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2020-04-22

$美国原油ETF(USO)$ 会不会也能跌到负数？

2020-05-01

$苹果(AAPL)$ 苹果出财报了超预期

2023-09-08

没错就是个垃圾公司

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-08-13

暂时的收益，不卖！估计这几天应该到1650。

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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18:57","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"一份没做过市场调研的沽空报告","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135207056","media":"丫丫港股圈","summary":"近几日，做空机构Grizzly Research（灰熊）发布推特称，几天内将发布一份做空报告，揭露一家市值很大，增长快，且最近很热门的公司，存在严重财务造假的行为。这份做空报告的悬念拉满。所以，这是一份无实质证据支撑，纯粹是在讲一个政治正确，针对中国企业的做空报告。在这份报告的后半部分，灰熊机构更是无实质性证据的在质问Temu。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>近几日，做空机构Grizzly Research（灰熊）发布推特称，几天内将发布一份做空报告，揭露一家市值很大，增长快，且最近很热门的公司，存在严重财务造假的行为。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这瞬间引起美股投资者的热议，市场猜测最大的可能性是英伟达，或是拼多多。但很多中国投资人都很疑惑，为什么能跟拼多多扯上关系？这份做空报告的悬念拉满。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>昨晚美股盘前，Grizzly Research灰熊揭晓了谜底，被做空者是来自中国的拼多多，而这份所谓的做空报告十分的无耻，不谈财务数据造假，只求政治正确。</strong></p><p>         </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e05d425218e9dc24814841b1d09c7f9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"392\" tg-height=\"446\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Grizzly Research的报告标题是“我们认为拼多多是一家垂死的欺诈公司，其购物应用程序 TEMU 是巧妙隐藏的间谍软件，对美国国家利益构成紧急安全威胁。”</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/85a97f4a1fa65986fda07bce53f00df5\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"288\" tg-height=\"332\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>1、灰熊机构在报告中称，Temu的快速使用率导致了大规模数据的泄露。过去9个月内，Temu的下载量超过1亿次，全部发生在美国和欧洲，而中国却不提供Temu。</strong>      </p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>这份报告开头就让人一头雾水，什么叫中国却不提供Temu？那拼多多是什么？</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">TEMU应用程序软件具有最具攻击性的恶意软件/间谍软件的全部特征。并附加了一张图指控拼多多犯了所有“间谍特征”，图中还包含了SHEIN、阿里、Amazon、Tik Tok、eBay。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">例如，指控Temu APP具有隐藏功能，允许在用户不知情的情况下进行广泛的数据泄露，从而可能使不良行为者完全访问客户移动设备上的几乎所有数据。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">并称强烈怀疑Temu已经或打算非法出售从西方国家客户那里窃取的数据，以维持一种注定会失败的商业模式。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5460cce514fa14467c22e16e87d0b77b\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"593\" tg-height=\"259\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">值得注意的是，美国本土企业亚马逊也犯下了不少“间谍特征”，一共18项，亚马逊犯了12项，而eBay这种网站为主的电商则犯的最少。这即说明现代的电商app收集用户的大数据是个很普遍的现象，美国企业也这样做。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e3a3e509fcc31f29ecc3fc603a809b6\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"353\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2、灰熊机构称，找了很多数据安全专家来分析Temu的代码，并于我们自己的专家以及在公共领域独立编写的分析师进行整合。<br/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aba90b5642b6e4bfcb871bab2736d956\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"591\" tg-height=\"268\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">接着贴出一张众多文件夹的图，称这是Temu为了隐藏该软件的恶意和入侵行为，拼多多做了巨大的努力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"> <strong>十分不严谨的是，这些那么多文件夹里面究竟是什么？甚至投资者都看不清这些文件夹的名称，难道建一大堆文件夹截个图就可以随便诬告一家公司了吗？</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/232c4d85e403214bf6cfc31746a90d37\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"945\" tg-height=\"567\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>而这当然可以，前提这家公司是中国企业，再附加上“危害美国国家软件”。数据不严谨也没关系，只要煽动对抗中国企业的情绪就可以了。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>所以，这是一份无实质证据支撑，纯粹是在讲一个政治正确，针对中国企业的做空报告。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>在这份报告的后半部分，灰熊机构更是无实质性证据的在质问Temu。而这是一份做空报告该做的事情吗？不应该是发现公司哪里出现了财务问题，告诉投资人吗？</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">灰熊机构称：“廉价的中国购物APP此前已经证明，这种商业模式根本无法持续盈利，连连网wish是一个著名的案例研究，Shein是当前积极进取的竞争对手，TikTok已宣布进军该领域。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">并称：廉价的Temu估计每份订单会损失30美元，它的广告支出和运输成本(从中国出发1-2周，快递到美国)是天文数字。人们不禁要问，这项业务怎么才能盈利赚钱。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>灰熊机构能问出这样的话，显然对拼多多也不太了解，Temu处于烧钱扩大规模的阶段，Temu整体亏损率为40%-50%，赚钱的是中国业务。并且，为什么低价电商赚不到钱？</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">灰熊所说的wish连连网，在temu出现前，被称为“美版拼多多”，因为上面95%的卖家都来源于中国，同样是中国供应链输出海外。在2021年时，wish的股价最高时为985元，而现在仅剩5.23元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>但由于正版拼多多Temu的出现，将曾经辉煌的Wish击倒了。并且wish因为物流运输管理不佳的原因，以及内部高管的混乱，导致了公司的衰退。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">从下图中看，2021年wish的营收为20.5亿美元，而到2022年Temu进军美国时，仅剩5.71亿美元。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>并且，wish死于物流运输问题和管理层混乱，但这些都是temu做的好的地方，用前者的失败来衡量后者的成功难以延续？</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>这显然不是个好的例子。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7402b2d1dfccde5451e136812976b300\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"351\" tg-height=\"262\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在这份报告的结尾，灰熊机构说出了报告的重点：美国国会已经起草了编号HR1153，这将严重损害TEMU的商业模式和或授权美国总统禁止Temu进入美国。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这是这份报告中唯一有用的地方，这也是所有出海美国的中国企业所担忧的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当中国企业在美国发展到一定规模时，最后都难免以“危害国家安全”的罪名制裁中国企业，Tik Tok就是个最典型的例子。因此，之前就据传Temu可能将5%的股份引入Meta成为股东，变相是交保护费。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57ed6d2736485fdf2f3ee6077364a1a4\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"597\" tg-height=\"328\"/></p><p><strong>结语</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">实际上，去年灰熊机构也曾诬告过蔚来财务造假，但最后被摩根、JP摩根等多家外资投行驳斥，称该机构的做空报告完全是在误读相关数据。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">为什么近两年拼多多、名创优品等中国企业的出海能快速增长？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">这一切还是源于中国零售商领先了美国至少5年，在国内有优势出海就是降维打击，所以未来对于这种针对中国企业增长太快的诬告，可能还会越来越多。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">拼多多做错了什么？唯一做错的就是生于中国以及崛起和增长的太快。老外看不顺眼。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1568959956107","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>一份没做过市场调研的沽空报告</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n一份没做过市场调研的沽空报告\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-09-08 18:57 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/AAyGMLb0lTslKr0-Z5qb6w><strong>丫丫港股圈</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近几日，做空机构Grizzly Research（灰熊）发布推特称，几天内将发布一份做空报告，揭露一家市值很大，增长快，且最近很热门的公司，存在严重财务造假的行为。这瞬间引起美股投资者的热议，市场猜测最大的可能性是英伟达，或是拼多多。但很多中国投资人都很疑惑，为什么能跟拼多多扯上关系？这份做空报告的悬念拉满。昨晚美股盘前，Grizzly Research灰熊揭晓了谜底，被做空者是来自中国的拼多多，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/AAyGMLb0lTslKr0-Z5qb6w\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e42c16a083ab273c19aaae21cdb697a0","relate_stocks":{"PDD":"拼多多"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/AAyGMLb0lTslKr0-Z5qb6w","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135207056","content_text":"近几日，做空机构Grizzly Research（灰熊）发布推特称，几天内将发布一份做空报告，揭露一家市值很大，增长快，且最近很热门的公司，存在严重财务造假的行为。这瞬间引起美股投资者的热议，市场猜测最大的可能性是英伟达，或是拼多多。但很多中国投资人都很疑惑，为什么能跟拼多多扯上关系？这份做空报告的悬念拉满。昨晚美股盘前，Grizzly Research灰熊揭晓了谜底，被做空者是来自中国的拼多多，而这份所谓的做空报告十分的无耻，不谈财务数据造假，只求政治正确。         Grizzly Research的报告标题是“我们认为拼多多是一家垂死的欺诈公司，其购物应用程序 TEMU 是巧妙隐藏的间谍软件，对美国国家利益构成紧急安全威胁。”1、灰熊机构在报告中称，Temu的快速使用率导致了大规模数据的泄露。过去9个月内，Temu的下载量超过1亿次，全部发生在美国和欧洲，而中国却不提供Temu。      这份报告开头就让人一头雾水，什么叫中国却不提供Temu？那拼多多是什么？TEMU应用程序软件具有最具攻击性的恶意软件/间谍软件的全部特征。并附加了一张图指控拼多多犯了所有“间谍特征”，图中还包含了SHEIN、阿里、Amazon、Tik Tok、eBay。例如，指控Temu APP具有隐藏功能，允许在用户不知情的情况下进行广泛的数据泄露，从而可能使不良行为者完全访问客户移动设备上的几乎所有数据。并称强烈怀疑Temu已经或打算非法出售从西方国家客户那里窃取的数据，以维持一种注定会失败的商业模式。值得注意的是，美国本土企业亚马逊也犯下了不少“间谍特征”，一共18项，亚马逊犯了12项，而eBay这种网站为主的电商则犯的最少。这即说明现代的电商app收集用户的大数据是个很普遍的现象，美国企业也这样做。2、灰熊机构称，找了很多数据安全专家来分析Temu的代码，并于我们自己的专家以及在公共领域独立编写的分析师进行整合。接着贴出一张众多文件夹的图，称这是Temu为了隐藏该软件的恶意和入侵行为，拼多多做了巨大的努力。 十分不严谨的是，这些那么多文件夹里面究竟是什么？甚至投资者都看不清这些文件夹的名称，难道建一大堆文件夹截个图就可以随便诬告一家公司了吗？而这当然可以，前提这家公司是中国企业，再附加上“危害美国国家软件”。数据不严谨也没关系，只要煽动对抗中国企业的情绪就可以了。所以，这是一份无实质证据支撑，纯粹是在讲一个政治正确，针对中国企业的做空报告。在这份报告的后半部分，灰熊机构更是无实质性证据的在质问Temu。而这是一份做空报告该做的事情吗？不应该是发现公司哪里出现了财务问题，告诉投资人吗？灰熊机构称：“廉价的中国购物APP此前已经证明，这种商业模式根本无法持续盈利，连连网wish是一个著名的案例研究，Shein是当前积极进取的竞争对手，TikTok已宣布进军该领域。”并称：廉价的Temu估计每份订单会损失30美元，它的广告支出和运输成本(从中国出发1-2周，快递到美国)是天文数字。人们不禁要问，这项业务怎么才能盈利赚钱。灰熊机构能问出这样的话，显然对拼多多也不太了解，Temu处于烧钱扩大规模的阶段，Temu整体亏损率为40%-50%，赚钱的是中国业务。并且，为什么低价电商赚不到钱？灰熊所说的wish连连网，在temu出现前，被称为“美版拼多多”，因为上面95%的卖家都来源于中国，同样是中国供应链输出海外。在2021年时，wish的股价最高时为985元，而现在仅剩5.23元。但由于正版拼多多Temu的出现，将曾经辉煌的Wish击倒了。并且wish因为物流运输管理不佳的原因，以及内部高管的混乱，导致了公司的衰退。从下图中看，2021年wish的营收为20.5亿美元，而到2022年Temu进军美国时，仅剩5.71亿美元。并且，wish死于物流运输问题和管理层混乱，但这些都是temu做的好的地方，用前者的失败来衡量后者的成功难以延续？这显然不是个好的例子。在这份报告的结尾，灰熊机构说出了报告的重点：美国国会已经起草了编号HR1153，这将严重损害TEMU的商业模式和或授权美国总统禁止Temu进入美国。这是这份报告中唯一有用的地方，这也是所有出海美国的中国企业所担忧的。当中国企业在美国发展到一定规模时，最后都难免以“危害国家安全”的罪名制裁中国企业，Tik Tok就是个最典型的例子。因此，之前就据传Temu可能将5%的股份引入Meta成为股东，变相是交保护费。结语实际上，去年灰熊机构也曾诬告过蔚来财务造假，但最后被摩根、JP摩根等多家外资投行驳斥，称该机构的做空报告完全是在误读相关数据。为什么近两年拼多多、名创优品等中国企业的出海能快速增长？这一切还是源于中国零售商领先了美国至少5年，在国内有优势出海就是降维打击，所以未来对于这种针对中国企业增长太快的诬告，可能还会越来越多。拼多多做错了什么？唯一做错的就是生于中国以及崛起和增长的太快。老外看不顺眼。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":947812936,"gmtCreate":1597261570125,"gmtModify":1704215145765,"author":{"id":"3488878382250830","authorId":"3488878382250830","name":"cnq007","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"暂时的收益，不卖！估计这几天应该到1650。","listText":"暂时的收益，不卖！估计这几天应该到1650。","text":"暂时的收益，不卖！估计这几天应该到1650。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/394a428aea812066ac8df055fd8d7a5b","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/947812936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":924888540,"gmtCreate":1588279011880,"gmtModify":1704367259285,"author":{"id":"3488878382250830","authorId":"3488878382250830","name":"cnq007","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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会不会也能跌到负数？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/922839757","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2133,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3527667803686145","authorId":"3527667803686145","name":"社区成长助手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2b7c7106b5c0c8b0037faa67439d898f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","text":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引","html":"终于等到了您的初发帖[比心][比心]希望您能在老虎社区玩得愉快、赚得开心！如果您想创作优质文章，请查看老虎社区创作指引"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":924888540,"gmtCreate":1588279011880,"gmtModify":1704367259285,"author":{"id":"3488878382250830","authorId":"3488878382250830","name":"cnq007","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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苹果出财报了超预期","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/924888540","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3546,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":217647339020560,"gmtCreate":1694171237641,"gmtModify":1694171529181,"author":{"id":"3488878382250830","authorId":"3488878382250830","name":"cnq007","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没错就是个垃圾公司","listText":"没错就是个垃圾公司","text":"没错就是个垃圾公司","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/217647339020560","repostId":"1135207056","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":572,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":947812936,"gmtCreate":1597261570125,"gmtModify":1704215145765,"author":{"id":"3488878382250830","authorId":"3488878382250830","name":"cnq007","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false},"themes":[],"htmlText":"暂时的收益，不卖！估计这几天应该到1650。","listText":"暂时的收益，不卖！估计这几天应该到1650。","text":"暂时的收益，不卖！估计这几天应该到1650。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/394a428aea812066ac8df055fd8d7a5b","width":"1125","height":"1949"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/947812936","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1173,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}