$天然气主连(NGm_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2019-10-05

$天然气主连(NGmain)$ $WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 对于天然气我个人觉得大家可能过于乐观，之前我统计过近10年天然气走势，其中在美国寒冷天气(通常1月份)，有6次较全年价格升高，2次反而价格下跌，2次基本持平。其中3次12月份价格处在全年比较低位。我判断除了库存，跟美国天气有极大关系，这10年中有多次出现暖冬情况。并且天然气库存对价格影响具有滞后性，我认为到年底赚的概率还是很大的，至于能否大赚这个还不好说，建议大家还是理性开仓，见好就收，忌重仓。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

Huang Sillei
2019-10-05
Huang Sillei
也不要太担心，不放心可以去掉一部分反做，拿长期合约或者3倍，牢记切勿在十分有把握的情况下重仓，一般上车1/3仓即可，这样后面行情不对还会有资金来反做或者拉价格，虽然利润少点，但爆仓几率会小很多。除了止损，我们只要看好盈亏比就好。一次暴盈确实很爽，但一次暴亏你就没得玩了，珍重
Song_3918
2019-10-05
Song_3918
我目前做多，我的想法是目前库存确实比去年高，但是目前的天然气井比去年少了20%多，并且油井也少了很多。所以在总消耗量不变的情况下，供应会紧张。至少也是前几年3以上的价格。
大涨365
2019-10-05
大涨365
控制仓位是对的，但是今年暖冬概率非常小
小川你好
2019-10-05
小川你好
我也想不通为啥这货就跟白送钱一样 [摊手]
不凡_9684
2019-10-05
不凡_9684
已重仓被套的怎么办
风少被占了
2019-10-07
风少被占了
嗯嗯

发表看法

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[摊手]","text":"我也想不通为啥这货就跟白送钱一样 [摊手]","html":"我也想不通为啥这货就跟白送钱一样 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