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大灰狼A
止蚀不止盈
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大灰狼A
2018-08-15
看似偶然,弄不好就是就是必然!
一是经济大危机基本都是出现在经济大繁荣或者假繁荣之后。 1929年经济危机来临前的1924到1929年间,资本主义世界经历了一段经济繁荣时期。 随后的1929年,经济危机率先在美国爆发。 1997年的东南亚各国,在迎来金融危机之前,也都经历了类似的经济繁荣。 一些国家经济繁荣是数据造假助推的,其实是假繁荣,已经接近经济危机。 二是拼命放水货币,货币工具陷入流动性陷阱里。商品出现滞销,商店里购买者空空如也,寥寥无几。 货币的效率在降低。中小微企业融资难融资贵,而央行却在继续放水货币,整个经济凸显不景气。 三是资产价格上涨超出理性,脱离了正轨,甚至在某一个或多个领域出现价格与价值扭曲严重的现象。 上世纪日本的房价非理性暴涨就是经济危机的出现苗头,这种价格扭曲得以修正出清,必须有一场经济危机的洗礼。 四是贸易保护主义抬头,大国之间在贸易纷争上互相赌气,爆发贸易战,最终引爆经济危机。 五是金融领域和经济领域的非规律性事件频繁,扭曲金融市场比如扭曲股市的情况成家常便饭。 六是全社会都在掩耳盗铃,社会舆论自我陶醉,自吹自擂,自拉自成,自我欺骗达到肆无忌惮之地步; 主流媒体、决策层都在昧着良心说假话、唱赞歌,彻底蒙蔽了决策层的眼睛,造成经济金融决策重大失误与误判,而经济危机就像干旱季节的热风正在悄悄地吹着! 在以上所有这些都出现后,经济危机出现的时点,就只差一根没有任何迹象甚至几乎理由不甚充分的稻草了, 这根稻草压垮的又何止只是一只骆驼。 压倒骆驼的最后一根稻草只是一个借口,之前多年积累起的病灶,才是经济危机产生的罪魁祸首。 $(00700)$$(HSI)$$(AAPL)$$(.DJI)$$(TSLA)$
看似偶然,弄不好就是就是必然!
大灰狼A
2018-11-28
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 60.60.60
大灰狼A
2018-12-26
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 不空你对不起大众
大灰狼A
2018-11-23
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ **,等你
大灰狼A
2019-11-05
$蔚来(NIO)$
开盘先抖一抖,拿不稳的就跑了
大灰狼A
2018-12-24
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 庄家拉快点·我要出货了
大灰狼A
2018-12-20
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 还想冲高套人,害人庄
大灰狼A
2018-11-15
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 等你回来,60见
大灰狼A
2018-10-25
$迅雷(XNET)$ 迅雷没有盘前交易吗?
大灰狼A
2019-03-29
$和信贷(HX)$ 卖盘能先撤一下吗··耽误涨了···我要等他涨高点在空
大灰狼A
2018-11-28
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 他妹的,怎么把我的目标价给屏蔽了
大灰狼A
2019-10-01
$蔚来(NIO)$
本以为差不多了,结果还是扛不住啊,看来真完了
大灰狼A
2019-03-05
$第九城市(NCTY)$ 例行公事的轧空,好快,手一慢啥都错过了
大灰狼A
2018-12-22
$汽车之家(ATHM)$ 狗庄拉起来出完货就跑了,留下一群韭菜
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