之戉
2019-07-17
$黄金主连(GCmain)$
这波到多少？因为什么涨？
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浪啊里个浪
2019-07-18
浪啊里个浪
但是会不会到1500不好说，个人认为会到1460附近可能就结束了。顶和底都是走出来的，去预测没有意义，形态没走坏之前寻找支撑做多就可以了
之戉
:
是的，明天找机会了
浪啊里个浪
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之戉
:
客气，睡吧，明早起来找机会加仓
之戉
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浪啊里个浪
:
谢谢你！今晚学习了不少
浪啊里个浪
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之戉
:
上周五和这周一高点附近，只要明天不跌破这一线，那这几周的调整就是彻底结束了
之戉
:
对的，底和顶是预测不了的，我最想问的，支撑大概在哪里。
浪啊里个浪
2019-07-17
浪啊里个浪
个人认为会到1450上方，日线连阳到下周上半周。中间短线会回调，但幅度有限。日线，8小时，四小时全线共振，幅度就不会小。连续近三周的调整介绍，新一轮上涨开启
浪啊里个浪
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之戉
:
大概率会，利用利好消息出货再常见不过了
之戉
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浪啊里个浪
:
5浪已经开始，那么月底降息兑现不会下跌吗？
浪啊里个浪
回复
之戉
:
确实压不住，日线必有新高。我这么说还有一个原因就是周线级别的形态，如果从去年1160到1340算第一浪上涨，然后1340到1260算二浪回调，五月份1260之后的上涨就是第三浪上涨，也就是五浪形态的主升浪，力度最强，涨幅也会最大，也是最容易走出复杂形态的一浪。周线级别大浪里面将会包含日线级别小浪，今天就是周线主升浪日线第四浪回调结束，第五浪上涨开启
之戉
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浪啊里个浪
:
你这么说，我感觉1445都压不住了，直接到1500去了。你说的连续三周调整，这周算第三周了吗？
浪啊里个浪
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之戉
:
之前涨得太快需要回调整固。然后1440到1380之间高位整理，虽然整理区间很大，但是日线多头趋势形态都没有走坏。下跌的时候需要走几天才能到位，而上涨往往一天就能到位，这说明下方买盘优势大于卖盘。而且上周四下跌就没有跌破1400，周五更是阳线收线，整体价格重心已经明显上移，已经具备了进一步上涨的动能。这周周一周二由于美元指数反弹过大，黄金被拖累，进一步下跌洗盘，美元今天疲软，黄金多头就压不住了
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浪啊里个浪
2019-07-18
浪啊里个浪
另外看看黄金etf持仓变化就会发现1380以后就没有出现大规模筹码派发情况，相反一直在做高抛低吸，所以这波上涨并没有结束。
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