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shannnnn
2021-08-09
$贝壳(BEKE)$
不是财报不好要裁员吗?还涨?
shannnnn
2021-07-08
$高途(GOTU)$
发一个第一视角吧,假如我是教委高层,我会改变学区房规则,为了不让有钱人的小孩跟我的小孩上一个学校,我会限制在线教育,让教育落后地区地方的小孩无法追上我孩子,我会限制寒暑假周末补课,减轻我孩子的压力,坚决积极响应上层的号召,落实相关政策[微笑]
shannnnn
2021-06-17
教育监管部的那帮穷人可不这么想,他们所处一二线,由没钱比不过,想着禁止来达到平衡
如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?
shannnnn
2021-03-26
$RLX科技(RLX)$
看到新闻我割肉了,结果是新闻写错了,损失的钱老虎有赔偿吗?[愤怒]
shannnnn
2020-11-25
$蔚来(NIO)$
怎么办,止损么[难过]
shannnnn
2020-10-05
$贝壳(BEKE)$
190股拉3个多点,我见过最牛逼的盘前
shannnnn
2020-03-20
$诺诚健华(09969)$
[惊讶]
shannnnn
2020-03-13
$跟谁学(GSX)$
跌就加仓
shannnnn
2020-03-13
$京东(JD)$
京东跌就加仓
shannnnn
2020-03-09
$蔚来(NIO)$
跌倒2块加一波仓成本就变3.5了,加油[喷血]
shannnnn
2020-02-28
$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$
等花开
shannnnn
2020-02-20
$跟谁学(GSX)$
[晕]给做空的小伙伴一次后悔的机会吧,回本再也不空了
shannnnn
2020-02-18
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
小破站不碰碰100亿吗?
shannnnn
2020-02-03
$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$
冲啊,小破站,马上回本了
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">$贝壳(BEKE)$</a>不是财报不好要裁员吗?还涨?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BEKE\">$贝壳(BEKE)$</a>不是财报不好要裁员吗?还涨?","text":"$贝壳(BEKE)$不是财报不好要裁员吗?还涨?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898471817","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3470,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149709646,"gmtCreate":1625746811885,"gmtModify":1625746811885,"author":{"id":"3538606874691976","authorId":"3538606874691976","name":"shannnnn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3538606874691976","idStr":"3538606874691976"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$</a>发一个第一视角吧,假如我是教委高层,我会改变学区房规则,为了不让有钱人的小孩跟我的小孩上一个学校,我会限制在线教育,让教育落后地区地方的小孩无法追上我孩子,我会限制寒暑假周末补课,减轻我孩子的压力,坚决积极响应上层的号召,落实相关政策[微笑] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$</a>发一个第一视角吧,假如我是教委高层,我会改变学区房规则,为了不让有钱人的小孩跟我的小孩上一个学校,我会限制在线教育,让教育落后地区地方的小孩无法追上我孩子,我会限制寒暑假周末补课,减轻我孩子的压力,坚决积极响应上层的号召,落实相关政策[微笑] ","text":"$高途(GOTU)$发一个第一视角吧,假如我是教委高层,我会改变学区房规则,为了不让有钱人的小孩跟我的小孩上一个学校,我会限制在线教育,让教育落后地区地方的小孩无法追上我孩子,我会限制寒暑假周末补课,减轻我孩子的压力,坚决积极响应上层的号召,落实相关政策[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149709646","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4354,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161355903,"gmtCreate":1623906721302,"gmtModify":1623906721302,"author":{"id":"3538606874691976","authorId":"3538606874691976","name":"shannnnn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3538606874691976","idStr":"3538606874691976"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"教育监管部的那帮穷人可不这么想,他们所处一二线,由没钱比不过,想着禁止来达到平衡","listText":"教育监管部的那帮穷人可不这么想,他们所处一二线,由没钱比不过,想着禁止来达到平衡","text":"教育监管部的那帮穷人可不这么想,他们所处一二线,由没钱比不过,想着禁止来达到平衡","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161355903","repostId":"1101656645","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1101656645","pubTimestamp":1623902534,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1101656645?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 12:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101656645","media":"古三古四","summary":"校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。","content":"<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!</p>\n<p>最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。</p>\n<p>但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。</p>\n<p>各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。</p>\n<p>太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。</p>\n<p>而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。</p>\n<p><b>中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。</b>能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。</p>\n<p>既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。</p>\n<p><b>校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。</b></p>\n<p>校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。</p>\n<p>这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。</p>\n<p><b>而指挥这场战役的,是高考。</b></p>\n<p><b>一考定终身。</b></p>\n<p>在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。</p>\n<p>十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。</p>\n<p>有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?</p>\n<p>值。非常值。</p>\n<p>如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。</p>\n<p>你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。</p>\n<p>如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。</p>\n<p>这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。</p>\n<p>这么大的产出,当然要拼。</p>\n<p>当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。</p>\n<p>但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。</p>\n<p><b>既然概率高,就值得追求。</b></p>\n<p>那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?</p>\n<p>有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。</p>\n<p><b>这美好的一切真的会发生吗?</b></p>\n<p>假设有一天真发生了。</p>\n<p>张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。</p>\n<p>没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。</p>\n<p>张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。</p>\n<p>就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。</p>\n<p>你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。<b>我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。</b></p>\n<p>再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。</p>\n<p>然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。</p>\n<p>原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。</p>\n<p><b>取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。</b></p>\n<p>这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?</p>\n<p>而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。</p>\n<p>农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?</p>\n<p>这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,<b>我就从需求方转为供给者。</b></p>\n<p>这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。</p>\n<p>中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。</p>\n<p>相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。</p>\n<p>鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。</p>\n<p>而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。</p>\n<p>取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。</p>","source":"lsy1623902592118","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 12:02 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA><strong>古三古四</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"TAL":"好未来","YQ":"一起教育科技","GOTU":"高途","IH":"洪恩","01797":"东方甄选","DAO":"有道","COE":"51TALK","EDU":"新东方","ZME":"掌门教育","09901":"新东方-S"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101656645","content_text":"教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。\n校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。\n校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。\n这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。\n而指挥这场战役的,是高考。\n一考定终身。\n在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。\n十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。\n有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?\n值。非常值。\n如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。\n你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。\n如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。\n这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。\n这么大的产出,当然要拼。\n当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。\n但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。\n既然概率高,就值得追求。\n那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?\n有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。\n这美好的一切真的会发生吗?\n假设有一天真发生了。\n张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。\n没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。\n张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。\n就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。\n你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。\n再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。\n然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。\n原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。\n取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。\n这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?\n而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。\n农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?\n这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,我就从需求方转为供给者。\n这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。\n中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。\n相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。\n鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。\n而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。\n取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356398209,"gmtCreate":1616753840901,"gmtModify":1616753840901,"author":{"id":"3538606874691976","authorId":"3538606874691976","name":"shannnnn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3538606874691976","idStr":"3538606874691976"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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12:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1101656645","media":"古三古四","summary":"校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。","content":"<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!</p>\n<p>最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。</p>\n<p>但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。</p>\n<p>各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。</p>\n<p>太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。</p>\n<p>而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。</p>\n<p><b>中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。</b>能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。</p>\n<p>既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。</p>\n<p><b>校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。</b></p>\n<p>校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。</p>\n<p>这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。</p>\n<p><b>而指挥这场战役的,是高考。</b></p>\n<p><b>一考定终身。</b></p>\n<p>在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。</p>\n<p>十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。</p>\n<p>有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?</p>\n<p>值。非常值。</p>\n<p>如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。</p>\n<p>你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。</p>\n<p>如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。</p>\n<p>这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。</p>\n<p>这么大的产出,当然要拼。</p>\n<p>当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。</p>\n<p>但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。</p>\n<p><b>既然概率高,就值得追求。</b></p>\n<p>那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?</p>\n<p>有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。</p>\n<p><b>这美好的一切真的会发生吗?</b></p>\n<p>假设有一天真发生了。</p>\n<p>张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。</p>\n<p>没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。</p>\n<p>张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。</p>\n<p>就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。</p>\n<p>你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。<b>我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。</b></p>\n<p>再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。</p>\n<p>然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。</p>\n<p>原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。</p>\n<p><b>取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。</b></p>\n<p>这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?</p>\n<p>而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。</p>\n<p>农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?</p>\n<p>这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,<b>我就从需求方转为供给者。</b></p>\n<p>这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。</p>\n<p>中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。</p>\n<p>相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。</p>\n<p>鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。</p>\n<p>而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。</p>\n<p>取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。</p>","source":"lsy1623902592118","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n如果全面关停课外培训班会怎么样?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 12:02 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA><strong>古三古四</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"TAL":"好未来","YQ":"一起教育科技","GOTU":"高途","IH":"洪恩","01797":"东方甄选","DAO":"有道","COE":"51TALK","EDU":"新东方","ZME":"掌门教育","09901":"新东方-S"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bkyKEz8c0dUQX-BjZQbpJA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1101656645","content_text":"教育界发生一件大事,教育培训监管司正式成立!\n最近对教育培训的相关传闻挺多的,大多是谣言。\n但背后对应的是一股汹涌的民意,就是对校外教育培训的强烈不满。\n各类传言下面,点赞率最高的往往是“取缔一切校外教育培训机构”。\n太多家长痛恨补习班了,花钱,费力,全家无比痛苦。\n而家长们对教育的追求,也被评为内卷。\n中国的高考,打的是排名战,不是水平战。能不能上好大学,与你的水平无关,只与你的排名相关。\n既然是排名赛,本质上就是竞争稀缺资源,那各家家长使出吃奶的劲,花大钱去校外辅导,目的只有一个,在高考的排名战中一举超越竞争对手。\n校外教育培训机构,本质上是家长们厮杀的战场。\n校内教育,大家接受的东西都一样,那我如何实现弯道超车呢?咱换个战场比,比钱多少,比父母辅导能力,比管理孩子的能力。\n这个厮杀战,不是以班级为单位展开的,而是以省为单位展开的,即使你在班上第一名,也没用,你要拼的是全省第N名。\n而指挥这场战役的,是高考。\n一考定终身。\n在北京,有家长花数百万买学区房,有人上培训班年支出超过十万。\n十年前,学大教育一对一辅导曾收取过上百万一个人的天价。\n有人说,中国的家长疯了,为了孩子的教育,这么大的投资值得吗?\n值。非常值。\n如果你考进211,985,大部分家长的投入就基本回来了,因为这样的大学生均年经费都是几十万。比如复旦大学,年支出经费就八十亿,如果按学生数量算,人均一年十六万,但学生只需要交几千块的学费。这个经费还没有计算土地,因为很多大学的土地是免费划拨的。\n你进了好的大学,相当于你可以享受到巨额的财政补贴。\n如果读到博士,总补贴金额没有一百万,也有大几十万。\n这还只是读大学时享受到的。读完大学呢?海外留学,国内公务员,国内名企,一生下来,收入可能与普通大学毕业生相差千万级别以上。\n这么大的产出,当然要拼。\n当然,教育这种东西,投资回报率是一种概率,读北大都可能读成废材,人不是工业品,偶然性因素很多。\n但人决策行动时,都需要面向不确定性,进好学校有好前途,这是大概率。\n既然概率高,就值得追求。\n那网上取消培训班的要求出现会缓解这种竞争吗?\n有人想象了这么一幅美好的画面,从此孩子们的竞争只发生在学校的课堂里,下了课没作业,然后开心的玩耍,然后父母晚上不再痛苦,不再逼孩子写作业了,不再接送孩子上培训班了。\n这美好的一切真的会发生吗?\n假设有一天真发生了。\n张三他妈发现,张三班上的同学回家后全在打游戏,看电视,她一下就欣喜若狂,什么是机会?对手放松,那就是我的机会。\n没有校外辅导班,好办,咱把老师请回家,一请请三个。晚上六点到十二点,每个老师两小时,小样,瞧我家张三,那分数蹭蹭蹭地往上涨。\n张三他妈刚刚高兴了半学期。李四妈妈得知了这个消息。\n就你家有钱?你请的起,我就不能请?我能把985的位置让给你吗?不行。\n你天天晚上请,我就天天晚上再加上周六周日全请,全排满。我怎么可能竞争不过你?不就是比钱多吗?比房子大吗?老娘舍得在孩子身上花钱。\n再过几天,全校家里有条件的全部都把一对一家教老师请上了,由于需求旺盛,普通的一对一老师的价格从一小时二百上涨到一小时三四百了,优秀的一小时涨到五百了。\n然后家里困难一点的学生家长面对这个情况就傻眼了。\n原来可以上培训班,一个老师教二十个孩子,我一小时八十一百就行了,现在我得花五百一小时,咱家穷实在是花不起啊。\n取消培训班,意味着原来小班制教学全部要换为一对一家教模式,这就造成了供给不足。\n这时,所有的在一二线城市的大学生们,将疯狂地冲进家庭成为家教老师,哪怕挂科,也要疯狂,月入上万,谁不干?\n而三四线城市的家长将无计可施,就算出的起钱,但优秀的人才都在一二线啊。\n农村高中,就不要想了,集体躺平吧,除了个别天才,你就别指望了。可能当地最好的老师全跑到一二线城市当家教去了,五百一小时,一晚上可能上千的收入,还呆在五线县城和农村做什么?\n这时,中产还有新招。培训老师太贵,我就从需求方转为供给者。\n这什么意思呢?打个比方说,如果滴滴一公里涨价到二十块,你去十公里外的公司上班要二百,那你会干什么?你会辞职去开滴滴,你会从消费者转变为供给者。\n中产家庭面对这种情况,会让知识水平较高的妈妈们离职,在家成为专职老师,白天就自学课程,天天在网上听名师讲课,晚上就自己亲自动手教小孩。\n相当于这个妈妈每晚四小时的工作收入一千多。\n鸡娃大战将进入贴身肉搏的程度,以至于不少妈妈们在孩子高考完了,立马就变身职业家教了。\n而富人将轻松用金钱将穷人打败,知识分子中产阶级孕育出一批比学校老师还牛的家长型家教,而四五线小县城农村的学生,则集体躺平,真正实现素质教育,下了课就和父母进行吵架素质训练,教不了,就只能骂了。\n取消培训班真就这么香吗?不见得喔。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":967425930,"gmtCreate":1584680806620,"gmtModify":1704355599309,"author":{"id":"3538606874691976","authorId":"3538606874691976","name":"shannnnn","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3538606874691976","authorIdStr":"3538606874691976"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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