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林俊鹏
2021-01-09
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
泡沫
林俊鹏
2021-01-06
$特斯拉(TSLA)$
终于拿了一个翻倍股
林俊鹏
2018-01-04
终于回来了
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 日
终于回来了
林俊鹏
2017-11-22
有系统的人心如止水,没有系统的人总是一惊
怎样用系统下一盘大棋万维钢老百姓关心具体事件的成败,高手关注的是一个概率系统。只要我这个系统合理,那么具体事件结果都是偶尔波动,长期看我一定是赢。今天我想说几个高手建立概率系统的方法。1.中奖者现在经常有人搞微博转发抽奖之类的活动。你只要做个小小的动作,比如转发一条微博,就有机会获得 iPhone X 之类的奖品。这种抽奖的中奖率显然都是很低的,对吧?但是有人就在专门干这个事儿,而且真的收获了不少奖品。据报道,英国一位叫做迪·可可(Di Coke)的女士,参加各种抽奖活动得的奖品总价值已经超过30万英镑,平均每年都能进账1万5千英镑。她是怎么做到的呢?她每个星期参加400次抽奖。但可可女士做事还是有门道的。她不喜欢那种微博转发之类的抽奖,动作太简单,参与的人太多,中奖的概率就低。她喜欢有奖答题之类需要花时间的活动,因为要花时间,参与的人就少,中奖概率就比较高。可可女士的方法不一定值得提倡,可能有这个时间还不如做个正经工作。但可可女士的可贵之处在于她把抽奖当成一个系统!她的心态稳定,一次没抽中,她不会感到沮丧;这次抽奖中了,她也不会感到特别兴奋。有了这个系统,可可女士获得抽奖收入是必然事件。而且可可女士这个系统在心理上容易接受,因为抽奖活动都是免费的,她永远都不会输钱。如果涉及到输钱的话,那你就需要克服心理障碍了。 2.连续的输赢你敢不敢跟我赌一把,赌法是抛硬币。如果硬币正面朝上,你就输了,你得给我1000元钱。硬币反面朝上你就赢了,我给你1500元。对你来说,这个赌局的数学期望、也就是你的平均预期收入,是- 1000 × 1/2 + 1500 × 1/2 = 250 元,相当划算。但是我想很多人会拒绝这个赌博,因为毕竟存在一个输1000元的风险。但是如果我愿意跟你连赌一万把,那你还愿不愿意玩呢?你当然愿意!玩一两把你可能会输钱,玩一万把,一切波动都会被抹平,你是稳赚不赔,你
有系统的人心如止水,没有系统的人总是一惊
林俊鹏
2017-11-16
业绩不错
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 业绩不错
业绩不错
林俊鹏
2017-11-12
腾讯
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 牛逼咯
腾讯
林俊鹏
2017-11-08
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 泡沫
林俊鹏
2017-11-03
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 马化腾新首富
林俊鹏
2017-11-01
长期持有
$苹果(AAPL)$ face id ar技术,苹果这次发力了
长期持有
林俊鹏
2017-11-01
长期持有,大家觉得呢
$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 几天不见,涨了不少,是怎么回事?求赐教
长期持有,大家觉得呢
林俊鹏
2017-11-01
$Facebook(FB)$ 看不懂你,
$Facebook(FB)$ 看不懂你,等财报吧!
$Facebook(FB)$ 看不懂你,
林俊鹏
2017-11-01
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 表面都是利好
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 表面都是利好,都是泡沫,出了财报,就知道了
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 表面都是利好
林俊鹏
2017-11-01
全都是泡沫
$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 全都是泡沫
全都是泡沫
林俊鹏
2017-10-17
还可以买吗
$腾讯控股(00700)$ 还可以
还可以买吗
林俊鹏
2017-08-19
看涨价了老陆,,哈哈哈😄哈哈
$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 哈哈
看涨价了老陆,,哈哈哈😄哈哈
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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Coke)的女士,参加各种抽奖活动得的奖品总价值已经超过30万英镑,平均每年都能进账1万5千英镑。她是怎么做到的呢?她每个星期参加400次抽奖。但可可女士做事还是有门道的。她不喜欢那种微博转发之类的抽奖,动作太简单,参与的人太多,中奖的概率就低。她喜欢有奖答题之类需要花时间的活动,因为要花时间,参与的人就少,中奖概率就比较高。可可女士的方法不一定值得提倡,可能有这个时间还不如做个正经工作。但可可女士的可贵之处在于她把抽奖当成一个系统!她的心态稳定,一次没抽中,她不会感到沮丧;这次抽奖中了,她也不会感到特别兴奋。有了这个系统,可可女士获得抽奖收入是必然事件。而且可可女士这个系统在心理上容易接受,因为抽奖活动都是免费的,她永远都不会输钱。如果涉及到输钱的话,那你就需要克服心理障碍了。 2.连续的输赢你敢不敢跟我赌一把,赌法是抛硬币。如果硬币正面朝上,你就输了,你得给我1000元钱。硬币反面朝上你就赢了,我给你1500元。对你来说,这个赌局的数学期望、也就是你的平均预期收入,是- 1000 × 1/2 + 1500 × 1/2 = 250 元,相当划算。但是我想很多人会拒绝这个赌博,因为毕竟存在一个输1000元的风险。但是如果我愿意跟你连赌一万把,那你还愿不愿意玩呢?你当然愿意!玩一两把你可能会输钱,玩一万把,一切波动都会被抹平,你是稳赚不赔,你","listText":"怎样用系统下一盘大棋万维钢老百姓关心具体事件的成败,高手关注的是一个概率系统。只要我这个系统合理,那么具体事件结果都是偶尔波动,长期看我一定是赢。今天我想说几个高手建立概率系统的方法。1.中奖者现在经常有人搞微博转发抽奖之类的活动。你只要做个小小的动作,比如转发一条微博,就有机会获得 iPhone X 之类的奖品。这种抽奖的中奖率显然都是很低的,对吧?但是有人就在专门干这个事儿,而且真的收获了不少奖品。据报道,英国一位叫做迪·可可(Di 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