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潘达辉
2017-08-14
建议短期回避
$京东(JD)$距离上一次财报已经上涨了38%,上次财报每股收益是预期两倍,市场看多情绪浓厚,结果走出了一波行情,本次财报只能说是及格,谈不上靓眼,介于前期涨幅过大,建议短期回避。
建议短期回避
潘达辉
2017-07-27
开往45的陌陌号即将发车
$陌陌(MOMO)$请坐稳扶好,冲破45就在今晚!
开往45的陌陌号即将发车
潘达辉
2017-05-17
495.52把所有机构预测甩在后面
$腾讯控股(00700)$金融毕业的分析师们会没事跑去看小学生们是怎么玩王者荣耀吗?
495.52把所有机构预测甩在后面
潘达辉
2017-05-16
75块附近已经加仓做空
$微博(WB)$疯狂
75块附近已经加仓做空
潘达辉
2017-05-16
坚持做空微博
$微博(WB)$ #新浪VS微博#本次财报数据平平,总体在预期之内,但本人坚持长期看空微博1、老套的广告收入依然占大头,盈利方式匮乏,想象空间小,本人实际体验干扰性大于其精准性;2、类似股票、问答等知识付费,盈利模式则是依托微博的流量去变现,很难有较大起色,这部分收入微薄难以支撑微博的体量。3、直播的风口正在逐渐褪去,像陌陌已经赚的盆满钵满,但适合微博的直播付费变现探索还没有看到什么迹象。4、我认为微博最大的优势就是流量,通过流量的各种收割来变现。社交网络最重要的数据就是看日活月活,3月月活同比增长30%,至3.40亿,16年12月的月活跃数据是3.13亿,一个季度增长8.6%,但后面的增速应该只会更慢不会更快,所以个人感觉天花板明显。5、净营收同比增长67%,净利润同比增长561%,差距如此之大说明营收的增长空间在当前模式下已十分有限,团队已开始控制和降低成本来提升利润,也佐证天花板不远了。一般什么样的公司市盈率会很高?收入增长迅猛的公司能快速降低其市盈率,要么想象空间大的公司在未来有无限机会。那么对于微博这样,可以看到天花板,盈利模式传统,目前来看想象空间十分有限的公司,市盈率这么高没有理由不空啊。
坚持做空微博
潘达辉
2017-03-17
$网易(NTES)$网易氪金游戏终将王者斩于马下
潘达辉
2017-02-09
等财报出来就算好过预期也要跌的
$网易(NTES)$不信等着瞧吧
等财报出来就算好过预期也要跌的
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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)$距离上一次财报已经上涨了38%,上次财报每股收益是预期两倍,市场看多情绪浓厚,结果走出了一波行情,本次财报只能说是及格,谈不上靓眼,介于前期涨幅过大,建议短期回避。","listText":"$京东(JD)$距离上一次财报已经上涨了38%,上次财报每股收益是预期两倍,市场看多情绪浓厚,结果走出了一波行情,本次财报只能说是及格,谈不上靓眼,介于前期涨幅过大,建议短期回避。","text":"$京东(JD)$距离上一次财报已经上涨了38%,上次财报每股收益是预期两倍,市场看多情绪浓厚,结果走出了一波行情,本次财报只能说是及格,谈不上靓眼,介于前期涨幅过大,建议短期回避。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/84508","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2136,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":78108,"gmtCreate":1501158249799,"gmtModify":1704879272682,"author":{"id":"18602478573190","authorId":"18602478573190","name":"潘达辉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/d71063e8a974fb217e84fad1a2744b67","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"18602478573190","authorIdStr":"18602478573190"},"themes":[],"title":"开往45的陌陌号即将发车","htmlText":"$陌陌(MOMO)$请坐稳扶好,冲破45就在今晚!","listText":"$陌陌(MOMO)$请坐稳扶好,冲破45就在今晚!","text":"$陌陌(MOMO)$请坐稳扶好,冲破45就在今晚!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/78108","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":59685,"gmtCreate":1495011811859,"gmtModify":1704876965253,"author":{"id":"18602478573190","authorId":"18602478573190","name":"潘达辉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/d71063e8a974fb217e84fad1a2744b67","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"18602478573190","authorIdStr":"18602478573190"},"themes":[],"title":"495.52把所有机构预测甩在后面","htmlText":"$腾讯控股(00700)$金融毕业的分析师们会没事跑去看小学生们是怎么玩王者荣耀吗?","listText":"$腾讯控股(00700)$金融毕业的分析师们会没事跑去看小学生们是怎么玩王者荣耀吗?","text":"$腾讯控股(00700)$金融毕业的分析师们会没事跑去看小学生们是怎么玩王者荣耀吗?","images":[{"img":"https://static.laohu8.com/2b42258b736db907050e6b4e87782425"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/59685","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3443479129532901","authorId":"3443479129532901","name":"Geforce2pro","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/08f7ff6c95c1bcb83d31b9116297714f","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3443479129532901","authorIdStr":"3443479129532901"},"content":"请问这个表是在哪里看到的?","text":"请问这个表是在哪里看到的?","html":"请问这个表是在哪里看到的?"}],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":59398,"gmtCreate":1494942241725,"gmtModify":1704876929862,"author":{"id":"18602478573190","authorId":"18602478573190","name":"潘达辉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/d71063e8a974fb217e84fad1a2744b67","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"18602478573190","authorIdStr":"18602478573190"},"themes":[],"title":"75块附近已经加仓做空","htmlText":"$微博(WB)$疯狂","listText":"$微博(WB)$疯狂","text":"$微博(WB)$疯狂","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/59398","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1537,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":59334,"gmtCreate":1494931513134,"gmtModify":1704876921570,"author":{"id":"18602478573190","authorId":"18602478573190","name":"潘达辉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/d71063e8a974fb217e84fad1a2744b67","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"18602478573190","authorIdStr":"18602478573190"},"themes":[],"title":"坚持做空微博","htmlText":"$微博(WB)$ #新浪VS微博#本次财报数据平平,总体在预期之内,但本人坚持长期看空微博1、老套的广告收入依然占大头,盈利方式匮乏,想象空间小,本人实际体验干扰性大于其精准性;2、类似股票、问答等知识付费,盈利模式则是依托微博的流量去变现,很难有较大起色,这部分收入微薄难以支撑微博的体量。3、直播的风口正在逐渐褪去,像陌陌已经赚的盆满钵满,但适合微博的直播付费变现探索还没有看到什么迹象。4、我认为微博最大的优势就是流量,通过流量的各种收割来变现。社交网络最重要的数据就是看日活月活,3月月活同比增长30%,至3.40亿,16年12月的月活跃数据是3.13亿,一个季度增长8.6%,但后面的增速应该只会更慢不会更快,所以个人感觉天花板明显。5、净营收同比增长67%,净利润同比增长561%,差距如此之大说明营收的增长空间在当前模式下已十分有限,团队已开始控制和降低成本来提升利润,也佐证天花板不远了。一般什么样的公司市盈率会很高?收入增长迅猛的公司能快速降低其市盈率,要么想象空间大的公司在未来有无限机会。那么对于微博这样,可以看到天花板,盈利模式传统,目前来看想象空间十分有限的公司,市盈率这么高没有理由不空啊。","listText":"$微博(WB)$ #新浪VS微博#本次财报数据平平,总体在预期之内,但本人坚持长期看空微博1、老套的广告收入依然占大头,盈利方式匮乏,想象空间小,本人实际体验干扰性大于其精准性;2、类似股票、问答等知识付费,盈利模式则是依托微博的流量去变现,很难有较大起色,这部分收入微薄难以支撑微博的体量。3、直播的风口正在逐渐褪去,像陌陌已经赚的盆满钵满,但适合微博的直播付费变现探索还没有看到什么迹象。4、我认为微博最大的优势就是流量,通过流量的各种收割来变现。社交网络最重要的数据就是看日活月活,3月月活同比增长30%,至3.40亿,16年12月的月活跃数据是3.13亿,一个季度增长8.6%,但后面的增速应该只会更慢不会更快,所以个人感觉天花板明显。5、净营收同比增长67%,净利润同比增长561%,差距如此之大说明营收的增长空间在当前模式下已十分有限,团队已开始控制和降低成本来提升利润,也佐证天花板不远了。一般什么样的公司市盈率会很高?收入增长迅猛的公司能快速降低其市盈率,要么想象空间大的公司在未来有无限机会。那么对于微博这样,可以看到天花板,盈利模式传统,目前来看想象空间十分有限的公司,市盈率这么高没有理由不空啊。","text":"$微博(WB)$ 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