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没感情的亏钱机器

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没感情的亏钱机器

2021-04-02

$Romeo Power, Inc.(RMO)$太坑了跌这么快 13的本

没感情的亏钱机器

2021-03-22

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

抱歉，原内容已删除

没感情的亏钱机器

2021-03-04

$Romeo Power, Inc.(RMO)$就怕要洗很长时间

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-09-07

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

5年4倍的收益，冯柳是怎样“炼成”的？

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-04-18

$二倍做多彭博原油ETF(UCO)$这东西不懂 wti创新低了，这边为啥没创

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-03-16

$跟谁学(GSX)$ 几个无大脑跟庄唱多的呢？？

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-03-12

$跟谁学(GSX)$ 200股市价单这种市场一直成交不了太辣鸡了

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-03-04

$跟谁学(GSX)$ 谁能告诉我这股为啥流通只有6亿接下来的解禁计划是啥

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-02-28

$Alpha Pro Tech Ltd(APT)$ 停牌啥意思教一下

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-02-28

$Alpha Pro Tech Ltd(APT)$ 20卖的止盈单挂到16 结果最低到16.08 结果忘设止损

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-02-28

$瑞幸咖啡(LK)$ 一起空打爆造假庄稼维护正义

没感情的亏钱机器

2020-02-27

$华润医药(03320)$ 好股没热度

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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10:46","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"5年4倍的收益，冯柳是怎样“炼成”的？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2065292194","media":"格隆汇","summary":"用高赔率抵御市场风险，用常识来增加确定性","content":"<p>冯柳，从小散到牛散，再到高毅董事总经理，一路飞奔，成为A股投资圈内的传奇神话。当下，他与张磊、邱国鹭等业界大佬齐名，成为众多散户们追捧的对象。</p><p>那么，冯柳是如何一步一步成为大咖的？泡杯茶，闲坐下来，我们就来聊聊。</p><p><b>1、白酒成为冯柳投资生涯的重要里程碑。</b></p><p>年少轻狂，零几年的时候冯柳还是小散户，在淘股吧混迹，网络取名“茅台03”。在2003-2006年，冯柳逐步买入并持有茅台，后于06年6月后放弃牛股茅台，期间收益也有300%之巨。</p><p>冯柳撤出的仓位去重仓了性价比更高的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600809\">山西汾酒</a>。那时，中端白酒行业和企业的广阔路子才刚刚起步。</p><p>投资性价比？那时，汾酒2.5倍的市销率远低于茅台的12倍和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000858\">五粮液</a>的5倍，而利润率及相关盈利指标并未有多少逊色，且增长率、增长潜能及空间还远大于后两位。</p><p>当年12月，山西汾酒飙升到了20多元，半年时间涨幅高达100%，比茅台同期多涨30%；2017年1月22日，汾酒更是上涨至了47.5元，7个月飚了200%，比茅台同期多涨70%以上。</p><p>2007年一季度后，冯柳清仓了汾酒。后来，汾酒从40多元一路暴跌至2008年10月的8.2元。没多久，冯柳屁颠屁颠跑回来了，又开始逐步建仓。</p><p><b>（冯柳山西汾酒第一次建仓与出手时机）</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6cbc638efd8dfa02193c9d570c250e\" tg-width=\"745\" tg-height=\"513\"></p><p>山西汾酒在短短3年时间内直飙至90元，涨幅超过900%(复权价最大涨幅高达24倍)，远超茅台同期500%的表现。后于2011年年底高位区间，冯柳清仓了汾酒。之后的3年，汾酒从90元一路狂跌至12.5元左右，跌幅超过85%。</p><p><b>（冯柳山西汾酒第二次建仓与出手时机）</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3523d5c60e033b3aebd81f29422f59cf\" tg-width=\"749\" tg-height=\"518\"></p><p><b>这一战，冯柳踩的时间点很完美，在汾酒身上获取了远比茅台更高的价值回报。</b></p><p>2011年11月，撤出汾酒，冯柳开始转战医药股，基本也是布局在医药指数调整的尾期了。</p><p><b>（冯柳<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000513\">丽珠集团</a>建仓与出手时机）</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55d1f928734c53aacb2cc398620137f1\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"520\"></p><p>2012年12月，冯柳在淘股吧如是总结到：“过去9年，我取得了93%的年复利回报，有部分原因是我始终紧扣高成长思路，但更重要的是过去的经济给予了我这样的机会，并且恰好是在我能理解的领域里。”</p><p><b>9年，年年93%，折算一下便是9年累计上涨370倍。传奇的投资神话，不得不令人叹为观止。</b></p><p>并且，传奇还在继续。</p><p>2、</p><p>2015年11月，私募一哥、宁波涨停板敢死队总舵主的徐翔，从宁波回上海的路上被警方截获。同月，冯柳被业界名声显赫的高毅资本董事长邱国鹭邀请加盟。</p><p>冯柳这一去，便从此开启了另一段投资佳话。</p><p><b>又是汾酒，一炮而红。</b></p><p>2016年一季度，冯柳建仓370万股，进入前10大股东名列，二季度小小减持至300万股，但三季度又增持至500万股，四季度继续增持至1500万股，仓位大致3.8亿元。到了2017Q1，冯柳减仓至700万股，二季度减仓至500万股，三季度没了踪影。</p><p>2016年初到2017年三季度，山西汾酒300%的上涨过程中，冯柳旗下的领山基金整体收益大致为100%。</p><p>之后的2018年一季度，冯柳盯上了低端白酒龙头——牛栏山二锅头。一季度建底仓730万股，二季度增持至850万股，三季度退出前10大股东序列，半年时间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000860\">顺鑫农业</a>逆势上涨超过140%。</p><p><b>（冯柳顺鑫农业建仓与出手时机）</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08df429908476134225a9379ffea9529\" tg-width=\"749\" tg-height=\"515\"></p><p>2018年，沪指累跌25%，深成指跌34%，创业板指跌29%。全年跌了一年，A股迎来至暗时刻。但冯柳掌托的高毅岭山1号实现正收益的0.52%，成为高毅旗下6大基金经理中唯一正收益的，更不用说跑赢其余公私募的基金经理了。</p><p>并且在2018年三季度，冯柳战略性建仓医药，进入A股前10大流通股股东的股票便有23只，其中医药股14只，占了6成，仓位总占比40-50%。</p><p>2019-2020年，医药的表现有目共睹，<b>在2018年三四季度大规模建仓医药，扎扎实实抄底了整个行业的老底。</b></p><p>2015年11月至今，不到5年时间，邻山基金1号累计收益率403.9%，远远跑赢沪深300的25%。</p><p><b>（高毅邻山1号基金成立以来表现）</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4145702c9aeb435dd5305a8bcb570fd8\" tg-width=\"994\" tg-height=\"439\"></p><p>5年4倍，满满的收益惊喜。那么，冯柳到底做对了什么？</p><p>3、</p><p>冯柳的投资体系简单总结就是：<b>赔率优先，在概率不足的情况下分散投资，在赔率和概率都较高的情况下集中持有。</b></p><p>概率是指一个投资的胜率，可以理解为投资的确定性。赔率就是一笔投资的盈亏比或者说风险收益比。</p><p>个股弹性很好，赔率很高，如果买错了，不会亏很多，但是一旦买对，可以赚很多。在该体系下，冯柳首先会选择高赔率的个股，如果个股赔率很高，但是概率确定性不足的时，就会分散的去介入。如果发现一个机会赔率很高，并且概率也非常高的情况下，那么冯柳就会重仓持有。</p><p>所以，冯柳的邻山基金并不是集中持股，既有集中又有分散，结合市场情况而定，整体投资是偏防御性的。</p><p><b>投资策略上，在风险充分暴露之后逆向投资，用高赔率抵御市场风险，用常识来增加确定性。这里有两个经典案例值得分享。</b></p><p><b>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00322\">康师傅控股</a></b></p><p>2016年，冯柳投资了一家方便面龙头——康师傅控股。当时，随着外卖崛起，以及消费升级的大背景下，康师傅一季度业绩盈利数据非常之差。并且，多方数据证明二季度还会更糟糕，市场也一致认为二季度公司会出大幅衰退，股价也大幅暴跌。</p><p>不过，对比日本、韩国等市场，并没有因为外卖、消费升级等外界大环境而导致人们不吃方便面了，也没有方便面巨头被取代的先例，只是营收利润增速会有较大波动。因此，<b>冯柳觉得市场一致预期与常识相违背，在市场预期下半年盈利能力还将继续下滑的时候加速买入。</b></p><p>二季度业绩出来之后，果然如市场预期那般糟糕，但是股价已经涨了50%，之后的1年更是上涨了近300%。</p><p><b>（冯柳康师傅建仓时机）</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d55fc96e4e1bf6678c6af23f3150e518\" tg-width=\"744\" tg-height=\"513\"></p><p><b>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000063\">中兴通讯</a></b></p><p>2018年4月，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00763\">中兴通讯</a>被美国政府断掉芯片供应，也开启了中美之间轰轰烈烈的毛衣战。市场非常恐慌，怕中兴倒下。6月13日，公司复牌跌停，一连8个，累跌57%，后一路重挫至11.85元，市值跌到仅有500多亿元。</p><p><b>要知道，中兴通讯可是全球第4大通信运营商啊！</b>&nbsp;</p><p>市场最悲观最恐慌的2019年一季度，冯柳出手3000万股，差不多10个亿。市场一致预期中兴被卡脖子挺不过来，但基于常识判断，国家层面会救。</p><p><b>用高赔率抵御市场风险，用常识来增加确定性。</b>冯柳果断出手，最终证明结果还是耿耿的。</p><p><b>（冯柳中兴通讯建仓与出手时机）</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19dde784504b0a4a72c4db4fc2e88d49\" tg-width=\"746\" tg-height=\"519\"></p><p>冯柳战绩显赫，在股票的买点或卖点上的拿捏恰到好处，<b>背后其实是深厚价值认识和市场理解功力。</b></p><p><b>逆向投资，赔率优先，分散倾向，自成一家。</b>冯柳是国内屈指可数既深知价值，又熟悉市场的牛人。更重要的是，他还用精准的文字记录了他的体系，对于普通投资者而言可以从中获益良多。</p><p>不管是抄代码，还是抄思维，A股最优秀的一批投资者，包括冯柳，都值得我们虚心跟随，并学习之。</p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5年4倍的收益，冯柳是怎样“炼成”的？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5年4倍的收益，冯柳是怎样“炼成”的？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-09-07 10:46 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.gelonghui.com/p/405246><strong>格隆汇</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>冯柳，从小散到牛散，再到高毅董事总经理，一路飞奔，成为A股投资圈内的传奇神话。当下，他与张磊、邱国鹭等业界大佬齐名，成为众多散户们追捧的对象。那么，冯柳是如何一步一步成为大咖的？泡杯茶，闲坐下来，我们就来聊聊。1、白酒成为冯柳投资生涯的重要里程碑。年少轻狂，零几年的时候冯柳还是小散户，在淘股吧混迹，网络取名“茅台03”。在2003-2006年，冯柳逐步买入并持有茅台，后于06年6月后放弃牛股茅台，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/405246\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87c67fe518d21487c999b3feb7183500","relate_stocks":{"600519":"贵州茅台"},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/405246","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2065292194","content_text":"冯柳，从小散到牛散，再到高毅董事总经理，一路飞奔，成为A股投资圈内的传奇神话。当下，他与张磊、邱国鹭等业界大佬齐名，成为众多散户们追捧的对象。那么，冯柳是如何一步一步成为大咖的？泡杯茶，闲坐下来，我们就来聊聊。1、白酒成为冯柳投资生涯的重要里程碑。年少轻狂，零几年的时候冯柳还是小散户，在淘股吧混迹，网络取名“茅台03”。在2003-2006年，冯柳逐步买入并持有茅台，后于06年6月后放弃牛股茅台，期间收益也有300%之巨。冯柳撤出的仓位去重仓了性价比更高的山西汾酒。那时，中端白酒行业和企业的广阔路子才刚刚起步。投资性价比？那时，汾酒2.5倍的市销率远低于茅台的12倍和五粮液的5倍，而利润率及相关盈利指标并未有多少逊色，且增长率、增长潜能及空间还远大于后两位。当年12月，山西汾酒飙升到了20多元，半年时间涨幅高达100%，比茅台同期多涨30%；2017年1月22日，汾酒更是上涨至了47.5元，7个月飚了200%，比茅台同期多涨70%以上。2007年一季度后，冯柳清仓了汾酒。后来，汾酒从40多元一路暴跌至2008年10月的8.2元。没多久，冯柳屁颠屁颠跑回来了，又开始逐步建仓。（冯柳山西汾酒第一次建仓与出手时机）山西汾酒在短短3年时间内直飙至90元，涨幅超过900%(复权价最大涨幅高达24倍)，远超茅台同期500%的表现。后于2011年年底高位区间，冯柳清仓了汾酒。之后的3年，汾酒从90元一路狂跌至12.5元左右，跌幅超过85%。（冯柳山西汾酒第二次建仓与出手时机）这一战，冯柳踩的时间点很完美，在汾酒身上获取了远比茅台更高的价值回报。2011年11月，撤出汾酒，冯柳开始转战医药股，基本也是布局在医药指数调整的尾期了。（冯柳丽珠集团建仓与出手时机）2012年12月，冯柳在淘股吧如是总结到：“过去9年，我取得了93%的年复利回报，有部分原因是我始终紧扣高成长思路，但更重要的是过去的经济给予了我这样的机会，并且恰好是在我能理解的领域里。”9年，年年93%，折算一下便是9年累计上涨370倍。传奇的投资神话，不得不令人叹为观止。并且，传奇还在继续。2、2015年11月，私募一哥、宁波涨停板敢死队总舵主的徐翔，从宁波回上海的路上被警方截获。同月，冯柳被业界名声显赫的高毅资本董事长邱国鹭邀请加盟。冯柳这一去，便从此开启了另一段投资佳话。又是汾酒，一炮而红。2016年一季度，冯柳建仓370万股，进入前10大股东名列，二季度小小减持至300万股，但三季度又增持至500万股，四季度继续增持至1500万股，仓位大致3.8亿元。到了2017Q1，冯柳减仓至700万股，二季度减仓至500万股，三季度没了踪影。2016年初到2017年三季度，山西汾酒300%的上涨过程中，冯柳旗下的领山基金整体收益大致为100%。之后的2018年一季度，冯柳盯上了低端白酒龙头——牛栏山二锅头。一季度建底仓730万股，二季度增持至850万股，三季度退出前10大股东序列，半年时间顺鑫农业逆势上涨超过140%。（冯柳顺鑫农业建仓与出手时机）2018年，沪指累跌25%，深成指跌34%，创业板指跌29%。全年跌了一年，A股迎来至暗时刻。但冯柳掌托的高毅岭山1号实现正收益的0.52%，成为高毅旗下6大基金经理中唯一正收益的，更不用说跑赢其余公私募的基金经理了。并且在2018年三季度，冯柳战略性建仓医药，进入A股前10大流通股股东的股票便有23只，其中医药股14只，占了6成，仓位总占比40-50%。2019-2020年，医药的表现有目共睹，在2018年三四季度大规模建仓医药，扎扎实实抄底了整个行业的老底。2015年11月至今，不到5年时间，邻山基金1号累计收益率403.9%，远远跑赢沪深300的25%。（高毅邻山1号基金成立以来表现）5年4倍，满满的收益惊喜。那么，冯柳到底做对了什么？3、冯柳的投资体系简单总结就是：赔率优先，在概率不足的情况下分散投资，在赔率和概率都较高的情况下集中持有。概率是指一个投资的胜率，可以理解为投资的确定性。赔率就是一笔投资的盈亏比或者说风险收益比。个股弹性很好，赔率很高，如果买错了，不会亏很多，但是一旦买对，可以赚很多。在该体系下，冯柳首先会选择高赔率的个股，如果个股赔率很高，但是概率确定性不足的时，就会分散的去介入。如果发现一个机会赔率很高，并且概率也非常高的情况下，那么冯柳就会重仓持有。所以，冯柳的邻山基金并不是集中持股，既有集中又有分散，结合市场情况而定，整体投资是偏防御性的。投资策略上，在风险充分暴露之后逆向投资，用高赔率抵御市场风险，用常识来增加确定性。这里有两个经典案例值得分享。1、康师傅控股2016年，冯柳投资了一家方便面龙头——康师傅控股。当时，随着外卖崛起，以及消费升级的大背景下，康师傅一季度业绩盈利数据非常之差。并且，多方数据证明二季度还会更糟糕，市场也一致认为二季度公司会出大幅衰退，股价也大幅暴跌。不过，对比日本、韩国等市场，并没有因为外卖、消费升级等外界大环境而导致人们不吃方便面了，也没有方便面巨头被取代的先例，只是营收利润增速会有较大波动。因此，冯柳觉得市场一致预期与常识相违背，在市场预期下半年盈利能力还将继续下滑的时候加速买入。二季度业绩出来之后，果然如市场预期那般糟糕，但是股价已经涨了50%，之后的1年更是上涨了近300%。（冯柳康师傅建仓时机）2、中兴通讯2018年4月，中兴通讯被美国政府断掉芯片供应，也开启了中美之间轰轰烈烈的毛衣战。市场非常恐慌，怕中兴倒下。6月13日，公司复牌跌停，一连8个，累跌57%，后一路重挫至11.85元，市值跌到仅有500多亿元。要知道，中兴通讯可是全球第4大通信运营商啊！ 市场最悲观最恐慌的2019年一季度，冯柳出手3000万股，差不多10个亿。市场一致预期中兴被卡脖子挺不过来，但基于常识判断，国家层面会救。用高赔率抵御市场风险，用常识来增加确定性。冯柳果断出手，最终证明结果还是耿耿的。（冯柳中兴通讯建仓与出手时机）冯柳战绩显赫，在股票的买点或卖点上的拿捏恰到好处，背后其实是深厚价值认识和市场理解功力。逆向投资，赔率优先，分散倾向，自成一家。冯柳是国内屈指可数既深知价值，又熟悉市场的牛人。更重要的是，他还用精准的文字记录了他的体系，对于普通投资者而言可以从中获益良多。不管是抄代码，还是抄思维，A股最优秀的一批投资者，包括冯柳，都值得我们虚心跟随，并学习之。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":699,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":926538813,"gmtCreate":1587139544232,"gmtModify":1704363490032,"author":{"id":"3453422300536948","authorId":"3453422300536948","name":"没感情的亏钱机器","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3453422300536948","authorIdStr":"3453422300536948"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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