+关注
BuffettShan
芝麻开花
IP属地:江苏
14
关注
0
粉丝
3
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
BuffettShan
2021-07-12
80公里连领空都没出
创造历史!71岁亿万富翁成功上太空,比贝索斯提前9天;淘宝、支付宝等阿里系APP取消开屏广告;马斯克涉嫌内幕交易被起诉丨邦早报
BuffettShan
2021-06-07
$新东方-S(09901)$
可以介入了吗
BuffettShan
2021-04-12
$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$
[龇牙]
BuffettShan
2021-04-12
$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$
以为会暴跌,结果涨了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]
BuffettShan
2021-03-31
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
教培整顿风暴山雨欲来
BuffettShan
2021-03-17
拼多多以前挺好,现在喜欢玩套路,而且越陷越深
拼多多暴跌背后:GMV不及预期、毛利率断崖,黄峥辞职
BuffettShan
2021-01-28
美国散户?散户难道能组织起来?不相信
抱歉,原内容已删除
BuffettShan
2021-01-21
1块的时候你怎么不说话?
抱歉,原内容已删除
BuffettShan
2021-01-15
此厮死有余辜,希望它卸任之后住几十年板房
抱歉,原内容已删除
BuffettShan
2020-11-27
$先声药业(02096)$
进入多杀多阶段,不过没什么大不了的,想想蔚来汽车,跌到1块,又涨到50多
BuffettShan
2020-11-26
$先声药业(02096)$
完犊子了,抄底,结果十八层不是地狱之底
BuffettShan
2020-11-23
$先声药业(02096)$
一买就涨,你说气人不气人😂
BuffettShan
2020-10-30
技术就是扯淡,主力可以根据技术把你骗的团团转
大华继显:中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元
BuffettShan
2020-10-09
$洪恩教育(IH)$
200中5
BuffettShan
2020-09-04
那你好好做空吧,到时再火烧你们[贱笑]
特斯拉(TSLA.US)电池遭空头质疑:目标价只有19美元
BuffettShan
2020-08-12
中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了
抱歉,原内容已删除
BuffettShan
2020-07-16
投机没有好下场
让空头血本无归的特斯拉,还能入场吗?
BuffettShan
2020-07-13
$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$
35出了,现在20能不能接回来?
BuffettShan
2020-07-13
如何控制股票投资风险?控制股票投资风险需要遵循的四个原则: 1、回避风险说白了回避风险是指事前预测分析风险性产生的概率,剖析和分辨风险性造成的条逃避风险性件和要素,在经济活动中想方设法绕开它或更改个人行为的方位。在股市投资中的具体方法是:舍弃对危害性很大的个股的项目投资,继而项目投资别的资产或房产,或更改参于股票投资的作法,有求于共同基金,间接性进到销售市场这些。相对而言,逃避风险性标准是一种较为消沉和传统的操纵风险性的标准。 2、减少风险减少风险性标准就是指大家在从业经济活动的全过程中,不因风险性的存有而舍弃明确的总体目标,只是采用各种各样对策和方式想方设法减少风险性产生的几率,缓解将会承担的财产损失。在股票投资全过程中,投资人在早已掌握到项目投资于个股有风险性的前提条件下,一方面,永不放弃股票投资想法;另一方面,应用各种各样方式方法,勤奋抑止风险性产生的概率,消弱风险性产生的负面影响,进而得到较丰富的风险性长期投资。针对大部分投资人而言,它是一种奋发进取性的、积极主动的风险管控标准。 3、留置风险它是指在风险性早已产生或早已了解风险性没法防止和迁移的状况下,认清现实共承担风险,从整体利益和整体权益考虑,将风险性承担出来,并想方设法把风险性损害降低到最少水平。在股票投资中,投资人在自身有意义的事的范畴内,明确承担风险性的度,在股票价格下挫,自身早已亏本的状况下,坚决"斩仓强行平仓"、"停损",自身调节。 4、共担风险在股票投资中,投资人凭借各种各样方式的项目投资人群合伙人参加股票投资,以相互分摊经营风险。它是一种较为传统的风险管控标准。它使投资人承担风险性的工作压力变弱了,但得到高回报的机遇也少了,遵照这类标准的投资人一般只有获得均值盈利。
BuffettShan
2020-07-10
$趣活(QH)$
第一次熔断后挂20卖了,知足常乐
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3547610539049078","uuid":"3547610539049078","gmtCreate":1584516516541,"gmtModify":1610688146832,"name":"BuffettShan","pinyin":"buffettshan","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"芝麻开花","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":14,"tweetSize":34,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":3,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-3","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"偶像虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.04.27","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-1","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"精英交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到30次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":"60.09%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":4,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"江苏","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":146398733,"gmtCreate":1626052643122,"gmtModify":1626052643122,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"80公里连领空都没出","listText":"80公里连领空都没出","text":"80公里连领空都没出","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146398733","repostId":"2150588432","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2150588432","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626049140,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2150588432?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-12 08:19","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"创造历史!71岁亿万富翁成功上太空,比贝索斯提前9天;淘宝、支付宝等阿里系APP取消开屏广告;马斯克涉嫌内幕交易被起诉丨邦早报","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2150588432","media":"创业邦","summary":"据外媒报道,特斯拉CEO马斯克将于周一出庭受审,如果一旦败诉,其赔偿金额将超过20亿美元,约合人民币130亿元。截至公告披露日,因封号,有棵树已知的在亚马逊平台涉嫌冻结的资金约为1.3亿元。亚马逊相关负责人表示,平台的态度已在公开声明中表明。据亚马逊公开声明,此次大规模封号原因为卖家涉嫌伪造商品评论。沃尔沃称,将为召回范围内的车辆免费更换20A燃油泵保险丝,以消除安全隐患。","content":"<html><body><article><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210712083609255v173afis4jc4gkz\"/><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210712083609978v173od3t0fapbfl\"/><p><strong>【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE\">维珍银河</a>创始人布兰森成功完成太空飞行之旅】</strong>北京时间7月11日晚22点30分左右,71岁的英国亿万富翁企业家,维珍集团创始人理查德·布兰森首次乘坐太空旅游公司维珍银河的太空船“团结号”,率先飞往地球大气层边缘,并在美东时间12时左右成功返回地球。“团结号”太空船进行了大约90分钟的航行,太空船将六名乘客送入太空,到达了50英里(80千米)的高度,该高度被美国联邦航空管理局认证为太空边缘。布兰森成为首位登上太空的商业航天企业创始人,也是进入太空边缘的私人航天第一人。另一家太空公司“蓝色起源”计划于今年7月20日开启亚轨道太空旅游服务,其创始人贝索斯将首次搭乘自家火箭升空。(央视)</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210712083613479v173f4ffqc47ksj\"/><p><strong>【马斯克涉嫌内幕交易被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股东起诉:遭天价索赔】</strong>7月11日消息,作为全球排名第三的富豪埃隆•马斯克,被其公司股东起诉了。据外媒报道,特斯拉CEO马斯克将于周一出庭受审,如果一旦败诉,其赔偿金额将超过20亿美元,约合人民币130亿元。据悉,SolarCity公司于2008年10月成立,是美国一家专门发展家用光伏发电项目的公司。而马斯克的这场官司源于2016年特斯拉对SolarCity的收购案,当时马斯克以超高的演讲技巧说服了两家公司的股东支持合并计划。(凤凰网)</p><p><strong>【淘宝、支付宝等阿里系APP取消开屏广告:秒开】</strong>7月11日消息,根据许多网友反馈,近日,淘宝、支付宝、闲鱼、饿了么等一众阿里系APP已经取消了开屏广告,应用点击即可秒开,带来了史无前例的清爽体验,受到广大用户的一致好评。据悉,此次开屏广告消失的主要功劳是前几天工信部发布的治理公告,工信部郑重宣布将大力推进APP开屏弹窗信息骚扰用户的问题整治。工信部表示,APP用户权益保护关乎人民群众获得感、幸福感和安全感,工业和信息化部一直以来高度重视个人信息保护工作,持续开展APP专项整治。</p><p><strong>【500元一瓶!华润雪花推出高端啤酒,CEO:与茅台同桌也不违和】</strong>近日,啤酒领域的“扛把子”华润雪花推出高端系列啤酒“醴(lǐ)”,定价999元/盒(一盒2瓶),也就是说单瓶啤酒500元。这是一个什么概念?<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00291\">华润啤酒</a>CEO侯孝海表示:“醴在啤酒行业没有对标的产品,但醴与茅台同桌一点也不违和。”对此,有网友评论称:“泡沫太大了,喝不起。”“我不配买醉。”</p><p><strong>【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>中国卖家遭大规模封号】</strong>7月11日消息,7月6日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300209\">天泽信息</a>发布公告,通报旗下跨境电商子公司有棵树科技有限公司涉嫌违反亚马逊平台规则,2021年已新增被封或冻结站点数约340个。截至公告披露日,因封号,有棵树已知的在亚马逊平台涉嫌冻结的资金约为1.3亿元。4月30日至今,帕拓逊、傲基、泽宝等头部跨境电商卖家的产品相继遭亚马逊下架,上述大部分卖家2020年营收在40亿—66亿元之间。亚马逊相关负责人表示,平台的态度已在公开声明中表明。据亚马逊公开声明,此次大规模封号原因为卖家涉嫌伪造商品评论。(时代周报)</p><p><strong>【LG暂停与<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>谈判,将不会在实体店出售iPhone】</strong>一份最新的报告显示,LG暂停了与苹果公司关于在韩国地区LG实体店出售iPhone的计划。LG于今年6月份宣布正式退出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>手机业务,随后便考虑与苹果公司进行谈判,然而这遭遇了强烈的反对。(财联社)</p><p><strong>【沃尔沃召回131591辆部分进口及国产车】</strong>近日,沃尔沃汽车关联公司向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划,决定召回部分进口及国产沃尔沃汽车,总计131591辆。沃尔沃表示,这次召回的部分车辆由于设计原因,可能会存在低压燃油泵的保险丝发生熔断的风险,导致发动机无法启动,存在安全隐患。其中T8 E驱混动版车辆只要电池电量允许,可以依靠电机驱动安全停车或继续行驶。沃尔沃称,将为召回范围内的车辆免费更换20A燃油泵保险丝,以消除安全隐患。(<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SINA\">新浪</a>)</p><p><strong>【祝融号火星车行驶超400米】</strong>据国家航天局消息,截至7月11日20时,“祝融号”火星车已累计行驶410.025米,工况正常。同时,正在为“祝融号”火星车提供中继通信服务的天问一号环绕器在轨运行353天, 地火距离3.707亿千米,工况正常。(央视)</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210712083615033v173u2gbo5u77x1\"/><p><strong>【2021年电子和半导体<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V03.SI\">创业公司</a>榜单Silicon 100发布,20家中国企业上榜】</strong>在2021年最新第21版中,入选Silicon 100的中国公司增加到了20家,其中有9家是首次出现在Silicon 100中的新面孔。Silicon 100的策划者Peter Clarke指出,在今年的名单中,“明显的感受是中国的持续崛起,出现了更多来自中国的初创公司。” “另一个趋势是多轮融资提供的资金显著增加。与中国的崛起相比,来自欧洲和北美的初创公司数量略有减少。”(财联社)</p><p><strong>【扬子江药业董事长徐镜人逝世,享年77岁】</strong>据新京报,7月11日,扬子江药业集团有限公司董事长徐镜人因身体原因,不幸去世,享年77岁。记者致电扬子江药业集团相关人士,确认该消息属实。徐镜人,1944年出生,1971年一手创立扬子江药业集团。扬子江药业集团是科技部命名的全国首批创新型企业,2014年-2019年,连续6年位居<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600056\">中国医药</a>工业企业百强榜第1名,目前有员工16000余人。</p><p><strong>【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00305\">五菱汽车</a>:宏光MINIEV上市一年销量超31万辆】</strong>7月11日消息,据报道,2021 年上半年,上汽通用五菱实现零售 884,195 辆,同比增长39.5%,连续 15 个月实现销量同比正增长。五菱汽车表示,全球小型纯电动车平台 GSEV-Global Small Electric Vehicle 系列产品上半年销量达 189,644 辆。其中爆款车型宏光 MINIEV 上市一年热销 310,418 辆,连续 10 个月位居中<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600617\">国新能源</a>市场销量冠军。(IT之家)</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210712083615651v173528e2nf7bh7\"/><p><strong>【广汽华为合作SUV2023年量产】</strong>日前,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601238\">广汽集团</a>发布公告称,经董事会审议通过,同意全资子公司广汽埃安新能源汽车有限公司与华为(AH8车型)项目的实施。项目为双方联合开发的首款中大型智能纯电SUV车型,项目总投资7.88亿元,计划于2023年底量产。华为在智能汽车的行业整体战略是:华为不造车,但将推动汽车行业与ICT行业的融合。华为与3家车企合作打造3个汽车子品牌,今年四季度开始,子品牌汽车将陆续推向市场。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210712083621315v1733p7612ly95l\"/><p><strong>【<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>总裁秦力洪:不能用亏损的概念来看NIO Power,这是投入“孩子教育”】</strong>在日前举办的蔚来PowerDay上,蔚来总裁秦力洪谈及能源业务投资时表示,不能用亏损的概念来思考NIO Power,这是“培养孩子的教育投入”。秦力洪表示,蔚来追求的是超前投入,用户因更好的体验才买车,而非买车后的补充型体验提升,“我们在补能体系上已经投入了几十个亿,未来还会持续投入。这是正确的战略选择,越多人认为我们亏损严重,我们的相对竞争机会、战略竞争窗口期就越长。”其同时表示,NIO Power是蔚来内部的一级部门,以成本价提供各种服务,“如果向第三方公司采购,不仅不自由、更贵,还达不到我们想要的服务标准。”</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20210712083621923v173bll63kheuzv\"/><p><strong>【政府对虚拟货币打出更严监管“组合拳”】</strong>近日,北京市地方金融监督管理局和中国人民银行营业管理部联合发布关于防范虚拟货币交易活动的风险提示,郑重警告辖内相关机构,不得为虚拟货币相关业务活动提供经营场所、商业展示、营销宣传、付费导流等。辖内金融机构、支付机构不得直接或间接为客户提供虚拟货币相关服务。受此消息影响,7月6日下午,比特币价格急转直下,从3.5万美元瞬间暴跌1000美元,几小时内逾23亿元资金爆仓。截至7月8日下午,比特币价格仍徘徊在3.3万美元的低点。(经济日报)</p><p><strong>【东京奥运会预计损失超50亿元门票收入,奥组委将面临收支失衡】</strong>7月11日消息,东京奥组委首席执行官武藤敏郎表示,由于东京都等五个地区的奥运赛事将空场举行,门票收入将从预计的900亿日元(约合人民币53亿元)降至数十亿日元,奥组委将面临收支失衡的局面。(海外网)</p><p>本文为创业邦原创,未经授权不得转载,否则创业邦将保留向其追究法律责任的权利。如需转载或有任何疑问,请联系editor@cyzone.cn。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>创造历史!71岁亿万富翁成功上太空,比贝索斯提前9天;淘宝、支付宝等阿里系APP取消开屏广告;马斯克涉嫌内幕交易被起诉丨邦早报</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n创造历史!71岁亿万富翁成功上太空,比贝索斯提前9天;淘宝、支付宝等阿里系APP取消开屏广告;马斯克涉嫌内幕交易被起诉丨邦早报\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-12 08:19 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021071208362679d16534&s=b><strong>创业邦</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>【维珍银河创始人布兰森成功完成太空飞行之旅】北京时间7月11日晚22点30分左右,71岁的英国亿万富翁企业家,维珍集团创始人理查德·布兰森首次乘坐太空旅游公司维珍银河的太空船“团结号”,率先飞往地球大气层边缘,并在美东时间12时左右成功返回地球。“团结号”太空船进行了大约90分钟的航行,太空船将六名乘客送入太空,到达了50英里(80千米)的高度,该高度被美国联邦航空管理局认证为太空边缘。布兰森成为...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021071208362679d16534&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0534f6e8c1b685c0020f93652485a89b","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","09988":"阿里巴巴-W","TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2021071208362679d16534&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2150588432","content_text":"【维珍银河创始人布兰森成功完成太空飞行之旅】北京时间7月11日晚22点30分左右,71岁的英国亿万富翁企业家,维珍集团创始人理查德·布兰森首次乘坐太空旅游公司维珍银河的太空船“团结号”,率先飞往地球大气层边缘,并在美东时间12时左右成功返回地球。“团结号”太空船进行了大约90分钟的航行,太空船将六名乘客送入太空,到达了50英里(80千米)的高度,该高度被美国联邦航空管理局认证为太空边缘。布兰森成为首位登上太空的商业航天企业创始人,也是进入太空边缘的私人航天第一人。另一家太空公司“蓝色起源”计划于今年7月20日开启亚轨道太空旅游服务,其创始人贝索斯将首次搭乘自家火箭升空。(央视)【马斯克涉嫌内幕交易被特斯拉股东起诉:遭天价索赔】7月11日消息,作为全球排名第三的富豪埃隆•马斯克,被其公司股东起诉了。据外媒报道,特斯拉CEO马斯克将于周一出庭受审,如果一旦败诉,其赔偿金额将超过20亿美元,约合人民币130亿元。据悉,SolarCity公司于2008年10月成立,是美国一家专门发展家用光伏发电项目的公司。而马斯克的这场官司源于2016年特斯拉对SolarCity的收购案,当时马斯克以超高的演讲技巧说服了两家公司的股东支持合并计划。(凤凰网)【淘宝、支付宝等阿里系APP取消开屏广告:秒开】7月11日消息,根据许多网友反馈,近日,淘宝、支付宝、闲鱼、饿了么等一众阿里系APP已经取消了开屏广告,应用点击即可秒开,带来了史无前例的清爽体验,受到广大用户的一致好评。据悉,此次开屏广告消失的主要功劳是前几天工信部发布的治理公告,工信部郑重宣布将大力推进APP开屏弹窗信息骚扰用户的问题整治。工信部表示,APP用户权益保护关乎人民群众获得感、幸福感和安全感,工业和信息化部一直以来高度重视个人信息保护工作,持续开展APP专项整治。【500元一瓶!华润雪花推出高端啤酒,CEO:与茅台同桌也不违和】近日,啤酒领域的“扛把子”华润雪花推出高端系列啤酒“醴(lǐ)”,定价999元/盒(一盒2瓶),也就是说单瓶啤酒500元。这是一个什么概念?华润啤酒CEO侯孝海表示:“醴在啤酒行业没有对标的产品,但醴与茅台同桌一点也不违和。”对此,有网友评论称:“泡沫太大了,喝不起。”“我不配买醉。”【亚马逊中国卖家遭大规模封号】7月11日消息,7月6日,天泽信息发布公告,通报旗下跨境电商子公司有棵树科技有限公司涉嫌违反亚马逊平台规则,2021年已新增被封或冻结站点数约340个。截至公告披露日,因封号,有棵树已知的在亚马逊平台涉嫌冻结的资金约为1.3亿元。4月30日至今,帕拓逊、傲基、泽宝等头部跨境电商卖家的产品相继遭亚马逊下架,上述大部分卖家2020年营收在40亿—66亿元之间。亚马逊相关负责人表示,平台的态度已在公开声明中表明。据亚马逊公开声明,此次大规模封号原因为卖家涉嫌伪造商品评论。(时代周报)【LG暂停与苹果谈判,将不会在实体店出售iPhone】一份最新的报告显示,LG暂停了与苹果公司关于在韩国地区LG实体店出售iPhone的计划。LG于今年6月份宣布正式退出智能手机业务,随后便考虑与苹果公司进行谈判,然而这遭遇了强烈的反对。(财联社)【沃尔沃召回131591辆部分进口及国产车】近日,沃尔沃汽车关联公司向国家市场监督管理总局备案了召回计划,决定召回部分进口及国产沃尔沃汽车,总计131591辆。沃尔沃表示,这次召回的部分车辆由于设计原因,可能会存在低压燃油泵的保险丝发生熔断的风险,导致发动机无法启动,存在安全隐患。其中T8 E驱混动版车辆只要电池电量允许,可以依靠电机驱动安全停车或继续行驶。沃尔沃称,将为召回范围内的车辆免费更换20A燃油泵保险丝,以消除安全隐患。(新浪)【祝融号火星车行驶超400米】据国家航天局消息,截至7月11日20时,“祝融号”火星车已累计行驶410.025米,工况正常。同时,正在为“祝融号”火星车提供中继通信服务的天问一号环绕器在轨运行353天, 地火距离3.707亿千米,工况正常。(央视)【2021年电子和半导体创业公司榜单Silicon 100发布,20家中国企业上榜】在2021年最新第21版中,入选Silicon 100的中国公司增加到了20家,其中有9家是首次出现在Silicon 100中的新面孔。Silicon 100的策划者Peter Clarke指出,在今年的名单中,“明显的感受是中国的持续崛起,出现了更多来自中国的初创公司。” “另一个趋势是多轮融资提供的资金显著增加。与中国的崛起相比,来自欧洲和北美的初创公司数量略有减少。”(财联社)【扬子江药业董事长徐镜人逝世,享年77岁】据新京报,7月11日,扬子江药业集团有限公司董事长徐镜人因身体原因,不幸去世,享年77岁。记者致电扬子江药业集团相关人士,确认该消息属实。徐镜人,1944年出生,1971年一手创立扬子江药业集团。扬子江药业集团是科技部命名的全国首批创新型企业,2014年-2019年,连续6年位居中国医药工业企业百强榜第1名,目前有员工16000余人。【五菱汽车:宏光MINIEV上市一年销量超31万辆】7月11日消息,据报道,2021 年上半年,上汽通用五菱实现零售 884,195 辆,同比增长39.5%,连续 15 个月实现销量同比正增长。五菱汽车表示,全球小型纯电动车平台 GSEV-Global Small Electric Vehicle 系列产品上半年销量达 189,644 辆。其中爆款车型宏光 MINIEV 上市一年热销 310,418 辆,连续 10 个月位居中国新能源市场销量冠军。(IT之家)【广汽华为合作SUV2023年量产】日前,广汽集团发布公告称,经董事会审议通过,同意全资子公司广汽埃安新能源汽车有限公司与华为(AH8车型)项目的实施。项目为双方联合开发的首款中大型智能纯电SUV车型,项目总投资7.88亿元,计划于2023年底量产。华为在智能汽车的行业整体战略是:华为不造车,但将推动汽车行业与ICT行业的融合。华为与3家车企合作打造3个汽车子品牌,今年四季度开始,子品牌汽车将陆续推向市场。【蔚来总裁秦力洪:不能用亏损的概念来看NIO Power,这是投入“孩子教育”】在日前举办的蔚来PowerDay上,蔚来总裁秦力洪谈及能源业务投资时表示,不能用亏损的概念来思考NIO Power,这是“培养孩子的教育投入”。秦力洪表示,蔚来追求的是超前投入,用户因更好的体验才买车,而非买车后的补充型体验提升,“我们在补能体系上已经投入了几十个亿,未来还会持续投入。这是正确的战略选择,越多人认为我们亏损严重,我们的相对竞争机会、战略竞争窗口期就越长。”其同时表示,NIO Power是蔚来内部的一级部门,以成本价提供各种服务,“如果向第三方公司采购,不仅不自由、更贵,还达不到我们想要的服务标准。”【政府对虚拟货币打出更严监管“组合拳”】近日,北京市地方金融监督管理局和中国人民银行营业管理部联合发布关于防范虚拟货币交易活动的风险提示,郑重警告辖内相关机构,不得为虚拟货币相关业务活动提供经营场所、商业展示、营销宣传、付费导流等。辖内金融机构、支付机构不得直接或间接为客户提供虚拟货币相关服务。受此消息影响,7月6日下午,比特币价格急转直下,从3.5万美元瞬间暴跌1000美元,几小时内逾23亿元资金爆仓。截至7月8日下午,比特币价格仍徘徊在3.3万美元的低点。(经济日报)【东京奥运会预计损失超50亿元门票收入,奥组委将面临收支失衡】7月11日消息,东京奥组委首席执行官武藤敏郎表示,由于东京都等五个地区的奥运赛事将空场举行,门票收入将从预计的900亿日元(约合人民币53亿元)降至数十亿日元,奥组委将面临收支失衡的局面。(海外网)本文为创业邦原创,未经授权不得转载,否则创业邦将保留向其追究法律责任的权利。如需转载或有任何疑问,请联系editor@cyzone.cn。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1387,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":114304446,"gmtCreate":1623047491585,"gmtModify":1623047491585,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09901\">$新东方-S(09901)$</a>可以介入了吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09901\">$新东方-S(09901)$</a>可以介入了吗","text":"$新东方-S(09901)$可以介入了吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/114304446","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":342151816,"gmtCreate":1618192562535,"gmtModify":1618192562535,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>[龇牙] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>[龇牙] ","text":"$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342151816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":342151162,"gmtCreate":1618192535156,"gmtModify":1618192870818,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>以为会暴跌,结果涨了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\">$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$</a>以为会暴跌,结果涨了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭] ","text":"$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$以为会暴跌,结果涨了[笑哭] [笑哭] [笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/342151162","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2050,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":354170115,"gmtCreate":1617154409737,"gmtModify":1617154409737,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/354170115","repostId":"1125167322","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1125167322","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616996555,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1125167322?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-29 13:42","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"教培整顿风暴山雨欲来","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1125167322","media":"北京商报","summary":"中国的教育公平,一边在校内努力修正,一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴,正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来,几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实,却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害","content":"<div>\n<p>中国的教育公平,一边在校内努力修正,一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴,正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来,几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实,却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害在于,校外工作上聚焦“三限”,即限培训机构数量、限时间、限价格。甚至在一段网络录音中,有执法人员称6岁以下儿童禁止进行学科培训。\n先声夺人。这些未被官方证实的传言,联想到一段时间来围绕教培与学区房监管...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"BJSB","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>教培整顿风暴山雨欲来</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n教培整顿风暴山雨欲来\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-29 13:42 北京时间 <a href=http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA><strong>北京商报</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>中国的教育公平,一边在校内努力修正,一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴,正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来,几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实,却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害在于,校外工作上聚焦“三限”,即限培训机构数量、限时间、限价格。甚至在一段网络录音中,有执法人员称6岁以下儿童禁止进行学科培训。\n先声夺人。这些未被官方证实的传言,联想到一段时间来围绕教培与学区房监管...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70a6f78103f56f244e3677b9f33b75e","relate_stocks":{"TAL":"好未来","EDU":"新东方","09901":"新东方-S"},"source_url":"http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/An6i-xvWHr8B01RhH89hKA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1125167322","content_text":"中国的教育公平,一边在校内努力修正,一边在校外加速扭曲。\n\n被称为史上最严的教培行业整顿风暴,正在经历“山雨欲来”的动荡时刻。\n连日来,几份网传文件虽未得到官方证实,却在民间社交平台广为流传。文件要害在于,校外工作上聚焦“三限”,即限培训机构数量、限时间、限价格。甚至在一段网络录音中,有执法人员称6岁以下儿童禁止进行学科培训。\n先声夺人。这些未被官方证实的传言,联想到一段时间来围绕教培与学区房监管的招招数数,进一步催化了市场上的焦虑情绪,整个教培行业风声鹤唳。北京时间3月27日美股盘后,三大补习培训巨头好未来、新东方、跟谁学市值蒸发数百亿。\n校内减负,校外补。长期以来,以校园为分界线,中国的教育公平,一边在校内努力修正,一边在校外加速扭曲。不安的机构、迷茫的家长、背后的学校,被一同卷入其中,各为中心又互为中心,成为多个风暴眼,随之引发了关于中国教育议题的全民大讨论。\n减负的大背景下,能够跑赢对手的超纲教育,没有悬念地被寄望于教培机构。而大量以盈利为目的,完全市场化的教培机构也踊跃担起重任,加大投入,聘请优质师资,蜂拥而至。它们一边成全课业以外,家长们愿意额外买单的超纲教育,一边努力填补“学前”空白,让没上学的孩子可以学到更多。\n由此而来的,校外教育也被贴上精英化、内卷化、拉美化等标签。几年前,就有专家撰文警示,中国公立教育陷入“拉美”陷阱。越是教育资源集中之地,越是教培机构的兵家必争之地,大量中高收入家长逃离公共教育体系,在校外以更高的价格购买更高水准的教育服务,公立教育机构面临沦为“低质化”的考问。\n教培市场玩出了花样,也玩出了火。市场变大,门槛走低,“预付款”“退费难”“卷钱跑路”层出不穷。最严监管在情理之中,意在抑制教育领域的投资过热和走火入魔,防范系统性风险,守住城市中不同群体间教育公平的底线。\n划定红线,其实是教育领域的“去杠杆”和“再平衡”。对于现金流良好的教育巨头来说,可以坚持活下来并随时准备扩大规模,而对于现金流有点问题的巨头及中小机构来说,加速出清可能是为数不多的出路。\n如今,教培机构所经历的起伏变迁,无不清晰地透露出全社会无处安放的教育焦虑。伴随着低生育和子女数量减少,让父母们经不起一点无论是健康还是失败方面的风险。\n这些年,我们努力倡导,尊重个体,尊重个体差异的教育,希望教育是一场超越自我的修行。但留给类似期许的空间,依旧相对逼仄,相对狭小。家长们最大的努力方向,仍是现实而 “保险”的,即通过获得更好的教育,赢在起跑线上,赢过别人。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324229692,"gmtCreate":1615996233916,"gmtModify":1703496202128,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"拼多多以前挺好,现在喜欢玩套路,而且越陷越深","listText":"拼多多以前挺好,现在喜欢玩套路,而且越陷越深","text":"拼多多以前挺好,现在喜欢玩套路,而且越陷越深","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324229692","repostId":"2120180869","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2120180869","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615994460,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2120180869?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-17 23:21","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"拼多多暴跌背后:GMV不及预期、毛利率断崖,黄峥辞职","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2120180869","media":"砍柴网","summary":"拼多多财报发布后,盘前股价开始下跌,开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长,但投资者没有买账的原因在于,首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿,同比增长了57%,不仅是历史最低,也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元,增速同样在下降,由此可见,拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。","content":"<html><body><article><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>财报发布后,盘前股价开始下跌,开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长,但投资者没有买账的原因在于,首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿,同比增长了57%,不仅是历史最低,也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元,增速同样在下降,由此可见,拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。在4季度传统的电商旺季,加上拼多多之前大力投入了社区团购这样高频次购买的业务,现在数据显然让市场失望了。</p><p>更令投资者忧虑的是,社区团购不仅拉低了拼多多的平均客单价,并且新增的购买用户也没有带来整个平台更强的购买频次。如果抛开社区团购这个高频的购买,去计算整体平台的粘性,也没有拼多多日活显示的那么高,(并且这部分日活还要计入拼多多砍一刀,和游戏带来的点击量)用户上个季度仍然在淘宝或者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>上买东西的时间更多。</p><p>还有一个拼多多长期无法解决的问题,就是用户质量持续低下——拼多多的ARPU长期徘徊在2000RMB左右,虽然用了百亿补贴的品牌战略想要提升,但显然没有收到更好的效果,本次财报电话会拼多多也提到了自己的自营项目,在我们看来,这是拼多多为了提升用户质量的一个举措,但这个行为无疑是一个重<span>资产</span>的投入,拼多多由自己擅长的轻资产,要投入京东那样的重资产了吗?这个行为看起来让很多投资者难以理解,更像是拼多多在自乱阵脚。</p><p>在财报后的电话会上,拼多多又强调未来将进一步对物流和仓储进行投入,加上自营模式,会更加拉低拼多多的毛利率,这已经在本次财报中体现出来,毛利率出现了断崖式的下跌,背后又是营业成本的大幅增加了466%,按照拼多多在投资者电话会上的说法,未来仍然将加大投入,那么最致命的问题出现了。当拼多多的用户量和淘宝持平时,也就同时到达了增长的天花板,未来投资者必然要更加注重拼多多的盈利能力,而本次财报拼多多的利润表现不佳,毛利率又显示出下降的趋势,那么未来拼多多的故事将如何讲述下去?</p><p>最后一点,创始人黄峥的辞职,他手中的超级投票权也将失效,这对一间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/V03.SI\">创业公司</a>来说,创始人的掌控力被削弱,甚至远离核心管理层,未来拼多多的战略执行力很大程度上将大打折扣,今天投资者已经用实际行动,给出了他们的态度。</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>拼多多暴跌背后:GMV不及预期、毛利率断崖,黄峥辞职</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n拼多多暴跌背后:GMV不及预期、毛利率断崖,黄峥辞职\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-03-17 23:21 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103172322117d3aedbc&s=b><strong>砍柴网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>拼多多财报发布后,盘前股价开始下跌,开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长,但投资者没有买账的原因在于,首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿,同比增长了57%,不仅是历史最低,也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元,增速同样在下降,由此可见,拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。在4季度传统的电商旺季,加上拼多多之前大力投入了社区团购这样高频次...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103172322117d3aedbc&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ad0916074d4fd8a0d19716314c632dc","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN202103172322117d3aedbc&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2120180869","content_text":"拼多多财报发布后,盘前股价开始下跌,开盘后更是一度大跌10%。虽然拼多多重点强调本次用户数的增长,但投资者没有买账的原因在于,首先GMV不及预期。本季度GMV增长约为5800亿,同比增长了57%,不仅是历史最低,也低于市场预期。本季度拼多多的人均客单价为2115.2元,增速同样在下降,由此可见,拼多多用户的购买频率并没有得到提升。在4季度传统的电商旺季,加上拼多多之前大力投入了社区团购这样高频次购买的业务,现在数据显然让市场失望了。更令投资者忧虑的是,社区团购不仅拉低了拼多多的平均客单价,并且新增的购买用户也没有带来整个平台更强的购买频次。如果抛开社区团购这个高频的购买,去计算整体平台的粘性,也没有拼多多日活显示的那么高,(并且这部分日活还要计入拼多多砍一刀,和游戏带来的点击量)用户上个季度仍然在淘宝或者京东上买东西的时间更多。还有一个拼多多长期无法解决的问题,就是用户质量持续低下——拼多多的ARPU长期徘徊在2000RMB左右,虽然用了百亿补贴的品牌战略想要提升,但显然没有收到更好的效果,本次财报电话会拼多多也提到了自己的自营项目,在我们看来,这是拼多多为了提升用户质量的一个举措,但这个行为无疑是一个重资产的投入,拼多多由自己擅长的轻资产,要投入京东那样的重资产了吗?这个行为看起来让很多投资者难以理解,更像是拼多多在自乱阵脚。在财报后的电话会上,拼多多又强调未来将进一步对物流和仓储进行投入,加上自营模式,会更加拉低拼多多的毛利率,这已经在本次财报中体现出来,毛利率出现了断崖式的下跌,背后又是营业成本的大幅增加了466%,按照拼多多在投资者电话会上的说法,未来仍然将加大投入,那么最致命的问题出现了。当拼多多的用户量和淘宝持平时,也就同时到达了增长的天花板,未来投资者必然要更加注重拼多多的盈利能力,而本次财报拼多多的利润表现不佳,毛利率又显示出下降的趋势,那么未来拼多多的故事将如何讲述下去?最后一点,创始人黄峥的辞职,他手中的超级投票权也将失效,这对一间创业公司来说,创始人的掌控力被削弱,甚至远离核心管理层,未来拼多多的战略执行力很大程度上将大打折扣,今天投资者已经用实际行动,给出了他们的态度。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318317295,"gmtCreate":1611844210117,"gmtModify":1703754822171,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"美国散户?散户难道能组织起来?不相信","listText":"美国散户?散户难道能组织起来?不相信","text":"美国散户?散户难道能组织起来?不相信","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318317295","repostId":"1103935924","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337751774,"gmtCreate":1611215144798,"gmtModify":1703748837753,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1块的时候你怎么不说话?","listText":"1块的时候你怎么不说话?","text":"1块的时候你怎么不说话?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337751774","repostId":"1152343939","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":334080324,"gmtCreate":1610672560068,"gmtModify":1703746104472,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"此厮死有余辜,希望它卸任之后住几十年板房","listText":"此厮死有余辜,希望它卸任之后住几十年板房","text":"此厮死有余辜,希望它卸任之后住几十年板房","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/334080324","repostId":"1120129269","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2191,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391066928,"gmtCreate":1606442532364,"gmtModify":1703843078339,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>进入多杀多阶段,不过没什么大不了的,想想蔚来汽车,跌到1块,又涨到50多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>进入多杀多阶段,不过没什么大不了的,想想蔚来汽车,跌到1块,又涨到50多","text":"$先声药业(02096)$进入多杀多阶段,不过没什么大不了的,想想蔚来汽车,跌到1块,又涨到50多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391066928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505905615188986","authorId":"3505905615188986","name":"小蜗牛飞啊飞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9aa36195eef9d6d4c58da250165e53b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3505905615188986","authorIdStr":"3505905615188986"},"content":"这个股票没这个底子","text":"这个股票没这个底子","html":"这个股票没这个底子"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393718156,"gmtCreate":1606380324875,"gmtModify":1703842911319,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>完犊子了,抄底,结果十八层不是地狱之底","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>完犊子了,抄底,结果十八层不是地狱之底","text":"$先声药业(02096)$完犊子了,抄底,结果十八层不是地狱之底","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393718156","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":399879284,"gmtCreate":1606110559348,"gmtModify":1703840887182,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>一买就涨,你说气人不气人😂","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>一买就涨,你说气人不气人😂","text":"$先声药业(02096)$一买就涨,你说气人不气人😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/399879284","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":308560395,"gmtCreate":1604021514217,"gmtModify":1703831695304,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"技术就是扯淡,主力可以根据技术把你骗的团团转","listText":"技术就是扯淡,主力可以根据技术把你骗的团团转","text":"技术就是扯淡,主力可以根据技术把你骗的团团转","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/308560395","repostId":"2079694835","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2079694835","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1603942020,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2079694835?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-10-29 11:27","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大华继显:中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2079694835","media":"财华社","summary":"大华继显发布报告,中芯国际(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45港元,而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平均线正发挥支持作用。日线图RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上,并正走高。MACD正在0水平...","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p>\r\n 原标题:大华继显:<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMI\">中芯国际</a>(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\r\n </p>\n<p><img border=\"0\" height=\"276\" src=\"https://webquoteklinepic.eastmoney.com/GetPic.aspx?nid=116.00981&imageType=k&token=28dfeb41d35cc81d84b4664d7c23c49f&at=1\" width=\"578\"/></p><p> 大华继显发布<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/报告\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">报告</span>,<span><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/688981\">中芯国际</a></span>(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/港元\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">港元</span>,而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/均线\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">均线</span>正发挥支持作用。日<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/线图\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">线图</span>RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上,并正走高。MACD正在0水平以下转向上。</p><div></div><p> <span href=\"http://quote.eastmoney.com/unify/r/116.00981\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a></span>买入区间为21.85港元至22港元,只要守住16.74港元,可望进一步上升至24.10港元及26.40港元。倘下破16.74港元,则表示上穿为假突破,故<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/投资\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">投资</span>者应<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/平仓\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">平仓</span>以控制<span href=\"http://baike.eastmoney.com/item/风险\" target=\"_blank\" web=\"1\">风险</span>。预期平均时限:约2周。</p><p>(文章来源:财华社)</p>\n<p>\r\n (责任编辑:DF537)\r\n </p>\n</div></body></html>","source":"stock_eastmoney","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大华继显:中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大华继显:中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-10-29 11:27 北京时间 <a href=http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202010291681256481.html><strong>财华社</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>原标题:大华继显:中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\r\n \n 大华继显发布报告,中芯国际(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45港元,而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平均线正发挥支持作用。日线图RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上,并正走高。MACD正在0水平以下转向上。 中芯国际买入区间为21.85港元至22港元,只要守住16.74港元,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202010291681256481.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd680cd945fd32917c8ece66ec685e5f","relate_stocks":{"688981":"中芯国际","SMI":"VanEck HIP Sustainable Muni ETF","00981":"中芯国际"},"source_url":"http://finance.eastmoney.com/a/202010291681256481.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2079694835","content_text":"原标题:大华继显:中芯国际(00981-HK)买入区间为21.85港元至22港元\r\n \n 大华继显发布报告,中芯国际(00981-HK)股价刚上穿主要阻力位21.45港元,而正在上升的10天(橙色)移动平均线正发挥支持作用。日线图RSI稳企于50%的中性水平上,并正走高。MACD正在0水平以下转向上。 中芯国际买入区间为21.85港元至22港元,只要守住16.74港元,可望进一步上升至24.10港元及26.40港元。倘下破16.74港元,则表示上穿为假突破,故投资者应平仓以控制风险。预期平均时限:约2周。(文章来源:财华社)\n\r\n (责任编辑:DF537)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1477,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":300246190,"gmtCreate":1602249752410,"gmtModify":1703826230642,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>200中5","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>200中5","text":"$洪恩教育(IH)$200中5","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/300246190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547760058269543","authorId":"3547760058269543","name":"一路向上冲","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a55c27ae3963a6d98e8a31041909b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3547760058269543","authorIdStr":"3547760058269543"},"content":"今天早了?","text":"今天早了?","html":"今天早了?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":978876082,"gmtCreate":1599200232646,"gmtModify":1704221979531,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"那你好好做空吧,到时再火烧你们[贱笑] ","listText":"那你好好做空吧,到时再火烧你们[贱笑] ","text":"那你好好做空吧,到时再火烧你们[贱笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/978876082","repostId":"2064264351","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2064264351","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1599179157,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2064264351?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-04 08:25","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉(TSLA.US)电池遭空头质疑:目标价只有19美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2064264351","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉,9月3日,特斯拉(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。Johnson表示,对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度,他认","content":"<html><body><p>智通财经APP获悉,9月3日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。</p><p>Johnson表示,对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度,他认为该公司股价的目标价为19美元。在这场辩论中,Johnson最具争议的观点是特斯拉在电池方面没有技术优势,而且它的续航里程评级是“误导性的”。</p><p>Johnson认为,特斯拉的电池是由松下、LG化学和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300750\">宁德时代</a>生产的,任何汽车制造商都能买到。但Maurer反驳称,如果其他汽车制造商都能买到电池,那么其他汽车公司却没有能够在电动车续航里程上与特斯拉相提并论。</p><p>Johnson则继续反驳,特斯拉的优势其实并不存在,其续航里程评级是“误导性的”。当用户实际驾驶特斯拉的时候,续航里程并没有像宣传所说的标准。</p><p>据悉,外界普遍认为,特斯拉的汽车续航里程要远远超出市面上的其他竞争对手。Model S目前获得了监管部门EPA给出的最高电动汽车续航里程评估,达到402英里。Johnson透露,尽管Lucid等其他汽车厂商获得的EPA续航里程评估要好于Model S,但这些汽车尚未面市。Lucid Air最近得到的续航里程评估达到517英里,但这款车的发布日期要等到9月9日。</p><p>事实上,EPA估计的车辆续航里程受某些条件制约,与真实驾驶环境并不完全相同,但就车主每次充电可以获得的续航里程数来说,这个估计相对准确。在进行评估时,EPA会要求车辆以不同速度行驶,并开启空调等其他耗电的功能。此外车主已经证明,特斯拉确实能达到宣传的续航里程数,有时甚至能够超过。</p><p>特斯拉股价周四收跌9.02%,报407美元,美股盘后续跌6.54%。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉(TSLA.US)电池遭空头质疑:目标价只有19美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉(TSLA.US)电池遭空头质疑:目标价只有19美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-04 08:25 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/334663.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉,9月3日,特斯拉(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。Johnson表示,对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度,他认为该公司股价的目标价为19美元。在这场辩论中,Johnson最具争议的观点是特斯拉在电池方面没有技术优势,而且它的续航里程评级是“误导性的”。Johnson认为,特斯拉的电池是由松下、LG化学和...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/334663.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9749762c5ee11a52030b4c66a89c8026","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/334663.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2064264351","content_text":"智通财经APP获悉,9月3日,特斯拉(TSLA.US)空头Gordon Johnson参加了一场与《特斯拉日报》Rob Maurer的现场辩论。Johnson表示,对特斯拉及其电动汽车持怀疑态度,他认为该公司股价的目标价为19美元。在这场辩论中,Johnson最具争议的观点是特斯拉在电池方面没有技术优势,而且它的续航里程评级是“误导性的”。Johnson认为,特斯拉的电池是由松下、LG化学和宁德时代生产的,任何汽车制造商都能买到。但Maurer反驳称,如果其他汽车制造商都能买到电池,那么其他汽车公司却没有能够在电动车续航里程上与特斯拉相提并论。Johnson则继续反驳,特斯拉的优势其实并不存在,其续航里程评级是“误导性的”。当用户实际驾驶特斯拉的时候,续航里程并没有像宣传所说的标准。据悉,外界普遍认为,特斯拉的汽车续航里程要远远超出市面上的其他竞争对手。Model S目前获得了监管部门EPA给出的最高电动汽车续航里程评估,达到402英里。Johnson透露,尽管Lucid等其他汽车厂商获得的EPA续航里程评估要好于Model S,但这些汽车尚未面市。Lucid Air最近得到的续航里程评估达到517英里,但这款车的发布日期要等到9月9日。事实上,EPA估计的车辆续航里程受某些条件制约,与真实驾驶环境并不完全相同,但就车主每次充电可以获得的续航里程数来说,这个估计相对准确。在进行评估时,EPA会要求车辆以不同速度行驶,并开启空调等其他耗电的功能。此外车主已经证明,特斯拉确实能达到宣传的续航里程数,有时甚至能够超过。特斯拉股价周四收跌9.02%,报407美元,美股盘后续跌6.54%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1360,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":947361199,"gmtCreate":1597210310711,"gmtModify":1704214902916,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","listText":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","text":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/947361199","repostId":"2058054258","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941260290,"gmtCreate":1594911819210,"gmtModify":1704207437988,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"投机没有好下场","listText":"投机没有好下场","text":"投机没有好下场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941260290","repostId":"1188775292","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188775292","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1594896086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188775292?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-07-16 18:41","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"让空头血本无归的特斯拉,还能入场吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188775292","media":"Stansberry贝瑞...","summary":"说起特斯拉的股票,我总想起一句话:没有最精彩,只有更精彩!","content":"<p><b>前言:风口浪尖的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>,买不买?你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。</b></p><p>说起特斯拉的股票,我总想起一句话:没有最精彩,只有更精彩!最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话,当然,还有下半句:好戏在后头。</p><p>这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂,我就不赘述了,咱们边看数据边说:</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a11d3de44394343506606e802a78bf1b\" tg-width=\"860\" tg-height=\"158\"></p><p>(数据来源:marketchameleon)</p><p>截止到美国时间7月13日,特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%,13号单日振幅超过20%,换手率高达26%,成交量是90天日均成交量的2.49倍,20天历史波动率达到80.2。就这行情,看盘的时候都得带着速效救心丸。</p><p>特斯拉近日的三高(高价,高换手率和高成交量)意味着什么,肯定不止一种解读。但是有一点很肯定:多空分歧进一步加剧。其实“进一步加剧”这几个字有点轻描淡写了,完全不足以描述这里面的血雨腥风。空头这几个月被打得血流成河,几百亿的资金灰飞烟灭,但仍有大量的空头前仆后继。而多头更是把特斯拉当成一种信仰。</p><p>信仰是什么?信仰就是:我相信,我看见。</p><p>一边是信仰,一边是复仇大联盟,那些不那么坚决的投资者接下来该怎么操作呢?</p><p>我这里想和大家探讨一下straddle(跨式期权)和strangle(鞍式期权)的运用。其实straddle and strangle本身都是高风险的策略,血本无归的情况经常发生。</p><p><b>但是,为什么我会在现在提出来这种策略呢?原因有三:</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ee457253ed26294845a55e036a45e4f\" tg-width=\"775\" tg-height=\"275\"></p><p><b>为股价波动性而生的straddle期权</b></p><p>做美股交易的朋友对期权应该都不太陌生。基本的期权分为两种:call option (看涨期权)和put option (看跌期权)。这两种期权分别有两种交易方向,买和卖。</p><p>买入看涨期权是指投资者支付期权对价,获得以执行价格在合约期内买入一定数量股票的权利。</p><p>举个例子说,股票A的当前价格是99块钱,如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看涨期权,到期日是两周以后。那么,在期权合同结束之前的任一天,不论当天股价涨到了110还是220,你都可以选择以100元的价格买入股票A。也就是说,如果股价超过107元,你就盈利了。如果股价低于100元,不论是90还是50,你的损失都是7元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25d33b4d4ebd288286f1c7bbd71e0c30\" tg-width=\"393\" tg-height=\"214\"></p><p>同理,买入看跌期权,就是预期股票会跌,股票下跌时投资者获利。买入看跌期权是指投资者支付期权对价,获得以执行价格在合约期内卖出一定数量股票的权利。</p><p>以上面的例子说,股票A的当前价格是99块钱,如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看跌期权,到期日是两周以后。那么,在期权合同结束之前的任一天,不论当天股价跌到了90还是60,你都可以选择以100元的价格卖出股票A。也就是说,如果股价低于93元,你就盈利了。如果股价高于100元,不论是110还是220,你的损失都是7元。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f2f5c930d1880a5bde7dcb8d99fa7cb\" tg-width=\"533\" tg-height=\"293\"></p><p>看涨期权和看跌期权是投资者对股价有一定的上涨或下跌的方向判断时做的投资策略。可是,如果,我们对上涨还是下跌心里没谱怎么办?特斯拉这一年内的历史波动率是74.5,股价一路上蹿下跳,仅7月13日一个交易日就从涨16%直线下落到跌3%,涨跌幅度就有323.88美元。</p><p><b>因此,当我们不确定股价的方向,但是确定他的波动性时,我们可以考虑在预测其波动性上投资一笔,也就是我们期权交易中的straddle策略。</b>买入straddle就是投资者同时买入相同执行价、相同到期日的看涨期权和看跌期权的交易策略。接下来,让我们来看看基于当下的特斯拉走势,如何构建一个straddle模型。</p><p><b>如何为TSLA构建Straddle策略</b></p><p>下图是我在美国时间7月12日建立的straddle, 当天收盘价是$1547.31,我同时买入一个call和一个put,合约期都是到7月24日,行权价都是$1550。期权价格的计算相当复杂,但是和波动性是正相关的关系,近期特斯拉的期权价格也是涨到了天上。我们可以看到一个call的价格是$142.9,一个put的价格是$144.6,都相当贵。注意,这不是一份期权合约(100 call)的价格哦。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c200b180538c13dcef47538c82d2da0\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"262\"></p><p>如图所示,持有一份straddle的总成本是$287.50,如果股价超过$1837.5或者跌破$1262.5,这个straddle模型就会盈利。反之,如果股价在$1262.5到$1837.5之间波动,投资者就会亏损,亏损的具体金额可以从上图看出,价格越接近行权价,亏损越大,最大亏损为$287.50。</p><p>$287.5贵不贵?贵。可是放在单日振幅$323.88面前就不显得那么吓人了。<b>高波动率是买入期权的基本条件。</b></p><p>那么,下一个问题:</p><p><b>买入何时的期权合约?</b></p><p>交易活跃的股票期权的合约期通常以周为单位向后滚动,到期日离得越远的期权,价格越贵。选择离得近的期权,好处是成本相对来说低一些,但是时间风险很大。要知道,期权到期后如果没有达到行权价就是废纸一张,不像股票,你可以长期持有,以时间换空间。</p><p>那我为什么选择7月24日到期的期权呢?原因很简单:因为7月22日是特斯拉公布Q2财报的日子。通常来说,公布财报后股价都有可能大幅波动。这里我选取过去四个季度财报公布当天或次日(如果是盘后公布)的股价表现,可以看出此时的股价波动幅度明显大于均值。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1a85871e4079af349db9c64386dc836c\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"291\"></p><p>除了对财报公布后的震荡预期外,再结合今年宏观环境下市场对于特斯拉的期望来看:</p><p>这一次全球遭遇前所未有的经济停摆,特斯拉在这种大环境下的业绩表现对投资者尤为重要。特斯拉今年二季度生产82272辆电动汽车,向消费者交付90650辆,交付量高于一季度的88400辆,也超出了分析师的预期,市场预期这个季度有可能实现季度盈利。如果是这样,那不管是股价还是期权价格本身都会大涨。反之,如果财报出来不如预期,股价会应声向下。总之,震荡行情有望延续。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4993c2d087425831848fee026cb1983\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"206\"></p><p>(数据来源:特斯拉官网)</p><p>除了公布财报,四年一次的美国大选,公布并购决定,股票被做空等事件驱动都是适合建立straddle的时机。</p><p><b>Strangle和Straddle的区别</b></p><p>Strangle中文叫做鞍式期权,和straddle不同的是,买入的call和put的行权价格不同。好处是成本相对低一些,缺点是达到盈亏平衡点的幅度更宽。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/241938c8024a4fd4e5363b2a0557020d\" tg-width=\"864\" tg-height=\"289\"></p><p>上面是我建立的strangle模型,到期日都是7月24日,call的行权价是$1700,put的行权价是1400。由于行权价离当日股价有一定偏离,这两个期权的价格相对较低,这样可以把成本降到$166.08,盈亏平衡点相对往外扩展$30左右。看起来好像更合适,但是,一定记得,当股价在$1400到$1700之间波动时,你是血本无归的。</p><p><b>至于选择straddle还是strangle,说到底还是你对股价波动率和振幅的预期。而预期这个东西,在特斯拉身上,你敢随便说吗?</b></p>","source":"lsy1577199619107","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>让空头血本无归的特斯拉,还能入场吗?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n让空头血本无归的特斯拉,还能入场吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-07-16 18:41 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg><strong>Stansberry贝瑞...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>前言:风口浪尖的特斯拉,买不买?你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。说起特斯拉的股票,我总想起一句话:没有最精彩,只有更精彩!最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话,当然,还有下半句:好戏在后头。这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂,我就不赘述了,咱们边看数据边说:(数据来源:marketchameleon)截止到美国时间7月13日,特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%,13号单日振幅超过20%,换手率高达26%,成交量是90...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/968c7f56416ea450ba452ed25e324d2e","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_j5dFY3Vjza0krjktZwpWg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188775292","content_text":"前言:风口浪尖的特斯拉,买不买?你一看就会的特斯拉期权策略。说起特斯拉的股票,我总想起一句话:没有最精彩,只有更精彩!最近特斯拉的表现让我再次想起这句话,当然,还有下半句:好戏在后头。这一年内特斯拉股票有多疯狂,我就不赘述了,咱们边看数据边说:(数据来源:marketchameleon)截止到美国时间7月13日,特斯拉一年内涨幅达到634%,13号单日振幅超过20%,换手率高达26%,成交量是90天日均成交量的2.49倍,20天历史波动率达到80.2。就这行情,看盘的时候都得带着速效救心丸。特斯拉近日的三高(高价,高换手率和高成交量)意味着什么,肯定不止一种解读。但是有一点很肯定:多空分歧进一步加剧。其实“进一步加剧”这几个字有点轻描淡写了,完全不足以描述这里面的血雨腥风。空头这几个月被打得血流成河,几百亿的资金灰飞烟灭,但仍有大量的空头前仆后继。而多头更是把特斯拉当成一种信仰。信仰是什么?信仰就是:我相信,我看见。一边是信仰,一边是复仇大联盟,那些不那么坚决的投资者接下来该怎么操作呢?我这里想和大家探讨一下straddle(跨式期权)和strangle(鞍式期权)的运用。其实straddle and strangle本身都是高风险的策略,血本无归的情况经常发生。但是,为什么我会在现在提出来这种策略呢?原因有三:为股价波动性而生的straddle期权做美股交易的朋友对期权应该都不太陌生。基本的期权分为两种:call option (看涨期权)和put option (看跌期权)。这两种期权分别有两种交易方向,买和卖。买入看涨期权是指投资者支付期权对价,获得以执行价格在合约期内买入一定数量股票的权利。举个例子说,股票A的当前价格是99块钱,如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看涨期权,到期日是两周以后。那么,在期权合同结束之前的任一天,不论当天股价涨到了110还是220,你都可以选择以100元的价格买入股票A。也就是说,如果股价超过107元,你就盈利了。如果股价低于100元,不论是90还是50,你的损失都是7元。同理,买入看跌期权,就是预期股票会跌,股票下跌时投资者获利。买入看跌期权是指投资者支付期权对价,获得以执行价格在合约期内卖出一定数量股票的权利。以上面的例子说,股票A的当前价格是99块钱,如果你以7元的价格买入一个执行价格为100的看跌期权,到期日是两周以后。那么,在期权合同结束之前的任一天,不论当天股价跌到了90还是60,你都可以选择以100元的价格卖出股票A。也就是说,如果股价低于93元,你就盈利了。如果股价高于100元,不论是110还是220,你的损失都是7元。看涨期权和看跌期权是投资者对股价有一定的上涨或下跌的方向判断时做的投资策略。可是,如果,我们对上涨还是下跌心里没谱怎么办?特斯拉这一年内的历史波动率是74.5,股价一路上蹿下跳,仅7月13日一个交易日就从涨16%直线下落到跌3%,涨跌幅度就有323.88美元。因此,当我们不确定股价的方向,但是确定他的波动性时,我们可以考虑在预测其波动性上投资一笔,也就是我们期权交易中的straddle策略。买入straddle就是投资者同时买入相同执行价、相同到期日的看涨期权和看跌期权的交易策略。接下来,让我们来看看基于当下的特斯拉走势,如何构建一个straddle模型。如何为TSLA构建Straddle策略下图是我在美国时间7月12日建立的straddle, 当天收盘价是$1547.31,我同时买入一个call和一个put,合约期都是到7月24日,行权价都是$1550。期权价格的计算相当复杂,但是和波动性是正相关的关系,近期特斯拉的期权价格也是涨到了天上。我们可以看到一个call的价格是$142.9,一个put的价格是$144.6,都相当贵。注意,这不是一份期权合约(100 call)的价格哦。如图所示,持有一份straddle的总成本是$287.50,如果股价超过$1837.5或者跌破$1262.5,这个straddle模型就会盈利。反之,如果股价在$1262.5到$1837.5之间波动,投资者就会亏损,亏损的具体金额可以从上图看出,价格越接近行权价,亏损越大,最大亏损为$287.50。$287.5贵不贵?贵。可是放在单日振幅$323.88面前就不显得那么吓人了。高波动率是买入期权的基本条件。那么,下一个问题:买入何时的期权合约?交易活跃的股票期权的合约期通常以周为单位向后滚动,到期日离得越远的期权,价格越贵。选择离得近的期权,好处是成本相对来说低一些,但是时间风险很大。要知道,期权到期后如果没有达到行权价就是废纸一张,不像股票,你可以长期持有,以时间换空间。那我为什么选择7月24日到期的期权呢?原因很简单:因为7月22日是特斯拉公布Q2财报的日子。通常来说,公布财报后股价都有可能大幅波动。这里我选取过去四个季度财报公布当天或次日(如果是盘后公布)的股价表现,可以看出此时的股价波动幅度明显大于均值。除了对财报公布后的震荡预期外,再结合今年宏观环境下市场对于特斯拉的期望来看:这一次全球遭遇前所未有的经济停摆,特斯拉在这种大环境下的业绩表现对投资者尤为重要。特斯拉今年二季度生产82272辆电动汽车,向消费者交付90650辆,交付量高于一季度的88400辆,也超出了分析师的预期,市场预期这个季度有可能实现季度盈利。如果是这样,那不管是股价还是期权价格本身都会大涨。反之,如果财报出来不如预期,股价会应声向下。总之,震荡行情有望延续。(数据来源:特斯拉官网)除了公布财报,四年一次的美国大选,公布并购决定,股票被做空等事件驱动都是适合建立straddle的时机。Strangle和Straddle的区别Strangle中文叫做鞍式期权,和straddle不同的是,买入的call和put的行权价格不同。好处是成本相对低一些,缺点是达到盈亏平衡点的幅度更宽。上面是我建立的strangle模型,到期日都是7月24日,call的行权价是$1700,put的行权价是1400。由于行权价离当日股价有一定偏离,这两个期权的价格相对较低,这样可以把成本降到$166.08,盈亏平衡点相对往外扩展$30左右。看起来好像更合适,但是,一定记得,当股价在$1400到$1700之间波动时,你是血本无归的。至于选择straddle还是strangle,说到底还是你对股价波动率和振幅的预期。而预期这个东西,在特斯拉身上,你敢随便说吗?","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496279146355479","authorId":"3496279146355479","name":"麦香鸡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3496279146355479","authorIdStr":"3496279146355479"},"content":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","text":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","html":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":943588322,"gmtCreate":1594651404066,"gmtModify":1704206197593,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>35出了,现在20能不能接回来?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>35出了,现在20能不能接回来?","text":"$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$35出了,现在20能不能接回来?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943588322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":943695106,"gmtCreate":1594601951105,"gmtModify":1704205897906,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"如何控制股票投资风险?控制股票投资风险需要遵循的四个原则: 1、回避风险说白了回避风险是指事前预测分析风险性产生的概率,剖析和分辨风险性造成的条逃避风险性件和要素,在经济活动中想方设法绕开它或更改个人行为的方位。在股市投资中的具体方法是:舍弃对危害性很大的个股的项目投资,继而项目投资别的资产或房产,或更改参于股票投资的作法,有求于共同基金,间接性进到销售市场这些。相对而言,逃避风险性标准是一种较为消沉和传统的操纵风险性的标准。 2、减少风险减少风险性标准就是指大家在从业经济活动的全过程中,不因风险性的存有而舍弃明确的总体目标,只是采用各种各样对策和方式想方设法减少风险性产生的几率,缓解将会承担的财产损失。在股票投资全过程中,投资人在早已掌握到项目投资于个股有风险性的前提条件下,一方面,永不放弃股票投资想法;另一方面,应用各种各样方式方法,勤奋抑止风险性产生的概率,消弱风险性产生的负面影响,进而得到较丰富的风险性长期投资。针对大部分投资人而言,它是一种奋发进取性的、积极主动的风险管控标准。 3、留置风险它是指在风险性早已产生或早已了解风险性没法防止和迁移的状况下,认清现实共承担风险,从整体利益和整体权益考虑,将风险性承担出来,并想方设法把风险性损害降低到最少水平。在股票投资中,投资人在自身有意义的事的范畴内,明确承担风险性的度,在股票价格下挫,自身早已亏本的状况下,坚决\"斩仓强行平仓\"、\"停损\",自身调节。 4、共担风险在股票投资中,投资人凭借各种各样方式的项目投资人群合伙人参加股票投资,以相互分摊经营风险。它是一种较为传统的风险管控标准。它使投资人承担风险性的工作压力变弱了,但得到高回报的机遇也少了,遵照这类标准的投资人一般只有获得均值盈利。","listText":"如何控制股票投资风险?控制股票投资风险需要遵循的四个原则: 1、回避风险说白了回避风险是指事前预测分析风险性产生的概率,剖析和分辨风险性造成的条逃避风险性件和要素,在经济活动中想方设法绕开它或更改个人行为的方位。在股市投资中的具体方法是:舍弃对危害性很大的个股的项目投资,继而项目投资别的资产或房产,或更改参于股票投资的作法,有求于共同基金,间接性进到销售市场这些。相对而言,逃避风险性标准是一种较为消沉和传统的操纵风险性的标准。 2、减少风险减少风险性标准就是指大家在从业经济活动的全过程中,不因风险性的存有而舍弃明确的总体目标,只是采用各种各样对策和方式想方设法减少风险性产生的几率,缓解将会承担的财产损失。在股票投资全过程中,投资人在早已掌握到项目投资于个股有风险性的前提条件下,一方面,永不放弃股票投资想法;另一方面,应用各种各样方式方法,勤奋抑止风险性产生的概率,消弱风险性产生的负面影响,进而得到较丰富的风险性长期投资。针对大部分投资人而言,它是一种奋发进取性的、积极主动的风险管控标准。 3、留置风险它是指在风险性早已产生或早已了解风险性没法防止和迁移的状况下,认清现实共承担风险,从整体利益和整体权益考虑,将风险性承担出来,并想方设法把风险性损害降低到最少水平。在股票投资中,投资人在自身有意义的事的范畴内,明确承担风险性的度,在股票价格下挫,自身早已亏本的状况下,坚决\"斩仓强行平仓\"、\"停损\",自身调节。 4、共担风险在股票投资中,投资人凭借各种各样方式的项目投资人群合伙人参加股票投资,以相互分摊经营风险。它是一种较为传统的风险管控标准。它使投资人承担风险性的工作压力变弱了,但得到高回报的机遇也少了,遵照这类标准的投资人一般只有获得均值盈利。","text":"如何控制股票投资风险?控制股票投资风险需要遵循的四个原则: 1、回避风险说白了回避风险是指事前预测分析风险性产生的概率,剖析和分辨风险性造成的条逃避风险性件和要素,在经济活动中想方设法绕开它或更改个人行为的方位。在股市投资中的具体方法是:舍弃对危害性很大的个股的项目投资,继而项目投资别的资产或房产,或更改参于股票投资的作法,有求于共同基金,间接性进到销售市场这些。相对而言,逃避风险性标准是一种较为消沉和传统的操纵风险性的标准。 2、减少风险减少风险性标准就是指大家在从业经济活动的全过程中,不因风险性的存有而舍弃明确的总体目标,只是采用各种各样对策和方式想方设法减少风险性产生的几率,缓解将会承担的财产损失。在股票投资全过程中,投资人在早已掌握到项目投资于个股有风险性的前提条件下,一方面,永不放弃股票投资想法;另一方面,应用各种各样方式方法,勤奋抑止风险性产生的概率,消弱风险性产生的负面影响,进而得到较丰富的风险性长期投资。针对大部分投资人而言,它是一种奋发进取性的、积极主动的风险管控标准。 3、留置风险它是指在风险性早已产生或早已了解风险性没法防止和迁移的状况下,认清现实共承担风险,从整体利益和整体权益考虑,将风险性承担出来,并想方设法把风险性损害降低到最少水平。在股票投资中,投资人在自身有意义的事的范畴内,明确承担风险性的度,在股票价格下挫,自身早已亏本的状况下,坚决\"斩仓强行平仓\"、\"停损\",自身调节。 4、共担风险在股票投资中,投资人凭借各种各样方式的项目投资人群合伙人参加股票投资,以相互分摊经营风险。它是一种较为传统的风险管控标准。它使投资人承担风险性的工作压力变弱了,但得到高回报的机遇也少了,遵照这类标准的投资人一般只有获得均值盈利。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943695106","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1424,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":943372843,"gmtCreate":1594395234382,"gmtModify":1704205604809,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QH\">$趣活(QH)$</a>第一次熔断后挂20卖了,知足常乐","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QH\">$趣活(QH)$</a>第一次熔断后挂20卖了,知足常乐","text":"$趣活(QH)$第一次熔断后挂20卖了,知足常乐","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943372843","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":949645715,"gmtCreate":1594222874937,"gmtModify":1704204638986,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>35卖了,有卖的报道喽","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>35卖了,有卖的报道喽","text":"$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$35卖了,有卖的报道喽","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":13,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/949645715","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496899681795069","authorId":"3496899681795069","name":"大虎头","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1810b3ae52f0a651234c33b030689c65","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3496899681795069","authorIdStr":"3496899681795069"},"content":"这么短暂的价格怎么成交的","text":"这么短暂的价格怎么成交的","html":"这么短暂的价格怎么成交的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":940203059,"gmtCreate":1593876217871,"gmtModify":1704203296462,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>有没有打此股的?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>有没有打此股的?","text":"$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$有没有打此股的?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/940203059","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"content":"纠结了几天,打","text":"纠结了几天,打","html":"纠结了几天,打"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":952037559,"gmtCreate":1591802400571,"gmtModify":1704197067468,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">$优克联(UCL)$</a>24.75卖了[龇牙] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">$优克联(UCL)$</a>24.75卖了[龇牙] ","text":"$优克联(UCL)$24.75卖了[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/952037559","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2795,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3550205941925457","authorId":"3550205941925457","name":"Lisa123","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cee8748e974fe8ab66ea09b4d1adb0a0","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3550205941925457","authorIdStr":"3550205941925457"},"content":"为什么停牌啊","text":"为什么停牌啊","html":"为什么停牌啊"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956784531,"gmtCreate":1591795935923,"gmtModify":1704196955810,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">$优克联(UCL)$</a>中签的报道,我中了10股[笑哭] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UCL\">$优克联(UCL)$</a>中签的报道,我中了10股[笑哭] ","text":"$优克联(UCL)$中签的报道,我中了10股[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956784531","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1980,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3465944375336233","authorId":"3465944375336233","name":"提醒自己长期拿住","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/91a99579aee1db72b36d7fbd124bb6d1","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3465944375336233","authorIdStr":"3465944375336233"},"content":"什么时候可以交易?","text":"什么时候可以交易?","html":"什么时候可以交易?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":943588322,"gmtCreate":1594651404066,"gmtModify":1704206197593,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>35出了,现在20能不能接回来?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLCT\">$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$</a>35出了,现在20能不能接回来?","text":"$蓝城兄弟(BLCT)$35出了,现在20能不能接回来?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943588322","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2846,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941260290,"gmtCreate":1594911819210,"gmtModify":1704207437988,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"投机没有好下场","listText":"投机没有好下场","text":"投机没有好下场","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941260290","repostId":"1188775292","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1867,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3496279146355479","authorId":"3496279146355479","name":"麦香鸡","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3496279146355479","authorIdStr":"3496279146355479"},"content":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","text":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的","html":"你和作者还有那些玩期权的说再多也没用的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927572907,"gmtCreate":1588946334309,"gmtModify":1704179003395,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>中了112股,到账50股?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>中了112股,到账50股?","text":"$金山云(KC)$中了112股,到账50股?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927572907","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2255,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":337751774,"gmtCreate":1611215144798,"gmtModify":1703748837753,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1块的时候你怎么不说话?","listText":"1块的时候你怎么不说话?","text":"1块的时候你怎么不说话?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/337751774","repostId":"1152343939","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152343939","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1611214661,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152343939?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-01-21 15:37","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"大和:蔚来商业模式具创新,予目标价100美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152343939","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。\n\n\n该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。","content":"<p>1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>大和:蔚来商业模式具创新,予目标价100美元</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n大和:蔚来商业模式具创新,予目标价100美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-01-21 15:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。</p>\n<p>该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfe674f2cbd5642d7e2f86c0702cfb03\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3380231cb191ca9bea37a0c70765537d","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152343939","content_text":"1月21日讯,大和发表报告,看好蔚来汽车,重申买入评级,目标价上望100美元。\n该行相信蔚来未来能够凭藉其领先的NAD技术、搭建用户社区、创新的商业理念及模式(BaaS、ADaaS),进一步打入豪华汽车领域;且对蔚来未来销售及毛利看法乐观。大和认为BaaS模式降低购买门槛,得到用户青睐,且管理层对其未来的自动驾驶服务(ADaaS)实收率保持乐观,相信蔚来将与2022年首季会推出该项服务。大和强调蔚来以构建用户社区为导向,这有别于其他传统的整车厂,有助于提高用户的忠诚度,进一步树立品牌口碑,达到刺激新车销售的作用。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2056,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927797758,"gmtCreate":1588987592774,"gmtModify":1704179161073,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>21卖了好难过😭","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>21卖了好难过😭","text":"$金山云(KC)$21卖了好难过😭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927797758","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1935,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3462288903184320","authorId":"3462288903184320","name":"cyborgsea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/21127215341411502d274f39e783a3c5","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3462288903184320","authorIdStr":"3462288903184320"},"content":"如果没有拿波段的思维 超短线的钱很大概率会折损在别的交易中","text":"如果没有拿波段的思维 超短线的钱很大概率会折损在别的交易中","html":"如果没有拿波段的思维 超短线的钱很大概率会折损在别的交易中"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":300246190,"gmtCreate":1602249752410,"gmtModify":1703826230642,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>200中5","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IH\">$洪恩教育(IH)$</a>200中5","text":"$洪恩教育(IH)$200中5","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/300246190","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1739,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3547760058269543","authorId":"3547760058269543","name":"一路向上冲","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a55c27ae3963a6d98e8a31041909b5b","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3547760058269543","authorIdStr":"3547760058269543"},"content":"今天早了?","text":"今天早了?","html":"今天早了?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391066928,"gmtCreate":1606442532364,"gmtModify":1703843078339,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>进入多杀多阶段,不过没什么大不了的,想想蔚来汽车,跌到1块,又涨到50多","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>进入多杀多阶段,不过没什么大不了的,想想蔚来汽车,跌到1块,又涨到50多","text":"$先声药业(02096)$进入多杀多阶段,不过没什么大不了的,想想蔚来汽车,跌到1块,又涨到50多","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391066928","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1777,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3505905615188986","authorId":"3505905615188986","name":"小蜗牛飞啊飞","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9aa36195eef9d6d4c58da250165e53b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3505905615188986","authorIdStr":"3505905615188986"},"content":"这个股票没这个底子","text":"这个股票没这个底子","html":"这个股票没这个底子"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":952673901,"gmtCreate":1591971318303,"gmtModify":1704197841984,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNR\">$燃石医学(BNR)$</a>中了10股,我发现多打也没用","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNR\">$燃石医学(BNR)$</a>中了10股,我发现多打也没用","text":"$燃石医学(BNR)$中了10股,我发现多打也没用","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/952673901","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":693,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":324229692,"gmtCreate":1615996233916,"gmtModify":1703496202128,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"拼多多以前挺好,现在喜欢玩套路,而且越陷越深","listText":"拼多多以前挺好,现在喜欢玩套路,而且越陷越深","text":"拼多多以前挺好,现在喜欢玩套路,而且越陷越深","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/324229692","repostId":"2120180869","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2400,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":399879284,"gmtCreate":1606110559348,"gmtModify":1703840887182,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>一买就涨,你说气人不气人😂","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>一买就涨,你说气人不气人😂","text":"$先声药业(02096)$一买就涨,你说气人不气人😂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/399879284","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927723287,"gmtCreate":1589023692749,"gmtModify":1704179222273,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"你们这些臭嘴,搞的我21就卖了😭","listText":"你们这些臭嘴,搞的我21就卖了😭","text":"你们这些臭嘴,搞的我21就卖了😭","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927723287","repostId":"927784674","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":927784674,"gmtCreate":1589009759998,"gmtModify":1704179201924,"author":{"id":"3549492357357337","authorId":"3549492357357337","name":"挚爱美股","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3549492357357337","authorIdStr":"3549492357357337"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>有人认购金山云吗?担心几天后破发,[龇牙] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>有人认购金山云吗?担心几天后破发,[龇牙] ","text":"$金山云(KC)$有人认购金山云吗?担心几天后破发,[龇牙]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927784674","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":840,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927421852,"gmtCreate":1588954483076,"gmtModify":1704179094233,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>挂21开盘卖了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KC\">$金山云(KC)$</a>挂21开盘卖了","text":"$金山云(KC)$挂21开盘卖了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927421852","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3457563816556066","authorId":"3457563816556066","name":"不是吧阿sir","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0847df9bf52ec8baba9d3907a7919675","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3457563816556066","authorIdStr":"3457563816556066"},"content":"我也是,赚点是点,没必要赌","text":"我也是,赚点是点,没必要赌","html":"我也是,赚点是点,没必要赌"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":920462222,"gmtCreate":1585111912866,"gmtModify":1704356944350,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"难道你不是胡咧咧😄","listText":"难道你不是胡咧咧😄","text":"难道你不是胡咧咧😄","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/920462222","repostId":"1133028950","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133028950","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"格隆汇旗下公众号。分享和探讨港股、美国中概股以及少量估值确有吸引力之A股的投资线索、投资机会与投资心得.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"格隆汇","id":"3","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d"},"pubTimestamp":1585103808,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133028950?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-25 10:36","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"什么样的反弹?才配得上这一波血泪俱下的暴跌","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133028950","media":"格隆汇","summary":"隔夜见证美股两大奇迹,第一是美国三大指数暴力反弹,其中道琼斯指数创史上最大单日涨幅!(11.3%)\n\n图片来源:Wind\n第二个奇迹是此次疫情来讲,美国确诊人数已经超过5万人,美国确诊人数的增速比股市","content":"<p>隔夜见证美股两大奇迹,第一是美国三大指数暴力反弹,其中道琼斯指数创史上最大单日涨幅!(11.3%)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ec50b6175c5fe4eab31b8cee8a464c9\"></p>\n<p><span>图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>第二个奇迹是此次疫情来讲,美国确诊人数已经超过5万人,美国确诊人数的增速比股市暴涨暴跌得剧烈程度不相上下。周末还是2万多,周一3万,周二4万,今天周三已经5万,统计还没结束。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>两者相比,一边是疫情在迅猛抬头,另一边股市在暴力反弹,这两者的背离也构成了隔夜行情的又一大奇迹。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>消息面上,这波反弹有两个因素:</span></p>\n<p><span>(1)美联储宣布的“无限制QE”终于起到效果了,流动性紧缩的预期出清,市场不再担心钱不够,只要钱不够就找美联储去要;</span></p>\n<p><span>(2)对于民共两党就刺激经济的政策达成一致的预期转向乐观。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>但是更本质的,</span></b><span>在我看来还是由于此前剧烈下跌导致杠杆盘的大规模爆仓,下跌动能已经大幅度减弱。这往往是大盘见顶之后第一波下跌</span><span><b>到底</b></span><span>的征兆。</span></p>\n<p><span>比较1929年9月5日道琼斯指数见顶的局部行情,我们看到,道琼斯指数从381点在两个月之内跌破200点(11月12日),</span><span><b>即总跌幅接近50%之后,</b></span><span>出现过一波像模像样的反弹,从200点弹到300点附近,涨幅高达33%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd12f3b544929c23f2bbd0292a0b610d\"></p>\n<p><span>1929年美股大盘见顶前后1年内的道琼斯指数行情,图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>如果把今天道琼斯指数的走势和1929年放在一起的话,是可以高度重合的。</span><span><b>特别是经过了上周三夜的暴力下跌,周四和周五两天底部震荡,累计跌幅也接近50%,这时任何利好消息都会刺激出剧烈的反弹。</b></span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/927833396c5c931ec6d5ace7ca85e4fc\"></p>\n<p><span>2020年3月美股大盘见顶的类似走势,数据来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>但1929年而言,由于危机对经济的杀伤力太大,随后大盘震荡探底的过程持续了3年,直到1932年7月大底出现。这时道琼斯指数底部点位为41点,距离高点381点跌去89%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1871b2350a20d635961c189284c4b1a\"></p>\n<p><span>1929年美股见顶之后长达3年的持续熊市,图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>今天的情形和1929年有很多不同,货币环境也不一样了,那时候是金本位,现在是美元体系,不可同日而语。</span><b>但只是从下跌50%之后出现中尺度(30%左右)和中等时长(1到3个月)的反弹,是大概率事件。</b></p>\n<p><span>无独有偶,2015年7-8月A股的下跌,也是在</span><span><b>大盘跌幅接近50%的位置附近出现了一次反弹</b></span><span>,那次反弹从2015年8月27日开始,到12月28日结束,后随着熔断闹剧再次探底。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a3aaa299190aac21b3655ef80591dc0\"></p>\n<p><span>图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><b><span>举这些例子是想告诉大家,未来几个月内,少则一个月,长则三个月,会有一波像模像样的反弹。疫情造成的恐慌基本上已经出清了,接下来的利空,要等疫情对经济的实质性影响见到之后,股市才会再度下跌。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>隔夜这波反弹,美国政要和投行都爽了,开始煽风点火。例如大摩。</span></p>\n<p><span>摩根大通的Marko Kolanovic在给客户的一份报告中说,疫情可能很快会见顶,经济可能会在“数周内”重启,而标准普尔500指数可能在明年年初回到创纪录水平。</span></p>\n<p><span>有点数学常识的人都知道这哥们在胡咧咧。但是股市一涨,都开心,没人跟他计较。</span></p>\n<p><span>我们前几天的文章分析了,按照其他国家的规律,疫情每天新增确诊人数/确诊总人数的比例从20%降到10%需要10天左右的时间,而美国昨天的这个比例还高达30%,如果在10天内以线性方式从30%降到10%的话,</span><span><b>美国10天后的确诊人数会高达16万</b></span><span>。</span></p>\n<p><span>这里没有夸张成分,只是根据简单数学模型推算的结果。因此,大摩那个分析师说“很快见顶”纯属胡诌。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54a3044a6a75b6e0241e7c1615aff3a\"></p>\n<p><span>海外疫情最新实况,图片来源:网易新闻</span></p>\n<p><span>时间不多了,亚洲时间要开盘了,关于无限QE的副作用、美元信仰体系崩塌这些我就不多扯了。</span><span><b>总结起来,我对当前行情的看法是,反弹基本上已经成立,症结在于反弹的持续时间。短则一个月完事,长则三四个月也有可能。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>还有另一点,A股的反弹会比美股走得稳,但美股也许幅度上反弹得比A股剧烈。之前一波跌下来没抛的朋友可以稍微捡点便宜货摊薄成本,之前吓得清仓的朋友现在可以稍微买点了。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>还是那句话,熊市多暴涨,牛市多暴跌。</span></b><span>一定要按照反弹的逻辑去操作,快进快出,把握好时间点,才不至于出大问题。</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>什么样的反弹?才配得上这一波血泪俱下的暴跌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n什么样的反弹?才配得上这一波血泪俱下的暴跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/3\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/24397cd0a72f485e9734d658c5a0841d);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">格隆汇 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-03-25 10:36</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>隔夜见证美股两大奇迹,第一是美国三大指数暴力反弹,其中道琼斯指数创史上最大单日涨幅!(11.3%)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ec50b6175c5fe4eab31b8cee8a464c9\"></p>\n<p><span>图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>第二个奇迹是此次疫情来讲,美国确诊人数已经超过5万人,美国确诊人数的增速比股市暴涨暴跌得剧烈程度不相上下。周末还是2万多,周一3万,周二4万,今天周三已经5万,统计还没结束。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>两者相比,一边是疫情在迅猛抬头,另一边股市在暴力反弹,这两者的背离也构成了隔夜行情的又一大奇迹。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>消息面上,这波反弹有两个因素:</span></p>\n<p><span>(1)美联储宣布的“无限制QE”终于起到效果了,流动性紧缩的预期出清,市场不再担心钱不够,只要钱不够就找美联储去要;</span></p>\n<p><span>(2)对于民共两党就刺激经济的政策达成一致的预期转向乐观。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>但是更本质的,</span></b><span>在我看来还是由于此前剧烈下跌导致杠杆盘的大规模爆仓,下跌动能已经大幅度减弱。这往往是大盘见顶之后第一波下跌</span><span><b>到底</b></span><span>的征兆。</span></p>\n<p><span>比较1929年9月5日道琼斯指数见顶的局部行情,我们看到,道琼斯指数从381点在两个月之内跌破200点(11月12日),</span><span><b>即总跌幅接近50%之后,</b></span><span>出现过一波像模像样的反弹,从200点弹到300点附近,涨幅高达33%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd12f3b544929c23f2bbd0292a0b610d\"></p>\n<p><span>1929年美股大盘见顶前后1年内的道琼斯指数行情,图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>如果把今天道琼斯指数的走势和1929年放在一起的话,是可以高度重合的。</span><span><b>特别是经过了上周三夜的暴力下跌,周四和周五两天底部震荡,累计跌幅也接近50%,这时任何利好消息都会刺激出剧烈的反弹。</b></span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/927833396c5c931ec6d5ace7ca85e4fc\"></p>\n<p><span>2020年3月美股大盘见顶的类似走势,数据来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>但1929年而言,由于危机对经济的杀伤力太大,随后大盘震荡探底的过程持续了3年,直到1932年7月大底出现。这时道琼斯指数底部点位为41点,距离高点381点跌去89%。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1871b2350a20d635961c189284c4b1a\"></p>\n<p><span>1929年美股见顶之后长达3年的持续熊市,图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><span>今天的情形和1929年有很多不同,货币环境也不一样了,那时候是金本位,现在是美元体系,不可同日而语。</span><b>但只是从下跌50%之后出现中尺度(30%左右)和中等时长(1到3个月)的反弹,是大概率事件。</b></p>\n<p><span>无独有偶,2015年7-8月A股的下跌,也是在</span><span><b>大盘跌幅接近50%的位置附近出现了一次反弹</b></span><span>,那次反弹从2015年8月27日开始,到12月28日结束,后随着熔断闹剧再次探底。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3a3aaa299190aac21b3655ef80591dc0\"></p>\n<p><span>图片来源:Wind</span></p>\n<p><b><span>举这些例子是想告诉大家,未来几个月内,少则一个月,长则三个月,会有一波像模像样的反弹。疫情造成的恐慌基本上已经出清了,接下来的利空,要等疫情对经济的实质性影响见到之后,股市才会再度下跌。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>隔夜这波反弹,美国政要和投行都爽了,开始煽风点火。例如大摩。</span></p>\n<p><span>摩根大通的Marko Kolanovic在给客户的一份报告中说,疫情可能很快会见顶,经济可能会在“数周内”重启,而标准普尔500指数可能在明年年初回到创纪录水平。</span></p>\n<p><span>有点数学常识的人都知道这哥们在胡咧咧。但是股市一涨,都开心,没人跟他计较。</span></p>\n<p><span>我们前几天的文章分析了,按照其他国家的规律,疫情每天新增确诊人数/确诊总人数的比例从20%降到10%需要10天左右的时间,而美国昨天的这个比例还高达30%,如果在10天内以线性方式从30%降到10%的话,</span><span><b>美国10天后的确诊人数会高达16万</b></span><span>。</span></p>\n<p><span>这里没有夸张成分,只是根据简单数学模型推算的结果。因此,大摩那个分析师说“很快见顶”纯属胡诌。</span></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54a3044a6a75b6e0241e7c1615aff3a\"></p>\n<p><span>海外疫情最新实况,图片来源:网易新闻</span></p>\n<p><span>时间不多了,亚洲时间要开盘了,关于无限QE的副作用、美元信仰体系崩塌这些我就不多扯了。</span><span><b>总结起来,我对当前行情的看法是,反弹基本上已经成立,症结在于反弹的持续时间。短则一个月完事,长则三四个月也有可能。</b></span></p>\n<p><span>还有另一点,A股的反弹会比美股走得稳,但美股也许幅度上反弹得比A股剧烈。之前一波跌下来没抛的朋友可以稍微捡点便宜货摊薄成本,之前吓得清仓的朋友现在可以稍微买点了。</span></p>\n<p><b><span>还是那句话,熊市多暴涨,牛市多暴跌。</span></b><span>一定要按照反弹的逻辑去操作,快进快出,把握好时间点,才不至于出大问题。</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d6a4572b675796b315e560ea7fe3401","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133028950","content_text":"隔夜见证美股两大奇迹,第一是美国三大指数暴力反弹,其中道琼斯指数创史上最大单日涨幅!(11.3%)\n\n图片来源:Wind\n第二个奇迹是此次疫情来讲,美国确诊人数已经超过5万人,美国确诊人数的增速比股市暴涨暴跌得剧烈程度不相上下。周末还是2万多,周一3万,周二4万,今天周三已经5万,统计还没结束。\n两者相比,一边是疫情在迅猛抬头,另一边股市在暴力反弹,这两者的背离也构成了隔夜行情的又一大奇迹。\n消息面上,这波反弹有两个因素:\n(1)美联储宣布的“无限制QE”终于起到效果了,流动性紧缩的预期出清,市场不再担心钱不够,只要钱不够就找美联储去要;\n(2)对于民共两党就刺激经济的政策达成一致的预期转向乐观。\n但是更本质的,在我看来还是由于此前剧烈下跌导致杠杆盘的大规模爆仓,下跌动能已经大幅度减弱。这往往是大盘见顶之后第一波下跌到底的征兆。\n比较1929年9月5日道琼斯指数见顶的局部行情,我们看到,道琼斯指数从381点在两个月之内跌破200点(11月12日),即总跌幅接近50%之后,出现过一波像模像样的反弹,从200点弹到300点附近,涨幅高达33%。\n\n1929年美股大盘见顶前后1年内的道琼斯指数行情,图片来源:Wind\n如果把今天道琼斯指数的走势和1929年放在一起的话,是可以高度重合的。特别是经过了上周三夜的暴力下跌,周四和周五两天底部震荡,累计跌幅也接近50%,这时任何利好消息都会刺激出剧烈的反弹。\n\n2020年3月美股大盘见顶的类似走势,数据来源:Wind\n但1929年而言,由于危机对经济的杀伤力太大,随后大盘震荡探底的过程持续了3年,直到1932年7月大底出现。这时道琼斯指数底部点位为41点,距离高点381点跌去89%。\n\n1929年美股见顶之后长达3年的持续熊市,图片来源:Wind\n今天的情形和1929年有很多不同,货币环境也不一样了,那时候是金本位,现在是美元体系,不可同日而语。但只是从下跌50%之后出现中尺度(30%左右)和中等时长(1到3个月)的反弹,是大概率事件。\n无独有偶,2015年7-8月A股的下跌,也是在大盘跌幅接近50%的位置附近出现了一次反弹,那次反弹从2015年8月27日开始,到12月28日结束,后随着熔断闹剧再次探底。\n\n图片来源:Wind\n举这些例子是想告诉大家,未来几个月内,少则一个月,长则三个月,会有一波像模像样的反弹。疫情造成的恐慌基本上已经出清了,接下来的利空,要等疫情对经济的实质性影响见到之后,股市才会再度下跌。\n隔夜这波反弹,美国政要和投行都爽了,开始煽风点火。例如大摩。\n摩根大通的Marko Kolanovic在给客户的一份报告中说,疫情可能很快会见顶,经济可能会在“数周内”重启,而标准普尔500指数可能在明年年初回到创纪录水平。\n有点数学常识的人都知道这哥们在胡咧咧。但是股市一涨,都开心,没人跟他计较。\n我们前几天的文章分析了,按照其他国家的规律,疫情每天新增确诊人数/确诊总人数的比例从20%降到10%需要10天左右的时间,而美国昨天的这个比例还高达30%,如果在10天内以线性方式从30%降到10%的话,美国10天后的确诊人数会高达16万。\n这里没有夸张成分,只是根据简单数学模型推算的结果。因此,大摩那个分析师说“很快见顶”纯属胡诌。\n\n海外疫情最新实况,图片来源:网易新闻\n时间不多了,亚洲时间要开盘了,关于无限QE的副作用、美元信仰体系崩塌这些我就不多扯了。总结起来,我对当前行情的看法是,反弹基本上已经成立,症结在于反弹的持续时间。短则一个月完事,长则三四个月也有可能。\n还有另一点,A股的反弹会比美股走得稳,但美股也许幅度上反弹得比A股剧烈。之前一波跌下来没抛的朋友可以稍微捡点便宜货摊薄成本,之前吓得清仓的朋友现在可以稍微买点了。\n还是那句话,熊市多暴涨,牛市多暴跌。一定要按照反弹的逻辑去操作,快进快出,把握好时间点,才不至于出大问题。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1029,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3527667803686145","authorIdStr":"3527667803686145"},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]发帖时关联相关股票或者相关话题,可以获得更多曝光哦~如果您想创作优质文章,请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393718156,"gmtCreate":1606380324875,"gmtModify":1703842911319,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>完犊子了,抄底,结果十八层不是地狱之底","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02096\">$先声药业(02096)$</a>完犊子了,抄底,结果十八层不是地狱之底","text":"$先声药业(02096)$完犊子了,抄底,结果十八层不是地狱之底","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393718156","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1148,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":943372843,"gmtCreate":1594395234382,"gmtModify":1704205604809,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QH\">$趣活(QH)$</a>第一次熔断后挂20卖了,知足常乐","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QH\">$趣活(QH)$</a>第一次熔断后挂20卖了,知足常乐","text":"$趣活(QH)$第一次熔断后挂20卖了,知足常乐","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/943372843","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":947361199,"gmtCreate":1597210310711,"gmtModify":1704214902916,"author":{"id":"3547610539049078","authorId":"3547610539049078","name":"BuffettShan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e5311c7b0038af65849a20ec0e310c","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3547610539049078","authorIdStr":"3547610539049078"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","listText":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","text":"中国股市的把戏被洋鬼子学会了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/947361199","repostId":"2058054258","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":924,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}