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kissfire008
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IP属地:上海
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热门
kissfire008
2021-07-16
$猫眼娱乐(01896)$
卖出一股算我输
kissfire008
2021-07-12
$中国东方教育(00667)$
$中国东方教育(00667)$
高PE的确实volatile
kissfire008
2021-07-06
$滴滴(DIDI)$
国家罚款跑不了
kissfire008
2021-06-17
$好未来(TAL)$
大家散了吧,都散了
kissfire008
2021-06-15
$爱奇艺(IQ)$
上车,随着迷雾剧场上线,几款爆品,后续业绩会越来越好,看多,目标价28
kissfire008
2021-06-05
51job市值才多少
【打新速递】BOSS直聘:确定发行价区间17至19美元
kissfire008
2021-06-03
$AMC院线(AMC)$
不是说好to the moon 吗
kissfire008
2021-06-03
$ERJ航空(ERJ)$
电动直升机🚁了解下,未来的发展趋势,有故事可讲
kissfire008
2021-05-28
$ERJ航空(ERJ)$
dangcing
kissfire008
2021-05-06
$ERJ航空(ERJ)$
冲, 3倍的目标
kissfire008
2021-02-23
$ERJ航空(ERJ)$
上机冲,不到20不下机!
kissfire008
2020-09-24
投资于未来
抱歉,原内容已删除
kissfire008
2020-07-09
$跟谁学(GSX)$
明牌做空能不被拉爆么一群傻叼
kissfire008
2020-07-09
$跟谁学(GSX)$
做空的可以撤了
kissfire008
2020-06-24
$跟谁学(GSX)$
股价硬的不难受么
kissfire008
2020-06-10
$嘉银金科(JFIN)$
不能空,要不然空死这b
kissfire008
2020-06-10
$房多多(DUO)$
不让做空,要不然空死这货
kissfire008
2020-05-01
$Zoom(ZM)$
下去吧,3亿用户也撑不起你这个市值,还有财务造假的可能
kissfire008
2020-03-07
$诺基亚(NOK)$
这股要是在我大A股,不得上天,可惜啊
kissfire008
2020-02-28
$百度(BIDU)$
一会财报不好,再见
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01896\">$猫眼娱乐(01896)$</a>卖出一股算我输","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01896\">$猫眼娱乐(01896)$</a>卖出一股算我输","text":"$猫眼娱乐(01896)$卖出一股算我输","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170311149","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1333,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":146854891,"gmtCreate":1626069314413,"gmtModify":1626069353359,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a>高PE的确实volatile","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a>高PE的确实volatile","text":"$中国东方教育(00667)$ $中国东方教育(00667)$高PE的确实volatile","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146854891","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":157868428,"gmtCreate":1625578345464,"gmtModify":1625578345464,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a> 国家罚款跑不了","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIDI\">$滴滴(DIDI)$</a> 国家罚款跑不了","text":"$滴滴(DIDI)$ 国家罚款跑不了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/157868428","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":161519212,"gmtCreate":1623934243536,"gmtModify":1623934243536,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">$好未来(TAL)$</a>大家散了吧,都散了","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQ\">$爱奇艺(IQ)$</a>上车,随着迷雾剧场上线,几款爆品,后续业绩会越来越好,看多,目标价28","text":"$爱奇艺(IQ)$上车,随着迷雾剧场上线,几款爆品,后续业绩会越来越好,看多,目标价28","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/187132111","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":112614886,"gmtCreate":1622865697045,"gmtModify":1622865697045,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"51job市值才多少","listText":"51job市值才多少","text":"51job市值才多少","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112614886","repostId":"2141072144","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2141072144","pubTimestamp":1622843520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2141072144?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-05 05:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"【打新速递】BOSS直聘:确定发行价区间17至19美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141072144","media":"新浪科技","summary":"北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商","content":"<p>北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>、华兴担任主承销商。</p><p>老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【<a href=\"https://www-web.itiger.com/mi/ipo/index/us/listing\" target=\"_blank\">申购入口</a>】<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b0b94ec2401da9518d134cc2a250cc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">招股书显示,公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份(ADS),价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元,募资约10亿美元,估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例,BOSS直聘还赋予IPO承销商最多720万股ADS超额配售权。</p><p>公司本次募资将用于加大在求职招聘科技基础设施与研究上的投入,升级人工<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>等有关招聘服务的技术能力;增加对新产品、新服务的投入,服务更多地区与类型用户等方面。</p><p>与很多科技公司类似,BOSS直聘将实施“同股不同权”的AB股结构,即A类股票投票权为1:1,B类股票投票权为1:15。预计本轮募资完成后,创始人、董事长兼CEO赵鹏将占股17.6%,拥有76.2%投票权。</p><p>招股书显示,本次公开发行意向投资者包括UBS AM, GIC, Mubadala, Sequoia, Tiger Global。</p><p>知名投资机构入场,意味着全球资本市场和投资人对高速增长的中国人才服务市场、对广大的中国中小企业服务市场、对BOSS直聘这一新招聘平台和“移动+智能匹配+直聊”构成的直聘模式的高度看好。</p><p>纳斯达克目前已成为全球创新、科技公司的上市首选。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YJ\">云集</a>包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>等在内的各大科技公司,也囊括了美国的ZipRecruiter,以色列的Fiverr等全球一系列志在改变传统招聘低效体验的新一代招聘企业。</p><p>BOSS直聘在招股书中指出,长期以来,中小企业与广大长尾求职者未能享受到妥善的求职招聘服务。该公司具有开创性的直聘模式,提升了企业招聘与个人求职效率。直聘模式以移动端为核心、以智能匹配为基础、让求职者与企业端用户进行线上直聊。</p><p>中小企业是吸纳就业的主要渠道。在中小企业分布分散、品牌力弱、招人预算低的背景下,直聘模式为中小企业主提供了可主动与求职者沟通、即时反馈、低成本乃至零成本的招聘服务,为解决中小企业招聘这一社会难题提供了切实有效的方案。招股书数据显示,截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘服务的企业用户中,82.6%为中小企业。</p><p>在求职者端,在用户隐私信息保护被愈发重视的今天,BOSS直聘支持求职者选择性地对企业端用户隐藏信息;经求职者确认许可后,企业端用户才能访问求职者联系方式和完整简历。</p><p>招股书显示,2021年3月,BOSS直聘月活跃用户数(MAU)达3060万。2020年平均MAU为1980万,较2019年平均MAU同比上涨73.2%。</p><p>截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘共服务8580万认证求职者,包括白领用户、金领用户、大学生及蓝领用户;BOSS直聘共拥有1300万认证企业端用户,服务630万家认证企业。</p><p>据CIC(灼识咨询)预测,受数字新经济业态发展、创新创业政策利好、企业人才竞争加剧等因素驱动,中国线上招聘市场规模预计将由2020年的551亿元增至2025年的2234亿元,年复合增长率为32.3%。</p>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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href=https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商。老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【申购入口】招股书显示,公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份(ADS),价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元,募资约10亿美元,估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd78ac59f6290a0422d0583923acf509","relate_stocks":{"BZ":"BOSS直聘"},"source_url":"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141072144","content_text":"北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商。老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【申购入口】招股书显示,公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份(ADS),价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元,募资约10亿美元,估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例,BOSS直聘还赋予IPO承销商最多720万股ADS超额配售权。公司本次募资将用于加大在求职招聘科技基础设施与研究上的投入,升级人工智能等有关招聘服务的技术能力;增加对新产品、新服务的投入,服务更多地区与类型用户等方面。与很多科技公司类似,BOSS直聘将实施“同股不同权”的AB股结构,即A类股票投票权为1:1,B类股票投票权为1:15。预计本轮募资完成后,创始人、董事长兼CEO赵鹏将占股17.6%,拥有76.2%投票权。招股书显示,本次公开发行意向投资者包括UBS AM, GIC, Mubadala, Sequoia, Tiger Global。知名投资机构入场,意味着全球资本市场和投资人对高速增长的中国人才服务市场、对广大的中国中小企业服务市场、对BOSS直聘这一新招聘平台和“移动+智能匹配+直聊”构成的直聘模式的高度看好。纳斯达克目前已成为全球创新、科技公司的上市首选。云集包括苹果、微软、谷歌、亚马逊等在内的各大科技公司,也囊括了美国的ZipRecruiter,以色列的Fiverr等全球一系列志在改变传统招聘低效体验的新一代招聘企业。BOSS直聘在招股书中指出,长期以来,中小企业与广大长尾求职者未能享受到妥善的求职招聘服务。该公司具有开创性的直聘模式,提升了企业招聘与个人求职效率。直聘模式以移动端为核心、以智能匹配为基础、让求职者与企业端用户进行线上直聊。中小企业是吸纳就业的主要渠道。在中小企业分布分散、品牌力弱、招人预算低的背景下,直聘模式为中小企业主提供了可主动与求职者沟通、即时反馈、低成本乃至零成本的招聘服务,为解决中小企业招聘这一社会难题提供了切实有效的方案。招股书数据显示,截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘服务的企业用户中,82.6%为中小企业。在求职者端,在用户隐私信息保护被愈发重视的今天,BOSS直聘支持求职者选择性地对企业端用户隐藏信息;经求职者确认许可后,企业端用户才能访问求职者联系方式和完整简历。招股书显示,2021年3月,BOSS直聘月活跃用户数(MAU)达3060万。2020年平均MAU为1980万,较2019年平均MAU同比上涨73.2%。截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘共服务8580万认证求职者,包括白领用户、金领用户、大学生及蓝领用户;BOSS直聘共拥有1300万认证企业端用户,服务630万家认证企业。据CIC(灼识咨询)预测,受数字新经济业态发展、创新创业政策利好、企业人才竞争加剧等因素驱动,中国线上招聘市场规模预计将由2020年的551亿元增至2025年的2234亿元,年复合增长率为32.3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":118827210,"gmtCreate":1622728447130,"gmtModify":1622728447130,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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05:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"【打新速递】BOSS直聘:确定发行价区间17至19美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2141072144","media":"新浪科技","summary":"北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商","content":"<p>北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>、华兴担任主承销商。</p><p>老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【<a href=\"https://www-web.itiger.com/mi/ipo/index/us/listing\" target=\"_blank\">申购入口</a>】<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b0b94ec2401da9518d134cc2a250cc5\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"568\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">招股书显示,公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份(ADS),价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元,募资约10亿美元,估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例,BOSS直聘还赋予IPO承销商最多720万股ADS超额配售权。</p><p>公司本次募资将用于加大在求职招聘科技基础设施与研究上的投入,升级人工<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/5RE.SI\">智能</a>等有关招聘服务的技术能力;增加对新产品、新服务的投入,服务更多地区与类型用户等方面。</p><p>与很多科技公司类似,BOSS直聘将实施“同股不同权”的AB股结构,即A类股票投票权为1:1,B类股票投票权为1:15。预计本轮募资完成后,创始人、董事长兼CEO赵鹏将占股17.6%,拥有76.2%投票权。</p><p>招股书显示,本次公开发行意向投资者包括UBS AM, GIC, Mubadala, Sequoia, Tiger Global。</p><p>知名投资机构入场,意味着全球资本市场和投资人对高速增长的中国人才服务市场、对广大的中国中小企业服务市场、对BOSS直聘这一新招聘平台和“移动+智能匹配+直聊”构成的直聘模式的高度看好。</p><p>纳斯达克目前已成为全球创新、科技公司的上市首选。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YJ\">云集</a>包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>等在内的各大科技公司,也囊括了美国的ZipRecruiter,以色列的Fiverr等全球一系列志在改变传统招聘低效体验的新一代招聘企业。</p><p>BOSS直聘在招股书中指出,长期以来,中小企业与广大长尾求职者未能享受到妥善的求职招聘服务。该公司具有开创性的直聘模式,提升了企业招聘与个人求职效率。直聘模式以移动端为核心、以智能匹配为基础、让求职者与企业端用户进行线上直聊。</p><p>中小企业是吸纳就业的主要渠道。在中小企业分布分散、品牌力弱、招人预算低的背景下,直聘模式为中小企业主提供了可主动与求职者沟通、即时反馈、低成本乃至零成本的招聘服务,为解决中小企业招聘这一社会难题提供了切实有效的方案。招股书数据显示,截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘服务的企业用户中,82.6%为中小企业。</p><p>在求职者端,在用户隐私信息保护被愈发重视的今天,BOSS直聘支持求职者选择性地对企业端用户隐藏信息;经求职者确认许可后,企业端用户才能访问求职者联系方式和完整简历。</p><p>招股书显示,2021年3月,BOSS直聘月活跃用户数(MAU)达3060万。2020年平均MAU为1980万,较2019年平均MAU同比上涨73.2%。</p><p>截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘共服务8580万认证求职者,包括白领用户、金领用户、大学生及蓝领用户;BOSS直聘共拥有1300万认证企业端用户,服务630万家认证企业。</p><p>据CIC(灼识咨询)预测,受数字新经济业态发展、创新创业政策利好、企业人才竞争加剧等因素驱动,中国线上招聘市场规模预计将由2020年的551亿元增至2025年的2234亿元,年复合增长率为32.3%。</p>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n【打新速递】BOSS直聘:确定发行价区间17至19美元\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-05 05:52 北京时间 <a href=https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4><strong>新浪科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商。老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【申购入口】招股书显示,公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份(ADS),价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元,募资约10亿美元,估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd78ac59f6290a0422d0583923acf509","relate_stocks":{"BZ":"BOSS直聘"},"source_url":"https://tech.sina.cn/i/gn/2021-06-05/detail-ikqciyzi7793066.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2141072144","content_text":"北京时间6月5日消息,在线招聘平台BOSS直聘向美国证券交易委员会(SEC)更新了招股书。招股书显示,BOSS直聘计划在纳斯达克挂牌上市,代码BZ。此次IPO由高盛、摩根士丹利、瑞银、华兴担任主承销商。老虎开放BOSS直聘打新【申购入口】招股书显示,公司预计将公开发行4800万股美国存托股份(ADS),价格区间为每股ADS 17-19美元,募资约10亿美元,估值超过80亿美元。依照惯例,BOSS直聘还赋予IPO承销商最多720万股ADS超额配售权。公司本次募资将用于加大在求职招聘科技基础设施与研究上的投入,升级人工智能等有关招聘服务的技术能力;增加对新产品、新服务的投入,服务更多地区与类型用户等方面。与很多科技公司类似,BOSS直聘将实施“同股不同权”的AB股结构,即A类股票投票权为1:1,B类股票投票权为1:15。预计本轮募资完成后,创始人、董事长兼CEO赵鹏将占股17.6%,拥有76.2%投票权。招股书显示,本次公开发行意向投资者包括UBS AM, GIC, Mubadala, Sequoia, Tiger Global。知名投资机构入场,意味着全球资本市场和投资人对高速增长的中国人才服务市场、对广大的中国中小企业服务市场、对BOSS直聘这一新招聘平台和“移动+智能匹配+直聊”构成的直聘模式的高度看好。纳斯达克目前已成为全球创新、科技公司的上市首选。云集包括苹果、微软、谷歌、亚马逊等在内的各大科技公司,也囊括了美国的ZipRecruiter,以色列的Fiverr等全球一系列志在改变传统招聘低效体验的新一代招聘企业。BOSS直聘在招股书中指出,长期以来,中小企业与广大长尾求职者未能享受到妥善的求职招聘服务。该公司具有开创性的直聘模式,提升了企业招聘与个人求职效率。直聘模式以移动端为核心、以智能匹配为基础、让求职者与企业端用户进行线上直聊。中小企业是吸纳就业的主要渠道。在中小企业分布分散、品牌力弱、招人预算低的背景下,直聘模式为中小企业主提供了可主动与求职者沟通、即时反馈、低成本乃至零成本的招聘服务,为解决中小企业招聘这一社会难题提供了切实有效的方案。招股书数据显示,截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘服务的企业用户中,82.6%为中小企业。在求职者端,在用户隐私信息保护被愈发重视的今天,BOSS直聘支持求职者选择性地对企业端用户隐藏信息;经求职者确认许可后,企业端用户才能访问求职者联系方式和完整简历。招股书显示,2021年3月,BOSS直聘月活跃用户数(MAU)达3060万。2020年平均MAU为1980万,较2019年平均MAU同比上涨73.2%。截至2021年3月31日,BOSS直聘共服务8580万认证求职者,包括白领用户、金领用户、大学生及蓝领用户;BOSS直聘共拥有1300万认证企业端用户,服务630万家认证企业。据CIC(灼识咨询)预测,受数字新经济业态发展、创新创业政策利好、企业人才竞争加剧等因素驱动,中国线上招聘市场规模预计将由2020年的551亿元增至2025年的2234亿元,年复合增长率为32.3%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1825,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":157868428,"gmtCreate":1625578345464,"gmtModify":1625578345464,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">$Zoom(ZM)$</a>下去吧,3亿用户也撑不起你这个市值,还有财务造假的可能","text":"$Zoom(ZM)$下去吧,3亿用户也撑不起你这个市值,还有财务造假的可能","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/924645451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":935031238,"gmtCreate":1573138865924,"gmtModify":1704725639270,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRIP\">$猫途鹰(TRIP)$</a>完犊子了,携程会不会年报也是这样啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRIP\">$猫途鹰(TRIP)$</a>完犊子了,携程会不会年报也是这样啊","text":"$猫途鹰(TRIP)$完犊子了,携程会不会年报也是这样啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/935031238","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":871,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":146854891,"gmtCreate":1626069314413,"gmtModify":1626069353359,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a>高PE的确实volatile","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00667\">$中国东方教育(00667)$</a>高PE的确实volatile","text":"$中国东方教育(00667)$ $中国东方教育(00667)$高PE的确实volatile","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146854891","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":974387148,"gmtCreate":1600939248084,"gmtModify":1703823049412,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"投资于未来","listText":"投资于未来","text":"投资于未来","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/974387148","repostId":"2069070987","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2069070987","pubTimestamp":1600787448,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2069070987?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-09-22 23:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Embraer: An Oversold Value Buy Best Positioned For The Commercial Aviation Turnaround","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2069070987","media":"Eric Weiss","summary":"According to our valuation model, Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) has a significant upside potential.Although Commercial Aviation division reported big losses, the industry is showing signs of recovery.The strong portfolio of clients and the well-managed liquidity position were crucial to diminish the impacts of the crisis.","content":"<html><body><div><div><div><div>Summary</div><div><p>According to our valuation model, Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) has a significant upside potential.</p><p>Although Commercial Aviation division reported big losses, the industry is showing signs of recovery.</p><p>The strong portfolio of clients and the well-managed liquidity position were crucial to diminish the impacts of the crisis.</p></div></div></div><div><h2><strong>Investment Thesis</strong></h2> <p>While commercial and executive aviation slowly return to normalcy, we consider Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) as an interesting opportunity for both short-term and long-term investors. After the rapid proliferation of coronavirus and everything that came with it, the aerospace industry has taken big hits due to idleness of its production and the sharp drop in investment power, causing a drop in of order volumes and deliveries. Despite momentary losses throughout the first half of 2020 and an overall drop in confidence from the now-ended partnership with Boeing (NYSE: BA), our valuation analysis demonstrates that it is a great time to invest in this undervalued business.</p> <p>The underlying reason we believe in an Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) turnaround is driven by the management strategy adopted during this difficult period. The strategic plan executed during the crisis has made Embraer a leaner company, allowing it to preserve a stable and robust liquidity position, even while revenue and profit took direct hits. In a recovering atmosphere, noting the recent uptrend of the in-service fleets in the United States, we believe the worst scenario has been successfully avoided. The diversified portfolio of clients who haven't canceled orders is now ready to be gradually filled, thus returning Embraer to the profit levels expected from this innovative company.</p> <p>Figure 1: Embraer’s New Strategy</p> <p><img height=\"282\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/9/9/saupload_H_M-PTq9oEjzkqn1mtnSx3f03EHI6ryzYVPrOcpDMC8lLs3H8m3s2YyK8VUHkO0khGLRd0swdITKRkNG9VsJLvf37McoS2W-S5KmVUZE-h5YaFlXHgc4IGhQDBfa1LmQCgq4W0sI8G6OFETtcw.jpeg\" width=\"501\"/></p>\n<div></div> <p>Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20</p> <h2><strong>Decline of Commercial Aviation</strong></h2> <p>As the coronavirus pandemic unfolded, many nations decided to limit commercial aviation traffic, causing a direct impact on Embraer’s first half financial results. Furthermore, economic uncertainties through the aviation sector and the now-terminated strategic partnership with Boeing had a direct impact on Embraer's delivery capacity which consequentially effected the receivable from pending and delivered orders. As a result of these aforementioned pitfalls, the company presented lower revenue numbers across all its income streams compared to the first semester of the last year. Losses in its Commercial Aviation division and its related services led the way accounting for nearly 75% of the overall revenue decay. Total revenue from the first half of 2020 was US$ 1.171 billion, compared to US$ 2.202 billion year over year (Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20).</p> <p>Figure 2: Aircraft Deliveries, Commercial and Executive</p> <p><img height=\"297\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/9/9/saupload__Ct1TY_n8pUpoLnL8ZXexQcz8e_Rh5ixL9CKnvoXfEeKKyZxvoN9pOsKVobT04L6kDJClkC4IBK9oYXWreUOsXIIoVKmqfinoT606jZxTt_Ycrqw7zB3T1MRnGQgh73fTkMYSOhVQlmrMVdO9A.jpeg\" width=\"526\"/></p> <p>Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20</p> <p>Additionally, the crisis also forced the company to slow its investments and cut 4.5% of its workforce in Brazil, as the management team opted for a leaner structure and preservation of its cash reserves. Both CAPEX and R&D investments suffered hard deteriorations during the first half of 2020 totaling -56% year over year (Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20). In our view, Embraer’s declining investment expenditure is a decisive factor that undermines the technological race against its competitors and will certainly slow down Embraer’s development programs -- the company has already rescheduled the production of it's E175-E2 jet to 2023 (SimpleFlying). While commercial aviation slowly recovers, we do expect low growth rates of the company’s value over the next five years.</p>\n<div></div> <p>Figure 3: CAPEX and R&D Investments Comparison</p> <p><img height=\"319\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/9/9/saupload_xHwJxrUYO3SEYg7o-zQcZco-2ViKNfHkZnLW8wVBtAeVh9Z7-BcWErp4yZTYGZXs-m-n4nkBKbaywCztyhqNGZEInav8xiNPyBD9ayB-oyfQLNVeK1TD4qurwCzbgQ6mUV_Vuo-SEfZCrwS5eQ.jpeg\" width=\"567\"/></p> <p>Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20</p> <h2><strong>Turnaround Case</strong></h2> <p>Still, we have reason to believe that Embraer is a strong choice for long-term investors because of three important indicators: (1) the company has a strong and diversified firm order backlog that hasn't been substantially hit; (2) in-service fleets have shown strong signs of recovery the last few months, and (3) the company has managed its liquidity very well. In regards to the firm order backlog, we notice it has remained stable compared to preceding quarters, and currently stands at US$ 15.4 billion. Additionally, a diversified portfolio of clients is certainly a positive point to consider if some clients decide to cancel an order.</p> <p>When analyzing commercial aviation traffic, taking into consideration the U.S. in-service fleet since March of this year, we've observed a significant uptrend in the recent months since the initial drop that occurred from March to April. In combination with yet another indicator, the lead-lag effect among domestic and global air traffic, we see that the significant increase in domestic traffic has been leading all other sectors of the global commercial aviation recovery. Therefore we can easily justify that the chances of a worst scenario for this sector have come and gone and assuming there is no significant second wave of virus transmission -- the worst is in the past. </p> <p>Figure 4: Domestic & Global In-Service Fleet Trends</p> <p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/9/21/52453736-16007351647592938.png\"/></p>\n<div></div> <p>Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20</p> <p>Concluding our positive outlook as a result of current trends, Embraer reported positive results regarding its liquidity position as it successfully renegotiated its short-term debt, achieving an average debt maturity of 3.8 years and maintaining 88% of the total debt as long-term loans. Despite a rise of net debt to US$ 1.8 billion, in large part due to the available cash reduction, Embraer has a current debt-cash ratio of 2.07. Overall, we believe Embraer maintains a comfortable liquidity position and has displayed managerial prowess in relation to its cash and debt management.</p> <h2>Valuation</h2> <p>For our valuation analysis, we focused on two techniques: discounted free cash flow and valuation multiples. The first technique aims to forecast the fair price of ERJ by summarizing its discounted free cash flows for the next ten years while excluding the company’s net debt. Alternatively, we used the valuation multiples to compare the value of Embraer against its competitors in an effort to analyze how undervalued or overvalued the company is by comparison.</p> <p>We assume three conservative scenarios for cash flow growth: (1) Recovery scenario with low growth rate (2021-2025); (2) Stable scenario with a mature growth rate; and (3) perpetual scenario with the lowest growth rate. The recovery scenario corresponds to the impact caused by the coronavirus, which has severely damaged the aviation sector causing Embraer to reduce the size of its organizational structure and investment capacity. The stable scenario refers to an environment where most COVID-19 effects are controlled, and the industry can keep its normal operations according to its natural limitations. Finally, the last scenario simulates a perpetual growth consistent with the physical limits of the aerospace industry and the expected increase of competitors, reducing the profit margin. The formula and inputs are described below:</p> <p><img height=\"47\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/9/9/saupload_vWGIavNmkoIn0gQqbGuZWTsnBPpP7G-NdE8QNNG__g8kpRqaaKnmEYOsgPME7Vo9fajiDnd6MSUf2gBBaPkeBIakWZJPgRIjSGcsdXOITfwbozSw5X76gPPS52Fsq2BfDrcm9-Q1pM5O5MHEwQ.png\" width=\"624\"/></p>\n<div></div> <ul> <li><p>Free cash flow (LTM) is US$ 99,900,000</p></li> <li><p>Net debt is US$ 1,800,700,000</p></li> <li><p>Shares outstanding are 183,870,000</p></li> <li><p>Free cash flow to shares is 0.54</p></li> <li><p>Debt to shares is 9.79</p></li> <li><p>Discount rate is 7.18%</p></li> <li><p>(1) Growth rate (2021-2025) is 2.00%</p></li> <li><p>(2) Growth rate (2026-2030) is 2.50%</p></li> <li><p>(3) Perpetual growth rate is 1.50%</p></li> </ul> <p>We defined very conservative growth rates and preferred to use the average cost of capital of the aerospace & defense industry monitored by Aswath Damodaran at the NYU to represent an overall mature and stable discount rate for this market.</p> <p>Table 1: Discounted Free Cash Flow to Shares</p> <p><img height=\"77\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2020/9/9/saupload_GY22SH8FOXml-AjIwzta9dobYDFUZYjY_YJjWyem-9NHKK84h13cO0b2fwF6F_MxK2Ar-VQ7wcsnZHAmRQYewI9J_DGuYP8rJO9A-uP4mdBWPB_thyLTd71izI_XUTYv3JpJ7lsetXS7GmLgdA.jpeg\" width=\"627\"/></p> <p>Source: Created by the author</p> <p>Given the above inputs, the fair price for Embraer shares (NYSE: ERJ) is US$ 6.54, representing a 40% potential upside from the closing price on September 21, 2020 (US$ 4.67). The last time we saw a closing price above $6.54 was on June 19 of the current year. Moreover, we see this target price as a resistance zone in the short term.</p> <p>Table 2: Valuation Multiples, Embraer vs Competitors</p> <span><table> <colgroup> <col/> <col/> <col/> <col/> <col/> <col/> </colgroup> <tr> <td> </td> <td><p>Market Cap</p></td> <td><p>EV/Revenue</p></td> <td><p>Book/Market Cap</p></td> <td><p>Price/LTM Sales</p></td> <td><p>Forward P/E Ratio</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Embraer</p></td> <td><p>$867 million</p></td> <td><p>0.5</p></td> <td><p>3.4</p></td> <td><p>0.6</p></td> <td><p>-2.4</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>AAR Corp.</p></td> <td><p>$700 million</p></td> <td><p>2.0</p></td> <td><p>1.3</p></td> <td><p>0.3</p></td> <td><p>77.4</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Lockheed</p></td> <td><p>$106 billion</p></td> <td><p>1.8</p></td> <td><p>0.0</p></td> <td><p>1.7</p></td> <td><p>16.3</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Raytheon</p></td> <td><p>$90.5 billion</p></td> <td><p>1.5</p></td> <td><p>0.7</p></td> <td><p>1.1</p></td> <td><p>23.8</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Spirit Aero.</p></td> <td><p>$2.07 billion</p></td> <td><p>0.6</p></td> <td><p>0.6</p></td> <td><p>0.4</p></td> <td><p>-4.7</p></td> </tr> <tr> <td><p>Textron</p></td> <td><p>$8.13 billion</p></td> <td><p>0.9</p></td> <td><p>0.7</p></td> <td><p>0.6</p></td> <td><p>25.6</p></td> </tr> </table></span> <p> Source: Created by the author, data retrieved from Finbox</p> <p>Looking at the multiples comparison among companies with different sizes within the aerospace & defense industry, we observe that Embraer is relatively undervalued. It has the worst multiples when we check the following indicators: Enterprise Value to Revenue, Book Value to Market Cap, and Forward Price to Earnings while landing in the middle of the field for Price to LTM Sales.</p>\n<div></div> <h2><strong>Risks</strong></h2> <p>We believe the worst scenario for the aerospace/defense industry is over, however, it is important to highlight the subsequent effects after this first wave of coronavirus transmission. The situation should not be celebrated as severe restrictions and guidelines for the mobility of citizens are still in place. From a conservative standpoint, we can estimate that global air traffic could take over a year to normalize because the U.S. in-service fleet is slowly recovering, and, as we saw, United States is the leading country for this indicator.</p> <p>Furthermore, the true financial impact may take time to fully materialize in regards to solvency and technological developments. We are sure that this crisis has delayed most technological advancements within the industry, which certainly postpones or prevents Embraer and its competitors from accelerating their true growth. Likewise, the possibility exists for a second transmission wave that could further enhance harm to Embraer’s clients and limit their capability of realizing payment on their order log.</p> <h2>Conclusion</h2> <p>As a result of the valuation analysis presented above, we present a long buy of ERJ shares, which is undervalued compared to its growth potential and its competitors. Alternatively, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> could consider purchasing the $2.5 strike LEAP calls expiring 01/20/23 last priced at $2.55. We believe we have exposed fully the financial impact caused by the world health crisis in the first half of Embraer’s performance and the reasons to trust a reversal in the mid and long term with solid management decisions and a privileged market position. In summary, as investors, we considered a very conservative forecast that resulted in a target price of US$ 6.54, approximately 40% above the current price as of September 21, 2020.</p>\n<span></span><p><b>Disclosure:</b> <span>I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.</span> <span>I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEmbraer: An Oversold Value Buy Best Positioned For The Commercial Aviation Turnaround\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-22 23:10 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4375703-embraer-oversold-value-buy-best-positioned-for-commercial-aviation-turnaround><strong>Eric Weiss</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAccording to our valuation model, Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) has a significant upside potential.Although Commercial Aviation division reported big losses, the industry is showing signs of recovery.The...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4375703-embraer-oversold-value-buy-best-positioned-for-commercial-aviation-turnaround\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ERJ":"巴西航空工业"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4375703-embraer-oversold-value-buy-best-positioned-for-commercial-aviation-turnaround","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2069070987","content_text":"SummaryAccording to our valuation model, Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) has a significant upside potential.Although Commercial Aviation division reported big losses, the industry is showing signs of recovery.The strong portfolio of clients and the well-managed liquidity position were crucial to diminish the impacts of the crisis.Investment Thesis While commercial and executive aviation slowly return to normalcy, we consider Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) as an interesting opportunity for both short-term and long-term investors. After the rapid proliferation of coronavirus and everything that came with it, the aerospace industry has taken big hits due to idleness of its production and the sharp drop in investment power, causing a drop in of order volumes and deliveries. Despite momentary losses throughout the first half of 2020 and an overall drop in confidence from the now-ended partnership with Boeing (NYSE: BA), our valuation analysis demonstrates that it is a great time to invest in this undervalued business. The underlying reason we believe in an Embraer (NYSE: ERJ) turnaround is driven by the management strategy adopted during this difficult period. The strategic plan executed during the crisis has made Embraer a leaner company, allowing it to preserve a stable and robust liquidity position, even while revenue and profit took direct hits. In a recovering atmosphere, noting the recent uptrend of the in-service fleets in the United States, we believe the worst scenario has been successfully avoided. The diversified portfolio of clients who haven't canceled orders is now ready to be gradually filled, thus returning Embraer to the profit levels expected from this innovative company. Figure 1: Embraer’s New Strategy \n Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20 Decline of Commercial Aviation As the coronavirus pandemic unfolded, many nations decided to limit commercial aviation traffic, causing a direct impact on Embraer’s first half financial results. Furthermore, economic uncertainties through the aviation sector and the now-terminated strategic partnership with Boeing had a direct impact on Embraer's delivery capacity which consequentially effected the receivable from pending and delivered orders. As a result of these aforementioned pitfalls, the company presented lower revenue numbers across all its income streams compared to the first semester of the last year. Losses in its Commercial Aviation division and its related services led the way accounting for nearly 75% of the overall revenue decay. Total revenue from the first half of 2020 was US$ 1.171 billion, compared to US$ 2.202 billion year over year (Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20). Figure 2: Aircraft Deliveries, Commercial and Executive Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20 Additionally, the crisis also forced the company to slow its investments and cut 4.5% of its workforce in Brazil, as the management team opted for a leaner structure and preservation of its cash reserves. Both CAPEX and R&D investments suffered hard deteriorations during the first half of 2020 totaling -56% year over year (Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20). In our view, Embraer’s declining investment expenditure is a decisive factor that undermines the technological race against its competitors and will certainly slow down Embraer’s development programs -- the company has already rescheduled the production of it's E175-E2 jet to 2023 (SimpleFlying). While commercial aviation slowly recovers, we do expect low growth rates of the company’s value over the next five years.\n Figure 3: CAPEX and R&D Investments Comparison Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20 Turnaround Case Still, we have reason to believe that Embraer is a strong choice for long-term investors because of three important indicators: (1) the company has a strong and diversified firm order backlog that hasn't been substantially hit; (2) in-service fleets have shown strong signs of recovery the last few months, and (3) the company has managed its liquidity very well. In regards to the firm order backlog, we notice it has remained stable compared to preceding quarters, and currently stands at US$ 15.4 billion. Additionally, a diversified portfolio of clients is certainly a positive point to consider if some clients decide to cancel an order. When analyzing commercial aviation traffic, taking into consideration the U.S. in-service fleet since March of this year, we've observed a significant uptrend in the recent months since the initial drop that occurred from March to April. In combination with yet another indicator, the lead-lag effect among domestic and global air traffic, we see that the significant increase in domestic traffic has been leading all other sectors of the global commercial aviation recovery. Therefore we can easily justify that the chances of a worst scenario for this sector have come and gone and assuming there is no significant second wave of virus transmission -- the worst is in the past. Figure 4: Domestic & Global In-Service Fleet Trends \n Source: Quarterly Earnings Presentation, Embraer 2Q20 Concluding our positive outlook as a result of current trends, Embraer reported positive results regarding its liquidity position as it successfully renegotiated its short-term debt, achieving an average debt maturity of 3.8 years and maintaining 88% of the total debt as long-term loans. Despite a rise of net debt to US$ 1.8 billion, in large part due to the available cash reduction, Embraer has a current debt-cash ratio of 2.07. Overall, we believe Embraer maintains a comfortable liquidity position and has displayed managerial prowess in relation to its cash and debt management. Valuation For our valuation analysis, we focused on two techniques: discounted free cash flow and valuation multiples. The first technique aims to forecast the fair price of ERJ by summarizing its discounted free cash flows for the next ten years while excluding the company’s net debt. Alternatively, we used the valuation multiples to compare the value of Embraer against its competitors in an effort to analyze how undervalued or overvalued the company is by comparison. We assume three conservative scenarios for cash flow growth: (1) Recovery scenario with low growth rate (2021-2025); (2) Stable scenario with a mature growth rate; and (3) perpetual scenario with the lowest growth rate. The recovery scenario corresponds to the impact caused by the coronavirus, which has severely damaged the aviation sector causing Embraer to reduce the size of its organizational structure and investment capacity. The stable scenario refers to an environment where most COVID-19 effects are controlled, and the industry can keep its normal operations according to its natural limitations. Finally, the last scenario simulates a perpetual growth consistent with the physical limits of the aerospace industry and the expected increase of competitors, reducing the profit margin. The formula and inputs are described below: \n Free cash flow (LTM) is US$ 99,900,000 Net debt is US$ 1,800,700,000 Shares outstanding are 183,870,000 Free cash flow to shares is 0.54 Debt to shares is 9.79 Discount rate is 7.18% (1) Growth rate (2021-2025) is 2.00% (2) Growth rate (2026-2030) is 2.50% (3) Perpetual growth rate is 1.50% We defined very conservative growth rates and preferred to use the average cost of capital of the aerospace & defense industry monitored by Aswath Damodaran at the NYU to represent an overall mature and stable discount rate for this market. Table 1: Discounted Free Cash Flow to Shares Source: Created by the author Given the above inputs, the fair price for Embraer shares (NYSE: ERJ) is US$ 6.54, representing a 40% potential upside from the closing price on September 21, 2020 (US$ 4.67). The last time we saw a closing price above $6.54 was on June 19 of the current year. Moreover, we see this target price as a resistance zone in the short term. Table 2: Valuation Multiples, Embraer vs Competitors Market Cap EV/Revenue Book/Market Cap Price/LTM Sales Forward P/E Ratio Embraer $867 million 0.5 3.4 0.6 -2.4 AAR Corp. $700 million 2.0 1.3 0.3 77.4 Lockheed $106 billion 1.8 0.0 1.7 16.3 Raytheon $90.5 billion 1.5 0.7 1.1 23.8 Spirit Aero. $2.07 billion 0.6 0.6 0.4 -4.7 Textron $8.13 billion 0.9 0.7 0.6 25.6 Source: Created by the author, data retrieved from Finbox Looking at the multiples comparison among companies with different sizes within the aerospace & defense industry, we observe that Embraer is relatively undervalued. It has the worst multiples when we check the following indicators: Enterprise Value to Revenue, Book Value to Market Cap, and Forward Price to Earnings while landing in the middle of the field for Price to LTM Sales.\n Risks We believe the worst scenario for the aerospace/defense industry is over, however, it is important to highlight the subsequent effects after this first wave of coronavirus transmission. The situation should not be celebrated as severe restrictions and guidelines for the mobility of citizens are still in place. From a conservative standpoint, we can estimate that global air traffic could take over a year to normalize because the U.S. in-service fleet is slowly recovering, and, as we saw, United States is the leading country for this indicator. Furthermore, the true financial impact may take time to fully materialize in regards to solvency and technological developments. We are sure that this crisis has delayed most technological advancements within the industry, which certainly postpones or prevents Embraer and its competitors from accelerating their true growth. Likewise, the possibility exists for a second transmission wave that could further enhance harm to Embraer’s clients and limit their capability of realizing payment on their order log. Conclusion As a result of the valuation analysis presented above, we present a long buy of ERJ shares, which is undervalued compared to its growth potential and its competitors. Alternatively, one could consider purchasing the $2.5 strike LEAP calls expiring 01/20/23 last priced at $2.55. We believe we have exposed fully the financial impact caused by the world health crisis in the first half of Embraer’s performance and the reasons to trust a reversal in the mid and long term with solid management decisions and a privileged market position. In summary, as investors, we considered a very conservative forecast that resulted in a target price of US$ 6.54, approximately 40% above the current price as of September 21, 2020.\nDisclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":949724487,"gmtCreate":1594308288849,"gmtModify":1704205155959,"author":{"id":"3516218306685179","authorId":"3516218306685179","name":"kissfire008","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/401d035b70fb5e941435748f51fbdadc","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>明牌做空能不被拉爆么一群傻叼","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GSX\">$跟谁学(GSX)$</a>明牌做空能不被拉爆么一群傻叼","text":"$跟谁学(GSX)$明牌做空能不被拉爆么一群傻叼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/949724487","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}