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nini2019

nini2019

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0勋章

11-01

12万吧？怎么可能差这么多[真香]

美国10月非农数据惊人“大降温”！10月失业率4.1%

08-07

$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$日线背离了，这几天应该会有第二次探底，今晚准备1000做空

08-03

大家有发现近期老虎交易软件会屏闪，界面死机无法做任何操作，只能硬重启手机吗？这是升级新版本后发生的事情，以前没有。我苹果15手机，大家有相似问题吗？客服一直不回应，这个问题很频繁了，一个月5次了，每次都很烦

08-01

看好coin，其它几个这次估计要大跌

08-01

$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ 看架势大饼要跌把大的，这个要回到1400水平

07-08

$超微电脑(SMCI)$ 像弹簧压的越紧弹力越大，似乎箭在弦上

06-09

图一：不负众望图二：与众不同图三：万众一心图四：才华出众图五：一举高中

03-17

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 本来好好的k线被你们玩成什么样子了。这是有多心急啊，调整调整多好啊，未到位就被急火火的拉起来了。好啦，下周我要谨慎一点了[捂脸]

03-16

直接买股票收益因该是525/414.44=126.8%，收益26.8%

期权淘金 | 微软和Meta的期权异动凸显了他们的长期价值

03-16

$超微电脑(SMCI)$ 这个控盘手法是真的强，明显的背离就是要撑到最后一刻崩溃😡。好吧，我就看你下周怎么演，1000等你

03-05

$Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ 感觉还要下一个台阶，然后看是否能稳住，不然还要走三浪再下

02-15

$NQ100指数主连 2403(NQmain)$ 技术面看还要下探一次啊，今明发生。小心一点

02-09

$ARM 20240209 80.0 CALL$ 又卖飞了，小赌怡[笑哭]

2023-09-28

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 莫非要去210

2023-08-22

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 英伟达一夜收复大部分失地，成交金额超310亿，换手率不到3%；特斯拉大涨7.3%，成交308亿，相比大A这流动性果然是神一般存在。财报前这种走法意味着财报当天会有巨幅震荡，我希望是有超预期指引，这样500是可以去摸的。看走势会在这个位置适当减仓应对。特斯拉调整还没结束，先看250

2023-08-01

$美国超导(AMSC)$ 这也太牛了，买的太少了

2023-07-26

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 248能撑住吗？期待！

2023-06-18

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 从K线看和特斯拉一样要走几天横盘下跌了，下周期权会很受伤。反而是微软，Meta走的不错

2023-06-17

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这次要去253了

2023-05-30

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 先上400吧

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:[],"htmlText":"12万吧？怎么可能差这么多[真香]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"12万吧？怎么可能差这么多[真香]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"12万吧？怎么可能差这么多[真香]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366320004104416","repostId":"1161870905","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1161870905","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1730464233,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1161870905?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-01 20:30","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美国10月非农数据惊人“大降温”！10月失业率4.1%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161870905","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"预期为11.3万人，前值修正为22.3万人。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国10月新增非农就业人数1.2万人，预期为11.3万人，前值由25.4万人修正为22.3万人。</strong></p><p><strong>8月和9月非农数据大幅下修</strong></p><p>8月份新增非农就业总人数从15.9万人向下修正8.1万人，至7.8万人；9月份新增非农就业总人数从25.4万人向下修正3.1万人，至22.3万人。经过这些修正，8月和9月的就业人数加起来比之前报告的人数少了11.2万人。</p><p><strong>分析：飓风和罢工导致？</strong></p><p>周五公布的就业数据是在飓风“米尔顿”在佛罗里达州登陆的一周内收集的，不久之后飓风“海伦妮”袭击了美国东南部。波音公司持续的罢工导致3.3万名员工停止工作，也拖累了这一数字。</p><p>分析师Casselman指出，值得注意的是，在我们预计会受到风暴和罢工影响的许多行业，招聘都很疲弱。制造业就业人数减少了4.6万人，可能主要是由于波音公司的罢工。零售、休闲和酒店业的就业人数下降，这些行业容易受到飓风的破坏。</p><p><strong>失业率持平</strong></p><p>美国10月失业率 4.1%，预期 4.1%，前值 4.1%。</p><p>数据发布后，美股指数期货直线拉升！利率期货显示美联储11月、12月以及2025年降息25个基点的可能性增强。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08b60962bd045b1818b85fccf97b8054\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"634\"/></p><p><strong>个股盘前走势</strong></p><p>Atlassian大涨超21%。上季度营收、每股收益超预期，上调全年增长展望。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c0813d0e2f9f662c956403accd96de\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>涨7%。三季度营收133亿美元，超出预期。第四季度收入指引略高于预期，引发了人们对该公司有能力收复部分市场份额的乐观情绪。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35e9abfad66afc18c631aa062e5e24fd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>同时，芯片股盘前集体向好。截至发稿，昨日大跌的ARM涨1.77%，英伟达涨1.78%，台积电涨1.5%，AMD涨0.8%，高通涨0.5%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>涨超7%。三季度总营收超预期，EPS跳涨55%，年末节假日购物季的收入指引虽略逊预期，但盈利指引利好，且云业务利润率和公司整体营业利润率齐创新高。</p><p>苹果跌超1.8%。上季iPhone收入“翻身”，但在华销售依然萎靡。补缴税百亿拖累盈利转降，本季营收或放缓。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a4c71385954d4c6be0a62bb24503090\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>特朗普媒体科技集团续跌超7%，此前连续两个交易日大跌，连收三根阴线。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6e8f02f569ed1c768b2c3123f5358e7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国10月非农数据惊人“大降温”！10月失业率4.1%</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国10月非农数据惊人“大降温”！10月失业率4.1%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-11-01 20:30</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国10月新增非农就业人数1.2万人，预期为11.3万人，前值由25.4万人修正为22.3万人。</strong></p><p><strong>8月和9月非农数据大幅下修</strong></p><p>8月份新增非农就业总人数从15.9万人向下修正8.1万人，至7.8万人；9月份新增非农就业总人数从25.4万人向下修正3.1万人，至22.3万人。经过这些修正，8月和9月的就业人数加起来比之前报告的人数少了11.2万人。</p><p><strong>分析：飓风和罢工导致？</strong></p><p>周五公布的就业数据是在飓风“米尔顿”在佛罗里达州登陆的一周内收集的，不久之后飓风“海伦妮”袭击了美国东南部。波音公司持续的罢工导致3.3万名员工停止工作，也拖累了这一数字。</p><p>分析师Casselman指出，值得注意的是，在我们预计会受到风暴和罢工影响的许多行业，招聘都很疲弱。制造业就业人数减少了4.6万人，可能主要是由于波音公司的罢工。零售、休闲和酒店业的就业人数下降，这些行业容易受到飓风的破坏。</p><p><strong>失业率持平</strong></p><p>美国10月失业率 4.1%，预期 4.1%，前值 4.1%。</p><p>数据发布后，美股指数期货直线拉升！利率期货显示美联储11月、12月以及2025年降息25个基点的可能性增强。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08b60962bd045b1818b85fccf97b8054\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1017\" tg-height=\"634\"/></p><p><strong>个股盘前走势</strong></p><p>Atlassian大涨超21%。上季度营收、每股收益超预期，上调全年增长展望。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c0813d0e2f9f662c956403accd96de\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"130\"/></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">英特尔</a>涨7%。三季度营收133亿美元，超出预期。第四季度收入指引略高于预期，引发了人们对该公司有能力收复部分市场份额的乐观情绪。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35e9abfad66afc18c631aa062e5e24fd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>同时，芯片股盘前集体向好。截至发稿，昨日大跌的ARM涨1.77%，英伟达涨1.78%，台积电涨1.5%，AMD涨0.8%，高通涨0.5%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>涨超7%。三季度总营收超预期，EPS跳涨55%，年末节假日购物季的收入指引虽略逊预期，但盈利指引利好，且云业务利润率和公司整体营业利润率齐创新高。</p><p>苹果跌超1.8%。上季iPhone收入“翻身”，但在华销售依然萎靡。补缴税百亿拖累盈利转降，本季营收或放缓。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a4c71385954d4c6be0a62bb24503090\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>特朗普媒体科技集团续跌超7%，此前连续两个交易日大跌，连收三根阴线。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6e8f02f569ed1c768b2c3123f5358e7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"131\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161870905","content_text":"美国10月新增非农就业人数1.2万人，预期为11.3万人，前值由25.4万人修正为22.3万人。8月和9月非农数据大幅下修8月份新增非农就业总人数从15.9万人向下修正8.1万人，至7.8万人；9月份新增非农就业总人数从25.4万人向下修正3.1万人，至22.3万人。经过这些修正，8月和9月的就业人数加起来比之前报告的人数少了11.2万人。分析：飓风和罢工导致？周五公布的就业数据是在飓风“米尔顿”在佛罗里达州登陆的一周内收集的，不久之后飓风“海伦妮”袭击了美国东南部。波音公司持续的罢工导致3.3万名员工停止工作，也拖累了这一数字。分析师Casselman指出，值得注意的是，在我们预计会受到风暴和罢工影响的许多行业，招聘都很疲弱。制造业就业人数减少了4.6万人，可能主要是由于波音公司的罢工。零售、休闲和酒店业的就业人数下降，这些行业容易受到飓风的破坏。失业率持平美国10月失业率 4.1%，预期 4.1%，前值 4.1%。数据发布后，美股指数期货直线拉升！利率期货显示美联储11月、12月以及2025年降息25个基点的可能性增强。个股盘前走势Atlassian大涨超21%。上季度营收、每股收益超预期，上调全年增长展望。英特尔涨7%。三季度营收133亿美元，超出预期。第四季度收入指引略高于预期，引发了人们对该公司有能力收复部分市场份额的乐观情绪。同时，芯片股盘前集体向好。截至发稿，昨日大跌的ARM涨1.77%，英伟达涨1.78%，台积电涨1.5%，AMD涨0.8%，高通涨0.5%。亚马逊涨超7%。三季度总营收超预期，EPS跳涨55%，年末节假日购物季的收入指引虽略逊预期，但盈利指引利好，且云业务利润率和公司整体营业利润率齐创新高。苹果跌超1.8%。上季iPhone收入“翻身”，但在华销售依然萎靡。补缴税百亿拖累盈利转降，本季营收或放缓。特朗普媒体科技集团续跌超7%，此前连续两个交易日大跌，连收三根阴线。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":64,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":335861321724296,"gmtCreate":1723033618441,"gmtModify":1723033620014,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$</a> 看架势大饼要跌把大的，这个要回到1400水平","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$</a> 看架势大饼要跌把大的，这个要回到1400水平","text":"$MicroStrategy Incorporated(MSTR)$ 看架势大饼要跌把大的，这个要回到1400水平","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/333567493799992","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":325254603665688,"gmtCreate":1720436995044,"gmtModify":1720436996564,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SMCI\">$超微电脑(SMCI)$</a> 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图五：一举高中","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/314943966953736","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":606,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":285313656983696,"gmtCreate":1710662361238,"gmtModify":1710662366595,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 本来好好的k线被你们玩成什么样子了。这是有多心急啊，调整调整多好啊，未到位就被急火火的拉起来了。好啦，下周我要谨慎一点了[捂脸]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> 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本来好好的k线被你们玩成什么样子了。这是有多心急啊，调整调整多好啊，未到位就被急火火的拉起来了。好啦，下周我要谨慎一点了[捂脸]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebf003348c726691e0ee8aa31c99432d","width":"1179","height":"2556"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/285313656983696","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":284974441455824,"gmtCreate":1710579603442,"gmtModify":1710579605570,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"直接买股票收益因该是525/414.44=126.8%，收益26.8%","listText":"直接买股票收益因该是525/414.44=126.8%，收益26.8%","text":"直接买股票收益因该是525/414.44=126.8%，收益26.8%","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/284974441455824","repostId":"1148960731","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1148960731","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"期权策略分享","home_visible":1,"media_name":"期权女巫","id":"1020040791","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89"},"pubTimestamp":1710401005,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148960731?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-03-14 15:23","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"期权淘金 | 微软和Meta的期权异动凸显了他们的长期价值","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148960731","media":"期权女巫","summary":"美东时间3月13日，Barchart报告称机构投资者在微软和Meta Platforms股票中发起了长期看涨期权。行使价格是每股350美元，深度价内期权，比当日的即期价格414.89美元低64.89美元。这仍然远高于这些看涨期权投资者的476.13美元的成本价格。同样，META看涨期权买家的成本价格远低于我们的价格目标。一旦这两支股票达到每股的成本价格，看涨期权买家就会获得良好的利润。例如，一旦MSFT达到每股500美元，每股350美元行使价的期权将交易超过150美元。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美东时间3月13日，Barchart报告称机构投资者在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> 股票中发起了长期看涨期权（到期期间为2年和3年）。</p><h2 id=\"id_407844572\">这一活动突显了这些股票的潜在价值和上行潜力</h2><p>这可以在Barchart的不寻常股票期权活动报告中看到，日期为3月13日星期三。报告显示，投资者交易了超过7,000个期权，到期日期为12/18/26。</p><p>行使价格是每股350美元，深度价内期权，比当日的即期价格414.89美元低64.89美元。这就是为什么这些看涨期权交易可能是由一位对MSFT股票持长期看涨态度的投资者发起的原因。</p><p>同样地，一位机构投资者购买了超过5,000份到期日为2026年6月18日，即827天后的META看涨期权合约。同样地，每股380美元，比当日的即期价格493.86美元低113.86美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7d15216a47c2835f74e886dbb51a96d7\" title=\"来源：Barchart\" tg-width=\"1067\" tg-height=\"417\"/><span>来源：Barchart</span></p><h2 id=\"id_2966368247\">为何对长期投资者有意义</h2><p>其中一个原因是所支付的保费并不算高。例如，MSFT的看涨期权交易价为每份126.13美元，但行使价已经比当时价格低64.89美元。换句话说，将126.13美元加上350.00美元的行使价，投资者购买7,000份期权的成本为476.13美元。这仅比今天的每股414.41美元的价格高出14.9％。</p><p>因此，这意味著股价只需要在接下来的2.76年内上涨15％，投资者就会开始获利。这看起来非常有可能。原因如下。</p><p>在一篇于2月20日的Barchart文章中曾写道，微软股票被低估：“微软股票对投资者来说看起来便宜，包括卖出OTM看涨期权以获得收入。”基于微软的自由现金流（FCF），MSFT股票的目标价格为每股500.55美元，比目前价格高出25％。</p><p>这仍然远高于这些看涨期权投资者的476.13美元的成本价格。这可能不需要2.76年才会实现。</p><p>同样，META看涨期权买家的成本价格远低于我们的价格目标。例如，将190.77美元的期权价格加到380美元的行使价上，得到的总成本为570.77美元。比当前每股495.22美元的即期价格高出15.3％。但META股票很可能价值更高。</p><p>例如，我在3月3日的Barchart文章中写道，META股票的价值为每股602.76美元。这比这裡期权买家的570.77美元的总成本还要高。</p><p>我的观点是，公司巨大的自由现金流利润将会在未来12个月内大幅推高其估值。在这种情况下，投资者有超过2.3年的时间来实现这一目标。因此，这对于这些机构投资者来说是合理的，他们愿意多支付15％的期权费用。</p><h2 id=\"id_3654180653\">这可能不需要2到3年</h2><p>所有期权都比其内在价值高出一些，直到到期。它们的保费包括一个外在价值元素。这使得购买价内期权比购买正股更有利可图。一旦这两支股票达到每股的成本价格，看涨期权买家就会获得良好的利润。</p><p>例如，一旦MSFT达到每股500美元，每股350美元行使价的期权将交易超过150美元。它们可能会交易超过175美元，具体取决于到期时间还剩多少。因此，成本为126.13美元的投资者将已经获得了39.5％的利润（即175/126.13-1）。</p><p>这可能很容易在未来一年内实现。如果是这样，那么这些期权的长期投资者将获得比购买MSFT普通股更高的回报。这是因为股价从每股414.44美元上涨到500美元仅为20.6％，而使用深度入货期权则为近两倍（即+39.5％）。</p><p>总的来说，这些深入货币期权交易对于长期投资者来说看起来是值得效仿的。</p><p><em>本文编译自Barchart，原文标题：Unusual Options Activity in Microsoft and Meta Platforms Highlights Their Long Term Value</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>期权淘金 | 微软和Meta的期权异动凸显了他们的长期价值</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权淘金 | 微软和Meta的期权异动凸显了他们的长期价值\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1020040791\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/7471350466f20d36ee3112d77c72cd89);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">期权女巫 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-03-14 15:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>美东时间3月13日，Barchart报告称机构投资者在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a> 和 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms</a> 股票中发起了长期看涨期权（到期期间为2年和3年）。</p><h2 id=\"id_407844572\">这一活动突显了这些股票的潜在价值和上行潜力</h2><p>这可以在Barchart的不寻常股票期权活动报告中看到，日期为3月13日星期三。报告显示，投资者交易了超过7,000个期权，到期日期为12/18/26。</p><p>行使价格是每股350美元，深度价内期权，比当日的即期价格414.89美元低64.89美元。这就是为什么这些看涨期权交易可能是由一位对MSFT股票持长期看涨态度的投资者发起的原因。</p><p>同样地，一位机构投资者购买了超过5,000份到期日为2026年6月18日，即827天后的META看涨期权合约。同样地，每股380美元，比当日的即期价格493.86美元低113.86美元。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/7d15216a47c2835f74e886dbb51a96d7\" title=\"来源：Barchart\" tg-width=\"1067\" tg-height=\"417\"/><span>来源：Barchart</span></p><h2 id=\"id_2966368247\">为何对长期投资者有意义</h2><p>其中一个原因是所支付的保费并不算高。例如，MSFT的看涨期权交易价为每份126.13美元，但行使价已经比当时价格低64.89美元。换句话说，将126.13美元加上350.00美元的行使价，投资者购买7,000份期权的成本为476.13美元。这仅比今天的每股414.41美元的价格高出14.9％。</p><p>因此，这意味著股价只需要在接下来的2.76年内上涨15％，投资者就会开始获利。这看起来非常有可能。原因如下。</p><p>在一篇于2月20日的Barchart文章中曾写道，微软股票被低估：“微软股票对投资者来说看起来便宜，包括卖出OTM看涨期权以获得收入。”基于微软的自由现金流（FCF），MSFT股票的目标价格为每股500.55美元，比目前价格高出25％。</p><p>这仍然远高于这些看涨期权投资者的476.13美元的成本价格。这可能不需要2.76年才会实现。</p><p>同样，META看涨期权买家的成本价格远低于我们的价格目标。例如，将190.77美元的期权价格加到380美元的行使价上，得到的总成本为570.77美元。比当前每股495.22美元的即期价格高出15.3％。但META股票很可能价值更高。</p><p>例如，我在3月3日的Barchart文章中写道，META股票的价值为每股602.76美元。这比这裡期权买家的570.77美元的总成本还要高。</p><p>我的观点是，公司巨大的自由现金流利润将会在未来12个月内大幅推高其估值。在这种情况下，投资者有超过2.3年的时间来实现这一目标。因此，这对于这些机构投资者来说是合理的，他们愿意多支付15％的期权费用。</p><h2 id=\"id_3654180653\">这可能不需要2到3年</h2><p>所有期权都比其内在价值高出一些，直到到期。它们的保费包括一个外在价值元素。这使得购买价内期权比购买正股更有利可图。一旦这两支股票达到每股的成本价格，看涨期权买家就会获得良好的利润。</p><p>例如，一旦MSFT达到每股500美元，每股350美元行使价的期权将交易超过150美元。它们可能会交易超过175美元，具体取决于到期时间还剩多少。因此，成本为126.13美元的投资者将已经获得了39.5％的利润（即175/126.13-1）。</p><p>这可能很容易在未来一年内实现。如果是这样，那么这些期权的长期投资者将获得比购买MSFT普通股更高的回报。这是因为股价从每股414.44美元上涨到500美元仅为20.6％，而使用深度入货期权则为近两倍（即+39.5％）。</p><p>总的来说，这些深入货币期权交易对于长期投资者来说看起来是值得效仿的。</p><p><em>本文编译自Barchart，原文标题：Unusual Options Activity in Microsoft and Meta Platforms Highlights Their Long Term Value</em></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55eb327f580527889cf30bafa92692ae","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148960731","content_text":"美东时间3月13日，Barchart报告称机构投资者在 微软 和 Meta Platforms 股票中发起了长期看涨期权（到期期间为2年和3年）。这一活动突显了这些股票的潜在价值和上行潜力这可以在Barchart的不寻常股票期权活动报告中看到，日期为3月13日星期三。报告显示，投资者交易了超过7,000个期权，到期日期为12/18/26。行使价格是每股350美元，深度价内期权，比当日的即期价格414.89美元低64.89美元。这就是为什么这些看涨期权交易可能是由一位对MSFT股票持长期看涨态度的投资者发起的原因。同样地，一位机构投资者购买了超过5,000份到期日为2026年6月18日，即827天后的META看涨期权合约。同样地，每股380美元，比当日的即期价格493.86美元低113.86美元。来源：Barchart为何对长期投资者有意义其中一个原因是所支付的保费并不算高。例如，MSFT的看涨期权交易价为每份126.13美元，但行使价已经比当时价格低64.89美元。换句话说，将126.13美元加上350.00美元的行使价，投资者购买7,000份期权的成本为476.13美元。这仅比今天的每股414.41美元的价格高出14.9％。因此，这意味著股价只需要在接下来的2.76年内上涨15％，投资者就会开始获利。这看起来非常有可能。原因如下。在一篇于2月20日的Barchart文章中曾写道，微软股票被低估：“微软股票对投资者来说看起来便宜，包括卖出OTM看涨期权以获得收入。”基于微软的自由现金流（FCF），MSFT股票的目标价格为每股500.55美元，比目前价格高出25％。这仍然远高于这些看涨期权投资者的476.13美元的成本价格。这可能不需要2.76年才会实现。同样，META看涨期权买家的成本价格远低于我们的价格目标。例如，将190.77美元的期权价格加到380美元的行使价上，得到的总成本为570.77美元。比当前每股495.22美元的即期价格高出15.3％。但META股票很可能价值更高。例如，我在3月3日的Barchart文章中写道，META股票的价值为每股602.76美元。这比这裡期权买家的570.77美元的总成本还要高。我的观点是，公司巨大的自由现金流利润将会在未来12个月内大幅推高其估值。在这种情况下，投资者有超过2.3年的时间来实现这一目标。因此，这对于这些机构投资者来说是合理的，他们愿意多支付15％的期权费用。这可能不需要2到3年所有期权都比其内在价值高出一些，直到到期。它们的保费包括一个外在价值元素。这使得购买价内期权比购买正股更有利可图。一旦这两支股票达到每股的成本价格，看涨期权买家就会获得良好的利润。例如，一旦MSFT达到每股500美元，每股350美元行使价的期权将交易超过150美元。它们可能会交易超过175美元，具体取决于到期时间还剩多少。因此，成本为126.13美元的投资者将已经获得了39.5％的利润（即175/126.13-1）。这可能很容易在未来一年内实现。如果是这样，那么这些期权的长期投资者将获得比购买MSFT普通股更高的回报。这是因为股价从每股414.44美元上涨到500美元仅为20.6％，而使用深度入货期权则为近两倍（即+39.5％）。总的来说，这些深入货币期权交易对于长期投资者来说看起来是值得效仿的。本文编译自Barchart，原文标题：Unusual 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>财报好是明牌，潜伏盘一堆，涨多了抛盘重。相反财报符合预期就会跌。所以还是做好跌的准备","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$财报好是明牌，潜伏盘一堆，涨多了抛盘重。相反财报符合预期就会跌。所以还是做好跌的准备","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/639153224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2950,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":626528451,"gmtCreate":1674535016873,"gmtModify":1674535018216,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>果然冲过了145，K线面临30分钟的技术背离，周四是财报。压力还是不小，但我仍认为这两天会冲击150甚至到155。等财报结果多空决战定60日之后走势","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>果然冲过了145，K线面临30分钟的技术背离，周四是财报。压力还是不小，但我仍认为这两天会冲击150甚至到155。等财报结果多空决战定60日之后走势","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 果然冲过了145，K线面临30分钟的技术背离，周四是财报。压力还是不小，但我仍认为这两天会冲击150甚至到155。等财报结果多空决战定60日之后走势","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/626528451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":8149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":689855283,"gmtCreate":1655476683646,"gmtModify":1704862541229,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>15号k线顶分形，今晚估计要破620","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>15号k线顶分形，今晚估计要破620","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$15号k线顶分形，今晚估计要破620","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/689855283","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":612902451,"gmtCreate":1652106971573,"gmtModify":1652106971573,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>估计798","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>估计798","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$估计798","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/612902451","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2316,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":611577224,"gmtCreate":1650557361267,"gmtModify":1650557361267,"author":{"id":"3496552256305667","authorId":"3496552256305667","name":"nini2019","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/40b120edbcfae5b8ee77e1691163f235","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3496552256305667","authorIdStr":"3496552256305667"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>1030稳住再上攻，不会再低了吧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>1030稳住再上攻，不会再低了吧","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$1030稳住再上攻，不会再低了吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/611577224","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":611,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}