+关注
大飘子
暂无个人介绍
IP属地:北京
97
关注
5
粉丝
1
主题
0
勋章
主贴
热门
大飘子
11-15 22:29
Sb,无脑吹,你都不够给马斯克提鞋
马斯克花两亿美元“买”的官,能干多久?
大飘子
2023-05-23
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
老虎证券盘前不能出????
大飘子
2023-05-22
大飘子
2022-07-06
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
大家一般都买多少股啊
大飘子
2021-08-20
$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$
一觉醒来公司暴富了!哈哈哈
大飘子
2021-03-27
$知乎(ZH)$
几点可以交易
大飘子
2020-12-08
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
30压力真大
大飘子
2020-11-30
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
30啦!!!
大飘子
2020-11-27
$PLTR 20211119 35.0 CALL(PLTR)$
又一倍了。
大飘子
2020-11-26
$NIO 20210115 22.0 PUT(NIO)$
空一下试试
大飘子
2020-11-24
$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$
到价内期权了,抛掉继续,价外
大飘子
2020-11-24
$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$
大佬。麻烦问下,到了行权价,不行权,影响盈利么??
大飘子
2020-11-18
$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$
坚持!
大飘子
2020-08-12
$DAL 20210115 35.0 CALL(DAL)$
坚定持有
大飘子
2020-07-15
$蔚来(NIO)$
先再见了!
大飘子
2020-07-15
$蔚来(NIO)$
值了,暂时再见
大飘子
2020-07-15
$达美航空(DAL)$
买一个远期期权放着[开心]
大飘子
2019-12-03
$康龙化成(03759)$
哎!就没涨过!!!
大飘子
2019-11-22
$康龙化成(03759)$
人手都能中一签么??
大飘子
2019-11-06
$蔚来(NIO)$
哎,悲剧
去老虎APP查看更多动态
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3473374893801132","uuid":"3473374893801132","gmtCreate":1510281447593,"gmtModify":1510320319123,"name":"大飘子","pinyin":"dpzdapiaozi","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":5,"headSize":97,"tweetSize":30,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":900,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":3,"name":"书生虎","nameTw":"書生虎","represent":"努力向上","factor":"发布10条非转发主帖,其中5条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":1,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.14","exceedPercentage":"93.54%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.05.04","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.09.27","exceedPercentage":"93.57%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc-1","templateUuid":"02aa7f16703b4ce4ace6f1a7665789cc","name":"知识体验官","description":"观看学堂课程满5节","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb5ae275631fb96a92d475cdc85d2302","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2660a1935bd2105e97c9915619936c3","grayImgUrl":null,"redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.08.05","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":2006},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":6,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"北京","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":1,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":371392218398824,"gmtCreate":1731680960608,"gmtModify":1731681009235,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sb,无脑吹,你都不够给马斯克提鞋","listText":"Sb,无脑吹,你都不够给马斯克提鞋","text":"Sb,无脑吹,你都不够给马斯克提鞋","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371392218398824","repostId":"1149674693","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1149674693","pubTimestamp":1731643800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149674693?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-15 12:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克花两亿美元“买”的官,能干多久?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149674693","media":"首席商业评论","summary":"随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。乖乖,花了两亿美元连个编制都不给?于是,马斯克一拍特朗普的大腿,干脆不要搞什么编制了,做个布衣宰相不也挺好!因此,马斯克想要的改革,恐怕并不容易推动起来。所以,即便马首富现在有特朗普的支持,但未必能得到其核心团队成员的一致支持。当然,马斯克有属于自己的剧本。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。</strong>据美媒报道,特朗普对马首富十分仗义,不仅让他跟乌克兰总统泽连斯基通上了电话,还让其进入自己的核心圈子开小会,马不停蹄地为下届政府的主要政策方向出谋划策。而选前一直传言的,让马斯克来操刀提升联邦政府效率的事,据称也将以“政府效率部”(Department of Government Efficiency,简称 DoGE)的名头付诸实施。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1e9813f79a598183582a1354f340a0d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"1210\"/></p><p>坊间纷纷传言,预计再过几个月,马首富就将戴上双眼花翎,摇身一变成为“马尚书”、“马太傅”了!大爷大妈不禁慨叹,首富这两亿美金是真没白花啊!这段故事完全可以改编成爆款短剧“重生之胡雪岩去美国当首富”!</p><p>但坊间说法自然是不能信的。<strong>马首富非但成不了马尚书,而且他的政府改革之路还将极其凶险。</strong></p><p><strong>“政府效率部”不是个“部”,马首富也成不了个“官”</strong></p><p>虽然名字里有个“部”字,但“政府效率部”在实际上并不是美国联邦政府机构,而只是个外部咨询机构,按我们<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603883\">老百姓</a>的话说,就是“没编制”,连个事业单位都算不上,就是个临时工。</p><p>乖乖,花了两亿美元连个编制都不给?美国人办事这么不地道的么?别急,这倒不能怪特朗普小气,这样的安排自有其深意。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0e0ad4fc9b5fe573a9ff4a18de0eb67\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"951\"/></p><p>按照美国的法律要求,设立一个正规的(有编制的)政府部门,必须经过国会立法等一系列繁杂的流程。且不说美国国会内部能不能通过,就算一切顺利,这个正式编制要办下来也得好几年以后的事了——到时候还是不是特朗普在任都不好说。况且,一个旨在提升政府效率的机构在一开始就以如此没有效率的方式设立,这岂不是要让全世界笑掉大牙了么?</p><p>于是,马斯克一拍特朗普的大腿,干脆不要搞什么编制了,做个布衣宰相不也挺好!美国联邦政府接受外部机构咨询本来也很常见,而这个机构身处政府之外,马斯克也方便出钱,行事上又不会受到太多掣肘,是一举数得的好事。</p><p>但问题也来了,<strong>提升政府效率要干很多触及政府根本的大动作,比如裁撤部门、降低运营成本等等,一个外部机构能有这么大的权力干那么多事吗?</strong></p><p>那就得看马斯克和特朗普的关系有多铁了。特朗普在这次大选中不仅拿下了总统宝座,还一并赢下了参议院和众议院,在未来几年里可谓是“三权合一”,风光无两。而且特朗普行事非常果决,如果他能全力支持马斯克,DoGE的地位根本就不重要,马斯克的计划必然能通过某些方式得以实现。</p><p><strong>你们都以为马斯克要学胡雪岩稀罕那红顶子,其实他真正想学的是姚广孝啊!</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5ecb031fa66cffea68589246ffe338\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"645\" tg-height=\"441\"/></p><p><strong>美国联邦政府不是twitter</strong></p><p>再来看马斯克为DoGE定的目标。11月13日,DoGE就在社媒上开通了官方账号,第一条帖文就立下了flag。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc5b0873bc6939d49e4515f01ae2a16d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"159\"/></p><p><strong>DoGE的核心目标就是提升政府效率。但效率这个词可以有很多种定义。</strong>因此,为了表明自己的决心,马斯克还给自己下了几个大胆的KPI:<strong>第一,将把现有约428个联邦机构裁撤到99个以内,削减约75%;第二,大幅削减政府开支,从联邦预算中削减2万亿美元</strong>(美国2024财年总支出为6.75万亿美元,马斯克的目标是砍掉30%)。</p><p>这两个目标非常惊人。不知道美国联邦公务员们听说之后会不会已经开始瑟瑟发抖担心自己饭碗不保了。但考虑到马首富在买下推特(后改名X)后,把员工总数从8000人砍到1500人的大刀阔斧,这次的政府效率提升计划反倒不显得扎眼了。</p><p><strong>但关键问题是,美国联邦政府可不是推特/X这样的私营公司。</strong></p><p>按照美国联邦法律,所有的联邦政府机构(就是马斯克要裁减75%的那些)都是国会通过立法来创立的。每一个机构都有各自特定的功能,同时,也有各自的预算。这些内容的依据都是法律,哪怕是特朗普亲自操刀,也不能说砍就砍,而必须通过严格的法律程序。</p><p>言下之意是,马斯克在推特/X搞的那一套,是绝不可能简单复制到联邦政府中来的。他在推特/X是拥有绝对权力的,也没有任何法律掣肘他,所以做什么基本都能畅通无阻;但联邦政府有一整套完整的行事程序和法律,主要就是为了防止出现绝对权力滥用的情况。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5651db4998f47f8f2686b89d2fd118a8\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\"/></p><p>因此,<strong>马斯克想要的改革,恐怕并不容易推动起来。相反,他可能会陷入联邦法律的各种条条框框里,寸步难行。</strong></p><p><strong>马斯克可能干不了多久</strong></p><p><strong>除了法律程序,联邦政府和推特/X这样的私营公司还有一个巨大的不同是:联邦政府充斥着各种老谋深算的既得利益者。</strong>私营公司裁员,说白了就是个生意,按规则,老板给钱,员工走人,一拍两散。但联邦政府可不是这么做事的。很多职业官僚在里面混了很久了,大都有自己的一块利益、“禁脔”。你一个外头来的临时工,靠跟总统关系好上的位,然后嚷嚷着要搞降本增效,那不得动这些老官油子的蛋糕?这都是他们经营好多年甚至几辈人前赴后继攒下的家业,是他们的命根子,今天说拿走就拿走了,这帮人还不得跟马首富拼个你死我活?</p><p>别说底下的老官油子了,<strong>即便是特朗普团队里的这些即将上位的核心成员,也已经开始跟马斯克貌合神离了。</strong>这帮人跟着特朗普忠心耿耿蛰伏了四年,如今刚打了个翻身仗,重新上位要准备大展身手的时候,马首富哼哧哼哧跑来把手下人都裁了,预算都砍掉了,就留你个光杆司令,换谁都不会乐意。</p><p>所以,即便马首富现在有特朗普的支持,但未必能得到其核心团队成员的一致支持。而随着时间的推移,小报告一打,枕边风一吹,两亿美元的恩情慢慢转淡,马斯克保不准逐渐被特朗普所疏远,到那时,首富必将危矣!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2bcf95ab3cbbc4caaf2501d5ed8b45e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\"/></p><p>更要命的是,马斯克还是个习惯高调行事的主儿。这在商界也就罢了,但如果放在政治江湖里,很难不吃大亏。华盛顿特区遍地都是两面三刀的人,哪个政客不得夹起尾巴做人?想那姚广孝,极受朱棣尊崇,在当时绝对算得上权倾天下的人物,但即便如此,哥们每天下了朝,依然回到自己的庙里,换回僧衣,青灯古佛,低调至极。而马首富呢,虽然纵横商界无人匹敌,但在政界仍然只是一枚“小白”,估计不会比他的前辈马尔泰·若曦好到哪里去,后面的路程想必也是步步惊心的吧!</p><p>当然,马斯克有属于自己的剧本。事已至此,不如让我们看看这出大戏后面到底会怎么唱吧。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1588053976797","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克花两亿美元“买”的官,能干多久?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克花两亿美元“买”的官,能干多久?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-15 12:10 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSbSy45t9z31CoNQEo6gYA><strong>首席商业评论</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。据美媒报道,特朗普对马首富十分仗义,不仅让他跟乌克兰总统泽连斯基通上了电话,还让其进入自己的核心圈子开小会,马不停蹄地为下届政府的主要政策方向出谋划策。而选前一直传言的,让马斯克来操刀提升联邦政府效率的事,据称也将以“政府效率部”(Department of Government ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSbSy45t9z31CoNQEo6gYA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ce1b04d3f23e0894f7a6ddc739dfb1","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSbSy45t9z31CoNQEo6gYA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149674693","content_text":"随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。据美媒报道,特朗普对马首富十分仗义,不仅让他跟乌克兰总统泽连斯基通上了电话,还让其进入自己的核心圈子开小会,马不停蹄地为下届政府的主要政策方向出谋划策。而选前一直传言的,让马斯克来操刀提升联邦政府效率的事,据称也将以“政府效率部”(Department of Government Efficiency,简称 DoGE)的名头付诸实施。坊间纷纷传言,预计再过几个月,马首富就将戴上双眼花翎,摇身一变成为“马尚书”、“马太傅”了!大爷大妈不禁慨叹,首富这两亿美金是真没白花啊!这段故事完全可以改编成爆款短剧“重生之胡雪岩去美国当首富”!但坊间说法自然是不能信的。马首富非但成不了马尚书,而且他的政府改革之路还将极其凶险。“政府效率部”不是个“部”,马首富也成不了个“官”虽然名字里有个“部”字,但“政府效率部”在实际上并不是美国联邦政府机构,而只是个外部咨询机构,按我们老百姓的话说,就是“没编制”,连个事业单位都算不上,就是个临时工。乖乖,花了两亿美元连个编制都不给?美国人办事这么不地道的么?别急,这倒不能怪特朗普小气,这样的安排自有其深意。按照美国的法律要求,设立一个正规的(有编制的)政府部门,必须经过国会立法等一系列繁杂的流程。且不说美国国会内部能不能通过,就算一切顺利,这个正式编制要办下来也得好几年以后的事了——到时候还是不是特朗普在任都不好说。况且,一个旨在提升政府效率的机构在一开始就以如此没有效率的方式设立,这岂不是要让全世界笑掉大牙了么?于是,马斯克一拍特朗普的大腿,干脆不要搞什么编制了,做个布衣宰相不也挺好!美国联邦政府接受外部机构咨询本来也很常见,而这个机构身处政府之外,马斯克也方便出钱,行事上又不会受到太多掣肘,是一举数得的好事。但问题也来了,提升政府效率要干很多触及政府根本的大动作,比如裁撤部门、降低运营成本等等,一个外部机构能有这么大的权力干那么多事吗?那就得看马斯克和特朗普的关系有多铁了。特朗普在这次大选中不仅拿下了总统宝座,还一并赢下了参议院和众议院,在未来几年里可谓是“三权合一”,风光无两。而且特朗普行事非常果决,如果他能全力支持马斯克,DoGE的地位根本就不重要,马斯克的计划必然能通过某些方式得以实现。你们都以为马斯克要学胡雪岩稀罕那红顶子,其实他真正想学的是姚广孝啊!美国联邦政府不是twitter再来看马斯克为DoGE定的目标。11月13日,DoGE就在社媒上开通了官方账号,第一条帖文就立下了flag。DoGE的核心目标就是提升政府效率。但效率这个词可以有很多种定义。因此,为了表明自己的决心,马斯克还给自己下了几个大胆的KPI:第一,将把现有约428个联邦机构裁撤到99个以内,削减约75%;第二,大幅削减政府开支,从联邦预算中削减2万亿美元(美国2024财年总支出为6.75万亿美元,马斯克的目标是砍掉30%)。这两个目标非常惊人。不知道美国联邦公务员们听说之后会不会已经开始瑟瑟发抖担心自己饭碗不保了。但考虑到马首富在买下推特(后改名X)后,把员工总数从8000人砍到1500人的大刀阔斧,这次的政府效率提升计划反倒不显得扎眼了。但关键问题是,美国联邦政府可不是推特/X这样的私营公司。按照美国联邦法律,所有的联邦政府机构(就是马斯克要裁减75%的那些)都是国会通过立法来创立的。每一个机构都有各自特定的功能,同时,也有各自的预算。这些内容的依据都是法律,哪怕是特朗普亲自操刀,也不能说砍就砍,而必须通过严格的法律程序。言下之意是,马斯克在推特/X搞的那一套,是绝不可能简单复制到联邦政府中来的。他在推特/X是拥有绝对权力的,也没有任何法律掣肘他,所以做什么基本都能畅通无阻;但联邦政府有一整套完整的行事程序和法律,主要就是为了防止出现绝对权力滥用的情况。因此,马斯克想要的改革,恐怕并不容易推动起来。相反,他可能会陷入联邦法律的各种条条框框里,寸步难行。马斯克可能干不了多久除了法律程序,联邦政府和推特/X这样的私营公司还有一个巨大的不同是:联邦政府充斥着各种老谋深算的既得利益者。私营公司裁员,说白了就是个生意,按规则,老板给钱,员工走人,一拍两散。但联邦政府可不是这么做事的。很多职业官僚在里面混了很久了,大都有自己的一块利益、“禁脔”。你一个外头来的临时工,靠跟总统关系好上的位,然后嚷嚷着要搞降本增效,那不得动这些老官油子的蛋糕?这都是他们经营好多年甚至几辈人前赴后继攒下的家业,是他们的命根子,今天说拿走就拿走了,这帮人还不得跟马首富拼个你死我活?别说底下的老官油子了,即便是特朗普团队里的这些即将上位的核心成员,也已经开始跟马斯克貌合神离了。这帮人跟着特朗普忠心耿耿蛰伏了四年,如今刚打了个翻身仗,重新上位要准备大展身手的时候,马首富哼哧哼哧跑来把手下人都裁了,预算都砍掉了,就留你个光杆司令,换谁都不会乐意。所以,即便马首富现在有特朗普的支持,但未必能得到其核心团队成员的一致支持。而随着时间的推移,小报告一打,枕边风一吹,两亿美元的恩情慢慢转淡,马斯克保不准逐渐被特朗普所疏远,到那时,首富必将危矣!更要命的是,马斯克还是个习惯高调行事的主儿。这在商界也就罢了,但如果放在政治江湖里,很难不吃大亏。华盛顿特区遍地都是两面三刀的人,哪个政客不得夹起尾巴做人?想那姚广孝,极受朱棣尊崇,在当时绝对算得上权倾天下的人物,但即便如此,哥们每天下了朝,依然回到自己的庙里,换回僧衣,青灯古佛,低调至极。而马首富呢,虽然纵横商界无人匹敌,但在政界仍然只是一枚“小白”,估计不会比他的前辈马尔泰·若曦好到哪里去,后面的路程想必也是步步惊心的吧!当然,马斯克有属于自己的剧本。事已至此,不如让我们看看这出大戏后面到底会怎么唱吧。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":652483547,"gmtCreate":1684830274890,"gmtModify":1684830626627,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>老虎证券盘前不能出????","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ </a>老虎证券盘前不能出????","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 老虎证券盘前不能出????","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/652483547","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":652521848,"gmtCreate":1684766705084,"gmtModify":1684766937698,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"","listText":"","text":"","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/639d07ced869f9b99eac40b483480573","width":"1086","height":"1653"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/652521848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":681487609,"gmtCreate":1657116559505,"gmtModify":1704866604399,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大家一般都买多少股啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大家一般都买多少股啊","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$大家一般都买多少股啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681487609","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":838562177,"gmtCreate":1629419915999,"gmtModify":1629419915999,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>一觉醒来公司暴富了!哈哈哈","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>一觉醒来公司暴富了!哈哈哈","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$一觉醒来公司暴富了!哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838562177","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1708,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":356290367,"gmtCreate":1616775734859,"gmtModify":1616775734859,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZH\">$知乎(ZH)$</a>几点可以交易","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZH\">$知乎(ZH)$</a>几点可以交易","text":"$知乎(ZH)$几点可以交易","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/356290367","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1560,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":392655792,"gmtCreate":1607439712816,"gmtModify":1703847935219,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30压力真大","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30压力真大","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$30压力真大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392655792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391418150,"gmtCreate":1606747239570,"gmtModify":1703844158084,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30啦!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30啦!!!","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$30啦!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391418150","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391386978,"gmtCreate":1606487918594,"gmtModify":1703843345202,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20211119 35.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>又一倍了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20211119 35.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>又一倍了。","text":"$PLTR 20211119 35.0 CALL(PLTR)$又一倍了。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080c297052cf66e48cd7afed295ec183","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391386978","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393556975,"gmtCreate":1606327257297,"gmtModify":1703842693141,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20210115 22.0 PUT(NIO)$</a>空一下试试","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20210115 22.0 PUT(NIO)$</a>空一下试试","text":"$NIO 20210115 22.0 PUT(NIO)$空一下试试","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f35d815217d56e0a7f90ea034dadef","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393556975","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393995807,"gmtCreate":1606222324609,"gmtModify":1703841775698,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>到价内期权了,抛掉继续,价外","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>到价内期权了,抛掉继续,价外","text":"$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$到价内期权了,抛掉继续,价外","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/473da6643426642e8064492e6898edba","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393995807","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393077086,"gmtCreate":1606220265045,"gmtModify":1703841749957,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>大佬。麻烦问下,到了行权价,不行权,影响盈利么??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>大佬。麻烦问下,到了行权价,不行权,影响盈利么??","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$大佬。麻烦问下,到了行权价,不行权,影响盈利么??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393077086","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3556669458170262","authorId":"3556669458170262","name":"科技大拿","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3556669458170262","authorIdStr":"3556669458170262"},"content":"变价内了,涨跌价格和正股一致。但是期权还含有时间价格,马上行权就损失了这个时间价值。如果预测价格继续上涨,应该抛掉价内期权买价外期权,依次往复。","text":"变价内了,涨跌价格和正股一致。但是期权还含有时间价格,马上行权就损失了这个时间价值。如果预测价格继续上涨,应该抛掉价内期权买价外期权,依次往复。","html":"变价内了,涨跌价格和正股一致。但是期权还含有时间价格,马上行权就损失了这个时间价值。如果预测价格继续上涨,应该抛掉价内期权买价外期权,依次往复。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":390999817,"gmtCreate":1605690265239,"gmtModify":1703838990328,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>坚持!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>坚持!","text":"$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$坚持!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1763fae6af4b6eba1274f2cb848da978","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390999817","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":947923121,"gmtCreate":1597163817163,"gmtModify":1704214777467,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$DAL 20210115 35.0 CALL(DAL)$</a>坚定持有","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$DAL 20210115 35.0 CALL(DAL)$</a>坚定持有","text":"$DAL 20210115 35.0 CALL(DAL)$坚定持有","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b8ffb2d5f16d1827c6ddfa3305d31af","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/947923121","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2564,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941186283,"gmtCreate":1594823863342,"gmtModify":1704207013191,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>先再见了!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>先再见了!","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$先再见了!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a2eca41e0e12c36af21882d54e9eb6","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941186283","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941186053,"gmtCreate":1594823825872,"gmtModify":1704207012330,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>值了,暂时再见","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>值了,暂时再见","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$值了,暂时再见","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a2eca41e0e12c36af21882d54e9eb6","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941186053","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941992228,"gmtCreate":1594745671864,"gmtModify":1704206708807,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a>买一个远期期权放着[开心] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DAL\">$达美航空(DAL)$</a>买一个远期期权放着[开心] ","text":"$达美航空(DAL)$买一个远期期权放着[开心]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941992228","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":675,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":937452416,"gmtCreate":1575343370835,"gmtModify":1704729297808,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 哎!就没涨过!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 哎!就没涨过!!!","text":"$康龙化成(03759)$ 哎!就没涨过!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bec81baea9722f2784485d4a6880c12f","width":"1080","height":"1828"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/937452416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":934419367,"gmtCreate":1574406570759,"gmtModify":1704727935658,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 人手都能中一签么??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 人手都能中一签么??","text":"$康龙化成(03759)$ 人手都能中一签么??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/934419367","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932463818,"gmtCreate":1573050982434,"gmtModify":1704725425221,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 哎,悲剧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 哎,悲剧","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 哎,悲剧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932463818","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":371392218398824,"gmtCreate":1731680960608,"gmtModify":1731681009235,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sb,无脑吹,你都不够给马斯克提鞋","listText":"Sb,无脑吹,你都不够给马斯克提鞋","text":"Sb,无脑吹,你都不够给马斯克提鞋","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/371392218398824","repostId":"1149674693","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1149674693","pubTimestamp":1731643800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149674693?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-15 12:10","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"马斯克花两亿美元“买”的官,能干多久?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149674693","media":"首席商业评论","summary":"随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。乖乖,花了两亿美元连个编制都不给?于是,马斯克一拍特朗普的大腿,干脆不要搞什么编制了,做个布衣宰相不也挺好!因此,马斯克想要的改革,恐怕并不容易推动起来。所以,即便马首富现在有特朗普的支持,但未必能得到其核心团队成员的一致支持。当然,马斯克有属于自己的剧本。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。</strong>据美媒报道,特朗普对马首富十分仗义,不仅让他跟乌克兰总统泽连斯基通上了电话,还让其进入自己的核心圈子开小会,马不停蹄地为下届政府的主要政策方向出谋划策。而选前一直传言的,让马斯克来操刀提升联邦政府效率的事,据称也将以“政府效率部”(Department of Government Efficiency,简称 DoGE)的名头付诸实施。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1e9813f79a598183582a1354f340a0d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"1210\"/></p><p>坊间纷纷传言,预计再过几个月,马首富就将戴上双眼花翎,摇身一变成为“马尚书”、“马太傅”了!大爷大妈不禁慨叹,首富这两亿美金是真没白花啊!这段故事完全可以改编成爆款短剧“重生之胡雪岩去美国当首富”!</p><p>但坊间说法自然是不能信的。<strong>马首富非但成不了马尚书,而且他的政府改革之路还将极其凶险。</strong></p><p><strong>“政府效率部”不是个“部”,马首富也成不了个“官”</strong></p><p>虽然名字里有个“部”字,但“政府效率部”在实际上并不是美国联邦政府机构,而只是个外部咨询机构,按我们<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/603883\">老百姓</a>的话说,就是“没编制”,连个事业单位都算不上,就是个临时工。</p><p>乖乖,花了两亿美元连个编制都不给?美国人办事这么不地道的么?别急,这倒不能怪特朗普小气,这样的安排自有其深意。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c0e0ad4fc9b5fe573a9ff4a18de0eb67\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"951\"/></p><p>按照美国的法律要求,设立一个正规的(有编制的)政府部门,必须经过国会立法等一系列繁杂的流程。且不说美国国会内部能不能通过,就算一切顺利,这个正式编制要办下来也得好几年以后的事了——到时候还是不是特朗普在任都不好说。况且,一个旨在提升政府效率的机构在一开始就以如此没有效率的方式设立,这岂不是要让全世界笑掉大牙了么?</p><p>于是,马斯克一拍特朗普的大腿,干脆不要搞什么编制了,做个布衣宰相不也挺好!美国联邦政府接受外部机构咨询本来也很常见,而这个机构身处政府之外,马斯克也方便出钱,行事上又不会受到太多掣肘,是一举数得的好事。</p><p>但问题也来了,<strong>提升政府效率要干很多触及政府根本的大动作,比如裁撤部门、降低运营成本等等,一个外部机构能有这么大的权力干那么多事吗?</strong></p><p>那就得看马斯克和特朗普的关系有多铁了。特朗普在这次大选中不仅拿下了总统宝座,还一并赢下了参议院和众议院,在未来几年里可谓是“三权合一”,风光无两。而且特朗普行事非常果决,如果他能全力支持马斯克,DoGE的地位根本就不重要,马斯克的计划必然能通过某些方式得以实现。</p><p><strong>你们都以为马斯克要学胡雪岩稀罕那红顶子,其实他真正想学的是姚广孝啊!</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae5ecb031fa66cffea68589246ffe338\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"645\" tg-height=\"441\"/></p><p><strong>美国联邦政府不是twitter</strong></p><p>再来看马斯克为DoGE定的目标。11月13日,DoGE就在社媒上开通了官方账号,第一条帖文就立下了flag。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc5b0873bc6939d49e4515f01ae2a16d\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"969\" tg-height=\"159\"/></p><p><strong>DoGE的核心目标就是提升政府效率。但效率这个词可以有很多种定义。</strong>因此,为了表明自己的决心,马斯克还给自己下了几个大胆的KPI:<strong>第一,将把现有约428个联邦机构裁撤到99个以内,削减约75%;第二,大幅削减政府开支,从联邦预算中削减2万亿美元</strong>(美国2024财年总支出为6.75万亿美元,马斯克的目标是砍掉30%)。</p><p>这两个目标非常惊人。不知道美国联邦公务员们听说之后会不会已经开始瑟瑟发抖担心自己饭碗不保了。但考虑到马首富在买下推特(后改名X)后,把员工总数从8000人砍到1500人的大刀阔斧,这次的政府效率提升计划反倒不显得扎眼了。</p><p><strong>但关键问题是,美国联邦政府可不是推特/X这样的私营公司。</strong></p><p>按照美国联邦法律,所有的联邦政府机构(就是马斯克要裁减75%的那些)都是国会通过立法来创立的。每一个机构都有各自特定的功能,同时,也有各自的预算。这些内容的依据都是法律,哪怕是特朗普亲自操刀,也不能说砍就砍,而必须通过严格的法律程序。</p><p>言下之意是,马斯克在推特/X搞的那一套,是绝不可能简单复制到联邦政府中来的。他在推特/X是拥有绝对权力的,也没有任何法律掣肘他,所以做什么基本都能畅通无阻;但联邦政府有一整套完整的行事程序和法律,主要就是为了防止出现绝对权力滥用的情况。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5651db4998f47f8f2686b89d2fd118a8\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"608\"/></p><p>因此,<strong>马斯克想要的改革,恐怕并不容易推动起来。相反,他可能会陷入联邦法律的各种条条框框里,寸步难行。</strong></p><p><strong>马斯克可能干不了多久</strong></p><p><strong>除了法律程序,联邦政府和推特/X这样的私营公司还有一个巨大的不同是:联邦政府充斥着各种老谋深算的既得利益者。</strong>私营公司裁员,说白了就是个生意,按规则,老板给钱,员工走人,一拍两散。但联邦政府可不是这么做事的。很多职业官僚在里面混了很久了,大都有自己的一块利益、“禁脔”。你一个外头来的临时工,靠跟总统关系好上的位,然后嚷嚷着要搞降本增效,那不得动这些老官油子的蛋糕?这都是他们经营好多年甚至几辈人前赴后继攒下的家业,是他们的命根子,今天说拿走就拿走了,这帮人还不得跟马首富拼个你死我活?</p><p>别说底下的老官油子了,<strong>即便是特朗普团队里的这些即将上位的核心成员,也已经开始跟马斯克貌合神离了。</strong>这帮人跟着特朗普忠心耿耿蛰伏了四年,如今刚打了个翻身仗,重新上位要准备大展身手的时候,马首富哼哧哼哧跑来把手下人都裁了,预算都砍掉了,就留你个光杆司令,换谁都不会乐意。</p><p>所以,即便马首富现在有特朗普的支持,但未必能得到其核心团队成员的一致支持。而随着时间的推移,小报告一打,枕边风一吹,两亿美元的恩情慢慢转淡,马斯克保不准逐渐被特朗普所疏远,到那时,首富必将危矣!</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2bcf95ab3cbbc4caaf2501d5ed8b45e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"607\"/></p><p>更要命的是,马斯克还是个习惯高调行事的主儿。这在商界也就罢了,但如果放在政治江湖里,很难不吃大亏。华盛顿特区遍地都是两面三刀的人,哪个政客不得夹起尾巴做人?想那姚广孝,极受朱棣尊崇,在当时绝对算得上权倾天下的人物,但即便如此,哥们每天下了朝,依然回到自己的庙里,换回僧衣,青灯古佛,低调至极。而马首富呢,虽然纵横商界无人匹敌,但在政界仍然只是一枚“小白”,估计不会比他的前辈马尔泰·若曦好到哪里去,后面的路程想必也是步步惊心的吧!</p><p>当然,马斯克有属于自己的剧本。事已至此,不如让我们看看这出大戏后面到底会怎么唱吧。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1588053976797","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>马斯克花两亿美元“买”的官,能干多久?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克花两亿美元“买”的官,能干多久?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-11-15 12:10 北京时间 <a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSbSy45t9z31CoNQEo6gYA><strong>首席商业评论</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。据美媒报道,特朗普对马首富十分仗义,不仅让他跟乌克兰总统泽连斯基通上了电话,还让其进入自己的核心圈子开小会,马不停蹄地为下届政府的主要政策方向出谋划策。而选前一直传言的,让马斯克来操刀提升联邦政府效率的事,据称也将以“政府效率部”(Department of Government ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSbSy45t9z31CoNQEo6gYA\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/74ce1b04d3f23e0894f7a6ddc739dfb1","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/xSbSy45t9z31CoNQEo6gYA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149674693","content_text":"随着特朗普拿下本次大选,在此次竞选中鞍前马后立下汗马功劳、豪掷两亿美元助选的世界首富马斯克也开始收获他的回报。据美媒报道,特朗普对马首富十分仗义,不仅让他跟乌克兰总统泽连斯基通上了电话,还让其进入自己的核心圈子开小会,马不停蹄地为下届政府的主要政策方向出谋划策。而选前一直传言的,让马斯克来操刀提升联邦政府效率的事,据称也将以“政府效率部”(Department of Government Efficiency,简称 DoGE)的名头付诸实施。坊间纷纷传言,预计再过几个月,马首富就将戴上双眼花翎,摇身一变成为“马尚书”、“马太傅”了!大爷大妈不禁慨叹,首富这两亿美金是真没白花啊!这段故事完全可以改编成爆款短剧“重生之胡雪岩去美国当首富”!但坊间说法自然是不能信的。马首富非但成不了马尚书,而且他的政府改革之路还将极其凶险。“政府效率部”不是个“部”,马首富也成不了个“官”虽然名字里有个“部”字,但“政府效率部”在实际上并不是美国联邦政府机构,而只是个外部咨询机构,按我们老百姓的话说,就是“没编制”,连个事业单位都算不上,就是个临时工。乖乖,花了两亿美元连个编制都不给?美国人办事这么不地道的么?别急,这倒不能怪特朗普小气,这样的安排自有其深意。按照美国的法律要求,设立一个正规的(有编制的)政府部门,必须经过国会立法等一系列繁杂的流程。且不说美国国会内部能不能通过,就算一切顺利,这个正式编制要办下来也得好几年以后的事了——到时候还是不是特朗普在任都不好说。况且,一个旨在提升政府效率的机构在一开始就以如此没有效率的方式设立,这岂不是要让全世界笑掉大牙了么?于是,马斯克一拍特朗普的大腿,干脆不要搞什么编制了,做个布衣宰相不也挺好!美国联邦政府接受外部机构咨询本来也很常见,而这个机构身处政府之外,马斯克也方便出钱,行事上又不会受到太多掣肘,是一举数得的好事。但问题也来了,提升政府效率要干很多触及政府根本的大动作,比如裁撤部门、降低运营成本等等,一个外部机构能有这么大的权力干那么多事吗?那就得看马斯克和特朗普的关系有多铁了。特朗普在这次大选中不仅拿下了总统宝座,还一并赢下了参议院和众议院,在未来几年里可谓是“三权合一”,风光无两。而且特朗普行事非常果决,如果他能全力支持马斯克,DoGE的地位根本就不重要,马斯克的计划必然能通过某些方式得以实现。你们都以为马斯克要学胡雪岩稀罕那红顶子,其实他真正想学的是姚广孝啊!美国联邦政府不是twitter再来看马斯克为DoGE定的目标。11月13日,DoGE就在社媒上开通了官方账号,第一条帖文就立下了flag。DoGE的核心目标就是提升政府效率。但效率这个词可以有很多种定义。因此,为了表明自己的决心,马斯克还给自己下了几个大胆的KPI:第一,将把现有约428个联邦机构裁撤到99个以内,削减约75%;第二,大幅削减政府开支,从联邦预算中削减2万亿美元(美国2024财年总支出为6.75万亿美元,马斯克的目标是砍掉30%)。这两个目标非常惊人。不知道美国联邦公务员们听说之后会不会已经开始瑟瑟发抖担心自己饭碗不保了。但考虑到马首富在买下推特(后改名X)后,把员工总数从8000人砍到1500人的大刀阔斧,这次的政府效率提升计划反倒不显得扎眼了。但关键问题是,美国联邦政府可不是推特/X这样的私营公司。按照美国联邦法律,所有的联邦政府机构(就是马斯克要裁减75%的那些)都是国会通过立法来创立的。每一个机构都有各自特定的功能,同时,也有各自的预算。这些内容的依据都是法律,哪怕是特朗普亲自操刀,也不能说砍就砍,而必须通过严格的法律程序。言下之意是,马斯克在推特/X搞的那一套,是绝不可能简单复制到联邦政府中来的。他在推特/X是拥有绝对权力的,也没有任何法律掣肘他,所以做什么基本都能畅通无阻;但联邦政府有一整套完整的行事程序和法律,主要就是为了防止出现绝对权力滥用的情况。因此,马斯克想要的改革,恐怕并不容易推动起来。相反,他可能会陷入联邦法律的各种条条框框里,寸步难行。马斯克可能干不了多久除了法律程序,联邦政府和推特/X这样的私营公司还有一个巨大的不同是:联邦政府充斥着各种老谋深算的既得利益者。私营公司裁员,说白了就是个生意,按规则,老板给钱,员工走人,一拍两散。但联邦政府可不是这么做事的。很多职业官僚在里面混了很久了,大都有自己的一块利益、“禁脔”。你一个外头来的临时工,靠跟总统关系好上的位,然后嚷嚷着要搞降本增效,那不得动这些老官油子的蛋糕?这都是他们经营好多年甚至几辈人前赴后继攒下的家业,是他们的命根子,今天说拿走就拿走了,这帮人还不得跟马首富拼个你死我活?别说底下的老官油子了,即便是特朗普团队里的这些即将上位的核心成员,也已经开始跟马斯克貌合神离了。这帮人跟着特朗普忠心耿耿蛰伏了四年,如今刚打了个翻身仗,重新上位要准备大展身手的时候,马首富哼哧哼哧跑来把手下人都裁了,预算都砍掉了,就留你个光杆司令,换谁都不会乐意。所以,即便马首富现在有特朗普的支持,但未必能得到其核心团队成员的一致支持。而随着时间的推移,小报告一打,枕边风一吹,两亿美元的恩情慢慢转淡,马斯克保不准逐渐被特朗普所疏远,到那时,首富必将危矣!更要命的是,马斯克还是个习惯高调行事的主儿。这在商界也就罢了,但如果放在政治江湖里,很难不吃大亏。华盛顿特区遍地都是两面三刀的人,哪个政客不得夹起尾巴做人?想那姚广孝,极受朱棣尊崇,在当时绝对算得上权倾天下的人物,但即便如此,哥们每天下了朝,依然回到自己的庙里,换回僧衣,青灯古佛,低调至极。而马首富呢,虽然纵横商界无人匹敌,但在政界仍然只是一枚“小白”,估计不会比他的前辈马尔泰·若曦好到哪里去,后面的路程想必也是步步惊心的吧!当然,马斯克有属于自己的剧本。事已至此,不如让我们看看这出大戏后面到底会怎么唱吧。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":221406,"gmtCreate":1531899580715,"gmtModify":1704897098220,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$中兴通讯(00763)$ 真是坑,刚买就这样","listText":"$中兴通讯(00763)$ 真是坑,刚买就这样","text":"$中兴通讯(00763)$ 真是坑,刚买就这样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/221406","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393077086,"gmtCreate":1606220265045,"gmtModify":1703841749957,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>大佬。麻烦问下,到了行权价,不行权,影响盈利么??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>大佬。麻烦问下,到了行权价,不行权,影响盈利么??","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$大佬。麻烦问下,到了行权价,不行权,影响盈利么??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393077086","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3465,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3556669458170262","authorId":"3556669458170262","name":"科技大拿","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3556669458170262","authorIdStr":"3556669458170262"},"content":"变价内了,涨跌价格和正股一致。但是期权还含有时间价格,马上行权就损失了这个时间价值。如果预测价格继续上涨,应该抛掉价内期权买价外期权,依次往复。","text":"变价内了,涨跌价格和正股一致。但是期权还含有时间价格,马上行权就损失了这个时间价值。如果预测价格继续上涨,应该抛掉价内期权买价外期权,依次往复。","html":"变价内了,涨跌价格和正股一致。但是期权还含有时间价格,马上行权就损失了这个时间价值。如果预测价格继续上涨,应该抛掉价内期权买价外期权,依次往复。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":390999817,"gmtCreate":1605690265239,"gmtModify":1703838990328,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>坚持!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>坚持!","text":"$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$坚持!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1763fae6af4b6eba1274f2cb848da978","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390999817","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2151,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":332676,"gmtCreate":1542336381813,"gmtModify":1704781051711,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$中兴通讯(00763)$从亏25%,终于红了!!!","listText":"$中兴通讯(00763)$从亏25%,终于红了!!!","text":"$中兴通讯(00763)$从亏25%,终于红了!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/332676","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1860,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932463818,"gmtCreate":1573050982434,"gmtModify":1704725425221,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 哎,悲剧","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 哎,悲剧","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 哎,悲剧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932463818","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":647,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":221288,"gmtCreate":1531890885091,"gmtModify":1704897079195,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 停牌了???","listText":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 停牌了???","text":"$小米集团-W(01810)$ 停牌了???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/221288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1592,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"content":"看错了,刚一直横线","text":"看错了,刚一直横线","html":"看错了,刚一直横线"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":201980,"gmtCreate":1528819678777,"gmtModify":1704894637162,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"title":"接着补仓?","htmlText":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 接着玩儿么","listText":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 接着玩儿么","text":"$纳指三倍做空ETF(SQQQ)$ 接着玩儿么","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/0a87287b4de599140e460d71f5667c3d"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/201980","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":941,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":681487609,"gmtCreate":1657116559505,"gmtModify":1704866604399,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大家一般都买多少股啊","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>大家一般都买多少股啊","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$大家一般都买多少股啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/681487609","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":6039,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":934419367,"gmtCreate":1574406570759,"gmtModify":1704727935658,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 人手都能中一签么??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 人手都能中一签么??","text":"$康龙化成(03759)$ 人手都能中一签么??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/934419367","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":516,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393995807,"gmtCreate":1606222324609,"gmtModify":1703841775698,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>到价内期权了,抛掉继续,价外","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>到价内期权了,抛掉继续,价外","text":"$PLTR 20230120 20.0 CALL(PLTR)$到价内期权了,抛掉继续,价外","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/473da6643426642e8064492e6898edba","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393995807","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2862,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941186283,"gmtCreate":1594823863342,"gmtModify":1704207013191,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>先再见了!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>先再见了!","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$先再见了!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a2eca41e0e12c36af21882d54e9eb6","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941186283","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":932560496,"gmtCreate":1572998433515,"gmtModify":1704725295744,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 坚持!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a> 坚持!","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$ 坚持!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/afc7afa67ee1fe2cbe9fde4342414a0b","width":"1080","height":"1828"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/932560496","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1074,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":118627,"gmtCreate":1511270279092,"gmtModify":1704884195096,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"title":"这是怎么了!!!","htmlText":"$宜人贷(YRD)$什么情况啊!跌这么多?","listText":"$宜人贷(YRD)$什么情况啊!跌这么多?","text":"$宜人贷(YRD)$什么情况啊!跌这么多?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118627","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":724,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"142350079636704","authorId":"142350079636704","name":"GaryPKU","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"142350079636704","authorIdStr":"142350079636704"},"content":"就他妈一个暂停新办的通知市场就这个德行了,也是醉了","text":"就他妈一个暂停新办的通知市场就这个德行了,也是醉了","html":"就他妈一个暂停新办的通知市场就这个德行了,也是醉了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":392655792,"gmtCreate":1607439712816,"gmtModify":1703847935219,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30压力真大","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30压力真大","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$30压力真大","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/392655792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1412,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":393556975,"gmtCreate":1606327257297,"gmtModify":1703842693141,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20210115 22.0 PUT(NIO)$</a>空一下试试","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$NIO 20210115 22.0 PUT(NIO)$</a>空一下试试","text":"$NIO 20210115 22.0 PUT(NIO)$空一下试试","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2f35d815217d56e0a7f90ea034dadef","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/393556975","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1662,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":937452416,"gmtCreate":1575343370835,"gmtModify":1704729297808,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 哎!就没涨过!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03759\">$康龙化成(03759)$</a> 哎!就没涨过!!!","text":"$康龙化成(03759)$ 哎!就没涨过!!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bec81baea9722f2784485d4a6880c12f","width":"1080","height":"1828"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/937452416","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":721,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391418150,"gmtCreate":1606747239570,"gmtModify":1703844158084,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30啦!!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$</a>30啦!!!","text":"$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$30啦!!!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391418150","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1538,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":391386978,"gmtCreate":1606487918594,"gmtModify":1703843345202,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20211119 35.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>又一倍了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">$PLTR 20211119 35.0 CALL(PLTR)$</a>又一倍了。","text":"$PLTR 20211119 35.0 CALL(PLTR)$又一倍了。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080c297052cf66e48cd7afed295ec183","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/391386978","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":941186053,"gmtCreate":1594823825872,"gmtModify":1704207012330,"author":{"id":"3473374893801132","authorId":"3473374893801132","name":"大飘子","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3473374893801132","authorIdStr":"3473374893801132"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>值了,暂时再见","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">$蔚来(NIO)$</a>值了,暂时再见","text":"$蔚来(NIO)$值了,暂时再见","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/32a2eca41e0e12c36af21882d54e9eb6","width":"1080","height":"2340"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/941186053","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":932,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}