jikang218的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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08-08

$Fate Therapeutics Inc(FATE)$ 发什么神经？

2022-01-05

$RLX科技(RLX)$五亿美元回购？诚信在哪？

2021-12-14

$RLX科技(RLX)$说好的回购呢？

2021-09-20

$恒生指数(HSI)$这种粪坑市场留着干嘛？

2021-09-17

滚！

*摩通吁投资者逢高减持内房降融创、龙光、金茂、奥园及恒大物业评级至「减持」下调碧桂园等至「中性」

2021-09-17

投资看摩通，估计渣都剩不了。摩通是垃圾！

摩通对内房股最新投资评级及目标价(表)

2021-09-09

$恒生指数(HSI)$说垃圾是侮辱了垃圾，这个是粪坑市场。

2021-07-20

$恒生指数主连 2107(HSImain)$ 垃圾市场！

2021-07-08

$恒生指数(HSI)$早死早超生！

2021-07-02

$恒生指数(HSI)$洋奴才多的地方搞什么能行？

2021-06-23

小编的良心让狗吃了？

当前的“牛市领头羊”还值不值得参与？

2021-06-22

只能呵呵了！

光大新鸿基料恒指下半年再挑战31,000点科技指数高位睇9,000点

2021-06-15

没有价值的任何东西肯定会归零！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-23

华为没被禁，苹果的下场会好？？？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-11

说港股垃圾真是侮辱了垃圾！

2021-04-30

一群**！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-30

只能呵呵了！

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-04-21

$恒生指数(HSI)$洋鬼子和二鬼子多的地方确实没前途！

2020-09-04

：

BRIEF-Ingersoll-Rand (India) June Quarter Profit Falls

2019-08-04

沉默中爆发还是灭亡？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1130101&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51edcbed4cc4bf7f4b7ca9a4a8cb859d","relate_stocks":{"02777":"富力地产","01109":"华润置地","01233":"时代中国控股","03380":"龙光集团","03333":"中国恒大","00960":"龙湖集团","00817":"中国金茂","03883":"中国奥园","01030":"新城发展","06666":"恒大物业","02007":"碧桂园","01918":"融创中国","03383":"雅居乐集团"},"source_url":"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1130101&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/51f6b9126f36f92bbf92982596066e5a","article_id":"2168582523","content_text":"~阿思达克财经新闻网址: www.aastocks.com","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1108,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":884169829,"gmtCreate":1631868087761,"gmtModify":1631868577920,"author":{"id":"3471213512548426","authorId":"3471213512548426","name":"jikang218","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471213512548426","authorIdStr":"3471213512548426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"投资看摩通，估计渣都剩不了。摩通是垃圾！","listText":"投资看摩通，估计渣都剩不了。摩通是垃圾！","text":"投资看摩通，估计渣都剩不了。摩通是垃圾！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884169829","repostId":"2168103523","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2168103523","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631852915,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2168103523?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-17 12:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"摩通对内房股最新投资评级及目标价(表)","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2168103523","media":"AAFN","summary":"股份│投资评级│目标价(港元)碧桂园   │增持→中性│9.7→6.8元融创中国   │增持→减持│27→12元龙光集团   │中性→减持│9.2→5.9元中国恒大   │减持│2.8→1.7元新城发展   │增持→中性│8.5→5.8元中国金茂   │中性→减持│2.5→2元雅居乐集团   │增持→中性│12.2→6.3元合景泰富集团   │增持│12→7.8元富力地产   │减持│6→3.5元","content":"<html><body><p>股份│投资评级│目标价(港元)<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02007\">碧桂园</a>   │增持→中性│9.7→6.8元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01918\">融创中国</a>   │增持→减持│27→12元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03380\">龙光集团</a>   │中性→减持│9.2→5.9元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">中国恒大</a>   │减持│2.8→1.7元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01030\">新城发展</a>   │增持→中性│8.5→5.8元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00817\">中国金茂</a>   │中性→减持│2.5→2元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03383\">雅居乐集团</a>   │增持→中性│12.2→6.3元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01813\">合景泰富集团</a>   │增持│12→7.8元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02777\">富力地产</a>   │减持│6→3.5元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01233\">时代中国控股</a>   │增持→中性│9.3→6.1元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01628\">禹洲集团</a>   │减持│1.4→1元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06666\">恒大物业</a>   │中性→减持│4.9→3.4元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02202\">万科企业</a>   │中性│22元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00960\">龙湖集团</a>   │增持│52元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01109\">华润置地</a>   │增持│41元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00688\">中国海外发展</a>   │增持│22.5元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00813\">世茂集团</a>   │增持│22元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00884\">旭辉控股集团</a>   │增持│6.7元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01238\">宝龙地产</a>   │增持│8.7元<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01966\">中骏集团控股</a>   │增持│4元(ic/u)~阿思达克财经新闻网址: www.aastocks.com</p></body></html>","source":"aastocks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>摩通对内房股最新投资评级及目标价(表)</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n摩通对内房股最新投资评级及目标价(表)\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-17 12:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1130114&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0><strong>AAFN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>股份│投资评级│目标价(港元)碧桂园   │增持→中性│9.7→6.8元融创中国   │增持→减持│27→12元龙光集团   │中性→减持│9.2→5.9元中国恒大   │减持│2.8→1.7元新城发展   │增持→中性│8.5→5.8元中国金茂   │中性→减持│2.5→2元雅居乐集团   │增持→中性│12.2→6.3元合景泰富集团   │增持│12→7.8元富力地产   │减持│6→3.5元...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1130114&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe85c79e7ab0e902548197ca13ca8164","relate_stocks":{"03883":"中国奥园","01109":"华润置地","00813":"世茂集团","02202":"万科企业","01238":"宝龙地产","02777":"富力地产","00688":"中国海外发展","06666":"恒大物业","01030":"新城发展","00960":"龙湖集团","00817":"中国金茂","01813":"合景泰富集团","01628":"禹洲集团","01233":"时代中国控股","03383":"雅居乐集团","03333":"中国恒大","01918":"融创中国","02007":"碧桂园","03380":"龙光集团","01966":"中骏集团控股","00884":"旭辉控股集团"},"source_url":"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1130114&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/51f6b9126f36f92bbf92982596066e5a","article_id":"2168103523","content_text":"股份│投资评级│目标价(港元)碧桂园   │增持→中性│9.7→6.8元融创中国   │增持→减持│27→12元龙光集团   │中性→减持│9.2→5.9元中国恒大   │减持│2.8→1.7元新城发展   │增持→中性│8.5→5.8元中国金茂   │中性→减持│2.5→2元雅居乐集团   │增持→中性│12.2→6.3元合景泰富集团   │增持│12→7.8元富力地产   │减持│6→3.5元时代中国控股   │增持→中性│9.3→6.1元禹洲集团   │减持│1.4→1元恒大物业   │中性→减持│4.9→3.4元万科企业   │中性│22元龙湖集团   │增持│52元华润置地   │增持│41元中国海外发展   │增持│22.5元世茂集团   │增持│22元旭辉控股集团   │增持│6.7元宝龙地产   │增持│8.7元中骏集团控股   │增持│4元(ic/u)~阿思达克财经新闻网址: www.aastocks.com","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":889712648,"gmtCreate":1631178270384,"gmtModify":1631178270384,"author":{"id":"3471213512548426","authorId":"3471213512548426","name":"jikang218","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471213512548426","authorIdStr":"3471213512548426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>说垃圾是侮辱了垃圾，这个是粪坑市场。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>说垃圾是侮辱了垃圾，这个是粪坑市场。","text":"$恒生指数(HSI)$说垃圾是侮辱了垃圾，这个是粪坑市场。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/889712648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1995,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":178902989,"gmtCreate":1626778351441,"gmtModify":1626778747656,"author":{"id":"3471213512548426","authorId":"3471213512548426","name":"jikang218","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471213512548426","authorIdStr":"3471213512548426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2107(HSImain)$ &nbsp;</a>垃圾市场！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/HSImain\">$恒生指数主连 2107(HSImain)$ &nbsp;</a>垃圾市场！","text":"$恒生指数主连 2107(HSImain)$ 垃圾市场！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178902989","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":149280523,"gmtCreate":1625729954062,"gmtModify":1625729954062,"author":{"id":"3471213512548426","authorId":"3471213512548426","name":"jikang218","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471213512548426","authorIdStr":"3471213512548426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>早死早超生！","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>早死早超生！","text":"$恒生指数(HSI)$早死早超生！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/149280523","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1515,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":156160482,"gmtCreate":1625202773246,"gmtModify":1625202773246,"author":{"id":"3471213512548426","authorId":"3471213512548426","name":"jikang218","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471213512548426","authorIdStr":"3471213512548426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>洋奴才多的地方搞什么能行？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HSI\">$恒生指数(HSI)$</a>洋奴才多的地方搞什么能行？","text":"$恒生指数(HSI)$洋奴才多的地方搞什么能行？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156160482","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1280,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":123465703,"gmtCreate":1624435367002,"gmtModify":1624435367002,"author":{"id":"3471213512548426","authorId":"3471213512548426","name":"jikang218","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471213512548426","authorIdStr":"3471213512548426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"小编的良心让狗吃了？","listText":"小编的良心让狗吃了？","text":"小编的良心让狗吃了？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123465703","repostId":"2145062371","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2145062371","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624417885,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145062371?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 11:11","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"当前的“牛市领头羊”还值不值得参与？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145062371","media":"苏宁金融研究院","summary":"近期，创业板再次引领指数涨幅。自2018年10月18日阶段性低点1205点以来，创业板指数累计涨幅已高达165%，妥妥跑赢大盘，成为本轮牛市的领头羊。\n创业板的这轮牛市，核心驱动力是什么？当前值不值得","content":"<p>近期，创业板再次引领指数涨幅。自2018年10月18日阶段性低点1205点以来，创业板指数累计涨幅已高达165%，妥妥跑赢大盘，成为本轮牛市的领头羊。</p>\n<p>创业板的这轮牛市，核心驱动力是什么？当前值不值得继续参与呢？</p>\n<p><b>盈利强劲，驱动创业板走牛</b></p>\n<p>短期行情，题材、概念、情绪常常发挥主导作用。但长达几年的大行情，只能靠盈利驱动。</p>\n<p>从创业板指成分股的盈利来看，2017年是盈利低点，当年净利润286亿，同比下降43%；之后恢复高增长态势，2020年达到1012亿元，三年复合增速高达52%，与之相比，沪深300成分同期净利润复合增速仅为8.5%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/426ad78423ba694d375bc29801179fc9\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"371\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>在如此强劲的盈利驱动下，创业板走牛自然不足为奇。自2018年10月低点算起，创业板指数从1205点最高涨至3414点，期间，创业板指数平均市盈率从最低28.1倍涨至61倍，享受了盈利与估值的戴维斯双击效应。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ef61fa1485863c07b2be166c8e8d9a4\" tg-width=\"743\" tg-height=\"385\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>截止2021年6月17日，创业板指数平均市盈率54倍，低于十年来创业板指数平均市盈率（58倍），分位水平处于53%，不低也不高。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a2e4afd815821669677e73dfeb2f4f6\" tg-width=\"787\" tg-height=\"361\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>行业分散，龙头集中</b></p>\n<p>从行业分布上看，相比科创板，创业板的行业分布更分散，“硬科技”特色也要弱一些。</p>\n<p>如科创板前五大行业占比超过80%，主要集中在半导体、生物制药、技术设备等领域，而创业板指数前五大行业（以2021年6月17日总市值为权重）占比只有59%，分别为：电源设备（19.6%）、医疗器械（15.9%）、医疗服务（9%）、生物制品（7.9%）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000061\">农产品</a>加工（6.6%）。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4f50a777b0c6ef129f90d8bca655878\" tg-width=\"780\" tg-height=\"413\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>对一个指数而言，过度分散的行业通常是一种缺点，使得其缺乏特色。但就创业板指数而言，分散却是其优点。正是因为行业分散，创业板才得以集中多个具有高增长属性细分产业的龙头个股，能够充分享受经济减速背景下结构升级和行业分化环境下龙头增长的双重收益。</p>\n<p>以创业板前十五大个股来说，集中了新能源电池、医疗器械、食品加工、医疗服务、互联网证券、创新药、半导体、医美、传媒等多个热点领域的龙头，权重占比高达60%。某种意义上，投资者买入创业板指数基金（或ETF），就买入了一篮子新兴产业龙头股票。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d99bd45b9a1b669928d979511bbef194\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"446\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>当前的创业板值不<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300785\">值得买</a>？</b></p>\n<p>从基本面的角度看，创业板指数无疑是很好的投资标的，涵盖了一系列新兴热点行业的龙头，在较大程度上代表了中国经济转型升级的方向。</p>\n<p>至于是否值得参与，还需要评估当前的估值水平。</p>\n<p>如前所述，截止2021年6月17日，创业板指数平均市盈率54倍，低于十年来创业板指数平均市盈率（58倍），分位水平处于53%。这个位置不算高，已经持有的不必着急卖出，可以耐心等待趋势走完；对于新增资金，这个位置买入缺少安全边际，肯定算不上价值投资，只能是趋势投资，而且吃的还是后半段，需要赌目前的上涨趋势还能持续下去。</p>\n<p>正因为如此，创业板当前不具备普适性的投资价值，即不是谁都应该配置一些，而只能结合每个投资者自身的投资策略和投资目的来决定，没有绝对正确的结论。</p>\n<p>对于过去一直定投创业板指数的投资者，当前的位置仍适合继续定投买入；</p>\n<p>对于快进快出赚快钱的投资者，在设定好止损线的前提下，当前的创业板指数依旧值得参与；</p>\n<p>对于拟持有期限超过5年的投资者，理应配置经济体中最具活力的板块，当前创业板的估值虽然缺乏安全边际，但有点是行业增长前景相当可观，拉长时间看仍能创造较大的投资价值；</p>\n<p>对于坚信价值投资但因所持股票迟迟不涨而信心动摇的投资者，只要对所持上市公司的长期发展前景有信心，即便账户一直亏损，仍应继续坚守原有的策略等待估值回归，改投热点板块只会导致投资体系的紊乱，最终得不偿失；</p>\n<p>对于拟持有期限低于3年的投资者，持有期限较短，市场不确定性强，应该追求安全边际，投资买入十年市盈率分位低于20%的板块，不建议参与当前的创业板，先求少亏钱，再求多赚钱。</p>\n<p>总之，当前的创业板估值水平不高不低，投资目的和策略不同，创业板最终反馈给投资者的价值也不同，不能一概而论。</p>","source":"lsy1568689437122","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>当前的“牛市领头羊”还值不值得参与？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ 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hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n当前的“牛市领头羊”还值不值得参与？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-23 11:11 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/f3WGglW32twsanEKRQdXtg><strong>苏宁金融研究院</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近期，创业板再次引领指数涨幅。自2018年10月18日阶段性低点1205点以来，创业板指数累计涨幅已高达165%，妥妥跑赢大盘，成为本轮牛市的领头羊。\n创业板的这轮牛市，核心驱动力是什么？当前值不值得继续参与呢？\n盈利强劲，驱动创业板走牛\n短期行情，题材、概念、情绪常常发挥主导作用。但长达几年的大行情，只能靠盈利驱动。\n从创业板指成分股的盈利来看，2017年是盈利低点，当年净利润286亿，同比下降...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/f3WGglW32twsanEKRQdXtg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/240f8d6f867bfad3f3e603e754475900","relate_stocks":{"159915":"创业板","399006":"创业板指","000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/f3WGglW32twsanEKRQdXtg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145062371","content_text":"近期，创业板再次引领指数涨幅。自2018年10月18日阶段性低点1205点以来，创业板指数累计涨幅已高达165%，妥妥跑赢大盘，成为本轮牛市的领头羊。\n创业板的这轮牛市，核心驱动力是什么？当前值不值得继续参与呢？\n盈利强劲，驱动创业板走牛\n短期行情，题材、概念、情绪常常发挥主导作用。但长达几年的大行情，只能靠盈利驱动。\n从创业板指成分股的盈利来看，2017年是盈利低点，当年净利润286亿，同比下降43%；之后恢复高增长态势，2020年达到1012亿元，三年复合增速高达52%，与之相比，沪深300成分同期净利润复合增速仅为8.5%。\n\n在如此强劲的盈利驱动下，创业板走牛自然不足为奇。自2018年10月低点算起，创业板指数从1205点最高涨至3414点，期间，创业板指数平均市盈率从最低28.1倍涨至61倍，享受了盈利与估值的戴维斯双击效应。\n\n截止2021年6月17日，创业板指数平均市盈率54倍，低于十年来创业板指数平均市盈率（58倍），分位水平处于53%，不低也不高。\n\n行业分散，龙头集中\n从行业分布上看，相比科创板，创业板的行业分布更分散，“硬科技”特色也要弱一些。\n如科创板前五大行业占比超过80%，主要集中在半导体、生物制药、技术设备等领域，而创业板指数前五大行业（以2021年6月17日总市值为权重）占比只有59%，分别为：电源设备（19.6%）、医疗器械（15.9%）、医疗服务（9%）、生物制品（7.9%）和农产品加工（6.6%）。\n\n对一个指数而言，过度分散的行业通常是一种缺点，使得其缺乏特色。但就创业板指数而言，分散却是其优点。正是因为行业分散，创业板才得以集中多个具有高增长属性细分产业的龙头个股，能够充分享受经济减速背景下结构升级和行业分化环境下龙头增长的双重收益。\n以创业板前十五大个股来说，集中了新能源电池、医疗器械、食品加工、医疗服务、互联网证券、创新药、半导体、医美、传媒等多个热点领域的龙头，权重占比高达60%。某种意义上，投资者买入创业板指数基金（或ETF），就买入了一篮子新兴产业龙头股票。\n\n当前的创业板值不值得买？\n从基本面的角度看，创业板指数无疑是很好的投资标的，涵盖了一系列新兴热点行业的龙头，在较大程度上代表了中国经济转型升级的方向。\n至于是否值得参与，还需要评估当前的估值水平。\n如前所述，截止2021年6月17日，创业板指数平均市盈率54倍，低于十年来创业板指数平均市盈率（58倍），分位水平处于53%。这个位置不算高，已经持有的不必着急卖出，可以耐心等待趋势走完；对于新增资金，这个位置买入缺少安全边际，肯定算不上价值投资，只能是趋势投资，而且吃的还是后半段，需要赌目前的上涨趋势还能持续下去。\n正因为如此，创业板当前不具备普适性的投资价值，即不是谁都应该配置一些，而只能结合每个投资者自身的投资策略和投资目的来决定，没有绝对正确的结论。\n对于过去一直定投创业板指数的投资者，当前的位置仍适合继续定投买入；\n对于快进快出赚快钱的投资者，在设定好止损线的前提下，当前的创业板指数依旧值得参与；\n对于拟持有期限超过5年的投资者，理应配置经济体中最具活力的板块，当前创业板的估值虽然缺乏安全边际，但有点是行业增长前景相当可观，拉长时间看仍能创造较大的投资价值；\n对于坚信价值投资但因所持股票迟迟不涨而信心动摇的投资者，只要对所持上市公司的长期发展前景有信心，即便账户一直亏损，仍应继续坚守原有的策略等待估值回归，改投热点板块只会导致投资体系的紊乱，最终得不偿失；\n对于拟持有期限低于3年的投资者，持有期限较短，市场不确定性强，应该追求安全边际，投资买入十年市盈率分位低于20%的板块，不建议参与当前的创业板，先求少亏钱，再求多赚钱。\n总之，当前的创业板估值水平不高不低，投资目的和策略不同，创业板最终反馈给投资者的价值也不同，不能一概而论。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":803,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":129955106,"gmtCreate":1624353701505,"gmtModify":1624353701505,"author":{"id":"3471213512548426","authorId":"3471213512548426","name":"jikang218","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3471213512548426","authorIdStr":"3471213512548426"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"只能呵呵了！","listText":"只能呵呵了！","text":"只能呵呵了！","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129955106","repostId":"2145557850","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2145557850","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624351142,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2145557850?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 16:39","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"光大新鸿基料恒指下半年再挑战31,000点 科技指数高位睇9,000点","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2145557850","media":"AAFN","summary":"光大新鸿基发表对今年下半年市场展望，预期恒指有机会於第三季末至第四季初挑战31,000点水平，较现水平有约9%上升空间，对应年底预测市盈率约14.4倍，低位预期为26,000点。国企指数下半年目标为11,800点，而上证指数全年目标为3,750点。","content":"<html><body><p>光大新鸿基发表对今年下半年市场展望，预期恒指有机会於第三季末至第四季初挑战31,000点水平，较现水平有约9%上升空间，对应年底预测市盈率约14.4倍，低位预期为26,000点。该行认为，下半年偏向於进一步受惠经济复苏的传统行业股份，并看好上半年表现落後的新兴经济股。国企指数下半年目标为11,800点，而上证指数全年目标为3,750点。该行证券策略师伍礼贤表示，港股目前市盈率约13.7倍，属合理水平，上半年主要受科技股累跌5.3%影响，拖累大市表现，但预期随着市场适应对新兴经济的监管措施，科技股估值料迎来反弹，但未预期科技指数将回升至11,000至12,000点，预期下半年科指高位为9,000点，支持位为7,400点。选股方面，光大新鸿基下半年较看好新兴经济、石油能源、家电消费及通讯服务四个投资主题，选取<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>  、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00992\">联想集团</a>  、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CEO\">中海油</a>  、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PTR\">中石油</a>  、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600690\">海尔智家</a>  、JS生活环球  、中移动  及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01310\">香港宽频</a>  ，料上升空间介乎13%至20%。(gc/da)~阿思达克财经新闻网址: www.aastocks.com\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t </p></body></html>","source":"aastocks","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>光大新鸿基料恒指下半年再挑战31,000点 科技指数高位睇9,000点</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n光大新鸿基料恒指下半年再挑战31,000点 科技指数高位睇9,000点\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-22 16:39 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1107069&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0><strong>AAFN</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>光大新鸿基发表对今年下半年市场展望，预期恒指有机会於第三季末至第四季初挑战31,000点水平，较现水平有约9%上升空间，对应年底预测市盈率约14.4倍，低位预期为26,000点。该行认为，下半年偏向於进一步受惠经济复苏的传统行业股份，并看好上半年表现落後的新兴经济股。国企指数下半年目标为11,800点，而上证指数全年目标为3,750点。该行证券策略师伍礼贤表示，港股目前市盈率约13.7倍，属合理...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1107069&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1cb237e736a4e03c939622e7b71e8e7","relate_stocks":{"513600":"恒生指数ETF","01691":"JS环球生活","00941":"中国移动","06690":"海尔智家","02833":"恒指ETF","00883":"中国海洋石油","01310":"香港宽频","00992":"联想集团","HSI":"恒生指数","09618":"京东集团-SW","00857":"中国石油股份"},"source_url":"http://www.aastocks.com/apps/data/iphone/news/newscontent.aspx?newsid=NOW.1107069&style=5&chgstyle=1&categoryid=stock&width=320&market_id=hk&fontary=3&platform=iPhone&language=sc&isfirstreq=1&sourceid=aafn&datatype=0","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/51f6b9126f36f92bbf92982596066e5a","article_id":"2145557850","content_text":"光大新鸿基发表对今年下半年市场展望，预期恒指有机会於第三季末至第四季初挑战31,000点水平，较现水平有约9%上升空间，对应年底预测市盈率约14.4倍，低位预期为26,000点。该行认为，下半年偏向於进一步受惠经济复苏的传统行业股份，并看好上半年表现落後的新兴经济股。国企指数下半年目标为11,800点，而上证指数全年目标为3,750点。该行证券策略师伍礼贤表示，港股目前市盈率约13.7倍，属合理水平，上半年主要受科技股累跌5.3%影响，拖累大市表现，但预期随着市场适应对新兴经济的监管措施，科技股估值料迎来反弹，但未预期科技指数将回升至11,000至12,000点，预期下半年科指高位为9,000点，支持位为7,400点。选股方面，光大新鸿基下半年较看好新兴经济、石油能源、家电消费及通讯服务四个投资主题，选取京东  、联想集团  、中海油  、中石油  、海尔智家  、JS生活环球  、中移动  及香港宽频  ，料上升空间介乎13%至20%。(gc/da)~阿思达克财经新闻网址: 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