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投行里的币姥爷
价值投资,趋势投资缺一不可
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-06-18
中国要破圈破围堵,要么开战,用巨大代价换来可能的成功,要么带领其他国家分享太空经济,比如宇宙开采价值矿物,或共同建设太空基地做研究移民。中国目前是选择了后者,人类命运共同体其实就是这个模式的战略方向。中国走这条路会给自己和世界带来巨大的价值也能绕开目前很多关键问题。人类内部的矛盾必需转移,而太空经济和移民是非常好的转移方向。以上是个人的理解
抱歉,原内容已删除
投行里的币姥爷
2021-05-24
新氧开了自营店铺,打造医美一条龙服务。打造垂直标杆,内部已经孵化快1年了
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-05-20
消化一下,大家平均成本到2万美元才有能力继续上涨啊!牛市从没终结,这个牛看不到顶
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-24
上个月说到优质产能被优质客户锁死,资本会倾斜扶持半导体产能扩张。没想到第一个爆出的是英特尔!还会有下一个的 看好
$联电(UMC)$
$中芯国际(00981)$
该来的总会来的!
抱歉,原内容已删除
投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-24
小盘股现在近进去时机太差,所有人都知道不好,大涨也是诱多。风险大于收益,认知之外的钱不要去挣
抱歉,原内容已删除
投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-22
$泡泡玛特(09992)$
本人开始就不太看好,或者说他商业模式有很大的天花板。类似医美逻辑客单价不错、利润率高、用户有一定粘性。但IP我不认为是核心竞争力,从长远看持有IP的运营者会持续探索IP更多商业模式,也会有更多类似泡泡马特的商业形态出现。泡泡是这个场景的补充但不是唯一。说白了商业模式没有壁垒,用户就这么多而且消费场景也单一,总体说是被热炒很高的泡沫,他只是先行者但不是变革者,见好就收吧
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-21
$逸仙电商(YSG)$
虽然是高瓴持股的公司,但我对该股不看好的很大原因是他做的是快时尚。快美妆的节奏非常快,通过网红KOL可以迅速打开销量和认知,但不代表是可以提升品牌溢价能力。销量不等于溢价,个人觉得他的运营过分看重营销和销量,但美妆行业不是只看销量的行业,普通大众越喜欢、普通大众都去用就不是好时尚。所以我认为估值还是偏高,反而一些小众、有针对性的美妆产品可以长久不衰
投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-15
各位,还看不出小鹏的运营思路是最清晰的吗?和谁合作在当下更重要,站队决定优势。所以去年我调研过三家国内新能源车企,唯一看好的是小鹏。他最善于运营,目标明确,产品定位清晰
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-10
没跌完,债利的问题还在。市场风险没有充分释放,后面应该还有更大的跌幅
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-02
1700-1800目标心里价,1850建议建仓价。评论留记号
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-02
讲的很好啊,是具体干事的人,政策和应对措施讲的很清楚。这个文章翻译下来一个是股市泡沫严重,最迟明年调整。美股经济恢复越好,收缩的调整就越快,其次是告诉我们大A不会一直涨,只能在一个区间内控制风险,稳就可以。第三点是大家不用担心经济崩溃,中国手上还有招
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投行里的币姥爷
2021-03-01
$联电(UMC)$
个人认为,全球面临芯片涨价和产生短缺问题,而且这个问题是要持续一段时间的,中期来看,随着产能短缺工厂一定会继续扩大产能,资本也会在这方面倾斜,虽然联电和台积电比技术上有一定差距,但我认为这个问题是双向的。坏处是有一定竞争代差,但好处更大。顶部产能被优质客户锁死,剩余需求会向下拓展,同时有些设备并不需要精尖技术,例如联电这样公司有很大成长机会。我认为该公司估值被一定低谷,且在产能扩张后,估值会大幅升高
投行里的币姥爷
2021-02-26
短期利空,长期看好。如果价格合适大多数人还是愿意买的。而且他降价频繁很多人只是观望
抱歉,原内容已删除
投行里的币姥爷
2021-02-05
他说的没错,市场交易主体发生转变。量变到质变,回归价值投资,个人建议只买绝对龙头,长期持有即可
抱歉,原内容已删除
投行里的币姥爷
2021-01-28
$新氧(SY)$
这个赛道的老大,行业很多美容产品毛利率90%,大把钱引流投平台,灌内容。平台现金流不缺,美容用户现在低龄化,高中毕业就有美容激励。美容又是慢性成瘾毒药,一旦沾上就很难戒掉!不涨?那是不可能的
投行里的币姥爷
2021-01-25
$联电(UMC)$
估值被严重低估了,老大哥市值上千亿,能上车就上。明年订单都已排满,看好大涨。这个价位无脑买入
投行里的币姥爷
2021-01-25
$新氧(SY)$
新氧发力比我想象的快,还没完全建好仓就涨了。继续看好,他估值被低估了
投行里的币姥爷
2021-01-22
$泛生子(GTH)$
20可入,长期看好
投行里的币姥爷
2021-01-22
$新氧(SY)$
看好新养,看好小鹏!不是靠信仰,而是背后的市场逻辑、定价逻辑、业务逻辑、消费者需求逻辑,以及tob、toc的供应链关系
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看好<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">$联电(UMC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">$中芯国际(00981)$</a> 该来的总会来的!","listText":"上个月说到优质产能被优质客户锁死,资本会倾斜扶持半导体产能扩张。没想到第一个爆出的是英特尔!还会有下一个的 看好<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">$联电(UMC)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">$中芯国际(00981)$</a> 该来的总会来的!","text":"上个月说到优质产能被优质客户锁死,资本会倾斜扶持半导体产能扩张。没想到第一个爆出的是英特尔!还会有下一个的 看好$联电(UMC)$$中芯国际(00981)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09992\">$泡泡玛特(09992)$</a>本人开始就不太看好,或者说他商业模式有很大的天花板。类似医美逻辑客单价不错、利润率高、用户有一定粘性。但IP我不认为是核心竞争力,从长远看持有IP的运营者会持续探索IP更多商业模式,也会有更多类似泡泡马特的商业形态出现。泡泡是这个场景的补充但不是唯一。说白了商业模式没有壁垒,用户就这么多而且消费场景也单一,总体说是被热炒很高的泡沫,他只是先行者但不是变革者,见好就收吧","text":"$泡泡玛特(09992)$本人开始就不太看好,或者说他商业模式有很大的天花板。类似医美逻辑客单价不错、利润率高、用户有一定粘性。但IP我不认为是核心竞争力,从长远看持有IP的运营者会持续探索IP更多商业模式,也会有更多类似泡泡马特的商业形态出现。泡泡是这个场景的补充但不是唯一。说白了商业模式没有壁垒,用户就这么多而且消费场景也单一,总体说是被热炒很高的泡沫,他只是先行者但不是变革者,见好就收吧","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359231449","repostId":"1123194490","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3601,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":359959815,"gmtCreate":1616327521137,"gmtModify":1616327521137,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/YSG\">$逸仙电商(YSG)$</a>虽然是高瓴持股的公司,但我对该股不看好的很大原因是他做的是快时尚。快美妆的节奏非常快,通过网红KOL可以迅速打开销量和认知,但不代表是可以提升品牌溢价能力。销量不等于溢价,个人觉得他的运营过分看重营销和销量,但美妆行业不是只看销量的行业,普通大众越喜欢、普通大众都去用就不是好时尚。所以我认为估值还是偏高,反而一些小众、有针对性的美妆产品可以长久不衰","text":"$逸仙电商(YSG)$虽然是高瓴持股的公司,但我对该股不看好的很大原因是他做的是快时尚。快美妆的节奏非常快,通过网红KOL可以迅速打开销量和认知,但不代表是可以提升品牌溢价能力。销量不等于溢价,个人觉得他的运营过分看重营销和销量,但美妆行业不是只看销量的行业,普通大众越喜欢、普通大众都去用就不是好时尚。所以我认为估值还是偏高,反而一些小众、有针对性的美妆产品可以长久不衰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/359959815","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":7013,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559101681085093","authorId":"3559101681085093","name":"浩sean555","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a17d150cb9397b14e0272ee9135e5b81","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3559101681085093","idStr":"3559101681085093"},"content":"在这个行业,完美日记的打法是唯一路径,并且运气也在,再看看领导者的背景,未来是不会差的,缺的也会补上的","text":"在这个行业,完美日记的打法是唯一路径,并且运气也在,再看看领导者的背景,未来是不会差的,缺的也会补上的","html":"在这个行业,完美日记的打法是唯一路径,并且运气也在,再看看领导者的背景,未来是不会差的,缺的也会补上的"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":322105091,"gmtCreate":1615779381213,"gmtModify":1703492830272,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"各位,还看不出小鹏的运营思路是最清晰的吗?和谁合作在当下更重要,站队决定优势。所以去年我调研过三家国内新能源车企,唯一看好的是小鹏。他最善于运营,目标明确,产品定位清晰","listText":"各位,还看不出小鹏的运营思路是最清晰的吗?和谁合作在当下更重要,站队决定优势。所以去年我调研过三家国内新能源车企,唯一看好的是小鹏。他最善于运营,目标明确,产品定位清晰","text":"各位,还看不出小鹏的运营思路是最清晰的吗?和谁合作在当下更重要,站队决定优势。所以去年我调研过三家国内新能源车企,唯一看好的是小鹏。他最善于运营,目标明确,产品定位清晰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322105091","repostId":"1133359802","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"content":"蔚来怎么说呢,我觉得他产品定价有点高,且主打SUV受众人群和小鹏比较小,在定价策略和市场定位上我个人觉得没有小鹏准确。几个月前评估过,感觉后期出货量应会低于小鹏。","text":"蔚来怎么说呢,我觉得他产品定价有点高,且主打SUV受众人群和小鹏比较小,在定价策略和市场定位上我个人觉得没有小鹏准确。几个月前评估过,感觉后期出货量应会低于小鹏。","html":"蔚来怎么说呢,我觉得他产品定价有点高,且主打SUV受众人群和小鹏比较小,在定价策略和市场定位上我个人觉得没有小鹏准确。几个月前评估过,感觉后期出货量应会低于小鹏。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":323415192,"gmtCreate":1615367270516,"gmtModify":1703487942667,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没跌完,债利的问题还在。市场风险没有充分释放,后面应该还有更大的跌幅","listText":"没跌完,债利的问题还在。市场风险没有充分释放,后面应该还有更大的跌幅","text":"没跌完,债利的问题还在。市场风险没有充分释放,后面应该还有更大的跌幅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323415192","repostId":"1144983935","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"content":"长期看好不会变,美国砸锅卖铁也不会让股市崩盘。没有制造业的美国,还有什么能工具可以吸引全世界的钱?哈哈,持有核心资产即可","text":"长期看好不会变,美国砸锅卖铁也不会让股市崩盘。没有制造业的美国,还有什么能工具可以吸引全世界的钱?哈哈,持有核心资产即可","html":"长期看好不会变,美国砸锅卖铁也不会让股市崩盘。没有制造业的美国,还有什么能工具可以吸引全世界的钱?哈哈,持有核心资产即可"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362442837,"gmtCreate":1614662435529,"gmtModify":1703479527060,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"1700-1800目标心里价,1850建议建仓价。评论留记号","listText":"1700-1800目标心里价,1850建议建仓价。评论留记号","text":"1700-1800目标心里价,1850建议建仓价。评论留记号","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362442837","repostId":"1163542999","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2780,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362457221,"gmtCreate":1614661678663,"gmtModify":1703479517324,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"author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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SY\">$新氧(SY)$</a>这个赛道的老大,行业很多美容产品毛利率90%,大把钱引流投平台,灌内容。平台现金流不缺,美容用户现在低龄化,高中毕业就有美容激励。美容又是慢性成瘾毒药,一旦沾上就很难戒掉!不涨?那是不可能的","text":"$新氧(SY)$这个赛道的老大,行业很多美容产品毛利率90%,大把钱引流投平台,灌内容。平台现金流不缺,美容用户现在低龄化,高中毕业就有美容激励。美容又是慢性成瘾毒药,一旦沾上就很难戒掉!不涨?那是不可能的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/311525666","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"304170013407570","authorId":"304170013407570","name":"Fisher2058","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3e3fdd34c70035604005de13857353d1","crmLevel":9,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"304170013407570","idStr":"304170013407570"},"content":"新氧做平台做不过美团,直接下场做医美又不好拿牌照,日记的影响力也在下降,建议楼主再好好分析一下","text":"新氧做平台做不过美团,直接下场做医美又不好拿牌照,日记的影响力也在下降,建议楼主再好好分析一下","html":"新氧做平台做不过美团,直接下场做医美又不好拿牌照,日记的影响力也在下降,建议楼主再好好分析一下"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362457221,"gmtCreate":1614661678663,"gmtModify":1703479517324,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"讲的很好啊,是具体干事的人,政策和应对措施讲的很清楚。这个文章翻译下来一个是股市泡沫严重,最迟明年调整。美股经济恢复越好,收缩的调整就越快,其次是告诉我们大A不会一直涨,只能在一个区间内控制风险,稳就可以。第三点是大家不用担心经济崩溃,中国手上还有招","listText":"讲的很好啊,是具体干事的人,政策和应对措施讲的很清楚。这个文章翻译下来一个是股市泡沫严重,最迟明年调整。美股经济恢复越好,收缩的调整就越快,其次是告诉我们大A不会一直涨,只能在一个区间内控制风险,稳就可以。第三点是大家不用担心经济崩溃,中国手上还有招","text":"讲的很好啊,是具体干事的人,政策和应对措施讲的很清楚。这个文章翻译下来一个是股市泡沫严重,最迟明年调整。美股经济恢复越好,收缩的调整就越快,其次是告诉我们大A不会一直涨,只能在一个区间内控制风险,稳就可以。第三点是大家不用担心经济崩溃,中国手上还有招","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362457221","repostId":"2114034843","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":322105091,"gmtCreate":1615779381213,"gmtModify":1703492830272,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"各位,还看不出小鹏的运营思路是最清晰的吗?和谁合作在当下更重要,站队决定优势。所以去年我调研过三家国内新能源车企,唯一看好的是小鹏。他最善于运营,目标明确,产品定位清晰","listText":"各位,还看不出小鹏的运营思路是最清晰的吗?和谁合作在当下更重要,站队决定优势。所以去年我调研过三家国内新能源车企,唯一看好的是小鹏。他最善于运营,目标明确,产品定位清晰","text":"各位,还看不出小鹏的运营思路是最清晰的吗?和谁合作在当下更重要,站队决定优势。所以去年我调研过三家国内新能源车企,唯一看好的是小鹏。他最善于运营,目标明确,产品定位清晰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/322105091","repostId":"1133359802","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4310,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"content":"蔚来怎么说呢,我觉得他产品定价有点高,且主打SUV受众人群和小鹏比较小,在定价策略和市场定位上我个人觉得没有小鹏准确。几个月前评估过,感觉后期出货量应会低于小鹏。","text":"蔚来怎么说呢,我觉得他产品定价有点高,且主打SUV受众人群和小鹏比较小,在定价策略和市场定位上我个人觉得没有小鹏准确。几个月前评估过,感觉后期出货量应会低于小鹏。","html":"蔚来怎么说呢,我觉得他产品定价有点高,且主打SUV受众人群和小鹏比较小,在定价策略和市场定位上我个人觉得没有小鹏准确。几个月前评估过,感觉后期出货量应会低于小鹏。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":319859164,"gmtCreate":1611569508258,"gmtModify":1703751014846,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SY\">$新氧(SY)$</a>新氧发力比我想象的快,还没完全建好仓就涨了。继续看好,他估值被低估了","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SY\">$新氧(SY)$</a>新氧发力比我想象的快,还没完全建好仓就涨了。继续看好,他估值被低估了","text":"$新氧(SY)$新氧发力比我想象的快,还没完全建好仓就涨了。继续看好,他估值被低估了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319859164","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1072,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362993165,"gmtCreate":1614583280957,"gmtModify":1703478454844,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">$联电(UMC)$</a>个人认为,全球面临芯片涨价和产生短缺问题,而且这个问题是要持续一段时间的,中期来看,随着产能短缺工厂一定会继续扩大产能,资本也会在这方面倾斜,虽然联电和台积电比技术上有一定差距,但我认为这个问题是双向的。坏处是有一定竞争代差,但好处更大。顶部产能被优质客户锁死,剩余需求会向下拓展,同时有些设备并不需要精尖技术,例如联电这样公司有很大成长机会。我认为该公司估值被一定低谷,且在产能扩张后,估值会大幅升高","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UMC\">$联电(UMC)$</a>个人认为,全球面临芯片涨价和产生短缺问题,而且这个问题是要持续一段时间的,中期来看,随着产能短缺工厂一定会继续扩大产能,资本也会在这方面倾斜,虽然联电和台积电比技术上有一定差距,但我认为这个问题是双向的。坏处是有一定竞争代差,但好处更大。顶部产能被优质客户锁死,剩余需求会向下拓展,同时有些设备并不需要精尖技术,例如联电这样公司有很大成长机会。我认为该公司估值被一定低谷,且在产能扩张后,估值会大幅升高","text":"$联电(UMC)$个人认为,全球面临芯片涨价和产生短缺问题,而且这个问题是要持续一段时间的,中期来看,随着产能短缺工厂一定会继续扩大产能,资本也会在这方面倾斜,虽然联电和台积电比技术上有一定差距,但我认为这个问题是双向的。坏处是有一定竞争代差,但好处更大。顶部产能被优质客户锁死,剩余需求会向下拓展,同时有些设备并不需要精尖技术,例如联电这样公司有很大成长机会。我认为该公司估值被一定低谷,且在产能扩张后,估值会大幅升高","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362993165","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":323415192,"gmtCreate":1615367270516,"gmtModify":1703487942667,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"没跌完,债利的问题还在。市场风险没有充分释放,后面应该还有更大的跌幅","listText":"没跌完,债利的问题还在。市场风险没有充分释放,后面应该还有更大的跌幅","text":"没跌完,债利的问题还在。市场风险没有充分释放,后面应该还有更大的跌幅","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323415192","repostId":"1144983935","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3091,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"content":"长期看好不会变,美国砸锅卖铁也不会让股市崩盘。没有制造业的美国,还有什么能工具可以吸引全世界的钱?哈哈,持有核心资产即可","text":"长期看好不会变,美国砸锅卖铁也不会让股市崩盘。没有制造业的美国,还有什么能工具可以吸引全世界的钱?哈哈,持有核心资产即可","html":"长期看好不会变,美国砸锅卖铁也不会让股市崩盘。没有制造业的美国,还有什么能工具可以吸引全世界的钱?哈哈,持有核心资产即可"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":310848783,"gmtCreate":1611312505042,"gmtModify":1703749621203,"author":{"id":"3468826141008421","authorId":"3468826141008421","name":"投行里的币姥爷","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a2f5cf5ebdedea74ba63d99a921222","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3468826141008421","idStr":"3468826141008421"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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