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疯狂咖啡
2022-12-16
5万亿?哪来的数字
特斯拉年内市值蒸发5万亿!马斯克痛失世界首富,分析师:股价或再跌8成
疯狂咖啡
2022-02-05
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
这个收益怎么样?[财迷]
疯狂咖啡
2022-01-04
这么多错别字。真是服了
黑石发布2022年十大预测!去年的准确度如何?
疯狂咖啡
2022-01-02
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
这个厉害了[得意]
疯狂咖啡
2021-11-08
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
大家可以开始卖put了。
疯狂咖啡
2021-11-03
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
各位大佬,请教一个问题[害羞] 我帐户里没有现金,但是有100股正股,可以卖call吗?
疯狂咖啡
2021-05-11
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
带货🐶币
疯狂咖啡
2021-03-11
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
tesla 开始要搞社区了,spacex 开始做star base 。马斯克开始进军房地产市场[开心]
疯狂咖啡
2021-02-24
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
要走出与其他新能源车子不一样的行情,只能靠fsd了,快点出L4吧
疯狂咖啡
2021-02-23
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
被甩下车的🙋吧
疯狂咖啡
2020-12-03
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
什么情况?
疯狂咖啡
2020-06-24
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
今天会熔断吗?
疯狂咖啡
2020-02-16
慢慢等吧
@空军大队长:
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
妈的被诱多了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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23:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉年内市值蒸发5万亿!马斯克痛失世界首富,分析师:股价或再跌8成","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2291401484","media":"时代周报猛犸工...","summary":"特斯拉股价年内累计跌幅已达60%。随着股价大跌,马斯克从世界首富宝座上跌落。今年以来,特斯拉股价“跌跌不休”。截至当地时间12月14日美股收盘,特斯拉再跌2.58%,报156.8美元,年内累计跌幅已经达60%;总市值仅剩4913.28亿美元,较年初跌去约7442亿美元。这也是其市值自2020年11月以来首次跌破5000亿美元大关。换言之,按其预计,特斯拉股价或还有超85%的跌幅。","content":"<html><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>股价年内累计跌幅已达60%。</p>\n<p>随着股价大跌,马斯克从世界首富宝座上跌落。</p>\n<p>今年以来,特斯拉股价“跌跌不休”。截至当地时间12月14日美股收盘,特斯拉再跌2.58%,报156.8美元,年内累计跌幅已经达60%;总市值仅剩4913.28亿美元,较年初跌去约7442亿美元(约合人民币51813亿元)。这也是其市值自2020年11月以来首次跌破5000亿美元大关。</p>\n<p>特斯拉大空头、GLJ Research分析师Gordon Johnson更是语出惊人:预计特斯拉股价到明年年底将跌至其23美元的目标价。换言之,按其预计,特斯拉股价或还有超85%的跌幅。</p>\n<figure>\n<img h=\"600\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider20221215/166/w1166h600/20221215/5888-38dece54e30ce456cdd98588f437d8cb.jpg\" w=\"1166\"/>\n<h2>图片来源:特斯拉</h2>\n</figure>\n<p>Johnson在一次采访中表示:“我们发现特斯拉只是一家普通的汽车公司,产能超过了他们的销售能力。”他认为,特斯拉不是一家科技公司,不应像科技公司那样定价,并补充说,他预计特斯拉的股票将继续面临抛售压力。</p>\n<p>空头和多头谁将取胜,还言之尚早,但这场股价暴跌,马斯克或是目前的最大输家。</p>\n<p>痛失“世界首富”宝座</p>\n<p>尽管特斯拉股价全年基本都在下滑,但过去几个月跌势进一步加剧。</p>\n<p>自10月27日入主推特以来,特斯拉股价已经下跌了29%,远逊于同期标准普尔500指数6.6%的涨幅。在特斯拉市值持续缩水的情况下,马斯克也失去了全球首富的宝座。</p>\n<p>《福布斯》数据显示,目前全球首富是奢侈品巨头LVMH集团董事长Bernard Arnault,身价1909亿美元,马斯克凭借1740亿美元身价位居第二。</p>\n<figure>\n<img h=\"958\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider20221215/606/w2048h958/20221215/ffa9-34ffd56ea19ace772a1c5f876a1192b4.jpg\" w=\"2048\"/>\n<h2>图片来源:福布斯官网</h2>\n</figure>\n<p>受伤的不止马斯克,还有一众投资者。美国知名财经媒体《投资者商业日报》对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPGI\">标普全球</a>市场情报和MarketSmith的数据分析发现,自4月25日推特董事会接受马斯克的收购报价以来,包括ETF 巨头先锋、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a> (BlackRock) 和马斯克本人在内的特斯拉10大投资者,损失高达1325亿美元。</p>\n<p>收购推特引麻烦?</p>\n<p>今年4月以来,马斯克在收购推特这件事上来回拉扯,终于在10月斥资440亿美元成功入主。在收购推特背后,马斯克还多次抛售特斯拉股票。</p>\n<p>美国证券交易委员会文件显示,马斯克于12月12日-14日共计售出2200万股的特斯拉股票,价值35.8亿美元。此前马斯克约持有4.462亿股特斯拉,以此计算,本周抛售的股票数占其持股总数近5%,比例较高。此外,据BBC统计,在过去一年中,他出售的特斯拉股票总额近400亿美元。</p>\n<p>但业界对于这门生意并不看好。自马斯克于10月27日正式收购推特以来,整顿管理层、裁员、推特转型等掀起一轮轮话题,但这对于特斯拉股价毫无帮助。从收购至今,特斯拉股价已经跌去三成。</p>\n<figure>\n<img h=\"1101\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider20221215/329/w828h1101/20221215/d657-09e5798d5a246b2d77d9522644b6a465.jpg\" w=\"828\"/>\n</figure>\n<p>美国证监会文件。</p>\n<div sax-type=\"proxy\"></div><p>据外媒报道,为推进推特改革,马斯克还调动旗下公司提供支援,授权SpaceX、特斯拉和Boring Company的高管来推特工作。投资者担心,马斯克收购推特可能会影响到他在特斯拉的工作,还可能会抛售更多特斯拉股票来支持推特。</p>\n<p>特斯拉股价不断下跌,曾自称马斯克“粉丝”的特斯拉最大散户股东廖凯原呼吁,公司应该通过回购股票的方式来拉高股价。12月12日,廖凯原更是发文抱怨:“马斯克放弃了特斯拉,特斯拉没有首席执行官。”</p>\n<p>此外,马斯克的的推文处处树敌,招致不少批评。Nia Impact Capital创始人兼特斯拉股东Kristin Hull在推特上批评说:“特斯拉品牌存在很多问题,董事会无法控制CEO。”</p>\n<p>“埃隆是一位杰出的商业领袖。但他很快会意识到,他两极分化的政治观点正在损害客户对特斯拉的看法,”特斯拉多头Gary Black在周三的推文中写道,“客户不希望他们的汽车有争议,他们驾驶时想要的是自豪,而非尴尬。”</p>\n<p>看多看空,机构观点不一</p>\n<p>从种种迹象来看,投资者的担忧不无道理。销量方面,今年特斯拉已经被<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>超越,失去了新能源汽车全球销冠的宝座。</p>\n<p>新车量产也并不顺利,发布于2019年的特斯拉电动皮卡Cybertruck凭借其科幻造型,两年多的时间收获了超100万辆订单。但交付时间却一再跳票,被竞争对手Rivian R1T和福特F-150闪电皮卡超越。</p>\n<p>今年以来,特斯拉股价表现落后于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GM\">通用汽车</a>、福特、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>等主要汽车制造商和科技公司。</p>\n<p>目前,部分投行对特斯拉的前景感到悲观。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RY\">加拿大皇家银行</a>将特斯拉目标价从325美元下调至225美元。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>在最新报告中,将特斯拉的目标股价从305美元下调至235美元,理由是需求疲软。此外,高盛还下调了特斯拉第四季度的交付预期。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTLW\">Morgan Stanley</a>分析师Adam Jonas在最新报告中也表示,未来几年美国电动汽车的普及速度将比此前预期的慢得多。Jonas目前预计,2025年电动汽车将占美国汽车市场的11%,2030年将达到26%。这低于他之前预测的美国电动汽车普及率分别为13%和32%。</p>\n<p>不过,Jonas表示,特斯拉的股票仍是其2023年的首选。他表示:“特斯拉是唯一一家能够以如此高的利润率销售电动汽车的公司,并且在电池供应链中拥有前所未有的地位。随着赛博卡车和Semi在2023年的推出,该公司正在扩大其汽车产品阵容。”</p>\n<figure>\n<img h=\"834\" src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider20221215/482/w2048h834/20221215/09ca-257a40beca7a7b4cde1a9f963b1765f9.jpg\" w=\"2048\"/>\n<h2>Cybertruck,图片来自特斯拉官网</h2>\n</figure>\n<p>也有部分投资人认为目前是抄底特斯拉股票的好机会。12月14日,方舟投资管理公司的创始人兼首席执行官“木头姐”Cathie Wood买入了近7.5万股特斯拉股票。</p>\n<p>以投资大胆著称的Wood自10月起就开始抄底特斯拉的股票,11月以来又在不断加仓币圈资产。她一直强调,电动汽车和加密市场是未来主流之势。特斯拉股票是方舟主要基金的重仓股之一,目前方舟持有特斯拉公司约0.13%的股份。</p>\n<p>此外,公开资料显示,截至今年9月30日,特斯拉的主要机构投资者包括先锋集团、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">黑石</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">道富银行</a>、北方信托和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>等,并且第三季度这些机构还在增持特斯拉的股票。</p>\n<p>对于特斯拉股价跌跌不休,盘古智库高级研究员江瀚向时代财经表示,此前特斯拉股价是被高估的,市场看好的是其背后的新能源赛道,同时也存在一定盲目性。与丰田等传统车企相比,特斯拉的业绩基本面相对不足,只有用持续的高增长,才能支撑起被高估的股价。</p>\n<p>“从长期的角度来看,特斯拉的发展需要一个价值回归的过程,股价泡沫进一步被挤出,可以推动特斯拉发展的整体向好。但特斯拉也需要注意,如果股价进一步下跌,一定程度上会损害其融资能力,给公司带来风险。”</p>\n<div>\n<img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/default/2fb77759/20151125/320X320.png\"/>\n</div>\n</body></html>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-15 23:03 北京时间 <a href=https://tech.sina.cn/it/2022-12-16/detail-imxwuqpm9909573.d.html?vt=4><strong>时代周报猛犸工...</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>特斯拉股价年内累计跌幅已达60%。\n随着股价大跌,马斯克从世界首富宝座上跌落。\n今年以来,特斯拉股价“跌跌不休”。截至当地时间12月14日美股收盘,特斯拉再跌2.58%,报156.8美元,年内累计跌幅已经达60%;总市值仅剩4913.28亿美元,较年初跌去约7442亿美元(约合人民币51813亿元)。这也是其市值自2020年11月以来首次跌破5000亿美元大关。\n特斯拉大空头、GLJ ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.sina.cn/it/2022-12-16/detail-imxwuqpm9909573.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://k.sinaimg.cn/n/finance/transform/667/w400h267/20221216/4afc-47050d78c40756c9bd927f3baba84ecf.jpg/w120h90l50t1ffd.jpg","relate_stocks":{"LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0234570918.USD":"高盛全球核心股票组合Acc Close","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4581":"高盛持仓","TSLA":"特斯拉","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO 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INC"},"source_url":"https://tech.sina.cn/it/2022-12-16/detail-imxwuqpm9909573.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2291401484","content_text":"特斯拉股价年内累计跌幅已达60%。\n随着股价大跌,马斯克从世界首富宝座上跌落。\n今年以来,特斯拉股价“跌跌不休”。截至当地时间12月14日美股收盘,特斯拉再跌2.58%,报156.8美元,年内累计跌幅已经达60%;总市值仅剩4913.28亿美元,较年初跌去约7442亿美元(约合人民币51813亿元)。这也是其市值自2020年11月以来首次跌破5000亿美元大关。\n特斯拉大空头、GLJ Research分析师Gordon Johnson更是语出惊人:预计特斯拉股价到明年年底将跌至其23美元的目标价。换言之,按其预计,特斯拉股价或还有超85%的跌幅。\n\n\n图片来源:特斯拉\n\nJohnson在一次采访中表示:“我们发现特斯拉只是一家普通的汽车公司,产能超过了他们的销售能力。”他认为,特斯拉不是一家科技公司,不应像科技公司那样定价,并补充说,他预计特斯拉的股票将继续面临抛售压力。\n空头和多头谁将取胜,还言之尚早,但这场股价暴跌,马斯克或是目前的最大输家。\n痛失“世界首富”宝座\n尽管特斯拉股价全年基本都在下滑,但过去几个月跌势进一步加剧。\n自10月27日入主推特以来,特斯拉股价已经下跌了29%,远逊于同期标准普尔500指数6.6%的涨幅。在特斯拉市值持续缩水的情况下,马斯克也失去了全球首富的宝座。\n《福布斯》数据显示,目前全球首富是奢侈品巨头LVMH集团董事长Bernard Arnault,身价1909亿美元,马斯克凭借1740亿美元身价位居第二。\n\n\n图片来源:福布斯官网\n\n受伤的不止马斯克,还有一众投资者。美国知名财经媒体《投资者商业日报》对标普全球市场情报和MarketSmith的数据分析发现,自4月25日推特董事会接受马斯克的收购报价以来,包括ETF 巨头先锋、贝莱德 (BlackRock) 和马斯克本人在内的特斯拉10大投资者,损失高达1325亿美元。\n收购推特引麻烦?\n今年4月以来,马斯克在收购推特这件事上来回拉扯,终于在10月斥资440亿美元成功入主。在收购推特背后,马斯克还多次抛售特斯拉股票。\n美国证券交易委员会文件显示,马斯克于12月12日-14日共计售出2200万股的特斯拉股票,价值35.8亿美元。此前马斯克约持有4.462亿股特斯拉,以此计算,本周抛售的股票数占其持股总数近5%,比例较高。此外,据BBC统计,在过去一年中,他出售的特斯拉股票总额近400亿美元。\n但业界对于这门生意并不看好。自马斯克于10月27日正式收购推特以来,整顿管理层、裁员、推特转型等掀起一轮轮话题,但这对于特斯拉股价毫无帮助。从收购至今,特斯拉股价已经跌去三成。\n\n\n\n美国证监会文件。\n据外媒报道,为推进推特改革,马斯克还调动旗下公司提供支援,授权SpaceX、特斯拉和Boring Company的高管来推特工作。投资者担心,马斯克收购推特可能会影响到他在特斯拉的工作,还可能会抛售更多特斯拉股票来支持推特。\n特斯拉股价不断下跌,曾自称马斯克“粉丝”的特斯拉最大散户股东廖凯原呼吁,公司应该通过回购股票的方式来拉高股价。12月12日,廖凯原更是发文抱怨:“马斯克放弃了特斯拉,特斯拉没有首席执行官。”\n此外,马斯克的的推文处处树敌,招致不少批评。Nia Impact Capital创始人兼特斯拉股东Kristin Hull在推特上批评说:“特斯拉品牌存在很多问题,董事会无法控制CEO。”\n“埃隆是一位杰出的商业领袖。但他很快会意识到,他两极分化的政治观点正在损害客户对特斯拉的看法,”特斯拉多头Gary Black在周三的推文中写道,“客户不希望他们的汽车有争议,他们驾驶时想要的是自豪,而非尴尬。”\n看多看空,机构观点不一\n从种种迹象来看,投资者的担忧不无道理。销量方面,今年特斯拉已经被比亚迪超越,失去了新能源汽车全球销冠的宝座。\n新车量产也并不顺利,发布于2019年的特斯拉电动皮卡Cybertruck凭借其科幻造型,两年多的时间收获了超100万辆订单。但交付时间却一再跳票,被竞争对手Rivian R1T和福特F-150闪电皮卡超越。\n今年以来,特斯拉股价表现落后于通用汽车、福特、苹果和亚马逊等主要汽车制造商和科技公司。\n目前,部分投行对特斯拉的前景感到悲观。加拿大皇家银行将特斯拉目标价从325美元下调至225美元。高盛在最新报告中,将特斯拉的目标股价从305美元下调至235美元,理由是需求疲软。此外,高盛还下调了特斯拉第四季度的交付预期。\nMorgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas在最新报告中也表示,未来几年美国电动汽车的普及速度将比此前预期的慢得多。Jonas目前预计,2025年电动汽车将占美国汽车市场的11%,2030年将达到26%。这低于他之前预测的美国电动汽车普及率分别为13%和32%。\n不过,Jonas表示,特斯拉的股票仍是其2023年的首选。他表示:“特斯拉是唯一一家能够以如此高的利润率销售电动汽车的公司,并且在电池供应链中拥有前所未有的地位。随着赛博卡车和Semi在2023年的推出,该公司正在扩大其汽车产品阵容。”\n\n\nCybertruck,图片来自特斯拉官网\n\n也有部分投资人认为目前是抄底特斯拉股票的好机会。12月14日,方舟投资管理公司的创始人兼首席执行官“木头姐”Cathie Wood买入了近7.5万股特斯拉股票。\n以投资大胆著称的Wood自10月起就开始抄底特斯拉的股票,11月以来又在不断加仓币圈资产。她一直强调,电动汽车和加密市场是未来主流之势。特斯拉股票是方舟主要基金的重仓股之一,目前方舟持有特斯拉公司约0.13%的股份。\n此外,公开资料显示,截至今年9月30日,特斯拉的主要机构投资者包括先锋集团、黑石、道富银行、北方信托和摩根大通等,并且第三季度这些机构还在增持特斯拉的股票。\n对于特斯拉股价跌跌不休,盘古智库高级研究员江瀚向时代财经表示,此前特斯拉股价是被高估的,市场看好的是其背后的新能源赛道,同时也存在一定盲目性。与丰田等传统车企相比,特斯拉的业绩基本面相对不足,只有用持续的高增长,才能支撑起被高估的股价。\n“从长期的角度来看,特斯拉的发展需要一个价值回归的过程,股价泡沫进一步被挤出,可以推动特斯拉发展的整体向好。但特斯拉也需要注意,如果股价进一步下跌,一定程度上会损害其融资能力,给公司带来风险。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1788,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633293428,"gmtCreate":1644073879648,"gmtModify":1644073879648,"author":{"id":"3544667524171910","authorId":"3544667524171910","name":"疯狂咖啡","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2d9228bfa235ee378e49eba9581bcbc","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>这个收益怎么样?[财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>这个收益怎么样?[财迷] ","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$这个收益怎么样?[财迷]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/facdf01f9b224158cb94d401fbac8b98","width":"1170","height":"2292"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633293428","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":695962374,"gmtCreate":1641303094704,"gmtModify":1641303094704,"author":{"id":"3544667524171910","authorId":"3544667524171910","name":"疯狂咖啡","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2d9228bfa235ee378e49eba9581bcbc","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这么多错别字。真是服了","listText":"这么多错别字。真是服了","text":"这么多错别字。真是服了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/695962374","repostId":"1142192650","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142192650","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"中国大陆领先的金融数据、信息和软件服务企业,总部位于上海陆家嘴金融中心。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Wind万得","id":"99","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68"},"pubTimestamp":1641279305,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142192650?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-01-04 14:55","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"黑石发布2022年十大预测!去年的准确度如何?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142192650","media":"Wind万得","summary":"一年一度的黑石副总裁Byron R. Wien的新年十大意外事件预测又出炉了,这是他保持了37年的传统。相对而言,在本年度的预测中,Byron R. Wien似乎变得更加保守了,没有像以前那样“语不惊","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>一年一度的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">黑石</a>副总裁Byron R. Wien的新年十大意外事件预测又出炉了,这是他保持了37年的传统。相对而言,在本年度的预测中,Byron R. Wien似乎变得更加保守了,没有像以前那样“语不惊人死不休”。</p><p>Byron R. Wien将“意外”定义为一般投资者只会分配三分之一的概率会发生,但他认为发生的可能性超过50%。Byron R. Wien在1986年开始了预测一年10大意外事件的传统,当时他还是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>的首席美国投资策略师。拜伦于2009年9月加入黑石,担任该公司及其客户的高级顾问,分析经济、政治、市场和社会趋势。</p><p><b>Byron R. Wien 对2022年的十大意外事件预测如下:</b></p><p>一、不断上升的利率相冲淡盈利,标普500指数在2022年毫无斩获。价值表现超越成长。高波动性仍在继续,指数调整接近但不超过20%。</p><p>二、一些商品价格下降,工资和租金继续上涨,美国CPI以及其他更加广泛的通胀指标在2022年同比上涨4.5%。交通和能源价格的下跌,给通货膨胀“暂时的”支持新的证据,但持续的通货膨胀成为主导议题。</p><p>三、债券市场开始对美联储Taper和不断上涨通胀做出反应,10年期美债收益率上升至2.75%。2022年美联储将完成taper,并加息四次。</p><p>四、尽管Omicron变中病毒出现,但小组会议和大会等活动在年底前仍恢复到大流行前的水平。尽管在发达国家和欠发达国家,新冠病毒仍然是一个问题,但在美国基本上恢复了正常状况。人们每周有三到四天呆在办公室里,其余时间将回归剧院、音乐会和运动场等休闲娱乐。</p><p>五、中国家庭有更多的资本需要进行投资,资产管理行业开始在中国蓬勃发展。</p><p>六、金价将在2022年大涨20%,创历史新高。投资者仍在不断上涨的价格和波动中,寻求安全感和通胀对冲。尽管加密货币继续获得市场份额,但黄金重新夺回了富翁避风港的称号。</p><p>七、尽管主要产油国得出结论认为,高油价正在加速新能源计划的实施。与此同时,高油价让美国页岩生产商重新盈利,但原油的总体产量增长不足以满足需求。当西德克萨斯原油价格上涨到每桶100美元以上时,分析师对油价的预测已经溃败了。</p><p>八、核能发电方案进入了竞技场。核电已经制定了足够的安全措施,以减少对其危险的担忧,核能的可行性也得到了广泛承认。一个主要的核设施被批准在美国中西部开发。</p><p>九、ESG的发展超越了公司政策声明。政府机构制定并实施新的监管标准,要求美国上市公司发布信息,记录在新时代被视为至关重要的各种指标的进展情况。美联储理事率先实施压力测试,以评估金融机构对气候变化情景的脆弱性。</p><p>十、美<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600617\">国新能源</a>项目推进受到阻碍,因为美国买不到足够多的锂电池来支撑电动车的生产计划。同样的,美国也没办法获得足够多的钴和镍。</p><p><b>另外4件可能发生的意外事件:</b></p><p>一、FDA批准了第一个体外基因编辑治疗方案。这刺激了基因组医学的进一步研究,并加速了体内基因疗法的发展。围绕CRISPR技术的伦理问题引发了激烈的争论,但投资者的注意力也集中在制药和医疗保健行业。</p><p>二、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>CEO Jamie Dimon改变了他在加密货币方面的立场,摩根大通寻求成为加密货币领域的领导者,数字经济得到了重大提振。加密货币成为金融市场的一个主要因素。</p><p>三、美国寻求成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03355\">先进半导体</a>能力的全球领导者,以减少对该技术离岸制造的依赖。美国政府承诺向半导体研究的私人承包商提供大笔资金。</p><p>四、波多黎各成为新的退休目的地的选择。人们被好天气和低税率所吸引,忘记对飓风的恐惧。</p><p><b>Byron R. Wien 去年的十大意外事件预测准确度怎么样呢?</b></p><p>一、前总统特朗普建立了自己的电视网络,并计划2024年的竞选活动。</p><p>准确度:几乎完全实现。特朗普已经组建了自己的媒体实体,并明确表示他计划在2024年参选美国总统。</p><p>二、尽管在美国总统竞选期间双方都发表了敌对言论,但拜登总统开始恢复与中国的建设性外交和贸易关系。中国A股领涨新兴市场。</p><p>准确度:没有变成现实。</p><p>三、五至十种疫苗的成功,以及治疗方法的改进,使美国能够在阵亡将士纪念日2021返回某种形式的“正常”。人们通常被要求在登机和参加剧院、电影、体育赛事和其他大型集会之前出示疫苗接种证明。去年推迟的夏季奥运会将于7月举行,允许观众参加。</p><p>准确度:几乎完全预测失误。只有“人们通常被要求在登机和参加剧院、电影、体育赛事和其他大型集会之前出示疫苗接种证明”实现了。</p><p>四、司法部对了对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>和Facebook的起诉立场缓和,认为消费者实际上从这些公司提供的服务中受益。</p><p>准确度:预测失误。</p><p>五、由于被压抑的需求爆发,低迷的酒店业和航空业股票表现强劲。财政和货币政策在历史上保持宽松。全年名义经济增长超过6%,失业率降至5%。</p><p>准确度:几乎全错。</p><p>六、随着宽松政策的继续,美联储和财政部公开接受现代货币理论。只要增长率超过通货膨胀率,赤字似乎就无关紧要。由于通胀温和上升,黄金反弹和加密货币在年内获得更多关注。</p><p>准确度:基本上是对的。虽然国会无法通过BBB,但美联储继续购买债券,赤字似乎不再重要。数字货币确实活得巨大关注,但黄金全年“低调”。</p><p>七、尽管能源公司高管下调了长期增长预期,但短期机会正在增加。恢复“正常”增加了工业活动和流动性,西德克萨斯中质油价格升至每桶65美元。钻机数量增加,能源高收益债券强劲反弹。能源股是2021年度表现最好的股票之一。</p><p>准确度:正确,预测与现实无缝对接上了。</p><p>八、股票市场扩大了。医疗和科技以外的股票也参与了价格上涨。市场在上半年调整了近20%,但标普500指数在2021年晚些时候达到4500点左右。周期股领涨防御性股,小盘股击败大盘股,“K”型股市复苏展开。大盘股科技股是流动性的来源,而这些股票今年表现落后。</p><p>准确度:对错参半,美股市场参与上涨的广度确实扩大了,但大型科技成长股和小盘价值表现一样好。</p><p>九、经济增长的激增导致10年期国债收益率上升至2%。收益率曲线变陡,但随之而来的通胀增加使实际利率接近于零。美联储希望房地产和汽车市场继续保持强劲势头。因此,它延长了债券购买的持续时间,以防止长期利率上升扼杀消费者和企业的信贷。</p><p>准确度:完全错误。</p><p>十、美元下跌局面扭转。疫苗接种后,美国经济和金融市场的强劲势头,吸引了对欧洲和日本债务上升和增长放缓不再抱有幻想的投资者。美国国债保持正收益率,套利交易继续。</p><p>准确度:正确。</p><p>总体而言,Byron R. Wien对2021年的预测中有4个是“正确的”或“基本正确的”;5个预测是"基本全错"或"完全错误的预测,;1个是对错参半的。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>黑石发布2022年十大预测!去年的准确度如何?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n黑石发布2022年十大预测!去年的准确度如何?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/99\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/c71e30d1317b4a5cb20a41998e10ac68);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Wind万得 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-01-04 14:55</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>一年一度的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">黑石</a>副总裁Byron R. Wien的新年十大意外事件预测又出炉了,这是他保持了37年的传统。相对而言,在本年度的预测中,Byron R. Wien似乎变得更加保守了,没有像以前那样“语不惊人死不休”。</p><p>Byron R. Wien将“意外”定义为一般投资者只会分配三分之一的概率会发生,但他认为发生的可能性超过50%。Byron R. Wien在1986年开始了预测一年10大意外事件的传统,当时他还是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>的首席美国投资策略师。拜伦于2009年9月加入黑石,担任该公司及其客户的高级顾问,分析经济、政治、市场和社会趋势。</p><p><b>Byron R. Wien 对2022年的十大意外事件预测如下:</b></p><p>一、不断上升的利率相冲淡盈利,标普500指数在2022年毫无斩获。价值表现超越成长。高波动性仍在继续,指数调整接近但不超过20%。</p><p>二、一些商品价格下降,工资和租金继续上涨,美国CPI以及其他更加广泛的通胀指标在2022年同比上涨4.5%。交通和能源价格的下跌,给通货膨胀“暂时的”支持新的证据,但持续的通货膨胀成为主导议题。</p><p>三、债券市场开始对美联储Taper和不断上涨通胀做出反应,10年期美债收益率上升至2.75%。2022年美联储将完成taper,并加息四次。</p><p>四、尽管Omicron变中病毒出现,但小组会议和大会等活动在年底前仍恢复到大流行前的水平。尽管在发达国家和欠发达国家,新冠病毒仍然是一个问题,但在美国基本上恢复了正常状况。人们每周有三到四天呆在办公室里,其余时间将回归剧院、音乐会和运动场等休闲娱乐。</p><p>五、中国家庭有更多的资本需要进行投资,资产管理行业开始在中国蓬勃发展。</p><p>六、金价将在2022年大涨20%,创历史新高。投资者仍在不断上涨的价格和波动中,寻求安全感和通胀对冲。尽管加密货币继续获得市场份额,但黄金重新夺回了富翁避风港的称号。</p><p>七、尽管主要产油国得出结论认为,高油价正在加速新能源计划的实施。与此同时,高油价让美国页岩生产商重新盈利,但原油的总体产量增长不足以满足需求。当西德克萨斯原油价格上涨到每桶100美元以上时,分析师对油价的预测已经溃败了。</p><p>八、核能发电方案进入了竞技场。核电已经制定了足够的安全措施,以减少对其危险的担忧,核能的可行性也得到了广泛承认。一个主要的核设施被批准在美国中西部开发。</p><p>九、ESG的发展超越了公司政策声明。政府机构制定并实施新的监管标准,要求美国上市公司发布信息,记录在新时代被视为至关重要的各种指标的进展情况。美联储理事率先实施压力测试,以评估金融机构对气候变化情景的脆弱性。</p><p>十、美<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600617\">国新能源</a>项目推进受到阻碍,因为美国买不到足够多的锂电池来支撑电动车的生产计划。同样的,美国也没办法获得足够多的钴和镍。</p><p><b>另外4件可能发生的意外事件:</b></p><p>一、FDA批准了第一个体外基因编辑治疗方案。这刺激了基因组医学的进一步研究,并加速了体内基因疗法的发展。围绕CRISPR技术的伦理问题引发了激烈的争论,但投资者的注意力也集中在制药和医疗保健行业。</p><p>二、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>CEO Jamie Dimon改变了他在加密货币方面的立场,摩根大通寻求成为加密货币领域的领导者,数字经济得到了重大提振。加密货币成为金融市场的一个主要因素。</p><p>三、美国寻求成为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03355\">先进半导体</a>能力的全球领导者,以减少对该技术离岸制造的依赖。美国政府承诺向半导体研究的私人承包商提供大笔资金。</p><p>四、波多黎各成为新的退休目的地的选择。人们被好天气和低税率所吸引,忘记对飓风的恐惧。</p><p><b>Byron R. Wien 去年的十大意外事件预测准确度怎么样呢?</b></p><p>一、前总统特朗普建立了自己的电视网络,并计划2024年的竞选活动。</p><p>准确度:几乎完全实现。特朗普已经组建了自己的媒体实体,并明确表示他计划在2024年参选美国总统。</p><p>二、尽管在美国总统竞选期间双方都发表了敌对言论,但拜登总统开始恢复与中国的建设性外交和贸易关系。中国A股领涨新兴市场。</p><p>准确度:没有变成现实。</p><p>三、五至十种疫苗的成功,以及治疗方法的改进,使美国能够在阵亡将士纪念日2021返回某种形式的“正常”。人们通常被要求在登机和参加剧院、电影、体育赛事和其他大型集会之前出示疫苗接种证明。去年推迟的夏季奥运会将于7月举行,允许观众参加。</p><p>准确度:几乎完全预测失误。只有“人们通常被要求在登机和参加剧院、电影、体育赛事和其他大型集会之前出示疫苗接种证明”实现了。</p><p>四、司法部对了对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>和Facebook的起诉立场缓和,认为消费者实际上从这些公司提供的服务中受益。</p><p>准确度:预测失误。</p><p>五、由于被压抑的需求爆发,低迷的酒店业和航空业股票表现强劲。财政和货币政策在历史上保持宽松。全年名义经济增长超过6%,失业率降至5%。</p><p>准确度:几乎全错。</p><p>六、随着宽松政策的继续,美联储和财政部公开接受现代货币理论。只要增长率超过通货膨胀率,赤字似乎就无关紧要。由于通胀温和上升,黄金反弹和加密货币在年内获得更多关注。</p><p>准确度:基本上是对的。虽然国会无法通过BBB,但美联储继续购买债券,赤字似乎不再重要。数字货币确实活得巨大关注,但黄金全年“低调”。</p><p>七、尽管能源公司高管下调了长期增长预期,但短期机会正在增加。恢复“正常”增加了工业活动和流动性,西德克萨斯中质油价格升至每桶65美元。钻机数量增加,能源高收益债券强劲反弹。能源股是2021年度表现最好的股票之一。</p><p>准确度:正确,预测与现实无缝对接上了。</p><p>八、股票市场扩大了。医疗和科技以外的股票也参与了价格上涨。市场在上半年调整了近20%,但标普500指数在2021年晚些时候达到4500点左右。周期股领涨防御性股,小盘股击败大盘股,“K”型股市复苏展开。大盘股科技股是流动性的来源,而这些股票今年表现落后。</p><p>准确度:对错参半,美股市场参与上涨的广度确实扩大了,但大型科技成长股和小盘价值表现一样好。</p><p>九、经济增长的激增导致10年期国债收益率上升至2%。收益率曲线变陡,但随之而来的通胀增加使实际利率接近于零。美联储希望房地产和汽车市场继续保持强劲势头。因此,它延长了债券购买的持续时间,以防止长期利率上升扼杀消费者和企业的信贷。</p><p>准确度:完全错误。</p><p>十、美元下跌局面扭转。疫苗接种后,美国经济和金融市场的强劲势头,吸引了对欧洲和日本债务上升和增长放缓不再抱有幻想的投资者。美国国债保持正收益率,套利交易继续。</p><p>准确度:正确。</p><p>总体而言,Byron R. Wien对2021年的预测中有4个是“正确的”或“基本正确的”;5个预测是"基本全错"或"完全错误的预测,;1个是对错参半的。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1809e27051e8cdce9de7de16a0c4b29c","relate_stocks":{"BK4135":"资产管理与托管银行","BX":"黑石"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142192650","content_text":"一年一度的黑石副总裁Byron R. Wien的新年十大意外事件预测又出炉了,这是他保持了37年的传统。相对而言,在本年度的预测中,Byron R. Wien似乎变得更加保守了,没有像以前那样“语不惊人死不休”。Byron R. Wien将“意外”定义为一般投资者只会分配三分之一的概率会发生,但他认为发生的可能性超过50%。Byron R. Wien在1986年开始了预测一年10大意外事件的传统,当时他还是摩根士丹利的首席美国投资策略师。拜伦于2009年9月加入黑石,担任该公司及其客户的高级顾问,分析经济、政治、市场和社会趋势。Byron R. Wien 对2022年的十大意外事件预测如下:一、不断上升的利率相冲淡盈利,标普500指数在2022年毫无斩获。价值表现超越成长。高波动性仍在继续,指数调整接近但不超过20%。二、一些商品价格下降,工资和租金继续上涨,美国CPI以及其他更加广泛的通胀指标在2022年同比上涨4.5%。交通和能源价格的下跌,给通货膨胀“暂时的”支持新的证据,但持续的通货膨胀成为主导议题。三、债券市场开始对美联储Taper和不断上涨通胀做出反应,10年期美债收益率上升至2.75%。2022年美联储将完成taper,并加息四次。四、尽管Omicron变中病毒出现,但小组会议和大会等活动在年底前仍恢复到大流行前的水平。尽管在发达国家和欠发达国家,新冠病毒仍然是一个问题,但在美国基本上恢复了正常状况。人们每周有三到四天呆在办公室里,其余时间将回归剧院、音乐会和运动场等休闲娱乐。五、中国家庭有更多的资本需要进行投资,资产管理行业开始在中国蓬勃发展。六、金价将在2022年大涨20%,创历史新高。投资者仍在不断上涨的价格和波动中,寻求安全感和通胀对冲。尽管加密货币继续获得市场份额,但黄金重新夺回了富翁避风港的称号。七、尽管主要产油国得出结论认为,高油价正在加速新能源计划的实施。与此同时,高油价让美国页岩生产商重新盈利,但原油的总体产量增长不足以满足需求。当西德克萨斯原油价格上涨到每桶100美元以上时,分析师对油价的预测已经溃败了。八、核能发电方案进入了竞技场。核电已经制定了足够的安全措施,以减少对其危险的担忧,核能的可行性也得到了广泛承认。一个主要的核设施被批准在美国中西部开发。九、ESG的发展超越了公司政策声明。政府机构制定并实施新的监管标准,要求美国上市公司发布信息,记录在新时代被视为至关重要的各种指标的进展情况。美联储理事率先实施压力测试,以评估金融机构对气候变化情景的脆弱性。十、美国新能源项目推进受到阻碍,因为美国买不到足够多的锂电池来支撑电动车的生产计划。同样的,美国也没办法获得足够多的钴和镍。另外4件可能发生的意外事件:一、FDA批准了第一个体外基因编辑治疗方案。这刺激了基因组医学的进一步研究,并加速了体内基因疗法的发展。围绕CRISPR技术的伦理问题引发了激烈的争论,但投资者的注意力也集中在制药和医疗保健行业。二、摩根大通CEO Jamie Dimon改变了他在加密货币方面的立场,摩根大通寻求成为加密货币领域的领导者,数字经济得到了重大提振。加密货币成为金融市场的一个主要因素。三、美国寻求成为先进半导体能力的全球领导者,以减少对该技术离岸制造的依赖。美国政府承诺向半导体研究的私人承包商提供大笔资金。四、波多黎各成为新的退休目的地的选择。人们被好天气和低税率所吸引,忘记对飓风的恐惧。Byron R. Wien 去年的十大意外事件预测准确度怎么样呢?一、前总统特朗普建立了自己的电视网络,并计划2024年的竞选活动。准确度:几乎完全实现。特朗普已经组建了自己的媒体实体,并明确表示他计划在2024年参选美国总统。二、尽管在美国总统竞选期间双方都发表了敌对言论,但拜登总统开始恢复与中国的建设性外交和贸易关系。中国A股领涨新兴市场。准确度:没有变成现实。三、五至十种疫苗的成功,以及治疗方法的改进,使美国能够在阵亡将士纪念日2021返回某种形式的“正常”。人们通常被要求在登机和参加剧院、电影、体育赛事和其他大型集会之前出示疫苗接种证明。去年推迟的夏季奥运会将于7月举行,允许观众参加。准确度:几乎完全预测失误。只有“人们通常被要求在登机和参加剧院、电影、体育赛事和其他大型集会之前出示疫苗接种证明”实现了。四、司法部对了对谷歌和Facebook的起诉立场缓和,认为消费者实际上从这些公司提供的服务中受益。准确度:预测失误。五、由于被压抑的需求爆发,低迷的酒店业和航空业股票表现强劲。财政和货币政策在历史上保持宽松。全年名义经济增长超过6%,失业率降至5%。准确度:几乎全错。六、随着宽松政策的继续,美联储和财政部公开接受现代货币理论。只要增长率超过通货膨胀率,赤字似乎就无关紧要。由于通胀温和上升,黄金反弹和加密货币在年内获得更多关注。准确度:基本上是对的。虽然国会无法通过BBB,但美联储继续购买债券,赤字似乎不再重要。数字货币确实活得巨大关注,但黄金全年“低调”。七、尽管能源公司高管下调了长期增长预期,但短期机会正在增加。恢复“正常”增加了工业活动和流动性,西德克萨斯中质油价格升至每桶65美元。钻机数量增加,能源高收益债券强劲反弹。能源股是2021年度表现最好的股票之一。准确度:正确,预测与现实无缝对接上了。八、股票市场扩大了。医疗和科技以外的股票也参与了价格上涨。市场在上半年调整了近20%,但标普500指数在2021年晚些时候达到4500点左右。周期股领涨防御性股,小盘股击败大盘股,“K”型股市复苏展开。大盘股科技股是流动性的来源,而这些股票今年表现落后。准确度:对错参半,美股市场参与上涨的广度确实扩大了,但大型科技成长股和小盘价值表现一样好。九、经济增长的激增导致10年期国债收益率上升至2%。收益率曲线变陡,但随之而来的通胀增加使实际利率接近于零。美联储希望房地产和汽车市场继续保持强劲势头。因此,它延长了债券购买的持续时间,以防止长期利率上升扼杀消费者和企业的信贷。准确度:完全错误。十、美元下跌局面扭转。疫苗接种后,美国经济和金融市场的强劲势头,吸引了对欧洲和日本债务上升和增长放缓不再抱有幻想的投资者。美国国债保持正收益率,套利交易继续。准确度:正确。总体而言,Byron R. 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