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赚5百万
2020-10-13
$西方石油(OXY)$
还不卖,亏一点,随便买个科技股,也就回来了。同样的时间机会,非要在这里熬,还不知道输赢,买特斯拉,蔚来不好吗
赚5百万
2020-06-07
不要讲这些没用的,该涨还是涨,还跌还是跌
抱歉,原内容已删除
赚5百万
2020-05-15
$挪威邮轮(NCLH)$
感觉一直在恶意做空,一直在发布利空,在收集筹码嘛?这样好拉升?
赚5百万
2020-04-27
放游轮上
抱歉,原内容已删除
赚5百万
2020-04-09
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
哪个大神,告诉一下,这个期权到期是盘中还是盘后,自己操作还是系统操作,是不是账户要留够资金
赚5百万
2020-04-09
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
大神来解答一下,cal到期行权账户里要准备足够的资金购买自己买的cal手数吗,那要是put行权又是怎么呢,有大神解答一下嘛
赚5百万
2020-04-07
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
希望17号之前开盘,我的期权啊
赚5百万
2020-04-05
$嘉年华邮轮(CCL)$
这周期权怎么只到4月9号
赚5百万
2020-04-02
$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$
这tm做空的发了
赚5百万
2020-03-19
$蔚来(NIO)$
还有抄底的吗,大家快抢啊
赚5百万
2020-03-17
$短期VIX期货ETN(VXX)$
大单一直在出货,小单接力
赚5百万
2020-03-05
$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$
这个怎么看,还能涨吗
赚5百万
2020-03-02
$CHF Solutions Inc.(CHFS)$
快上车 今晚要飞
赚5百万
2020-02-28
$联合保健产品(AHPI)$
还能入嘛
赚5百万
2020-02-21
$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$
有人关注嘛
赚5百万
2020-02-01
$联络智能(LLIT)$
下周就要跌了
赚5百万
2020-01-27
$Toughbuilt Industries, Inc.(TBLT)$
还要跌,赶紧卖
赚5百万
2019-06-13
$中指控股(CIH)$ 谁2.63卖我
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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今晚要飞","text":"$CHF Solutions Inc.(CHFS)$快上车 今晚要飞","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/983391874","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":925691532,"gmtCreate":1587991216926,"gmtModify":1704365978461,"author":{"id":"3523003163746471","authorId":"3523003163746471","name":"赚5百万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf83bb11401da483b49c845f8fdc0c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3523003163746471","authorIdStr":"3523003163746471"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"放游轮上","listText":"放游轮上","text":"放游轮上","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/925691532","repostId":"1159206446","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1159206446","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1587990908,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1159206446?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-04-27 20:35","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"WTI原油暴跌25%,原油史上“最黑暗时期”!","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1159206446","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"4月27日,WTI原油期货日内跌幅一度扩大至25%,现报12.69美元/桶。油价跌成负数、全世界的存储空间“油满为患”、行业企业一个个倒下……当前可能是原油市场有史以来“最黑暗”的时期。造成这种局面最","content":"<p>4月27日,<span>WTI原油期货日内跌幅一度扩大至25%,现报12.69美元/桶。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3be262fad81671b020745ecc4b9721aa\"></p><p><span>油价跌成负数、全世界的存储空间“油满为患”、行业企业一个个倒下……当前可能是原油市场有史以来“最黑暗”的时期。</span></p><p><span>造成这种局面最直接的导火索就是存储空间严重不足。</span></p><p><span>市场普遍担心,全球储油空间饱和倒计时需要以周计算,而不是月,因为过剩的量太大而空间太少,就算沙特等产油国已经开始提前减产都来不及找地方放置原油。</span></p><p><span>简单地说,全世界已经快要无处安放原油了。瑞士石油贸易巨头贡沃集团(Gunvor Group)大宗商品贸易部门负责人Torbjorn Tornqvist警告称:“我们正进入终局。5月上旬到中旬可能达到最严重的阶段。距离终结只有几周,而不是几个月了。”</span></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>WTI原油暴跌25%,原油史上“最黑暗时期”!</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWTI原油暴跌25%,原油史上“最黑暗时期”!\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2020-04-27 20:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>4月27日,<span>WTI原油期货日内跌幅一度扩大至25%,现报12.69美元/桶。</span></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3be262fad81671b020745ecc4b9721aa\"></p><p><span>油价跌成负数、全世界的存储空间“油满为患”、行业企业一个个倒下……当前可能是原油市场有史以来“最黑暗”的时期。</span></p><p><span>造成这种局面最直接的导火索就是存储空间严重不足。</span></p><p><span>市场普遍担心,全球储油空间饱和倒计时需要以周计算,而不是月,因为过剩的量太大而空间太少,就算沙特等产油国已经开始提前减产都来不及找地方放置原油。</span></p><p><span>简单地说,全世界已经快要无处安放原油了。瑞士石油贸易巨头贡沃集团(Gunvor Group)大宗商品贸易部门负责人Torbjorn Tornqvist警告称:“我们正进入终局。5月上旬到中旬可能达到最严重的阶段。距离终结只有几周,而不是几个月了。”</span></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa4a2187b267c2b09c55779e0a8af4ab","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1159206446","content_text":"4月27日,WTI原油期货日内跌幅一度扩大至25%,现报12.69美元/桶。油价跌成负数、全世界的存储空间“油满为患”、行业企业一个个倒下……当前可能是原油市场有史以来“最黑暗”的时期。造成这种局面最直接的导火索就是存储空间严重不足。市场普遍担心,全球储油空间饱和倒计时需要以周计算,而不是月,因为过剩的量太大而空间太少,就算沙特等产油国已经开始提前减产都来不及找地方放置原油。简单地说,全世界已经快要无处安放原油了。瑞士石油贸易巨头贡沃集团(Gunvor Group)大宗商品贸易部门负责人Torbjorn Tornqvist警告称:“我们正进入终局。5月上旬到中旬可能达到最严重的阶段。距离终结只有几周,而不是几个月了。”","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2423,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":964739472,"gmtCreate":1584455626996,"gmtModify":1704354280729,"author":{"id":"3523003163746471","authorId":"3523003163746471","name":"赚5百万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf83bb11401da483b49c845f8fdc0c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3523003163746471","authorIdStr":"3523003163746471"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VXX\">$短期VIX期货ETN(VXX)$</a>大单一直在出货,小单接力","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VXX\">$短期VIX期货ETN(VXX)$</a>大单一直在出货,小单接力","text":"$短期VIX期货ETN(VXX)$大单一直在出货,小单接力","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964739472","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":839,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":983456327,"gmtCreate":1583379985869,"gmtModify":1704349635371,"author":{"id":"3523003163746471","authorId":"3523003163746471","name":"赚5百万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf83bb11401da483b49c845f8fdc0c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3523003163746471","authorIdStr":"3523003163746471"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CTRM\">$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$</a>这个怎么看,还能涨吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CTRM\">$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$</a>这个怎么看,还能涨吗","text":"$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$这个怎么看,还能涨吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/983456327","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1322,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":905239216,"gmtCreate":1560363089935,"gmtModify":1704700059826,"author":{"id":"3523003163746471","authorId":"3523003163746471","name":"赚5百万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf83bb11401da483b49c845f8fdc0c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3523003163746471","authorIdStr":"3523003163746471"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$中指控股(CIH)$ 谁2.63卖我","listText":"$中指控股(CIH)$ 谁2.63卖我","text":"$中指控股(CIH)$ 谁2.63卖我","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/905239216","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":728,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":956945241,"gmtCreate":1591514594584,"gmtModify":1704195901565,"author":{"id":"3523003163746471","authorId":"3523003163746471","name":"赚5百万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf83bb11401da483b49c845f8fdc0c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3523003163746471","authorIdStr":"3523003163746471"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不要讲这些没用的,该涨还是涨,还跌还是跌","listText":"不要讲这些没用的,该涨还是涨,还跌还是跌","text":"不要讲这些没用的,该涨还是涨,还跌还是跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/956945241","repostId":"2041046057","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2041046057","pubTimestamp":1591513124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2041046057?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-06-07 14:58","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"美国最新经济数据仍不乐观,2.3万亿财政刺激效果有限","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2041046057","media":"格隆汇","summary":"目前,第二轮新冠财政刺激计划依然没有着落。","content":"<p>本周美股疯狂反弹之际,美国多项经济数据陆续出台,显示经济形势依然严重,3月末通过的首轮2.3亿美元财政刺激计划效果有限。第二轮救助法案虽然在参议院通过,但距离正式落实还遥遥无期。</p>\n<p>首先,大型公司利润暴跌。一季度标普500公司的每股盈利(EPS)同期下降14.6%,是自2009年三季度(-15.7%)以来最大幅度的下滑。另外,172家标普公司宣布撤回今年的收益预期。</p>\n<p>其次,企业整体状况不景气。根据美国商业部上周四发布的数据,美国整体企业利润在一季度下滑了15.9%,为2008年危机以来最大下滑幅度。一季度美国经济还未全面停工,而停工约两个月的二季度企业利润数据将更加糟糕。</p>\n<p>另外,美国制造业和服务业继续萎缩。尽管美国PMI指数5月有所好转,但依然在50枯荣线之下。日前发布的数据显示,制造业PMI指数从4月的41.5小幅回升至5月的43.1,服务业指数也有小幅反弹,由4月的41.8上升至5月的45.4。</p>\n<p>同时,美国企业高管信心急剧下降。CEO与CFO对企业与经济前景悲观,意味着企业很可能会再度削减投资或雇佣。ConferenceBoard发布的CEO信心指数从2019年第四季度的43下降至2020年第一季度的36。此外,从3月下旬至4月初的跟踪调查显示,这一数字进一步下降至34。</p>\n<p>杜克大学4月17日发布的CFO对美国经济的信心指数在第一季度急剧下降至59.7,远低于去年四季度的75。</p>\n<p><b>CFO信心指数</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/615e7612c1a8cc8b50aec3388973774f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"321\"><span>来源:杜克大学</span></p>\n<p>最后,根据密歇根大学5月29日发布的最新数据,尽管政府已经在推动复工,美国5月消费者信心指数为72.3,虽然于4月的71.8略有回升,但仍然显著低于3月的89.1。</p>\n<p>虽然6月5日发布的5月非农就业数据极大地提振股市,但实际上即使5月的失业率为13.3%,仍然代表了上世纪大萧条以来最为严重的失业状况。况且统计局已经表示,数据收集过程中出现了错误,没有将停薪留职(furloughed)的人群计入在失业群体中,修正后的5月失业率至少在16%左右,相比于4月的14.7%仍然恶化。</p>\n<p>在严峻的失业和收入下滑情况下,居民消费受到沉重打击。消费占美国GDP比例接近70%,是经济增长的主要支柱。但根据5月29日发布的数据,4月美国实际个人消费同比下滑17.3%,为有数据以来的最大下滑幅度。根据亚特兰大联储6月2日的预计,二季度个人消费支出将下降58.1%,占GDP17%的私人国内总投资预计将下降62.6%。二季度整体形势更加不容乐观,这也意味着3月份通过的新冠救济法案并没有起到足够刺激消费的作用。</p>\n<p>3月末,美国国会通过了2.3万亿美元的史上最大力度财政刺激法案。其中约44%的资金将用于提供美国企业贷款,26%用于州政府抗疫和公共服务,15%用于补贴民众生计,另外15%用于扩张失业救济。</p>\n<p>这笔资金在5月之前基本已经发放完毕,就目前的经济数据来看,救助力度不足以补偿在本次疫情中受到最大伤害的低收入群体和中小企业,也就无从改善美国经济继续恶化的颓势。</p>\n<p>一方面,对于最需要救助的低收入群体救济不足。政府发放1200美元的补助金远不足够。据凯撒家庭基金会的调查数据,有六分之一的美国人表示,在疫情下他们被迫减少餐食或者依靠慈善机构或政府获得食物。另有10%的人说,他们在冠状病毒爆发之前已经遇到了食物供应问题。对于失业群体,每周600美元的额外失业补助金将发放至7月末,到期后他们的生活将更加困难。新冠病毒的爆发使美国原本就突出的贫富分化问题更加凸显。</p>\n<p>另一方面,对于中小企业,政府提供首轮救助借款已经用尽。接下来美联储的大众商业借贷计划(MainStreetLendingProgram)将提供最多6000亿美元的贷款。但是,据亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克估计,美国小企业每月可能就需要高达5000亿美元的援助,6000亿美元(相当于2019年美国GDP的3%)的救助大约只能为中小企业续命一个多月。贷款用尽后,中小企业会削减投资和雇佣,而这些中小企业雇佣了超过6000万的美国工人,对整体经济至关重要。</p>\n<p>目前,第二轮新冠财政刺激计划依然没有着落。虽然众议院在5月中旬通过了3万亿美元的救助议案,但在参议院通过的概率不大。而特朗普政府已经表示下一轮财政刺激计划的总额不会超过1万亿美元,显著低于第一轮中2.3万亿美元的总量。因此,寄希望于普通居民和中小企业短期内得到更多补助并不现实。</p>\n<p>2万亿听起来非常大,但仅占2019年美国GDP的10%左右,而新冠疫情对于今年美国GDP的打击显然超过10%,仅一季度GDP就下滑了5%,二季度预计下滑幅度可高达50%。因此,2万亿的力度还是十分有限。</p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国最新经济数据仍不乐观,2.3万亿财政刺激效果有限</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国最新经济数据仍不乐观,2.3万亿财政刺激效果有限\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-06-07 14:58 北京时间 <a href=http://www.gelonghui.com/p/379584><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>本周美股疯狂反弹之际,美国多项经济数据陆续出台,显示经济形势依然严重,3月末通过的首轮2.3亿美元财政刺激计划效果有限。第二轮救助法案虽然在参议院通过,但距离正式落实还遥遥无期。\n首先,大型公司利润暴跌。一季度标普500公司的每股盈利(EPS)同期下降14.6%,是自2009年三季度(-15.7%)以来最大幅度的下滑。另外,172家标普公司宣布撤回今年的收益预期。\n其次,企业整体状况不景气。根据...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/379584\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41f81b99b97a59da55dd70fd1af475cb","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF","GLD":"SPDR黄金ETF","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","IAU":"黄金信托ETF(iShares)","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion"},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/379584","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2041046057","content_text":"本周美股疯狂反弹之际,美国多项经济数据陆续出台,显示经济形势依然严重,3月末通过的首轮2.3亿美元财政刺激计划效果有限。第二轮救助法案虽然在参议院通过,但距离正式落实还遥遥无期。\n首先,大型公司利润暴跌。一季度标普500公司的每股盈利(EPS)同期下降14.6%,是自2009年三季度(-15.7%)以来最大幅度的下滑。另外,172家标普公司宣布撤回今年的收益预期。\n其次,企业整体状况不景气。根据美国商业部上周四发布的数据,美国整体企业利润在一季度下滑了15.9%,为2008年危机以来最大下滑幅度。一季度美国经济还未全面停工,而停工约两个月的二季度企业利润数据将更加糟糕。\n另外,美国制造业和服务业继续萎缩。尽管美国PMI指数5月有所好转,但依然在50枯荣线之下。日前发布的数据显示,制造业PMI指数从4月的41.5小幅回升至5月的43.1,服务业指数也有小幅反弹,由4月的41.8上升至5月的45.4。\n同时,美国企业高管信心急剧下降。CEO与CFO对企业与经济前景悲观,意味着企业很可能会再度削减投资或雇佣。ConferenceBoard发布的CEO信心指数从2019年第四季度的43下降至2020年第一季度的36。此外,从3月下旬至4月初的跟踪调查显示,这一数字进一步下降至34。\n杜克大学4月17日发布的CFO对美国经济的信心指数在第一季度急剧下降至59.7,远低于去年四季度的75。\nCFO信心指数\n来源:杜克大学\n最后,根据密歇根大学5月29日发布的最新数据,尽管政府已经在推动复工,美国5月消费者信心指数为72.3,虽然于4月的71.8略有回升,但仍然显著低于3月的89.1。\n虽然6月5日发布的5月非农就业数据极大地提振股市,但实际上即使5月的失业率为13.3%,仍然代表了上世纪大萧条以来最为严重的失业状况。况且统计局已经表示,数据收集过程中出现了错误,没有将停薪留职(furloughed)的人群计入在失业群体中,修正后的5月失业率至少在16%左右,相比于4月的14.7%仍然恶化。\n在严峻的失业和收入下滑情况下,居民消费受到沉重打击。消费占美国GDP比例接近70%,是经济增长的主要支柱。但根据5月29日发布的数据,4月美国实际个人消费同比下滑17.3%,为有数据以来的最大下滑幅度。根据亚特兰大联储6月2日的预计,二季度个人消费支出将下降58.1%,占GDP17%的私人国内总投资预计将下降62.6%。二季度整体形势更加不容乐观,这也意味着3月份通过的新冠救济法案并没有起到足够刺激消费的作用。\n3月末,美国国会通过了2.3万亿美元的史上最大力度财政刺激法案。其中约44%的资金将用于提供美国企业贷款,26%用于州政府抗疫和公共服务,15%用于补贴民众生计,另外15%用于扩张失业救济。\n这笔资金在5月之前基本已经发放完毕,就目前的经济数据来看,救助力度不足以补偿在本次疫情中受到最大伤害的低收入群体和中小企业,也就无从改善美国经济继续恶化的颓势。\n一方面,对于最需要救助的低收入群体救济不足。政府发放1200美元的补助金远不足够。据凯撒家庭基金会的调查数据,有六分之一的美国人表示,在疫情下他们被迫减少餐食或者依靠慈善机构或政府获得食物。另有10%的人说,他们在冠状病毒爆发之前已经遇到了食物供应问题。对于失业群体,每周600美元的额外失业补助金将发放至7月末,到期后他们的生活将更加困难。新冠病毒的爆发使美国原本就突出的贫富分化问题更加凸显。\n另一方面,对于中小企业,政府提供首轮救助借款已经用尽。接下来美联储的大众商业借贷计划(MainStreetLendingProgram)将提供最多6000亿美元的贷款。但是,据亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克估计,美国小企业每月可能就需要高达5000亿美元的援助,6000亿美元(相当于2019年美国GDP的3%)的救助大约只能为中小企业续命一个多月。贷款用尽后,中小企业会削减投资和雇佣,而这些中小企业雇佣了超过6000万的美国工人,对整体经济至关重要。\n目前,第二轮新冠财政刺激计划依然没有着落。虽然众议院在5月中旬通过了3万亿美元的救助议案,但在参议院通过的概率不大。而特朗普政府已经表示下一轮财政刺激计划的总额不会超过1万亿美元,显著低于第一轮中2.3万亿美元的总量。因此,寄希望于普通居民和中小企业短期内得到更多补助并不现实。\n2万亿听起来非常大,但仅占2019年美国GDP的10%左右,而新冠疫情对于今年美国GDP的打击显然超过10%,仅一季度GDP就下滑了5%,二季度预计下滑幅度可高达50%。因此,2万亿的力度还是十分有限。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1337,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":928989323,"gmtCreate":1586441187162,"gmtModify":1704361385876,"author":{"id":"3523003163746471","authorId":"3523003163746471","name":"赚5百万","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4bf83bb11401da483b49c845f8fdc0c6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3523003163746471","authorIdStr":"3523003163746471"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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