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韵涵
11-01
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@Simon L:
$蔚来(NIO)$
令人失望,乐道四千三,蔚来跌倒一万六了,小米同样纯电路线,一款车型就突破两万交付,蔚来真的要好好反思一下,做产品不要自high,除开能源类型,产品力比不比得过小米、理想和问界m9
韵涵
10-17
透彻!
韵涵
06-24
$美国中期国债 1.750% 2025/03/15(US91282CED92.BOND)$
韵涵
05-15
$Arcadium Lithium(ALTM)$
韵涵
05-07
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
钱佳航:5.7黄金2312多上涨2323拿下110点,晚间行情走势分析操作建议
韵涵
2021-10-29
的确如此
6亿中国基民中有多少人赚钱?答案扎心了
韵涵
2020-02-05
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@孟浩:远程办公第一天,暴涨15%的Zoom好在哪里?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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22:32","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"钱佳航:5.7黄金2312多上涨2323拿下110点,晚间行情走势分析操作建议","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2433678941","media":"汇通网","summary":"黄金2312一线多,目前上涨2323位置,成功拿下110点利润! 黄金昨日突破2308后一小时已经见底,昨日最高拉升2331后遇阻回落,仅仅是回落,是突破关键阻力惯性拉高之后的二次回踩,因此,今日回落低多是主要思路,当前这一思路仍在预期中运行! 上方2332是近期承压关键位置,多次试探并未破位,并且走出回落。","content":"<html><body><div>\n<p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 黄金2312一线多,目前上涨2323位置,成功拿下110点利润!</p><div><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider20240507/282/w719h363/20240507/7488-2e4f8ca209c778f1bef6f28d0430fd67.png\"/><span></span></div><p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 午间博文给出的2313-15多,午后2316-18多在2315出局,欧盘回撤2312继续多,晚间成功上涨2323获利,市场就是这样,会把握,每天都是机会,我只会把有把握的行情给到大家,因为我们目的只有一个,就是盈利,也是要你们明白,在这市场上想要赚钱其实并不难!</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 黄金昨日突破2308后一小时已经见底,昨日最高拉升2331后遇阻回落,仅仅是回落,是突破关键阻力惯性拉高之后的二次回踩,因此,今日回落低多是主要思路,当前这一思路仍在预期中运行!</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 上方2332是近期承压关键位置,多次试探并未破位,并且走出回落。因此,这里形成了联排形态,日内继续看涨需关注此点位的得失。一小时见底后回踩构筑五分钟底部形态就是做多的机会,顺应日线看涨趋势,晚间操作上回撤继续低多的思路,参考2310-12继续多,上看2322,2332一线。</p><p cms-style=\"font-L\"> 文/钱佳航</p>\n<div>\n<span>新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障</span>\n<img src=\"\"/>\n</div>\n<font>新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。</font>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP</div>\n</div>\n</div></body></html>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>钱佳航:5.7黄金2312多上涨2323拿下110点,晚间行情走势分析操作建议</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n钱佳航:5.7黄金2312多上涨2323拿下110点,晚间行情走势分析操作建议\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-05-07 22:32 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2024-05-07/doc-inaummty8214840.shtml><strong>汇通网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>黄金2312一线多,目前上涨2323位置,成功拿下110点利润! 午间博文给出的2313-15多,午后2316-18多在2315出局,欧盘回撤2312继续多,晚间成功上涨2323获利,市场就是这样,会把握,每天都是机会,我只会把有把握的行情给到大家,因为我们目的只有一个,就是盈利,也是要你们明白,在这市场上想要赚钱其实并不难! 黄金昨日突破2308后一小时已经见底,昨日最高拉升2331后遇阻...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2024-05-07/doc-inaummty8214840.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"159831":"黄金","159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF","IAU":"黄金信托ETF(iShares)","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GLD":"SPDR黄金ETF"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/money/nmetal/hjfx/2024-05-07/doc-inaummty8214840.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2433678941","content_text":"黄金2312一线多,目前上涨2323位置,成功拿下110点利润! 午间博文给出的2313-15多,午后2316-18多在2315出局,欧盘回撤2312继续多,晚间成功上涨2323获利,市场就是这样,会把握,每天都是机会,我只会把有把握的行情给到大家,因为我们目的只有一个,就是盈利,也是要你们明白,在这市场上想要赚钱其实并不难! 黄金昨日突破2308后一小时已经见底,昨日最高拉升2331后遇阻回落,仅仅是回落,是突破关键阻力惯性拉高之后的二次回踩,因此,今日回落低多是主要思路,当前这一思路仍在预期中运行! 上方2332是近期承压关键位置,多次试探并未破位,并且走出回落。因此,这里形成了联排形态,日内继续看涨需关注此点位的得失。一小时见底后回踩构筑五分钟底部形态就是做多的机会,顺应日线看涨趋势,晚间操作上回撤继续低多的思路,参考2310-12继续多,上看2322,2332一线。 文/钱佳航\n\n新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障\n\n\n新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。\n\n\n海量资讯、精准解读,尽在新浪财经APP","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854737389,"gmtCreate":1635481515856,"gmtModify":1635481515856,"author":{"id":"3526803735984377","authorId":"3526803735984377","name":"韵涵","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e12ff69d691be337878c42d2ca2fbb49","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3526803735984377","authorIdStr":"3526803735984377"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"的确如此","listText":"的确如此","text":"的确如此","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854737389","repostId":"1112317532","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112317532","pubTimestamp":1635477779,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112317532?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-29 11:22","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"6亿中国基民中有多少人赚钱?答案扎心了","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112317532","media":"格隆汇","summary":"近期,中证报联合3家基金公司发布《公募权益类基金投资者盈利洞察报告》。","content":"<p>在中国,基民人数已经突破6亿,并且还有大把年轻人的理财意识正在觉醒。</p>\n<p>但买基金真的容易赚钱吗?</p>\n<p>近期,中证报联合3家基金公司发布《公募权益类基金投资者盈利洞察报告》,里面有几组数据引起了我的注意:</p>\n<p><b>1、女性买基金比男性更赚钱。</b>截至2021年3月31日,女性投资者平均收益率高出男性1.57个百分点。女性在投资上更舍得投入,平均投入26711元,比男性高出1500元,而且女性投资者比男性的平均交易频率更低。</p>\n<p><b>2、老年基民的盈利水平是年轻基民的6倍之多。</b>30岁以下投资者平均收益率不到3%,盈利人数占比不到50%;60岁以上投资者平均收益率达到19.05%,盈利人数占比达60.42%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b1275fd91cf8364c8261fe032e8c87e\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"555\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>3、机构的盈利情况完胜个人基民。</b>机构客户的盈利户数占比高出个人客户近5个百分点,平均收益率则超越个人客户2.35个百分点。</p>\n<p>另据支付宝今年相关调查报告显示,6亿的基民人数中,能够盈利的基民不到20%,而亏损的基民数量高得多。这比直接炒股要略好一些,因为在大A里,能够稳定盈利的仅占一成。</p>\n<p>为什么基民老是亏钱,而且是越年轻的男基民亏得越狠?是不是老扎心了!?</p>\n<p>1亏钱逻辑</p>\n<p>在A股市场里,1.9亿股民有很多亏钱的痛点,包括追涨杀跌、投资太分散、恐惧、没纪律、没耐心等。那么,这些痛点基民又有多少呢?</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d0bab9742d0bbf68ce121cbf837845\" tg-width=\"994\" tg-height=\"650\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>人性使然,追涨杀跌。</b></p>\n<p>每当A股市场亢奋的时候,基金份额买入量大幅增加,每当市场大跌陷入熊市时,基金份额萎缩非常快,有图有真相:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c15a3c2ed4f4480cdd736e4be60fa85d\" tg-width=\"995\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>A股大涨,新基金发行规模异常凶猛。去年7月,上证指数垂直型上拉,大牛市声音此起彼伏,新基金当月募集超过5000亿元。</p>\n<p>今年1月,募集超过4800亿元。其中,1月18日,易方达竞争优势一天销售2374亿(募集上限仅150亿,退还基民1224亿),成为中国公募基金历史上首次募集规模最大的产品,用“疯狂抢购”来形容一点也不夸张。然而,今年该基金净值倒亏5%,跑输大盘,在同类基金中排名中非常靠后。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9c0f01877fbc949c44b15caf73ce413\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"493\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>张坤旗下易方达中小盘(已改名易方达优质精选),今年业绩位列1394/1582,去年Q4规模401亿,较Q3大幅增加42.5%,而今年Q2仅为287亿,较去年末大幅下降近30%。很显然,追涨杀跌在基民身上体现的淋漓尽致。</p>\n<p><b>一般人,还拿不住基金。</b></p>\n<p>基民也喜欢追题材热点,喜欢高抛低吸(做T),跟股民相差无几。当然,持基时间一定不会太长。据《基金个人投资者投资情况问卷调查》显示,有将近50%的人持有基金的时间不足(含)1年,持有3年以上的比例不足20%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a0a44804fbfa8eeb48dae757ed856c8\" tg-width=\"994\" tg-height=\"688\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>而持有时间是保持盈利非常重要的维度之一。我们都知道,A股市场波动大,牛市时间短,可能占比不到20%,震荡市才是历年的常态。这也造成了我们投资基金20%的时间赚80%的钱。如果这时你不再,自然赚不到钱。</p>\n<p>这对于掌托基金的基金经理同样如此,大多数时间是在回本的路上。据小基快跑,有研究员对成立6年、年化收益超20%且规模超100亿的绩优基金做了一组测算:</p>\n<blockquote>\n 这些绩优基金在遭遇最大回撤后,回到前期高点平均耗时1415天(近4年),占基金成立总天数的37%,而最大上涨区间占成立总天数的比例为22%,这个区间涨幅对基金净值的贡献达62%。\n</blockquote>\n<p>100亿、6年、20%,如此优秀的基金经理,同样有超过1/3的时间是在回本,而60%以上的回报是在20%的时间里获得的。</p>\n<p><b>迷信冠军基金,这是基民的又一大痛点。</b></p>\n<p>基民做出购买基金决策时,60%的关注点放在了过往基金业绩身上。这是符合人性的,一是惯性思维,幻想着过去优秀的大概率会继续优秀;二是择基不想麻烦,省事想走捷径,最底层的懒癌发作。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/244f51e13e1820796ee357589f1332e7\" tg-width=\"993\" tg-height=\"689\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>然而冠军基金并不能带来超额收益。</b>天风研究显示,TOP10基金(每年末买入上年业绩最好的10只基金)与中证偏股型基金走势大体相符,并没有帮助投资者获取良好的收益。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ccdabfb0fe8419ee8efb4c56e133e9e\" tg-width=\"994\" tg-height=\"687\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>每年的冠军基金,往往是次两年的“坑”。</b>截止10月26日,今年基金涨幅TOP3分别为前海开源公用事业、前海开源新经济A、全鹰民族新兴,涨幅均超过97%,大幅跑赢沪深300指数100%+。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf75c238cf5ba9d18629b82d2b6c20ea\" tg-width=\"992\" tg-height=\"629\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这3家基金收益冠军,我们可以发现均是重仓新能源产业链(含锂电池),包括比亚迪、宁德时代、亿纬锂能等,以及光伏产业链,包括阳光能源、隆基股份、晶澳科技等。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e56a5ef7acdbbe669cb078c43e74ba\" tg-width=\"991\" tg-height=\"712\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>今年基金冠亚军,均踩中了行业大风口。而在2020年3月之前的2年时间内,均取得了非常糟糕的成绩,涨幅为-7%、4%。</p>\n<p>冠军基金之所以能取得冠军,就是因为当年仓位配置激进,绝对重仓押注单个赛道,碰上当年热门风口,一举夺冠。而这往往不可持续,因为行业风口会大轮换。</p>\n<p><b>当然,基民亏钱不能完全怪自己。</b></p>\n<p>基金经理也是市场的一环,多有风格漂移、过度自信、盲目从众等弱点,业绩很难有持续性,让基民也很难受。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a15c81ccb3b355a115c2f41f366d4f\" tg-width=\"992\" tg-height=\"713\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>这跟大A市场环境有一定关联。1.9亿股民在赌场里面厮杀,快涨快跌,高波动性让股市上蹿下跳,投资难度倍增。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/475e554b36df2868c51c522b80e60f0f\" tg-width=\"992\" tg-height=\"715\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>2<b>周而复始</b></p>\n<p>今年前三季度,中国公募基金发行规模已经突破2.3万亿元,大有超越去年的火热势头。而去年全年规模高达29913亿元,创下历史最高记录。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b47821df7a71513fcd4fb4066fa01de\" tg-width=\"710\" tg-height=\"710\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>把时间维度拉长,20年来基金大规模发行跟大盘指数的表现均是密切相关的。第一波发行高潮是2007年,其次是2015年,还有就是去年到现在。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56816c4dc66d96650ad90006df29628\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"493\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>2007年大牛市,受到赚钱效应刺激,基民排队购买基金,与当前线上火爆抢购可以一拼。2007年最高峰的时候,公募基金占比市值的25.7%。</p>\n<p>后来,股市崩盘,泡沫破裂,基民损失尤为惨重——基金份额大幅缩水,基金净值出现暴跌,5毛基金到处都是。当然,这对于基金业的发展冲击巨大。2010-2016年期间,公募市值占比从6.83%下降到区区只有3.28%,从市场绝对的话语权主力变成了一只不痛不痒的市场配角。</p>\n<p>过了很多年,市场再度火爆。2015年牛市,机构抱团疯炒小票,吸引大量基民参与资本市场。后来的剧情,大家也都知道了,前期疯炒的中小盘跌成狗,当年诸多牛股下跌到只剩2-3层,市场上的5毛基金再度出现,基民再度为股灾付出了承重的代价。</p>\n<p>后来,从2018年开始,公募基金开始追随外资的步伐,开始大幅重仓头部龙头,包括白酒、食品、新能源车、光伏等行业。</p>\n<p>经过2年多时间疯狂助推核心资产,公募基金也获利颇多,盈利中位数最近2年每年都维持了50%的高位水平。<b>以史为鉴,过往将近20年历史,一般基金经过2-3年的大幅盈利之后,次年将遭遇下杀的概率很大。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b5efc0b74c0292bb5f6329f69678b2d5\" tg-width=\"993\" tg-height=\"713\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>今年有些应验,基金小年板上钉钉。2021年上半年股票型基金平均收益率仅为8.31%,混合型基金为7.66%,QDII基金为8.7%。下半年行情也不怎么样,全年业绩应该跟过去两年相去甚远。尤其是去年被无数基民捧上天的所谓顶流基金,今年能不亏钱都算阿弥陀佛了。基金公司赚的盘满钵满,基民亏得一败涂地,顽疾无解。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1985bda1c1c7b2d4860e85ff60b3f1e5\" tg-width=\"990\" tg-height=\"713\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>不管是股市,还是基金,人性没变,周而复始。</b></p>\n<p>3<b>尾声</b></p>\n<p><b>查理芒格曾经说过,如果我知道我会死在哪里,那我就永远不会去那个地方。</b>那么,对于聪明投资者而言,知道了基民缘何亏钱,就不要去趟浑水了。</p>\n<p>投资基金,看似简单,其实不然。尚佳策略或许是结合自己的行业能力圈去选择基金,并结合前10大重仓股估值高低去分批布局,而不是只看过往业绩表现。除此之外,选择前景行业的指数基金(ETF),并评估估值水平进行定投,也是一个好的办法。</p>\n<p>一切看起来容易,也知道很多道理,但依旧赚不了钱,这才是基民的常态。因为市场是一个博弈场,是不允许绝大多数人盈利的。</p>\n<p><b>很无奈,但这就是残酷现实。</b></p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>6亿中国基民中有多少人赚钱?答案扎心了</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n6亿中国基民中有多少人赚钱?答案扎心了\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-29 11:22 北京时间 <a href=https://www.gelonghui.com/p/493536><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在中国,基民人数已经突破6亿,并且还有大把年轻人的理财意识正在觉醒。\n但买基金真的容易赚钱吗?\n近期,中证报联合3家基金公司发布《公募权益类基金投资者盈利洞察报告》,里面有几组数据引起了我的注意:\n1、女性买基金比男性更赚钱。截至2021年3月31日,女性投资者平均收益率高出男性1.57个百分点。女性在投资上更舍得投入,平均投入26711元,比男性高出1500元,而且女性投资者比男性的平均交易频率...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/493536\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41ed05baa989a860086216ddac899a90","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://www.gelonghui.com/p/493536","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"1112317532","content_text":"在中国,基民人数已经突破6亿,并且还有大把年轻人的理财意识正在觉醒。\n但买基金真的容易赚钱吗?\n近期,中证报联合3家基金公司发布《公募权益类基金投资者盈利洞察报告》,里面有几组数据引起了我的注意:\n1、女性买基金比男性更赚钱。截至2021年3月31日,女性投资者平均收益率高出男性1.57个百分点。女性在投资上更舍得投入,平均投入26711元,比男性高出1500元,而且女性投资者比男性的平均交易频率更低。\n2、老年基民的盈利水平是年轻基民的6倍之多。30岁以下投资者平均收益率不到3%,盈利人数占比不到50%;60岁以上投资者平均收益率达到19.05%,盈利人数占比达60.42%。\n\n3、机构的盈利情况完胜个人基民。机构客户的盈利户数占比高出个人客户近5个百分点,平均收益率则超越个人客户2.35个百分点。\n另据支付宝今年相关调查报告显示,6亿的基民人数中,能够盈利的基民不到20%,而亏损的基民数量高得多。这比直接炒股要略好一些,因为在大A里,能够稳定盈利的仅占一成。\n为什么基民老是亏钱,而且是越年轻的男基民亏得越狠?是不是老扎心了!?\n1亏钱逻辑\n在A股市场里,1.9亿股民有很多亏钱的痛点,包括追涨杀跌、投资太分散、恐惧、没纪律、没耐心等。那么,这些痛点基民又有多少呢?\n\n人性使然,追涨杀跌。\n每当A股市场亢奋的时候,基金份额买入量大幅增加,每当市场大跌陷入熊市时,基金份额萎缩非常快,有图有真相:\n\nA股大涨,新基金发行规模异常凶猛。去年7月,上证指数垂直型上拉,大牛市声音此起彼伏,新基金当月募集超过5000亿元。\n今年1月,募集超过4800亿元。其中,1月18日,易方达竞争优势一天销售2374亿(募集上限仅150亿,退还基民1224亿),成为中国公募基金历史上首次募集规模最大的产品,用“疯狂抢购”来形容一点也不夸张。然而,今年该基金净值倒亏5%,跑输大盘,在同类基金中排名中非常靠后。\n\n张坤旗下易方达中小盘(已改名易方达优质精选),今年业绩位列1394/1582,去年Q4规模401亿,较Q3大幅增加42.5%,而今年Q2仅为287亿,较去年末大幅下降近30%。很显然,追涨杀跌在基民身上体现的淋漓尽致。\n一般人,还拿不住基金。\n基民也喜欢追题材热点,喜欢高抛低吸(做T),跟股民相差无几。当然,持基时间一定不会太长。据《基金个人投资者投资情况问卷调查》显示,有将近50%的人持有基金的时间不足(含)1年,持有3年以上的比例不足20%。\n\n而持有时间是保持盈利非常重要的维度之一。我们都知道,A股市场波动大,牛市时间短,可能占比不到20%,震荡市才是历年的常态。这也造成了我们投资基金20%的时间赚80%的钱。如果这时你不再,自然赚不到钱。\n这对于掌托基金的基金经理同样如此,大多数时间是在回本的路上。据小基快跑,有研究员对成立6年、年化收益超20%且规模超100亿的绩优基金做了一组测算:\n\n 这些绩优基金在遭遇最大回撤后,回到前期高点平均耗时1415天(近4年),占基金成立总天数的37%,而最大上涨区间占成立总天数的比例为22%,这个区间涨幅对基金净值的贡献达62%。\n\n100亿、6年、20%,如此优秀的基金经理,同样有超过1/3的时间是在回本,而60%以上的回报是在20%的时间里获得的。\n迷信冠军基金,这是基民的又一大痛点。\n基民做出购买基金决策时,60%的关注点放在了过往基金业绩身上。这是符合人性的,一是惯性思维,幻想着过去优秀的大概率会继续优秀;二是择基不想麻烦,省事想走捷径,最底层的懒癌发作。\n\n然而冠军基金并不能带来超额收益。天风研究显示,TOP10基金(每年末买入上年业绩最好的10只基金)与中证偏股型基金走势大体相符,并没有帮助投资者获取良好的收益。\n\n每年的冠军基金,往往是次两年的“坑”。截止10月26日,今年基金涨幅TOP3分别为前海开源公用事业、前海开源新经济A、全鹰民族新兴,涨幅均超过97%,大幅跑赢沪深300指数100%+。\n\n这3家基金收益冠军,我们可以发现均是重仓新能源产业链(含锂电池),包括比亚迪、宁德时代、亿纬锂能等,以及光伏产业链,包括阳光能源、隆基股份、晶澳科技等。\n\n今年基金冠亚军,均踩中了行业大风口。而在2020年3月之前的2年时间内,均取得了非常糟糕的成绩,涨幅为-7%、4%。\n冠军基金之所以能取得冠军,就是因为当年仓位配置激进,绝对重仓押注单个赛道,碰上当年热门风口,一举夺冠。而这往往不可持续,因为行业风口会大轮换。\n当然,基民亏钱不能完全怪自己。\n基金经理也是市场的一环,多有风格漂移、过度自信、盲目从众等弱点,业绩很难有持续性,让基民也很难受。\n\n这跟大A市场环境有一定关联。1.9亿股民在赌场里面厮杀,快涨快跌,高波动性让股市上蹿下跳,投资难度倍增。\n\n2周而复始\n今年前三季度,中国公募基金发行规模已经突破2.3万亿元,大有超越去年的火热势头。而去年全年规模高达29913亿元,创下历史最高记录。\n\n把时间维度拉长,20年来基金大规模发行跟大盘指数的表现均是密切相关的。第一波发行高潮是2007年,其次是2015年,还有就是去年到现在。\n\n2007年大牛市,受到赚钱效应刺激,基民排队购买基金,与当前线上火爆抢购可以一拼。2007年最高峰的时候,公募基金占比市值的25.7%。\n后来,股市崩盘,泡沫破裂,基民损失尤为惨重——基金份额大幅缩水,基金净值出现暴跌,5毛基金到处都是。当然,这对于基金业的发展冲击巨大。2010-2016年期间,公募市值占比从6.83%下降到区区只有3.28%,从市场绝对的话语权主力变成了一只不痛不痒的市场配角。\n过了很多年,市场再度火爆。2015年牛市,机构抱团疯炒小票,吸引大量基民参与资本市场。后来的剧情,大家也都知道了,前期疯炒的中小盘跌成狗,当年诸多牛股下跌到只剩2-3层,市场上的5毛基金再度出现,基民再度为股灾付出了承重的代价。\n后来,从2018年开始,公募基金开始追随外资的步伐,开始大幅重仓头部龙头,包括白酒、食品、新能源车、光伏等行业。\n经过2年多时间疯狂助推核心资产,公募基金也获利颇多,盈利中位数最近2年每年都维持了50%的高位水平。以史为鉴,过往将近20年历史,一般基金经过2-3年的大幅盈利之后,次年将遭遇下杀的概率很大。\n\n今年有些应验,基金小年板上钉钉。2021年上半年股票型基金平均收益率仅为8.31%,混合型基金为7.66%,QDII基金为8.7%。下半年行情也不怎么样,全年业绩应该跟过去两年相去甚远。尤其是去年被无数基民捧上天的所谓顶流基金,今年能不亏钱都算阿弥陀佛了。基金公司赚的盘满钵满,基民亏得一败涂地,顽疾无解。\n\n不管是股市,还是基金,人性没变,周而复始。\n3尾声\n查理芒格曾经说过,如果我知道我会死在哪里,那我就永远不会去那个地方。那么,对于聪明投资者而言,知道了基民缘何亏钱,就不要去趟浑水了。\n投资基金,看似简单,其实不然。尚佳策略或许是结合自己的行业能力圈去选择基金,并结合前10大重仓股估值高低去分批布局,而不是只看过往业绩表现。除此之外,选择前景行业的指数基金(ETF),并评估估值水平进行定投,也是一个好的办法。\n一切看起来容易,也知道很多道理,但依旧赚不了钱,这才是基民的常态。因为市场是一个博弈场,是不允许绝大多数人盈利的。\n很无奈,但这就是残酷现实。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1785,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3463057643110414","authorId":"3463057643110414","name":"躺平躺到地狱了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5631398706333ec0e71a2194d3b45cc","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3463057643110414","authorIdStr":"3463057643110414"},"content":"元旦快乐!感谢支持!祝:2024年交大运,发大财!","text":"元旦快乐!感谢支持!祝:2024年交大运,发大财!","html":"元旦快乐!感谢支持!祝:2024年交大运,发大财!"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":915405200,"gmtCreate":1580901112300,"gmtModify":1704342778025,"author":{"id":"3526803735984377","authorId":"3526803735984377","name":"韵涵","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e12ff69d691be337878c42d2ca2fbb49","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3526803735984377","authorIdStr":"3526803735984377"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/915405200","repostId":"915637047","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":915637047,"gmtCreate":1580818497088,"gmtModify":1704342394788,"author":{"id":"58341441844653","authorId":"58341441844653","name":"孟浩","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3af5b59c3e4676ee72cb6e0fea0279b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"58341441844653","authorIdStr":"58341441844653"},"themes":[],"title":"远程办公第一天,暴涨15%的Zoom好在哪里?","htmlText":"摘要:随着武汉肺炎肆虐,远程办公的需求激增,而视频会议软件Zoom在昨日大涨14%,创8个月来最大涨幅,相信很多人都有疑问Zoom的股价涨幅是否有支撑,这种增长能否延续?$Zoom(ZM) 远程办公的风口来了 随着武汉肺炎肆虐,国务院发布延长假期的通知,以阻断疫情。各大互联网公司更是响应号召,避免人员聚集,采取了在家办公的方式。一时之间“云视频会议”在这个春节受到了人们的青睐。 近日,在春节这个“特殊时期”,一些互联网巨头也加入了云视频会议市场的赛事中。华为旗下的WeLink、阿里的钉钉、腾讯的腾讯会议、企业微信、字节跳动的飞书相继宣布免费开放平台上的“视频会议”服务 回想2003年的SARS过后,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 等电子商务公司顺风而起,相信在新型肺炎事件之后,“远程协同办公”,也将迎来新一轮的爆发。 远程办公仍处于发展初期,企业协作市场仍处于快速扩张的阶段。据IDC预测,包括视频会议、语音聊天、内容共享等在内的移动办公与协作市场规模将在2022年达到430亿美元。 风口上的猪 目前全球视频会议系统市场呈现寡头垄断的市场,市场集中度较高,中国国内视频会议市场目前渗透率仅在2%-3%左右,并且主要集中在政府、央企国企和大型企业市场。根据IDC公布数据显示,华为、思科、宝利通占据了全球74%的市场份额,其中思科<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">$(CSCO)$</a>占比最高为41%。然而当我们看一下思科的股价,会发现这些巨头却并未从远程办公中受益,因为像是思科、","listText":"摘要:随着武汉肺炎肆虐,远程办公的需求激增,而视频会议软件Zoom在昨日大涨14%,创8个月来最大涨幅,相信很多人都有疑问Zoom的股价涨幅是否有支撑,这种增长能否延续?$Zoom(ZM) 远程办公的风口来了 随着武汉肺炎肆虐,国务院发布延长假期的通知,以阻断疫情。各大互联网公司更是响应号召,避免人员聚集,采取了在家办公的方式。一时之间“云视频会议”在这个春节受到了人们的青睐。 近日,在春节这个“特殊时期”,一些互联网巨头也加入了云视频会议市场的赛事中。华为旗下的WeLink、阿里的钉钉、腾讯的腾讯会议、企业微信、字节跳动的飞书相继宣布免费开放平台上的“视频会议”服务 回想2003年的SARS过后,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a> 、<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> 等电子商务公司顺风而起,相信在新型肺炎事件之后,“远程协同办公”,也将迎来新一轮的爆发。 远程办公仍处于发展初期,企业协作市场仍处于快速扩张的阶段。据IDC预测,包括视频会议、语音聊天、内容共享等在内的移动办公与协作市场规模将在2022年达到430亿美元。 风口上的猪 目前全球视频会议系统市场呈现寡头垄断的市场,市场集中度较高,中国国内视频会议市场目前渗透率仅在2%-3%左右,并且主要集中在政府、央企国企和大型企业市场。根据IDC公布数据显示,华为、思科、宝利通占据了全球74%的市场份额,其中思科<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">$(CSCO)$</a>占比最高为41%。然而当我们看一下思科的股价,会发现这些巨头却并未从远程办公中受益,因为像是思科、","text":"摘要:随着武汉肺炎肆虐,远程办公的需求激增,而视频会议软件Zoom在昨日大涨14%,创8个月来最大涨幅,相信很多人都有疑问Zoom的股价涨幅是否有支撑,这种增长能否延续?$Zoom(ZM) 远程办公的风口来了 随着武汉肺炎肆虐,国务院发布延长假期的通知,以阻断疫情。各大互联网公司更是响应号召,避免人员聚集,采取了在家办公的方式。一时之间“云视频会议”在这个春节受到了人们的青睐。 近日,在春节这个“特殊时期”,一些互联网巨头也加入了云视频会议市场的赛事中。华为旗下的WeLink、阿里的钉钉、腾讯的腾讯会议、企业微信、字节跳动的飞书相继宣布免费开放平台上的“视频会议”服务 回想2003年的SARS过后,$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 、$京东(JD)$ 等电子商务公司顺风而起,相信在新型肺炎事件之后,“远程协同办公”,也将迎来新一轮的爆发。 远程办公仍处于发展初期,企业协作市场仍处于快速扩张的阶段。据IDC预测,包括视频会议、语音聊天、内容共享等在内的移动办公与协作市场规模将在2022年达到430亿美元。 风口上的猪 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