琪妈的个人主页 - 老虎社区

琪妈

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IP属地：北京

57关注

3粉丝

3主题

0勋章

2021-11-01

$老虎证券(TIGR)$惨

2021-06-25

$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$张眼一看织了一晚上布[财迷]

2021-06-08

$Sundial Growers Inc.(SNDL)$每天都在织布

2021-06-05

$黑莓(BB)$[财迷]

2021-06-05

$Castor Maritime, Inc.(CTRM)$10倍缩股3毛变3块，就耽心再从3块变成3毛真惨不忍睹了！还是割肉一走了之，不好熬

2021-04-07

$井寺制药(IDRA)$加油💪

2021-03-17

$老虎证券(TIGR)$一早起床又跌成这样了！相信你会强大，加油💪

2021-03-12

$老虎证券(TIGR)$给力！看好大猫！继续奔前走[强]

2021-03-06

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-03-05

$老虎证券(TIGR)$深套

2021-03-03

$老虎证券(TIGR)$这大猫要干吗嘛

2021-02-26

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@格隆汇:这次，美联储还会不顾一些救市吗？

2021-02-26

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@独立分析师:关于熊市的看法

2021-02-26

$亿邦国际(EBON)$大猫太让人失望了！！！

2021-02-24

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-23

$亿邦国际(EBON)$这么惨

2021-02-22

$亿邦国际(EBON)$有利好还这种跌法啊

2021-02-22

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-02-19

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@孟祥瑞:$亿邦国际(EBON)$能不能涨价能

2021-02-18

$老虎证券(TIGR)$跌跌不休了！老虎给大家点信心

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$老虎证券(TIGR)$</a>这大猫要干吗嘛","text":"$老虎证券(TIGR)$这大猫要干吗嘛","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/364016726","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368185055,"gmtCreate":1614300337277,"gmtModify":1703476002885,"author":{"id":"3458271916672273","authorId":"3458271916672273","name":"琪妈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fb539a6f323a0e8db388c31b0b76773","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3458271916672273","authorIdStr":"3458271916672273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368185055","repostId":"361905911","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":361905911,"gmtCreate":1614182715033,"gmtModify":1614219562348,"author":{"id":"39105730803552","authorId":"39105730803552","name":"格隆汇","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8774dfe20eceb38c9645128bb6e60684","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"39105730803552","authorIdStr":"39105730803552"},"themes":[],"title":"这次，美联储还会不顾一些救市吗？","htmlText":"近来，全球金融市场动荡加剧，同此凉热！对于跨市场交易的投资者而言，晚上担心美股，白天担心癌股，真是操够了心，但有可能是24小时亏钱。你说，炒点股，容易么？1隔夜美股，让全球投资者的神经再度紧绷。纳指一度深跌4%，特斯拉闪崩13%，苹果深跌6%，市场俨然押注鲍威尔的证词不会太好。但嘹亮的鸽声终究还是来了！鲍威尔发言，重点提到以下3点：第一，美国经济还没复苏到位，就业市场仍表现疲软。第二，不要担心通胀，离目标的2%还有不小的空间。第三，至少短期内美联储还会维持超宽松政策。鲍威尔出手“救市”，市场惊天逆转，纳指最终小跌，标普500和道指还神奇翻红了。站在当下时点，投资者们心里面都犯嘀咕：美股是阶段性回调，还是大股灾临近？从去年3月到现在，美股持续大幅走牛的主要逻辑是美联储释放泛滥的流动性。而当下，超宽松的货币政策是否转向、什么时候转向，成为市场最为关注的逻辑变化。当前，全球风险资产定价的锚——美国10年期国债收益率，已经攀升至1.393%的高位。春节以来，该收益率大幅攀升了20%，恰好回到了去年2月末新冠疫情开始引爆金融市场大暴跌的水平。国债收益率飙升，会带动按揭抵押贷款、信用卡贷款、汽车贷款、学生贷款，乃至所有商业贷款的利率一起上涨。当然，大多数企业的借贷成本也会随之上升，从而影响企业利润水平。许多投资者使用10年期美债收益率作为股票估值公式中的贴现率，利率提升，将直接利空估值高企的科技股，特斯拉、苹果接连暴跌就是典型代表。这亦是当前纳指跌幅明显超过道指和标普的重要逻辑，因为流动性趋紧对于整体估值更高的纳指冲击会更大。美联储没动超宽松的货币政策，然而国债利率却快速攀升，市场究竟在交易什么逻辑？第一，随着欧美疫苗的快速铺开，新冠疫情单日新增已经大幅回落，经济复苏成为主旋律。这是近来原油、铜为首的大宗商品大幅暴涨的重要逻辑。但经济预期趋好，抛债券买股票，债券价格下跌，收益率攀升。债","listText":"近来，全球金融市场动荡加剧，同此凉热！对于跨市场交易的投资者而言，晚上担心美股，白天担心癌股，真是操够了心，但有可能是24小时亏钱。你说，炒点股，容易么？1隔夜美股，让全球投资者的神经再度紧绷。纳指一度深跌4%，特斯拉闪崩13%，苹果深跌6%，市场俨然押注鲍威尔的证词不会太好。但嘹亮的鸽声终究还是来了！鲍威尔发言，重点提到以下3点：第一，美国经济还没复苏到位，就业市场仍表现疲软。第二，不要担心通胀，离目标的2%还有不小的空间。第三，至少短期内美联储还会维持超宽松政策。鲍威尔出手“救市”，市场惊天逆转，纳指最终小跌，标普500和道指还神奇翻红了。站在当下时点，投资者们心里面都犯嘀咕：美股是阶段性回调，还是大股灾临近？从去年3月到现在，美股持续大幅走牛的主要逻辑是美联储释放泛滥的流动性。而当下，超宽松的货币政策是否转向、什么时候转向，成为市场最为关注的逻辑变化。当前，全球风险资产定价的锚——美国10年期国债收益率，已经攀升至1.393%的高位。春节以来，该收益率大幅攀升了20%，恰好回到了去年2月末新冠疫情开始引爆金融市场大暴跌的水平。国债收益率飙升，会带动按揭抵押贷款、信用卡贷款、汽车贷款、学生贷款，乃至所有商业贷款的利率一起上涨。当然，大多数企业的借贷成本也会随之上升，从而影响企业利润水平。许多投资者使用10年期美债收益率作为股票估值公式中的贴现率，利率提升，将直接利空估值高企的科技股，特斯拉、苹果接连暴跌就是典型代表。这亦是当前纳指跌幅明显超过道指和标普的重要逻辑，因为流动性趋紧对于整体估值更高的纳指冲击会更大。美联储没动超宽松的货币政策，然而国债利率却快速攀升，市场究竟在交易什么逻辑？第一，随着欧美疫苗的快速铺开，新冠疫情单日新增已经大幅回落，经济复苏成为主旋律。这是近来原油、铜为首的大宗商品大幅暴涨的重要逻辑。但经济预期趋好，抛债券买股票，债券价格下跌，收益率攀升。债","text":"近来，全球金融市场动荡加剧，同此凉热！对于跨市场交易的投资者而言，晚上担心美股，白天担心癌股，真是操够了心，但有可能是24小时亏钱。你说，炒点股，容易么？1隔夜美股，让全球投资者的神经再度紧绷。纳指一度深跌4%，特斯拉闪崩13%，苹果深跌6%，市场俨然押注鲍威尔的证词不会太好。但嘹亮的鸽声终究还是来了！鲍威尔发言，重点提到以下3点：第一，美国经济还没复苏到位，就业市场仍表现疲软。第二，不要担心通胀，离目标的2%还有不小的空间。第三，至少短期内美联储还会维持超宽松政策。鲍威尔出手“救市”，市场惊天逆转，纳指最终小跌，标普500和道指还神奇翻红了。站在当下时点，投资者们心里面都犯嘀咕：美股是阶段性回调，还是大股灾临近？从去年3月到现在，美股持续大幅走牛的主要逻辑是美联储释放泛滥的流动性。而当下，超宽松的货币政策是否转向、什么时候转向，成为市场最为关注的逻辑变化。当前，全球风险资产定价的锚——美国10年期国债收益率，已经攀升至1.393%的高位。春节以来，该收益率大幅攀升了20%，恰好回到了去年2月末新冠疫情开始引爆金融市场大暴跌的水平。国债收益率飙升，会带动按揭抵押贷款、信用卡贷款、汽车贷款、学生贷款，乃至所有商业贷款的利率一起上涨。当然，大多数企业的借贷成本也会随之上升，从而影响企业利润水平。许多投资者使用10年期美债收益率作为股票估值公式中的贴现率，利率提升，将直接利空估值高企的科技股，特斯拉、苹果接连暴跌就是典型代表。这亦是当前纳指跌幅明显超过道指和标普的重要逻辑，因为流动性趋紧对于整体估值更高的纳指冲击会更大。美联储没动超宽松的货币政策，然而国债利率却快速攀升，市场究竟在交易什么逻辑？第一，随着欧美疫苗的快速铺开，新冠疫情单日新增已经大幅回落，经济复苏成为主旋律。这是近来原油、铜为首的大宗商品大幅暴涨的重要逻辑。但经济预期趋好，抛债券买股票，债券价格下跌，收益率攀升。债","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f422a7df85d95ac08e9465f505a186f9"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3c4ae4ea111dbb9957e02ee7c30f4d8"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b5603e05c41be12946c7c551845d608"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/361905911","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":650,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":368378736,"gmtCreate":1614296644625,"gmtModify":1703475929786,"author":{"id":"3458271916672273","authorId":"3458271916672273","name":"琪妈","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0fb539a6f323a0e8db388c31b0b76773","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3458271916672273","authorIdStr":"3458271916672273"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/368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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;很早的一篇长文《赚钱与赔钱，全在于投资思维》没想到居然获得了186次转载，甚至一些在老虎社区上经常发帖的所谓“大V”也转载了我的原创文章，只是为了吸粉。当然，这篇经典长文毕竟是我原创，也有大量的虎友成为了我的粉丝。但是，近期我很少发文了，因为发多了也没意义，频繁的发布观点，非但不会对广大虎友有所帮助，反而会因为杂乱的观点，而把虎友们带入歧途。目前老虎社区里，大牛大V越来越多，也是我非常担心的，因为我认为:观点越多，思路越多；思路越多，交易量越大；交易量越大，其实个体越难以盈利。细心的虎友，如果看我过往的长文和观点帖子，会发现我往往会在市场下跌的底部区域发帖，很多虎友看见我发贴后抄底股市，盈利还是比较不错的。以上都是题外话，下面才是正题《关于熊市的看法》。美股入门经典长文《赚钱与赔钱，全在于投资思维》&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 谈到熊市，大家唯恐而不及，这是本能反映。我相信超过50%的头寸做空股市或买入看空期权的人毕竟是少数，所以大多数投资者还是惧怕熊市的。&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 但熊市确实“需要惧怕”吗？如果理性的分析过往的20年的市场走势甚至30年的市场走势，从熊市时间，熊市空间，参与者反应速度，三个维度进行分析，其实会发现熊市真的“无需惧怕”。&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 1.熊市时间。2000年互联网泡沫持续近3年，2007-2008金融危机，持续不到1年半。从2008年看到现在，很多投资者认为是牛市。其实不然，从2008年至今，市场走过熊市不下于6次！看似危言耸听，其实从投资者恐慌程","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.IXIC\">$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$</a>&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 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