雨夜静听
2020-02-28
$有道(DAO)$
全年K12用户只有35.88万人次,还亏损了6个亿,这个爆发从何说起呢
@价值投资为王:
网易有道Q4:K12大爆发,有道驶上快车道!
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想笑
2020-02-28
想笑
不看下总市值和流通市值
银杏天下
2020-02-28
银杏天下
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<p>美东时间<span>2</span>月<span>26</span>日盘后,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">$有道(DAO)$</a> 发布了上市以来的第二份财报,在截止<span>12</span>月<span>31</span>日的<span>Q4</span>中,有道<span>K12</span>业务大爆发,<span>Q3</span>狂撒出去的营销费换来入学人数和客单价的双双提升,虽然净利润依然为负,但不得不说有道在<span>K12</span>领域正在成为崛起的一极。</p> <p>当然,如果要得到资本市场的认可,盈利成为摆在面前的首要难题,公布财报后,有道股价反应平淡,截止收盘,微跌<span>0.08%</span>。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b2a980257a119f838ddd9b7eb7f58e1\"></p> <p><b><span>Q4</span></b><b>,</b><b><span>K12</span></b><b>业务大爆发!</b></p> <p>根据披露的财务数据,有道在<span>4</span>季度斩获<span>4.1</span>亿人民币的营收,同比增长<span>78.4%</span>,较<span>3</span>季度<span>98.9%</span>的增速有所减缓,主要原因在于广告收入下滑,<span>4</span>季度仅微增<span>5.2%</span>,而在<span>3</span>季度,该项业务仍保持<span>48.8%</span>的高增长。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6429ebd461f46d42bc81e55cf5f8442f\"></p> <p>有道的两大主营业务,分别是学习服务和产品以及在线营销服务,前者主要包括<span>K12</span>业务、成人教育业务和智能学习产品,后者是有道传统的收入来源,随着经济波动易受到广告主缩减开支影响,有点看天吃饭的意思。</p> <p>有道旗下的词典、云笔记产品虽然用户量能在相应领域成为<span>NO.1</span>,但“叫好不叫座”承袭了网易的<span>feel</span>。自有道<span>2014</span>年进军在线教育推出有道精品课后,凭借入局<span>K12</span>业务,营收开始快速上升。</p> <p>在<span>4</span>季度中,学习服务和产品营收<span>3.12</span>亿元,同比大增<span>128.6%</span>,占总营收的比重达到<span>76.1%</span>。以此看出,有道已经不再是工具产品的代名词,而是和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a> 一样,是<span>K12</span>领域重磅玩家。</p> <p>在学习服务和产品业务中,在线课程的总账单增长了<span>211</span>%,达到了人民币<span>3.47</span>亿元,语文、物理、英语和儿童编程课程的增长最为强劲;在线课程递延收入同比暴增<span>316%</span>,达到<span>4.08</span>亿元;智能学习产品受有道词典笔<span>2.0</span>的推出而大增<span>400%</span>,唯一可惜的是,财报里并没有提及金额,但随着产品走进线下,预计智能产品的销售额将继续大增。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c13bb676b1e9f4865b7fd5f75232ddf9\"></p> <p>从入学人数上看,<span>K12</span>付费学生数达到<span>16.1</span>万人,同比暴增<span>366.3%</span>,<span>3</span>季度大额的营销费用投放还好没有“竹篮打水一场空”。展望今年一季度,因肺炎疫情影响而宅在家上课的学生,恐将给有道带来爆炸级别的学生用户。</p> <p>而成人付费人数在本季减少<span>2.2</span>万人,同比负增长<span>18.4%</span>!</p> <p>受此拖累,<span>4</span>季度有道精品课的付费学生数同比增长<span>68.1%</span>,较<span>3</span>季度的<span>37.8%</span>增速有明显提升。</p> <p>在客单价方面,<span>4</span>季度继续提升,由去年同期的<span>607</span>元<span>/</span>人提高到<span>1088</span>元<span>/</span>人,大增<span>79.2%</span>!</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d1f65cf9e7b93dedbb3d0056cd85b4\"></p> <p>在盈利能力上,学习服务和产品的毛利率继续提升,已从<span>2017</span>年的<span>7%</span>提高至<span>4</span>季度的<span>29.3%</span>;在线营销服务受经济不景气影响毛利率逐年下滑,<span>4</span>季度毛利虽较<span>3</span>季度有所提高,但营收增速只有可怜的<span>5.2%</span>。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e29d38be870a48f614b26f42b12ba143\"></p> <p>考虑到今年一季度国内经济冰冻,有道的广告业务一时难有起色了。</p> <p><b>盈利依然是难题</b></p> <p><span>K12</span>教育行业虽然前景明朗,但诸多行业玩家皆在赔本圈用户,鲜有盈利公司,跟谁学虽然是少有的盈利企业,但刚刚不久遭到做空机构的狙击,这一行业的盈利前景有些暗淡。</p> <p>造成<span>K12</span>企业难以盈利的主要原因在于高昂的营销费用,有道在<span>Q4</span>中拿出了<span>2.06</span>亿元,营销费用率达到了<span>50.2%</span>,较<span>3</span>季度有所回落,但主要是季节原因造成,毕竟暑期学生争夺战比较惨烈。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9da7abba6301c2e329aa18d731692ce\"></p> <p>高昂的开支让净利润承压,<span>4</span>季度有道归属母公司的净利润为<span>-2.02</span>亿元,全年亏损<span>6.02</span>亿元,较<span>2018</span>年的<span>2.09</span>亿大幅扩大。</p> <p>用户,有道已经抢到手了,接下来是时候证明自身的盈利能力了,毕竟当今股价已较上市低点翻倍有余,总不能一直靠画大饼撑股价吧?</p> <p><b>总结:</b></p> <p>有道在<span>Q4</span>交出的答卷依然漂亮,<span>K12</span>业务发展的如火如荼,付费学生数和客单价大幅提升,抵消了广告业务失速的拖累,一增一减,<span>K12</span>业务已成有道主业。</p> <p>在这一常青树行业孕育了好未来、跟谁学等诸多牛股,网易有道目前来看也初具牛股风采,但赔本赚用户,有道什么时候才能让投资者看到盈利的曙光?</p> <p>今年的一季度会是好机会吗?</p> <p>受新冠肺炎影响,线上教育火了,一些之前花费巨额广告费拉不来的用户主动下载了应用,送上门的客户如果能留住,有道下一季的财报应该很好看。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>精心打磨十数年,有道终于走上了自己的快车道。</p> <p>美东时间<span>2</span>月<span>26</span>日盘后,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAO\">$有道(DAO)$</a> 发布了上市以来的第二份财报,在截止<span>12</span>月<span>31</span>日的<span>Q4</span>中,有道<span>K12</span>业务大爆发,<span>Q3</span>狂撒出去的营销费换来入学人数和客单价的双双提升,虽然净利润依然为负,但不得不说有道在<span>K12</span>领域正在成为崛起的一极。</p> <p>当然,如果要得到资本市场的认可,盈利成为摆在面前的首要难题,公布财报后,有道股价反应平淡,截止收盘,微跌<span>0.08%</span>。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b2a980257a119f838ddd9b7eb7f58e1\"></p> <p><b><span>Q4</span></b><b>,</b><b><span>K12</span></b><b>业务大爆发!</b></p> <p>根据披露的财务数据,有道在<span>4</span>季度斩获<span>4.1</span>亿人民币的营收,同比增长<span>78.4%</span>,较<span>3</span>季度<span>98.9%</span>的增速有所减缓,主要原因在于广告收入下滑,<span>4</span>季度仅微增<span>5.2%</span>,而在<span>3</span>季度,该项业务仍保持<span>48.8%</span>的高增长。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6429ebd461f46d42bc81e55cf5f8442f\"></p> <p>有道的两大主营业务,分别是学习服务和产品以及在线营销服务,前者主要包括<span>K12</span>业务、成人教育业务和智能学习产品,后者是有道传统的收入来源,随着经济波动易受到广告主缩减开支影响,有点看天吃饭的意思。</p> <p>有道旗下的词典、云笔记产品虽然用户量能在相应领域成为<span>NO.1</span>,但“叫好不叫座”承袭了网易的<span>feel</span>。自有道<span>2014</span>年进军在线教育推出有道精品课后,凭借入局<span>K12</span>业务,营收开始快速上升。</p> <p>在<span>4</span>季度中,学习服务和产品营收<span>3.12</span>亿元,同比大增<span>128.6%</span>,占总营收的比重达到<span>76.1%</span>。以此看出,有道已经不再是工具产品的代名词,而是和<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a> 一样,是<span>K12</span>领域重磅玩家。</p> <p>在学习服务和产品业务中,在线课程的总账单增长了<span>211</span>%,达到了人民币<span>3.47</span>亿元,语文、物理、英语和儿童编程课程的增长最为强劲;在线课程递延收入同比暴增<span>316%</span>,达到<span>4.08</span>亿元;智能学习产品受有道词典笔<span>2.0</span>的推出而大增<span>400%</span>,唯一可惜的是,财报里并没有提及金额,但随着产品走进线下,预计智能产品的销售额将继续大增。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c13bb676b1e9f4865b7fd5f75232ddf9\"></p> <p>从入学人数上看,<span>K12</span>付费学生数达到<span>16.1</span>万人,同比暴增<span>366.3%</span>,<span>3</span>季度大额的营销费用投放还好没有“竹篮打水一场空”。展望今年一季度,因肺炎疫情影响而宅在家上课的学生,恐将给有道带来爆炸级别的学生用户。</p> <p>而成人付费人数在本季减少<span>2.2</span>万人,同比负增长<span>18.4%</span>!</p> <p>受此拖累,<span>4</span>季度有道精品课的付费学生数同比增长<span>68.1%</span>,较<span>3</span>季度的<span>37.8%</span>增速有明显提升。</p> <p>在客单价方面,<span>4</span>季度继续提升,由去年同期的<span>607</span>元<span>/</span>人提高到<span>1088</span>元<span>/</span>人,大增<span>79.2%</span>!</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a7d1f65cf9e7b93dedbb3d0056cd85b4\"></p> <p>在盈利能力上,学习服务和产品的毛利率继续提升,已从<span>2017</span>年的<span>7%</span>提高至<span>4</span>季度的<span>29.3%</span>;在线营销服务受经济不景气影响毛利率逐年下滑,<span>4</span>季度毛利虽较<span>3</span>季度有所提高,但营收增速只有可怜的<span>5.2%</span>。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e29d38be870a48f614b26f42b12ba143\"></p> <p>考虑到今年一季度国内经济冰冻,有道的广告业务一时难有起色了。</p> <p><b>盈利依然是难题</b></p> <p><span>K12</span>教育行业虽然前景明朗,但诸多行业玩家皆在赔本圈用户,鲜有盈利公司,跟谁学虽然是少有的盈利企业,但刚刚不久遭到做空机构的狙击,这一行业的盈利前景有些暗淡。</p> <p>造成<span>K12</span>企业难以盈利的主要原因在于高昂的营销费用,有道在<span>Q4</span>中拿出了<span>2.06</span>亿元,营销费用率达到了<span>50.2%</span>,较<span>3</span>季度有所回落,但主要是季节原因造成,毕竟暑期学生争夺战比较惨烈。</p> <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9da7abba6301c2e329aa18d731692ce\"></p> <p>高昂的开支让净利润承压,<span>4</span>季度有道归属母公司的净利润为<span>-2.02</span>亿元,全年亏损<span>6.02</span>亿元,较<span>2018</span>年的<span>2.09</span>亿大幅扩大。</p> <p>用户,有道已经抢到手了,接下来是时候证明自身的盈利能力了,毕竟当今股价已较上市低点翻倍有余,总不能一直靠画大饼撑股价吧?</p> <p><b>总结:</b></p> <p>有道在<span>Q4</span>交出的答卷依然漂亮,<span>K12</span>业务发展的如火如荼,付费学生数和客单价大幅提升,抵消了广告业务失速的拖累,一增一减,<span>K12</span>业务已成有道主业。</p> <p>在这一常青树行业孕育了好未来、跟谁学等诸多牛股,网易有道目前来看也初具牛股风采,但赔本赚用户,有道什么时候才能让投资者看到盈利的曙光?</p> <p>今年的一季度会是好机会吗?</p> <p>受新冠肺炎影响,线上教育火了,一些之前花费巨额广告费拉不来的用户主动下载了应用,送上门的客户如果能留住,有道下一季的财报应该很好看。</p></body></html>","text":"精心打磨十数年,有道终于走上了自己的快车道。 美东时间2月26日盘后,$有道(DAO)$ 发布了上市以来的第二份财报,在截止12月31日的Q4中,有道K12业务大爆发,Q3狂撒出去的营销费换来入学人数和客单价的双双提升,虽然净利润依然为负,但不得不说有道在K12领域正在成为崛起的一极。 当然,如果要得到资本市场的认可,盈利成为摆在面前的首要难题,公布财报后,有道股价反应平淡,截止收盘,微跌0.08%。 Q4,K12业务大爆发! 根据披露的财务数据,有道在4季度斩获4.1亿人民币的营收,同比增长78.4%,较3季度98.9%的增速有所减缓,主要原因在于广告收入下滑,4季度仅微增5.2%,而在3季度,该项业务仍保持48.8%的高增长。 有道的两大主营业务,分别是学习服务和产品以及在线营销服务,前者主要包括K12业务、成人教育业务和智能学习产品,后者是有道传统的收入来源,随着经济波动易受到广告主缩减开支影响,有点看天吃饭的意思。 有道旗下的词典、云笔记产品虽然用户量能在相应领域成为NO.1,但“叫好不叫座”承袭了网易的feel。自有道2014年进军在线教育推出有道精品课后,凭借入局K12业务,营收开始快速上升。 在4季度中,学习服务和产品营收3.12亿元,同比大增128.6%,占总营收的比重达到76.1%。以此看出,有道已经不再是工具产品的代名词,而是和$好未来(TAL)$ 、$跟谁学(GSX)$ 一样,是K12领域重磅玩家。 在学习服务和产品业务中,在线课程的总账单增长了211%,达到了人民币3.47亿元,语文、物理、英语和儿童编程课程的增长最为强劲;在线课程递延收入同比暴增316%,达到4.08亿元;智能学习产品受有道词典笔2.0的推出而大增400%,唯一可惜的是,财报里并没有提及金额,但随着产品走进线下,预计智能产品的销售额将继续大增。 从入学人数上看,K12付费学生数达到16.1万人,同比暴增366.3%,3季度大额的营销费用投放还好没有“竹篮打水一场空”。展望今年一季度,因肺炎疫情影响而宅在家上课的学生,恐将给有道带来爆炸级别的学生用户。 而成人付费人数在本季减少2.2万人,同比负增长18.4%! 受此拖累,4季度有道精品课的付费学生数同比增长68.1%,较3季度的37.8%增速有明显提升。 在客单价方面,4季度继续提升,由去年同期的607元/人提高到1088元/人,大增79.2%! 在盈利能力上,学习服务和产品的毛利率继续提升,已从2017年的7%提高至4季度的29.3%;在线营销服务受经济不景气影响毛利率逐年下滑,4季度毛利虽较3季度有所提高,但营收增速只有可怜的5.2%。 考虑到今年一季度国内经济冰冻,有道的广告业务一时难有起色了。 盈利依然是难题 K12教育行业虽然前景明朗,但诸多行业玩家皆在赔本圈用户,鲜有盈利公司,跟谁学虽然是少有的盈利企业,但刚刚不久遭到做空机构的狙击,这一行业的盈利前景有些暗淡。 造成K12企业难以盈利的主要原因在于高昂的营销费用,有道在Q4中拿出了2.06亿元,营销费用率达到了50.2%,较3季度有所回落,但主要是季节原因造成,毕竟暑期学生争夺战比较惨烈。 高昂的开支让净利润承压,4季度有道归属母公司的净利润为-2.02亿元,全年亏损6.02亿元,较2018年的2.09亿大幅扩大。 用户,有道已经抢到手了,接下来是时候证明自身的盈利能力了,毕竟当今股价已较上市低点翻倍有余,总不能一直靠画大饼撑股价吧? 总结: 有道在Q4交出的答卷依然漂亮,K12业务发展的如火如荼,付费学生数和客单价大幅提升,抵消了广告业务失速的拖累,一增一减,K12业务已成有道主业。 在这一常青树行业孕育了好未来、跟谁学等诸多牛股,网易有道目前来看也初具牛股风采,但赔本赚用户,有道什么时候才能让投资者看到盈利的曙光? 今年的一季度会是好机会吗? 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