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卑鄙的我
2019-06-26
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 我刚看了视频,是姆努钦说的,CNBC独家采访。看他的语气无非就是随口说一句。90%是现状,两边还没有开始继续谈。市场越来越神经质了。$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
卑鄙的我
2019-08-14
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
打个赌,这几天会有一个跌3%以上出现。
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
卑鄙的我
2019-06-26
$标普500(.INX)$$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$ 人民币和美股盘前同时急涨只有一个可能,中美贸易战的利好。问题是现在是美国凌晨五点,能有什么利好。不可能是3000亿听证会,时间不对,两国商务部,贸易代表办公室没有任何新闻,到底发生了什么?
卑鄙的我
2019-01-14
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ $标普500(.INX)$ 就这样的外部环境,人民币怎么可能升值???
卑鄙的我
2019-09-17
$标普500(.INX)$
不降息美股不就闪崩了吗?
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
卑鄙的我
2019-08-27
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
做多的赶紧跑啊,最后的机会了。
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
$纳指ETF(QQQ)$
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
卑鄙的我
2019-08-15
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
贸易战要早打大打,打成技术性熊市再打崩房地产,我正好拿美股赚的钱来中国买房。
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
卑鄙的我
2019-04-22
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 大权重股在涨,罗素2000在跌,说明什么?
卑鄙的我
2019-08-23
感谢党中央国务院对我们的支持
[得意][得意][财迷][财迷]$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
卑鄙的我
2019-04-17
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$ 别光觉得损耗大,你想想经济危机来的时候这东西能翻多少倍,而且危机也就一年了。
卑鄙的我
2019-01-14
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $道琼斯(.DJI)$ $标普500(.INX)$ $纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 标普期货下跌0.88%,今晚空头狂欢
卑鄙的我
2019-04-16
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$ 股指期货又暴力拉升,真的想割肉了。。。。。
卑鄙的我
2019-08-23
野村的Takada又说话了,大家看着办吧。
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$纳指ETF(QQQ)$
抱歉,原内容已删除
卑鄙的我
2019-08-09
$标普500(.INX)$
打个赌今天w型
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
卑鄙的我
2019-07-12
$标普500(.INX)$
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
标普500etf突然大单跑了8亿刀是什么操作?
卑鄙的我
2019-07-10
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
他鲍威尔能明明白白告诉你降息算我输。还没到议息会议就发表决议,FOMC还有那么多人都失业?市场竟然对一个公开发言那么期待,真是疯了。
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
$标普500ETF(SPY)$
卑鄙的我
2019-03-07
$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 什么情况,盘前爆拉
卑鄙的我
2019-08-10
$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$
$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$
就在下周一
抱歉,原内容已删除
卑鄙的我
2019-06-26
$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 昨天被埋的还不惨?今天还要强拉?
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UVXY\">$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$</a>这破股到底怎么个意思。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UVXY\">$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$</a>这破股到底怎么个意思。","text":"$1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares(UVXY)$这破股到底怎么个意思。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/972747210","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3490301328189938","authorId":"3490301328189938","authorIdStr":"3490301328189938","name":"sz大渔","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/940c7989971c6f39a25c464890e47771","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"的确比较奇怪,看持仓的vix期货,但实际走势又不一样","text":"的确比较奇怪,看持仓的vix期货,但实际走势又不一样","html":"的确比较奇怪,看持仓的vix期货,但实际走势又不一样"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":927078833,"gmtCreate":1588687076722,"gmtModify":1704178053049,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a>这货取消盘前交易???","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a>这货取消盘前交易???","text":"$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$这货取消盘前交易???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/927078833","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":964430169,"gmtCreate":1584440574351,"gmtModify":1704354140381,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>不是追踪三倍吗?怎么差这么多?","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TQQQ\">$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$</a>不是追踪三倍吗?怎么差这么多?","text":"$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$不是追踪三倍吗?怎么差这么多?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964430169","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3077,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":964872637,"gmtCreate":1584360919529,"gmtModify":1704353681979,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"400万卢布也就5万多美元。。。。。。超市卖假货都没这么少吧","listText":"400万卢布也就5万多美元。。。。。。超市卖假货都没这么少吧","text":"400万卢布也就5万多美元。。。。。。超市卖假货都没这么少吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/964872637","repostId":"2019681373","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2019681373","pubTimestamp":1584352437,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2019681373?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-03-16 17:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"传遭俄罗斯罚款,推特盘前跌超11%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2019681373","media":"智通财经","summary":"3月16日,Twitter盘前大幅下跌,截至发稿跌幅超过11%。此前有报道称,3月16日,推特因拒绝在俄罗斯放置服务器而被罚款。俄罗斯地方法院在2月中旬以违反用户数据存储要求为由,对Twitter和F","content":"<p>3月16日,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>盘前大幅下跌,截至发稿跌幅超过11%。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae1dba772ddb1b3fa81f41aa63c22e8a\" /></p><p>此前有报道称,3月16日,推特因拒绝在俄罗斯放置服务器而被罚款。俄罗斯地方法院在2月中旬以违反用户数据存储要求为由,对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWTR\">Twitter</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FB\">Facebook</a>各处以400万卢布的罚款,但随后推特公司提起上诉。</p>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n传遭俄罗斯罚款,推特盘前跌超11%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-03-16 17:53 北京时间 <a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2020031618100479b8fb12&s=b><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>3月16日,Twitter盘前大幅下跌,截至发稿跌幅超过11%。此前有报道称,3月16日,推特因拒绝在俄罗斯放置服务器而被罚款。俄罗斯地方法院在2月中旬以违反用户数据存储要求为由,对Twitter和Facebook各处以400万卢布的罚款,但随后推特公司提起上诉。</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2020031618100479b8fb12&s=b\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4d2963b210cda1617f7169161af171ef","relate_stocks":{"TWTR":"Twitter","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2020031618100479b8fb12&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2019681373","content_text":"3月16日,Twitter盘前大幅下跌,截至发稿跌幅超过11%。此前有报道称,3月16日,推特因拒绝在俄罗斯放置服务器而被罚款。俄罗斯地方法院在2月中旬以违反用户数据存储要求为由,对Twitter和Facebook各处以400万卢布的罚款,但随后推特公司提起上诉。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":981869373,"gmtCreate":1583718924692,"gmtModify":1704350432104,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a>","listText":"不要怂就是干。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a>","text":"不要怂就是干。$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0d4de4cf50ed14840a863ae60432c1d7","width":"1125","height":"1601"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994827228","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1534,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":994800674,"gmtCreate":1566562543498,"gmtModify":1704714723361,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感谢党中央国务院对我们的支持<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">[得意][得意][财迷][财迷]$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a>","listText":"感谢党中央国务院对我们的支持<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">[得意][得意][财迷][财迷]$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a>","text":"感谢党中央国务院对我们的支持[得意][得意][财迷][财迷]$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":18,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994800674","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":994158994,"gmtCreate":1566554373918,"gmtModify":1704714689344,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"野村的Takada又说话了,大家看着办吧。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a>","listText":"野村的Takada又说话了,大家看着办吧。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TVIX\">$二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a>","text":"野村的Takada又说话了,大家看着办吧。 $二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN(TVIX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $纳指ETF(QQQ)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994158994","repostId":"1961525096","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3446554732937905","authorId":"3446554732937905","authorIdStr":"3446554732937905","name":"九点多","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"一万个人预测总有一个对的","text":"一万个人预测总有一个对的","html":"一万个人预测总有一个对的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":994151760,"gmtCreate":1566554283050,"gmtModify":1704714689000,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"野村的Takada又说话了,各位看着办吧。","listText":"野村的Takada又说话了,各位看着办吧。","text":"野村的Takada又说话了,各位看着办吧。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/994151760","repostId":"1961525096","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1961525096","pubTimestamp":1566546720,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1961525096?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2019-08-23 15:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"成功预测美股崩跌的策略师:雷曼式抛售近在眼前","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1961525096","media":"环球外汇网","summary":"本月初,Takada就提出警告,预计美股最快会在8月出现如同金融危机水准的暴跌。","content":"<p>在经历了上周的大跌之后,本周美股市场出现企稳反弹。然而,在野村证券的宏观和量化策略师Masanari Takada看来,当前的反弹并无法改变下跌趋势,他仍旧认为,在8月底或9月初美股将出现雷曼式的抛售。</p>\n<p>本月初,Takada就提出警告,预计美股最快会在8月出现如同金融危机水准的暴跌。而他话音才落下不久,美股就果然于上周出现崩跌。尤其是在2年期与10年期美债收益率倒挂之后,道指上周三单日急跌800点,创下今年以来最大单日跌幅。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f4b433cf5c583169dd10dc6b3c5437\"></p>\n<p>Takada在周四的最新报告中指出,如今随着美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)即将发表重要演说,而债市的警告信号依然闪烁不停,美股遭遇灾难性抛售的可能性依然存在。</p>\n<p>Takada表示,虽然第二次触底的可能性看起来已经有所下降,但股市在8月底或9月初大跌的风险并未完全消除。</p>\n<p>尽管美股本周反弹,但8月迄今<span>道琼斯</span>指数的跌幅依然超过2%。而在隔夜,2年期与10年期美债收益率曲线出现了近期以来的第三次倒挂。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ace46b9b7a00b15da6c682b025a73d\"></p>\n<p>Takada指出,市场正等待着鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔的演说内容,但这也可能成为触发美股立即崩跌的新潜在风险。他认为,市场近于一厢情愿,相信鲍威尔会发表鸽派言论,但这一猜想至今仍无法确定。</p>\n<p>值得一提的是,周四有三位美联储决策者异口同声反对有关美国经济需要更低利率的观点,还有第四位决策者表示“除非不得不”采取行动,否则应避免加码宽松,预示着下个月美联储会议上对于是否需要再次降息将有一场激烈的辩论。</p>\n<p>Takada表示,要是鲍威尔的讲话令人失望,那么避险基金将再次逃离美股。</p>\n<p>另一个需要关注的重点,是收益率曲线倒挂与美国制造业数据疲软的影响。Takada认为,如果收益率曲线发生更深的倒挂,则可能会促使那些采取买进持有策略的中长期投资者,减少股票的曝险并转向债市,进一步加大股市的抛售。</p>","source":"hqwhw","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>成功预测美股崩跌的策略师:雷曼式抛售近在眼前</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n成功预测美股崩跌的策略师:雷曼式抛售近在眼前\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2019-08-23 15:52 北京时间 <a href=http://www.cnforex.com/news/html/2019/08/23/04e1c7ef816a72e1a1de8c1c1def0e55.html><strong>环球外汇网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>在经历了上周的大跌之后,本周美股市场出现企稳反弹。然而,在野村证券的宏观和量化策略师Masanari Takada看来,当前的反弹并无法改变下跌趋势,他仍旧认为,在8月底或9月初美股将出现雷曼式的抛售。\n本月初,Takada就提出警告,预计美股最快会在8月出现如同金融危机水准的暴跌。而他话音才落下不久,美股就果然于上周出现崩跌。尤其是在2年期与10年期美债收益率倒挂之后,道指上周三单日急跌800点...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.cnforex.com/news/html/2019/08/23/04e1c7ef816a72e1a1de8c1c1def0e55.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51ace46b9b7a00b15da6c682b025a73d","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"http://www.cnforex.com/news/html/2019/08/23/04e1c7ef816a72e1a1de8c1c1def0e55.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1961525096","content_text":"在经历了上周的大跌之后,本周美股市场出现企稳反弹。然而,在野村证券的宏观和量化策略师Masanari Takada看来,当前的反弹并无法改变下跌趋势,他仍旧认为,在8月底或9月初美股将出现雷曼式的抛售。\n本月初,Takada就提出警告,预计美股最快会在8月出现如同金融危机水准的暴跌。而他话音才落下不久,美股就果然于上周出现崩跌。尤其是在2年期与10年期美债收益率倒挂之后,道指上周三单日急跌800点,创下今年以来最大单日跌幅。\n\nTakada在周四的最新报告中指出,如今随着美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)即将发表重要演说,而债市的警告信号依然闪烁不停,美股遭遇灾难性抛售的可能性依然存在。\nTakada表示,虽然第二次触底的可能性看起来已经有所下降,但股市在8月底或9月初大跌的风险并未完全消除。\n尽管美股本周反弹,但8月迄今道琼斯指数的跌幅依然超过2%。而在隔夜,2年期与10年期美债收益率曲线出现了近期以来的第三次倒挂。\n\nTakada指出,市场正等待着鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔的演说内容,但这也可能成为触发美股立即崩跌的新潜在风险。他认为,市场近于一厢情愿,相信鲍威尔会发表鸽派言论,但这一猜想至今仍无法确定。\n值得一提的是,周四有三位美联储决策者异口同声反对有关美国经济需要更低利率的观点,还有第四位决策者表示“除非不得不”采取行动,否则应避免加码宽松,预示着下个月美联储会议上对于是否需要再次降息将有一场激烈的辩论。\nTakada表示,要是鲍威尔的讲话令人失望,那么避险基金将再次逃离美股。\n另一个需要关注的重点,是收益率曲线倒挂与美国制造业数据疲软的影响。Takada认为,如果收益率曲线发生更深的倒挂,则可能会促使那些采取买进持有策略的中长期投资者,减少股票的曝险并转向债市,进一步加大股市的抛售。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":907319480,"gmtCreate":1561543227740,"gmtModify":1704702157892,"author":{"id":"3503632606630426","authorId":"3503632606630426","authorIdStr":"3503632606630426","name":"卑鄙的我","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 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