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2024-09-18

研究了好几年了，人家还不降，有意思

美联储利率决议前瞻：除了首降幅度，还有哪些重要信息值得关注？

2024-09-06

就长着一张嘴，你倒是买啊

暴跌之后的逢低买入良机已至？美银：英伟达股价还能涨逾五成

2024-03-28

分析来分析去，一会儿不就出来了？

抱歉，原内容已删除

2024-01-08

自己都不信吧

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-12-17

认不清自己的角色

抱歉，原内容已删除

2022-11-15

$挚文集团(MOMO)$

2022-07-25

林志颖概念股

恒生科技指数跌超2%，蔚来跌超7%

2022-03-03

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$中概股一贯的尿性，拉稀

2021-01-29

这是怂了吗

香橼停止做空研究，专注于做多机会

2020-10-30

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ A股收盘了，汉奸可以扬起了

2020-08-20

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 汉奸指数

2020-08-12

真他么怂比一个

2020-07-24

啪啪打脸，疼不疼

2020-07-24

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ A股不开盘偷偷涨吧

2020-07-24

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$ 终于可以往回涨了

2020-07-15

$中兴通讯(00763)$别人天天发消息左右你，真有意思，谁敢碰你

2020-05-22

$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$跌完吧

2020-04-10

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$找不到组织方向了[开心] [开心]

2020-04-03

$A50指数主连(CNmain)$天天使劲割韭菜

2020-04-02

$趣店(QD)$二笔毛票股

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09:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"美联储利率决议前瞻：除了首降幅度，还有哪些重要信息值得关注？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2468438723","media":"智通财经","summary":"美联储利率决定将于北京时间周四凌晨2点公布。截至发稿，市场预计美联储将在本周的会议上降息25个基点的可能性为35%，降息50个基点的可能性为65%。其他焦点在分析人士看来，除了25或50个基点的争论之外，这次会议预计还将有其他值得关注的信息。最近几周，美联储主席鲍威尔和其他政策制定者已经明确表示，这次会议将会降息。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>本周美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议充满了不同寻常的神秘气息。尽管市场已经集体认定美联储将降息，但对于政策制定者将降息到什么程度，仍存在激烈的争论。</p></blockquote><p>过去，尽管市场会不断地炒作美联储议息会议，但通常都是可以预测的事情。政策制定者会提前传达他们的意图，市场会做出回应，每一位投资者至少会对将要发生的事情有一个大致的了解。</p><p>但这一次似乎有所不同。</p><p>本周美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议充满了不同寻常的神秘气息。尽管市场已经集体认定美联储将降息，但对于政策制定者将降息到什么程度，仍存在激烈的争论。</p><p>是按传统方式降息25个基点，还是采取激进的第一步，降息50个基点?</p><p>美联储观察人士对此并不确定，这可能会使此次的FOMC会议比以往更具影响力。美联储利率决定将于北京时间周四凌晨2点公布。</p><p>“我希望他们降息50个基点，但我怀疑他们会降息25个基点。我希望是50，因为我认为利率太高了，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCO\">穆迪</a>分析首席经济学家Mark Zandi表示，“他们已经实现了充分就业和通胀回到目标的任务，这与5.5%左右的基金利率目标不一致。因此，我认为他们需要迅速实现利率正常化，并且有很大的空间这样做。”</p><p>围绕美联储将采取的行动，衍生品市场的定价一直不稳定。</p><p>直到上周晚些时候，交易员还一直锁定在25个基点的降息上。但到了周五，市场情绪突然发生了变化，这让降息50个基点重新回到了讨论中。截至发稿，市场预计美联储将在本周的会议上降息25个基点的可能性为35%，降息50个基点的可能性为65%。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d7b71100eeda69c721479822944fc7d\" tg-height=\"801\" tg-width=\"702\"/></p><p>许多华尔街人士继续预测，美联储的第一步将更为谨慎。</p><p>“尽管紧缩政策似乎奏效了，但效果并不完全符合他们的预期，因此宽松政策也应该被视为具有同样多的不确定性，”Jefferies的美国经济学家Tom Simons表示，“因此，如果你不确定，你就不应该着急。”</p><p>穆迪分析的Zandi则表达了更为鸽派的观点：“他们应该迅速行动，否则，他们就有可能犯错。”</p><p>预计分歧也将出现在FOMC内部。</p><p>前达拉斯联储主席卡普兰周二表示：“我猜他们意见分歧。在座的一些人会和我有同样的感觉，觉得他们的行动有点晚了，他们希望迈开脚步，不愿把秋天花在追逐经济上。从风险管理的角度来看，还有一些人只是想更加小心。”</p><h2 id=\"id_3265291295\">其他焦点</h2><p>在分析人士看来，除了25或50个基点的争论之外，这次会议预计还将有其他值得关注的信息。</p><p><strong>谨慎行动</strong></p><p>自2023年7月上次加息以来，FOMC一直将基准联邦基金利率保持在5.25%-5.5%之间。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96d91600fb87aa467ba38ec5a60c8721\" tg-height=\"372\" tg-width=\"637\"/></p><p>这是23年来的最高水平，尽管美联储首选的通胀指标在此期间从3.3%降至2.5%，失业率从3.5%上升至4.2%，但利率一直保持在这一水平。</p><p>最近几周，美联储主席鲍威尔和其他政策制定者已经明确表示，这次会议将会降息。要决定加息的幅度，需要在对抗通胀和保持对过去几个月劳动力市场大幅放缓的关注之间进行权衡。</p><p>Principal Asset Management首席全球策略师Seema Shah表示：“对美联储来说，关键在于决定哪种风险更大——如果降息50个基点，将重燃通胀压力，如果仅降息25个基点，则可能引发衰退。由于对通胀危机的反应太慢而受到批评，美联储可能会对经济衰退的风险采取被动反应，而不是积极主动的态度。”</p><p><strong>“点阵图”</strong></p><p>也许与降息同样重要的是，与会者会发出的有关他们预期利率未来走向的信号。</p><p>这将通过“点阵图”来实现，每个官员将在一个网格中表明他们对未来几年利率走向的看法。本周的SEP将包括2024年至2027年的预测。</p><p>今年6月，FOMC成员仅预计在年底前降息一次。这几乎肯定会加速，因为在只剩下三次会议的情况下，市场定价已反映了高达五次降息25个基点，或125个基点的降息幅度。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8096032038b8a3a4925e7506395544b3\" tg-height=\"321\" tg-width=\"634\"/></p><p>根据CME的Fed watch工具，交易员预计美联储明年将大幅下调利率，在停止降息之前将目前的隔夜拆借利率下调250个基点。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34b8ad89336dcb32ca5b2c75bcec528f\" tg-height=\"314\" tg-width=\"691\"/></p><p>Zandi在谈到市场前景时表示：“这感觉过于激进，除非你知道经济将开始大幅走弱。”穆迪预计，今年剩下的三次会议(包括本周的会议)都将降息25个基点。</p><p><strong>经济预测</strong></p><p>点阵图是FOMC经济预测摘要(SEP)的一部分，该报告还将提供对失业率、国内生产总值(GDP)和通胀的非官方预测。</p><p>对SEP进行最大调整的可能是失业率，该委员会几乎肯定会将失业率从6月份预测的4.0%上调。目前的失业率为4.2%。</p><p>SEP在6月给出的全年核心通胀率预测为2.8%，这一数字也可能会被下调，因为7月的核心通胀率为2.6%。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>经济学家在一份报告中表示：“通胀似乎将低于FOMC在6月给出的预测，今年年初的高通胀越来越像是季节性的残余影响，而不是重新加速。因此，会议的一个关键主题将是将焦点转向劳动力市场风险。”</p><p><strong>FOMC声明</strong></p><p>除了对点阵图和SEP进行调整外，委员会的会后声明也必须进行更改，以反映预期的降息，以及委员会将增加的任何额外前瞻性指引。</p><p>北京时间周四凌晨2点发布的声明和SEP是市场将首先做出反应的事情，随后是鲍威尔在2:30举行的新闻发布会。</p><p>声明的措辞可能会有几种变化，包括围绕就业和通胀之间风险平衡的措辞。</p><p>7月的声明称，这些风险“继续趋于更好的平衡”，MacroPolicy Perspectives的Julia Coronado和Laura Rosner-Warburton表示，这一说法现在与鲍威尔和美联储理事沃勒最近的言论不一致。Coronado和Rosner-Warburton表示，FOMC可以采取类似于沃勒9月6日所说的说法：“风险平衡已经转向我们双重任务的就业方面。”</p><p>高盛预计，FOMC“可能会修改其声明，使其对通胀更有信心，将通胀和就业风险描述为更加平衡，并再次强调其维持最大化就业的承诺”。</p><p>委员会还可能选择将劳动力市场的进一步疲软描述为“不受欢迎的”，这是格林斯潘时代的一个术语，鲍威尔在最近的一次演讲中再次使用。</p><p>经济学家对政策制定者是否以及如何在声明中发出未来降息的信号存在分歧。接受一项调查的约44%的经济学家表示，官员们将在文件中承认进一步调整的可能性，而31%的人表示，他们将更明确地表明寻求一系列降息的意图，并就降息速度提供指引。</p><p>Jefferies的经济学家Simons表示：“我认为他们不会对任何形式的前瞻性指引特别具体。在经济周期的这个阶段，前瞻性指引没有多大用处，因为美联储实际上并不知道自己要做什么。”</p><p><strong>鲍威尔发布会</strong></p><p>随后的新闻发布会不仅会让人们了解委员会的想法，还会让人们了解鲍威尔的观点。美联储观察人士认为，鲍威尔对近期就业市场走软的态度比委员会普遍看法更为不安。</p><p>鲍威尔越来越相信，美联储能够在不影响经济和就业的情况下遏制通胀。现在失业率飙升将带来高昂的政治和经济成本，而这是任何央行行长都希望避免的情况。</p><p>Bloomberg Economics美国首席经济学家Anna Wong表示：“美联储几乎肯定会在9月17日至18日的会议上启动降息周期。他们是从降息25个基点还是50个基点开始仍然是一个未知数。在我们看来，预测一致性和风险管理表明，50个基点是正确的选择。到目前为止，对大幅降息的可能性缺乏明确的指引，这表明他们倾向于25个基点的选择。”</p><p>如果官员们确实选择将利率下调25个基点，鲍威尔就可以自由地表明，他的目标是防止就业市场进一步恶化。</p><p>“传递的信息将是：我们希望留有更多的弹药，但我们今天不会使用它，”前美联储政策和沟通高级顾问、现任杜克大学研究教授的Ellen Meade表示。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" name=\"format-detection\"/>\n<title>美联储利率决议前瞻：除了首降幅度，还有哪些重要信息值得关注？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美联储利率决议前瞻：除了首降幅度，还有哪些重要信息值得关注？\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-09-18 09:11 北京时间   <a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1183969.html\"><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>本周美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议充满了不同寻常的神秘气息。尽管市场已经集体认定美联储将降息，但对于政策制定者将降息到什么程度，仍存在激烈的争论。过去，尽管市场会不断地炒作美联储议息会议，但通常都是可以预测的事情。政策制定者会提前传达他们的意图，市场会做出回应，每一位投资者至少会对将要发生的事情有一个大致的了解。但这一次似乎有所不同。本周美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议充满了...</p>\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1183969.html\">Web Link</a>\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b72c7a49848a200043090f96ed32f108","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1183969.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2468438723","content_text":"本周美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议充满了不同寻常的神秘气息。尽管市场已经集体认定美联储将降息，但对于政策制定者将降息到什么程度，仍存在激烈的争论。过去，尽管市场会不断地炒作美联储议息会议，但通常都是可以预测的事情。政策制定者会提前传达他们的意图，市场会做出回应，每一位投资者至少会对将要发生的事情有一个大致的了解。但这一次似乎有所不同。本周美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议充满了不同寻常的神秘气息。尽管市场已经集体认定美联储将降息，但对于政策制定者将降息到什么程度，仍存在激烈的争论。是按传统方式降息25个基点，还是采取激进的第一步，降息50个基点?美联储观察人士对此并不确定，这可能会使此次的FOMC会议比以往更具影响力。美联储利率决定将于北京时间周四凌晨2点公布。“我希望他们降息50个基点，但我怀疑他们会降息25个基点。我希望是50，因为我认为利率太高了，”穆迪分析首席经济学家Mark Zandi表示，“他们已经实现了充分就业和通胀回到目标的任务，这与5.5%左右的基金利率目标不一致。因此，我认为他们需要迅速实现利率正常化，并且有很大的空间这样做。”围绕美联储将采取的行动，衍生品市场的定价一直不稳定。直到上周晚些时候，交易员还一直锁定在25个基点的降息上。但到了周五，市场情绪突然发生了变化，这让降息50个基点重新回到了讨论中。截至发稿，市场预计美联储将在本周的会议上降息25个基点的可能性为35%，降息50个基点的可能性为65%。许多华尔街人士继续预测，美联储的第一步将更为谨慎。“尽管紧缩政策似乎奏效了，但效果并不完全符合他们的预期，因此宽松政策也应该被视为具有同样多的不确定性，”Jefferies的美国经济学家Tom Simons表示，“因此，如果你不确定，你就不应该着急。”穆迪分析的Zandi则表达了更为鸽派的观点：“他们应该迅速行动，否则，他们就有可能犯错。”预计分歧也将出现在FOMC内部。前达拉斯联储主席卡普兰周二表示：“我猜他们意见分歧。在座的一些人会和我有同样的感觉，觉得他们的行动有点晚了，他们希望迈开脚步，不愿把秋天花在追逐经济上。从风险管理的角度来看，还有一些人只是想更加小心。”其他焦点在分析人士看来，除了25或50个基点的争论之外，这次会议预计还将有其他值得关注的信息。谨慎行动自2023年7月上次加息以来，FOMC一直将基准联邦基金利率保持在5.25%-5.5%之间。这是23年来的最高水平，尽管美联储首选的通胀指标在此期间从3.3%降至2.5%，失业率从3.5%上升至4.2%，但利率一直保持在这一水平。最近几周，美联储主席鲍威尔和其他政策制定者已经明确表示，这次会议将会降息。要决定加息的幅度，需要在对抗通胀和保持对过去几个月劳动力市场大幅放缓的关注之间进行权衡。Principal Asset Management首席全球策略师Seema Shah表示：“对美联储来说，关键在于决定哪种风险更大——如果降息50个基点，将重燃通胀压力，如果仅降息25个基点，则可能引发衰退。由于对通胀危机的反应太慢而受到批评，美联储可能会对经济衰退的风险采取被动反应，而不是积极主动的态度。”“点阵图”也许与降息同样重要的是，与会者会发出的有关他们预期利率未来走向的信号。这将通过“点阵图”来实现，每个官员将在一个网格中表明他们对未来几年利率走向的看法。本周的SEP将包括2024年至2027年的预测。今年6月，FOMC成员仅预计在年底前降息一次。这几乎肯定会加速，因为在只剩下三次会议的情况下，市场定价已反映了高达五次降息25个基点，或125个基点的降息幅度。根据CME的Fed watch工具，交易员预计美联储明年将大幅下调利率，在停止降息之前将目前的隔夜拆借利率下调250个基点。Zandi在谈到市场前景时表示：“这感觉过于激进，除非你知道经济将开始大幅走弱。”穆迪预计，今年剩下的三次会议(包括本周的会议)都将降息25个基点。经济预测点阵图是FOMC经济预测摘要(SEP)的一部分，该报告还将提供对失业率、国内生产总值(GDP)和通胀的非官方预测。对SEP进行最大调整的可能是失业率，该委员会几乎肯定会将失业率从6月份预测的4.0%上调。目前的失业率为4.2%。SEP在6月给出的全年核心通胀率预测为2.8%，这一数字也可能会被下调，因为7月的核心通胀率为2.6%。高盛经济学家在一份报告中表示：“通胀似乎将低于FOMC在6月给出的预测，今年年初的高通胀越来越像是季节性的残余影响，而不是重新加速。因此，会议的一个关键主题将是将焦点转向劳动力市场风险。”FOMC声明除了对点阵图和SEP进行调整外，委员会的会后声明也必须进行更改，以反映预期的降息，以及委员会将增加的任何额外前瞻性指引。北京时间周四凌晨2点发布的声明和SEP是市场将首先做出反应的事情，随后是鲍威尔在2:30举行的新闻发布会。声明的措辞可能会有几种变化，包括围绕就业和通胀之间风险平衡的措辞。7月的声明称，这些风险“继续趋于更好的平衡”，MacroPolicy Perspectives的Julia Coronado和Laura Rosner-Warburton表示，这一说法现在与鲍威尔和美联储理事沃勒最近的言论不一致。Coronado和Rosner-Warburton表示，FOMC可以采取类似于沃勒9月6日所说的说法：“风险平衡已经转向我们双重任务的就业方面。”高盛预计，FOMC“可能会修改其声明，使其对通胀更有信心，将通胀和就业风险描述为更加平衡，并再次强调其维持最大化就业的承诺”。委员会还可能选择将劳动力市场的进一步疲软描述为“不受欢迎的”，这是格林斯潘时代的一个术语，鲍威尔在最近的一次演讲中再次使用。经济学家对政策制定者是否以及如何在声明中发出未来降息的信号存在分歧。接受一项调查的约44%的经济学家表示，官员们将在文件中承认进一步调整的可能性，而31%的人表示，他们将更明确地表明寻求一系列降息的意图，并就降息速度提供指引。Jefferies的经济学家Simons表示：“我认为他们不会对任何形式的前瞻性指引特别具体。在经济周期的这个阶段，前瞻性指引没有多大用处，因为美联储实际上并不知道自己要做什么。”鲍威尔发布会随后的新闻发布会不仅会让人们了解委员会的想法，还会让人们了解鲍威尔的观点。美联储观察人士认为，鲍威尔对近期就业市场走软的态度比委员会普遍看法更为不安。鲍威尔越来越相信，美联储能够在不影响经济和就业的情况下遏制通胀。现在失业率飙升将带来高昂的政治和经济成本，而这是任何央行行长都希望避免的情况。Bloomberg Economics美国首席经济学家Anna Wong表示：“美联储几乎肯定会在9月17日至18日的会议上启动降息周期。他们是从降息25个基点还是50个基点开始仍然是一个未知数。在我们看来，预测一致性和风险管理表明，50个基点是正确的选择。到目前为止，对大幅降息的可能性缺乏明确的指引，这表明他们倾向于25个基点的选择。”如果官员们确实选择将利率下调25个基点，鲍威尔就可以自由地表明，他的目标是防止就业市场进一步恶化。“传递的信息将是：我们希望留有更多的弹药，但我们今天不会使用它，”前美联储政策和沟通高级顾问、现任杜克大学研究教授的Ellen Meade表示。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":818,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":346415177277504,"gmtCreate":1725611180438,"gmtModify":1725611182454,"author":{"id":"3469771373915518","authorId":"3469771373915518","name":"打坐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f30916ac954bae6a9b90f7c368dcb2c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3469771373915518","authorIdStr":"3469771373915518"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"就长着一张嘴，你倒是买啊","listText":"就长着一张嘴，你倒是买啊","text":"就长着一张嘴，你倒是买啊","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346415177277504","repostId":"1124099595","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1124099595","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1725593100,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124099595?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-09-06 11:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"暴跌之后的逢低买入良机已至？美银：英伟达股价还能涨逾五成","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124099595","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"自上周公布业绩以来，Nvidia股价一直下跌；$美国银行$表示，此次下滑提供了一个有吸引力的买入机会；该银行表示，这家芯片制造商的股票估值接近五年来的最低水平。自8月底英伟达公布第二季度财报以来，该股已累计下跌15%。该银行在周四发布的一份报告中表示，英伟达目前的估值徘徊在五年来的最便宜水平左右。根据美国银行每股165美元的目标价，现在买入该股票的投资者可能面临54%的上涨空间。","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul style=\"\"><li><p>自上周公布业绩以来，Nvidia股价一直下跌；</p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>表示，此次下滑提供了一个有吸引力的买入机会；</p></li><li><p>该银行表示，这家芯片制造商的股票估值接近五年来的最低水平。</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的多头可能会因公司突然遭遇不利因素而不知所措，但对于美国银行来说，上周股价的下跌提供了一个有吸引力的买入机会。</p><p>周二，这家半导体巨头的股价暴跌，市值缩水2790亿美元，创下美国企业史上最大单日跌幅。</p><p>该公司最近的盈利报告未能达到市场最乐观的预期，导致股价回调，这加剧了人们对人工智能涨势可能失去动力的担忧。</p><p>周三，有报道称该公司收到了司法部的传票，随后该股短暂下跌。自8月底英伟达公布第二季度财报以来，该股已累计下跌15%。</p><p>对于美国银行来说，盈利后的下滑标志着一个买入机会。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">该银行在周四发布的一份报告中表示，英伟达目前的估值徘徊在五年来的最便宜水平左右。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析师 Vivek Arya 写道：“尽管市场力量可能会增强近期的股票波动性，但我们仍然认为NVDA的估值具有吸引力，为27倍CY25/FY26E普遍预期市盈率（或仅为CY25每股收益5美元以上预期高端的约20倍市盈率）。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">相比之下，过去五年来，Nvidia的市盈率一直徘徊在20%到60%之间。</p><p>根据美国银行每股165美元的目标价，现在买入该股票的投资者可能面临54%的上涨空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">该银行表示，这一目标看起来是可以实现的，因为英伟达仍将是人工智能投资的主要受益者，而且不会总是受到逆风的影响。例如，分析师指出，疲软的供应方基本面应该会在短期内消退。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国银行估计，尽管投资者对于该公司下一代Blackwell芯片的延迟感到失望，但芯片的发货应能在未来几周内得到确认。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">无论如何，考虑到人工智能的强劲需求，该银行预计上一代Hopper芯片的需求不会消失。</p><p>关于监管阻力，Nvidia此后一直否认收到司法部的传票。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">彭博社首先报道了该传票，后来又援引一位知情人士的话报道称，美国司法部已发出民事调查要求。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管美国银行认为这些发展不会产生影响，但它指出，政府针对美国大型科技公司的诉讼并不罕见。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">最后，该银行表示，至少在2026年之前，对人工智能潜力的怀疑仍不成问题。分析师写道，那些担心人工智能支出浪潮尚未见效的人必须保持耐心。</p><p>“科技行业将至少再花1-2年时间大力开发NVDA Blackwell芯片，该芯片的AI训练能力将提升4倍，推理能力将提升25倍以上。迄今为止，第一波大型语言模型 (LLM) 的努力，使用NVDA Hopper只是个开端，”美国银行写道，预计真正的AI能力将由即将到来的LLM解锁。</p><p><em>文章源自 BUSINESS INSIDER《</em>Nvidia's 15% stock slide has created a compelling buying opportunity, BofA says<em>》</em></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" name=\"viewport\"/>\n<meta content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" name=\"format-detection\"/>\n<title>暴跌之后的逢低买入良机已至？美银：英伟达股价还能涨逾五成</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n暴跌之后的逢低买入良机已至？美银：英伟达股价还能涨逾五成\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-09-06 11:25</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<ul style=\"\"><li><p>自上周公布业绩以来，Nvidia股价一直下跌；</p></li><li><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>表示，此次下滑提供了一个有吸引力的买入机会；</p></li><li><p>该银行表示，这家芯片制造商的股票估值接近五年来的最低水平。</p></li></ul><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>的多头可能会因公司突然遭遇不利因素而不知所措，但对于美国银行来说，上周股价的下跌提供了一个有吸引力的买入机会。</p><p>周二，这家半导体巨头的股价暴跌，市值缩水2790亿美元，创下美国企业史上最大单日跌幅。</p><p>该公司最近的盈利报告未能达到市场最乐观的预期，导致股价回调，这加剧了人们对人工智能涨势可能失去动力的担忧。</p><p>周三，有报道称该公司收到了司法部的传票，随后该股短暂下跌。自8月底英伟达公布第二季度财报以来，该股已累计下跌15%。</p><p>对于美国银行来说，盈利后的下滑标志着一个买入机会。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">该银行在周四发布的一份报告中表示，英伟达目前的估值徘徊在五年来的最便宜水平左右。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">分析师 Vivek Arya 写道：“尽管市场力量可能会增强近期的股票波动性，但我们仍然认为NVDA的估值具有吸引力，为27倍CY25/FY26E普遍预期市盈率（或仅为CY25每股收益5美元以上预期高端的约20倍市盈率）。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">相比之下，过去五年来，Nvidia的市盈率一直徘徊在20%到60%之间。</p><p>根据美国银行每股165美元的目标价，现在买入该股票的投资者可能面临54%的上涨空间。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">该银行表示，这一目标看起来是可以实现的，因为英伟达仍将是人工智能投资的主要受益者，而且不会总是受到逆风的影响。例如，分析师指出，疲软的供应方基本面应该会在短期内消退。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">美国银行估计，尽管投资者对于该公司下一代Blackwell芯片的延迟感到失望，但芯片的发货应能在未来几周内得到确认。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">无论如何，考虑到人工智能的强劲需求，该银行预计上一代Hopper芯片的需求不会消失。</p><p>关于监管阻力，Nvidia此后一直否认收到司法部的传票。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">彭博社首先报道了该传票，后来又援引一位知情人士的话报道称，美国司法部已发出民事调查要求。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">尽管美国银行认为这些发展不会产生影响，但它指出，政府针对美国大型科技公司的诉讼并不罕见。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">最后，该银行表示，至少在2026年之前，对人工智能潜力的怀疑仍不成问题。分析师写道，那些担心人工智能支出浪潮尚未见效的人必须保持耐心。</p><p>“科技行业将至少再花1-2年时间大力开发NVDA Blackwell芯片，该芯片的AI训练能力将提升4倍，推理能力将提升25倍以上。迄今为止，第一波大型语言模型 (LLM) 的努力，使用NVDA Hopper只是个开端，”美国银行写道，预计真正的AI能力将由即将到来的LLM解锁。</p><p><em>文章源自 BUSINESS INSIDER《</em>Nvidia's 15% stock slide has created a compelling buying opportunity, BofA says<em>》</em></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94518631ea8630131b1a8562c1b55bdd","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124099595","content_text":"自上周公布业绩以来，Nvidia股价一直下跌；美国银行表示，此次下滑提供了一个有吸引力的买入机会；该银行表示，这家芯片制造商的股票估值接近五年来的最低水平。英伟达的多头可能会因公司突然遭遇不利因素而不知所措，但对于美国银行来说，上周股价的下跌提供了一个有吸引力的买入机会。周二，这家半导体巨头的股价暴跌，市值缩水2790亿美元，创下美国企业史上最大单日跌幅。该公司最近的盈利报告未能达到市场最乐观的预期，导致股价回调，这加剧了人们对人工智能涨势可能失去动力的担忧。周三，有报道称该公司收到了司法部的传票，随后该股短暂下跌。自8月底英伟达公布第二季度财报以来，该股已累计下跌15%。对于美国银行来说，盈利后的下滑标志着一个买入机会。该银行在周四发布的一份报告中表示，英伟达目前的估值徘徊在五年来的最便宜水平左右。分析师 Vivek Arya 写道：“尽管市场力量可能会增强近期的股票波动性，但我们仍然认为NVDA的估值具有吸引力，为27倍CY25/FY26E普遍预期市盈率（或仅为CY25每股收益5美元以上预期高端的约20倍市盈率）。”相比之下，过去五年来，Nvidia的市盈率一直徘徊在20%到60%之间。根据美国银行每股165美元的目标价，现在买入该股票的投资者可能面临54%的上涨空间。该银行表示，这一目标看起来是可以实现的，因为英伟达仍将是人工智能投资的主要受益者，而且不会总是受到逆风的影响。例如，分析师指出，疲软的供应方基本面应该会在短期内消退。美国银行估计，尽管投资者对于该公司下一代Blackwell芯片的延迟感到失望，但芯片的发货应能在未来几周内得到确认。无论如何，考虑到人工智能的强劲需求，该银行预计上一代Hopper芯片的需求不会消失。关于监管阻力，Nvidia此后一直否认收到司法部的传票。彭博社首先报道了该传票，后来又援引一位知情人士的话报道称，美国司法部已发出民事调查要求。尽管美国银行认为这些发展不会产生影响，但它指出，政府针对美国大型科技公司的诉讼并不罕见。最后，该银行表示，至少在2026年之前，对人工智能潜力的怀疑仍不成问题。分析师写道，那些担心人工智能支出浪潮尚未见效的人必须保持耐心。“科技行业将至少再花1-2年时间大力开发NVDA Blackwell芯片，该芯片的AI训练能力将提升4倍，推理能力将提升25倍以上。迄今为止，第一波大型语言模型 (LLM) 的努力，使用NVDA Hopper只是个开端，”美国银行写道，预计真正的AI能力将由即将到来的LLM解锁。文章源自 BUSINESS INSIDER《Nvidia's 15% stock slide has created a compelling buying opportunity, BofA 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21:54","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"香橼停止做空研究，专注于做多机会","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128991080","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。香橼在","content":"<html><body><p>1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。</p><p>“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e0479791c10bfadcd005c790714ac6\" tg-height=\"1876\" tg-width=\"1978\"/><span>香橼在Youtube上发布视频，称将停止做空研究，将专注于做多机会。</span></p><p>此前，香橼1月19日发布了一则针对GME（游戏驿站）的做空视频，认为散户们热爱的GME只值20美元。这激发了大量散户的逆反心理。1月22日，由于账号受到太多人攻击，香橼最终不堪其扰，认怂出局，挂出了“免战牌”。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" http-equiv=\"Content-Type\"/>\n<meta content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\" 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21:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>1月29日晚间，美国空头机构香橼在社交平台上发文称，将停止做空研究，专注于做多机会。</p><p>“有着20年的发布历史，我们将不再发布‘做空报告’”，香橼称，“此后将专注于为散户投资者提供长期的做多机会”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d1e0479791c10bfadcd005c790714ac6\" tg-height=\"1876\" tg-width=\"1978\"/><span>香橼在Youtube上发布视频，称将停止做空研究，将专注于做多机会。</span></p><p>此前，香橼1月19日发布了一则针对GME（游戏驿站）的做空视频，认为散户们热爱的GME只值20美元。这激发了大量散户的逆反心理。1月22日，由于账号受到太多人攻击，香橼最终不堪其扰，认怂出局，挂出了“免战牌”。</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d858ab277f6ff1e884395cde10096a99","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ 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