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鑫Ba

鑫Ba

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IP属地：陕西

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2020-01-29

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 特斯拉财报是超预期还是不及预期

2020-03-17

$特斯拉(TSLA)$睡觉了终于不用熬夜了[喷血] [捂脸]

2020-10-05

$特斯拉(TSLA)$这是啥意思

2021-12-17

$RIVN 20211223 90.0 PUT$ 明天

2020-04-16

$跟谁学(GSX)$不能空

2022-01-08

$TSLA 20220128 1350.0 CALL$ [喷血]

2022-01-21

$NFLX 20220128 570.0 CALL$ 芭比Q油了[喷血] [喷血] [捂脸]

2020-01-25

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 今天还能涨上去不

2020-03-30

$标普500ETF(SPY)$美国明天感染得16万了股市是不是还要涨

2019-12-13

$AAPL 20191213 260.0 PUT(AAPL)$ 今天饭钱没了

2018-09-28

$中国恒大(03333)$怎么天天跌呀啥时能涨

2020-03-25

$特斯拉(TSLA)$美国疫情一天一万多股市还这么猛

2020-01-09

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 今天收盘会不会480

2019-11-23

$京东(JD)$ JD的财报是不是假的呀

2020-05-22

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$会不会过2年拼多多要把阿里和京东干掉

2020-01-29

$苹果(AAPL)$ 期权怎么都跌了

2020-01-16

$苹果(AAPL)$ 苹果盘后最低263.45啥意思😳

2020-09-24

$特斯拉(TSLA)$还要跌多少

2020-08-20

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$业绩好股票咋跌了

2020-05-28

$标普500ETF(SPY)$真🐮逼天天涨

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17:35","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"财报前瞻丨跑赢纳指却遭用户炮轰！奈飞股价恐迎大幅波动？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2328298609","media":"金十数据","summary":"奈飞 (NFLX)将于周二美股盘后公布第一季度业绩，投资者希望看到该公司插广告低价会员订阅情况，以及打击账号密码共享这一举措实施后带来的影响，此前该措施备受争议。以下是华尔街对这家流媒体巨头的预期（彭","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NFLX\">奈飞</a> (NFLX)将于周二美股盘后公布第一季度业绩，投资者希望看到该公司插广告低价会员订阅情况，以及打击账号密码共享这一举措实施后带来的影响，此前该措施备受争议。</p><p>以下是华尔街对这家流媒体巨头的预期（彭博社共识预期）:</p><blockquote>营收：81.8亿美元每股收益：2.86美元会员订阅数：净增长230万</blockquote><p>奈飞此前表示，将不再提供会员增长指引，因为“营收才是衡量我司收入的主要指标”。因此，对分析师和投资者来说，与其各种营收计划相关的言论至关重要。</p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JEF\">杰富瑞</a>本月早些时候在一份客户报告中写道：“广告视频点播和打击账号分享仍处于早期阶段，但对我们而言，任何关于转化率、流动率和/或新计划采用情况的评论，都比第一季度的业绩更重要。”</blockquote><p>该行估计，到2023年底和2024年，这两项举措将推动营收“重新加速”，实现两位数增长，尽管本季度还会出现“很多不确定性因素”。</p><p>高临咨询（Third Bridge Group）的行业分析师杰米·拉姆利（Jamie Lumley）周一在接受采访时，权衡了部分不确定性因素。</p><p>他指出，奈飞最初的目标是<strong>希望到2023年底能吸引4000万插广告低价会员</strong>，但在会员数增长势头放缓和竞争异常激烈的情况下，此预期“越发不现实”。</p><blockquote>他预计，<strong>插广告低价会员可能会下降到1000万至2000万之间</strong>，并警告说：“对此，投资者需要降低预期。”</blockquote><p>插广告低价会员在美国的价格为每月6.99美元，是Netflix现有无广告套餐（每月15.49美元的标准套餐和每月9.99美元的基础套餐）的补充。</p><p>在打击账号共享方面，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>分析师史蒂夫·卡豪尔（Steve Cahall）上周表达了乐观态度：</p><blockquote>“我们认为，奈飞第一季度财报的关注重点并非其业绩，而是即将在美国推出的付费共享服务。”</blockquote><p>奈飞将打击范围扩大到加拿大、新西兰、葡萄牙和西班牙等国，此外还有智利、哥斯达黎加和秘鲁等试点。到目前为止，还没有与美国用户相关的公告。</p><blockquote>他补充道：“这些措施在美国落地似乎有点延迟，但我们认为（管理层）会对订阅/营收机会给出更多乐观的评论。”</blockquote><p>他估计，在美国，额外会员费用（会员在其账户中添加更多成员的成本）将达到每月8美元左右。</p><h2>直播业务出岔子</h2><p>奈飞最近依靠直播节目等差异化内容来吸引会员；然而，上周日晚出了大岔，《爱情盲选》线下重聚特别节目播出失败。</p><p>用户在推特上愤怒地表达了不满，因为他们为此等了一个多小时。之后，奈飞决定将直播改为录播，粉丝们很是失望。该集于周一下午上线。</p><blockquote>拉姆利说：“对于奈飞这种致力于提高会员数量的公司而言，（上周日晚的失误）绝不是好事。”</blockquote><blockquote>“奈飞还需要做进一步工作，改善直播的效果与衔接性，吸引更多观众。”</blockquote><p>周二业绩公布后，管理层对上周日失误的解释是投资者接下来的关注重点。</p><h2>奈飞今年股价表现</h2><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/30c69320961953305e0d920609cf3a0c\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>奈飞股价今年以来涨超10%，跑赢纳指。目前已从2月份高点回落，但较2022年6月仍上涨了50%以上，表现仍然强劲。截至4月17日（周一），奈飞股价约为330美元。</p><h2>期权市场的预期变动</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22150777d7cdcf88f54cd0ec3da0e377\" tg-width=\"908\" tg-height=\"711\"/></p><p>从奈飞期权市场的隐含波动环境中可知，截至周一，本周剩余时间的波动预期为28.55美元，当然，业绩公布也包括在内，但之后股价仍将出现预期波动。无论如何，本周股价变动预期仅略低于票面价值的10%，对于任何股票而言，业绩日出现这样的波动都是很大的。</p><p>从本周的预期波动与未来几个月的对比可以看到，期权市场暗示，<strong>未来几个月的预期波动很大一部分已经被本周的期权合约定价</strong>，这可能意味着如果业绩达到或超出预期，股价会有惊喜。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c996d2c9fe235c851fc9682317df33e\" tg-width=\"1095\" tg-height=\"725\"/></p><p>通过进一步观察期权市场可以看到，<strong>市场正在消化股价大幅上行的风险，即看涨偏度。</strong>股价的等距看涨期权和看跌期权的交易价值不同，看涨期权交易价格为4.95美元，远高于300-行权价的看跌期权交易价3.7美元。</p><p><strong>这并一定不代表股价会上涨，只能说明市场认为本周该股股价将出现上行风险。</strong></p><p>奈飞业绩备受瞩目，股价会否带来惊喜呢？</p></body></html>","source":"xnew_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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(NFLX)将于周二美股盘后公布第一季度业绩，投资者希望看到该公司插广告低价会员订阅情况，以及打击账号密码共享这一举措实施后带来的影响，此前该措施备受争议。以下是华尔街对这家流媒体巨头的预期（彭博社共识预期）:营收：81.8亿美元每股收益：2.86美元会员订阅数：净增长230万奈飞此前表示，将不再提供会员增长指引，因为“营收才是衡量我司收入的主要指标”。因此，对分析师和投资者来说，与其各种...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://xnews.jin10.com/webapp/details.html?id=110638&type=news&data_type=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbefdd65f6169080e37f8bb99ee206dd","relate_stocks":{"LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","NFLX":"奈飞","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","LU0719512351.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Technology A (acc) SGD","LU1823568750.SGD":"Fidelity Global Technology A-ACC 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Lumley）周一在接受采访时，权衡了部分不确定性因素。他指出，奈飞最初的目标是希望到2023年底能吸引4000万插广告低价会员，但在会员数增长势头放缓和竞争异常激烈的情况下，此预期“越发不现实”。他预计，插广告低价会员可能会下降到1000万至2000万之间，并警告说：“对此，投资者需要降低预期。”插广告低价会员在美国的价格为每月6.99美元，是Netflix现有无广告套餐（每月15.49美元的标准套餐和每月9.99美元的基础套餐）的补充。在打击账号共享方面，富国银行分析师史蒂夫·卡豪尔（Steve Cahall）上周表达了乐观态度：“我们认为，奈飞第一季度财报的关注重点并非其业绩，而是即将在美国推出的付费共享服务。”奈飞将打击范围扩大到加拿大、新西兰、葡萄牙和西班牙等国，此外还有智利、哥斯达黎加和秘鲁等试点。到目前为止，还没有与美国用户相关的公告。他补充道：“这些措施在美国落地似乎有点延迟，但我们认为（管理层）会对订阅/营收机会给出更多乐观的评论。”他估计，在美国，额外会员费用（会员在其账户中添加更多成员的成本）将达到每月8美元左右。直播业务出岔子奈飞最近依靠直播节目等差异化内容来吸引会员；然而，上周日晚出了大岔，《爱情盲选》线下重聚特别节目播出失败。用户在推特上愤怒地表达了不满，因为他们为此等了一个多小时。之后，奈飞决定将直播改为录播，粉丝们很是失望。该集于周一下午上线。拉姆利说：“对于奈飞这种致力于提高会员数量的公司而言，（上周日晚的失误）绝不是好事。”“奈飞还需要做进一步工作，改善直播的效果与衔接性，吸引更多观众。”周二业绩公布后，管理层对上周日失误的解释是投资者接下来的关注重点。奈飞今年股价表现奈飞股价今年以来涨超10%，跑赢纳指。目前已从2月份高点回落，但较2022年6月仍上涨了50%以上，表现仍然强劲。截至4月17日（周一），奈飞股价约为330美元。期权市场的预期变动从奈飞期权市场的隐含波动环境中可知，截至周一，本周剩余时间的波动预期为28.55美元，当然，业绩公布也包括在内，但之后股价仍将出现预期波动。无论如何，本周股价变动预期仅略低于票面价值的10%，对于任何股票而言，业绩日出现这样的波动都是很大的。从本周的预期波动与未来几个月的对比可以看到，期权市场暗示，未来几个月的预期波动很大一部分已经被本周的期权合约定价，这可能意味着如果业绩达到或超出预期，股价会有惊喜。通过进一步观察期权市场可以看到，市场正在消化股价大幅上行的风险，即看涨偏度。股价的等距看涨期权和看跌期权的交易价值不同，看涨期权交易价格为4.95美元，远高于300-行权价的看跌期权交易价3.7美元。这并一定不代表股价会上涨，只能说明市场认为本周该股股价将出现上行风险。奈飞业绩备受瞩目，股价会否带来惊喜呢？","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":949,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":616070038,"gmtCreate":1651259246731,"gmtModify":1651259246731,"author":{"id":"3495698982203274","authorId":"3495698982203274","name":"鑫Ba","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66b1b13a1d6ac031d097ad06e7d358ad","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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