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起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-04-27
1
1
1
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-03-20
也不知道底在哪
@小伞投资:昨天因为有瓜没有更新,大家理解。前面我一直提到本轮崩盘的核心逻辑是投资者由于担心疫情扩散对经济活动造成打击,从而抛售风险资产造成暴跌。我们就先来看看疫情目前的情况。国内继续保持很好的控制状态。全球看数据就没那么乐观了,昨天新增确诊继续暴涨,达到17000人左右 (截图数据显示有问题)。但仔细分析疫情最严重的5个国家的详细数据就好发现,除美国外的所有国家新增确诊数据继前天大幅增长后昨天均出现了下降。这不难理解,随着疫情越来越被重视,各国的防控力度升级,造成短期检测人数增加,确诊爆发。但随着存量疑似人数的消耗,新增确诊人数会大福下降。美国在这次疫情中反应过慢,因此新增确诊还在暴涨,预计很快也同样会大幅下降。虽然数据还在大福增加,但是现在基本可以判断全球疫情到了最高峰了,很快就会迎来转折。其实新冠病毒有那么可怕吗?不论从传播还是致死率来说并没有那么可怕。之前之所以全面爆发是因为一开始没有引起大家的重视,随着各国纷纷重视共同升级防控措施,疫情很快被控制已是必然。本**跌同样现在基本上已经处于最后阶段了,疫情的恐慌已经大大缓解。但是部分媒体和别有用心的人依然在制造恐慌,大家一定要保持清醒。从这两天盘面来看全球股市已经下跌乏力,出现企稳迹象,原油价格也出现了大幅反弹。基于以上分析,我依然维持道指18000左右是本**跌的阶段底部看法。当然疫情对经济的长远影响目前没有办法评估,近期市场也可能出现反复。但是投资者对疫情的过度恐慌造成全球市场短期超跌已经非常严重,报复性的反弹即将展开,机会就在眼前!加油!
$恒生指数(HSI)$
$腾讯控股(00700)$
$小米集团
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-03-19
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-03-17
$苹果(AAPL)$
1
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-03-04
2.0一次转发带图
@小布吉岛: 短视频帖
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-03-04
2次//
@Karry
:1次
抱歉,原内容已删除
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-02-27
可以
@53dafed7:
$中手游(00302)$
疫情受益股
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-02-26
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-02-26
1
2@牛牛呀
1
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-02-25
哈哈
@小虎AV: 【英特尔推出首个10纳米5G基站芯片】2月24日,英特尔宣布新的5G战略,推出其首个10纳米5G基站芯片平台凌动P5900,以及一系列5G产品, 旨在满足关键5G网络需求,以代替华为芯片。英特尔表示,目标在2021年占据基站硅芯片市场40%的份额[哟哟] $英特尔(INTC)$
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-02-25
可以可以,这个不错
@爱上趋势股:【干货17】大盘暴跌的正确应对方式!(上篇)
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-02-14
888
@小虎AV: 【美国工厂获奥斯卡,导演感谢曹德旺】当地时间2月9日,《美国工厂》获第92届奥斯卡最佳纪录长片。导演史蒂文·博格纳尔 ( Steven Bognar)用中文感谢曹德旺。导演朱莉娅·赖克特(Julia Reichert)表示,这个故事发生在每一个打卡上下班的工人身边[666]
$福耀玻璃(03606)$
$福耀玻璃(600660)$
$Netflix, Inc.(NFLX)$
起个很长的名字呀9999
2020-02-13
哈哈
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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\n \n 短视频帖\n 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19:03","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉打暴空头:1个月亏600亿,空头仓位降至5年新低","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198806252","media":"券商中国","summary":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/2EEY-rTcY9O1PH8vAaf4UQ","content":"<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa55be9ffe05326b9c93b94da9fe14d4\"></p>\n<p><b><span>在短短一个月的时机内,做空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>的资金已经亏损高达85亿美元,大约600亿人民币。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>虽然股神巴菲特给出特斯拉“差评”,婉转建议孙宇晨卖掉特斯拉的股票,但最新数据显示,因空头仓位巨亏,尤其是特斯拉股价在过去一个月猛涨56%,特斯拉未平仓的空头仓位降至2263万股,创下5年新低。</span></p>\n<p><span>特斯拉Model 3的价格也显示出威力,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>2月11日披露的信息显示,一月份新能源汽车销量下滑75%。即便如此,特斯拉仍处于严重的分歧当中,一些做空机构强调特斯拉最终将失败,但选择在泡沫阶段暂时放弃做空。但一些机构分析师基于特斯拉对其他对手的压倒性优势,认为特斯拉股价还要上涨10倍,达到一股6000美元。</span></p>\n<p><span>有意思的是,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>对特斯拉“又爱又恨”——唱空做多,去年四季度增仓特斯拉超6倍。根据摩根大通提交的F13报告,其在去年四季度将特斯拉持仓增加609.49%,至2537599股。截至2月11日收盘,持仓市值达到19.64亿美元。去年10月3日,据CNBC报道,摩根大通建议低配特斯拉,警告称特斯拉全年业绩预测将下调。</span></p>\n<p>特斯拉疯牛股价暴打做空机构</p>\n<p><span>截至2月11日,特斯拉当前股价徘徊在771美元附近,而在过去三周的时间内,特斯拉的股价每周至少上涨10%,市值因此累计增加超过430亿美元,当前总市值接近1400亿美元。</span></p>\n<p><span>特斯拉的股价表现,令做空股票的空头极不淡定。</span></p>\n<p><span>知名做空机构香椽在做空特斯拉股价中损失惨重,这家机构在2月4日表示,承诺不再做空特斯拉,也表示即使马斯克是基金经理,他也会做空特斯拉的股票,因为“这不再与技术有关,它已成为新的华尔街赌场”。</span></p>\n<p><span>做空特斯拉股价的明星基金经理,还包括绿光资本创始人Einhorn,绿光资本甚至因为长期做空特斯拉,而与特斯拉创始人马斯克隔空互怼。也因为如此,长期做空特斯拉,令绿光资本损失惨重。</span></p>\n<p><span>在特斯拉这轮上涨行情之前,绿光资本原本在9个月内获得24%的投资收益,但当特斯拉股价从去年10月初的244美元,上涨到去年12月中旬的400美元,绿光资本就已经亏损十分严重了。</span></p>\n<p><span>在2019年12月底,Einhorn一方面宣布做空特斯拉是非常失败的押注,另一方面宣布不会改变态度,继续做空特斯拉,因为特斯拉毕竟刚在一个半月时间内上涨了100%。</span></p>\n<p><span>意想不到的是,特斯拉还在继续大涨。从去年12月中旬到现在,特斯拉的股价又从400美元,一路上涨到最高968美元,截至2月11日,特斯拉股价略有回调,但依然维持在770美元附近。</span></p>\n<p><span>仅仅上涨到400美元,绿光资本就已经亏得绿光闪闪,而今770美元附近的特斯拉,恐怕让绿光资本更加难受。</span></p>\n<p><span>在这种背景下,许多做空特斯拉的基金经理,正如做空机构香椽那样宣布放弃做空特斯拉。</span></p>\n<p><span>即便特斯拉是个“骗子”,但和趋势作对,也可能在正确的时刻到来之前,一切都已经结束。在这种背景下,许多做空特斯拉的基金经理,正如做空机构香椽那样宣布放弃做空特斯拉。</span></p>\n<p><span>据金融分析公司S3 Partner数据,截至2月7日,特斯拉未平仓空头仓位2263万股,占流通股的15.91%,这是2014年12月来新低。过去30天,特斯拉未平仓空头减少329万股,同期股价上涨56%。过去一周,未平仓空头仓位减少176万股。相比2月6日的2353万股,7日减少90万股。截至2月7日,2020年以来的特斯拉空头亏损85亿美元。</span></p>\n<p>巴菲特继续给特斯拉“差评”</p>\n<p><b><span>不过,空头大幅减少头寸,仅仅改变了投资策略,但很可能仍未改变对特斯拉价值的判断,就像放弃做空的香椽公司,仍然坚信特斯拉的股票是一个赌场。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>美国主流机构对特斯拉的判断,很像国内大佬对比特币的态度。即便比特币大幅上涨,但中国的主流投资人仍然倾向于认为,比特币只是一个赌场,意即“价格上涨不代表什么”。</span></p>\n<p><span>特斯拉及其创始人马斯克的行事风格,一直不受美国主流机构的认可,也包括股神巴菲特。</span></p>\n<p><span>根据2月7日的国外媒体报道,巴菲特得知孙宇晨持有特斯拉的股票后,他告诉孙宇晨“特斯拉不是一个好股票”。巴菲特认为,特斯拉CEO马斯克是伟大企业家,但特斯拉股票不是好的投资标的,由于汽车行业竞争非常激烈,特斯拉的竞争对手,拥有大量现金储备的竞争对手都不会退出。</span></p>\n<p><span>就像巴菲特一样,罗斯资本分析师克欧文也表示,特斯拉股价存在巨大泡沫,并重申卖出评级,认为特斯拉目标价在350美元,相当于目前价格的一半不到。</span></p>\n<p><span>上述分析师说,特斯拉的估值太高,已是戴姆勒公司的两倍多,接近宝马的4倍,特斯拉最终将面临激烈的竞争,其他汽车制造商将会在两年或十年内赶上特斯拉。显而易见的,这一观点和逻辑,几乎复制了巴菲特的说法。</span></p>\n<p><span>罗斯资本的这位分析师还强调,虽然特斯拉最终要暴跌,但暂时不能做空特斯拉,因为泡沫有可能还在持续当中。这可能就像巴菲特所说的,无法预测泡沫的时间有多长,做空泡沫,极可能被泡沫所消灭。</span></p>\n<p>特斯拉股票能达到每股6000美元?</p>\n<p><span>那么,特斯拉的股票到底靠不靠谱?现在可能是特斯拉股票分歧最为严重的时刻,即便空头已经大规模撤出,而在看空、做空的另一边,特斯拉对国内竞争对手的冲击,却是明明白白的,反过来强化了做多资金信心。</span></p>\n<p><span>2月11日,比亚迪披露的最新一期月度快报显示,公司1月份总体的汽车销量为25173辆,同比下滑42.68%,其中新能源车销量7133辆,同比下滑75.12%,这个下滑速度非常惊人。</span></p>\n<p><span>市场分析人士认为,如果排除春节和武汉疫情的因素,能够冲击比亚迪新能源汽车销量的,可能就是特斯拉,尤其是特斯拉的Model 3落地价仅30万元,这远远低于市场预期,这可能意味着特斯拉将在国内市场份额中占据主动优势。</span></p>\n<p><span>一些分析师也注意到特斯拉在中国市场的强劲竞争力,并认为特斯拉股价有可能变得比当前770美元更高。</span></p>\n<p><span>高到多少?每一股6000美元。方舟投资管理公司分析师塔莎·基尼表示,在未来五年内,特斯拉股价有望达到每股6000美元。也就是说,特斯拉股价自2月11日开始,仍有10倍的上涨空间。</span></p>\n<p><span>“我们所看到的情况是:汽车市场的其他厂商远远落后于特斯拉。”上述分析师认为,特斯拉在软件和硬件领域领先于同行,其他汽车制造商还没有生产出一款能与7~8年前问世的Model S相媲美的电动汽车。</span></p>\n<p><span>较为中立的意见可能来自国内的分析师。</span></p>\n<p><span>“未来特斯拉的领先优势可能会逐步缩小。”任泽平认为,在智能化和自动驾驶领域,特斯拉自研车载操作系统和自动驾驶芯片,目前在整车OTA与L2自动驾驶的用户体验上超过大多数竞争对手。但考虑到诸如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>手机那样的外观和供应链极易被模仿借鉴,未来特斯拉在电动化领域的领先优势可能被逐步缩小,核心竞争力在于智能化、无人驾驶技术、数据和品牌。</span></p>\n<p><span>任泽平将特斯拉与苹果作为研究对象,或许存在参考价值。虽然OPPO早期被认为是苹果的山寨版,但以模仿起家的OPPO截至2019年底,在全球智能手机出货量中排名第四。</span></p>\n<p><span>也就是说,特斯拉当前具有领先优势,但未来电动汽车市场竞争格局仍具有不确定性。</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉打暴空头:1个月亏600亿,空头仓位降至5年新低\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/9\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d482d56459984e8c86a6a137295b3c4f);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">券商中国 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-02-13 19:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa55be9ffe05326b9c93b94da9fe14d4\"></p>\n<p><b><span>在短短一个月的时机内,做空<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>的资金已经亏损高达85亿美元,大约600亿人民币。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>虽然股神巴菲特给出特斯拉“差评”,婉转建议孙宇晨卖掉特斯拉的股票,但最新数据显示,因空头仓位巨亏,尤其是特斯拉股价在过去一个月猛涨56%,特斯拉未平仓的空头仓位降至2263万股,创下5年新低。</span></p>\n<p><span>特斯拉Model 3的价格也显示出威力,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002594\">比亚迪</a>2月11日披露的信息显示,一月份新能源汽车销量下滑75%。即便如此,特斯拉仍处于严重的分歧当中,一些做空机构强调特斯拉最终将失败,但选择在泡沫阶段暂时放弃做空。但一些机构分析师基于特斯拉对其他对手的压倒性优势,认为特斯拉股价还要上涨10倍,达到一股6000美元。</span></p>\n<p><span>有意思的是,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>对特斯拉“又爱又恨”——唱空做多,去年四季度增仓特斯拉超6倍。根据摩根大通提交的F13报告,其在去年四季度将特斯拉持仓增加609.49%,至2537599股。截至2月11日收盘,持仓市值达到19.64亿美元。去年10月3日,据CNBC报道,摩根大通建议低配特斯拉,警告称特斯拉全年业绩预测将下调。</span></p>\n<p>特斯拉疯牛股价暴打做空机构</p>\n<p><span>截至2月11日,特斯拉当前股价徘徊在771美元附近,而在过去三周的时间内,特斯拉的股价每周至少上涨10%,市值因此累计增加超过430亿美元,当前总市值接近1400亿美元。</span></p>\n<p><span>特斯拉的股价表现,令做空股票的空头极不淡定。</span></p>\n<p><span>知名做空机构香椽在做空特斯拉股价中损失惨重,这家机构在2月4日表示,承诺不再做空特斯拉,也表示即使马斯克是基金经理,他也会做空特斯拉的股票,因为“这不再与技术有关,它已成为新的华尔街赌场”。</span></p>\n<p><span>做空特斯拉股价的明星基金经理,还包括绿光资本创始人Einhorn,绿光资本甚至因为长期做空特斯拉,而与特斯拉创始人马斯克隔空互怼。也因为如此,长期做空特斯拉,令绿光资本损失惨重。</span></p>\n<p><span>在特斯拉这轮上涨行情之前,绿光资本原本在9个月内获得24%的投资收益,但当特斯拉股价从去年10月初的244美元,上涨到去年12月中旬的400美元,绿光资本就已经亏损十分严重了。</span></p>\n<p><span>在2019年12月底,Einhorn一方面宣布做空特斯拉是非常失败的押注,另一方面宣布不会改变态度,继续做空特斯拉,因为特斯拉毕竟刚在一个半月时间内上涨了100%。</span></p>\n<p><span>意想不到的是,特斯拉还在继续大涨。从去年12月中旬到现在,特斯拉的股价又从400美元,一路上涨到最高968美元,截至2月11日,特斯拉股价略有回调,但依然维持在770美元附近。</span></p>\n<p><span>仅仅上涨到400美元,绿光资本就已经亏得绿光闪闪,而今770美元附近的特斯拉,恐怕让绿光资本更加难受。</span></p>\n<p><span>在这种背景下,许多做空特斯拉的基金经理,正如做空机构香椽那样宣布放弃做空特斯拉。</span></p>\n<p><span>即便特斯拉是个“骗子”,但和趋势作对,也可能在正确的时刻到来之前,一切都已经结束。在这种背景下,许多做空特斯拉的基金经理,正如做空机构香椽那样宣布放弃做空特斯拉。</span></p>\n<p><span>据金融分析公司S3 Partner数据,截至2月7日,特斯拉未平仓空头仓位2263万股,占流通股的15.91%,这是2014年12月来新低。过去30天,特斯拉未平仓空头减少329万股,同期股价上涨56%。过去一周,未平仓空头仓位减少176万股。相比2月6日的2353万股,7日减少90万股。截至2月7日,2020年以来的特斯拉空头亏损85亿美元。</span></p>\n<p>巴菲特继续给特斯拉“差评”</p>\n<p><b><span>不过,空头大幅减少头寸,仅仅改变了投资策略,但很可能仍未改变对特斯拉价值的判断,就像放弃做空的香椽公司,仍然坚信特斯拉的股票是一个赌场。</span></b></p>\n<p><span>美国主流机构对特斯拉的判断,很像国内大佬对比特币的态度。即便比特币大幅上涨,但中国的主流投资人仍然倾向于认为,比特币只是一个赌场,意即“价格上涨不代表什么”。</span></p>\n<p><span>特斯拉及其创始人马斯克的行事风格,一直不受美国主流机构的认可,也包括股神巴菲特。</span></p>\n<p><span>根据2月7日的国外媒体报道,巴菲特得知孙宇晨持有特斯拉的股票后,他告诉孙宇晨“特斯拉不是一个好股票”。巴菲特认为,特斯拉CEO马斯克是伟大企业家,但特斯拉股票不是好的投资标的,由于汽车行业竞争非常激烈,特斯拉的竞争对手,拥有大量现金储备的竞争对手都不会退出。</span></p>\n<p><span>就像巴菲特一样,罗斯资本分析师克欧文也表示,特斯拉股价存在巨大泡沫,并重申卖出评级,认为特斯拉目标价在350美元,相当于目前价格的一半不到。</span></p>\n<p><span>上述分析师说,特斯拉的估值太高,已是戴姆勒公司的两倍多,接近宝马的4倍,特斯拉最终将面临激烈的竞争,其他汽车制造商将会在两年或十年内赶上特斯拉。显而易见的,这一观点和逻辑,几乎复制了巴菲特的说法。</span></p>\n<p><span>罗斯资本的这位分析师还强调,虽然特斯拉最终要暴跌,但暂时不能做空特斯拉,因为泡沫有可能还在持续当中。这可能就像巴菲特所说的,无法预测泡沫的时间有多长,做空泡沫,极可能被泡沫所消灭。</span></p>\n<p>特斯拉股票能达到每股6000美元?</p>\n<p><span>那么,特斯拉的股票到底靠不靠谱?现在可能是特斯拉股票分歧最为严重的时刻,即便空头已经大规模撤出,而在看空、做空的另一边,特斯拉对国内竞争对手的冲击,却是明明白白的,反过来强化了做多资金信心。</span></p>\n<p><span>2月11日,比亚迪披露的最新一期月度快报显示,公司1月份总体的汽车销量为25173辆,同比下滑42.68%,其中新能源车销量7133辆,同比下滑75.12%,这个下滑速度非常惊人。</span></p>\n<p><span>市场分析人士认为,如果排除春节和武汉疫情的因素,能够冲击比亚迪新能源汽车销量的,可能就是特斯拉,尤其是特斯拉的Model 3落地价仅30万元,这远远低于市场预期,这可能意味着特斯拉将在国内市场份额中占据主动优势。</span></p>\n<p><span>一些分析师也注意到特斯拉在中国市场的强劲竞争力,并认为特斯拉股价有可能变得比当前770美元更高。</span></p>\n<p><span>高到多少?每一股6000美元。方舟投资管理公司分析师塔莎·基尼表示,在未来五年内,特斯拉股价有望达到每股6000美元。也就是说,特斯拉股价自2月11日开始,仍有10倍的上涨空间。</span></p>\n<p><span>“我们所看到的情况是:汽车市场的其他厂商远远落后于特斯拉。”上述分析师认为,特斯拉在软件和硬件领域领先于同行,其他汽车制造商还没有生产出一款能与7~8年前问世的Model S相媲美的电动汽车。</span></p>\n<p><span>较为中立的意见可能来自国内的分析师。</span></p>\n<p><span>“未来特斯拉的领先优势可能会逐步缩小。”任泽平认为,在智能化和自动驾驶领域,特斯拉自研车载操作系统和自动驾驶芯片,目前在整车OTA与L2自动驾驶的用户体验上超过大多数竞争对手。但考虑到诸如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>手机那样的外观和供应链极易被模仿借鉴,未来特斯拉在电动化领域的领先优势可能被逐步缩小,核心竞争力在于智能化、无人驾驶技术、数据和品牌。</span></p>\n<p><span>任泽平将特斯拉与苹果作为研究对象,或许存在参考价值。虽然OPPO早期被认为是苹果的山寨版,但以模仿起家的OPPO截至2019年底,在全球智能手机出货量中排名第四。</span></p>\n<p><span>也就是说,特斯拉当前具有领先优势,但未来电动汽车市场竞争格局仍具有不确定性。</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1626eb8fbfda09384173ea058b0eb875","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198806252","content_text":"在短短一个月的时机内,做空特斯拉$(TSLA)$的资金已经亏损高达85亿美元,大约600亿人民币。\n虽然股神巴菲特给出特斯拉“差评”,婉转建议孙宇晨卖掉特斯拉的股票,但最新数据显示,因空头仓位巨亏,尤其是特斯拉股价在过去一个月猛涨56%,特斯拉未平仓的空头仓位降至2263万股,创下5年新低。\n特斯拉Model 3的价格也显示出威力,比亚迪2月11日披露的信息显示,一月份新能源汽车销量下滑75%。即便如此,特斯拉仍处于严重的分歧当中,一些做空机构强调特斯拉最终将失败,但选择在泡沫阶段暂时放弃做空。但一些机构分析师基于特斯拉对其他对手的压倒性优势,认为特斯拉股价还要上涨10倍,达到一股6000美元。\n有意思的是,摩根大通对特斯拉“又爱又恨”——唱空做多,去年四季度增仓特斯拉超6倍。根据摩根大通提交的F13报告,其在去年四季度将特斯拉持仓增加609.49%,至2537599股。截至2月11日收盘,持仓市值达到19.64亿美元。去年10月3日,据CNBC报道,摩根大通建议低配特斯拉,警告称特斯拉全年业绩预测将下调。\n特斯拉疯牛股价暴打做空机构\n截至2月11日,特斯拉当前股价徘徊在771美元附近,而在过去三周的时间内,特斯拉的股价每周至少上涨10%,市值因此累计增加超过430亿美元,当前总市值接近1400亿美元。\n特斯拉的股价表现,令做空股票的空头极不淡定。\n知名做空机构香椽在做空特斯拉股价中损失惨重,这家机构在2月4日表示,承诺不再做空特斯拉,也表示即使马斯克是基金经理,他也会做空特斯拉的股票,因为“这不再与技术有关,它已成为新的华尔街赌场”。\n做空特斯拉股价的明星基金经理,还包括绿光资本创始人Einhorn,绿光资本甚至因为长期做空特斯拉,而与特斯拉创始人马斯克隔空互怼。也因为如此,长期做空特斯拉,令绿光资本损失惨重。\n在特斯拉这轮上涨行情之前,绿光资本原本在9个月内获得24%的投资收益,但当特斯拉股价从去年10月初的244美元,上涨到去年12月中旬的400美元,绿光资本就已经亏损十分严重了。\n在2019年12月底,Einhorn一方面宣布做空特斯拉是非常失败的押注,另一方面宣布不会改变态度,继续做空特斯拉,因为特斯拉毕竟刚在一个半月时间内上涨了100%。\n意想不到的是,特斯拉还在继续大涨。从去年12月中旬到现在,特斯拉的股价又从400美元,一路上涨到最高968美元,截至2月11日,特斯拉股价略有回调,但依然维持在770美元附近。\n仅仅上涨到400美元,绿光资本就已经亏得绿光闪闪,而今770美元附近的特斯拉,恐怕让绿光资本更加难受。\n在这种背景下,许多做空特斯拉的基金经理,正如做空机构香椽那样宣布放弃做空特斯拉。\n即便特斯拉是个“骗子”,但和趋势作对,也可能在正确的时刻到来之前,一切都已经结束。在这种背景下,许多做空特斯拉的基金经理,正如做空机构香椽那样宣布放弃做空特斯拉。\n据金融分析公司S3 Partner数据,截至2月7日,特斯拉未平仓空头仓位2263万股,占流通股的15.91%,这是2014年12月来新低。过去30天,特斯拉未平仓空头减少329万股,同期股价上涨56%。过去一周,未平仓空头仓位减少176万股。相比2月6日的2353万股,7日减少90万股。截至2月7日,2020年以来的特斯拉空头亏损85亿美元。\n巴菲特继续给特斯拉“差评”\n不过,空头大幅减少头寸,仅仅改变了投资策略,但很可能仍未改变对特斯拉价值的判断,就像放弃做空的香椽公司,仍然坚信特斯拉的股票是一个赌场。\n美国主流机构对特斯拉的判断,很像国内大佬对比特币的态度。即便比特币大幅上涨,但中国的主流投资人仍然倾向于认为,比特币只是一个赌场,意即“价格上涨不代表什么”。\n特斯拉及其创始人马斯克的行事风格,一直不受美国主流机构的认可,也包括股神巴菲特。\n根据2月7日的国外媒体报道,巴菲特得知孙宇晨持有特斯拉的股票后,他告诉孙宇晨“特斯拉不是一个好股票”。巴菲特认为,特斯拉CEO马斯克是伟大企业家,但特斯拉股票不是好的投资标的,由于汽车行业竞争非常激烈,特斯拉的竞争对手,拥有大量现金储备的竞争对手都不会退出。\n就像巴菲特一样,罗斯资本分析师克欧文也表示,特斯拉股价存在巨大泡沫,并重申卖出评级,认为特斯拉目标价在350美元,相当于目前价格的一半不到。\n上述分析师说,特斯拉的估值太高,已是戴姆勒公司的两倍多,接近宝马的4倍,特斯拉最终将面临激烈的竞争,其他汽车制造商将会在两年或十年内赶上特斯拉。显而易见的,这一观点和逻辑,几乎复制了巴菲特的说法。\n罗斯资本的这位分析师还强调,虽然特斯拉最终要暴跌,但暂时不能做空特斯拉,因为泡沫有可能还在持续当中。这可能就像巴菲特所说的,无法预测泡沫的时间有多长,做空泡沫,极可能被泡沫所消灭。\n特斯拉股票能达到每股6000美元?\n那么,特斯拉的股票到底靠不靠谱?现在可能是特斯拉股票分歧最为严重的时刻,即便空头已经大规模撤出,而在看空、做空的另一边,特斯拉对国内竞争对手的冲击,却是明明白白的,反过来强化了做多资金信心。\n2月11日,比亚迪披露的最新一期月度快报显示,公司1月份总体的汽车销量为25173辆,同比下滑42.68%,其中新能源车销量7133辆,同比下滑75.12%,这个下滑速度非常惊人。\n市场分析人士认为,如果排除春节和武汉疫情的因素,能够冲击比亚迪新能源汽车销量的,可能就是特斯拉,尤其是特斯拉的Model 3落地价仅30万元,这远远低于市场预期,这可能意味着特斯拉将在国内市场份额中占据主动优势。\n一些分析师也注意到特斯拉在中国市场的强劲竞争力,并认为特斯拉股价有可能变得比当前770美元更高。\n高到多少?每一股6000美元。方舟投资管理公司分析师塔莎·基尼表示,在未来五年内,特斯拉股价有望达到每股6000美元。也就是说,特斯拉股价自2月11日开始,仍有10倍的上涨空间。\n“我们所看到的情况是:汽车市场的其他厂商远远落后于特斯拉。”上述分析师认为,特斯拉在软件和硬件领域领先于同行,其他汽车制造商还没有生产出一款能与7~8年前问世的Model S相媲美的电动汽车。\n较为中立的意见可能来自国内的分析师。\n“未来特斯拉的领先优势可能会逐步缩小。”任泽平认为,在智能化和自动驾驶领域,特斯拉自研车载操作系统和自动驾驶芯片,目前在整车OTA与L2自动驾驶的用户体验上超过大多数竞争对手。但考虑到诸如苹果手机那样的外观和供应链极易被模仿借鉴,未来特斯拉在电动化领域的领先优势可能被逐步缩小,核心竞争力在于智能化、无人驾驶技术、数据和品牌。\n任泽平将特斯拉与苹果作为研究对象,或许存在参考价值。虽然OPPO早期被认为是苹果的山寨版,但以模仿起家的OPPO截至2019年底,在全球智能手机出货量中排名第四。\n也就是说,特斯拉当前具有领先优势,但未来电动汽车市场竞争格局仍具有不确定性。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}