雨夜静听的个人主页 - 老虎社区

雨夜静听

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IP属地：北京

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0勋章

2020-02-25

$跟谁学(GSX)$就这做空报告，连业务模式都没搞懂，现在还在以为在搞老师入驻呢

2021-05-26

$高途(GOTU)$没抄到最低

2023-01-06

$高途(GOTU)$ 关于拉总回应为啥叫拉总这件事，哈哈哈哈

2021-04-21

$跟谁学(GSX)$留给抄底的时间不多了

2020-02-28

$有道(DAO)$全年K12用户只有35.88万人次，还亏损了6个亿，这个爆发从何说起呢

@价值投资为王:网易有道Q4：K12大爆发，有道驶上快车道！

2022-09-15

还能回到8时代不，小时候刚知道美元的时候就是一比八

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-06

$高途(GOTU)$新名字了

2021-04-28

$有道(DAO)$这点交易量，退市算了

2023-12-11

$高途(GOTU)$ 要上3啦

2021-05-11

$高途(GOTU)$触底反弹了这是

2021-01-25

$新东方(EDU)$今天波动有点大啊，资金都去在线教育了么

2023-12-18

$高途(GOTU)$ 3.6已加仓

2021-04-21

$跟谁学(GSX)$连续四天，这走势图画的很像

2021-02-04

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$昨天136刚卖掉[白眼]

01-05

纸上谈兵谁都会

01-05

就学而思优品，一天下来都不知道啥时候开播，开播就播不到俩小时，有个屁的能力

2023-12-18

宇辉正式进入资本家行列，群众基础将慢慢被瓦解

抱歉，原内容已删除

2023-11-16

$新东方-S(09901)$ 不给30周年庆点面子啊

2023-02-16

$新东方在线(01797)$ 套现跑路，借用志胜的话吧，“我们努力奔跑，李诞生活美好，我们跑了五年，李诞哐哐数钱，我们跑了拼了命，李诞说今天晚上喝得不尽兴”

2021-04-26

$跟谁学(GSX)$起飞吧！

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$&nbsp;</a>3.6已加仓","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$&nbsp;</a>3.6已加仓","text":"$高途(GOTU)$ 3.6已加仓","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/253440244924608","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":845,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":253437020188784,"gmtCreate":1702892141062,"gmtModify":1702892143592,"author":{"id":"3532489262548843","authorId":"3532489262548843","name":"雨夜静听","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532489262548843","authorIdStr":"3532489262548843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"宇辉正式进入资本家行列，群众基础将慢慢被瓦解","listText":"宇辉正式进入资本家行列，群众基础将慢慢被瓦解","text":"宇辉正式进入资本家行列，群众基础将慢慢被瓦解","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/253437020188784","repostId":"1142775071","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1142775071","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1702890026,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1142775071?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-12-18 17:00","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"盘前异动 | 高途暴跌新东方上涨，蔚来又获大笔投资","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1142775071","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>12月18日周一，美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨。本周市场将迎来今年美国最后一批通胀数据，也是美联储最青睐的通胀指标。日本央行将于本周举行货币政策会议，会否转向鹰派万众瞩目。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b320fb36ee687b85ad75af3b6bfe07ee\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"305\"/></p><p>截至发稿，高途盘前跌超22%。消息面上，俞敏洪今日发布关于董宇辉任命的通知称，经集团董事会研究决定：任命董宇辉为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>教育科技集团董事长文化助理，兼任新东方文旅集团副总裁。本通知自文件下发之日起生效。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2209ddd6bf182428a14f56813db3ce8d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>同时，新东方盘前涨10%。</p><p>蔚来大涨超8%。蔚来已与 CYVN Holdings L.L.C订立股份认购协议。根据股份认购协议，CYVN将投入现金总额22亿美元，以每股股份 7.50美元的购买价认购2.94亿股公司新发行A类普通股。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6fca55c2a3bd17a30b7567a81bdf3d0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p>小鹏汽车盘前小幅走低。上周五，阿里巴巴集团宣布出售其持有的部分小鹏汽车的股权。阿里相关负责人表示：减持为根据自身的资本管理目标作出的调整，减持后阿里巴巴对小鹏汽车的持股由10.2%降至7.5%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f6e955bce6a871249eb1c727cc890b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>海运股盘前普涨。以星航运大涨超8%，且该股此前已连涨3日。金海洋集团涨近3%，喜马拉雅航运涨1.69%。近日，红海-曼德海峡并不太平，已有商船遭遇袭击。全球最大的航运集团地中海航运公司和第三大航运公司法国达飞轮船周六宣布，暂停其船只的红海航线。分析师预计，短期内运价都会飙升，而更高的运输成本最终将打击消费者。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ada29fe435ea1e4fc33f452b6c967c7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"125\"/></p><p>在线奢侈品零售商Farfetch盘前跌超4%，该股上周五收跌超13%，年内已累计下跌超86%。消息面上，因股价大跌、负债累累等原因，Farfetch创始人José Neves正在与历峰集团、阿里巴巴集团等股东，以及摩根大通等投资机构商讨私有化退市事宜。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>盘前异动 | 高途暴跌新东方上涨，蔚来又获大笔投资</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n盘前异动 | 高途暴跌新东方上涨，蔚来又获大笔投资\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-12-18 17:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>12月18日周一，美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨。本周市场将迎来今年美国最后一批通胀数据，也是美联储最青睐的通胀指标。日本央行将于本周举行货币政策会议，会否转向鹰派万众瞩目。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b320fb36ee687b85ad75af3b6bfe07ee\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"879\" tg-height=\"305\"/></p><p>截至发稿，高途盘前跌超22%。消息面上，俞敏洪今日发布关于董宇辉任命的通知称，经集团董事会研究决定：任命董宇辉为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">新东方</a>教育科技集团董事长文化助理，兼任新东方文旅集团副总裁。本通知自文件下发之日起生效。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2209ddd6bf182428a14f56813db3ce8d\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>同时，新东方盘前涨10%。</p><p>蔚来大涨超8%。蔚来已与 CYVN Holdings L.L.C订立股份认购协议。根据股份认购协议，CYVN将投入现金总额22亿美元，以每股股份 7.50美元的购买价认购2.94亿股公司新发行A类普通股。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e6fca55c2a3bd17a30b7567a81bdf3d0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p><p>小鹏汽车盘前小幅走低。上周五，阿里巴巴集团宣布出售其持有的部分小鹏汽车的股权。阿里相关负责人表示：减持为根据自身的资本管理目标作出的调整，减持后阿里巴巴对小鹏汽车的持股由10.2%降至7.5%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5f6e955bce6a871249eb1c727cc890b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>海运股盘前普涨。以星航运大涨超8%，且该股此前已连涨3日。金海洋集团涨近3%，喜马拉雅航运涨1.69%。近日，红海-曼德海峡并不太平，已有商船遭遇袭击。全球最大的航运集团地中海航运公司和第三大航运公司法国达飞轮船周六宣布，暂停其船只的红海航线。分析师预计，短期内运价都会飙升，而更高的运输成本最终将打击消费者。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8ada29fe435ea1e4fc33f452b6c967c7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"125\"/></p><p>在线奢侈品零售商Farfetch盘前跌超4%，该股上周五收跌超13%，年内已累计下跌超86%。消息面上，因股价大跌、负债累累等原因，Farfetch创始人José Neves正在与历峰集团、阿里巴巴集团等股东，以及摩根大通等投资机构商讨私有化退市事宜。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2944aef3f5f6171911078376d76bfa8","relate_stocks":{"EDU":"新东方","GOTU":"高途","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1142775071","content_text":"12月18日周一，美股三大指数期货在盘前时段小幅上涨。本周市场将迎来今年美国最后一批通胀数据，也是美联储最青睐的通胀指标。日本央行将于本周举行货币政策会议，会否转向鹰派万众瞩目。截至发稿，高途盘前跌超22%。消息面上，俞敏洪今日发布关于董宇辉任命的通知称，经集团董事会研究决定：任命董宇辉为新东方教育科技集团董事长文化助理，兼任新东方文旅集团副总裁。本通知自文件下发之日起生效。同时，新东方盘前涨10%。蔚来大涨超8%。蔚来已与 CYVN Holdings L.L.C订立股份认购协议。根据股份认购协议，CYVN将投入现金总额22亿美元，以每股股份 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">$高途(GOTU)$&nbsp;</a>要上3啦","text":"$高途(GOTU)$ 要上3啦","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/251072224301288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":903,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":241950995636344,"gmtCreate":1700106292381,"gmtModify":1700107142372,"author":{"id":"3532489262548843","authorId":"3532489262548843","name":"雨夜静听","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532489262548843","authorIdStr":"3532489262548843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09901\">$新东方-S(09901)$&nbsp;</a>不给30周年庆点面子啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09901\">$新东方-S(09901)$&nbsp;</a>不给30周年庆点面子啊","text":"$新东方-S(09901)$ 不给30周年庆点面子啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/241950995636344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":625260737,"gmtCreate":1676512930229,"gmtModify":1676512932852,"author":{"id":"3532489262548843","authorId":"3532489262548843","name":"雨夜静听","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532489262548843","authorIdStr":"3532489262548843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01797\">$新东方在线(01797)$&nbsp;</a>套现跑路，借用志胜的话吧，“我们努力奔跑，李诞生活美好，我们跑了五年，李诞哐哐数钱，我们跑了拼了命，李诞说今天晚上喝得不尽兴”","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01797\">$新东方在线(01797)$&nbsp;</a>套现跑路，借用志胜的话吧，“我们努力奔跑，李诞生活美好，我们跑了五年，李诞哐哐数钱，我们跑了拼了命，李诞说今天晚上喝得不尽兴”","text":"$新东方在线(01797)$ 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关于拉总回应为啥叫拉总这件事，哈哈哈哈","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e1337050ca5e16a156e6d07f9186033","width":"1242","height":"2688"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/628893574","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":663247143,"gmtCreate":1663238079782,"gmtModify":1663238081240,"author":{"id":"3532489262548843","authorId":"3532489262548843","name":"雨夜静听","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532489262548843","authorIdStr":"3532489262548843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"还能回到8时代不，小时候刚知道美元的时候就是一比八","listText":"还能回到8时代不，小时候刚知道美元的时候就是一比八","text":"还能回到8时代不，小时候刚知道美元的时候就是一比八","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/663247143","repostId":"1178330381","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178330381","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1663237959,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178330381?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-09-15 18:32","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"人民币汇率破“7”了！有哪些影响？十问十答","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178330381","media":"国是直通车","summary":"9月15日，外汇市场上，离岸人民币对美元即期汇率跌破整数关口“7”。时隔两年多以后，人民币对美元汇率再度一脚迈入“7”时代。未来走势会怎么走？“破7”以后会有哪些影响？国是直通车综合官方和专家权威观点","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>9月15日，外汇市场上，离岸人民币对美元即期汇率跌破整数关口“7”。时隔两年多以后，人民币对美元汇率再度一脚迈入“7”时代。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/df09a1d15bd7d7c5021c48b9b6dfae93\" tg-width=\"1919\" tg-height=\"874\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p><b>未来走势会怎么走？“破7”以后会有哪些影响？</b></p><p>国是直通车综合官方和专家权威观点，推出“十问十答”：</p><p><b>1、人民币对美元汇率破“7”到底好不好？我们该如何看待？</b></p><p>国是直通车：人民币汇率破“7”，真的没有大家想得那么严重，它只是一个价格而已，肯定会涨回来的，这是必然的。</p><p>2019年人民币破“7”的时候，央行就说过，人民币汇率“破7”，这个“7”不是年龄，过去就回不来了，也不是堤坝，一旦被冲破大水就会一泻千里；“7”更像水库的水位，丰水期的时候高一些，到了枯水期的时候又会降下来，有涨有落，都是正常的。</p><p>大家要认识到，人民币汇率不具备长期贬值的基础，也不会出现一直下跌或者一直上涨的单边行情。</p><p>即便这次破“7”了，未来随着国内经济企稳、美元指数回调再配合一些工具的使用，再涨回到“6”区间也是必然的事情。</p><p>其实，汇率涨跌的影响已经是个老话题了，汇率贬值有利有弊。适度贬值有利于提升出口贸易竞争力和价格优势，推动实体经济复苏，但进口企业的进口成本将有所增加。</p><p>举例来看，中国出口贸易中鞋靴配饰、纺织服装、皮革箱包占据了很大的份额，人民币适度贬值对于处在这些行业的企业可能会受益。反过来看，需要从海外进口原材料、货物、服务的行业，以及扛着更多美元债券的公司，或许会受到负面影响。</p><p><b>2、9月6日央行降低了金融机构外汇存款准备金率2个百分点，为什么汇率还是持续贬值呢？</b></p><p>国是直通车：首先，央行9月6号宣布的是外汇“降息”的消息，而不是在那天就执行了。央行将自2022年9月15日开始，把金融机构外汇存款准备金率下调2个百分点，即外汇存款准备金率由现行8%下调至6%。</p><p>所以最近几天，外汇“降息”更多的是信号作用，是在向市场“喊话”，如果出现了非理性的贬值，官方是不会坐视不管的。</p><p><b>3、人民币贬值是钱更不值钱了吗？那贬值会不会推高进口成本，进而导致物价上涨？</b></p><p>国是直通车：人民币贬值的“不值钱”仅仅是体现在用人民币购买美元的时候。在进口结算需用到美元时，进口成本确实会提高。</p><p>但请注意，如果进口结算用的是欧元、日元、英镑，其实最近的成本是在降低的，因为人民币相对这些货币其实是在升值。</p><p>至于物价上涨的问题，中国的CPI构成里绝大部分吃的用的，国内都可以自给自足，人民币对美元汇率贬值对我们自己内部的物价影响很小。</p><p><b>4、管它是涨还是跌，如果我只用人民币在国内消费，人民币汇率贬值是不是对我没有影响？</b></p><p>国是直通车：不一定。如果你在国内消费的产品，是通过美元结算进口的，或者其零部件是用美元购买的，那么人民币贬值的成本可能转移到你要购买的产品价格上，会变贵。</p><p>举个最简单的例子，你在国内通过跨境电商海淘，最终消费是用美元计价的话，那么对你会产生影响。</p><p><b>5、美元印了这么多，为什么还很值钱？美元对全世界主要货币都在升值吗？</b></p><p>国是直通车：四个字，美元霸权。美国前财政部长康纳利就说过：“我们的美元，你们的麻烦。”</p><p>一般来说，一直撒钱、疯狂“放水”，钱肯定就不值钱了。但关键问题在于，美元在全球的贸易、支付、金融及外汇储备等各种领域都占据了绝对的垄断地位。</p><p>那么，美联储放的“水”其实是全球在消化，美联储可以通过加息和降息来控制“水”的流向和美元的价格，今年以来美元升值就是在前期为了应对疫情的“大放水”后开始了加息，美元回流本土市场，推高了美元的价格。</p><p><b>6、不仅人民币在贬值，别国货币对美元也在贬值。进口成本增加，会让“全民买单”吗？</b></p><p>国是直通车：“又不是只有人民币在贬值”确实是当前的现状，前面提到了，欧元、日元、英镑跌得比人民币还厉害，所以人民币相对这些非美货币来说其实是升值的。</p><p>价格优势和产品优势都是决定生意的重要因素，这个时候要看出口的竞争力，就要根据不同行业来进行具体分析。</p><p>至于进口的成本增加，一方面我们的CPI构成里的商品基本可以做到自给自足，不用太多担心；另一方面有一些商品牵扯到汇率变化的成本提高问题，中国在很多生活必需品的供给上是有一套定价机制的，经过定价机制出来后的最终价格并不一定都是要全民买单。</p><p><b>7、人民币继续贬值，资金会往外“跑”吗？</b></p><p>国是直通车：不可否认，在人民币的这一波贬值里，肯定会有一些资金往外走，但这些资金一般都是有短期投资目的甚至带着投机心态的资金，现在来看，中国外汇市场运行正常，跨境资金流动也是有序的。</p><p>在上周末外汇局副局长郑薇表示，当前，中国跨境资金流动总体稳定，境内外汇供求保持基本平衡。中国经济长期向好的基本面没有改变，并继续吸引直接投资和以中长期资产配置为目的的资金流入。</p><p>2022年上半年，中国直接投资净流入749亿美元，其中来华直接投资净流入1496亿美元，显示了中国市场对外资保持较强吸引力。</p><p><b>8、美国最近一直在加息，现在是该买美元存款理财、买黄金的时机吗？</b></p><p>国是直通车：确实，现在有些银行的美元存款利息已经比人民币要高了，但是要注意美元存款高息不代表一定能享受高收益，因为最终的收益还要把汇率的变化给考虑进去。</p><p>比如说，假设现在美元存款一年3.5%的利息，如果这一年里，人民币对美元只要升值4%，大概从现在的水平到6.6左右就可以，那其实还亏了，另外换汇还有手续费了，竹篮打水一场空。</p><p>而且现在人民币双向波动的弹性增强了，6.6的水平在三四个月前就出现过，未来一年里完全有可能涨回去。所以，不要去赌汇率，因为谁都测不准。</p><p>至于黄金，大家都觉得它是很好的避险资产，但它并不是人民币汇率贬值的避险资产，看这一轮和今年前一轮人民币贬值，黄金价格几乎没有变化，投资黄金还是要看整个国际局势和美元的动向。</p><p><b>9、为什么稳汇率，要调降外汇准备金呢？这中间是怎么起作用的？</b></p><p>国是直通车：人民币对美元汇率本质就是价格，价格是由供需关系决定，外汇准备金率降低了，就会释放美元流动性，外汇市场上的美元就会更多，那么美元也就不会那么贵了。</p><p><b>10、人民币汇率“破7”，央行还有哪些调控汇率的工具？</b></p><p>国是直通车：任何一国的央行都不会放任本国货币快速升值或者快速贬值。</p><p>中国人民银行的货币政策“工具箱”很多，应对外汇市场上的投机炒作行为也是非常有经验的，过去几年和人民币汇率的空头“交战”，都是凯旋而归。</p><p>除了已推出的外汇风险准备金率外，目前来看央行在防止汇率快速贬值上的工具还有逆周期因子、金融机构外汇存款准备金率、跨境投融资宏观审慎系数等。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1570586524680","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n人民币汇率破“7”了！有哪些影响？十问十答\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-15 18:32 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CHXRQ2NtRasi6jSLihcRBw><strong>国是直通车</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>9月15日，外汇市场上，离岸人民币对美元即期汇率跌破整数关口“7”。时隔两年多以后，人民币对美元汇率再度一脚迈入“7”时代。未来走势会怎么走？“破7”以后会有哪些影响？国是直通车综合官方和专家权威观点，推出“十问十答”：1、人民币对美元汇率破“7”到底好不好？我们该如何看待？国是直通车：人民币汇率破“7”，真的没有大家想得那么严重，它只是一个价格而已，肯定会涨回来的，这是必然的。2019年人民币破...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CHXRQ2NtRasi6jSLihcRBw\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c55bffeda13a48c493e3a1ee44757f37","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/CHXRQ2NtRasi6jSLihcRBw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178330381","content_text":"9月15日，外汇市场上，离岸人民币对美元即期汇率跌破整数关口“7”。时隔两年多以后，人民币对美元汇率再度一脚迈入“7”时代。未来走势会怎么走？“破7”以后会有哪些影响？国是直通车综合官方和专家权威观点，推出“十问十答”：1、人民币对美元汇率破“7”到底好不好？我们该如何看待？国是直通车：人民币汇率破“7”，真的没有大家想得那么严重，它只是一个价格而已，肯定会涨回来的，这是必然的。2019年人民币破“7”的时候，央行就说过，人民币汇率“破7”，这个“7”不是年龄，过去就回不来了，也不是堤坝，一旦被冲破大水就会一泻千里；“7”更像水库的水位，丰水期的时候高一些，到了枯水期的时候又会降下来，有涨有落，都是正常的。大家要认识到，人民币汇率不具备长期贬值的基础，也不会出现一直下跌或者一直上涨的单边行情。即便这次破“7”了，未来随着国内经济企稳、美元指数回调再配合一些工具的使用，再涨回到“6”区间也是必然的事情。其实，汇率涨跌的影响已经是个老话题了，汇率贬值有利有弊。适度贬值有利于提升出口贸易竞争力和价格优势，推动实体经济复苏，但进口企业的进口成本将有所增加。举例来看，中国出口贸易中鞋靴配饰、纺织服装、皮革箱包占据了很大的份额，人民币适度贬值对于处在这些行业的企业可能会受益。反过来看，需要从海外进口原材料、货物、服务的行业，以及扛着更多美元债券的公司，或许会受到负面影响。2、9月6日央行降低了金融机构外汇存款准备金率2个百分点，为什么汇率还是持续贬值呢？国是直通车：首先，央行9月6号宣布的是外汇“降息”的消息，而不是在那天就执行了。央行将自2022年9月15日开始，把金融机构外汇存款准备金率下调2个百分点，即外汇存款准备金率由现行8%下调至6%。所以最近几天，外汇“降息”更多的是信号作用，是在向市场“喊话”，如果出现了非理性的贬值，官方是不会坐视不管的。3、人民币贬值是钱更不值钱了吗？那贬值会不会推高进口成本，进而导致物价上涨？国是直通车：人民币贬值的“不值钱”仅仅是体现在用人民币购买美元的时候。在进口结算需用到美元时，进口成本确实会提高。但请注意，如果进口结算用的是欧元、日元、英镑，其实最近的成本是在降低的，因为人民币相对这些货币其实是在升值。至于物价上涨的问题，中国的CPI构成里绝大部分吃的用的，国内都可以自给自足，人民币对美元汇率贬值对我们自己内部的物价影响很小。4、管它是涨还是跌，如果我只用人民币在国内消费，人民币汇率贬值是不是对我没有影响？国是直通车：不一定。如果你在国内消费的产品，是通过美元结算进口的，或者其零部件是用美元购买的，那么人民币贬值的成本可能转移到你要购买的产品价格上，会变贵。举个最简单的例子，你在国内通过跨境电商海淘，最终消费是用美元计价的话，那么对你会产生影响。5、美元印了这么多，为什么还很值钱？美元对全世界主要货币都在升值吗？国是直通车：四个字，美元霸权。美国前财政部长康纳利就说过：“我们的美元，你们的麻烦。”一般来说，一直撒钱、疯狂“放水”，钱肯定就不值钱了。但关键问题在于，美元在全球的贸易、支付、金融及外汇储备等各种领域都占据了绝对的垄断地位。那么，美联储放的“水”其实是全球在消化，美联储可以通过加息和降息来控制“水”的流向和美元的价格，今年以来美元升值就是在前期为了应对疫情的“大放水”后开始了加息，美元回流本土市场，推高了美元的价格。6、不仅人民币在贬值，别国货币对美元也在贬值。进口成本增加，会让“全民买单”吗？国是直通车：“又不是只有人民币在贬值”确实是当前的现状，前面提到了，欧元、日元、英镑跌得比人民币还厉害，所以人民币相对这些非美货币来说其实是升值的。价格优势和产品优势都是决定生意的重要因素，这个时候要看出口的竞争力，就要根据不同行业来进行具体分析。至于进口的成本增加，一方面我们的CPI构成里的商品基本可以做到自给自足，不用太多担心；另一方面有一些商品牵扯到汇率变化的成本提高问题，中国在很多生活必需品的供给上是有一套定价机制的，经过定价机制出来后的最终价格并不一定都是要全民买单。7、人民币继续贬值，资金会往外“跑”吗？国是直通车：不可否认，在人民币的这一波贬值里，肯定会有一些资金往外走，但这些资金一般都是有短期投资目的甚至带着投机心态的资金，现在来看，中国外汇市场运行正常，跨境资金流动也是有序的。在上周末外汇局副局长郑薇表示，当前，中国跨境资金流动总体稳定，境内外汇供求保持基本平衡。中国经济长期向好的基本面没有改变，并继续吸引直接投资和以中长期资产配置为目的的资金流入。2022年上半年，中国直接投资净流入749亿美元，其中来华直接投资净流入1496亿美元，显示了中国市场对外资保持较强吸引力。8、美国最近一直在加息，现在是该买美元存款理财、买黄金的时机吗？国是直通车：确实，现在有些银行的美元存款利息已经比人民币要高了，但是要注意美元存款高息不代表一定能享受高收益，因为最终的收益还要把汇率的变化给考虑进去。比如说，假设现在美元存款一年3.5%的利息，如果这一年里，人民币对美元只要升值4%，大概从现在的水平到6.6左右就可以，那其实还亏了，另外换汇还有手续费了，竹篮打水一场空。而且现在人民币双向波动的弹性增强了，6.6的水平在三四个月前就出现过，未来一年里完全有可能涨回去。所以，不要去赌汇率，因为谁都测不准。至于黄金，大家都觉得它是很好的避险资产，但它并不是人民币汇率贬值的避险资产，看这一轮和今年前一轮人民币贬值，黄金价格几乎没有变化，投资黄金还是要看整个国际局势和美元的动向。9、为什么稳汇率，要调降外汇准备金呢？这中间是怎么起作用的？国是直通车：人民币对美元汇率本质就是价格，价格是由供需关系决定，外汇准备金率降低了，就会释放美元流动性，外汇市场上的美元就会更多，那么美元也就不会那么贵了。10、人民币汇率“破7”，央行还有哪些调控汇率的工具？国是直通车：任何一国的央行都不会放任本国货币快速升值或者快速贬值。中国人民银行的货币政策“工具箱”很多，应对外汇市场上的投机炒作行为也是非常有经验的，过去几年和人民币汇率的空头“交战”，都是凯旋而归。除了已推出的外汇风险准备金率外，目前来看央行在防止汇率快速贬值上的工具还有逆周期因子、金融机构外汇存款准备金率、跨境投融资宏观审慎系数等。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1852,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":136724609,"gmtCreate":1622040742101,"gmtModify":1622040742101,"author":{"id":"3532489262548843","authorId":"3532489262548843","name":"雨夜静听","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3532489262548843","authorIdStr":"3532489262548843"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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