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抓先生

抓先生

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2021-10-19

$富途控股(FUTU)$看好，我去了

2021-09-26

$老虎证券(TIGR)$增长率高看好

2021-10-21

$富途控股(FUTU)$看好互联网券商

2021-11-02

$微软(MSFT)$做长线好股

2021-11-23

$苹果(AAPL)$看好互联网

2021-09-22

$老虎证券(TIGR)$做波动赚差价还是不错

2021-09-18

$老虎证券(TIGR)$看好互联网券商

2021-08-12

$台积电(TSM)$好股票不怕

2020-08-06

2020/08/06 交易笔记 by 殷文渊

股市短期是投票机，长期是称重机。长期耐心定投成长率大于成长大于盈利低买高卖复利认知差异特立独行且正确

2020/08/06 交易笔记 by 殷文渊

2021-11-10

$海底捞(06862)$看好

2021-10-18

$苹果(AAPL)$跟着股神走

2021-10-07

$海底捞(06862)$中国的麦当劳

2021-10-03

$老虎证券(TIGR)$看好互联网券商

2021-09-20

$老虎证券(TIGR)$看好互联网券商

2021-09-15

$台积电(TSM)$产能过剩不远了

2021-08-05

$台积电(TSM)$长期持有有机会做差价

2021-11-07

$微软(MSFT)$看好互联网

2021-10-23

$富途控股(FUTU)$看好，死死地

2021-10-14

$老虎证券(TIGR)$看好互联网券商股

2021-10-05

$老虎证券(TIGR)$看好互联网券商

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到了今日，恒指一改昨日颓势，开盘后高开上涨，截至发文，恒生指数上涨1.89%至20242.7，恒生科技指数上涨5.41%至4012.44. 餐饮股涨幅最大 昨日以超15%的跌幅，领跌恒指成分股的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a> ，涨超6.81%（截至发文)，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00520\">$呷哺呷哺(00520)$</a> 涨7.58%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09922\">$九毛九(09922)$</a> 涨4.34%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09869\">$海伦司(09869)$</a> 涨4.63%。香港财政司司长陈茂波称，新冠病毒逐渐受控，社交距离措施逐步放宽。人流量的增加，不少商店的生意都明显好转。平安证券表示： 港股消费板块是近期表现值得期待的领域，加大关注和配置将是二季度港股投资策略的重点 科技股走高 科技股集体大涨，带动指数拉升。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$</a> 涨近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$</a> 涨近9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$</a> 涨超5%，消息面上，国务院办公厅最新","listText":"昨日恒指大跌3.73%，痛失20000点大关，恒生科技指数跌4.87%，汽车板块集体下挫，科技、能源、餐饮等板块领跌。至此，恒生指数4月以来，已经自高点下跌了近10%，3月中的反弹涨幅，已被吞噬掉大半，恒生科技指数自3月中以来的涨幅也已经全数蒸发殆尽。 到了今日，恒指一改昨日颓势，开盘后高开上涨，截至发文，恒生指数上涨1.89%至20242.7，恒生科技指数上涨5.41%至4012.44. 餐饮股涨幅最大 昨日以超15%的跌幅，领跌恒指成分股的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a> ，涨超6.81%（截至发文)，<a 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到了今日，恒指一改昨日颓势，开盘后高开上涨，截至发文，恒生指数上涨1.89%至20242.7，恒生科技指数上涨5.41%至4012.44. 餐饮股涨幅最大 昨日以超15%的跌幅，领跌恒指成分股的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a> ，涨超6.81%（截至发文)，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00520\">$呷哺呷哺(00520)$</a> 涨7.58%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09922\">$九毛九(09922)$</a> 涨4.34%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09869\">$海伦司(09869)$</a> 涨4.63%。香港财政司司长陈茂波称，新冠病毒逐渐受控，社交距离措施逐步放宽。人流量的增加，不少商店的生意都明显好转。平安证券表示： 港股消费板块是近期表现值得期待的领域，加大关注和配置将是二季度港股投资策略的重点 科技股走高 科技股集体大涨，带动指数拉升。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$</a> 涨近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$</a> 涨近9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$</a> 涨超5%，消息面上，国务院办公厅最新","listText":"昨日恒指大跌3.73%，痛失20000点大关，恒生科技指数跌4.87%，汽车板块集体下挫，科技、能源、餐饮等板块领跌。至此，恒生指数4月以来，已经自高点下跌了近10%，3月中的反弹涨幅，已被吞噬掉大半，恒生科技指数自3月中以来的涨幅也已经全数蒸发殆尽。 到了今日，恒指一改昨日颓势，开盘后高开上涨，截至发文，恒生指数上涨1.89%至20242.7，恒生科技指数上涨5.41%至4012.44. 餐饮股涨幅最大 昨日以超15%的跌幅，领跌恒指成分股的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06862\">$海底捞(06862)$</a> ，涨超6.81%（截至发文)，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00520\">$呷哺呷哺(00520)$</a> 涨7.58%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09922\">$九毛九(09922)$</a> 涨4.34%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09869\">$海伦司(09869)$</a> 涨4.63%。香港财政司司长陈茂波称，新冠病毒逐渐受控，社交距离措施逐步放宽。人流量的增加，不少商店的生意都明显好转。平安证券表示： 港股消费板块是近期表现值得期待的领域，加大关注和配置将是二季度港股投资策略的重点 科技股走高 科技股集体大涨，带动指数拉升。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09868\">$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$</a> 涨近10%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$</a> 涨近9%，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09866\">$蔚来-SW(09866)$</a> 涨超5%，消息面上，国务院办公厅最新","text":"昨日恒指大跌3.73%，痛失20000点大关，恒生科技指数跌4.87%，汽车板块集体下挫，科技、能源、餐饮等板块领跌。至此，恒生指数4月以来，已经自高点下跌了近10%，3月中的反弹涨幅，已被吞噬掉大半，恒生科技指数自3月中以来的涨幅也已经全数蒸发殆尽。 到了今日，恒指一改昨日颓势，开盘后高开上涨，截至发文，恒生指数上涨1.89%至20242.7，恒生科技指数上涨5.41%至4012.44. 餐饮股涨幅最大 昨日以超15%的跌幅，领跌恒指成分股的$海底捞(06862)$ ，涨超6.81%（截至发文)，$呷哺呷哺(00520)$ 涨7.58%，$九毛九(09922)$ 涨4.34%，$海伦司(09869)$ 涨4.63%。香港财政司司长陈茂波称，新冠病毒逐渐受控，社交距离措施逐步放宽。人流量的增加，不少商店的生意都明显好转。平安证券表示： 港股消费板块是近期表现值得期待的领域，加大关注和配置将是二季度港股投资策略的重点 科技股走高 科技股集体大涨，带动指数拉升。$小鹏汽车-W(09868)$ 涨近10%，$理想汽车-W(02015)$ 涨近9%，$蔚来-SW(09866)$ 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港股市场 4月25日讯，上周五欧美股市下挫，港股指数集体低开，恒指跌1.71%，国指跌1.84%，恒生科技指数跌2.88%。 盘面上，大型科技股全线走低，百度跌3.6%，网易跌3%，京东、快手、美团、腾讯均跌超2%；银行股、保险股下跌明显，田惠宇被查，招商银行跌5%，新华保险跌近7%；餐饮股、家电股、半导体股、汽车股、教育股、有色金属股、内房股与物管股纷纷下跌。另一方面，医药股、海运股个别走强，复星医药高开5.6%。 招商银行跌超5%，Q1营收及归母净利润增速均放缓。 本周市场前瞻 周一关键词：美国4月达拉斯联储商业活动指数；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">$可口可乐(KO)$</a> 、动视暴雪财报周一，经济数据方面，美国4月达拉斯联储商业活动指数将公布。 新股方面，黄金勘探公司Austin Gold Corp将上市，该公司计划此次IPO的招股价为4美元，发行330万股，预计募资约为1320万美元。 4月26日 周二关键词：美国2月S&amp;P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率；新东方、汇丰控股、百事可乐财报周二，经济数据方面，美国将公布2月S&amp;P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率、美国耐用品订单月率等数据。 4月27日 周三关键词：美国当周EIA原油库存；谷歌、微软、波音、比亚迪、香港交易所发布财报周三，经济数据方面，美国当周EIA原油库存、澳大利亚第一季度CPI年率等数据将公布。 财报方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 等明星公司将公布财报。 4月28日 周四关键词：美国一季","listText":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 4月25日讯，上周五欧美股市下挫，港股指数集体低开，恒指跌1.71%，国指跌1.84%，恒生科技指数跌2.88%。 盘面上，大型科技股全线走低，百度跌3.6%，网易跌3%，京东、快手、美团、腾讯均跌超2%；银行股、保险股下跌明显，田惠宇被查，招商银行跌5%，新华保险跌近7%；餐饮股、家电股、半导体股、汽车股、教育股、有色金属股、内房股与物管股纷纷下跌。另一方面，医药股、海运股个别走强，复星医药高开5.6%。 招商银行跌超5%，Q1营收及归母净利润增速均放缓。 本周市场前瞻 周一关键词：美国4月达拉斯联储商业活动指数；<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">$可口可乐(KO)$</a> 、动视暴雪财报周一，经济数据方面，美国4月达拉斯联储商业活动指数将公布。 新股方面，黄金勘探公司Austin Gold Corp将上市，该公司计划此次IPO的招股价为4美元，发行330万股，预计募资约为1320万美元。 4月26日 周二关键词：美国2月S&amp;P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率；新东方、汇丰控股、百事可乐财报周二，经济数据方面，美国将公布2月S&amp;P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率、美国耐用品订单月率等数据。 4月27日 周三关键词：美国当周EIA原油库存；谷歌、微软、波音、比亚迪、香港交易所发布财报周三，经济数据方面，美国当周EIA原油库存、澳大利亚第一季度CPI年率等数据将公布。 财报方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">$谷歌(GOOG)$</a> 、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> 等明星公司将公布财报。 4月28日 周四关键词：美国一季","text":"聊聊今日份的交易想法，包括对于大盘走势后续的看法？看涨/看跌哪只股票、晒晒单等等。 港股市场 4月25日讯，上周五欧美股市下挫，港股指数集体低开，恒指跌1.71%，国指跌1.84%，恒生科技指数跌2.88%。 盘面上，大型科技股全线走低，百度跌3.6%，网易跌3%，京东、快手、美团、腾讯均跌超2%；银行股、保险股下跌明显，田惠宇被查，招商银行跌5%，新华保险跌近7%；餐饮股、家电股、半导体股、汽车股、教育股、有色金属股、内房股与物管股纷纷下跌。另一方面，医药股、海运股个别走强，复星医药高开5.6%。 招商银行跌超5%，Q1营收及归母净利润增速均放缓。 本周市场前瞻 周一关键词：美国4月达拉斯联储商业活动指数；$可口可乐(KO)$ 、动视暴雪财报周一，经济数据方面，美国4月达拉斯联储商业活动指数将公布。 新股方面，黄金勘探公司Austin Gold Corp将上市，该公司计划此次IPO的招股价为4美元，发行330万股，预计募资约为1320万美元。 4月26日 周二关键词：美国2月S&P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率；新东方、汇丰控股、百事可乐财报周二，经济数据方面，美国将公布2月S&P/CS20座大城市房价指数年率、美国耐用品订单月率等数据。 4月27日 周三关键词：美国当周EIA原油库存；谷歌、微软、波音、比亚迪、香港交易所发布财报周三，经济数据方面，美国当周EIA原油库存、澳大利亚第一季度CPI年率等数据将公布。 财报方面，$谷歌(GOOG)$ 、$微软(MSFT)$ 等明星公司将公布财报。 4月28日 周四关键词：美国一季","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eed650a24aad7cb730e5d5daf7dbd1d7","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c1606d53530d1e534a5fc626a054b77","width":"-1","height":"-1"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d7da388220bfad782f62f7c19103ddd","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618308647","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"subType":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2334,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618335979,"gmtCreate":1650865078702,"gmtModify":1650865078702,"author":{"id":"3537782381894354","authorId":"3537782381894354","name":"抓先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5b202fd351a27f350cdcb7c314ce51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3537782381894354","authorIdStr":"3537782381894354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>看漂泊不定","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>看漂泊不定","text":"$微软(MSFT)$看漂泊不定","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87a95c24e4cc377ac31b2217b32e9a00","width":"1080","height":"3429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618335979","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2527,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":618095536,"gmtCreate":1650680513721,"gmtModify":1650680513721,"author":{"id":"3537782381894354","authorId":"3537782381894354","name":"抓先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5b202fd351a27f350cdcb7c314ce51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3537782381894354","authorIdStr":"3537782381894354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/618095536","repostId":"613847531","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":613847531,"gmtCreate":1649830031958,"gmtModify":1649835751340,"author":{"id":"3502767768442965","authorId":"3502767768442965","name":"话题虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d418c2def5dc1d094b03270b450f71ce","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3502767768442965","authorIdStr":"3502767768442965"},"themes":[],"title":"上海以物易物，可乐可换万物！巴菲特坚持不卖可乐的原因找到了！","htmlText":"在疫情阴影持续笼罩下的人们，总是忍不住回想以前的生活。上海居家的年轻人，就无奈体验了一把以物换物的日子。洗面奶换老干妈，PS4游戏机换鸡蛋，在这场跨品类的交换中，可乐以一己之力，对其他物品进行了无差别的降维打击，傲然站在了食物链顶端，一瓶可换万物！ 据网（xiao）络（dao）消息，在上海黑市，可口可乐具备和货币同等的计量属性，零度可乐更胜一筹： “1瓶可乐=3棵青菜=5个鸡蛋=2个五号电池=5卷卫生纸。” 百事可乐:...... 不过，可乐之所以能够和柴米油盐等必需品一较高下，还能牢牢占据“隔离需求层次”的金字塔顶尖，还有一个重要原因，就是它能“增值”！！ 以下是来自某位“民间经济学家”的市场行情总结：甚至有微博大V忍不住发帖询问：一瓶53°的飞天茅台，现在在上海能换几瓶可乐？ 评论答曰：看年份，年份好的话能给你整口。 硬通货+类比茅台的增值潜力，看到这里，才终于明白为什么可口可乐能够跻身必需消费品行列，为什么巴菲特持股33年仍坚决不卖。 可乐最佳代言人 1988年，巴菲特首次买入可口可乐股票，当年就成为了伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。到1989年，可口可乐已经占据了整个投资组合比例的35%，成为其第一大重仓股。在经历过几次拆股和加仓之后，已经拥有超过200亿美元可口可乐股票，占发行股份的近 10%，成为可口可乐的最大股东。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a> 业务模式简单、拥有有很强的品牌力、高毛利率、高回报率、合理的估值......最终，可口可乐成为了巴菲特最具代表性的投资之一。 周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">$可口可乐(KO)$</a> 收盘价","listText":"在疫情阴影持续笼罩下的人们，总是忍不住回想以前的生活。上海居家的年轻人，就无奈体验了一把以物换物的日子。洗面奶换老干妈，PS4游戏机换鸡蛋，在这场跨品类的交换中，可乐以一己之力，对其他物品进行了无差别的降维打击，傲然站在了食物链顶端，一瓶可换万物！ 据网（xiao）络（dao）消息，在上海黑市，可口可乐具备和货币同等的计量属性，零度可乐更胜一筹： “1瓶可乐=3棵青菜=5个鸡蛋=2个五号电池=5卷卫生纸。” 百事可乐:...... 不过，可乐之所以能够和柴米油盐等必需品一较高下，还能牢牢占据“隔离需求层次”的金字塔顶尖，还有一个重要原因，就是它能“增值”！！ 以下是来自某位“民间经济学家”的市场行情总结：甚至有微博大V忍不住发帖询问：一瓶53°的飞天茅台，现在在上海能换几瓶可乐？ 评论答曰：看年份，年份好的话能给你整口。 硬通货+类比茅台的增值潜力，看到这里，才终于明白为什么可口可乐能够跻身必需消费品行列，为什么巴菲特持股33年仍坚决不卖。 可乐最佳代言人 1988年，巴菲特首次买入可口可乐股票，当年就成为了伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。到1989年，可口可乐已经占据了整个投资组合比例的35%，成为其第一大重仓股。在经历过几次拆股和加仓之后，已经拥有超过200亿美元可口可乐股票，占发行股份的近 10%，成为可口可乐的最大股东。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a> 业务模式简单、拥有有很强的品牌力、高毛利率、高回报率、合理的估值......最终，可口可乐成为了巴菲特最具代表性的投资之一。 周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">$可口可乐(KO)$</a> 收盘价","text":"在疫情阴影持续笼罩下的人们，总是忍不住回想以前的生活。上海居家的年轻人，就无奈体验了一把以物换物的日子。洗面奶换老干妈，PS4游戏机换鸡蛋，在这场跨品类的交换中，可乐以一己之力，对其他物品进行了无差别的降维打击，傲然站在了食物链顶端，一瓶可换万物！ 据网（xiao）络（dao）消息，在上海黑市，可口可乐具备和货币同等的计量属性，零度可乐更胜一筹： “1瓶可乐=3棵青菜=5个鸡蛋=2个五号电池=5卷卫生纸。” 百事可乐:...... 不过，可乐之所以能够和柴米油盐等必需品一较高下，还能牢牢占据“隔离需求层次”的金字塔顶尖，还有一个重要原因，就是它能“增值”！！ 以下是来自某位“民间经济学家”的市场行情总结：甚至有微博大V忍不住发帖询问：一瓶53°的飞天茅台，现在在上海能换几瓶可乐？ 评论答曰：看年份，年份好的话能给你整口。 硬通货+类比茅台的增值潜力，看到这里，才终于明白为什么可口可乐能够跻身必需消费品行列，为什么巴菲特持股33年仍坚决不卖。 可乐最佳代言人 1988年，巴菲特首次买入可口可乐股票，当年就成为了伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。到1989年，可口可乐已经占据了整个投资组合比例的35%，成为其第一大重仓股。在经历过几次拆股和加仓之后，已经拥有超过200亿美元可口可乐股票，占发行股份的近 10%，成为可口可乐的最大股东。$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$ $伯克希尔(BRK.A)$ 业务模式简单、拥有有很强的品牌力、高毛利率、高回报率、合理的估值......最终，可口可乐成为了巴菲特最具代表性的投资之一。 周二，$可口可乐(KO)$ 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- 成功的创业者","htmlText":"创业者除了要不怕丢脸，要敢于行动，还需要什么能力？漫画中的智者/投资人杨镭先生，是 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>&nbsp;和 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BASE\">$Couchbase, Inc.(BASE)$</a>&nbsp;的早期投资人，他在这一话会传授李斌什么智慧呢？<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\"></a>&nbsp;","listText":"创业者除了要不怕丢脸，要敢于行动，还需要什么能力？漫画中的智者/投资人杨镭先生，是 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/U\">$Unity Software Inc.(U)$</a>&nbsp;和 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BASE\">$Couchbase, Inc.(BASE)$</a>&nbsp;的早期投资人，他在这一话会传授李斌什么智慧呢？<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09988\"></a>&nbsp;","text":"创业者除了要不怕丢脸，要敢于行动，还需要什么能力？漫画中的智者/投资人杨镭先生，是 $Unity Software Inc.(U)$ 和 $Couchbase, Inc.(BASE)$ 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特斯拉上海工厂早就封锁，很正常，正如蔚来上周已经公开表示受疫情影响整车生产已经暂停。蔚来算是第一个开口喊难的了，别的没喊的难道就好了吗？ 另外，常州已经全国锂电池出货量第一的城市，2021年数据显示，来自江苏常州的车用动力电池产量超过57GWh，在江苏省内占比三分之二，在全国占比三分之一，位列全国第一。 常州大部分工厂已经暂停了。 我不是发灾难财，已经在家20多天了，除了抢菜总得找点事儿做做。我不是不看好新能源汽车，特斯拉是我的最爱，没有之一。如果下半月能够见拐点，希望5月一切恢复正常，早日解封。（5月是我乐观的愿望） 自从油价乱涨一通之后，新能源车越发受到认可，从乘联会数据也显示，3月新能源乘用车批发销量达到45.5万辆，同比增长122.4%，环比增长43.6%，环比增幅接近于前几年度。1-3月新能源乘用车批发119.0万辆，同比增长145.4%。 最后祝管控区和封锁区的朋友们一切安好，都有饭菜。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"报复性做空了所有电车股！原因呢！因为我在管控区，啥都停了，工厂3月废了了，4月眼看废了一半，股票不跌不合理！尤其是特斯拉突破1000还在狂涨，什么鬼，3月停工，4月的交付数据肯定瞎了。虽然我爱神车，但管控区人民最懂现在有多糟。今天乘联会公布了3月的乘用车市场零售达到157.9万辆，同比下降10.5%，环比增长25.6%，3月零售走势分化较大。1-3月累计零售491.5万辆，同比下降4.5%，同比减少23万辆，总体走势低于预期。 特斯拉上海工厂早就封锁，很正常，正如蔚来上周已经公开表示受疫情影响整车生产已经暂停。蔚来算是第一个开口喊难的了，别的没喊的难道就好了吗？ 另外，常州已经全国锂电池出货量第一的城市，2021年数据显示，来自江苏常州的车用动力电池产量超过57GWh，在江苏省内占比三分之二，在全国占比三分之一，位列全国第一。 常州大部分工厂已经暂停了。 我不是发灾难财，已经在家20多天了，除了抢菜总得找点事儿做做。我不是不看好新能源汽车，特斯拉是我的最爱，没有之一。如果下半月能够见拐点，希望5月一切恢复正常，早日解封。（5月是我乐观的愿望） 自从油价乱涨一通之后，新能源车越发受到认可，从乘联会数据也显示，3月新能源乘用车批发销量达到45.5万辆，同比增长122.4%，环比增长43.6%，环比增幅接近于前几年度。1-3月新能源乘用车批发119.0万辆，同比增长145.4%。 最后祝管控区和封锁区的朋友们一切安好，都有饭菜。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"报复性做空了所有电车股！原因呢！因为我在管控区，啥都停了，工厂3月废了了，4月眼看废了一半，股票不跌不合理！尤其是特斯拉突破1000还在狂涨，什么鬼，3月停工，4月的交付数据肯定瞎了。虽然我爱神车，但管控区人民最懂现在有多糟。今天乘联会公布了3月的乘用车市场零售达到157.9万辆，同比下降10.5%，环比增长25.6%，3月零售走势分化较大。1-3月累计零售491.5万辆，同比下降4.5%，同比减少23万辆，总体走势低于预期。 特斯拉上海工厂早就封锁，很正常，正如蔚来上周已经公开表示受疫情影响整车生产已经暂停。蔚来算是第一个开口喊难的了，别的没喊的难道就好了吗？ 另外，常州已经全国锂电池出货量第一的城市，2021年数据显示，来自江苏常州的车用动力电池产量超过57GWh，在江苏省内占比三分之二，在全国占比三分之一，位列全国第一。 常州大部分工厂已经暂停了。 我不是发灾难财，已经在家20多天了，除了抢菜总得找点事儿做做。我不是不看好新能源汽车，特斯拉是我的最爱，没有之一。如果下半月能够见拐点，希望5月一切恢复正常，早日解封。（5月是我乐观的愿望） 自从油价乱涨一通之后，新能源车越发受到认可，从乘联会数据也显示，3月新能源乘用车批发销量达到45.5万辆，同比增长122.4%，环比增长43.6%，环比增幅接近于前几年度。1-3月新能源乘用车批发119.0万辆，同比增长145.4%。 最后祝管控区和封锁区的朋友们一切安好，都有饭菜。 $蔚来(NIO)$ 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据网（xiao）络（dao）消息，在上海黑市，可口可乐具备和货币同等的计量属性，零度可乐更胜一筹： “1瓶可乐=3棵青菜=5个鸡蛋=2个五号电池=5卷卫生纸。” 百事可乐:...... 不过，可乐之所以能够和柴米油盐等必需品一较高下，还能牢牢占据“隔离需求层次”的金字塔顶尖，还有一个重要原因，就是它能“增值”！！ 以下是来自某位“民间经济学家”的市场行情总结：甚至有微博大V忍不住发帖询问：一瓶53°的飞天茅台，现在在上海能换几瓶可乐？ 评论答曰：看年份，年份好的话能给你整口。 硬通货+类比茅台的增值潜力，看到这里，才终于明白为什么可口可乐能够跻身必需消费品行列，为什么巴菲特持股33年仍坚决不卖。 可乐最佳代言人 1988年，巴菲特首次买入可口可乐股票，当年就成为了伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。到1989年，可口可乐已经占据了整个投资组合比例的35%，成为其第一大重仓股。在经历过几次拆股和加仓之后，已经拥有超过200亿美元可口可乐股票，占发行股份的近 10%，成为可口可乐的最大股东。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a> 业务模式简单、拥有有很强的品牌力、高毛利率、高回报率、合理的估值......最终，可口可乐成为了巴菲特最具代表性的投资之一。 周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">$可口可乐(KO)$</a> 收盘价","listText":"在疫情阴影持续笼罩下的人们，总是忍不住回想以前的生活。上海居家的年轻人，就无奈体验了一把以物换物的日子。洗面奶换老干妈，PS4游戏机换鸡蛋，在这场跨品类的交换中，可乐以一己之力，对其他物品进行了无差别的降维打击，傲然站在了食物链顶端，一瓶可换万物！ 据网（xiao）络（dao）消息，在上海黑市，可口可乐具备和货币同等的计量属性，零度可乐更胜一筹： “1瓶可乐=3棵青菜=5个鸡蛋=2个五号电池=5卷卫生纸。” 百事可乐:...... 不过，可乐之所以能够和柴米油盐等必需品一较高下，还能牢牢占据“隔离需求层次”的金字塔顶尖，还有一个重要原因，就是它能“增值”！！ 以下是来自某位“民间经济学家”的市场行情总结：甚至有微博大V忍不住发帖询问：一瓶53°的飞天茅台，现在在上海能换几瓶可乐？ 评论答曰：看年份，年份好的话能给你整口。 硬通货+类比茅台的增值潜力，看到这里，才终于明白为什么可口可乐能够跻身必需消费品行列，为什么巴菲特持股33年仍坚决不卖。 可乐最佳代言人 1988年，巴菲特首次买入可口可乐股票，当年就成为了伯克希尔的第三大重仓股。到1989年，可口可乐已经占据了整个投资组合比例的35%，成为其第一大重仓股。在经历过几次拆股和加仓之后，已经拥有超过200亿美元可口可乐股票，占发行股份的近 10%，成为可口可乐的最大股东。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.B\">$伯克希尔B(BRK.B)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BRK.A\">$伯克希尔(BRK.A)$</a> 业务模式简单、拥有有很强的品牌力、高毛利率、高回报率、合理的估值......最终，可口可乐成为了巴菲特最具代表性的投资之一。 周二，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KO\">$可口可乐(KO)$</a> 收盘价","text":"在疫情阴影持续笼罩下的人们，总是忍不住回想以前的生活。上海居家的年轻人，就无奈体验了一把以物换物的日子。洗面奶换老干妈，PS4游戏机换鸡蛋，在这场跨品类的交换中，可乐以一己之力，对其他物品进行了无差别的降维打击，傲然站在了食物链顶端，一瓶可换万物！ 据网（xiao）络（dao）消息，在上海黑市，可口可乐具备和货币同等的计量属性，零度可乐更胜一筹： “1瓶可乐=3棵青菜=5个鸡蛋=2个五号电池=5卷卫生纸。” 百事可乐:...... 不过，可乐之所以能够和柴米油盐等必需品一较高下，还能牢牢占据“隔离需求层次”的金字塔顶尖，还有一个重要原因，就是它能“增值”！！ 以下是来自某位“民间经济学家”的市场行情总结：甚至有微博大V忍不住发帖询问：一瓶53°的飞天茅台，现在在上海能换几瓶可乐？ 评论答曰：看年份，年份好的话能给你整口。 硬通货+类比茅台的增值潜力，看到这里，才终于明白为什么可口可乐能够跻身必需消费品行列，为什么巴菲特持股33年仍坚决不卖。 可乐最佳代言人 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特斯拉上海工厂早就封锁，很正常，正如蔚来上周已经公开表示受疫情影响整车生产已经暂停。蔚来算是第一个开口喊难的了，别的没喊的难道就好了吗？ 另外，常州已经全国锂电池出货量第一的城市，2021年数据显示，来自江苏常州的车用动力电池产量超过57GWh，在江苏省内占比三分之二，在全国占比三分之一，位列全国第一。 常州大部分工厂已经暂停了。 我不是发灾难财，已经在家20多天了，除了抢菜总得找点事儿做做。我不是不看好新能源汽车，特斯拉是我的最爱，没有之一。如果下半月能够见拐点，希望5月一切恢复正常，早日解封。（5月是我乐观的愿望） 自从油价乱涨一通之后，新能源车越发受到认可，从乘联会数据也显示，3月新能源乘用车批发销量达到45.5万辆，同比增长122.4%，环比增长43.6%，环比增幅接近于前几年度。1-3月新能源乘用车批发119.0万辆，同比增长145.4%。 最后祝管控区和封锁区的朋友们一切安好，都有饭菜。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"报复性做空了所有电车股！原因呢！因为我在管控区，啥都停了，工厂3月废了了，4月眼看废了一半，股票不跌不合理！尤其是特斯拉突破1000还在狂涨，什么鬼，3月停工，4月的交付数据肯定瞎了。虽然我爱神车，但管控区人民最懂现在有多糟。今天乘联会公布了3月的乘用车市场零售达到157.9万辆，同比下降10.5%，环比增长25.6%，3月零售走势分化较大。1-3月累计零售491.5万辆，同比下降4.5%，同比减少23万辆，总体走势低于预期。 特斯拉上海工厂早就封锁，很正常，正如蔚来上周已经公开表示受疫情影响整车生产已经暂停。蔚来算是第一个开口喊难的了，别的没喊的难道就好了吗？ 另外，常州已经全国锂电池出货量第一的城市，2021年数据显示，来自江苏常州的车用动力电池产量超过57GWh，在江苏省内占比三分之二，在全国占比三分之一，位列全国第一。 常州大部分工厂已经暂停了。 我不是发灾难财，已经在家20多天了，除了抢菜总得找点事儿做做。我不是不看好新能源汽车，特斯拉是我的最爱，没有之一。如果下半月能够见拐点，希望5月一切恢复正常，早日解封。（5月是我乐观的愿望） 自从油价乱涨一通之后，新能源车越发受到认可，从乘联会数据也显示，3月新能源乘用车批发销量达到45.5万辆，同比增长122.4%，环比增长43.6%，环比增幅接近于前几年度。1-3月新能源乘用车批发119.0万辆，同比增长145.4%。 最后祝管控区和封锁区的朋友们一切安好，都有饭菜。 <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"报复性做空了所有电车股！原因呢！因为我在管控区，啥都停了，工厂3月废了了，4月眼看废了一半，股票不跌不合理！尤其是特斯拉突破1000还在狂涨，什么鬼，3月停工，4月的交付数据肯定瞎了。虽然我爱神车，但管控区人民最懂现在有多糟。今天乘联会公布了3月的乘用车市场零售达到157.9万辆，同比下降10.5%，环比增长25.6%，3月零售走势分化较大。1-3月累计零售491.5万辆，同比下降4.5%，同比减少23万辆，总体走势低于预期。 特斯拉上海工厂早就封锁，很正常，正如蔚来上周已经公开表示受疫情影响整车生产已经暂停。蔚来算是第一个开口喊难的了，别的没喊的难道就好了吗？ 另外，常州已经全国锂电池出货量第一的城市，2021年数据显示，来自江苏常州的车用动力电池产量超过57GWh，在江苏省内占比三分之二，在全国占比三分之一，位列全国第一。 常州大部分工厂已经暂停了。 我不是发灾难财，已经在家20多天了，除了抢菜总得找点事儿做做。我不是不看好新能源汽车，特斯拉是我的最爱，没有之一。如果下半月能够见拐点，希望5月一切恢复正常，早日解封。（5月是我乐观的愿望） 自从油价乱涨一通之后，新能源车越发受到认可，从乘联会数据也显示，3月新能源乘用车批发销量达到45.5万辆，同比增长122.4%，环比增长43.6%，环比增幅接近于前几年度。1-3月新能源乘用车批发119.0万辆，同比增长145.4%。 最后祝管控区和封锁区的朋友们一切安好，都有饭菜。 $蔚来(NIO)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf300e76e824d76747c38d0be0d8f3fb","width":"752","height":"1134"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613970483","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":611859935,"gmtCreate":1650430151548,"gmtModify":1650430151548,"author":{"id":"3537782381894354","authorId":"3537782381894354","name":"抓先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5b202fd351a27f350cdcb7c314ce51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3537782381894354","authorIdStr":"3537782381894354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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推特需要转变为一家私营公司。因此，我提出以每股54.20美元的现金收购推特100%的股权，比我开始投资推特的前一天溢价54%，比我公开宣布投资的前一天溢价38%。我的报价是我最好的也是最终的报价，如果不被接受，我需要重新考虑我作为股东的立场。推特拥有非凡的潜力，我会解锁它。 我预计马斯克会按耐不住，邀约大概率会在近两个月发生，但没想到这一天来的这么快。（参考：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/619671022\" target=\"_blank\">谈谈美联储为何对自家股市下狠手，以及一个机会</a>） 私人收购一家价值400亿美元的公司，在经济不景气的今天也只有全球首富能拿出这样的手笔。根据彭博亿万富翁指数，马斯克目前的身家约为 2600 亿美元。然而，这并不意味着400亿美元对他来说就是一个很轻松的数字。 因为恶意收购，更需要大量现金。 和普通的公司邀约收购不同，马斯克发起的是一场恶意邀约收购，双方并没有谈妥价格，信息只是马斯克单方披露。对于收购价格，有分析师认为每股 54.20 美元的报价对于股东或董事会来说“太低”，无法接受。毕竟一年前也就是2021年推特股价高点是80块。 让我换句话来说，这也是全篇的重点：马斯克不会答应以更高的价格收购推特，也就是说，如果最终收购达成只可能是54.20美元/每股。 而如果收购失败，那么推特将一泻千里，不是我危言耸听。 马斯克认为 “如果没有需要做出的改变，这根本不是一项好的投资。” 所以 “如果（收","text":"来了，正股很难赚钱，期权很容易赚钱的交易机会。 不一样的收购 今天盘前弹了一条消息，特斯拉CEO马斯克提出以54.20美元/每股的现金收购推特$Twitter(TWTR)$ 。 马斯克表示： 推特需要转变为一家私营公司。因此，我提出以每股54.20美元的现金收购推特100%的股权，比我开始投资推特的前一天溢价54%，比我公开宣布投资的前一天溢价38%。我的报价是我最好的也是最终的报价，如果不被接受，我需要重新考虑我作为股东的立场。推特拥有非凡的潜力，我会解锁它。 我预计马斯克会按耐不住，邀约大概率会在近两个月发生，但没想到这一天来的这么快。（参考：谈谈美联储为何对自家股市下狠手，以及一个机会） 私人收购一家价值400亿美元的公司，在经济不景气的今天也只有全球首富能拿出这样的手笔。根据彭博亿万富翁指数，马斯克目前的身家约为 2600 亿美元。然而，这并不意味着400亿美元对他来说就是一个很轻松的数字。 因为恶意收购，更需要大量现金。 和普通的公司邀约收购不同，马斯克发起的是一场恶意邀约收购，双方并没有谈妥价格，信息只是马斯克单方披露。对于收购价格，有分析师认为每股 54.20 美元的报价对于股东或董事会来说“太低”，无法接受。毕竟一年前也就是2021年推特股价高点是80块。 让我换句话来说，这也是全篇的重点：马斯克不会答应以更高的价格收购推特，也就是说，如果最终收购达成只可能是54.20美元/每股。 而如果收购失败，那么推特将一泻千里，不是我危言耸听。 马斯克认为 “如果没有需要做出的改变，这根本不是一项好的投资。” 所以 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>看好互联网","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$看好互联网","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/379374cbf4453e62f618da81799aefb7","width":"1080","height":"3429"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613416209","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":667,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613549079,"gmtCreate":1649961880214,"gmtModify":1649961880214,"author":{"id":"3537782381894354","authorId":"3537782381894354","name":"抓先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5b202fd351a27f350cdcb7c314ce51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3537782381894354","authorIdStr":"3537782381894354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>看好互联网","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a>看好互联网","text":"$微软(MSFT)$看好互联网","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e767294f08ae5de1d6659bc2cfaa3a4","width":"1080","height":"3330"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613549079","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1033,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613844229,"gmtCreate":1649829604299,"gmtModify":1649829604299,"author":{"id":"3537782381894354","authorId":"3537782381894354","name":"抓先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5b202fd351a27f350cdcb7c314ce51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3537782381894354","authorIdStr":"3537782381894354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613844229","repostId":"619258169","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":619258169,"gmtCreate":1649310171524,"gmtModify":1649324299738,"author":{"id":"3478213283465426","authorId":"3478213283465426","name":"美股投资网","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a1bfd2cf1aa240d7058795c83d419510","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3478213283465426","authorIdStr":"3478213283465426"},"themes":[],"title":"7支安全股无视美国经济衰退","htmlText":"随着经济衰退的可能性不断上升，让我们投资者的投资组合做好抵御市场风险的时间已经不是很充裕了。但是幸运的是，现在购买安全系数比较高的股票还不算太晚。这类股票具有高质量、低波动性特点，比许多投机性较强的股票更坚挺。如果当前的挑战(通胀、利率和俄乌战争)持续存在，无可厚非这些股票也可能有会进一步下跌的可能性，但是这些股票的跌幅会小于整体市场。投资这类股票有很大的机会会为你的投资组合提供稳定的回报。因为它们是在通胀环境下表现良好的股票类型。换句话说，它们本质上是可以对冲通胀的优质股票。以下是我们精心选出的7只股票：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">$艾伯维公司(ABBV)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">$蒙特利尔银行(BMO)$</a>&nbsp;Equinor（代码：EQNR）辉瑞（代码：PFE）普洛斯（代码：PLD）再生元制药（代码：REGN）<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">$埃克森美孚(XOM)$</a>&nbsp;艾伯维（ABBV）在过去的六个月里，制药巨头艾伯维的股价一直在上涨。与整体市场的表现形成鲜明对比。在2021年的大部分时间里，ABBV的股票表现喜忧参半。主要是因为担心其主要畅销药物Humira的专利过期会严重影响其未来的经营业绩。然而，该公司最新的业绩指引显示，今年的业绩可能会高于此前的预期。当前投资者认为它价值不菲，股息丰厚，因此对它大加追捧。ABBV在过去6个月里上涨了约50%，今年迄今上涨了19%以上，不得不说股价表现还是令人满意的，我们投资者后期不要轻视这只股票。摩根士丹利分析师Terence Flynn授予ABBV“增持”评","listText":"随着经济衰退的可能性不断上升，让我们投资者的投资组合做好抵御市场风险的时间已经不是很充裕了。但是幸运的是，现在购买安全系数比较高的股票还不算太晚。这类股票具有高质量、低波动性特点，比许多投机性较强的股票更坚挺。如果当前的挑战(通胀、利率和俄乌战争)持续存在，无可厚非这些股票也可能有会进一步下跌的可能性，但是这些股票的跌幅会小于整体市场。投资这类股票有很大的机会会为你的投资组合提供稳定的回报。因为它们是在通胀环境下表现良好的股票类型。换句话说，它们本质上是可以对冲通胀的优质股票。以下是我们精心选出的7只股票：<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">$艾伯维公司(ABBV)$</a>&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BMO\">$蒙特利尔银行(BMO)$</a>&nbsp;Equinor（代码：EQNR）辉瑞（代码：PFE）普洛斯（代码：PLD）再生元制药（代码：REGN）<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XOM\">$埃克森美孚(XOM)$</a>&nbsp;艾伯维（ABBV）在过去的六个月里，制药巨头艾伯维的股价一直在上涨。与整体市场的表现形成鲜明对比。在2021年的大部分时间里，ABBV的股票表现喜忧参半。主要是因为担心其主要畅销药物Humira的专利过期会严重影响其未来的经营业绩。然而，该公司最新的业绩指引显示，今年的业绩可能会高于此前的预期。当前投资者认为它价值不菲，股息丰厚，因此对它大加追捧。ABBV在过去6个月里上涨了约50%，今年迄今上涨了19%以上，不得不说股价表现还是令人满意的，我们投资者后期不要轻视这只股票。摩根士丹利分析师Terence Flynn授予ABBV“增持”评","text":"随着经济衰退的可能性不断上升，让我们投资者的投资组合做好抵御市场风险的时间已经不是很充裕了。但是幸运的是，现在购买安全系数比较高的股票还不算太晚。这类股票具有高质量、低波动性特点，比许多投机性较强的股票更坚挺。如果当前的挑战(通胀、利率和俄乌战争)持续存在，无可厚非这些股票也可能有会进一步下跌的可能性，但是这些股票的跌幅会小于整体市场。投资这类股票有很大的机会会为你的投资组合提供稳定的回报。因为它们是在通胀环境下表现良好的股票类型。换句话说，它们本质上是可以对冲通胀的优质股票。以下是我们精心选出的7只股票：$艾伯维公司(ABBV)$ $蒙特利尔银行(BMO)$ Equinor（代码：EQNR）辉瑞（代码：PFE）普洛斯（代码：PLD）再生元制药（代码：REGN）$埃克森美孚(XOM)$ 艾伯维（ABBV）在过去的六个月里，制药巨头艾伯维的股价一直在上涨。与整体市场的表现形成鲜明对比。在2021年的大部分时间里，ABBV的股票表现喜忧参半。主要是因为担心其主要畅销药物Humira的专利过期会严重影响其未来的经营业绩。然而，该公司最新的业绩指引显示，今年的业绩可能会高于此前的预期。当前投资者认为它价值不菲，股息丰厚，因此对它大加追捧。ABBV在过去6个月里上涨了约50%，今年迄今上涨了19%以上，不得不说股价表现还是令人满意的，我们投资者后期不要轻视这只股票。摩根士丹利分析师Terence Flynn授予ABBV“增持”评","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d379b9f9e522b59891c2dbeb94ef528","width":"632","height":"463"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e34c82357d1861486b22a933721ca84d","width":"632","height":"452"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09a91d74c002600c8fece9a1434ae170","width":"632","height":"439"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619258169","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613844682,"gmtCreate":1649829596968,"gmtModify":1649829596968,"author":{"id":"3537782381894354","authorId":"3537782381894354","name":"抓先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5b202fd351a27f350cdcb7c314ce51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3537782381894354","authorIdStr":"3537782381894354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613844682","repostId":"619671022","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":619671022,"gmtCreate":1649255777887,"gmtModify":1649284802244,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"谈谈美联储为何对自家股市下狠手，以及一个机会","htmlText":"假期发生了三件事：美货币政策进一步收紧，马斯克入股推特，中概股境外上市规定出台。按影响排序我们挨个谈谈看法。 1、美货币政策进一步收紧： 美联储理事鸽派代表布雷纳德周二表示，美联储最早可能5月开始缩表，并将以更为迅速地步伐缩减资产负债表。她还表示，加息的步伐可能会比25个基点的增幅更大。 此言论一出，美联储全面转鹰，国债利率倒挂，股票市场立刻由涨转跌，其中科技股领跌，英伟达大跌5%。 缩表是指美联储缩减自身资产负债表规模，和加息一样，是一种收紧货币政策的手段。在这之前市场就知道要加息缩表一起上，只不过不知道具体执行方法，今晚的美联储会议纪要或披露缩表细节，也许能够一定程度上稳定市场情绪，很关键。 市场受到如此惊吓也可以理解，因为布雷纳德这次发言表述了抑制通胀的决心：https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20220405a.htm 受通胀影响最严重的不是富人，相反富人持有资产，是通胀的受益者，所以就可以理解为什么抑制通胀股价会跌，股票也是一种资产嘛。 那么持有资产最少的人就是通胀的受害者。而且通胀最严重的食品等必需品消费，穷人占比是富人的两倍，通胀越严重，穷人越惨。为了穷人考虑美联储也要尽快抑制通胀，这就是布雷纳德转鹰的原因。 美国不同收入阶层受通胀影响图 如果是为底层人民考虑那确实好理解，不过对于市场来说有点惨。这段时间无论是航运还是外贸又或者是就业，均显示消费下降趋势。没有消费刺激，通胀自然而然会下降，只不过这个速度布雷纳德还是嫌慢。 航运牛股转熊 那我们如何看待这一轮股市回调呢？ 就在今天CNBC疯狂money节目的主持人吉米克莱默表示让大家快跑，资产要回调了。他表示如果之前持有了一些投机标的，最好趁高位抛售，如果是价值股，那拿着也没什么问题。 我的看法差不多，如果你有近期sell&nbsp;p","listText":"假期发生了三件事：美货币政策进一步收紧，马斯克入股推特，中概股境外上市规定出台。按影响排序我们挨个谈谈看法。 1、美货币政策进一步收紧： 美联储理事鸽派代表布雷纳德周二表示，美联储最早可能5月开始缩表，并将以更为迅速地步伐缩减资产负债表。她还表示，加息的步伐可能会比25个基点的增幅更大。 此言论一出，美联储全面转鹰，国债利率倒挂，股票市场立刻由涨转跌，其中科技股领跌，英伟达大跌5%。 缩表是指美联储缩减自身资产负债表规模，和加息一样，是一种收紧货币政策的手段。在这之前市场就知道要加息缩表一起上，只不过不知道具体执行方法，今晚的美联储会议纪要或披露缩表细节，也许能够一定程度上稳定市场情绪，很关键。 市场受到如此惊吓也可以理解，因为布雷纳德这次发言表述了抑制通胀的决心：https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20220405a.htm 受通胀影响最严重的不是富人，相反富人持有资产，是通胀的受益者，所以就可以理解为什么抑制通胀股价会跌，股票也是一种资产嘛。 那么持有资产最少的人就是通胀的受害者。而且通胀最严重的食品等必需品消费，穷人占比是富人的两倍，通胀越严重，穷人越惨。为了穷人考虑美联储也要尽快抑制通胀，这就是布雷纳德转鹰的原因。 美国不同收入阶层受通胀影响图 如果是为底层人民考虑那确实好理解，不过对于市场来说有点惨。这段时间无论是航运还是外贸又或者是就业，均显示消费下降趋势。没有消费刺激，通胀自然而然会下降，只不过这个速度布雷纳德还是嫌慢。 航运牛股转熊 那我们如何看待这一轮股市回调呢？ 就在今天CNBC疯狂money节目的主持人吉米克莱默表示让大家快跑，资产要回调了。他表示如果之前持有了一些投机标的，最好趁高位抛售，如果是价值股，那拿着也没什么问题。 我的看法差不多，如果你有近期sell&nbsp;p","text":"假期发生了三件事：美货币政策进一步收紧，马斯克入股推特，中概股境外上市规定出台。按影响排序我们挨个谈谈看法。 1、美货币政策进一步收紧： 美联储理事鸽派代表布雷纳德周二表示，美联储最早可能5月开始缩表，并将以更为迅速地步伐缩减资产负债表。她还表示，加息的步伐可能会比25个基点的增幅更大。 此言论一出，美联储全面转鹰，国债利率倒挂，股票市场立刻由涨转跌，其中科技股领跌，英伟达大跌5%。 缩表是指美联储缩减自身资产负债表规模，和加息一样，是一种收紧货币政策的手段。在这之前市场就知道要加息缩表一起上，只不过不知道具体执行方法，今晚的美联储会议纪要或披露缩表细节，也许能够一定程度上稳定市场情绪，很关键。 市场受到如此惊吓也可以理解，因为布雷纳德这次发言表述了抑制通胀的决心：https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/brainard20220405a.htm 受通胀影响最严重的不是富人，相反富人持有资产，是通胀的受益者，所以就可以理解为什么抑制通胀股价会跌，股票也是一种资产嘛。 那么持有资产最少的人就是通胀的受害者。而且通胀最严重的食品等必需品消费，穷人占比是富人的两倍，通胀越严重，穷人越惨。为了穷人考虑美联储也要尽快抑制通胀，这就是布雷纳德转鹰的原因。 美国不同收入阶层受通胀影响图 如果是为底层人民考虑那确实好理解，不过对于市场来说有点惨。这段时间无论是航运还是外贸又或者是就业，均显示消费下降趋势。没有消费刺激，通胀自然而然会下降，只不过这个速度布雷纳德还是嫌慢。 航运牛股转熊 那我们如何看待这一轮股市回调呢？ 就在今天CNBC疯狂money节目的主持人吉米克莱默表示让大家快跑，资产要回调了。他表示如果之前持有了一些投机标的，最好趁高位抛售，如果是价值股，那拿着也没什么问题。 我的看法差不多，如果你有近期sell p","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d974dabc7de34b01698f46f98f376cbc","width":"-1","height":"-1"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/619671022","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":613,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613844857,"gmtCreate":1649829591485,"gmtModify":1649829591485,"author":{"id":"3537782381894354","authorId":"3537782381894354","name":"抓先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/da5b202fd351a27f350cdcb7c314ce51","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3537782381894354","authorIdStr":"3537782381894354"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613844857","repostId":"619127763","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":619127763,"gmtCreate":1649126347281,"gmtModify":1649127814477,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorIdStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"商品区间顶来袭，还有上涨空间？","htmlText":"最近对于做多通胀（商品）的投资者来说，不是个好时间，几大类商品均陆续出现大幅调整，具体后市如何，我将会在帖子里和大家分享，具体的交易机会也会在本周四（7号）晚的直播里和大家详细解说，大家多多留意。 从目前美股指的走势看，加息预期已经无法击溃美股，因此美联储理论上已经不担心后续紧缩政策下对股市的影响，从而更针对通胀数据进行打压。那么对于商品来说无疑就是潜在利空。但历史上，靠政策打压通胀，通常都不会是一蹴而就，而是有个积累的过程（要打压市场对通胀的预期，和逐步提高囤积商品的成本），因此这个过程中，商品仍会有不少调整后做多的机会，大家把握好，收益也是可以的。 一、农产品 在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 农产品价格高，供应增多是正常的。但由于化肥土地成本等同步上升，会带来种植成本的进一步上涨，而目前农产品调整，其实就是市场预期当前农产品种植成本的过程，所以调整幅度并不好猜测。而到了5-6月份，种植面积确定后，这部分成本将初步敲定，农产品的整体价格就有了底线，后续再上涨就是对美国种植天气的预期。所以近期农产品的下跌，并不一定是历史大顶的形成，很可能后续还会因天气问题再来一次脉冲式的机会，所以仍需关注。 二、原油 在美国再一次释放战略石油储备和俄乌局势缓和的形势下，油价将逐步转弱。战略石油储备的释放对油价是有短期打压作用的，尤其是这趟公布出来的释放数字是差不多三分一的美国储备，如果联合其它盟国的释放，对油价短期影响不容忽视。至于中期的下跌幅度，预期将在75美元附近，毕竟战略石油储备抛出后，未来是要回补的，抛得越多，对未来油价的支撑力度越强，所以如果并非实质性的原油设施增加，那么油价其实并不需要特别悲观。但是大幅震荡是在所难免的。 短期策略上，油价有效跌穿（以收盘价","listText":"最近对于做多通胀（商品）的投资者来说，不是个好时间，几大类商品均陆续出现大幅调整，具体后市如何，我将会在帖子里和大家分享，具体的交易机会也会在本周四（7号）晚的直播里和大家详细解说，大家多多留意。 从目前美股指的走势看，加息预期已经无法击溃美股，因此美联储理论上已经不担心后续紧缩政策下对股市的影响，从而更针对通胀数据进行打压。那么对于商品来说无疑就是潜在利空。但历史上，靠政策打压通胀，通常都不会是一蹴而就，而是有个积累的过程（要打压市场对通胀的预期，和逐步提高囤积商品的成本），因此这个过程中，商品仍会有不少调整后做多的机会，大家把握好，收益也是可以的。 一、农产品 在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 农产品价格高，供应增多是正常的。但由于化肥土地成本等同步上升，会带来种植成本的进一步上涨，而目前农产品调整，其实就是市场预期当前农产品种植成本的过程，所以调整幅度并不好猜测。而到了5-6月份，种植面积确定后，这部分成本将初步敲定，农产品的整体价格就有了底线，后续再上涨就是对美国种植天气的预期。所以近期农产品的下跌，并不一定是历史大顶的形成，很可能后续还会因天气问题再来一次脉冲式的机会，所以仍需关注。 二、原油 在美国再一次释放战略石油储备和俄乌局势缓和的形势下，油价将逐步转弱。战略石油储备的释放对油价是有短期打压作用的，尤其是这趟公布出来的释放数字是差不多三分一的美国储备，如果联合其它盟国的释放，对油价短期影响不容忽视。至于中期的下跌幅度，预期将在75美元附近，毕竟战略石油储备抛出后，未来是要回补的，抛得越多，对未来油价的支撑力度越强，所以如果并非实质性的原油设施增加，那么油价其实并不需要特别悲观。但是大幅震荡是在所难免的。 短期策略上，油价有效跌穿（以收盘价","text":"最近对于做多通胀（商品）的投资者来说，不是个好时间，几大类商品均陆续出现大幅调整，具体后市如何，我将会在帖子里和大家分享，具体的交易机会也会在本周四（7号）晚的直播里和大家详细解说，大家多多留意。 从目前美股指的走势看，加息预期已经无法击溃美股，因此美联储理论上已经不担心后续紧缩政策下对股市的影响，从而更针对通胀数据进行打压。那么对于商品来说无疑就是潜在利空。但历史上，靠政策打压通胀，通常都不会是一蹴而就，而是有个积累的过程（要打压市场对通胀的预期，和逐步提高囤积商品的成本），因此这个过程中，商品仍会有不少调整后做多的机会，大家把握好，收益也是可以的。 一、农产品 在3月底周五刚刚公布的USDA农作物种植面积意向报告，决定了农产品的阶段性走势。因此只要各农产品价格不创3月份的价格高点的话，那么阶段性看空至5-6月份。 农产品价格高，供应增多是正常的。但由于化肥土地成本等同步上升，会带来种植成本的进一步上涨，而目前农产品调整，其实就是市场预期当前农产品种植成本的过程，所以调整幅度并不好猜测。而到了5-6月份，种植面积确定后，这部分成本将初步敲定，农产品的整体价格就有了底线，后续再上涨就是对美国种植天气的预期。所以近期农产品的下跌，并不一定是历史大顶的形成，很可能后续还会因天气问题再来一次脉冲式的机会，所以仍需关注。 二、原油 在美国再一次释放战略石油储备和俄乌局势缓和的形势下，油价将逐步转弱。战略石油储备的释放对油价是有短期打压作用的，尤其是这趟公布出来的释放数字是差不多三分一的美国储备，如果联合其它盟国的释放，对油价短期影响不容忽视。至于中期的下跌幅度，预期将在75美元附近，毕竟战略石油储备抛出后，未来是要回补的，抛得越多，对未来油价的支撑力度越强，所以如果并非实质性的原油设施增加，那么油价其实并不需要特别悲观。但是大幅震荡是在所难免的。 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