预计，跌幅将介于5%-10%之间。</p><p><b>公司新闻</b></p><p><b><span>1、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048934187\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>挪威航空取消97架波音客机订单，同时追讨737 Max停飞连带损失</span></b></a></p><p>总部位于奥斯陆的挪威航空公司宣布，公司已经取消了97架波音飞机的订单(价值约106亿美元)，并将就737 Max停飞和787发动机故障向这家美国飞机制造商进行索赔。挪威航空公司表示，这些故障甚至在冠状病毒大流行导致全球航空业陷入混乱之前就已经削弱了自己的利润表现。</p><p><b><span>2、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048365839\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>广告抵制风波愈演愈烈，但不是每家企业都有能力同脸书“切割”</span></b></a></p><p>在美国黑人弗洛伊德之死引发的反思种族歧视浪潮愈演愈烈之际，脸书因其对相关言论的放任自流，而名列抵制榜单之首，让脸书更难办的是，如今支持抵制榜单上的跨国巨头越来越多了。</p><p>在昨天<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">可口可乐</a>公司“官宣”之后，本田、大众、福特、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>和SAP等企业纷纷宣布或即将加入#StopHateForProfit活动，承诺在7月份停止在脸书上投放广告</p><p><b><span>3、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048493606\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>受新冠疫情影响，空客将在未来12个月裁员1.5万人</span></b></a></p><p>空中客车集团表示，该集团将在未来12个月时间里裁减大约1.5万名员工，占其员工总数的10%以上，原因是新冠病毒疫情导致全球航空旅行大幅下滑，从而使得客户对空客新飞机的需求大幅下降。</p><p><b><span>4、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048399209\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>特斯拉股价创新高市值突破2000亿美元 相当于5.5个通用汽车</span></b></a></p><p>上市十周年之际，特斯拉周二收涨6.98%，报1079.81美元，创收盘纪录新高。于此同时，该公司市值突破2000亿美元大关，相当于5.5个通用汽车、23个蔚来汽车。</p><p><b><span>5、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1177179907\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>传苹果今年秋季推出的首款5GiPhone出货量将减少一半</span></b></a></p><p>有消息称，2020年5G iPhone 12的出货量可能会减半，从3000万至4000万部降至1500万至2000万部。原因可能是苹果认为，新冠疫情导致的经济低迷，让消费者不愿意花1000多美元买一部新手机。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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}\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨：美联储扫货债市！美股创逾20年最佳季度表现\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-07-01 07:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote><span>摘要：道指收涨近1%，三大股指均创下至少21年来的最佳季度表现；美联储“兜底”债市！<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">伯克希尔</a>都成受益者；金价突破1800美元创近9年新高；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>市值突破2000亿美元。</span></blockquote><p><b>海外市场</b></p><p><b><span>1、美股全线收涨！道指涨超200点，二季度创下33年来最佳季度表现</span></b></p><p>美股周二低开高走全线收涨，道指涨超200点，华尔街三大股指均创下至少21年来的最佳季度表现。恐慌指数VIX跌4.25%，报30.43点。能源板块领跌，科技板块领涨。</p><p>截至收盘，道指涨217.08点，报25812.88点，涨幅为0.85%；纳指涨184.62点，报10058.77点，涨幅为1.87%；标普500指数涨47.05点，报3100.29点，涨幅为1.54%。</p><p>截至第二季度结束，道琼斯指数上涨17.8%。这是该指数自1987年第一季度上涨21.6%以来的最大季度涨幅。标准普尔500指数出现了1998年第四季度以来的最大季度涨幅，飙升了近20%。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数本季度上涨了30.6%，这是自1999年上涨以来的最佳季度表现。</p><p><b><span>2、中概股收盘：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>再度大涨近7%，九城涨超21%</span></b></p><p>衡量中概股走势的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BK\">纽约梅隆银行</a>中国ADR指数上涨0.98点，报收于627.57点，涨幅为0.16%。</p><p>大型中概股中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>涨0.32%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>跌1.86%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>涨1.01%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>跌0.75%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>跌1.15%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>涨1.39%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZTO\">中通快递</a>跌1.05%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌0.72%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">爱奇艺</a>跌0.30%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>涨1.80%，携程跌0.61%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">跟谁学</a>涨2.85%，蔚来涨6.78%，微博涨0.81%。</p><p><b><span>3、新冠疫情加深导致美油收跌1.1%，但第二季度累计飙升近92%</span></b></p><p>纽约商品交易所8月份交割的西德克萨斯轻质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌43美分，报收于每桶39.27美元，跌幅为1.1%，此前该合约在周一的交易中收盘上涨3.1%。与此同时，伦敦ICE欧洲期货交易所8月份交割的北海布伦特原油期货价格也下跌56美分，报每桶41.15美元，跌幅为1.3%，该合约已在周二收盘时到期；现已成为即月合约的9月份布伦特原油期货价格也下跌58美分，报收于每桶41.27美元，跌幅为1.4%。</p><p><b><span>4、金价收盘突破1800美元创下近9年新高！第二季度累计大涨近13%</span></b></p><p>纽约商品交易所8月份交割的黄金期货价格上涨19.30美元，报收于每盎司1800.50美元，涨幅为1.1%。据财经信息供应商FactSet提供的数据显示，按主力合约计算，黄金期货价格自2011年9月份以来从未报收于每盎司1800美元上方。在2011年8月份，黄金期货创下了每盎司1891.90美元的收盘历史高点。FactSet数据还显示，在今年上半年中，黄金期货价格累计上涨了18%左右，第二季度累涨近13%，6月份则上涨了将近3%。</p><p><b><span>5、欧股收盘微涨0.1%，第二季度累计大涨近13%</span></b></p><p>欧洲斯托克600指数上涨0.45点，报收于360.34点，涨幅为0.13%，各个行业板块和欧洲主要国家的股市涨跌不一。在整个第二季度的交易中，这项欧洲基准股指累计上涨了将近13%，创下自2015年第一季度以来的最大单季涨幅。</p><p>在欧洲各国股市中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XDDX.UK\">德国DAX 30</a>指数上涨0.64%，报收于12310.93点；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数下跌0.90%，报收于6169.74点；法国CAC 40指数下跌0.19%，报收于4935.99点。与此同时，意大利富时MIB指数也下跌0.37%，报收于19375.52点。</p><p><b>国际宏观</b></p><p><b><span>1、美联储主席鲍威尔：经济活动反弹值得欢迎，但新冠病毒带来新的挑战</span></b></p><p>美国财政部长姆努钦断言，由新冠病毒大流行引发的经济衰退的最糟糕的时期已经过去；但美联储主席鲍威尔则警告称，在遭受了“难以用语言表达的痛苦”之后，美国经济仍旧面临着令人望而生畏的障碍。</p><p><b><span>2、新冠疫情正使数以十万计的美国小企业破产</span></b></p><p>美国国家经济研究局(National Bureau of Economic Research)5月份的一项研究估计，由于大流行，超过10万家小企业永久关闭。多家大型企业也无法幸免。一些在美国各地设有数百家分店的大型美国公司也都处于挣扎之中。</p><p><b><span>3、美联储<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>：尽管最坏情况已经过去 美国经济全面复苏仍道阻且长</span></b></p><p>威廉姆斯在国际金融协会主办的线上谈话中说：“有迹象表明，我们可能已经过去了极端经济困境中最为糟糕的时刻，而且已经开始出现复苏的早期迹象。”</p><p><b><span>4、英国政府：与美贸易谈判中 对医疗和食品安全标准不会妥协让步</span></b></p><p>英国政府表示，在与美国就“脱欧”后贸易协定进行的谈判中，英国不会对国民医疗服务体系、环境保护、动物权益和食品安全标准这些方面做出妥协让步。</p><p><b><span>5、IMF：2020年亚太区经济预计将收缩1.6% 为人们记忆中首次</span></b></p><p>亚洲经济增长预计将收缩1.6%，这是人们记忆中首次出现的情况。相比4月的零增长预测，目前的预测已经下调。亚洲2020年第一季度的经济增长表现好于4月《世界经济展望》的预测，一定程度上是由于一些国家的疫情较早地稳定下来。然而，该地区多数国家的2020年增长预测已经下调，原因是全球经济形势更为疲弱，并且，一些新兴经济体的防控措施将持续更长的时间。</p><p><b><span>6、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048939973\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>“兜底”债市！美联储现身多支公司债ETF最大持有人榜单</span></b></a><b><span></span></b></p><p>目前，最新披露的美联储拥有的接近90亿美元公司债券相关资产中，仅有4.3亿为单个公司债券，其他均为各种公司债市的ETF，但即便如此，美联储“兜底”债市的力度也已经相当大了。</p><p><b><span>7、微软苹果伯克希尔都成受益者 美联储公司债购买计划引争议</span></b></p><p>本周日发布的信贷工具安排文件显示，美联储不仅在购买因新冠疫情而陷入困境的公司的债券，还买入了美国一些行业巨头的债券。美联储直接持有微软、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V\">Visa</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a>发行的债券，还通过其所购买的ETFs，间接持有其他数家大企业的债券，其中包括苹果公司和高盛集团。</p><p><b>市场观点</b></p><p><b><span>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>：下半年科技股和防御股将领涨美股</span></b></p><p>摩根大通策略师米斯拉夫-马捷卡(Mislav Matejka)及该行策略师团队给投资者的建议是，在今年剩余的时间里，要坚持选择“优胜者”。</p><p>他们指出，“我们认为，(在今年剩余的时间里)，美股仍将是表现相对好一些的市场，而领涨美股的必然是科技股和防御股。在5月下旬和6月上旬，科技股和防御股迎来了战术性价值反弹。”</p><p><b><span>2、经济学家:投资者应继续看空美股，股市反弹还“为时过早”</span></b></p><p>TS Lombard表示，在冠状病毒大流行造成的经济损害完全明朗之前，投资者应该继续看空美国股市。TS Lombard同时警告称，投资者高估了美国企业收益的快速复苏。</p><p><b><span>3、分析师：今夏美股将来回剧烈波动，但还不到该要卖出的时候</span></b></p><p>以道格-佩塔(Doug Peta)为首的BCA Research分析师在报告中写道：“中性是乏味的，既不热也不冷，既非此也非彼，在平衡的投资组合中推荐一种基准的股票权重让我们感到不安。”但分析师同时补充称，在风险回报动形势得足够清晰，可以证明“值得减持或增持”之前，没有理由改变资产配置。</p><p><b>4、华尔街九大机构点评美股：美联储承诺支持经济，但市场行为与复苏脱节</b></p><p><b><span>5、41%散户投资者看衰美股 预计未来5年内将出现负回报</span></b></p><p>调查结果显示，超40%(41%)的散户投资者预计，未来五年内美股会陷入困境，出现负回报率；18%的散户投资者认为，下跌幅度将介于0%-5%之间；11%的散户投资者预计，跌幅将介于5%-10%之间。</p><p><b>公司新闻</b></p><p><b><span>1、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048934187\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>挪威航空取消97架波音客机订单，同时追讨737 Max停飞连带损失</span></b></a></p><p>总部位于奥斯陆的挪威航空公司宣布，公司已经取消了97架波音飞机的订单(价值约106亿美元)，并将就737 Max停飞和787发动机故障向这家美国飞机制造商进行索赔。挪威航空公司表示，这些故障甚至在冠状病毒大流行导致全球航空业陷入混乱之前就已经削弱了自己的利润表现。</p><p><b><span>2、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048365839\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>广告抵制风波愈演愈烈，但不是每家企业都有能力同脸书“切割”</span></b></a></p><p>在美国黑人弗洛伊德之死引发的反思种族歧视浪潮愈演愈烈之际，脸书因其对相关言论的放任自流，而名列抵制榜单之首，让脸书更难办的是，如今支持抵制榜单上的跨国巨头越来越多了。</p><p>在昨天<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">可口可乐</a>公司“官宣”之后，本田、大众、福特、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>和SAP等企业纷纷宣布或即将加入#StopHateForProfit活动，承诺在7月份停止在脸书上投放广告</p><p><b><span>3、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048493606\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>受新冠疫情影响，空客将在未来12个月裁员1.5万人</span></b></a></p><p>空中客车集团表示，该集团将在未来12个月时间里裁减大约1.5万名员工，占其员工总数的10%以上，原因是新冠病毒疫情导致全球航空旅行大幅下滑，从而使得客户对空客新飞机的需求大幅下降。</p><p><b><span>4、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2048399209\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>特斯拉股价创新高市值突破2000亿美元 相当于5.5个通用汽车</span></b></a></p><p>上市十周年之际，特斯拉周二收涨6.98%，报1079.81美元，创收盘纪录新高。于此同时，该公司市值突破2000亿美元大关，相当于5.5个通用汽车、23个蔚来汽车。</p><p><b><span>5、</span></b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1177179907\" target=\"_blank\"><b><span>传苹果今年秋季推出的首款5GiPhone出货量将减少一半</span></b></a></p><p>有消息称，2020年5G iPhone 12的出货量可能会减半，从3000万至4000万部降至1500万至2000万部。原因可能是苹果认为，新冠疫情导致的经济低迷，让消费者不愿意花1000多美元买一部新手机。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163558592","content_text":"摘要：道指收涨近1%，三大股指均创下至少21年来的最佳季度表现；美联储“兜底”债市！微软苹果伯克希尔都成受益者；金价突破1800美元创近9年新高；特斯拉市值突破2000亿美元。海外市场1、美股全线收涨！道指涨超200点，二季度创下33年来最佳季度表现美股周二低开高走全线收涨，道指涨超200点，华尔街三大股指均创下至少21年来的最佳季度表现。恐慌指数VIX跌4.25%，报30.43点。能源板块领跌，科技板块领涨。截至收盘，道指涨217.08点，报25812.88点，涨幅为0.85%；纳指涨184.62点，报10058.77点，涨幅为1.87%；标普500指数涨47.05点，报3100.29点，涨幅为1.54%。截至第二季度结束，道琼斯指数上涨17.8%。这是该指数自1987年第一季度上涨21.6%以来的最大季度涨幅。标准普尔500指数出现了1998年第四季度以来的最大季度涨幅，飙升了近20%。与此同时，纳斯达克综合指数本季度上涨了30.6%，这是自1999年上涨以来的最佳季度表现。2、中概股收盘：蔚来再度大涨近7%，九城涨超21%衡量中概股走势的纽约梅隆银行中国ADR指数上涨0.98点，报收于627.57点，涨幅为0.16%。大型中概股中，阿里巴巴涨0.32%，拼多多跌1.86%，京东涨1.01%，网易跌0.75%，百度跌1.15%，好未来涨1.39%，中通快递跌1.05%，新东方跌0.72%，爱奇艺跌0.30%，哔哩哔哩涨1.80%，携程跌0.61%，跟谁学涨2.85%，蔚来涨6.78%，微博涨0.81%。3、新冠疫情加深导致美油收跌1.1%，但第二季度累计飙升近92%纽约商品交易所8月份交割的西德克萨斯轻质原油(WTI)期货价格下跌43美分，报收于每桶39.27美元，跌幅为1.1%，此前该合约在周一的交易中收盘上涨3.1%。与此同时，伦敦ICE欧洲期货交易所8月份交割的北海布伦特原油期货价格也下跌56美分，报每桶41.15美元，跌幅为1.3%，该合约已在周二收盘时到期；现已成为即月合约的9月份布伦特原油期货价格也下跌58美分，报收于每桶41.27美元，跌幅为1.4%。4、金价收盘突破1800美元创下近9年新高！第二季度累计大涨近13%纽约商品交易所8月份交割的黄金期货价格上涨19.30美元，报收于每盎司1800.50美元，涨幅为1.1%。据财经信息供应商FactSet提供的数据显示，按主力合约计算，黄金期货价格自2011年9月份以来从未报收于每盎司1800美元上方。在2011年8月份，黄金期货创下了每盎司1891.90美元的收盘历史高点。FactSet数据还显示，在今年上半年中，黄金期货价格累计上涨了18%左右，第二季度累涨近13%，6月份则上涨了将近3%。5、欧股收盘微涨0.1%，第二季度累计大涨近13%欧洲斯托克600指数上涨0.45点，报收于360.34点，涨幅为0.13%，各个行业板块和欧洲主要国家的股市涨跌不一。在整个第二季度的交易中，这项欧洲基准股指累计上涨了将近13%，创下自2015年第一季度以来的最大单季涨幅。在欧洲各国股市中，德国DAX 30指数上涨0.64%，报收于12310.93点；英国富时100指数下跌0.90%，报收于6169.74点；法国CAC 40指数下跌0.19%，报收于4935.99点。与此同时，意大利富时MIB指数也下跌0.37%，报收于19375.52点。国际宏观1、美联储主席鲍威尔：经济活动反弹值得欢迎，但新冠病毒带来新的挑战美国财政部长姆努钦断言，由新冠病毒大流行引发的经济衰退的最糟糕的时期已经过去；但美联储主席鲍威尔则警告称，在遭受了“难以用语言表达的痛苦”之后，美国经济仍旧面临着令人望而生畏的障碍。2、新冠疫情正使数以十万计的美国小企业破产美国国家经济研究局(National Bureau of Economic Research)5月份的一项研究估计，由于大流行，超过10万家小企业永久关闭。多家大型企业也无法幸免。一些在美国各地设有数百家分店的大型美国公司也都处于挣扎之中。3、美联储威廉姆斯：尽管最坏情况已经过去 美国经济全面复苏仍道阻且长威廉姆斯在国际金融协会主办的线上谈话中说：“有迹象表明，我们可能已经过去了极端经济困境中最为糟糕的时刻，而且已经开始出现复苏的早期迹象。”4、英国政府：与美贸易谈判中 对医疗和食品安全标准不会妥协让步英国政府表示，在与美国就“脱欧”后贸易协定进行的谈判中，英国不会对国民医疗服务体系、环境保护、动物权益和食品安全标准这些方面做出妥协让步。5、IMF：2020年亚太区经济预计将收缩1.6% 为人们记忆中首次亚洲经济增长预计将收缩1.6%，这是人们记忆中首次出现的情况。相比4月的零增长预测，目前的预测已经下调。亚洲2020年第一季度的经济增长表现好于4月《世界经济展望》的预测，一定程度上是由于一些国家的疫情较早地稳定下来。然而，该地区多数国家的2020年增长预测已经下调，原因是全球经济形势更为疲弱，并且，一些新兴经济体的防控措施将持续更长的时间。6、“兜底”债市！美联储现身多支公司债ETF最大持有人榜单目前，最新披露的美联储拥有的接近90亿美元公司债券相关资产中，仅有4.3亿为单个公司债券，其他均为各种公司债市的ETF，但即便如此，美联储“兜底”债市的力度也已经相当大了。7、微软苹果伯克希尔都成受益者 美联储公司债购买计划引争议本周日发布的信贷工具安排文件显示，美联储不仅在购买因新冠疫情而陷入困境的公司的债券，还买入了美国一些行业巨头的债券。美联储直接持有微软、Visa和家得宝发行的债券，还通过其所购买的ETFs，间接持有其他数家大企业的债券，其中包括苹果公司和高盛集团。市场观点1、摩根大通：下半年科技股和防御股将领涨美股摩根大通策略师米斯拉夫-马捷卡(Mislav Matejka)及该行策略师团队给投资者的建议是，在今年剩余的时间里，要坚持选择“优胜者”。他们指出，“我们认为，(在今年剩余的时间里)，美股仍将是表现相对好一些的市场，而领涨美股的必然是科技股和防御股。在5月下旬和6月上旬，科技股和防御股迎来了战术性价值反弹。”2、经济学家:投资者应继续看空美股，股市反弹还“为时过早”TS Lombard表示，在冠状病毒大流行造成的经济损害完全明朗之前，投资者应该继续看空美国股市。TS Lombard同时警告称，投资者高估了美国企业收益的快速复苏。3、分析师：今夏美股将来回剧烈波动，但还不到该要卖出的时候以道格-佩塔(Doug Peta)为首的BCA Research分析师在报告中写道：“中性是乏味的，既不热也不冷，既非此也非彼，在平衡的投资组合中推荐一种基准的股票权重让我们感到不安。”但分析师同时补充称，在风险回报动形势得足够清晰，可以证明“值得减持或增持”之前，没有理由改变资产配置。4、华尔街九大机构点评美股：美联储承诺支持经济，但市场行为与复苏脱节5、41%散户投资者看衰美股 预计未来5年内将出现负回报调查结果显示，超40%(41%)的散户投资者预计，未来五年内美股会陷入困境，出现负回报率；18%的散户投资者认为，下跌幅度将介于0%-5%之间；11%的散户投资者预计，跌幅将介于5%-10%之间。公司新闻1、挪威航空取消97架波音客机订单，同时追讨737 Max停飞连带损失总部位于奥斯陆的挪威航空公司宣布，公司已经取消了97架波音飞机的订单(价值约106亿美元)，并将就737 Max停飞和787发动机故障向这家美国飞机制造商进行索赔。挪威航空公司表示，这些故障甚至在冠状病毒大流行导致全球航空业陷入混乱之前就已经削弱了自己的利润表现。2、广告抵制风波愈演愈烈，但不是每家企业都有能力同脸书“切割”在美国黑人弗洛伊德之死引发的反思种族歧视浪潮愈演愈烈之际，脸书因其对相关言论的放任自流，而名列抵制榜单之首，让脸书更难办的是，如今支持抵制榜单上的跨国巨头越来越多了。在昨天可口可乐公司“官宣”之后，本田、大众、福特、辉瑞和SAP等企业纷纷宣布或即将加入#StopHateForProfit活动，承诺在7月份停止在脸书上投放广告3、受新冠疫情影响，空客将在未来12个月裁员1.5万人空中客车集团表示，该集团将在未来12个月时间里裁减大约1.5万名员工，占其员工总数的10%以上，原因是新冠病毒疫情导致全球航空旅行大幅下滑，从而使得客户对空客新飞机的需求大幅下降。4、特斯拉股价创新高市值突破2000亿美元 相当于5.5个通用汽车上市十周年之际，特斯拉周二收涨6.98%，报1079.81美元，创收盘纪录新高。于此同时，该公司市值突破2000亿美元大关，相当于5.5个通用汽车、23个蔚来汽车。5、传苹果今年秋季推出的首款5GiPhone出货量将减少一半有消息称，2020年5G iPhone 12的出货量可能会减半，从3000万至4000万部降至1500万至2000万部。原因可能是苹果认为，新冠疫情导致的经济低迷，让消费者不愿意花1000多美元买一部新手机。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1073,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956970141,"gmtCreate":1591518118283,"gmtModify":1704195905723,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GC2008\">$黄金2008(GC2008)$&nbsp;</a>下周黄金会涨吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GC2008\">$黄金2008(GC2008)$&nbsp;</a>下周黄金会涨吗？","text":"$黄金2008(GC2008)$ 下周黄金会涨吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956970141","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1476,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3553726060460553","authorId":"3553726060460553","name":"我不是笨蛋","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3553726060460553","authorIdStr":"3553726060460553"},"content":"感觉不会，能小涨就不错了","text":"感觉不会，能小涨就不错了","html":"感觉不会，能小涨就不错了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":928028202,"gmtCreate":1586429737706,"gmtModify":1704361284006,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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LLC(ECOR)$怎么突然暴涨了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/694244979","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861837065,"gmtCreate":1632480149957,"gmtModify":1632480149957,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那还下跌了呢？","listText":"那还下跌了呢？","text":"那还下跌了呢？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861837065","repostId":"1116400803","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889351372,"gmtCreate":1631110925996,"gmtModify":1631110925996,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"为什么","listText":"为什么","text":"为什么","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889351372","repostId":"1162147699","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162147699","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631110115,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162147699?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌超7%。教育部：坚决查处变相违规开展学科类校外培训问题。</p>\n<p>造车新势力：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89c2f91b53201cc444cf75ed6692b335\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中概股跌成“重灾区”，多只明星股跌超8%</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HUYA\">虎牙</a>跌超7%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOYU\">斗鱼</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">滴滴</a>跌超6%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BILI\">哔哩哔哩</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTES\">网易</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DADA\">达达集团</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">腾讯音乐</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>跌超2%。</p>\n<p>中概教育股：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">有道</a>跌超9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">高途</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">好未来</a>跌超8%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>跌超7%。教育部：坚决查处变相违规开展学科类校外培训问题。</p>\n<p>造车新势力：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>跌超5%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超3%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89c2f91b53201cc444cf75ed6692b335\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p></p>\n<p></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a00dac9da971ee0e08b72a17d0d0b507","relate_stocks":{"TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","DOYU":"斗鱼","DIDI":"滴滴(已退市)","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","HUYA":"虎牙"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162147699","content_text":"9月8日，中概股盘中大跌，明星股中：虎牙跌超7%，斗鱼、滴滴跌超6%，哔哩哔哩、网易、达达集团跌超5%，腾讯音乐、京东、百度、阿里巴巴跌超2%。\n中概教育股：有道跌超9%，高途、好未来跌超8%，新东方跌超7%。教育部：坚决查处变相违规开展学科类校外培训问题。\n造车新势力：蔚来、小鹏汽车跌超5%，理想汽车跌超3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":817679405,"gmtCreate":1630956871307,"gmtModify":1630956871307,"author":{"id":"3548180267440289","authorId":"3548180267440289","name":"gyk","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ff77869b4070ad949d48c1adc3aca41","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3548180267440289","authorIdStr":"3548180267440289"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","listText":"[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;[强]&nbsp;","text":"[强] 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