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作为新手的我感觉像过山车
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股王下午好
2020-11-02
$吉利汽车(00175)$
不错今天
股王下午好
2019-10-10
我是新手,老司机带带我
股王下午好
2020-07-22
钱乃身外之物,怕个锤子,干就完了,真的完了
抱歉,原内容已删除
股王下午好
2019-10-10
$中证白酒(399997)$
今天又跌了
股王下午好
2020-07-17
$中证白酒(399997)$
昨天一天回到解放前
股王下午好
2020-07-16
$中证白酒(399997)$
跌没了
股王下午好
2020-07-16
$中证白酒(399997)$
今日啥情况?
股王下午好
2020-07-15
$中证白酒(399997)$
不错不错,味道好极了
股王下午好
2020-07-08
$RealNetworks(RNWK)$
玩玩
股王下午好
2020-07-03
$中证白酒(399997)$
今日走势如何,各位大佬一起讨论讨论
股王下午好
2020-07-28
连续两个星期涨得这么高,可惜没有跟
股王下午好
2020-07-07
$中证白酒(399997)$
今日走势如何
股王下午好
2020-07-03
$中证白酒(399997)$
都好好的患得患失
股王下午好
2020-07-03
最近怎么样这支股票行情
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00175\">$吉利汽车(00175)$</a>不错今天","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00175\">$吉利汽车(00175)$</a>不错今天","text":"$吉利汽车(00175)$不错今天","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/306199035","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":946551268,"gmtCreate":1595927765454,"gmtModify":1704210283669,"author":{"id":"3530418045228699","authorId":"3530418045228699","name":"股王下午好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f690d48f1c0a393dcd815816bb58f850","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"连续两个星期涨得这么高,可惜没有跟","listText":"连续两个星期涨得这么高,可惜没有跟","text":"连续两个星期涨得这么高,可惜没有跟","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/946551268","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":632,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":948288592,"gmtCreate":1595390954316,"gmtModify":1704208786505,"author":{"id":"3530418045228699","authorId":"3530418045228699","name":"股王下午好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f690d48f1c0a393dcd815816bb58f850","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"钱乃身外之物,怕个锤子,干就完了,真的完了","listText":"钱乃身外之物,怕个锤子,干就完了,真的完了","text":"钱乃身外之物,怕个锤子,干就完了,真的完了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/948288592","repostId":"1198073731","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198073731","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"“一号在手,投资无忧!”此微信公众号为中信证券研究报告权威发布平台,力求信息及时、准确,是您投资好帮手!","home_visible":1,"media_name":"中信证券研究","id":"1010577552","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa20565b6019f08c46a1722e89f3141b"},"pubTimestamp":1595383458,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198073731?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-07-22 10:04","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"2600亿解禁来袭,你怕了吗?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198073731","media":"中信证券研究","summary":"2600亿解禁规模,算高么?这2600亿还仅是本周剩余3个交易日的解禁额,如果按全周计算,总解禁规模则达到了3177亿,可以说是比较高了,数据为证:。本周解禁规模占7月解禁规模超四成。本周解禁规模排名2017年以来周解禁第二高。毕竟限售股解禁,给到了资金离场的自由选择权,当遇到股东减持意愿较强时,也会对股价造成短时冲击。","content":"<p>这两天“解禁”是个高频词,出现的时候往往会带上“巨额”、“洪峰”等有点耸人听闻的词汇,挑动着大家的神经。</p>\n<p>今天,小编就来集中回答大家关于解禁最关心的几个问题。</p>\n<p><b>2600亿解禁规模,算高么?</b></p>\n<p>这2600亿还仅是本周剩余3个交易日(7月22日-7月24日)的解禁额,如果按全周计算,总解禁规模则达到了3177亿,可以说是比较高了,数据为证:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>本周解禁规模<b>占7月解禁规模超四成</b>(7月为全年解禁峰值月)。</p></li>\n <li><p>本周解禁规模排名<b>年内第二高</b>。</p></li>\n <li><p>本周解禁规模排名<b>2017年以来周解禁第二高</b>。</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>所以,当下搞明白解禁这个事,还是有必要的。</p>\n<p><b>本周每日解禁分布</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/011d29bcfdc5c99b58b54749bdf209ce\" tg-width=\"417\" tg-height=\"640\"></p>\n<p><b>解禁=减持=市场大跌?</b></p>\n<p><b>不应该如此暴力推断!</b>两个原因:</p>\n<p>❶股市是个复杂的资本博弈场,从来不只受单一因素左右。</p>\n<p>❷股票是解禁了,但并不是想减持就能减持。</p>\n<p>2017年5月起,证监会陆续发布的多项减持规定,对包括原始股东在内的各类股东的减持行为都做了严格限制,包括减持方式、减持数量等方面。</p>\n<p>我们以科创板的减持规则为例,持有特定股份的股东,无论其持股比例,在任意连续90日内,通过竞价交易减持的解禁限售股不得超过总股本的1%,通过大宗交易减持的解禁限售股不得超过总股本的2%。也就是说,连续90个交易日合计不得超过3%。</p>\n<p>总结来说,减持新规拉长了解禁股份的减持周期,从“解禁规模”到“可减持规模”到真正撼动股价的“实际减持规模”会大幅“减速”。</p>\n<p>小编统计了2017年5月减持新规实施以来的周减持规模及周解禁规模,尽管解禁和减持动作我们无法一一对应,但至少可以看出,巨额解禁绝不等于巨额减持。</p>\n<p><b>减持新规发布以来</b></p>\n<p><b>每周减持及解禁规模对比(亿元)</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8aff1a760b2473f97489680ded6d0e\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"361\"></p>\n<p>如果我们将历史周解禁规模与当周市场表现放到一起,同样可以看到,两者间并无确定性的此消彼长的关系。</p>\n<p><b>减持新规发布以来</b></p>\n<p><b>每周解禁规模与上证指数走势对比</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ee69755416a92cc89bfa9d5ea6de4df\" tg-width=\"636\" tg-height=\"389\"></p>\n<p><b>减持新规发布以来</b></p>\n<p><b>单周解禁规模超千亿元对应的上证指数表现</b></p>\n<p>(按周解禁规模由低到高排序)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b74ee02d361d33c782a94294732ba988\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p>至此,我们可以下第一个结论:</p>\n<p><b>从市场层面,解禁绝非洪水猛兽。</b></p>\n<p><b>解禁对个股影响几何?</b></p>\n<p>至于个股而言,事请就有些不一样了。</p>\n<p>毕竟限售股解禁,给到了资金离场的自由选择权,当遇到股东减持意愿较强时,也会对股价造成短时冲击。</p>\n<p>小编选取了部分解禁规模破百亿的个股,可以看到股价在解禁当日,确有承压的现象出现。</p>\n<p>那么,该如何判断解禁对于个股的影响呢。小编总结了四点,供参考。</p>\n<p>❶<b>看解禁市值、解禁数量及所涉及的股东数量。</b></p>\n<p>一般来说,解禁市值越大、解禁数量越多、涉及的股东数量越多,则股价所受的压力就越大。</p>\n<p>不过新规下,理论上单一股东在连续90个交易日内可减持股份数不超过总股本的3%,所以实际可减持的数量及市值可能并没有那么大。</p>\n<p>一般来说,大额解禁前上市公司都会发布相关提示性公告,大家可进行关注。另外,当前的交易软件中会有个股大事提醒功能,也相对便捷。我们以信e投APP为例,在个股行情界面,通过“新闻-大事提醒”即可查看近期解禁数据。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d328264dca4d3bba9ce293c2bc2e2de\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1294\"></p>\n<p>❷<b>看限售股持有人类型。</b></p>\n<p>总体来说,限售股份分为首发原股东限售股份、定向增发机构配售股份、股权激励限售股份等类型。其中,前两类占据了绝大比例。</p>\n<p>为了预估解禁的冲击力,大家不妨换位思考想想持有人的减持欲望有多大。</p>\n<p>限售股的股东类型,同样可在普通交易软件中获得。对于本月剩余的大额解禁股的类型,大家可在文末获取。</p>\n<p>❸<b>看解禁收益。</b></p>\n<p>一般来说,现价较成本价涨幅越大减持动力可能就越高。</p>\n<p>不同的限售股其解禁收益也不一而同,其中原始股的成本价通常要远低于市价,相关股东的减持动力较高。</p>\n<p>另外,定增股、配售股都有明确的成本线,通过回查相关公告后,即可计算其收益情况。</p>\n<p><b>定增公告中发行价表述示例</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46319ed1fcad46ff9c952bd3ae9c9b6e\" tg-width=\"851\" tg-height=\"115\"></p>\n<p>❹<b>看市场环境。</b></p>\n<p>股价短期走势容易受市场情绪影响,所以市场低迷时投资者可能会被负面情绪传染,亦或比较敏感,一些风吹草动都可能被放大而引起“股价血案”。</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>写在最后</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>至此,对于解禁该有的正确认知,小编总结为一句话:<b>解禁不是洪水猛兽,短期冲击因股而异。</b></p>\n<p>对于本周的解禁高峰,尤其是7月22日的首批科创板个股的解禁,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600030\">中信证券</a>投资顾问部提到如下观点,供大家参考。</p>\n<p><b>7月22日共有25家科创板公司的31.47亿股解禁,解禁市值规模达2185亿元,实际可减持规模约1200亿。其中创投资本浮盈丰厚,减持动力较强。虽然实际减持压力相对有限,且市场对此已有充分预期,但首批科创板公司解禁对市场风险偏好仍有负面影响。</b></p>\n<p>最后,小编梳理了本月剩余几个交易日解禁市值超10亿元的个股概况,供大家查阅。</p>\n<p><b>本月剩余交易日</b></p>\n<p><b>解禁市值超10亿元个股概况</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea0c40ab41626b99b08a5228b76a6ef\" tg-width=\"883\" tg-height=\"1226\"></p>\n<p>—完—</p>\n<p>注:以上数据均来自Wind,数据统计截至2020年7月21日。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2600亿解禁来袭,你怕了吗?</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2600亿解禁来袭,你怕了吗?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1010577552\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa20565b6019f08c46a1722e89f3141b);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">中信证券研究 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-07-22 10:04</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>这两天“解禁”是个高频词,出现的时候往往会带上“巨额”、“洪峰”等有点耸人听闻的词汇,挑动着大家的神经。</p>\n<p>今天,小编就来集中回答大家关于解禁最关心的几个问题。</p>\n<p><b>2600亿解禁规模,算高么?</b></p>\n<p>这2600亿还仅是本周剩余3个交易日(7月22日-7月24日)的解禁额,如果按全周计算,总解禁规模则达到了3177亿,可以说是比较高了,数据为证:</p>\n<ul>\n <li><p>本周解禁规模<b>占7月解禁规模超四成</b>(7月为全年解禁峰值月)。</p></li>\n <li><p>本周解禁规模排名<b>年内第二高</b>。</p></li>\n <li><p>本周解禁规模排名<b>2017年以来周解禁第二高</b>。</p></li>\n</ul>\n<p>所以,当下搞明白解禁这个事,还是有必要的。</p>\n<p><b>本周每日解禁分布</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/011d29bcfdc5c99b58b54749bdf209ce\" tg-width=\"417\" tg-height=\"640\"></p>\n<p><b>解禁=减持=市场大跌?</b></p>\n<p><b>不应该如此暴力推断!</b>两个原因:</p>\n<p>❶股市是个复杂的资本博弈场,从来不只受单一因素左右。</p>\n<p>❷股票是解禁了,但并不是想减持就能减持。</p>\n<p>2017年5月起,证监会陆续发布的多项减持规定,对包括原始股东在内的各类股东的减持行为都做了严格限制,包括减持方式、减持数量等方面。</p>\n<p>我们以科创板的减持规则为例,持有特定股份的股东,无论其持股比例,在任意连续90日内,通过竞价交易减持的解禁限售股不得超过总股本的1%,通过大宗交易减持的解禁限售股不得超过总股本的2%。也就是说,连续90个交易日合计不得超过3%。</p>\n<p>总结来说,减持新规拉长了解禁股份的减持周期,从“解禁规模”到“可减持规模”到真正撼动股价的“实际减持规模”会大幅“减速”。</p>\n<p>小编统计了2017年5月减持新规实施以来的周减持规模及周解禁规模,尽管解禁和减持动作我们无法一一对应,但至少可以看出,巨额解禁绝不等于巨额减持。</p>\n<p><b>减持新规发布以来</b></p>\n<p><b>每周减持及解禁规模对比(亿元)</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb8aff1a760b2473f97489680ded6d0e\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"361\"></p>\n<p>如果我们将历史周解禁规模与当周市场表现放到一起,同样可以看到,两者间并无确定性的此消彼长的关系。</p>\n<p><b>减持新规发布以来</b></p>\n<p><b>每周解禁规模与上证指数走势对比</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9ee69755416a92cc89bfa9d5ea6de4df\" tg-width=\"636\" tg-height=\"389\"></p>\n<p><b>减持新规发布以来</b></p>\n<p><b>单周解禁规模超千亿元对应的上证指数表现</b></p>\n<p>(按周解禁规模由低到高排序)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b74ee02d361d33c782a94294732ba988\" tg-width=\"629\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p>至此,我们可以下第一个结论:</p>\n<p><b>从市场层面,解禁绝非洪水猛兽。</b></p>\n<p><b>解禁对个股影响几何?</b></p>\n<p>至于个股而言,事请就有些不一样了。</p>\n<p>毕竟限售股解禁,给到了资金离场的自由选择权,当遇到股东减持意愿较强时,也会对股价造成短时冲击。</p>\n<p>小编选取了部分解禁规模破百亿的个股,可以看到股价在解禁当日,确有承压的现象出现。</p>\n<p>那么,该如何判断解禁对于个股的影响呢。小编总结了四点,供参考。</p>\n<p>❶<b>看解禁市值、解禁数量及所涉及的股东数量。</b></p>\n<p>一般来说,解禁市值越大、解禁数量越多、涉及的股东数量越多,则股价所受的压力就越大。</p>\n<p>不过新规下,理论上单一股东在连续90个交易日内可减持股份数不超过总股本的3%,所以实际可减持的数量及市值可能并没有那么大。</p>\n<p>一般来说,大额解禁前上市公司都会发布相关提示性公告,大家可进行关注。另外,当前的交易软件中会有个股大事提醒功能,也相对便捷。我们以信e投APP为例,在个股行情界面,通过“新闻-大事提醒”即可查看近期解禁数据。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d328264dca4d3bba9ce293c2bc2e2de\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1294\"></p>\n<p>❷<b>看限售股持有人类型。</b></p>\n<p>总体来说,限售股份分为首发原股东限售股份、定向增发机构配售股份、股权激励限售股份等类型。其中,前两类占据了绝大比例。</p>\n<p>为了预估解禁的冲击力,大家不妨换位思考想想持有人的减持欲望有多大。</p>\n<p>限售股的股东类型,同样可在普通交易软件中获得。对于本月剩余的大额解禁股的类型,大家可在文末获取。</p>\n<p>❸<b>看解禁收益。</b></p>\n<p>一般来说,现价较成本价涨幅越大减持动力可能就越高。</p>\n<p>不同的限售股其解禁收益也不一而同,其中原始股的成本价通常要远低于市价,相关股东的减持动力较高。</p>\n<p>另外,定增股、配售股都有明确的成本线,通过回查相关公告后,即可计算其收益情况。</p>\n<p><b>定增公告中发行价表述示例</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/46319ed1fcad46ff9c952bd3ae9c9b6e\" tg-width=\"851\" tg-height=\"115\"></p>\n<p>❹<b>看市场环境。</b></p>\n<p>股价短期走势容易受市场情绪影响,所以市场低迷时投资者可能会被负面情绪传染,亦或比较敏感,一些风吹草动都可能被放大而引起“股价血案”。</p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>写在最后</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>至此,对于解禁该有的正确认知,小编总结为一句话:<b>解禁不是洪水猛兽,短期冲击因股而异。</b></p>\n<p>对于本周的解禁高峰,尤其是7月22日的首批科创板个股的解禁,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600030\">中信证券</a>投资顾问部提到如下观点,供大家参考。</p>\n<p><b>7月22日共有25家科创板公司的31.47亿股解禁,解禁市值规模达2185亿元,实际可减持规模约1200亿。其中创投资本浮盈丰厚,减持动力较强。虽然实际减持压力相对有限,且市场对此已有充分预期,但首批科创板公司解禁对市场风险偏好仍有负面影响。</b></p>\n<p>最后,小编梳理了本月剩余几个交易日解禁市值超10亿元的个股概况,供大家查阅。</p>\n<p><b>本月剩余交易日</b></p>\n<p><b>解禁市值超10亿元个股概况</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ea0c40ab41626b99b08a5228b76a6ef\" tg-width=\"883\" tg-height=\"1226\"></p>\n<p>—完—</p>\n<p>注:以上数据均来自Wind,数据统计截至2020年7月21日。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98630a44f464de26f96dfd2852dcae58","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198073731","content_text":"这两天“解禁”是个高频词,出现的时候往往会带上“巨额”、“洪峰”等有点耸人听闻的词汇,挑动着大家的神经。\n今天,小编就来集中回答大家关于解禁最关心的几个问题。\n2600亿解禁规模,算高么?\n这2600亿还仅是本周剩余3个交易日(7月22日-7月24日)的解禁额,如果按全周计算,总解禁规模则达到了3177亿,可以说是比较高了,数据为证:\n\n本周解禁规模占7月解禁规模超四成(7月为全年解禁峰值月)。\n本周解禁规模排名年内第二高。\n本周解禁规模排名2017年以来周解禁第二高。\n\n所以,当下搞明白解禁这个事,还是有必要的。\n本周每日解禁分布\n\n解禁=减持=市场大跌?\n不应该如此暴力推断!两个原因:\n❶股市是个复杂的资本博弈场,从来不只受单一因素左右。\n❷股票是解禁了,但并不是想减持就能减持。\n2017年5月起,证监会陆续发布的多项减持规定,对包括原始股东在内的各类股东的减持行为都做了严格限制,包括减持方式、减持数量等方面。\n我们以科创板的减持规则为例,持有特定股份的股东,无论其持股比例,在任意连续90日内,通过竞价交易减持的解禁限售股不得超过总股本的1%,通过大宗交易减持的解禁限售股不得超过总股本的2%。也就是说,连续90个交易日合计不得超过3%。\n总结来说,减持新规拉长了解禁股份的减持周期,从“解禁规模”到“可减持规模”到真正撼动股价的“实际减持规模”会大幅“减速”。\n小编统计了2017年5月减持新规实施以来的周减持规模及周解禁规模,尽管解禁和减持动作我们无法一一对应,但至少可以看出,巨额解禁绝不等于巨额减持。\n减持新规发布以来\n每周减持及解禁规模对比(亿元)\n\n如果我们将历史周解禁规模与当周市场表现放到一起,同样可以看到,两者间并无确定性的此消彼长的关系。\n减持新规发布以来\n每周解禁规模与上证指数走势对比\n\n减持新规发布以来\n单周解禁规模超千亿元对应的上证指数表现\n(按周解禁规模由低到高排序)\n\n至此,我们可以下第一个结论:\n从市场层面,解禁绝非洪水猛兽。\n解禁对个股影响几何?\n至于个股而言,事请就有些不一样了。\n毕竟限售股解禁,给到了资金离场的自由选择权,当遇到股东减持意愿较强时,也会对股价造成短时冲击。\n小编选取了部分解禁规模破百亿的个股,可以看到股价在解禁当日,确有承压的现象出现。\n那么,该如何判断解禁对于个股的影响呢。小编总结了四点,供参考。\n❶看解禁市值、解禁数量及所涉及的股东数量。\n一般来说,解禁市值越大、解禁数量越多、涉及的股东数量越多,则股价所受的压力就越大。\n不过新规下,理论上单一股东在连续90个交易日内可减持股份数不超过总股本的3%,所以实际可减持的数量及市值可能并没有那么大。\n一般来说,大额解禁前上市公司都会发布相关提示性公告,大家可进行关注。另外,当前的交易软件中会有个股大事提醒功能,也相对便捷。我们以信e投APP为例,在个股行情界面,通过“新闻-大事提醒”即可查看近期解禁数据。\n\n❷看限售股持有人类型。\n总体来说,限售股份分为首发原股东限售股份、定向增发机构配售股份、股权激励限售股份等类型。其中,前两类占据了绝大比例。\n为了预估解禁的冲击力,大家不妨换位思考想想持有人的减持欲望有多大。\n限售股的股东类型,同样可在普通交易软件中获得。对于本月剩余的大额解禁股的类型,大家可在文末获取。\n❸看解禁收益。\n一般来说,现价较成本价涨幅越大减持动力可能就越高。\n不同的限售股其解禁收益也不一而同,其中原始股的成本价通常要远低于市价,相关股东的减持动力较高。\n另外,定增股、配售股都有明确的成本线,通过回查相关公告后,即可计算其收益情况。\n定增公告中发行价表述示例\n\n❹看市场环境。\n股价短期走势容易受市场情绪影响,所以市场低迷时投资者可能会被负面情绪传染,亦或比较敏感,一些风吹草动都可能被放大而引起“股价血案”。\n\n写在最后\n\n至此,对于解禁该有的正确认知,小编总结为一句话:解禁不是洪水猛兽,短期冲击因股而异。\n对于本周的解禁高峰,尤其是7月22日的首批科创板个股的解禁,中信证券投资顾问部提到如下观点,供大家参考。\n7月22日共有25家科创板公司的31.47亿股解禁,解禁市值规模达2185亿元,实际可减持规模约1200亿。其中创投资本浮盈丰厚,减持动力较强。虽然实际减持压力相对有限,且市场对此已有充分预期,但首批科创板公司解禁对市场风险偏好仍有负面影响。\n最后,小编梳理了本月剩余几个交易日解禁市值超10亿元的个股概况,供大家查阅。\n本月剩余交易日\n解禁市值超10亿元个股概况\n\n—完—\n注:以上数据均来自Wind,数据统计截至2020年7月21日。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":951,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941513977,"gmtCreate":1594957193199,"gmtModify":1704207549107,"author":{"id":"3530418045228699","authorId":"3530418045228699","name":"股王下午好","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f690d48f1c0a393dcd815816bb58f850","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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