小嘉爱林颖的个人主页 - 老虎社区

小嘉爱林颖

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小嘉爱林颖

2022-04-13

又他妈放鹰

抱歉，原内容已删除

小嘉爱林颖

2022-04-10

我并不看好纳斯达克我认为回归就九千点差不多

小嘉爱林颖

2021-07-03

对

@iAm22:$维他奶国际(00345)$凉凉了[抠鼻] 。这维他奶一直就不觉得有多好喝啊。大陆地区销售额这么高啊

小嘉爱林颖

2021-06-30

嘉凯城

抱歉，原内容已删除

小嘉爱林颖

2021-06-30

你看一下恒大和许家印一共卖了多少资产

抱歉，原内容已删除

小嘉爱林颖

2021-06-30

切

恒大“三条红线”破局：一条已变绿

小嘉爱林颖

2020-04-20

求熔断

@墨羽青:$道琼斯(.DJI)$求求你熔断吧[流泪] [流泪] [流泪]

小嘉爱林颖

2020-03-13

特兄救市吧

抱歉，原内容已删除

小嘉爱林颖

2020-03-13

特兄

抱歉，原内容已删除

小嘉爱林颖

2020-03-13

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$不涨停不好意思

小嘉爱林颖

2020-03-13

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$放水了

小嘉爱林颖

2020-03-13

找死

@学习者0811:$道琼斯(.DJI)$5000亿？哈哈？饮鸩止渴

小嘉爱林颖

2020-03-02

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

【数据】美联储降息猜想叠加技术因素导致美股反弹

小嘉爱林颖

2019-11-26

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$ 嘿嘿

小嘉爱林颖

2019-11-26

$嘉楠科技(CAN)$ 呵呵了

小嘉爱林颖

2019-11-25

$周黑鸭(01458)$ 唉

小嘉爱林颖

2019-11-20

哦

@Nyuki:$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 别问了。就是这么回事

小嘉爱林颖

2019-11-08

$富国银行(WFC)$ 加油

小嘉爱林颖

2019-10-31

$苹果(AAPL)$ 唉看涨

小嘉爱林颖

2019-10-18

强条两天一根大阳线拉过去

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n恒大“三条红线”破局：一条已变绿\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-30 12:21 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1703963363512108418&wfr=spider&for=pc><strong>中新经纬</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>6月30日，恒大集团对外透露，截至目前恒大净负债率已降至100%以下，顺利实现一条“红线”变绿。\n\n2020年3月，恒大宣布实施“高增长、控规模、降负债”发展战略，要用最大的决心、最大的力度，推动负债持续大幅下降。本月初，恒大集团董事局主席许家印在战略合作伙伴年度交流会上曾表示，“到今年6月30日，恒大有息负债总额将降至5字头，至少实现一条红线变绿。”显然，恒大再次如期兑现了“承诺”。</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://baijiahao.baidu.com/s?id=1703963363512108418&wfr=spider&for=pc\">Web 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17:33","market":"fut","language":"zh","title":"【数据】美联储降息猜想叠加技术因素导致美股反弹","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2016435725","media":"CME","summary":"上个交易日（北京时间3月2日），E-迷你纳斯达克100（E-MINI NASDAQ100）NQU9合约涨141点（1.66%）；迷你标普500（E-MINI S&P500）ESU9合约涨41.75点（","content":"<html><body><div>\n<div>      上个交易日（北京时间3月2日），E-迷你纳斯达克100（E-MINI NASDAQ100）NQU9合约涨141点（1.66%）；迷你标普500（E-MINI S&amp;P500）ESU9合约涨41.75点（1.42%）；E-迷你道琼斯（E-MINI DOW）YMU9合约涨414点（1.63%）。 </div>\n<div>      随着美国股市连续7个交易日下跌，鲍威尔当地时间上周五下午表示，美联储正“密切监控”事态发展，“将使用其工具并酌情采取行动以支持经济。”　媒体解读，鲍威尔这一讲话“强烈暗示将在3月17-18日的FOMC（联邦公开市场委员会）会议上降息，甚至在这之前。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>预计，美联储将会在3月18日之前降息50个基点，第二季度进一步降息50个基点，共计降息100个基点。</div>\n<div>      国际衍生品智库分析师认为：美股连跌一周，今天反弹既是技术需要也是对美联储降息猜想的回应。但靠美联储降息手段能否扭转形势值得怀疑。近期形式微妙，短线可以观望。</div>\n<br/><br/><br/>免责条款<br/>\r\n本报告版权归“国际衍生品智库”所有。未经事先书面授权，任何人不得对本报告进行任何形式的发布、复制。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为“国际衍生品智库”，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的删节和修改。 本报告基于我公司及其研究人员认为可信的公开资料或实地调研资料，但我公司及其研究人员对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证，且本报告中的资料、意见、预测均反映报告初次公开发布时的判断，可能会随时调整。报告中的信息，以及所表达意见不构成投资、法律、会计或税务的最终操作建议，我们不就报告中的内容对最终操作建议做出任何担保。\r\n                            </div></body></html>","source":"sunedu","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>【数据】美联储降息猜想叠加技术因素导致美股反弹</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n【数据】美联储降息猜想叠加技术因素导致美股反弹\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-02 17:33 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/index.php?m=content&c=index&a=show&catid=10&id=19905><strong>CME</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>上个交易日（北京时间3月2日），E-迷你纳斯达克100（E-MINI NASDAQ100）NQU9合约涨141点（1.66%）；迷你标普500（E-MINI S&P500）ESU9合约涨41.75点（1.42%）；E-迷你道琼斯（E-MINI DOW）YMU9合约涨414点（1.63%）。 \n      随着美国股市连续7个交易日下跌，鲍威尔当地时间上周五下午表示，美联储正“密切监控”事态发展，“...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/index.php?m=content&c=index&a=show&catid=10&id=19905\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f9e9a265cb0e7e8cb195039b2fe24a4","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.sun-edu.cn/zhiku/index.php?m=content&c=index&a=show&catid=10&id=19905","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/f4194a6170df413b318136712477adde","article_id":"2016435725","content_text":"上个交易日（北京时间3月2日），E-迷你纳斯达克100（E-MINI NASDAQ100）NQU9合约涨141点（1.66%）；迷你标普500（E-MINI S&P500）ESU9合约涨41.75点（1.42%）；E-迷你道琼斯（E-MINI DOW）YMU9合约涨414点（1.63%）。 \n      随着美国股市连续7个交易日下跌，鲍威尔当地时间上周五下午表示，美联储正“密切监控”事态发展，“将使用其工具并酌情采取行动以支持经济。”　媒体解读，鲍威尔这一讲话“强烈暗示将在3月17-18日的FOMC（联邦公开市场委员会）会议上降息，甚至在这之前。”高盛预计，美联储将会在3月18日之前降息50个基点，第二季度进一步降息50个基点，共计降息100个基点。\n      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加油","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2129bba949964ad4bdd7a7001f2a7608","width":"1080","height":"1543"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/935062084","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1552,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":930542421,"gmtCreate":1568375980363,"gmtModify":1704717805187,"author":{"id":"3515161712549064","authorId":"3515161712549064","name":"小嘉爱林颖","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515161712549064","authorIdStr":"3515161712549064"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"做空它","listText":"做空它","text":"做空它","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/930542421","repostId":"1966162812","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1966162812","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"服务于对英国有兴趣且能独立思考的读者，只推有价值的投资讯息和原创分析，博主常驻伦敦","home_visible":1,"media_name":"英伦投资客","id":"1099700104","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a800fe709fbb42609d1cfed6b4099cb5"},"pubTimestamp":1568349960,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1966162812?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2019-09-13 12:46","market":"uk","language":"zh","title":"十动然拒！伦交所将拒绝香港，英媒披露两大原因","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1966162812","media":"英伦投资客","summary":"港交所想用296亿英镑（约2868亿港币，2600亿人民币）收购伦交所的世纪大交易，大家都知道了。\n\n都说是“世纪联姻”，但这笔交易目前还只是停留在“求婚”阶段，而且还是一场“意外求婚”。\n特别昨天消","content":"<p><span>港交所想用296亿英镑（约2868亿港币，2600亿人民币）收购伦交所的世纪大交易，大家都知道了。</span></p>\n<div>\n <p><span>都说是“世纪联姻”，但这笔交易目前还只是停留在“求婚”阶段，而且还是一场“意外求婚”。</span></p>\n <p><span>特别昨天消息刚出来的时候，伦交所说自己也是刚刚才知道这件事，慌忙表示会慎重考虑。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3662370730676cae710c19f914ad0e28\"></p>\n <p><span></span><span>据英国《每日电讯报》披露，伦交所事先并不知道港交所将要宣布此事，对这个收购要约没什么准备。</span></p>\n <p><span>过了一小时，伦交所才匆忙发出回应公告，表示港交所的提议是<strong>“未经请求的、初步的且高度有条件的”</strong>。</span></p>\n <p><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885b8d0afdb715f5cbce8035a130ceeb\"></span></p>\n <p><span>这边先简单解释一下，我看到国内媒体对这个交易报道很多，但大部分标题用的是，<span>港交所提议与伦交所合并。</span></span></p>\n <p><span>事实上是，港交所收购伦交所，这本质上就是一场收购。</span></p>\n <p><span>从操作上来看，这笔交易是由<span>港交所发行股份支付现金，</span></span><span>而不是伦交所发行股份支付现金，且收购案完成之后，港交所的控制权并没有发生实质性变化，但伦交所的控制权会发生重大变化。</span></p>\n <p><span>因此，这笔交易就是一场由港交所主动发起的收购，需要伦交所考虑清楚，点头同意才算数。</span></p>\n <p><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cab9e65b66c2ca9652285bfa973e731d\"></span></p>\n <p><span>对于这笔收购要约，还没等伦交所考虑清楚，《金融时报》就在今天率先披露，<strong>伦交所倾向于拒绝这笔交易</strong>，原因是担心</span><span>政治风险和交易结构，且伦交所致力于完成自己的重磅交易：以270亿美元收购数据和贸易集团路孚特（Refinitiv）。</span></p>\n <p><span>接近伦交所董事会的两名人士对《金融时报》表示，英国倾向于拒绝香港方面的提议。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e5193810ec6502d10e2d813c0f9640\"></p>\n <p><span>英国金融时报今日头版头条：伦敦证券交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSE.UK\">$(LSE.UK)$</a>将断然拒绝香港320英镑的收购提议</span><span></span></p>\n <p><span>值得一提的是，昨天港交所溢价23%收购伦交所的消息一出，伦交所的股票马上飙涨16%（伦交所也是上市公司，在自家交易所上市），但后来开始回落，收于72.14英镑，当日上涨6%。</span></p>\n <p><span>英国Sky News认为，股价的回落是由于市场担心港交所对伦交所的收购仍面临许多障碍，<span>普遍怀疑交易能否达成。</span></span></p>\n <p><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b21cb177f18f72f30fac286ea15eb205\"></span></p>\n <p><span>接下来，我会结合《金融时报》今天所列出的两大原因，简单分析一下为什么伦交所准备拒绝港交所的收购提议：</span></p>\n <p><span><strong><span>一、“小三”<span>Refinitiv</span></span></strong></span></p>\n <p><span>首先，在港交所给出的收购提议中，存在一个“小三”条款。</span></p>\n <p><span>仔细查看港交所的收购公告，我们会发现，最后面有提到一个前提条件，即希望伦交所<strong>停止收购Refinitiv</strong>。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d821781fc4553b9f5341f9bb7593462\"></p>\n <p><span>换句话说，港交所愿意开高价收购，但前提是伦交所不能买<span>Refinitiv</span>。</span></p>\n <p><span>Refinitiv，中文叫做“路孚特”，是一家金融数据公司，前身是汤森路透<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRI\">$(TRI)$</a>（Thomson Reuter）的金融与风险事业部。</span></p>\n <p><span><span>路孚特</span>在全球拥有19,000名员工，服务超过40,000家金融机构以及超过190个国家的客户。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aded5b0a16a75dd4e9ca9b91320fe97c\"></p>\n <p><span>2018年，汤森路透以200亿美元的价格将自身的金融与风险事业部55%的股权出让给<strong>美国公司黑石<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">$(BX)$</a>（Blackstone）</strong>，剩下的45%的股份由汤森路透继续持有。</span></p>\n <p><span>就在一个多月前（2019年7月29日），伦交所对路孚特提出了收购要约，拟通过换股的方式收购路孚特，收购代价为270亿美元，<span>路孚特</span>给予了积极回应。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c45b6173b91b6647cae1f786e85c96f\"></p>\n <p><span>可以看出，伦交所收购<span>路孚特</span>本质上是一场<strong>英美资本的结合</strong>，而港交所不只想求婚，还想横刀夺爱，拆散这桩交易。</span></p>\n <p><span>据英媒分析，<strong><span>伦交所发起的收购将主要通过向Refinitiv的股东发行新股来支付</span></strong><span>，</span>一旦伦交所成功收购<span>路孚特</span>，<strong>那以美国公司黑石为首的财团将持有伦交所<strong>37%</strong><span>的股份</span></strong><span>。</span></span></p>\n <p><span>看到这里，大家应该看懂了，港交所是在让伦交所二选一。</span></p>\n <p><span>事实上，对于港交所的要求，伦交所其实已经作出了回应，在昨天那份匆忙的回应中，虽然伦交所没有直接拒绝，但在声明里特别提到了，<strong><span>“将继续收购Refinitiv”</span></strong><span>，意思已经很明白了。</span></span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6735453f63da2ebb3909c8de5156fecb\"></p>\n <p><span><strong><span>二、英国政府可能干预</span></strong></span></p>\n <p><span>伦敦证券交易所对英国来说至关重要，目前，伦交所旗下拥有多个交易场所和清算所，其中就包括<strong>意大利证券交易所</strong>、和支撑伦敦成为全球外汇交易中心的<strong><span>伦敦清算所</span></strong><span>。</span></span></p>\n <p><span>对于这一宝贵资产可能被外资收购，英国政府率先发声，表示</span><span>伦交所是英国金融体系中非常重要的一环，如被收购，政府将密切关注相关细节。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b4a03019d044326de9e77b239ae4673\"></p>\n <p><span>英国商务大臣安德烈娅·利德索姆（Andrea Leadsom）今天在彭博电视接受采访时明确表态，称英国将“非常谨慎地看待任何对英国有安全隐患的事情”。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5940360241b3be36792185008aab965c\"></p>\n <p><span>彭博指出，</span><span>这笔交易代表着一家香港公司收购英国和意大利的主要股票市场，以及欧洲债务市场的关键基础设施，这样的交易将面临较高的政治风险。</span></p>\n <p><span><span>彭博</span>分析称，英国政府可能不希望看到英国金融服务的标志性机构被外国人持有，而且它还是战略性资产。</span><span></span></p>\n <p><span>在昨天港交所举行的电话会议上，面对这样的担忧，港交所</span><span>高管做出回应，表示港交所不是中国公司，也不是香港公司，而是一家上市的全球公司。</span></p>\n <p><span>值得注意的是，<span>港交所</span>曾在2012年斥资14亿英镑收购了伦敦金属交易所（LME），当时</span><span>也有很多这方面的担忧，但最终该交易顺利交割。</span></p>\n <p><span>对此，英国媒体也指出，此前的收购发生在特朗普上台以及英国脱欧之前，如今世界政治格局已经发生巨大变化，任何大型跨国收购交易都会受到政府的严格审视。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c23bbf9136e5aaa4d82a25d3bd06f1b\"></p>\n <p><span>分析完两大阻力，我们再看一下英媒文中的积极因素。</span></p>\n <p><span>金融时报写到，虽然英国在政治上仍然依赖美国，但<strong><span>伦交所本身其实一直在寻求扩大在中国和亚洲的业务。</span></strong><span></span></span></p>\n <p><span><span>“亚洲投资者显然对英国股票很感兴趣</span>，<span>港交所</span>对伦交所的收购也是有足够的商业理由的，比如最近的启动的沪伦通，就允许<span>中国投资者第一次直接购买英国上市公司股票。</span></span><span>”</span></p>\n <p><span><span>英媒称</span>伦交所和<span>港交所</span>的合作是互取所需，但不一定需要通过收购来达成。</span></p>\n <p><span><strong>英伦投资客写在最后</strong></span><span></span></p>\n <p><span>总结来看，理想是美好的，但现实是残酷的，伦交所背后错综复杂的利益关系，和目前对美系<span>Refinitiv</span>的收购案，都成了港交所进一步推进交易的阻力。</span></p>\n <p><span>最后我附上伦交所最近15年来所拒绝的收购提议，还真不少：</span></p>\n <ul>\n  <li><p><span>2005年12月，麦格理银行提出15亿英镑的收购要约，被伦交所拒绝。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2006年3月，纳斯达克以24亿英镑的价格提出收购要约，但同样遭到拒绝。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2011年，港交所第一次提出以溢价47%的价格收购伦交所股份，遭到拒绝。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2016年，<span>德意志证券交易所</span>、港交所、卡塔尔证交所都被传出有意收购伦交所，但最后都未成功。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2017年，欧盟委员会明确提出反对德意志交易所收购伦交所，称这会导致出现垄断。</span></p></li>\n </ul>\n</div>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>十动然拒！伦交所将拒绝香港，英媒披露两大原因</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n十动然拒！伦交所将拒绝香港，英媒披露两大原因\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1099700104\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/a800fe709fbb42609d1cfed6b4099cb5);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">英伦投资客 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2019-09-13 12:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><span>港交所想用296亿英镑（约2868亿港币，2600亿人民币）收购伦交所的世纪大交易，大家都知道了。</span></p>\n<div>\n <p><span>都说是“世纪联姻”，但这笔交易目前还只是停留在“求婚”阶段，而且还是一场“意外求婚”。</span></p>\n <p><span>特别昨天消息刚出来的时候，伦交所说自己也是刚刚才知道这件事，慌忙表示会慎重考虑。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3662370730676cae710c19f914ad0e28\"></p>\n <p><span></span><span>据英国《每日电讯报》披露，伦交所事先并不知道港交所将要宣布此事，对这个收购要约没什么准备。</span></p>\n <p><span>过了一小时，伦交所才匆忙发出回应公告，表示港交所的提议是<strong>“未经请求的、初步的且高度有条件的”</strong>。</span></p>\n <p><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/885b8d0afdb715f5cbce8035a130ceeb\"></span></p>\n <p><span>这边先简单解释一下，我看到国内媒体对这个交易报道很多，但大部分标题用的是，<span>港交所提议与伦交所合并。</span></span></p>\n <p><span>事实上是，港交所收购伦交所，这本质上就是一场收购。</span></p>\n <p><span>从操作上来看，这笔交易是由<span>港交所发行股份支付现金，</span></span><span>而不是伦交所发行股份支付现金，且收购案完成之后，港交所的控制权并没有发生实质性变化，但伦交所的控制权会发生重大变化。</span></p>\n <p><span>因此，这笔交易就是一场由港交所主动发起的收购，需要伦交所考虑清楚，点头同意才算数。</span></p>\n <p><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cab9e65b66c2ca9652285bfa973e731d\"></span></p>\n <p><span>对于这笔收购要约，还没等伦交所考虑清楚，《金融时报》就在今天率先披露，<strong>伦交所倾向于拒绝这笔交易</strong>，原因是担心</span><span>政治风险和交易结构，且伦交所致力于完成自己的重磅交易：以270亿美元收购数据和贸易集团路孚特（Refinitiv）。</span></p>\n <p><span>接近伦交所董事会的两名人士对《金融时报》表示，英国倾向于拒绝香港方面的提议。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92e5193810ec6502d10e2d813c0f9640\"></p>\n <p><span>英国金融时报今日头版头条：伦敦证券交易所<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LSE.UK\">$(LSE.UK)$</a>将断然拒绝香港320英镑的收购提议</span><span></span></p>\n <p><span>值得一提的是，昨天港交所溢价23%收购伦交所的消息一出，伦交所的股票马上飙涨16%（伦交所也是上市公司，在自家交易所上市），但后来开始回落，收于72.14英镑，当日上涨6%。</span></p>\n <p><span>英国Sky News认为，股价的回落是由于市场担心港交所对伦交所的收购仍面临许多障碍，<span>普遍怀疑交易能否达成。</span></span></p>\n <p><span><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b21cb177f18f72f30fac286ea15eb205\"></span></p>\n <p><span>接下来，我会结合《金融时报》今天所列出的两大原因，简单分析一下为什么伦交所准备拒绝港交所的收购提议：</span></p>\n <p><span><strong><span>一、“小三”<span>Refinitiv</span></span></strong></span></p>\n <p><span>首先，在港交所给出的收购提议中，存在一个“小三”条款。</span></p>\n <p><span>仔细查看港交所的收购公告，我们会发现，最后面有提到一个前提条件，即希望伦交所<strong>停止收购Refinitiv</strong>。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d821781fc4553b9f5341f9bb7593462\"></p>\n <p><span>换句话说，港交所愿意开高价收购，但前提是伦交所不能买<span>Refinitiv</span>。</span></p>\n <p><span>Refinitiv，中文叫做“路孚特”，是一家金融数据公司，前身是汤森路透<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TRI\">$(TRI)$</a>（Thomson Reuter）的金融与风险事业部。</span></p>\n <p><span><span>路孚特</span>在全球拥有19,000名员工，服务超过40,000家金融机构以及超过190个国家的客户。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aded5b0a16a75dd4e9ca9b91320fe97c\"></p>\n <p><span>2018年，汤森路透以200亿美元的价格将自身的金融与风险事业部55%的股权出让给<strong>美国公司黑石<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BX\">$(BX)$</a>（Blackstone）</strong>，剩下的45%的股份由汤森路透继续持有。</span></p>\n <p><span>就在一个多月前（2019年7月29日），伦交所对路孚特提出了收购要约，拟通过换股的方式收购路孚特，收购代价为270亿美元，<span>路孚特</span>给予了积极回应。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c45b6173b91b6647cae1f786e85c96f\"></p>\n <p><span>可以看出，伦交所收购<span>路孚特</span>本质上是一场<strong>英美资本的结合</strong>，而港交所不只想求婚，还想横刀夺爱，拆散这桩交易。</span></p>\n <p><span>据英媒分析，<strong><span>伦交所发起的收购将主要通过向Refinitiv的股东发行新股来支付</span></strong><span>，</span>一旦伦交所成功收购<span>路孚特</span>，<strong>那以美国公司黑石为首的财团将持有伦交所<strong>37%</strong><span>的股份</span></strong><span>。</span></span></p>\n <p><span>看到这里，大家应该看懂了，港交所是在让伦交所二选一。</span></p>\n <p><span>事实上，对于港交所的要求，伦交所其实已经作出了回应，在昨天那份匆忙的回应中，虽然伦交所没有直接拒绝，但在声明里特别提到了，<strong><span>“将继续收购Refinitiv”</span></strong><span>，意思已经很明白了。</span></span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6735453f63da2ebb3909c8de5156fecb\"></p>\n <p><span><strong><span>二、英国政府可能干预</span></strong></span></p>\n <p><span>伦敦证券交易所对英国来说至关重要，目前，伦交所旗下拥有多个交易场所和清算所，其中就包括<strong>意大利证券交易所</strong>、和支撑伦敦成为全球外汇交易中心的<strong><span>伦敦清算所</span></strong><span>。</span></span></p>\n <p><span>对于这一宝贵资产可能被外资收购，英国政府率先发声，表示</span><span>伦交所是英国金融体系中非常重要的一环，如被收购，政府将密切关注相关细节。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b4a03019d044326de9e77b239ae4673\"></p>\n <p><span>英国商务大臣安德烈娅·利德索姆（Andrea Leadsom）今天在彭博电视接受采访时明确表态，称英国将“非常谨慎地看待任何对英国有安全隐患的事情”。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5940360241b3be36792185008aab965c\"></p>\n <p><span>彭博指出，</span><span>这笔交易代表着一家香港公司收购英国和意大利的主要股票市场，以及欧洲债务市场的关键基础设施，这样的交易将面临较高的政治风险。</span></p>\n <p><span><span>彭博</span>分析称，英国政府可能不希望看到英国金融服务的标志性机构被外国人持有，而且它还是战略性资产。</span><span></span></p>\n <p><span>在昨天港交所举行的电话会议上，面对这样的担忧，港交所</span><span>高管做出回应，表示港交所不是中国公司，也不是香港公司，而是一家上市的全球公司。</span></p>\n <p><span>值得注意的是，<span>港交所</span>曾在2012年斥资14亿英镑收购了伦敦金属交易所（LME），当时</span><span>也有很多这方面的担忧，但最终该交易顺利交割。</span></p>\n <p><span>对此，英国媒体也指出，此前的收购发生在特朗普上台以及英国脱欧之前，如今世界政治格局已经发生巨大变化，任何大型跨国收购交易都会受到政府的严格审视。</span></p>\n <p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c23bbf9136e5aaa4d82a25d3bd06f1b\"></p>\n <p><span>分析完两大阻力，我们再看一下英媒文中的积极因素。</span></p>\n <p><span>金融时报写到，虽然英国在政治上仍然依赖美国，但<strong><span>伦交所本身其实一直在寻求扩大在中国和亚洲的业务。</span></strong><span></span></span></p>\n <p><span><span>“亚洲投资者显然对英国股票很感兴趣</span>，<span>港交所</span>对伦交所的收购也是有足够的商业理由的，比如最近的启动的沪伦通，就允许<span>中国投资者第一次直接购买英国上市公司股票。</span></span><span>”</span></p>\n <p><span><span>英媒称</span>伦交所和<span>港交所</span>的合作是互取所需，但不一定需要通过收购来达成。</span></p>\n <p><span><strong>英伦投资客写在最后</strong></span><span></span></p>\n <p><span>总结来看，理想是美好的，但现实是残酷的，伦交所背后错综复杂的利益关系，和目前对美系<span>Refinitiv</span>的收购案，都成了港交所进一步推进交易的阻力。</span></p>\n <p><span>最后我附上伦交所最近15年来所拒绝的收购提议，还真不少：</span></p>\n <ul>\n  <li><p><span>2005年12月，麦格理银行提出15亿英镑的收购要约，被伦交所拒绝。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2006年3月，纳斯达克以24亿英镑的价格提出收购要约，但同样遭到拒绝。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2011年，港交所第一次提出以溢价47%的价格收购伦交所股份，遭到拒绝。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2016年，<span>德意志证券交易所</span>、港交所、卡塔尔证交所都被传出有意收购伦交所，但最后都未成功。</span></p></li>\n  <li><p><span>2017年，欧盟委员会明确提出反对德意志交易所收购伦交所，称这会导致出现垄断。</span></p></li>\n </ul>\n</div>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25c3c73b20c2b70c38e28e085fb11f08","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1966162812","content_text":"港交所想用296亿英镑（约2868亿港币，2600亿人民币）收购伦交所的世纪大交易，大家都知道了。\n\n都说是“世纪联姻”，但这笔交易目前还只是停留在“求婚”阶段，而且还是一场“意外求婚”。\n特别昨天消息刚出来的时候，伦交所说自己也是刚刚才知道这件事，慌忙表示会慎重考虑。\n\n据英国《每日电讯报》披露，伦交所事先并不知道港交所将要宣布此事，对这个收购要约没什么准备。\n过了一小时，伦交所才匆忙发出回应公告，表示港交所的提议是“未经请求的、初步的且高度有条件的”。\n\n这边先简单解释一下，我看到国内媒体对这个交易报道很多，但大部分标题用的是，港交所提议与伦交所合并。\n事实上是，港交所收购伦交所，这本质上就是一场收购。\n从操作上来看，这笔交易是由港交所发行股份支付现金，而不是伦交所发行股份支付现金，且收购案完成之后，港交所的控制权并没有发生实质性变化，但伦交所的控制权会发生重大变化。\n因此，这笔交易就是一场由港交所主动发起的收购，需要伦交所考虑清楚，点头同意才算数。\n\n对于这笔收购要约，还没等伦交所考虑清楚，《金融时报》就在今天率先披露，伦交所倾向于拒绝这笔交易，原因是担心政治风险和交易结构，且伦交所致力于完成自己的重磅交易：以270亿美元收购数据和贸易集团路孚特（Refinitiv）。\n接近伦交所董事会的两名人士对《金融时报》表示，英国倾向于拒绝香港方面的提议。\n\n英国金融时报今日头版头条：伦敦证券交易所$(LSE.UK)$将断然拒绝香港320英镑的收购提议\n值得一提的是，昨天港交所溢价23%收购伦交所的消息一出，伦交所的股票马上飙涨16%（伦交所也是上市公司，在自家交易所上市），但后来开始回落，收于72.14英镑，当日上涨6%。\n英国Sky News认为，股价的回落是由于市场担心港交所对伦交所的收购仍面临许多障碍，普遍怀疑交易能否达成。\n\n接下来，我会结合《金融时报》今天所列出的两大原因，简单分析一下为什么伦交所准备拒绝港交所的收购提议：\n一、“小三”Refinitiv\n首先，在港交所给出的收购提议中，存在一个“小三”条款。\n仔细查看港交所的收购公告，我们会发现，最后面有提到一个前提条件，即希望伦交所停止收购Refinitiv。\n\n换句话说，港交所愿意开高价收购，但前提是伦交所不能买Refinitiv。\nRefinitiv，中文叫做“路孚特”，是一家金融数据公司，前身是汤森路透$(TRI)$（Thomson Reuter）的金融与风险事业部。\n路孚特在全球拥有19,000名员工，服务超过40,000家金融机构以及超过190个国家的客户。\n\n2018年，汤森路透以200亿美元的价格将自身的金融与风险事业部55%的股权出让给美国公司黑石$(BX)$（Blackstone），剩下的45%的股份由汤森路透继续持有。\n就在一个多月前（2019年7月29日），伦交所对路孚特提出了收购要约，拟通过换股的方式收购路孚特，收购代价为270亿美元，路孚特给予了积极回应。\n\n可以看出，伦交所收购路孚特本质上是一场英美资本的结合，而港交所不只想求婚，还想横刀夺爱，拆散这桩交易。\n据英媒分析，伦交所发起的收购将主要通过向Refinitiv的股东发行新股来支付，一旦伦交所成功收购路孚特，那以美国公司黑石为首的财团将持有伦交所37%的股份。\n看到这里，大家应该看懂了，港交所是在让伦交所二选一。\n事实上，对于港交所的要求，伦交所其实已经作出了回应，在昨天那份匆忙的回应中，虽然伦交所没有直接拒绝，但在声明里特别提到了，“将继续收购Refinitiv”，意思已经很明白了。\n\n二、英国政府可能干预\n伦敦证券交易所对英国来说至关重要，目前，伦交所旗下拥有多个交易场所和清算所，其中就包括意大利证券交易所、和支撑伦敦成为全球外汇交易中心的伦敦清算所。\n对于这一宝贵资产可能被外资收购，英国政府率先发声，表示伦交所是英国金融体系中非常重要的一环，如被收购，政府将密切关注相关细节。\n\n英国商务大臣安德烈娅·利德索姆（Andrea Leadsom）今天在彭博电视接受采访时明确表态，称英国将“非常谨慎地看待任何对英国有安全隐患的事情”。\n\n彭博指出，这笔交易代表着一家香港公司收购英国和意大利的主要股票市场，以及欧洲债务市场的关键基础设施，这样的交易将面临较高的政治风险。\n彭博分析称，英国政府可能不希望看到英国金融服务的标志性机构被外国人持有，而且它还是战略性资产。\n在昨天港交所举行的电话会议上，面对这样的担忧，港交所高管做出回应，表示港交所不是中国公司，也不是香港公司，而是一家上市的全球公司。\n值得注意的是，港交所曾在2012年斥资14亿英镑收购了伦敦金属交易所（LME），当时也有很多这方面的担忧，但最终该交易顺利交割。\n对此，英国媒体也指出，此前的收购发生在特朗普上台以及英国脱欧之前，如今世界政治格局已经发生巨大变化，任何大型跨国收购交易都会受到政府的严格审视。\n\n分析完两大阻力，我们再看一下英媒文中的积极因素。\n金融时报写到，虽然英国在政治上仍然依赖美国，但伦交所本身其实一直在寻求扩大在中国和亚洲的业务。\n“亚洲投资者显然对英国股票很感兴趣，港交所对伦交所的收购也是有足够的商业理由的，比如最近的启动的沪伦通，就允许中国投资者第一次直接购买英国上市公司股票。”\n英媒称伦交所和港交所的合作是互取所需，但不一定需要通过收购来达成。\n英伦投资客写在最后\n总结来看，理想是美好的，但现实是残酷的，伦交所背后错综复杂的利益关系，和目前对美系Refinitiv的收购案，都成了港交所进一步推进交易的阻力。\n最后我附上伦交所最近15年来所拒绝的收购提议，还真不少：\n\n2005年12月，麦格理银行提出15亿英镑的收购要约，被伦交所拒绝。\n2006年3月，纳斯达克以24亿英镑的价格提出收购要约，但同样遭到拒绝。\n2011年，港交所第一次提出以溢价47%的价格收购伦交所股份，遭到拒绝。\n2016年，德意志证券交易所、港交所、卡塔尔证交所都被传出有意收购伦交所，但最后都未成功。\n2017年，欧盟委员会明确提出反对德意志交易所收购伦交所，称这会导致出现垄断。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":605,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":613819020,"gmtCreate":1649808841606,"gmtModify":1649814901167,"author":{"id":"3515161712549064","authorId":"3515161712549064","name":"小嘉爱林颖","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515161712549064","authorIdStr":"3515161712549064"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"又他妈放鹰","listText":"又他妈放鹰","text":"又他妈放鹰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/613819020","repostId":"2227664004","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2028,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":152857970,"gmtCreate":1625283152790,"gmtModify":1625283152790,"author":{"id":"3515161712549064","authorId":"3515161712549064","name":"小嘉爱林颖","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3515161712549064","authorIdStr":"3515161712549064"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"对","listText":"对","text":"对","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152857970","repostId":"152856995","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":152856995,"gmtCreate":1625282859617,"gmtModify":1625286039785,"author":{"id":"127367578255012","authorId":"127367578255012","name":"iAm22","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c911514cff6758784e9ec02839cd3c8","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"127367578255012","authorIdStr":"127367578255012"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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