宁静的星星lifetol的个人主页 - 老虎社区

宁静的星星lifetol

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宁静的星星lifetol

2021-08-18

$Tilray Inc.(TLRY)$拿了半年昨晚刚卖，不知道还会不会继续给面子

宁静的星星lifetol

2022-05-05

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$真是蛇皮走位

宁静的星星lifetol

2020-09-01

$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$没搞懂

宁静的星星lifetol

2019-12-04

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@金思汇闻:谈谈利率水平与股票市场的关系

宁静的星星lifetol

2019-08-10

礼貌性卖出

宁静的星星lifetol

2023-12-13

$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$ 真离谱，连涨了7周

宁静的星星lifetol

2020-02-28

$道琼斯(.DJI)$卧槽，你是要疯啊你

宁静的星星lifetol

04-23

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $老虎证券(TIGR)$ 这市盈率怎么又到38了？前两天还是33

宁静的星星lifetol

2021-01-18

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎访谈:【虎友访谈】小镇做T家：下一个“特斯拉”也许是它们！

宁静的星星lifetol

2021-09-10

自由才有创造力，机器是没有创造力的

抱歉，原内容已删除

宁静的星星lifetol

2020-08-18

$Beyond Meat, Inc.(BYND)$醉了，其他疯长，这个纹丝不动还下行

宁静的星星lifetol

2019-05-12

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@七寒谷:Uber（优步）昨晚登陆纽交所挂牌上市，代码为UBER$优步(UBER)$ 。在本次IPO之中，优步发行1.8亿股股票，发行价设定为45美元，位于指导区间的低端，筹资金额约81亿美元。作为Uber最大的单一股东，日本软银愿景基金持有Uber 16.3%的股份。可惜的时机不对，上市即破发

宁静的星星lifetol

10-12

$TQQQ 20241018 79.0 CALL$ 36的隐含波动率，你是在开玩笑吗

宁静的星星lifetol

08-15

$TQQQ 20240823 73.0 CALL$ 47的波动率？

宁静的星星lifetol

08-10

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎活动:【七夕特别活动】唱首情歌给你听，我唱上句，你能回下句吗？

宁静的星星lifetol

08-01

Replying to @有道投资:昨天大涨，后边回调感觉好难//@有道投资:大科技还是需要一深度回调，苹果估计业绩不是太好也不会太差，估计中规中矩吧

宁静的星星lifetol

07-29

期权期货估计悬，ETF 应该问题不大，我期权平了

宁静的星星lifetol

06-19

10周年活动多多[强][强][强]

宁静的星星lifetol

06-19

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@小虎活动:【老虎十周年】10年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？

宁静的星星lifetol

06-19

和更准确的纳指市盈率数值

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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73.0 CALL$</a> 47的波动率？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TQQQ 20240823 73.0 CALL\">$TQQQ 20240823 73.0 CALL$</a> 47的波动率？","text":"$TQQQ 20240823 73.0 CALL$ 47的波动率？","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6601e3a7658a6308e3191ca2cafc1f9","width":"750","height":"1172"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/338845962477840","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":336913336017344,"gmtCreate":1723293695929,"gmtModify":1723293697493,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/336913336017344","repostId":"336584622830064","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":336584622830064,"gmtCreate":1723183849815,"gmtModify":1723199403289,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【七夕特别活动】唱首情歌给你听，我唱上句，你能回下句吗？","htmlText":"牛郎的笛声穿透夜空，引领着鹊鸟汇聚成桥，让织女跨越银河的阻隔相聚。明天就是七夕节了，在这个特别的时刻，小虎君邀请广大虎友参与我们的“情歌对唱”活动，“我唱上句，你能回下句吗？”在这个活动中，每位虎友可以自己起一个情歌的开头，然后艾特你的朋友来接唱下一句。【参与方式】在评论区留言，写下一句歌词，并艾特你的朋友来接下句。（也可以写下歌名和演唱者作为提示）举例：A: 如果你突然打了个喷嚏 @B (提示：王心凌 《爱你》)B：那一定就是我在想你【活动时间】 2024年8月9日-2024年8月16日【活动奖品】所有参与评论并成功发起情歌对唱的虎友都将获得5虎币。转发本帖并艾特你的朋友参与活动，可额外获得5虎币。🌟最佳对唱奖：我们将选出被对唱次数最多的虎友，赠送小虎玩偶1对🍀幸运奖：从所有参与的虎友中随机抽取1位虎友，赠送新款帆布袋1个【特别说明】每位虎友仅有一次获奖机会，不可重复获奖。请确保你的歌词内容健康、积极，符合七夕节日氛围。在这个七夕，让我们用情歌对唱，邀请朋友一起唱出爱的旋律，🎶💑🎉 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","listText":"牛郎的笛声穿透夜空，引领着鹊鸟汇聚成桥，让织女跨越银河的阻隔相聚。明天就是七夕节了，在这个特别的时刻，小虎君邀请广大虎友参与我们的“情歌对唱”活动，“我唱上句，你能回下句吗？”在这个活动中，每位虎友可以自己起一个情歌的开头，然后艾特你的朋友来接唱下一句。【参与方式】在评论区留言，写下一句歌词，并艾特你的朋友来接下句。（也可以写下歌名和演唱者作为提示）举例：A: 如果你突然打了个喷嚏 @B (提示：王心凌 《爱你》)B：那一定就是我在想你【活动时间】 2024年8月9日-2024年8月16日【活动奖品】所有参与评论并成功发起情歌对唱的虎友都将获得5虎币。转发本帖并艾特你的朋友参与活动，可额外获得5虎币。🌟最佳对唱奖：我们将选出被对唱次数最多的虎友，赠送小虎玩偶1对🍀幸运奖：从所有参与的虎友中随机抽取1位虎友，赠送新款帆布袋1个【特别说明】每位虎友仅有一次获奖机会，不可重复获奖。请确保你的歌词内容健康、积极，符合七夕节日氛围。在这个七夕，让我们用情歌对唱，邀请朋友一起唱出爱的旋律，🎶💑🎉 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","text":"牛郎的笛声穿透夜空，引领着鹊鸟汇聚成桥，让织女跨越银河的阻隔相聚。明天就是七夕节了，在这个特别的时刻，小虎君邀请广大虎友参与我们的“情歌对唱”活动，“我唱上句，你能回下句吗？”在这个活动中，每位虎友可以自己起一个情歌的开头，然后艾特你的朋友来接唱下一句。【参与方式】在评论区留言，写下一句歌词，并艾特你的朋友来接下句。（也可以写下歌名和演唱者作为提示）举例：A: 如果你突然打了个喷嚏 @B (提示：王心凌 《爱你》)B：那一定就是我在想你【活动时间】 2024年8月9日-2024年8月16日【活动奖品】所有参与评论并成功发起情歌对唱的虎友都将获得5虎币。转发本帖并艾特你的朋友参与活动，可额外获得5虎币。🌟最佳对唱奖：我们将选出被对唱次数最多的虎友，赠送小虎玩偶1对🍀幸运奖：从所有参与的虎友中随机抽取1位虎友，赠送新款帆布袋1个【特别说明】每位虎友仅有一次获奖机会，不可重复获奖。请确保你的歌词内容健康、积极，符合七夕节日氛围。在这个七夕，让我们用情歌对唱，邀请朋友一起唱出爱的旋律，🎶💑🎉 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应该问题不大，我期权平了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/332496048173280","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318622110130344,"gmtCreate":1718802053443,"gmtModify":1718802055568,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"10周年活动多多[强][强][强]","listText":"10周年活动多多[强][强][强]","text":"10周年活动多多[强][强][强]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318622110130344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":889,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":318621640396992,"gmtCreate":1718801938911,"gmtModify":1718801940463,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/318621640396992","repostId":"318532689334344","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":318532689334344,"gmtCreate":1718776033485,"gmtModify":1718785803096,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【老虎十周年】10年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？","htmlText":"你是否还记得，十年前你第一次踏入股市时的那份激动与期待？或许那时的你，对投资还一知半解，但凭借着一腔热血以及财富增长的渴望，你选择了与老虎同行。十年来，我们一起经历了市场的风风雨雨，从懵懂的新手成长为稳健的投资者。那些你曾经持有的股票，有的可能已经翻了几倍，有的可能还在耐心等待它的春天今天，小虎君想邀请广大虎友回顾过去，分享自己的投资故事。10年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？你是否还记得自己持有最久的股票是哪只？以及盈利最多的股票是哪一只吗？【参与方式】在本帖下方留言，分享你持有时间最长的股票和收益最多的股票。分享你在这十年中最大的投资收获，或是最深刻的投资教训。如何在评论区发布晒单？本帖评论区，选择“持仓”按钮，点击“分享”，即可解锁萌萌的小虎表情包。【活动奖励】每一位参与晒单的虎友，将获得10虎币作为奖励。🍀幸运虎友：我们将在参与晒单的虎友中随机选取3位幸运虎友赠送小脑斧一只👑 盈利王：晒单收益最高的虎友，将获得老虎十周年限定周边磁吸卡套一个【活动时间】2024年6月19日-2024年6月26日 抓紧时间，分享你的收益，赢取丰厚奖励！ <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>","listText":"你是否还记得，十年前你第一次踏入股市时的那份激动与期待？或许那时的你，对投资还一知半解，但凭借着一腔热血以及财富增长的渴望，你选择了与老虎同行。十年来，我们一起经历了市场的风风雨雨，从懵懂的新手成长为稳健的投资者。那些你曾经持有的股票，有的可能已经翻了几倍，有的可能还在耐心等待它的春天今天，小虎君想邀请广大虎友回顾过去，分享自己的投资故事。10年，你在老虎赚了多少钱？你是否还记得自己持有最久的股票是哪只？以及盈利最多的股票是哪一只吗？【参与方式】在本帖下方留言，分享你持有时间最长的股票和收益最多的股票。分享你在这十年中最大的投资收获，或是最深刻的投资教训。如何在评论区发布晒单？本帖评论区，选择“持仓”按钮，点击“分享”，即可解锁萌萌的小虎表情包。【活动奖励】每一位参与晒单的虎友，将获得10虎币作为奖励。🍀幸运虎友：我们将在参与晒单的虎友中随机选取3位幸运虎友赠送小脑斧一只👑 盈利王：晒单收益最高的虎友，将获得老虎十周年限定周边磁吸卡套一个【活动时间】2024年6月19日-2024年6月26日 抓紧时间，分享你的收益，赢取丰厚奖励！ <a 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左右。日央行放弃了收益率曲线控制（YCC）政策，但承诺继续以“大致相同的数量”购买日本政府债券。日央行将停止购买交易所交易基金(ETF)和日本房地产投资信托基金(J-REIT)。日央行承诺逐步减少购买商业票据和公司债券，目标是在一年左右停止这种做法。至此，全球负利率时代的正式终结（过去数年来，日本央行一直是全球仅剩的一家维持负利率的央行）。这一个历史性的转变，也是世界上最激进的货币宽松举措之一的最大幅度回落，该举措旨在使日本经济摆脱通缩螺旋。加息的开启或也默认未来日本的工资和物价同步上涨的良性循环有望实现。日本第一生命研究所首席经济学家熊野秀雄表示：“这是一项重大的政策转变，比我预期的要全面得多。”图片来源网络<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2420464123\" target=\"_blank\">推荐阅读</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2420464123\" target=\"_blank\">：《</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2420464123\" target=\"_blank\">日本央行政策调整七问七答》</a>2. 日本加息会对日股、日元等资产造成什么影响？有分析担心加息可能对日本股市造成短期冲击，或导致高估值的日股泡沫破灭。但更多的分析则认为，此次日本加息可能会为经济市场带来提振效果。中金公司分析，日本央行加息或不影响日股，历史显示本世纪唯二的两次日本央行加息周期对日本股票影响有限。在2000年的加息周期中，日经指数出现了下行，主要原因","text":"1. 全球负利率时代的正式终结日本央行于19日结束了为期二天的货币政策会议，并决定将政策利率设定在0%至0.1%区间，这是日本央行自2007年2月以来，时隔17年首次加息。日央行将短期利率从 -0.1% 上调至 0% 至 0.1% 左右。日央行放弃了收益率曲线控制（YCC）政策，但承诺继续以“大致相同的数量”购买日本政府债券。日央行将停止购买交易所交易基金(ETF)和日本房地产投资信托基金(J-REIT)。日央行承诺逐步减少购买商业票据和公司债券，目标是在一年左右停止这种做法。至此，全球负利率时代的正式终结（过去数年来，日本央行一直是全球仅剩的一家维持负利率的央行）。这一个历史性的转变，也是世界上最激进的货币宽松举措之一的最大幅度回落，该举措旨在使日本经济摆脱通缩螺旋。加息的开启或也默认未来日本的工资和物价同步上涨的良性循环有望实现。日本第一生命研究所首席经济学家熊野秀雄表示：“这是一项重大的政策转变，比我预期的要全面得多。”图片来源网络推荐阅读：《日本央行政策调整七问七答》2. 日本加息会对日股、日元等资产造成什么影响？有分析担心加息可能对日本股市造成短期冲击，或导致高估值的日股泡沫破灭。但更多的分析则认为，此次日本加息可能会为经济市场带来提振效果。中金公司分析，日本央行加息或不影响日股，历史显示本世纪唯二的两次日本央行加息周期对日本股票影响有限。在2000年的加息周期中，日经指数出现了下行，主要原因","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ee957356829144324f3d427c18269ee","width":"961","height":"601"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd8509a79df097d9996af274ac7ff648","width":"1059","height":"573"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a605d18b19b3bb85db5956011e7f33dd","width":"1000","height":"537"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/285996339388432","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":841,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":284681309503632,"gmtCreate":1710507979530,"gmtModify":1710508625167,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不咋看，微信视频无限刷到僵尸片","listText":"不咋看，微信视频无限刷到僵尸片","text":"不咋看，微信视频无限刷到僵尸片","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/284681309503632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":923,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":283494359326928,"gmtCreate":1710251385288,"gmtModify":1710254339250,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3572940235335615\">@船长每日观察</a>:美国利率-核心cpi＞0，是美联储停止加息的量化前瞻指标。至于美联储降息的量化前瞻指标，则是美国利率—核心CPI＝1.7%。前瞻时间约为3个月左右。","listText":"//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3572940235335615\">@船长每日观察</a>:美国利率-核心cpi＞0，是美联储停止加息的量化前瞻指标。至于美联储降息的量化前瞻指标，则是美国利率—核心CPI＝1.7%。前瞻时间约为3个月左右。","text":"//@船长每日观察:美国利率-核心cpi＞0，是美联储停止加息的量化前瞻指标。至于美联储降息的量化前瞻指标，则是美国利率—核心CPI＝1.7%。前瞻时间约为3个月左右。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/283494359326928","repostId":"283451705221128","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":283451705221128,"gmtCreate":1710230461291,"gmtModify":1710230464084,"author":{"id":"3572940235335615","authorId":"3572940235335615","name":"船长每日观察","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b47020634cb2c8e681a18404e408819","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3572940235335615","authorIdStr":"3572940235335615"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"预计今晚美国通胀名义CPI从3.1%反弹至3.2%，核心CPI从3.9%降至3.8%，实际利率保持在之前预判的1.7%（5.5%-3.8%）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ </a>&nbsp; 这个实际利率是走钢丝的极端平衡点，既不利好降息，也不利好加息，只能等待继续煎熬经济<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GC2404\">$黄金2404(GC2404)$ </a>&nbsp; 假如今晚滞胀继续验证，乐观降息预期暴击，日本加息预期推迟，黄金/股市/债市又要迎来暴跌再暴涨的绞肉机。希望黄金能给一个1950美元/盎司之下的机会<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDJPY.FOREX\">$美元/日元(USDJPY.FOREX)$ </a>&nbsp;","listText":"预计今晚美国通胀名义CPI从3.1%反弹至3.2%，核心CPI从3.9%降至3.8%，实际利率保持在之前预判的1.7%（5.5%-3.8%）<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/US10Y.BOND\">$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ </a>&nbsp; 这个实际利率是走钢丝的极端平衡点，既不利好降息，也不利好加息，只能等待继续煎熬经济<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/GC2404\">$黄金2404(GC2404)$ </a>&nbsp; 假如今晚滞胀继续验证，乐观降息预期暴击，日本加息预期推迟，黄金/股市/债市又要迎来暴跌再暴涨的绞肉机。希望黄金能给一个1950美元/盎司之下的机会<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/USDJPY.FOREX\">$美元/日元(USDJPY.FOREX)$ </a>&nbsp;","text":"预计今晚美国通胀名义CPI从3.1%反弹至3.2%，核心CPI从3.9%降至3.8%，实际利率保持在之前预判的1.7%（5.5%-3.8%）$美国10年期国债收益率(US10Y.BOND)$ 这个实际利率是走钢丝的极端平衡点，既不利好降息，也不利好加息，只能等待继续煎熬经济$黄金2404(GC2404)$ 假如今晚滞胀继续验证，乐观降息预期暴击，日本加息预期推迟，黄金/股市/债市又要迎来暴跌再暴涨的绞肉机。希望黄金能给一个1950美元/盎司之下的机会$美元/日元(USDJPY.FOREX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/283451705221128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1637,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":280609256444136,"gmtCreate":1709529671523,"gmtModify":1709529675678,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"title":"新兴市场投资机会","htmlText":"查看详情： <a 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此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff98eccfaff055c5a7c86bee57069e0c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/280609256444136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":858,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":271619688865976,"gmtCreate":1707317884783,"gmtModify":1707317887025,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"title":"中概股专题","htmlText":"查看详情： <a href=\"https://www.itigerup.com/marketing/buychina?actionID=fdeabc85706fb6b08381342cccd9ec72&amp;skin=1&amp;os=iOS&amp;account_id=497350&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=127eb1d2ce9e2bdebe9c9becf2f8d3c8&amp;invite=V68IY&amp;lang=zh_CN\">中概股专题</a> 中概股政策频发：释放抄底信号？ 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户","listText":"查看详情： <a href=\"https://www.itigerup.com/marketing/buychina?actionID=fdeabc85706fb6b08381342cccd9ec72&amp;skin=1&amp;os=iOS&amp;account_id=497350&amp;utm_medium=tiger_community&amp;platform=iOS&amp;shareID=127eb1d2ce9e2bdebe9c9becf2f8d3c8&amp;invite=V68IY&amp;lang=zh_CN\">中概股专题</a> 中概股政策频发：释放抄底信号？ 此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户","text":"查看详情： 中概股专题 中概股政策频发：释放抄底信号？ 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此帖仅开放于中国大陆用户","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff98eccfaff055c5a7c86bee57069e0c"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/271482803060976","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":895,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":264906401599608,"gmtCreate":1705696820878,"gmtModify":1705696821995,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/264906401599608","repostId":"264707843936280","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":264707843936280,"gmtCreate":1705647323878,"gmtModify":1705660203033,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36984908995200","authorIdStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"【有奖活动】普通人存够多少钱可以退休？","htmlText":"你有没有想过，到底需要存多少钱才能财富自由，安心退休呢？麻省理工的威廉·班根教授曾提出了FIRE理论——Financial 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Early（财务自由，早日退休）核心理论是4%原则和25倍原则。简单来说就是每年从退休金里面提取的钱不超过4%，当你的储蓄达到年度花销的25倍时，你就可以光荣的退休了。你觉得这个原理对于你有效吗？你认为普通人存够多少钱可以退休？欢迎各位虎友分享自己的观点，赢取老虎周边。📌参与方式在评论区留言！并艾特你的朋友来参与活动，同时转发本贴！在评论中分享你认为普通人存够多少钱可以退休？讲述你的投资小妙招或理财经验🎁活动奖品：所有参与评论的虎友都将获得5虎币💰💰💰。🌟人气奖：在评论区得到最多点赞的朋友将获得老虎魔方一个（快来邀请你的朋友给你点赞吧）🍀幸运奖：我们还会从评论区随机选出一位幸运虎友赠予老虎周边一个⏰活动时间：2024年1月19日至2024年1月26日 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Inc.(TLRY)$拿了半年昨晚刚卖，不知道还会不会继续给面子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/831016819","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3545,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3499865111268613","authorId":"3499865111268613","name":"鲜嫩de韭菜","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97a7506e480ea39663d893672185df5a","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3499865111268613","authorIdStr":"3499865111268613"},"content":"刚刚准备起飞你卖了","text":"刚刚准备起飞你卖了","html":"刚刚准备起飞你卖了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616234203,"gmtCreate":1651764867703,"gmtModify":1651764867703,"author":{"id":"3516061987066505","authorId":"3516061987066505","name":"宁静的星星lifetol","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3516061987066505","authorIdStr":"3516061987066505"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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股神巴菲特将市场利率比成资本市场的引力，70年代末，80年代初，短期的无风险利率超过20%，也就是如果人们把钱放到银行里面，就能有20%的利息收，如果这个时候一个成熟的公司去年赚了1亿，但是公司的市场价值超过了15亿，也就是我们平时说的15倍的市盈率，在不考虑企业成长等复杂问题的情况下，这样的公司实际上是高估很多的，正常来讲，人们选择投资公司，而不是无风险收益的存款，为了是获得更高的回报，那也就说，收益率至少要高过短期无风险利率吧，3倍或者4倍的市盈率水平会比较合适，也就说在20%的短期无风险利率环境下，一个成熟企业的估值也就是3，4倍的市盈率。一个年盈利一亿美元的公司股票，市值大概不会超过4亿美元。 反过来，同样的道理，换到现在，市场的短期无风险利率只有2%的时候，一个15倍市盈率的成熟企业，看起来就没有那么贵了。也就是说，两个相同/相似的公司，例如一个一年赚1亿美元的成熟公司，在20%的短期无风险利率环境下，公司的市值可能只有3，4亿美元，而在2%的短期无风险利率环境下，公司的市值甚至是可以超过15亿美元。也就说公司的市值在不同的利率环境下，资本市场给予的估值可以是天壤之别的。 2. 美国资本市场的利率水平 美国社会的短期利率水平，很大程度上取决于美国的联邦基准利率，这一利率是银行之间的拆借利率，美联储每年都会有几次会议来设定联邦基准利率的目标，同样的，对于普通人来讲，短期存款利率的水平也和联邦基金利率保持长期的一致。短期利率也就反映出对于普通人来讲可能获得的最容易获得的短期回报率水平","text":"上一次我说了，炒股不要只看特朗普，还是要多看美联储，的确，特朗普的推特对于市场有着巨大的影响，但这种影响更多的是短期的，在资本市场里，对于市场更长期的影响，除了企业的基本面因素外，最为重要的就是市场的利率水平了。而对于市场利率有着最大影响的，无疑是美联储。 1. 从资本市场理解利率的影响 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