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蚊子的倩影
2021-10-20
$PayPal(PYPL)$
为啥收购股价会跌,不好的话不收购不就可以吗
蚊子的倩影
2019-12-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
为什么我买了就要降??
蚊子的倩影
2021-03-30
$京东(JD)$
$苹果(AAPL)$
nnvda 问下各位中概股会被退市吗?
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
n
蚊子的倩影
2020-03-10
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
能交易了?
蚊子的倩影
2020-03-10
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
现在能交易了吗
蚊子的倩影
2019-12-30
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
亏死!准备不做了,
蚊子的倩影
2019-12-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
这周要到420
蚊子的倩影
2021-03-30
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$
请问中概股会被退市吗?
蚊子的倩影
2020-12-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
我去前所未见,这合法吗
蚊子的倩影
10-24
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入,美国银行力荐这些股
蚊子的倩影
2021-02-01
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@谋定后动:【月入一万美元的期权实战策略】“薅机构的羊毛”(1月篇)
蚊子的倩影
2021-01-07
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
磕药了
蚊子的倩影
2020-12-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
期权可以盘前盘后交易的话会怎么样?
蚊子的倩影
2020-12-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
Wc
蚊子的倩影
2020-12-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
wo ni ma
蚊子的倩影
2020-11-05
写的太牛了
@互联网怪盗团:可悲的民调,到底错在了哪里?
蚊子的倩影
2020-11-04
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
期货涨疯了,t赢了
蚊子的倩影
2020-08-26
$拼多多(PDD)$
只是一个电子商务平台完全靠低价竞争,像美团滴滴一样只是整合了资源,这样的企业以后怎么办?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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11:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入,美国银行力荐这些股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186964429","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。</p><p>分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示:“在当前环境下,我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司,尤其是中游公司。”她补充说,天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。</p><p>她还表示:“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善;我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气(LNG)需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说,市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。</p><h2>以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。</h2><h3>美国银行推荐的天然气股票</h3><table><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>代号</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>名称</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>股息收益率</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>年初至今涨幅 (%)</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>EPD</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a></strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.3%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>9.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>ET</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>18.3%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>KMI</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>4.7%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>39.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>WMB</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>3.6%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>50.2%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>TRGP</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRGP\">Targa Resources Corp</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>1.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>92.1%</strong></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><br/><em>来源: Bank of America, FactSet</em></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a> 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61d769ef89fca79f8d5f37cb0332b17f\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>美国银行表示,Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额,并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。</p><p>Salisbury团队表示:“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓(我们预计会放缓),潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大,超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说,公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。</p><p>华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度,根据LSEG的数据,19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外,Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业,享有特殊的税收待遇,允许它提供较高的股息收益。</p><p>有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税,但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。</p><p>由于这种优惠的税收待遇,这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而,不利的一面是,投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格,详细列出其收入,使得报税季节变得复杂。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元,相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年,该公司股价已上涨18%,股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。</p><p>Salisbury团队指出:“即便在油价走软的环境下,与其未来可支付的现金流相比,这只股票依然便宜,尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”</p><p>美国银行还强调了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合,在多个地区拥有独特资产,随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长,所需资本支出较低”。</p><p>Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施,Salisbury团队表示,如果项目推进,将为公司带来上涨潜力。</p><p>华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好,根据LSEG的数据,94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>最后,美国银行提到了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> ,称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元,相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a4fd4f15e68a8bde72992b97d4d647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。</p><p>随着天然气需求的上升,美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道,而不是新建的管道。</p><p>美国银行表示:“我们预计到2025年, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目,这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区(针对Kinder Morgan)以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区(针对Williams Companies)的新需求建设。”</p><p><em>文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入,美国银行力荐这些股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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class=\"title\">\n防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入,美国银行力荐这些股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-24 11:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。</p><p>分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示:“在当前环境下,我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司,尤其是中游公司。”她补充说,天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。</p><p>她还表示:“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善;我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气(LNG)需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说,市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。</p><h2>以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。</h2><h3>美国银行推荐的天然气股票</h3><table><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>代号</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>名称</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>股息收益率</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>年初至今涨幅 (%)</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>EPD</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a></strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.3%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>9.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>ET</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>18.3%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>KMI</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>4.7%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>39.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>WMB</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>3.6%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>50.2%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>TRGP</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRGP\">Targa Resources Corp</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>1.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>92.1%</strong></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><br/><em>来源: Bank of America, FactSet</em></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a> 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61d769ef89fca79f8d5f37cb0332b17f\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>美国银行表示,Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额,并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。</p><p>Salisbury团队表示:“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓(我们预计会放缓),潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大,超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说,公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。</p><p>华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度,根据LSEG的数据,19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外,Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业,享有特殊的税收待遇,允许它提供较高的股息收益。</p><p>有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税,但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。</p><p>由于这种优惠的税收待遇,这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而,不利的一面是,投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格,详细列出其收入,使得报税季节变得复杂。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元,相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年,该公司股价已上涨18%,股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。</p><p>Salisbury团队指出:“即便在油价走软的环境下,与其未来可支付的现金流相比,这只股票依然便宜,尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”</p><p>美国银行还强调了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合,在多个地区拥有独特资产,随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长,所需资本支出较低”。</p><p>Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施,Salisbury团队表示,如果项目推进,将为公司带来上涨潜力。</p><p>华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好,根据LSEG的数据,94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>最后,美国银行提到了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> ,称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元,相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a4fd4f15e68a8bde72992b97d4d647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。</p><p>随着天然气需求的上升,美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道,而不是新建的管道。</p><p>美国银行表示:“我们预计到2025年, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目,这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区(针对Kinder Morgan)以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区(针对Williams Companies)的新需求建设。”</p><p><em>文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c6de02b8edeeff7e4bd0c782fd557d6","relate_stocks":{"WMB":"威廉姆斯","KMI":"金德尔摩根","TRGP":"Targa Resources Corp","ET":"Energy Transfer LP"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186964429","content_text":"根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示:“在当前环境下,我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司,尤其是中游公司。”她补充说,天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。她还表示:“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善;我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气(LNG)需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说,市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。美国银行推荐的天然气股票代号名称股息收益率年初至今涨幅 (%)EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P7.3%9.7%ETEnergy Transfer LP7.8%18.3%KMI金德尔摩根4.7%39.7%WMB威廉姆斯3.6%50.2%TRGPTarga Resources Corp1.8%92.1%来源: Bank of America, FactSetEnterprise Products Partners L.P 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。美国银行表示,Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额,并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。Salisbury团队表示:“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓(我们预计会放缓),潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大,超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说,公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度,根据LSEG的数据,19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外,Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业,享有特殊的税收待遇,允许它提供较高的股息收益。有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税,但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。由于这种优惠的税收待遇,这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而,不利的一面是,投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格,详细列出其收入,使得报税季节变得复杂。Energy Transfer LP是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元,相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年,该公司股价已上涨18%,股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。Salisbury团队指出:“即便在油价走软的环境下,与其未来可支付的现金流相比,这只股票依然便宜,尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”美国银行还强调了 Energy Transfer LP的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合,在多个地区拥有独特资产,随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长,所需资本支出较低”。Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施,Salisbury团队表示,如果项目推进,将为公司带来上涨潜力。华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好,根据LSEG的数据,94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。最后,美国银行提到了 金德尔摩根 ,称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元,相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。随着天然气需求的上升,美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道,而不是新建的管道。美国银行表示:“我们预计到2025年, 金德尔摩根 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目,这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区(针对Kinder Morgan)以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区(针对Williams Companies)的新需求建设。”文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853052902,"gmtCreate":1634744586152,"gmtModify":1634744586152,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3515668592526498","idStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$</a>为啥收购股价会跌,不好的话不收购不就可以吗","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">$PayPal(PYPL)$</a>为啥收购股价会跌,不好的话不收购不就可以吗","text":"$PayPal(PYPL)$为啥收购股价会跌,不好的话不收购不就可以吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853052902","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3548820442323795","authorId":"3548820442323795","name":"御香戏红尘","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3548820442323795","idStr":"3548820442323795"},"content":"金融公司,收购以后现金流会下降。","text":"金融公司,收购以后现金流会下降。","html":"金融公司,收购以后现金流会下降。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355129433,"gmtCreate":1617038606722,"gmtModify":1617038606722,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3515668592526498","idStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>请问中概股会被退市吗?","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$</a>请问中概股会被退市吗?","text":"$阿里巴巴(BABA)$请问中概股会被退市吗?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/355129433","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2019,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":355129237,"gmtCreate":1617038512929,"gmtModify":1617038512929,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3515668592526498","idStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>nnvda 问下各位中概股会被退市吗?<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>n","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>nnvda 问下各位中概股会被退市吗?<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>n","text":"$京东(JD)$ $苹果(AAPL)$nnvda 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/339176676\" target=\"_blank\">“以时间换取空间”,稳定月入一万美元的期权实战策略</a>,获得了虎友们的热烈捧场,第一天的阅读量就破2万,一度冲上了老虎社区当周的热榜第三名[龇牙] 。很多虎友给了我很有价值的留言,有的善意地提醒我这个策略里的风险控制问题,有的指正了我概念上的错误,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/740450932848\">@33_Tiger</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553549596086527\">@小白韭</a> 还打赏了虎币。在此,我向各位点赞转发关注留言打赏的虎友们一一谢过了[抱拳] 。这个期权策略其实我仍然在不断的摸索和打磨中,希望能不断完善,从而给我带来稳定的收入。多听听各位虎友的意见也是我学习的途径之一。我准备以后每个月的最后一天都发表这样一份月度总结,公开我运用这个策略的操作和持仓,分享我的感受和领悟,希望借此机会和各位虎友共同进步,一起赚钱[美金] 。期权策略概述策略名称: 裸卖看跌期权(Naked Put Selling)账户本金: 30万美元标的正股: 特斯拉、英伟达、微软、苹果、Paypal、Facebook行权价: 对于特斯拉,选择当前股价减去20%以上的行权价,其他股票选减去10%以上的行权价。行权日期:3个星期以上建仓规律:每个正股每个星期最多卖出一次。遇到大的跌幅卖出较远期(6-12个星期)的期权,横盘整理时卖出较短期(3-6个星期)的期权,大涨的时候卧倒不动。简单地说,这个策略就是选好标的以后,卖出一个深度虚值的看跌期权,然后等待","listText":"我的上一篇拙文<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/339176676\" target=\"_blank\">“以时间换取空间”,稳定月入一万美元的期权实战策略</a>,获得了虎友们的热烈捧场,第一天的阅读量就破2万,一度冲上了老虎社区当周的热榜第三名[龇牙] 。很多虎友给了我很有价值的留言,有的善意地提醒我这个策略里的风险控制问题,有的指正了我概念上的错误,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/740450932848\">@33_Tiger</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553549596086527\">@小白韭</a> 还打赏了虎币。在此,我向各位点赞转发关注留言打赏的虎友们一一谢过了[抱拳] 。这个期权策略其实我仍然在不断的摸索和打磨中,希望能不断完善,从而给我带来稳定的收入。多听听各位虎友的意见也是我学习的途径之一。我准备以后每个月的最后一天都发表这样一份月度总结,公开我运用这个策略的操作和持仓,分享我的感受和领悟,希望借此机会和各位虎友共同进步,一起赚钱[美金] 。期权策略概述策略名称: 裸卖看跌期权(Naked Put Selling)账户本金: 30万美元标的正股: 特斯拉、英伟达、微软、苹果、Paypal、Facebook行权价: 对于特斯拉,选择当前股价减去20%以上的行权价,其他股票选减去10%以上的行权价。行权日期:3个星期以上建仓规律:每个正股每个星期最多卖出一次。遇到大的跌幅卖出较远期(6-12个星期)的期权,横盘整理时卖出较短期(3-6个星期)的期权,大涨的时候卧倒不动。简单地说,这个策略就是选好标的以后,卖出一个深度虚值的看跌期权,然后等待","text":"我的上一篇拙文“以时间换取空间”,稳定月入一万美元的期权实战策略,获得了虎友们的热烈捧场,第一天的阅读量就破2万,一度冲上了老虎社区当周的热榜第三名[龇牙] 。很多虎友给了我很有价值的留言,有的善意地提醒我这个策略里的风险控制问题,有的指正了我概念上的错误,@33_Tiger @小白韭 还打赏了虎币。在此,我向各位点赞转发关注留言打赏的虎友们一一谢过了[抱拳] 。这个期权策略其实我仍然在不断的摸索和打磨中,希望能不断完善,从而给我带来稳定的收入。多听听各位虎友的意见也是我学习的途径之一。我准备以后每个月的最后一天都发表这样一份月度总结,公开我运用这个策略的操作和持仓,分享我的感受和领悟,希望借此机会和各位虎友共同进步,一起赚钱[美金] 。期权策略概述策略名称: 裸卖看跌期权(Naked Put Selling)账户本金: 30万美元标的正股: 特斯拉、英伟达、微软、苹果、Paypal、Facebook行权价: 对于特斯拉,选择当前股价减去20%以上的行权价,其他股票选减去10%以上的行权价。行权日期:3个星期以上建仓规律:每个正股每个星期最多卖出一次。遇到大的跌幅卖出较远期(6-12个星期)的期权,横盘整理时卖出较短期(3-6个星期)的期权,大涨的时候卧倒不动。简单地说,这个策略就是选好标的以后,卖出一个深度虚值的看跌期权,然后等待","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a121d3df3a3b84ea9986d4f1e7e1b7","width":"1600","height":"1200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312018811","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1523,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":338454893,"gmtCreate":1609949459212,"gmtModify":1703741627423,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3515668592526498","idStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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我去前所未见,这合法吗","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397448830","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3142,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397449189,"gmtCreate":1608324739641,"gmtModify":1703852496438,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3515668592526498","idStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> Wc","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> Wc","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ Wc","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397449189","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1434,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397440244,"gmtCreate":1608324701588,"gmtModify":1703852495227,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3515668592526498","idStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>wo ni ma","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>wo ni ma","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$wo ni 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大选前的最后一组民调显示:拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点,在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在,无论战场州的结果如何,全国形势已经很明朗了:懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点,与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判,简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点(导致他错误地在此投入大量资源);认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开(其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点);认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固(其实三个州都处于胶着状态)…… 总而言之,这是一次民调失败的总记录,甚至比四年前的失败还彻底。四年前,民调机构还可以归咎于“十一月惊奇”(FBI重启邮件门调查),而今年没有这种惊奇了。过去四年,媒体和民调机构一直在反思自己的错误、改进民调取样方式,事实证明这一切都毫无作用;或许有副作用? 当然,懂王还没有赢得选举。拜登完全有可能后来居上,依靠邮寄选票险胜。但是,即便如此,民调还是彻头彻尾地错了,因为他们期待的是一场“蓝色巨浪”。某些愚蠢的媒体甚至讨论过拜登能不能复制里根在1984年创造的奇迹,把懂王的铁票统统翻过来。想多了。 538预测拜登的胜率高达89%,显然是严重高估了 千言万语,万语千言:民调不靠谱,谁信民调谁就傻了。那么,民调到底错在哪里了呢?换句话说,民调机构究竟应该如何改变,才能避免再次被羞辱呢? 对于这个问题,本怪盗团团长比较有发言权,因为我做过很多草根调研,其中既有成功的,也有失败的。让我印象最深刻的一场失败发生在四年多以前,恰恰是懂王第一次选举前三个月。当时我就职于某外资投行(名字就不点了),往返于北京和香港之间,看着一大堆靠谱或不靠谱的A股+港股小股票。","listText":"无论拜登能不能依靠邮寄选票实现翻盘、从而赢得大选(这种情况大概会是2000年重演),2020年大选的民调机构都会被钉在历史的耻辱柱上,供后世耻笑。 大选前的最后一组民调显示:拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点,在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在,无论战场州的结果如何,全国形势已经很明朗了:懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点,与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判,简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点(导致他错误地在此投入大量资源);认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开(其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点);认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固(其实三个州都处于胶着状态)…… 总而言之,这是一次民调失败的总记录,甚至比四年前的失败还彻底。四年前,民调机构还可以归咎于“十一月惊奇”(FBI重启邮件门调查),而今年没有这种惊奇了。过去四年,媒体和民调机构一直在反思自己的错误、改进民调取样方式,事实证明这一切都毫无作用;或许有副作用? 当然,懂王还没有赢得选举。拜登完全有可能后来居上,依靠邮寄选票险胜。但是,即便如此,民调还是彻头彻尾地错了,因为他们期待的是一场“蓝色巨浪”。某些愚蠢的媒体甚至讨论过拜登能不能复制里根在1984年创造的奇迹,把懂王的铁票统统翻过来。想多了。 538预测拜登的胜率高达89%,显然是严重高估了 千言万语,万语千言:民调不靠谱,谁信民调谁就傻了。那么,民调到底错在哪里了呢?换句话说,民调机构究竟应该如何改变,才能避免再次被羞辱呢? 对于这个问题,本怪盗团团长比较有发言权,因为我做过很多草根调研,其中既有成功的,也有失败的。让我印象最深刻的一场失败发生在四年多以前,恰恰是懂王第一次选举前三个月。当时我就职于某外资投行(名字就不点了),往返于北京和香港之间,看着一大堆靠谱或不靠谱的A股+港股小股票。","text":"无论拜登能不能依靠邮寄选票实现翻盘、从而赢得大选(这种情况大概会是2000年重演),2020年大选的民调机构都会被钉在历史的耻辱柱上,供后世耻笑。 大选前的最后一组民调显示:拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点,在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在,无论战场州的结果如何,全国形势已经很明朗了:懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点,与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判,简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点(导致他错误地在此投入大量资源);认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开(其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点);认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固(其实三个州都处于胶着状态)…… 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11:16","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入,美国银行力荐这些股","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186964429","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。</p><p>分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示:“在当前环境下,我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司,尤其是中游公司。”她补充说,天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。</p><p>她还表示:“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善;我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气(LNG)需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说,市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。</p><h2>以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。</h2><h3>美国银行推荐的天然气股票</h3><table><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>代号</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>名称</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>股息收益率</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>年初至今涨幅 (%)</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>EPD</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a></strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.3%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>9.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>ET</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>18.3%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>KMI</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>4.7%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>39.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>WMB</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>3.6%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>50.2%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>TRGP</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRGP\">Targa Resources Corp</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>1.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>92.1%</strong></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><br/><em>来源: Bank of America, FactSet</em></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a> 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61d769ef89fca79f8d5f37cb0332b17f\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>美国银行表示,Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额,并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。</p><p>Salisbury团队表示:“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓(我们预计会放缓),潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大,超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说,公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。</p><p>华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度,根据LSEG的数据,19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外,Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业,享有特殊的税收待遇,允许它提供较高的股息收益。</p><p>有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税,但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。</p><p>由于这种优惠的税收待遇,这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而,不利的一面是,投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格,详细列出其收入,使得报税季节变得复杂。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元,相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年,该公司股价已上涨18%,股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。</p><p>Salisbury团队指出:“即便在油价走软的环境下,与其未来可支付的现金流相比,这只股票依然便宜,尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”</p><p>美国银行还强调了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合,在多个地区拥有独特资产,随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长,所需资本支出较低”。</p><p>Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施,Salisbury团队表示,如果项目推进,将为公司带来上涨潜力。</p><p>华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好,根据LSEG的数据,94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>最后,美国银行提到了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> ,称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元,相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a4fd4f15e68a8bde72992b97d4d647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。</p><p>随着天然气需求的上升,美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道,而不是新建的管道。</p><p>美国银行表示:“我们预计到2025年, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目,这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区(针对Kinder Morgan)以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区(针对Williams Companies)的新需求建设。”</p><p><em>文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入,美国银行力荐这些股</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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class=\"title\">\n防御型股票能提供稳定的股息收入,美国银行力荐这些股\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-10-24 11:16</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。</p><p>分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示:“在当前环境下,我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司,尤其是中游公司。”她补充说,天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。</p><p>她还表示:“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善;我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气(LNG)需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说,市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。</p><h2>以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。</h2><h3>美国银行推荐的天然气股票</h3><table><colgroup><col/><col/><col/><col/></colgroup><tbody><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>代号</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>名称</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>股息收益率</p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p>年初至今涨幅 (%)</p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>EPD</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a></strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.3%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>9.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>ET</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>7.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>18.3%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>KMI</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>4.7%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>39.7%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>WMB</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>3.6%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>50.2%</strong></p></td></tr><tr><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>TRGP</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRGP\">Targa Resources Corp</a></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>1.8%</strong></p></td><td colspan=\"1\" rowspan=\"1\"><p><strong>92.1%</strong></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p><br/><em>来源: Bank of America, FactSet</em></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EPD\">Enterprise Products Partners L.P</a> 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/61d769ef89fca79f8d5f37cb0332b17f\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>美国银行表示,Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额,并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。</p><p>Salisbury团队表示:“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓(我们预计会放缓),潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大,超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说,公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。</p><p>华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度,根据LSEG的数据,19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外,Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业,享有特殊的税收待遇,允许它提供较高的股息收益。</p><p>有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税,但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。</p><p>由于这种优惠的税收待遇,这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而,不利的一面是,投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格,详细列出其收入,使得报税季节变得复杂。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元,相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年,该公司股价已上涨18%,股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。</p><p>Salisbury团队指出:“即便在油价走软的环境下,与其未来可支付的现金流相比,这只股票依然便宜,尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”</p><p>美国银行还强调了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ET\">Energy Transfer LP</a>的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合,在多个地区拥有独特资产,随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长,所需资本支出较低”。</p><p>Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施,Salisbury团队表示,如果项目推进,将为公司带来上涨潜力。</p><p>华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好,根据LSEG的数据,94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。</p><p>最后,美国银行提到了 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> ,称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元,相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img width=\"560\" height=\"240\" src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/20a4fd4f15e68a8bde72992b97d4d647\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/><span></span></p><p>今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。</p><p>随着天然气需求的上升,美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道,而不是新建的管道。</p><p>美国银行表示:“我们预计到2025年, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KMI\">金德尔摩根</a> 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目,这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区(针对Kinder Morgan)以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区(针对Williams Companies)的新需求建设。”</p><p><em>文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/2c6de02b8edeeff7e4bd0c782fd557d6","relate_stocks":{"WMB":"威廉姆斯","KMI":"金德尔摩根","TRGP":"Targa Resources Corp","ET":"Energy Transfer LP"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186964429","content_text":"根据美国银行的分析,数据中心的电力需求可能会推动与天然气运输和储存相关的公司,而这对一些同时支付高额股息的股票是利好消息。分析师Jean Ann Salisbury在10月17日的报告中表示:“在当前环境下,我们更青睐与天然气相关的公司,尤其是中游公司。”她补充说,天然气液化中的中游领域“相对具有防御性”。她还表示:“短期内的天然气供应过剩掩盖了中期前景的改善;我们预计2025年数据中心开发和液化天然气(LNG)需求的出现将成为正面催化剂。”她补充说,市场尚未完全认识到这些公司创造自由现金流的潜力。以下是Salisbury团队推荐的一些买入评级的股票。美国银行推荐的天然气股票代号名称股息收益率年初至今涨幅 (%)EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P7.3%9.7%ETEnergy Transfer LP7.8%18.3%KMI金德尔摩根4.7%39.7%WMB威廉姆斯3.6%50.2%TRGPTarga Resources Corp1.8%92.1%来源: Bank of America, FactSetEnterprise Products Partners L.P 位列其中。美国银行给予的目标价为35美元,相较于周二的收盘价有20%的上涨空间。美国银行表示,Enterprise Products可以保持其在二叠纪盆地天然气液体增长中的市场份额,并增加了“亟需的”液化石油气/乙烷出口能力。Salisbury团队表示:“如果资本支出在此次扩建结束时放缓(我们预计会放缓),潜在的现金流支付将非常庞大,超过每股3.3美元。”Salisbury 的团队还补充说,公司已经将债务减少到了同行业低端水平。华尔街普遍对Enterprise Products持积极态度,根据LSEG的数据,19位分析师中有17位给出了买入或强烈买入评级。截至2024年,股价已上涨9.5%,并提供了7.3%的股息收益率。此外,Enterprise Products是一家有限合伙企业,享有特殊的税收待遇,允许它提供较高的股息收益。有限合伙企业无需缴纳联邦所得税,但其有限合伙人——即投资者——需要对分配的收入缴税。这与C类公司不同,C类公司需缴纳公司所得税,股东则需为其收到的股息缴税。由于这种优惠的税收待遇,这些合伙企业可以提供更高的收益率。然而,不利的一面是,投资者通常会收到一份K-1表格,详细列出其收入,使得报税季节变得复杂。Energy Transfer LP是美国银行名单上另一只获得买入评级的管道公司。该公司的目标价为20美元,相较于周二的收盘价有22%的上涨空间。截至2024年,该公司股价已上涨18%,股息收益率为7.8%。它也是一家有限合伙企业。Salisbury团队指出:“即便在油价走软的环境下,与其未来可支付的现金流相比,这只股票依然便宜,尤其是在资本支出或并购活动稍有放缓的情况下。”美国银行还强调了 Energy Transfer LP的这些方面——“稳固的基础资产组合,在多个地区拥有独特资产,随着天然气液体/原油产量以低个位数增长,所需资本支出较低”。Energy Transfer还在美国路易斯安那州的查尔斯湖开发一个液化天然气出口设施,Salisbury团队表示,如果项目推进,将为公司带来上涨潜力。华尔街对Energy Transfer也颇为看好,根据LSEG的数据,94%的分析师对该股给予其买入或强烈买入评级。最后,美国银行提到了 金德尔摩根 ,称其是“2025年美国天然气长期需求拐点的主要受益者之一”。该投行给予其的目标价为27美元,相较于周二的收盘价有近9%的上涨空间。今年,Kinder Morgan的股价已上涨近40%,股息收益率为4.7%。随着天然气需求的上升,美国银行认为现有的天然气管道将迎来正面催化因素——即已经是现有设施一部分的管道,而不是新建的管道。美国银行表示:“我们预计到2025年, 金德尔摩根 和Williams Companies将宣布多个有吸引力的项目,这些项目将推动亚利桑那州、德克萨斯州、中西部地区(针对Kinder Morgan)以及东海岸或太平洋西北地区(针对Williams Companies)的新需求建设。”文章源自CNBC《Defensive stocks offer solid dividend yields. Bank of America likes these names》","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":353,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315031541,"gmtCreate":1612189409083,"gmtModify":1703758516700,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515668592526498","authorIdStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/315031541","repostId":"312018811","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":312018811,"gmtCreate":1611972169233,"gmtModify":1703757199766,"author":{"id":"3556673506813374","authorId":"3556673506813374","name":"谋定后动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/865a6ec8ea0c03d186fb7dab736911ae","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3556673506813374","authorIdStr":"3556673506813374"},"themes":[],"title":"【月入一万美元的期权实战策略】“薅机构的羊毛”(1月篇)","htmlText":"我的上一篇拙文<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/339176676\" target=\"_blank\">“以时间换取空间”,稳定月入一万美元的期权实战策略</a>,获得了虎友们的热烈捧场,第一天的阅读量就破2万,一度冲上了老虎社区当周的热榜第三名[龇牙] 。很多虎友给了我很有价值的留言,有的善意地提醒我这个策略里的风险控制问题,有的指正了我概念上的错误,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/740450932848\">@33_Tiger</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553549596086527\">@小白韭</a> 还打赏了虎币。在此,我向各位点赞转发关注留言打赏的虎友们一一谢过了[抱拳] 。这个期权策略其实我仍然在不断的摸索和打磨中,希望能不断完善,从而给我带来稳定的收入。多听听各位虎友的意见也是我学习的途径之一。我准备以后每个月的最后一天都发表这样一份月度总结,公开我运用这个策略的操作和持仓,分享我的感受和领悟,希望借此机会和各位虎友共同进步,一起赚钱[美金] 。期权策略概述策略名称: 裸卖看跌期权(Naked Put Selling)账户本金: 30万美元标的正股: 特斯拉、英伟达、微软、苹果、Paypal、Facebook行权价: 对于特斯拉,选择当前股价减去20%以上的行权价,其他股票选减去10%以上的行权价。行权日期:3个星期以上建仓规律:每个正股每个星期最多卖出一次。遇到大的跌幅卖出较远期(6-12个星期)的期权,横盘整理时卖出较短期(3-6个星期)的期权,大涨的时候卧倒不动。简单地说,这个策略就是选好标的以后,卖出一个深度虚值的看跌期权,然后等待","listText":"我的上一篇拙文<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/339176676\" target=\"_blank\">“以时间换取空间”,稳定月入一万美元的期权实战策略</a>,获得了虎友们的热烈捧场,第一天的阅读量就破2万,一度冲上了老虎社区当周的热榜第三名[龇牙] 。很多虎友给了我很有价值的留言,有的善意地提醒我这个策略里的风险控制问题,有的指正了我概念上的错误,<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/740450932848\">@33_Tiger</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3553549596086527\">@小白韭</a> 还打赏了虎币。在此,我向各位点赞转发关注留言打赏的虎友们一一谢过了[抱拳] 。这个期权策略其实我仍然在不断的摸索和打磨中,希望能不断完善,从而给我带来稳定的收入。多听听各位虎友的意见也是我学习的途径之一。我准备以后每个月的最后一天都发表这样一份月度总结,公开我运用这个策略的操作和持仓,分享我的感受和领悟,希望借此机会和各位虎友共同进步,一起赚钱[美金] 。期权策略概述策略名称: 裸卖看跌期权(Naked Put Selling)账户本金: 30万美元标的正股: 特斯拉、英伟达、微软、苹果、Paypal、Facebook行权价: 对于特斯拉,选择当前股价减去20%以上的行权价,其他股票选减去10%以上的行权价。行权日期:3个星期以上建仓规律:每个正股每个星期最多卖出一次。遇到大的跌幅卖出较远期(6-12个星期)的期权,横盘整理时卖出较短期(3-6个星期)的期权,大涨的时候卧倒不动。简单地说,这个策略就是选好标的以后,卖出一个深度虚值的看跌期权,然后等待","text":"我的上一篇拙文“以时间换取空间”,稳定月入一万美元的期权实战策略,获得了虎友们的热烈捧场,第一天的阅读量就破2万,一度冲上了老虎社区当周的热榜第三名[龇牙] 。很多虎友给了我很有价值的留言,有的善意地提醒我这个策略里的风险控制问题,有的指正了我概念上的错误,@33_Tiger @小白韭 还打赏了虎币。在此,我向各位点赞转发关注留言打赏的虎友们一一谢过了[抱拳] 。这个期权策略其实我仍然在不断的摸索和打磨中,希望能不断完善,从而给我带来稳定的收入。多听听各位虎友的意见也是我学习的途径之一。我准备以后每个月的最后一天都发表这样一份月度总结,公开我运用这个策略的操作和持仓,分享我的感受和领悟,希望借此机会和各位虎友共同进步,一起赚钱[美金] 。期权策略概述策略名称: 裸卖看跌期权(Naked Put Selling)账户本金: 30万美元标的正股: 特斯拉、英伟达、微软、苹果、Paypal、Facebook行权价: 对于特斯拉,选择当前股价减去20%以上的行权价,其他股票选减去10%以上的行权价。行权日期:3个星期以上建仓规律:每个正股每个星期最多卖出一次。遇到大的跌幅卖出较远期(6-12个星期)的期权,横盘整理时卖出较短期(3-6个星期)的期权,大涨的时候卧倒不动。简单地说,这个策略就是选好标的以后,卖出一个深度虚值的看跌期权,然后等待","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6a121d3df3a3b84ea9986d4f1e7e1b7","width":"1600","height":"1200"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/312018811","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":10,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1523,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":338454893,"gmtCreate":1609949459212,"gmtModify":1703741627423,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515668592526498","authorIdStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>磕药了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a>磕药了","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$磕药了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/338454893","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397739767,"gmtCreate":1608340526459,"gmtModify":1703734800135,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515668592526498","authorIdStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>期权可以盘前盘后交易的话会怎么样?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>期权可以盘前盘后交易的话会怎么样?","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$期权可以盘前盘后交易的话会怎么样?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/397739767","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":397449189,"gmtCreate":1608324739641,"gmtModify":1703852496438,"author":{"id":"3515668592526498","authorId":"3515668592526498","name":"蚊子的倩影","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/becdc90004b3daf4d4605fc60ec255fe","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515668592526498","authorIdStr":"3515668592526498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> Wc","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> Wc","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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大选前的最后一组民调显示:拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点,在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在,无论战场州的结果如何,全国形势已经很明朗了:懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点,与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判,简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点(导致他错误地在此投入大量资源);认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开(其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点);认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固(其实三个州都处于胶着状态)…… 总而言之,这是一次民调失败的总记录,甚至比四年前的失败还彻底。四年前,民调机构还可以归咎于“十一月惊奇”(FBI重启邮件门调查),而今年没有这种惊奇了。过去四年,媒体和民调机构一直在反思自己的错误、改进民调取样方式,事实证明这一切都毫无作用;或许有副作用? 当然,懂王还没有赢得选举。拜登完全有可能后来居上,依靠邮寄选票险胜。但是,即便如此,民调还是彻头彻尾地错了,因为他们期待的是一场“蓝色巨浪”。某些愚蠢的媒体甚至讨论过拜登能不能复制里根在1984年创造的奇迹,把懂王的铁票统统翻过来。想多了。 538预测拜登的胜率高达89%,显然是严重高估了 千言万语,万语千言:民调不靠谱,谁信民调谁就傻了。那么,民调到底错在哪里了呢?换句话说,民调机构究竟应该如何改变,才能避免再次被羞辱呢? 对于这个问题,本怪盗团团长比较有发言权,因为我做过很多草根调研,其中既有成功的,也有失败的。让我印象最深刻的一场失败发生在四年多以前,恰恰是懂王第一次选举前三个月。当时我就职于某外资投行(名字就不点了),往返于北京和香港之间,看着一大堆靠谱或不靠谱的A股+港股小股票。","listText":"无论拜登能不能依靠邮寄选票实现翻盘、从而赢得大选(这种情况大概会是2000年重演),2020年大选的民调机构都会被钉在历史的耻辱柱上,供后世耻笑。 大选前的最后一组民调显示:拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点,在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在,无论战场州的结果如何,全国形势已经很明朗了:懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点,与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判,简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点(导致他错误地在此投入大量资源);认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开(其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点);认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固(其实三个州都处于胶着状态)…… 总而言之,这是一次民调失败的总记录,甚至比四年前的失败还彻底。四年前,民调机构还可以归咎于“十一月惊奇”(FBI重启邮件门调查),而今年没有这种惊奇了。过去四年,媒体和民调机构一直在反思自己的错误、改进民调取样方式,事实证明这一切都毫无作用;或许有副作用? 当然,懂王还没有赢得选举。拜登完全有可能后来居上,依靠邮寄选票险胜。但是,即便如此,民调还是彻头彻尾地错了,因为他们期待的是一场“蓝色巨浪”。某些愚蠢的媒体甚至讨论过拜登能不能复制里根在1984年创造的奇迹,把懂王的铁票统统翻过来。想多了。 538预测拜登的胜率高达89%,显然是严重高估了 千言万语,万语千言:民调不靠谱,谁信民调谁就傻了。那么,民调到底错在哪里了呢?换句话说,民调机构究竟应该如何改变,才能避免再次被羞辱呢? 对于这个问题,本怪盗团团长比较有发言权,因为我做过很多草根调研,其中既有成功的,也有失败的。让我印象最深刻的一场失败发生在四年多以前,恰恰是懂王第一次选举前三个月。当时我就职于某外资投行(名字就不点了),往返于北京和香港之间,看着一大堆靠谱或不靠谱的A股+港股小股票。","text":"无论拜登能不能依靠邮寄选票实现翻盘、从而赢得大选(这种情况大概会是2000年重演),2020年大选的民调机构都会被钉在历史的耻辱柱上,供后世耻笑。 大选前的最后一组民调显示:拜登在全国层面领先大约8个百分点,在战场州领先大约3个百分点。现在,无论战场州的结果如何,全国形势已经很明朗了:懂王仅仅落后1.6个百分点,与四年前相仿。高达6个百分点的错判,简直是不可饶恕的错误。 我们无需指出民调在部分战场州错的有多离谱——认为拜登在得克萨斯只落后2个百分点(导致他错误地在此投入大量资源);认为懂王在俄亥俄与拜登是五五开(其实懂王干脆利落地赢了8个百分点);认为拜登在铁锈地带的优势很稳固(其实三个州都处于胶着状态)…… 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