ET的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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2017-02-02

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 什么都好就是没学会怎么赚钱主业做不好啥都白扯继续做空！

2017-03-17

不懂

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 连年亏损电动车已是一片红海居然还有人做多真是搞不懂😱

2017-03-27

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 传说特斯拉要收购福特不知真假

2017-01-24

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 已在山顶

2017-02-09

$京东(JD)$ 京东何时出财报啊？这次估计能扭亏为盈了吧

2017-01-26

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 快登顶了！

2017-03-17

电动车已是一片红海特斯拉目前还在亏损短期内情况不妙啊居然还有这么多人做多真是搞不懂

10-31

笑死民主党执政四年股市经济一片大好睁眼数瞎话[笑哭]

特朗普媒体科技集团周三暴跌22%，美国大选逆转了？

06-11

$美国超微公司(AMD)$

06-11

$美国超微公司(AMD)$

2023-07-03

$好未来(TAL)$ 下一目标10$

2023-07-03

$有道(DAO)$ 下一目标10$

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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民主党执政四年 股市经济一片大好 睁眼数瞎话[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;","listText":"笑死 民主党执政四年 股市经济一片大好 睁眼数瞎话[笑哭]&nbsp;&nbsp;","text":"笑死 民主党执政四年 股市经济一片大好 睁眼数瞎话[笑哭]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/366011286601832","repostId":"1121193007","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1121193007","pubTimestamp":1730379997,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1121193007?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-10-31 21:06","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特朗普媒体科技集团周三暴跌22%，美国大选逆转了？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1121193007","media":"鹤鹤有铭W","summary":"没啥是真的靠谱的，只能最后看结果。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>美国大选也要靠段子忽悠韭菜，昨晚（10月30日）最新消息，哈里斯在三个摇摆州民调都大幅领先川普10%以上：</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">在亚利桑那州，提前投票的选民中，56%的人支持哈里斯，44%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，43%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，45%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普10个百分点。这些数据非常重要，因为这三个州都是关键的摇摆州。在美国，一共有七个摇摆州，它们能够决定总统大选的结果。在此前的民调中，哈里斯和特朗普在七个摇摆州里面整体打成了平手，特朗普仅在内华达州明显领先于哈里斯。另外四个摇摆州中，宾州有19张选举人票，是摇摆州中票数最多的。在过去五届总统选举中，民主党人四次拿下了宾州，只有2016年特朗普赢得了宾州，并最终赢得了美国大选。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">昨晚NBC新闻还更新了提前投票的数据，显示哈里斯大幅度领先，尤其是在宾州也是大幅度领先川普。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfa7179a070b76c919dd762303a159ca\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"923\"/></p><p>反正从昨晚提前投票、最新民调，尤其是摇摆州的情况来看， 哈里斯和川普感觉是换位了。美国选总统，就跟大A坐庄炒股票差不多，段子满天飞，忽悠韭菜进去接盘，没啥是真的靠谱的，只能最后看结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我看比较权威的民调网站RCP上，仍然是川普民调微弱领先哈里斯。不过双方确实比较接近，最后谁能拿下摇摆州，谁就能赢得大选。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c533f359fb7ea85fe48d453989aeba9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"598\" tg-height=\"644\"/></p><p>昨天有个朋友提醒我，要小心如果是哈里斯上来，那大选结果难产，重蹈2021年国会山骚乱的局面再次发生也不是不可能。如果真的发生，会引起美股大跌，美债反弹。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0307f5c46d3c5c3ff299577e1b32c6fd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"241\"/></p><p>昨天就开始减仓川普胜选概念股了，可惜我的TRS不能交易盘后，昨天早上起来看到DJT和coinbase高位放量收十字星就已经觉得是短期见顶信号了，要是盘后能交易昨天早上我就会把剩下仓位平掉。不过还好，昨晚开盘就把DJT和Coinbase全扔了，投机的钱，赚一点是一点，偷感十足。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当然哈里斯也不是稳赢，不过至少可以把前几天川普即将登基的预期稍微扭转一下。如果哈里斯真的赢了，因为她主张加税，所以对美股利空。哈里斯不主张全面加关税，所以利好中国普通消费品出海板块。但现在有个非常奇葩的逻辑就是，如果川普上台搞贸易战，中国才需要大力刺激内需，因此如果是哈里斯上来，会不会财政刺激力度就下来了呢？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">多事之秋，看我们的封面颜色（蓝色为主黄色为辅）就应该知道，我是建议极低仓位的，等把美国大选这些事情过去，11月中旬之后看看情形再继续赌吧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我从心里是希望哈里斯赢的，因为民主党这套白左的思想和政策，扯淡至极，他们会在未来五年从内部削弱美国的实力。中美对抗我们其实很难，因为中国是制造业经济体，美国是消费型经济体，我们是乙方对抗甲方，商家对抗客户，当然难了。虽然川普干事情很无厘头，但共和党的小政府思路，限制政府权力，削减政府预算，给企业减税，其实是长期有利于美国经济的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我一直认为美国明年经济可能陷入衰退。如果是川普，很可能是美股跌20%-30%，然后就放水救市，市场就起来了。但如果是哈里斯，很可能会各种打补丁，贴膏药，掩饰经济的问题，往后再拖一段时间。最后要不然就是陷入滞涨，要不就是更严重的衰退，让美股跌的更多。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">那会儿，才是我们去美国捡钱的时候。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1730380031079","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特朗普媒体科技集团周三暴跌22%，美国大选逆转了？</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特朗普媒体科技集团周三暴跌22%，美国大选逆转了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-31 21:06 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JW6knesUmqQTBg7dGzEVSg><strong>鹤鹤有铭W</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国大选也要靠段子忽悠韭菜，昨晚（10月30日）最新消息，哈里斯在三个摇摆州民调都大幅领先川普10%以上：在亚利桑那州，提前投票的选民中，56%的人支持哈里斯，44%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，43%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，45%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JW6knesUmqQTBg7dGzEVSg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ac69a4e8213184daeb61dbc883e11ad2","relate_stocks":{"DJT":"特朗普媒体科技集团"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JW6knesUmqQTBg7dGzEVSg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121193007","content_text":"美国大选也要靠段子忽悠韭菜，昨晚（10月30日）最新消息，哈里斯在三个摇摆州民调都大幅领先川普10%以上：在亚利桑那州，提前投票的选民中，56%的人支持哈里斯，44%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，43%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，45%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普10个百分点。这些数据非常重要，因为这三个州都是关键的摇摆州。在美国，一共有七个摇摆州，它们能够决定总统大选的结果。在此前的民调中，哈里斯和特朗普在七个摇摆州里面整体打成了平手，特朗普仅在内华达州明显领先于哈里斯。另外四个摇摆州中，宾州有19张选举人票，是摇摆州中票数最多的。在过去五届总统选举中，民主党人四次拿下了宾州，只有2016年特朗普赢得了宾州，并最终赢得了美国大选。昨晚NBC新闻还更新了提前投票的数据，显示哈里斯大幅度领先，尤其是在宾州也是大幅度领先川普。反正从昨晚提前投票、最新民调，尤其是摇摆州的情况来看， 哈里斯和川普感觉是换位了。美国选总统，就跟大A坐庄炒股票差不多，段子满天飞，忽悠韭菜进去接盘，没啥是真的靠谱的，只能最后看结果。我看比较权威的民调网站RCP上，仍然是川普民调微弱领先哈里斯。不过双方确实比较接近，最后谁能拿下摇摆州，谁就能赢得大选。昨天有个朋友提醒我，要小心如果是哈里斯上来，那大选结果难产，重蹈2021年国会山骚乱的局面再次发生也不是不可能。如果真的发生，会引起美股大跌，美债反弹。昨天就开始减仓川普胜选概念股了，可惜我的TRS不能交易盘后，昨天早上起来看到DJT和coinbase高位放量收十字星就已经觉得是短期见顶信号了，要是盘后能交易昨天早上我就会把剩下仓位平掉。不过还好，昨晚开盘就把DJT和Coinbase全扔了，投机的钱，赚一点是一点，偷感十足。当然哈里斯也不是稳赢，不过至少可以把前几天川普即将登基的预期稍微扭转一下。如果哈里斯真的赢了，因为她主张加税，所以对美股利空。哈里斯不主张全面加关税，所以利好中国普通消费品出海板块。但现在有个非常奇葩的逻辑就是，如果川普上台搞贸易战，中国才需要大力刺激内需，因此如果是哈里斯上来，会不会财政刺激力度就下来了呢？多事之秋，看我们的封面颜色（蓝色为主黄色为辅）就应该知道，我是建议极低仓位的，等把美国大选这些事情过去，11月中旬之后看看情形再继续赌吧。我从心里是希望哈里斯赢的，因为民主党这套白左的思想和政策，扯淡至极，他们会在未来五年从内部削弱美国的实力。中美对抗我们其实很难，因为中国是制造业经济体，美国是消费型经济体，我们是乙方对抗甲方，商家对抗客户，当然难了。虽然川普干事情很无厘头，但共和党的小政府思路，限制政府权力，削减政府预算，给企业减税，其实是长期有利于美国经济的。我一直认为美国明年经济可能陷入衰退。如果是川普，很可能是美股跌20%-30%，然后就放水救市，市场就起来了。但如果是哈里斯，很可能会各种打补丁，贴膏药，掩饰经济的问题，往后再拖一段时间。最后要不然就是陷入滞涨，要不就是更严重的衰退，让美股跌的更多。那会儿，才是我们去美国捡钱的时候。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315443863732392,"gmtCreate":1718043492216,"gmtModify":1718043493205,"author":{"id":"230764216610312","authorId":"230764216610312","name":"ET","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442bec8a64da12f549554f4dbba50c04","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"230764216610312","idStr":"230764216610312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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justify;\">在亚利桑那州，提前投票的选民中，56%的人支持哈里斯，44%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，43%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，45%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普10个百分点。这些数据非常重要，因为这三个州都是关键的摇摆州。在美国，一共有七个摇摆州，它们能够决定总统大选的结果。在此前的民调中，哈里斯和特朗普在七个摇摆州里面整体打成了平手，特朗普仅在内华达州明显领先于哈里斯。另外四个摇摆州中，宾州有19张选举人票，是摇摆州中票数最多的。在过去五届总统选举中，民主党人四次拿下了宾州，只有2016年特朗普赢得了宾州，并最终赢得了美国大选。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">昨晚NBC新闻还更新了提前投票的数据，显示哈里斯大幅度领先，尤其是在宾州也是大幅度领先川普。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfa7179a070b76c919dd762303a159ca\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"923\"/></p><p>反正从昨晚提前投票、最新民调，尤其是摇摆州的情况来看， 哈里斯和川普感觉是换位了。美国选总统，就跟大A坐庄炒股票差不多，段子满天飞，忽悠韭菜进去接盘，没啥是真的靠谱的，只能最后看结果。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我看比较权威的民调网站RCP上，仍然是川普民调微弱领先哈里斯。不过双方确实比较接近，最后谁能拿下摇摆州，谁就能赢得大选。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3c533f359fb7ea85fe48d453989aeba9\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"598\" tg-height=\"644\"/></p><p>昨天有个朋友提醒我，要小心如果是哈里斯上来，那大选结果难产，重蹈2021年国会山骚乱的局面再次发生也不是不可能。如果真的发生，会引起美股大跌，美债反弹。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0307f5c46d3c5c3ff299577e1b32c6fd\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"241\"/></p><p>昨天就开始减仓川普胜选概念股了，可惜我的TRS不能交易盘后，昨天早上起来看到DJT和coinbase高位放量收十字星就已经觉得是短期见顶信号了，要是盘后能交易昨天早上我就会把剩下仓位平掉。不过还好，昨晚开盘就把DJT和Coinbase全扔了，投机的钱，赚一点是一点，偷感十足。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">当然哈里斯也不是稳赢，不过至少可以把前几天川普即将登基的预期稍微扭转一下。如果哈里斯真的赢了，因为她主张加税，所以对美股利空。哈里斯不主张全面加关税，所以利好中国普通消费品出海板块。但现在有个非常奇葩的逻辑就是，如果川普上台搞贸易战，中国才需要大力刺激内需，因此如果是哈里斯上来，会不会财政刺激力度就下来了呢？</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">多事之秋，看我们的封面颜色（蓝色为主黄色为辅）就应该知道，我是建议极低仓位的，等把美国大选这些事情过去，11月中旬之后看看情形再继续赌吧。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我从心里是希望哈里斯赢的，因为民主党这套白左的思想和政策，扯淡至极，他们会在未来五年从内部削弱美国的实力。中美对抗我们其实很难，因为中国是制造业经济体，美国是消费型经济体，我们是乙方对抗甲方，商家对抗客户，当然难了。虽然川普干事情很无厘头，但共和党的小政府思路，限制政府权力，削减政府预算，给企业减税，其实是长期有利于美国经济的。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">我一直认为美国明年经济可能陷入衰退。如果是川普，很可能是美股跌20%-30%，然后就放水救市，市场就起来了。但如果是哈里斯，很可能会各种打补丁，贴膏药，掩饰经济的问题，往后再拖一段时间。最后要不然就是陷入滞涨，要不就是更严重的衰退，让美股跌的更多。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">那会儿，才是我们去美国捡钱的时候。</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1730380031079","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特朗普媒体科技集团周三暴跌22%，美国大选逆转了？</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特朗普媒体科技集团周三暴跌22%，美国大选逆转了？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2024-10-31 21:06 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JW6knesUmqQTBg7dGzEVSg><strong>鹤鹤有铭W</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美国大选也要靠段子忽悠韭菜，昨晚（10月30日）最新消息，哈里斯在三个摇摆州民调都大幅领先川普10%以上：在亚利桑那州，提前投票的选民中，56%的人支持哈里斯，44%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，43%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，45%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JW6knesUmqQTBg7dGzEVSg\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ac69a4e8213184daeb61dbc883e11ad2","relate_stocks":{"DJT":"特朗普媒体科技集团"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/JW6knesUmqQTBg7dGzEVSg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1121193007","content_text":"美国大选也要靠段子忽悠韭菜，昨晚（10月30日）最新消息，哈里斯在三个摇摆州民调都大幅领先川普10%以上：在亚利桑那州，提前投票的选民中，56%的人支持哈里斯，44%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在北卡罗来纳州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，43%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普12个百分点。在佐治亚州，提前投票的选民中，55%的人支持哈里斯，45%的人支持特朗普，哈里斯领先特朗普10个百分点。这些数据非常重要，因为这三个州都是关键的摇摆州。在美国，一共有七个摇摆州，它们能够决定总统大选的结果。在此前的民调中，哈里斯和特朗普在七个摇摆州里面整体打成了平手，特朗普仅在内华达州明显领先于哈里斯。另外四个摇摆州中，宾州有19张选举人票，是摇摆州中票数最多的。在过去五届总统选举中，民主党人四次拿下了宾州，只有2016年特朗普赢得了宾州，并最终赢得了美国大选。昨晚NBC新闻还更新了提前投票的数据，显示哈里斯大幅度领先，尤其是在宾州也是大幅度领先川普。反正从昨晚提前投票、最新民调，尤其是摇摆州的情况来看， 哈里斯和川普感觉是换位了。美国选总统，就跟大A坐庄炒股票差不多，段子满天飞，忽悠韭菜进去接盘，没啥是真的靠谱的，只能最后看结果。我看比较权威的民调网站RCP上，仍然是川普民调微弱领先哈里斯。不过双方确实比较接近，最后谁能拿下摇摆州，谁就能赢得大选。昨天有个朋友提醒我，要小心如果是哈里斯上来，那大选结果难产，重蹈2021年国会山骚乱的局面再次发生也不是不可能。如果真的发生，会引起美股大跌，美债反弹。昨天就开始减仓川普胜选概念股了，可惜我的TRS不能交易盘后，昨天早上起来看到DJT和coinbase高位放量收十字星就已经觉得是短期见顶信号了，要是盘后能交易昨天早上我就会把剩下仓位平掉。不过还好，昨晚开盘就把DJT和Coinbase全扔了，投机的钱，赚一点是一点，偷感十足。当然哈里斯也不是稳赢，不过至少可以把前几天川普即将登基的预期稍微扭转一下。如果哈里斯真的赢了，因为她主张加税，所以对美股利空。哈里斯不主张全面加关税，所以利好中国普通消费品出海板块。但现在有个非常奇葩的逻辑就是，如果川普上台搞贸易战，中国才需要大力刺激内需，因此如果是哈里斯上来，会不会财政刺激力度就下来了呢？多事之秋，看我们的封面颜色（蓝色为主黄色为辅）就应该知道，我是建议极低仓位的，等把美国大选这些事情过去，11月中旬之后看看情形再继续赌吧。我从心里是希望哈里斯赢的，因为民主党这套白左的思想和政策，扯淡至极，他们会在未来五年从内部削弱美国的实力。中美对抗我们其实很难，因为中国是制造业经济体，美国是消费型经济体，我们是乙方对抗甲方，商家对抗客户，当然难了。虽然川普干事情很无厘头，但共和党的小政府思路，限制政府权力，削减政府预算，给企业减税，其实是长期有利于美国经济的。我一直认为美国明年经济可能陷入衰退。如果是川普，很可能是美股跌20%-30%，然后就放水救市，市场就起来了。但如果是哈里斯，很可能会各种打补丁，贴膏药，掩饰经济的问题，往后再拖一段时间。最后要不然就是陷入滞涨，要不就是更严重的衰退，让美股跌的更多。那会儿，才是我们去美国捡钱的时候。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":76,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315443863732392,"gmtCreate":1718043492216,"gmtModify":1718043493205,"author":{"id":"230764216610312","authorId":"230764216610312","name":"ET","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/442bec8a64da12f549554f4dbba50c04","crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"230764216610312","authorIdStr":"230764216610312"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a 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