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lizlee
懒
IP属地:广东
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lizlee
2019-07-03
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 全部在等风来
lizlee
2021-09-08
$小米集团-W(01810)$
什么人在一直卖小米?
lizlee
2019-06-26
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 【特斯拉季度订单创新高 但交付却现瓶颈】美港电讯26日讯,据Electrek报道,特斯拉(TSLA.O)计划6月在北美交付33000-36000辆汽车,寻求本季度实现创纪录的交付。上周,特斯拉计划的日出货量首次超过1000辆。现在有消息人士称,特斯拉今年6月份已经在北美交付了22000辆汽车。这离目标还很远,但是他们还有超过12000个额外的订单,这使得6月份的订单总数超过34000。然而,这12000个订单中有5000个没有预定的交付日期,消息人士预计,要在月底前交付所有这些车辆将十分困难。截至今日,特斯拉第二季度在北美已经交付超过49000辆汽车。
lizlee
2019-06-05
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 不知道是不是被套久了...我总觉得很危险。 尤其是看到卖空池....
lizlee
2019-03-15
One more thing
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ One more thing。自从上次 Semi 发布会突然冲出一辆新款 Roadster,大家对特斯拉发布会就多了一份期许。再加上最近 S/X 大降价、推出 v3 版超充桩,很多人都相信特斯拉会发布全新改款的 S/X。当然,或许会是其他惊喜。
One more thing
lizlee
2020-08-05
$微盟集团(02013)$
官司进度怎么样?
lizlee
2019-06-19
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 先走为敬
lizlee
2021-06-18
$小米集团ADR(XIACY)$
明天港股表现活跃
lizlee
2019-06-29
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 下周转空了
lizlee
2019-06-21
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 神车
lizlee
2019-03-15
$特斯拉(TSLA)$准备发布新车
lizlee
2022-10-11
$美团-W(03690)$
纪录一下今天的订单
lizlee
2021-08-26
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
抱歉,原内容已删除
lizlee
2021-06-18
$小米集团ADR(XIACY)$
可以复活了
lizlee
2020-12-31
$恒大汽车(00708)$
共和报:恒大恒驰汽车可能成为国米新赞助商,取代倍耐力
lizlee
2020-01-20
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@14亿少女的梦:台积电:巴菲特的笨蛋公司模范代表
lizlee
2019-07-03
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 太磨叽,不玩了
lizlee
2019-06-21
$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 摸不透
lizlee
2019-04-17
$优信(UXIN)$什么事啊
lizlee
02-04
香港市场会回来的
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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2024 年上半年的交付节奏,小米汽车正在加快交付中心、旗舰店的建设。 据汽车之心了解,小米汽车从 7 月开始进行 10 大交付中心建设,首批城市包括北京、深圳、成都和西安等,同时也将优先在一线城市建设一批旗舰店专门展示小米汽车,目前已经在筹备选址阶段。 门店渠道是汽车品牌必须夯实的基础。 截至 2022 年,小米全国门店数量已经超过一万家。 据了解,小米之家多数门店设立在核心商圈,店面面积普遍在 100 到 460 平米之间,如果从现有的小米之家门店划出一块区域专门卖车,并不会增加额外成本。 而这些门店,将为小米汽车创造天然的销售渠道。 「小米前期的新车会在小米之家展出,后期再根据新车数量做调整」,一位渠道人士向汽车之心透露。 距离原定的上市时间不到一年,如今小米汽车的产品+渠道已经进入量产前的冲刺阶段。 01、聚焦服务体验,一、二线市场渠道优先全直营 汽车作为平均售价最高的大宗消费品,无论是销售还是交付,都需要强有力的线下渠道支撑。 这是因为,销售渠道直接和用户体验挂钩。 自特斯拉开启商超模式之后,新造车势力甚至传统品牌都纷纷相仿,甚至进一步迭代。 比如理想开创商超店(展厅和零售中心)+交付中心模式,和特斯拉早期非常接近。 极氪跟随了理想汽车的模式,还借鉴了蔚来的社交空间理念,比如极氪中心,既有展示、体验、销售功能,又提供给车主社交空间。 特斯拉、理想和极氪,可以说是三个拓展渠道的典型代表,目前也都在各自的细分领域拿下销冠。 据车安人安的消息,小米汽车的渠道体系将分为零售中心+交付中心+服务中心。 小米汽车渠道(图源:车安人安) 这样布局的优势在于,自建的直营销售与服务体系,包括零售中心、交付中心和维修中心,全渠道规划会带来更统一和高效的服务。 新势力能迅速积攒口碑,靠的就是全维体验——从坚持直营,到用户共创,从自建充电桩换电站,到包办维修保养,新势力拉通了一台","listText":"为确保 2024 年上半年的交付节奏,小米汽车正在加快交付中心、旗舰店的建设。 据汽车之心了解,小米汽车从 7 月开始进行 10 大交付中心建设,首批城市包括北京、深圳、成都和西安等,同时也将优先在一线城市建设一批旗舰店专门展示小米汽车,目前已经在筹备选址阶段。 门店渠道是汽车品牌必须夯实的基础。 截至 2022 年,小米全国门店数量已经超过一万家。 据了解,小米之家多数门店设立在核心商圈,店面面积普遍在 100 到 460 平米之间,如果从现有的小米之家门店划出一块区域专门卖车,并不会增加额外成本。 而这些门店,将为小米汽车创造天然的销售渠道。 「小米前期的新车会在小米之家展出,后期再根据新车数量做调整」,一位渠道人士向汽车之心透露。 距离原定的上市时间不到一年,如今小米汽车的产品+渠道已经进入量产前的冲刺阶段。 01、聚焦服务体验,一、二线市场渠道优先全直营 汽车作为平均售价最高的大宗消费品,无论是销售还是交付,都需要强有力的线下渠道支撑。 这是因为,销售渠道直接和用户体验挂钩。 自特斯拉开启商超模式之后,新造车势力甚至传统品牌都纷纷相仿,甚至进一步迭代。 比如理想开创商超店(展厅和零售中心)+交付中心模式,和特斯拉早期非常接近。 极氪跟随了理想汽车的模式,还借鉴了蔚来的社交空间理念,比如极氪中心,既有展示、体验、销售功能,又提供给车主社交空间。 特斯拉、理想和极氪,可以说是三个拓展渠道的典型代表,目前也都在各自的细分领域拿下销冠。 据车安人安的消息,小米汽车的渠道体系将分为零售中心+交付中心+服务中心。 小米汽车渠道(图源:车安人安) 这样布局的优势在于,自建的直营销售与服务体系,包括零售中心、交付中心和维修中心,全渠道规划会带来更统一和高效的服务。 新势力能迅速积攒口碑,靠的就是全维体验——从坚持直营,到用户共创,从自建充电桩换电站,到包办维修保养,新势力拉通了一台","text":"为确保 2024 年上半年的交付节奏,小米汽车正在加快交付中心、旗舰店的建设。 据汽车之心了解,小米汽车从 7 月开始进行 10 大交付中心建设,首批城市包括北京、深圳、成都和西安等,同时也将优先在一线城市建设一批旗舰店专门展示小米汽车,目前已经在筹备选址阶段。 门店渠道是汽车品牌必须夯实的基础。 截至 2022 年,小米全国门店数量已经超过一万家。 据了解,小米之家多数门店设立在核心商圈,店面面积普遍在 100 到 460 平米之间,如果从现有的小米之家门店划出一块区域专门卖车,并不会增加额外成本。 而这些门店,将为小米汽车创造天然的销售渠道。 「小米前期的新车会在小米之家展出,后期再根据新车数量做调整」,一位渠道人士向汽车之心透露。 距离原定的上市时间不到一年,如今小米汽车的产品+渠道已经进入量产前的冲刺阶段。 01、聚焦服务体验,一、二线市场渠道优先全直营 汽车作为平均售价最高的大宗消费品,无论是销售还是交付,都需要强有力的线下渠道支撑。 这是因为,销售渠道直接和用户体验挂钩。 自特斯拉开启商超模式之后,新造车势力甚至传统品牌都纷纷相仿,甚至进一步迭代。 比如理想开创商超店(展厅和零售中心)+交付中心模式,和特斯拉早期非常接近。 极氪跟随了理想汽车的模式,还借鉴了蔚来的社交空间理念,比如极氪中心,既有展示、体验、销售功能,又提供给车主社交空间。 特斯拉、理想和极氪,可以说是三个拓展渠道的典型代表,目前也都在各自的细分领域拿下销冠。 据车安人安的消息,小米汽车的渠道体系将分为零售中心+交付中心+服务中心。 小米汽车渠道(图源:车安人安) 这样布局的优势在于,自建的直营销售与服务体系,包括零售中心、交付中心和维修中心,全渠道规划会带来更统一和高效的服务。 新势力能迅速积攒口碑,靠的就是全维体验——从坚持直营,到用户共创,从自建充电桩换电站,到包办维修保养,新势力拉通了一台","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9768bfd5a92f6b2313829655e57b42ec","width":"1080","height":"810"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/912300320cd921354b0bdd1ec68bcf53","width":"1080","height":"720"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f90d1f0fd2392c55d4c9172f527cab1d","width":"1080","height":"645"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/197431555137560","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":7,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":651776848,"gmtCreate":1682180365485,"gmtModify":1682212958515,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这两天我发现,机构几百万资金押注恐慌指数VIX会再度飙升,意味着大盘新一轮的变盘可能又要开始了,美股散户开始抛售科技股","listText":"这两天我发现,机构几百万资金押注恐慌指数VIX会再度飙升,意味着大盘新一轮的变盘可能又要开始了,美股散户开始抛售科技股","text":"这两天我发现,机构几百万资金押注恐慌指数VIX会再度飙升,意味着大盘新一轮的变盘可能又要开始了,美股散户开始抛售科技股","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a75cd8b17d702356705657f3ef99c28","width":"500","height":"216"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/651776848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1300,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":666108649,"gmtCreate":1665467157981,"gmtModify":1665467159827,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>纪录一下今天的订单","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a>纪录一下今天的订单","text":"$美团-W(03690)$纪录一下今天的订单","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/155e51bc7109683f51bd5ed3a81f64c3","width":"750","height":"1174"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/666108649","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":687659114,"gmtCreate":1660928892143,"gmtModify":1660928892143,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[笑哭] ","listText":"[笑哭] ","text":"[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687659114","repostId":"687156227","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":687156227,"gmtCreate":1660821238674,"gmtModify":1660866503658,"author":{"id":"4098085184326980","authorId":"4098085184326980","name":"二十三三","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e63cce3fc8ec347425a03102f4bdf1dd","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4098085184326980","authorIdStr":"4098085184326980"},"themes":[],"title":"张三故事——黄粱一梦","htmlText":"我叫张三(非本人),这是我炒美股的故事,2019年10月的一天,我有一个好朋友,炒了多年股票,那一天我请他洗了个澡,吃个饭。他以前帮我炒过股,赚了很多钱。这次呢?又谈起了股票。 他告诉我,不能白白让我请他吃饭,他给我物色了一个好股票,叫lyft,于是我就汇进了5万人民币,大概当时约8000美金,买进了几百股lyft,故事就此开始了。刚开始,lyft涨势很好,没过多久就涨到了6万多人民币,等于说赚了1万多块钱。可是悲伤的事情就此发生。2020年发生了一件生活的大事,疫情来了, 嘉华年邮**跌,刚好lyft又是疫情概念股,于是在劫难逃。以每天跌百分之20的速度下滑。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">$Lyft, Inc.(LYFT)$</a> 我束手无策,问计于我的好朋友。我的好朋友也焦头烂额,不知所措。告诉我只能忍受,我也不知道咋办了。只能默默忍受,终于有一天纳斯达克三个四个熔断以后,迎来了大反弹日,我很兴奋。终于摆脱了折磨,那几天我上班都没有了力气,一看见纳斯达克又重新暴涨,当天直接精神都振奋了。本来晚上的时候,媳妇老嫌弃我哀声叹气,那一天反弹的时候,媳妇都说,我耐力都比以前好了。这时候我的好朋友,老同学又一次又跟我说:他又帮我看好了一支股。这支股票叫fvrr,是帮人做任务的,我问他有没有前途,他告诉我前途大大的。他已经买了不少。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FVRR\">$Fiverr International Ltd.(FVRR)$</a> 于是我就把lyft卖掉,以每股30多的价格买进了fvrr。不可思议的事情就发生了。fvrr买进去以后大涨,没过多久就涨到了80,当时我心想终于快回本了。回本我就不玩了。可是","listText":"我叫张三(非本人),这是我炒美股的故事,2019年10月的一天,我有一个好朋友,炒了多年股票,那一天我请他洗了个澡,吃个饭。他以前帮我炒过股,赚了很多钱。这次呢?又谈起了股票。 他告诉我,不能白白让我请他吃饭,他给我物色了一个好股票,叫lyft,于是我就汇进了5万人民币,大概当时约8000美金,买进了几百股lyft,故事就此开始了。刚开始,lyft涨势很好,没过多久就涨到了6万多人民币,等于说赚了1万多块钱。可是悲伤的事情就此发生。2020年发生了一件生活的大事,疫情来了, 嘉华年邮**跌,刚好lyft又是疫情概念股,于是在劫难逃。以每天跌百分之20的速度下滑。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">$Lyft, Inc.(LYFT)$</a> 我束手无策,问计于我的好朋友。我的好朋友也焦头烂额,不知所措。告诉我只能忍受,我也不知道咋办了。只能默默忍受,终于有一天纳斯达克三个四个熔断以后,迎来了大反弹日,我很兴奋。终于摆脱了折磨,那几天我上班都没有了力气,一看见纳斯达克又重新暴涨,当天直接精神都振奋了。本来晚上的时候,媳妇老嫌弃我哀声叹气,那一天反弹的时候,媳妇都说,我耐力都比以前好了。这时候我的好朋友,老同学又一次又跟我说:他又帮我看好了一支股。这支股票叫fvrr,是帮人做任务的,我问他有没有前途,他告诉我前途大大的。他已经买了不少。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FVRR\">$Fiverr International Ltd.(FVRR)$</a> 于是我就把lyft卖掉,以每股30多的价格买进了fvrr。不可思议的事情就发生了。fvrr买进去以后大涨,没过多久就涨到了80,当时我心想终于快回本了。回本我就不玩了。可是","text":"我叫张三(非本人),这是我炒美股的故事,2019年10月的一天,我有一个好朋友,炒了多年股票,那一天我请他洗了个澡,吃个饭。他以前帮我炒过股,赚了很多钱。这次呢?又谈起了股票。 他告诉我,不能白白让我请他吃饭,他给我物色了一个好股票,叫lyft,于是我就汇进了5万人民币,大概当时约8000美金,买进了几百股lyft,故事就此开始了。刚开始,lyft涨势很好,没过多久就涨到了6万多人民币,等于说赚了1万多块钱。可是悲伤的事情就此发生。2020年发生了一件生活的大事,疫情来了, 嘉华年邮**跌,刚好lyft又是疫情概念股,于是在劫难逃。以每天跌百分之20的速度下滑。$Lyft, Inc.(LYFT)$ 我束手无策,问计于我的好朋友。我的好朋友也焦头烂额,不知所措。告诉我只能忍受,我也不知道咋办了。只能默默忍受,终于有一天纳斯达克三个四个熔断以后,迎来了大反弹日,我很兴奋。终于摆脱了折磨,那几天我上班都没有了力气,一看见纳斯达克又重新暴涨,当天直接精神都振奋了。本来晚上的时候,媳妇老嫌弃我哀声叹气,那一天反弹的时候,媳妇都说,我耐力都比以前好了。这时候我的好朋友,老同学又一次又跟我说:他又帮我看好了一支股。这支股票叫fvrr,是帮人做任务的,我问他有没有前途,他告诉我前途大大的。他已经买了不少。$Fiverr International Ltd.(FVRR)$ 于是我就把lyft卖掉,以每股30多的价格买进了fvrr。不可思议的事情就发生了。fvrr买进去以后大涨,没过多久就涨到了80,当时我心想终于快回本了。回本我就不玩了。可是","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b67b1f7730dce8730ebc12fffd13149f","width":"632","height":"1368"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/961fd0f42799ab50c36a1a53ebd75cd4","width":"632","height":"1368"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c5f54982f236df8f5ec07aae1f053e8","width":"632","height":"1368"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/687156227","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3648,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":682463455,"gmtCreate":1659125003878,"gmtModify":1659125003878,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"我要","listText":"我要","text":"我要","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/682463455","repostId":"682657768","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":682657768,"gmtCreate":1658985642257,"gmtModify":1710248451548,"author":{"id":"3585800644196386","authorId":"3585800644196386","name":"OptionS","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9047bf44c545bc9fb56d7d7795ee174b","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3585800644196386","authorIdStr":"3585800644196386"},"themes":[],"title":"期权(10): 为什么Tesla是好的sell put标的?","htmlText":"前面介绍了一个sell put港股案例:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> :<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/686587691\" target=\"_blank\">期权感悟 (5) : 典型案例:美团 </a>。今天聊一个美股案例:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ,这是过去一年多相关部分操作截图(持仓页-分析):tesla 期权操作从Tsla过去一年走势来看 500多-1200多-620-800。tesla走势sell cs puts策略介绍见:<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/682180308\" target=\"_blank\">期权感悟(8):SCSP(sell cs puts)策略优点 </a>。从两张图可以看出来,sell put策略提供了不错的安全边际,即使1200多到620这波暴跌,也是赚钱的。体现了策略优点:容错性。那为什么Tesla是很好的sell put标的?1、时代趋势新能源汽车替代传统汽车,是个大势所趋。大的赛道背景是向上的,非常重要。2、存在基础价值/估值对于sell put策略期权玩家来说,并不是那么关心tesla的多空分歧,也就是tesla到底未来是几万亿美金的公司,还是从现在回归到500块,没有那么重要(这是buy call/put的期权玩家非常在乎的)。sp玩家关心的是 暴跌得有个底线,这个标的得有个基础价值/估值。不能接盘正股后,跌没了。即使新能源赛道竞争非常激烈,Tesla的财务数据表现在这里:个股页-公司-利润","listText":"前面介绍了一个sell put港股案例:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">$美团-W(03690)$</a> :<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/686587691\" target=\"_blank\">期权感悟 (5) : 典型案例:美团 </a>。今天聊一个美股案例:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> ,这是过去一年多相关部分操作截图(持仓页-分析):tesla 期权操作从Tsla过去一年走势来看 500多-1200多-620-800。tesla走势sell cs puts策略介绍见:<a href=\"https://www.laohu8.com/post/682180308\" target=\"_blank\">期权感悟(8):SCSP(sell cs puts)策略优点 </a>。从两张图可以看出来,sell put策略提供了不错的安全边际,即使1200多到620这波暴跌,也是赚钱的。体现了策略优点:容错性。那为什么Tesla是很好的sell put标的?1、时代趋势新能源汽车替代传统汽车,是个大势所趋。大的赛道背景是向上的,非常重要。2、存在基础价值/估值对于sell put策略期权玩家来说,并不是那么关心tesla的多空分歧,也就是tesla到底未来是几万亿美金的公司,还是从现在回归到500块,没有那么重要(这是buy call/put的期权玩家非常在乎的)。sp玩家关心的是 暴跌得有个底线,这个标的得有个基础价值/估值。不能接盘正股后,跌没了。即使新能源赛道竞争非常激烈,Tesla的财务数据表现在这里:个股页-公司-利润","text":"前面介绍了一个sell put港股案例:$美团-W(03690)$ :期权感悟 (5) : 典型案例:美团 。今天聊一个美股案例:$特斯拉(TSLA)$ ,这是过去一年多相关部分操作截图(持仓页-分析):tesla 期权操作从Tsla过去一年走势来看 500多-1200多-620-800。tesla走势sell cs puts策略介绍见:期权感悟(8):SCSP(sell cs puts)策略优点 。从两张图可以看出来,sell put策略提供了不错的安全边际,即使1200多到620这波暴跌,也是赚钱的。体现了策略优点:容错性。那为什么Tesla是很好的sell put标的?1、时代趋势新能源汽车替代传统汽车,是个大势所趋。大的赛道背景是向上的,非常重要。2、存在基础价值/估值对于sell put策略期权玩家来说,并不是那么关心tesla的多空分歧,也就是tesla到底未来是几万亿美金的公司,还是从现在回归到500块,没有那么重要(这是buy call/put的期权玩家非常在乎的)。sp玩家关心的是 暴跌得有个底线,这个标的得有个基础价值/估值。不能接盘正股后,跌没了。即使新能源赛道竞争非常激烈,Tesla的财务数据表现在这里:个股页-公司-利润","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b25005a2c784cb5bed036f4aea30cff","width":"632","height":"285"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f53e360b3813fc25f6468a5956cbf47e","width":"632","height":"177"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9b85d00a7c555d9ea685a1fafd177367","width":"632","height":"1406"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/682657768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3088,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":683862982,"gmtCreate":1656183782350,"gmtModify":1704864214732,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"通胀","listText":"通胀","text":"通胀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683862982","repostId":"683130908","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":683130908,"gmtCreate":1656051239915,"gmtModify":1704863979545,"author":{"id":"3491416357875149","authorId":"3491416357875149","name":"交易员Owen","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e18f8a3a764631dcc921c6316d840259","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3491416357875149","authorIdStr":"3491416357875149"},"themes":[],"title":"很多人没看懂,鲍威尔甩出了一个世纪大锅","htmlText":"鲍威尔又改口了。在6月15日的美联储利率决议发布会上,鲍威尔曾表示:美国经济已经对加息进行了充分的准备,没有迹象表明经济将出现更大范围的放缓。这才两周不到的时间,鲍威尔就在昨晚的听证会上改口了,这次他很明确的告知公众:美联储无意引发经济衰退,但不能排除经济衰退的可能性。你还记得这是第几次鲍威尔突然改变对未来经济的预期吗?早在去年年初开始,鲍威尔就一直在向公众解释说,“目前的通胀只是暂时的。”但去年的11月份,他在一场参议院的听证会上就突然改口说“是时候放弃“暂时性”通胀的说法了”。今年5月的利率决议发布会上,鲍威尔还说不会考虑75个基点的加息的做法,但不到一个月,6月份的利率决议公布后,75个基点的加息就悍然落地。一周前,鲍威尔曾还对媒体说”美国经济仍有软着陆的可能“,但短短几天过后,他的看法就变成了:“美国经济软着陆的挑战很大。”。。。怪不得有很多外媒评论者们毫不留情的批评说:美联储就是一个不断撒谎,还不断圆谎的骗子。作为一个分析和预测美国经济未来走势的权威机构,美联储的工作职能和我们的央行、“金委H”类似,是用来维稳经济市场健康发展的,而作为这样一个权威机构的主席,鲍威尔这样变来变去的,是一件非常尴尬的事情,说的严重一点,就是丢人。我相信,每天晚上,鲍威尔可能都难以入眠,现在的他不仅面临着来自拜登的“甩锅”压力,同时还在时刻权衡着用多少个基点来控制未来飞涨的物价。你看鲍威尔现在的样子,一脸的憔悴顶着一头蓬松的白发,满脸写的都是无奈。再看看他当初刚上任时候的样子哎,岁月是把杀猪刀。。。但即便如此,鲍威尔依然在今年5月获得了第二个四年任期的连任结果。这其实并不矛盾,面对这样一个经济烂摊子,除了他,还有谁能接盘呢?成绩不好,可能并不是他个人的能力问题,而是当下这张考卷的难度太大了。2022年是一个全球政Z、经济都在急剧分裂和重塑,并出现越来越多对抗的一年,放眼全球,不光是鲍威","listText":"鲍威尔又改口了。在6月15日的美联储利率决议发布会上,鲍威尔曾表示:美国经济已经对加息进行了充分的准备,没有迹象表明经济将出现更大范围的放缓。这才两周不到的时间,鲍威尔就在昨晚的听证会上改口了,这次他很明确的告知公众:美联储无意引发经济衰退,但不能排除经济衰退的可能性。你还记得这是第几次鲍威尔突然改变对未来经济的预期吗?早在去年年初开始,鲍威尔就一直在向公众解释说,“目前的通胀只是暂时的。”但去年的11月份,他在一场参议院的听证会上就突然改口说“是时候放弃“暂时性”通胀的说法了”。今年5月的利率决议发布会上,鲍威尔还说不会考虑75个基点的加息的做法,但不到一个月,6月份的利率决议公布后,75个基点的加息就悍然落地。一周前,鲍威尔曾还对媒体说”美国经济仍有软着陆的可能“,但短短几天过后,他的看法就变成了:“美国经济软着陆的挑战很大。”。。。怪不得有很多外媒评论者们毫不留情的批评说:美联储就是一个不断撒谎,还不断圆谎的骗子。作为一个分析和预测美国经济未来走势的权威机构,美联储的工作职能和我们的央行、“金委H”类似,是用来维稳经济市场健康发展的,而作为这样一个权威机构的主席,鲍威尔这样变来变去的,是一件非常尴尬的事情,说的严重一点,就是丢人。我相信,每天晚上,鲍威尔可能都难以入眠,现在的他不仅面临着来自拜登的“甩锅”压力,同时还在时刻权衡着用多少个基点来控制未来飞涨的物价。你看鲍威尔现在的样子,一脸的憔悴顶着一头蓬松的白发,满脸写的都是无奈。再看看他当初刚上任时候的样子哎,岁月是把杀猪刀。。。但即便如此,鲍威尔依然在今年5月获得了第二个四年任期的连任结果。这其实并不矛盾,面对这样一个经济烂摊子,除了他,还有谁能接盘呢?成绩不好,可能并不是他个人的能力问题,而是当下这张考卷的难度太大了。2022年是一个全球政Z、经济都在急剧分裂和重塑,并出现越来越多对抗的一年,放眼全球,不光是鲍威","text":"鲍威尔又改口了。在6月15日的美联储利率决议发布会上,鲍威尔曾表示:美国经济已经对加息进行了充分的准备,没有迹象表明经济将出现更大范围的放缓。这才两周不到的时间,鲍威尔就在昨晚的听证会上改口了,这次他很明确的告知公众:美联储无意引发经济衰退,但不能排除经济衰退的可能性。你还记得这是第几次鲍威尔突然改变对未来经济的预期吗?早在去年年初开始,鲍威尔就一直在向公众解释说,“目前的通胀只是暂时的。”但去年的11月份,他在一场参议院的听证会上就突然改口说“是时候放弃“暂时性”通胀的说法了”。今年5月的利率决议发布会上,鲍威尔还说不会考虑75个基点的加息的做法,但不到一个月,6月份的利率决议公布后,75个基点的加息就悍然落地。一周前,鲍威尔曾还对媒体说”美国经济仍有软着陆的可能“,但短短几天过后,他的看法就变成了:“美国经济软着陆的挑战很大。”。。。怪不得有很多外媒评论者们毫不留情的批评说:美联储就是一个不断撒谎,还不断圆谎的骗子。作为一个分析和预测美国经济未来走势的权威机构,美联储的工作职能和我们的央行、“金委H”类似,是用来维稳经济市场健康发展的,而作为这样一个权威机构的主席,鲍威尔这样变来变去的,是一件非常尴尬的事情,说的严重一点,就是丢人。我相信,每天晚上,鲍威尔可能都难以入眠,现在的他不仅面临着来自拜登的“甩锅”压力,同时还在时刻权衡着用多少个基点来控制未来飞涨的物价。你看鲍威尔现在的样子,一脸的憔悴顶着一头蓬松的白发,满脸写的都是无奈。再看看他当初刚上任时候的样子哎,岁月是把杀猪刀。。。但即便如此,鲍威尔依然在今年5月获得了第二个四年任期的连任结果。这其实并不矛盾,面对这样一个经济烂摊子,除了他,还有谁能接盘呢?成绩不好,可能并不是他个人的能力问题,而是当下这张考卷的难度太大了。2022年是一个全球政Z、经济都在急剧分裂和重塑,并出现越来越多对抗的一年,放眼全球,不光是鲍威","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b4ad964c1444166f6e251a52cf14ed84","width":"1200","height":"1400"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e3c64d6a806bb20463bf8cb5c2d4870","width":"1080","height":"633"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7639feb7e3962ae8efa1be196eeccca8","width":"589","height":"708"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/683130908","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2223,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":633492393,"gmtCreate":1644268141874,"gmtModify":1644268141874,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"百度底色","listText":"百度底色","text":"百度底色","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/633492393","repostId":"2209341304","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2209341304","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1644026548,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2209341304?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-02-05 10:02","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"华尔街拒绝为软硅谷买单","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2209341304","media":"创事记","summary":"昨晚,达到市场预期的亚马逊财报,让该公司股价一路飙涨,盘中顺利超过10%,而早些时间发布财报的Meta公司,却遭遇了下跌25%的滑铁卢,同样都是盈利的互联网科技公司,为何命运截然不同?中国农历春节前后","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>昨晚,达到市场预期的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>财报,让该公司股价一路飙涨,盘中顺利超过10%,而早些时间发布财报的Meta公司,却遭遇了下跌25%的滑铁卢,同样都是盈利的互联网科技公司,为何命运截然不同?</p><p>中国农历春节前后,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>、Meta以及亚马逊等硅谷主要科技巨头先后公布了自己的当季度财报,除了Meta一家之外,其余巨头们均以超出预期的形式结束了这一年。</p><p>亚马逊本季度净利润为142亿美元,同比增长98.6%。</p><p>微软本季度净利润为187.65亿美元,同比增长21%。</p><p>苹果本季度净利润为346.30亿美元,同比增长20%。</p><p>谷歌本季度净利润为206亿美元,同比增长35.5%。</p><p>Meta本季度净利润为102.85亿美元,同比下降8%。</p><p>很显然,在过去的一个季度里,硅谷的科技巨头们,开启了印钞机模式,疫情带来的阴影似乎对它们的业务没有丝毫影响。</p><p>但是,如果我们仔细去翻看一下它们的财报构成就会非常容易看到一个通病:这些科技巨头们,全部都在吃老本,它们旗下的创新业务没有一个成长为真正的第二增长曲线,扎克伯格的Meta因为在元宇宙上的持续亏损,导致财报后的股价大跌,市值蒸发2300亿美元。</p><p>很显然,华尔街不愿意再为增速不达标的硅谷的互联网梦想买单;华尔街现在的心头好,也许是那些试图用硬件再次驱动世界进步的公司。</p><p>于是,亚洲市值最高公司变成了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a>,而马斯克则坐稳了世界首富的宝座,他的财报电话会议也是本季度最值得一听且充满创新的交谈。</p><p><b>01</b></p><p><b>华尔街对硅谷的预期</b></p><p>比尔·盖茨留下的Windows和Office,今时今日仍然是微软的主要收入来源:Windows贡献了66亿美金,Office贡献了112亿美金,而微软该季度整体营收为517亿美金。</p><p>而苹果公司则更是如此。目前苹果公司所有的收入来源构成,几乎跟乔布斯时代没有任何区别。严格意义上来说,在失去了乔布斯之后,苹果公司似乎只成功发布了一款AirPods耳机,如同曾经比尔·盖茨担心的那样,苹果的硬件、软件一体化生态的成功是高度依赖乔布斯的。但是欣慰的是,蒂姆·库克是一个特别会赚钱的CEO,他正在用他的方式为苹果续命——但是却不是焕发生机。</p><p>谷歌面临同样的问题。搜索广告依旧是它主要的收入来源,营收753.3亿美元,广告收入为612.4亿美元,而搜索广告独占433亿美元。</p><p>上述三家公司,财报之后股价均涨,谷歌还要乘胜追击:拆股,好让中小投资者参与进来。</p><p>再看看另外一些没有达到预期的公司境遇。</p><p>最头疼的人应该是扎克伯格,Meta的财报显示,该季度营收337亿美元,其中广告销售额326亿美元;净收入103亿美元,月活跃用户29亿,各项指标均不及预期。</p><p>随后,股价大跌25%,直接蒸发市值2300亿美金,四个<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>没了。</p><p>很显然,华尔街不愿意再为硅谷的未来业务买单,它们对于扎克伯格的元宇宙没有信心。</p><p>Meta的“元宇宙”开发部门Reality Labs报告了巨额且不断增长的亏损,在2021年亏损超过100亿美元,达到102亿美元,收入仅不到23亿美元。</p><p>资本永远都是最聪明的:既然没有业务和产品的创新,硅谷的科技巨头就得老老实实挣钱。而且,要持续压榨现在的市场,每一个季度都得保持增长,一旦出现负增长,且没有业务和产品的巨大创新,资本立刻走人。</p><p>真正有耐心的资本,中外罕见。当年的苹果也是推出了iPod、iPhone、iPad等等一系列产品之后,股价才一飞冲天。脱离了硬件产品的互联网习惯的漫长用户培育期,华尔街已经不爱了。</p><p>除了Meta之外,Netflix在公布了不及预期的财报后,股价创下近十年来的最大跌幅;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a>不达预期财报发布后,股价下跌近25%,市值蒸发510亿美元。</p><p>同样在放缓增速的中概股们,接下来会迎来什么样的遭遇呢?本质上,华尔街已经给出答案,看一看已经跌掉70%股价的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">拼多多</a>,就可以窥见一斑。</p><p><b>02</b></p><p><b>互联网成为了普通存在</b></p><p>为什么会出现这种局面?曾经的华尔街愿意给所有的还在亏钱的互联网烧钱,而今天却又变得如此苛刻?答案是,业务成熟,未来可见。</p><p>微软的纳德拉和苹果的库克,与他们的前辈盖茨和乔布斯相比,最大的区别就是前者是职业经理人,而后者是真正的创业者和发明家,前者向资本负责,而后者为自己负责。</p><p>一旦伟大公司的CEO无法成为真正驱动产品和业务创新的中心后,这家公司大概率会变成一家平庸的公司,就像曾经的杰克·韦尔奇,虽然创造了当时市值第一的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GE\">通用电气</a>,但是也同样让通用电气丧失了自己的灵魂,有钱且无趣。</p><p>如果上面一个小标题,我们在阐述华尔街资本的无情,那么从另外一个角度来看,华尔街的资本同时也永远是最理智的存在,因为它们知道应该在哪里下注。</p><p>在过去的十年时间里,谁赢得了华尔街最大的时间和金钱双重信任?</p><p>很显然,是拥有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>、SpaceX等一系列公司的埃隆·马斯克。如果你说华尔街不愿意再为梦想买单的话,马斯克持续亏损多年的故事又如何解释?毕竟特斯拉亏损时间超过15年。</p><p>华尔街不仅仅愿意为特斯拉的亏损买单,在美国上市的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>、理想、小鹏也同样成为了亏损买单对象,但是同样来自中国的互联网公司则遭到了不同的待遇,普遍股价下跌40%以上。</p><p>表面上,很多媒体解读到的是:资本不再看好中国的互联网公司;而本质上,是华尔街不会再对全世界任何一家互联网公司抱有耐心,互联网的光环已经丧失,这些公司与所有普通公司一样,需要为数据工作,资本不再会为故事买单。</p><p>上述的数据已经很好的证明:美国本土互联网公司,达不到预期,下场也是一样。</p><p>那么,正在赌博下一场互联网革命的Meta公司,为何也会沦落为资本唾弃的对象呢?很显然,资本认为,那不是下一代互联网,或者说,下一代互联网距离我们还很遥远。</p><p>而当下重要的事情,可能是先从硬件开始着手发力。毕竟,我们的世界,目前还是由物理驱动的。所以,台积电成为了亚洲市值最高的公司,而硬件狂人马斯克成为了世界首富。</p><p>正如马斯克在最近的特斯拉财报电话会议中所说的那样,这将是一家人工智能<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300024\">机器人</a>公司,他们正在开发神经网络超级计算机;这家最近一年最高涨450%的科技公司,自始至终没有谈到任何互联网的畅想,它所有的业务都游走在互联网的底层——算力。</p><p>互联网让世界软了二十年,终于又回到了硬件驱动的时代。</p><p><b>03</b></p><p><b>我们的互联网公司该怎么办?</b></p><p>上述事件,均是大洋彼岸的事情,而我们的互联网公司该何去何从?</p><p>过去的一年,已经听不到任何一笔来自一级市场的互联网融资大事件了;二级市场,互联网巨头们基本全部都在10%以上的下跌。</p><p>很显然,我们的互联网热潮退去的更加激烈。那么,在被资本和舆论唾弃了一年之后,让我们看看互联网的本质到底是什么。</p><p>首先,互联网热潮首先是因为电脑和手机的出现,才逐渐形成的,本质上互联网是计算机驱动的产业,还是来源于硬件的创新。</p><p>其次,互联网加速了世界的信息流通,提高了社会整体信息的透明度,加速了信息的流动化,让世界运行的更加快速。</p><p>最后,任何商业模式的本质都是牟利,互联网也一样,因为数据化之后的平台更容易产生信息的垄断,导致了互联网平台型经济的后遗症逐渐产生:互联网因为信息的聚合,不仅没有像尼葛洛庞蒂预言的那样带来一个平等的时代,却带来了一个越发垄断的现状,互联网巨头们掌握了社会的最优资源。</p><p>拥有硬件实力的苹果公司,在去年发布了隐私保护政策之后,直接导致了今年多家互联网公司的广告营收变化,因此可见,互联网公司们口口声声的“不作恶”是多么的虚伪。</p><p>为什么,Meta公司提出的元宇宙并没有被资本买单?很显然,目前它们勾勒出来的未来互联网,并没有解决任何今天互联网存在的问题:垄断、数据、隐私、安全……</p><p>元宇宙只是让互联网立体了一些而已,但是就算如此,我们的巨头们依旧不愿意放弃机会,毕竟害怕赌错,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>、字节跳动、百度等等一系列公司均在悄悄布局。</p><p>但是,世界真正缺乏的是什么?其实聪明钱早已经给出答案:硬件的创新。</p><p>台积电一跃成为亚洲市值最高的公司,拥有特斯拉、SpaceX以及星链的马斯克持续坐稳世界首富,这都在告诉我们:我们需要一波新的硬件,来驱动下一代技术的革命。</p><p>有几点启发,是现在可以预见的。</p><p>第一,我们的世界不仅仅只有互联网,互联网不是一切,数据也不一定就是未来的石油,虽然它已经发挥了接近二十年的石油功效。能源、材料、生物正在取代互联网成为未来三十年的投资热门,它们会重新组合出新的计算方案以及我们未来的生活。</p><p>第二,下一代技术需要让社会走向平权,走向数据的可控,走向尊重个人隐私,走向碳基生命与硅基信号之间的转换,为我们提供一个体验更加优越的社会,且对环境造成最小的影响,而提升效率不再为是最大需求,因为提升效率往往就要以牺牲体验和环境作为代价。</p><p>最后,我们的互联网公司也许将来会有很多会彻底转型成科技公司。目前来看,百度是这些公司中最有可能提前实现这种转变的。百度与谷歌,两家都以搜索安身立命的公司,正在走向两种截然不同的命运,百度All in了AI和自动驾驶,而谷歌的重心则还在传统的广告业务上徘徊。</p><p>也许,被视作失败者多年的百度,现在反而值得我们那些被称为成功代表的互联网巨头们,重新审视并认真学习一下。</p><p>互联网公司的未来,一定不在互联网,互联网是因,但未必是果。</p></body></html>","source":"sina_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n华尔街拒绝为软硅谷买单\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-02-05 10:02 北京时间 <a href=http://tech.sina.cn/csj/2022-02-05/doc-ikyakumy4284435.d.html?vt=4><strong>创事记</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>昨晚,达到市场预期的亚马逊财报,让该公司股价一路飙涨,盘中顺利超过10%,而早些时间发布财报的Meta公司,却遭遇了下跌25%的滑铁卢,同样都是盈利的互联网科技公司,为何命运截然不同?中国农历春节前后,苹果、微软、谷歌、Meta以及亚马逊等硅谷主要科技巨头先后公布了自己的当季度财报,除了Meta一家之外,其余巨头们均以超出预期的形式结束了这一年。亚马逊本季度净利润为142亿美元,同比增长98.6%...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://tech.sina.cn/csj/2022-02-05/doc-ikyakumy4284435.d.html?vt=4\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aab667b22ddd84f63ad2db656e8a0d4f","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电","MSFT":"微软","BIDU":"百度","BK4528":"SaaS概念","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF","BK4516":"特朗普概念","GOOGL":"谷歌A","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4515":"5G概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓","AAPL":"苹果","BK4531":"中概回港概念","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4555":"新能源车","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AMZN":"亚马逊","BK4514":"搜索引擎","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4509":"腾讯概念","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4508":"社交媒体","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4501":"段永平概念","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","BK4538":"云计算","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4526":"热门中概股","NIO":"蔚来","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4505":"高瓴资本持仓","BK4097":"系统软件","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4512":"苹果概念","BK4099":"汽车制造商","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","BK4170":"电脑硬件、储存设备及电脑周边","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"http://tech.sina.cn/csj/2022-02-05/doc-ikyakumy4284435.d.html?vt=4","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2209341304","content_text":"昨晚,达到市场预期的亚马逊财报,让该公司股价一路飙涨,盘中顺利超过10%,而早些时间发布财报的Meta公司,却遭遇了下跌25%的滑铁卢,同样都是盈利的互联网科技公司,为何命运截然不同?中国农历春节前后,苹果、微软、谷歌、Meta以及亚马逊等硅谷主要科技巨头先后公布了自己的当季度财报,除了Meta一家之外,其余巨头们均以超出预期的形式结束了这一年。亚马逊本季度净利润为142亿美元,同比增长98.6%。微软本季度净利润为187.65亿美元,同比增长21%。苹果本季度净利润为346.30亿美元,同比增长20%。谷歌本季度净利润为206亿美元,同比增长35.5%。Meta本季度净利润为102.85亿美元,同比下降8%。很显然,在过去的一个季度里,硅谷的科技巨头们,开启了印钞机模式,疫情带来的阴影似乎对它们的业务没有丝毫影响。但是,如果我们仔细去翻看一下它们的财报构成就会非常容易看到一个通病:这些科技巨头们,全部都在吃老本,它们旗下的创新业务没有一个成长为真正的第二增长曲线,扎克伯格的Meta因为在元宇宙上的持续亏损,导致财报后的股价大跌,市值蒸发2300亿美元。很显然,华尔街不愿意再为增速不达标的硅谷的互联网梦想买单;华尔街现在的心头好,也许是那些试图用硬件再次驱动世界进步的公司。于是,亚洲市值最高公司变成了台积电,而马斯克则坐稳了世界首富的宝座,他的财报电话会议也是本季度最值得一听且充满创新的交谈。01华尔街对硅谷的预期比尔·盖茨留下的Windows和Office,今时今日仍然是微软的主要收入来源:Windows贡献了66亿美金,Office贡献了112亿美金,而微软该季度整体营收为517亿美金。而苹果公司则更是如此。目前苹果公司所有的收入来源构成,几乎跟乔布斯时代没有任何区别。严格意义上来说,在失去了乔布斯之后,苹果公司似乎只成功发布了一款AirPods耳机,如同曾经比尔·盖茨担心的那样,苹果的硬件、软件一体化生态的成功是高度依赖乔布斯的。但是欣慰的是,蒂姆·库克是一个特别会赚钱的CEO,他正在用他的方式为苹果续命——但是却不是焕发生机。谷歌面临同样的问题。搜索广告依旧是它主要的收入来源,营收753.3亿美元,广告收入为612.4亿美元,而搜索广告独占433亿美元。上述三家公司,财报之后股价均涨,谷歌还要乘胜追击:拆股,好让中小投资者参与进来。再看看另外一些没有达到预期的公司境遇。最头疼的人应该是扎克伯格,Meta的财报显示,该季度营收337亿美元,其中广告销售额326亿美元;净收入103亿美元,月活跃用户29亿,各项指标均不及预期。随后,股价大跌25%,直接蒸发市值2300亿美金,四个百度没了。很显然,华尔街不愿意再为硅谷的未来业务买单,它们对于扎克伯格的元宇宙没有信心。Meta的“元宇宙”开发部门Reality Labs报告了巨额且不断增长的亏损,在2021年亏损超过100亿美元,达到102亿美元,收入仅不到23亿美元。资本永远都是最聪明的:既然没有业务和产品的创新,硅谷的科技巨头就得老老实实挣钱。而且,要持续压榨现在的市场,每一个季度都得保持增长,一旦出现负增长,且没有业务和产品的巨大创新,资本立刻走人。真正有耐心的资本,中外罕见。当年的苹果也是推出了iPod、iPhone、iPad等等一系列产品之后,股价才一飞冲天。脱离了硬件产品的互联网习惯的漫长用户培育期,华尔街已经不爱了。除了Meta之外,Netflix在公布了不及预期的财报后,股价创下近十年来的最大跌幅;PayPal不达预期财报发布后,股价下跌近25%,市值蒸发510亿美元。同样在放缓增速的中概股们,接下来会迎来什么样的遭遇呢?本质上,华尔街已经给出答案,看一看已经跌掉70%股价的拼多多,就可以窥见一斑。02互联网成为了普通存在为什么会出现这种局面?曾经的华尔街愿意给所有的还在亏钱的互联网烧钱,而今天却又变得如此苛刻?答案是,业务成熟,未来可见。微软的纳德拉和苹果的库克,与他们的前辈盖茨和乔布斯相比,最大的区别就是前者是职业经理人,而后者是真正的创业者和发明家,前者向资本负责,而后者为自己负责。一旦伟大公司的CEO无法成为真正驱动产品和业务创新的中心后,这家公司大概率会变成一家平庸的公司,就像曾经的杰克·韦尔奇,虽然创造了当时市值第一的通用电气,但是也同样让通用电气丧失了自己的灵魂,有钱且无趣。如果上面一个小标题,我们在阐述华尔街资本的无情,那么从另外一个角度来看,华尔街的资本同时也永远是最理智的存在,因为它们知道应该在哪里下注。在过去的十年时间里,谁赢得了华尔街最大的时间和金钱双重信任?很显然,是拥有特斯拉、SpaceX等一系列公司的埃隆·马斯克。如果你说华尔街不愿意再为梦想买单的话,马斯克持续亏损多年的故事又如何解释?毕竟特斯拉亏损时间超过15年。华尔街不仅仅愿意为特斯拉的亏损买单,在美国上市的蔚来、理想、小鹏也同样成为了亏损买单对象,但是同样来自中国的互联网公司则遭到了不同的待遇,普遍股价下跌40%以上。表面上,很多媒体解读到的是:资本不再看好中国的互联网公司;而本质上,是华尔街不会再对全世界任何一家互联网公司抱有耐心,互联网的光环已经丧失,这些公司与所有普通公司一样,需要为数据工作,资本不再会为故事买单。上述的数据已经很好的证明:美国本土互联网公司,达不到预期,下场也是一样。那么,正在赌博下一场互联网革命的Meta公司,为何也会沦落为资本唾弃的对象呢?很显然,资本认为,那不是下一代互联网,或者说,下一代互联网距离我们还很遥远。而当下重要的事情,可能是先从硬件开始着手发力。毕竟,我们的世界,目前还是由物理驱动的。所以,台积电成为了亚洲市值最高的公司,而硬件狂人马斯克成为了世界首富。正如马斯克在最近的特斯拉财报电话会议中所说的那样,这将是一家人工智能机器人公司,他们正在开发神经网络超级计算机;这家最近一年最高涨450%的科技公司,自始至终没有谈到任何互联网的畅想,它所有的业务都游走在互联网的底层——算力。互联网让世界软了二十年,终于又回到了硬件驱动的时代。03我们的互联网公司该怎么办?上述事件,均是大洋彼岸的事情,而我们的互联网公司该何去何从?过去的一年,已经听不到任何一笔来自一级市场的互联网融资大事件了;二级市场,互联网巨头们基本全部都在10%以上的下跌。很显然,我们的互联网热潮退去的更加激烈。那么,在被资本和舆论唾弃了一年之后,让我们看看互联网的本质到底是什么。首先,互联网热潮首先是因为电脑和手机的出现,才逐渐形成的,本质上互联网是计算机驱动的产业,还是来源于硬件的创新。其次,互联网加速了世界的信息流通,提高了社会整体信息的透明度,加速了信息的流动化,让世界运行的更加快速。最后,任何商业模式的本质都是牟利,互联网也一样,因为数据化之后的平台更容易产生信息的垄断,导致了互联网平台型经济的后遗症逐渐产生:互联网因为信息的聚合,不仅没有像尼葛洛庞蒂预言的那样带来一个平等的时代,却带来了一个越发垄断的现状,互联网巨头们掌握了社会的最优资源。拥有硬件实力的苹果公司,在去年发布了隐私保护政策之后,直接导致了今年多家互联网公司的广告营收变化,因此可见,互联网公司们口口声声的“不作恶”是多么的虚伪。为什么,Meta公司提出的元宇宙并没有被资本买单?很显然,目前它们勾勒出来的未来互联网,并没有解决任何今天互联网存在的问题:垄断、数据、隐私、安全……元宇宙只是让互联网立体了一些而已,但是就算如此,我们的巨头们依旧不愿意放弃机会,毕竟害怕赌错,腾讯、字节跳动、百度等等一系列公司均在悄悄布局。但是,世界真正缺乏的是什么?其实聪明钱早已经给出答案:硬件的创新。台积电一跃成为亚洲市值最高的公司,拥有特斯拉、SpaceX以及星链的马斯克持续坐稳世界首富,这都在告诉我们:我们需要一波新的硬件,来驱动下一代技术的革命。有几点启发,是现在可以预见的。第一,我们的世界不仅仅只有互联网,互联网不是一切,数据也不一定就是未来的石油,虽然它已经发挥了接近二十年的石油功效。能源、材料、生物正在取代互联网成为未来三十年的投资热门,它们会重新组合出新的计算方案以及我们未来的生活。第二,下一代技术需要让社会走向平权,走向数据的可控,走向尊重个人隐私,走向碳基生命与硅基信号之间的转换,为我们提供一个体验更加优越的社会,且对环境造成最小的影响,而提升效率不再为是最大需求,因为提升效率往往就要以牺牲体验和环境作为代价。最后,我们的互联网公司也许将来会有很多会彻底转型成科技公司。目前来看,百度是这些公司中最有可能提前实现这种转变的。百度与谷歌,两家都以搜索安身立命的公司,正在走向两种截然不同的命运,百度All in了AI和自动驾驶,而谷歌的重心则还在传统的广告业务上徘徊。也许,被视作失败者多年的百度,现在反而值得我们那些被称为成功代表的互联网巨头们,重新审视并认真学习一下。互联网公司的未来,一定不在互联网,互联网是因,但未必是果。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":880732207,"gmtCreate":1631080247309,"gmtModify":1631080247309,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01810\">$小米集团-W(01810)$</a>什么人在一直卖小米?","listText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">$小米集团ADR(XIACY)$</a>可以复活了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XIACY\">$小米集团ADR(XIACY)$</a>可以复活了","text":"$小米集团ADR(XIACY)$可以复活了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168933948","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":168997443,"gmtCreate":1623946220482,"gmtModify":1623946220482,"author":{"id":"3497262673003342","authorId":"3497262673003342","name":"lizlee","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac1f0cda23bc08ec001336942ff743d8","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3497262673003342","authorIdStr":"3497262673003342"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"[开心] [开心] [开心] ","listText":"[开心] [开心] [开心] ","text":"[开心] [开心] 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首先回顾一下财报,半导体代工龙头台积电在1月16日盘前发布2019年第四季度财报并召开年度法人说明会,在会上,台积电方面表示,公司在第四季度营收约合105.95亿美元,四季度的毛利润率为50.2%,营业利润率为39.2%,净利润率为36.6%。毛利润和营业利润率均高于此前的预期。 据财报统计台积电2019年全年营收约349.45亿美元,同比增长2.1%,如果折算成人民币,台积电在2019年每日收入6.6亿人民币。同时台积电认为随着5G和高性能运算的快速发展,预计2020年一季度的收入将达到102亿美元至103亿美元,而去年为71亿美元。本文将主要从三个维度讨论台积电从财报透露的信息,以及现在的台积电是否值得继续买入。 1.台积电2019年财报的资本支出透露了什么? 2. 中芯国际无法撼动台积电这只大象 3.现在的台积电是否值得入手 首先说说从台积电2019年资本支出透露的信息 台积电在该季营收3172.37亿新台币,折合约103.9亿美元,高于三季度财报中预计的102亿美元到103亿美元,同比增长9.5%,环比增长8.3%。主要是由于智能手机相关应用的需求增加比2019年末,不包括存储器在内的半导体行业需求下降了3%,而晶圆代工厂持平。以美元计价收入同比增长1.3%,台积电营收超过了半导体存储器和代工行业的增长,再次证明台积电圆晶。 1.7nm横行天下成为业绩贡献王2019年技术营收比例图:来源财报 财报显示台积电在第四季度7nm工艺芯片出货量占比35%,相比2018年提升8%,16nm工艺出货量占20%,10n","listText":"费城半导体指数在2019年飙升了60%,这是半导体行业十年来最好的一年。这使该指数的股票平均收益达到远期收益的近20倍,这是十年来的最高水平,随着智能手机的高速发展半导体行业也走过了繁荣的十年黄金岁月,而作为作为晶圆代工产业的开拓者,下个十年台积电仍然会是大赢家。 首先回顾一下财报,半导体代工龙头台积电在1月16日盘前发布2019年第四季度财报并召开年度法人说明会,在会上,台积电方面表示,公司在第四季度营收约合105.95亿美元,四季度的毛利润率为50.2%,营业利润率为39.2%,净利润率为36.6%。毛利润和营业利润率均高于此前的预期。 据财报统计台积电2019年全年营收约349.45亿美元,同比增长2.1%,如果折算成人民币,台积电在2019年每日收入6.6亿人民币。同时台积电认为随着5G和高性能运算的快速发展,预计2020年一季度的收入将达到102亿美元至103亿美元,而去年为71亿美元。本文将主要从三个维度讨论台积电从财报透露的信息,以及现在的台积电是否值得继续买入。 1.台积电2019年财报的资本支出透露了什么? 2. 中芯国际无法撼动台积电这只大象 3.现在的台积电是否值得入手 首先说说从台积电2019年资本支出透露的信息 台积电在该季营收3172.37亿新台币,折合约103.9亿美元,高于三季度财报中预计的102亿美元到103亿美元,同比增长9.5%,环比增长8.3%。主要是由于智能手机相关应用的需求增加比2019年末,不包括存储器在内的半导体行业需求下降了3%,而晶圆代工厂持平。以美元计价收入同比增长1.3%,台积电营收超过了半导体存储器和代工行业的增长,再次证明台积电圆晶。 1.7nm横行天下成为业绩贡献王2019年技术营收比例图:来源财报 财报显示台积电在第四季度7nm工艺芯片出货量占比35%,相比2018年提升8%,16nm工艺出货量占20%,10n","text":"费城半导体指数在2019年飙升了60%,这是半导体行业十年来最好的一年。这使该指数的股票平均收益达到远期收益的近20倍,这是十年来的最高水平,随着智能手机的高速发展半导体行业也走过了繁荣的十年黄金岁月,而作为作为晶圆代工产业的开拓者,下个十年台积电仍然会是大赢家。 首先回顾一下财报,半导体代工龙头台积电在1月16日盘前发布2019年第四季度财报并召开年度法人说明会,在会上,台积电方面表示,公司在第四季度营收约合105.95亿美元,四季度的毛利润率为50.2%,营业利润率为39.2%,净利润率为36.6%。毛利润和营业利润率均高于此前的预期。 据财报统计台积电2019年全年营收约349.45亿美元,同比增长2.1%,如果折算成人民币,台积电在2019年每日收入6.6亿人民币。同时台积电认为随着5G和高性能运算的快速发展,预计2020年一季度的收入将达到102亿美元至103亿美元,而去年为71亿美元。本文将主要从三个维度讨论台积电从财报透露的信息,以及现在的台积电是否值得继续买入。 1.台积电2019年财报的资本支出透露了什么? 2. 中芯国际无法撼动台积电这只大象 3.现在的台积电是否值得入手 首先说说从台积电2019年资本支出透露的信息 台积电在该季营收3172.37亿新台币,折合约103.9亿美元,高于三季度财报中预计的102亿美元到103亿美元,同比增长9.5%,环比增长8.3%。主要是由于智能手机相关应用的需求增加比2019年末,不包括存储器在内的半导体行业需求下降了3%,而晶圆代工厂持平。以美元计价收入同比增长1.3%,台积电营收超过了半导体存储器和代工行业的增长,再次证明台积电圆晶。 1.7nm横行天下成为业绩贡献王2019年技术营收比例图:来源财报 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