陈青牛牛
2022-06-15
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看
@期权小班长:
期权大单异动:中概股现在还能买吗?
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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a></p><h4>首先<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a></h4><p>成分主要为港股,包括美团阿里京东等港股科技巨头。虽然是港股ETF,但主要成分公司同时也在美股上市,方向判断具有一定的参考性。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45657ed0a3799406a5f1c7bfcec80850\" tg-width=\"1049\" tg-height=\"1873\">异动链中最瞩目的百万级别成交对分别为一对同时间下单的call、一对put价差组合和一个单独的put大单。</p><ul> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2033.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20220715 33.0 CALL$</a></li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2036.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20220715 36.0 CALL$</a></li> \n</ul><p>以及</p><ul> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2032.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20220715 32.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2029.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20220715 29.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p>和单独的put大单<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020230120%2034.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20230120 34.0 PUT$</a></p><p>之所以说第一对call不是价差组合,因为从历史成交来看行权价为33的这张call明显是平仓。也就是说第一对组合存在获利了结的目的。</p><p>第二对put组合,昨天是新开仓,无巨额历史成交量,所以倾向于是价差策略。推测目标价看到32以下29以上。</p><p>而第三张大单就非常直白了,交易者直接选择put做空,看到34以下。</p><p>所以综上推测,近期中概会有一定的回调出现。</p><h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a></h4><p>港股和美股成分混合的KWEB期权异动有比较强烈的看涨倾向。不过因为成交量比较活跃,新开仓大单比较少,难以区分大单是开仓还是平仓。不过整体方向上,没有put。几对同时间下单的call类似价差组合。因为昨天涨势很猛,所以KWEB call价差组合的行权价选择相比FXI要保守很多。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e71108ae6c75c0b7a98ff2fa341923fb\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"2085\"></p><h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a></h4><p>德银沪深300是成交量最大的A股指数etf之一,它的期权大单方向也很有参考性。和KWEB一样,ASHR偏向看涨,区别在于看涨下注以平价call为主。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3386b3dd6f8550cd6e6da0d8f24257\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1905\">不过我比较在意的是6月7日的宽跨大单组合:</p><ul> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ASHR%2020220715%2029.0%20PUT\">$ASHR 20220715 29.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ASHR%2020220715%2033.0%20CALL\">$ASHR 20220715 33.0 CALL$</a></li> \n</ul><p>成交额分别为221万和386万。这笔组合的下单者在下注近期见顶后波动剧烈,所以不猜方向,索性两头下注。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d254f2e1e7a1e78401f45f92fcbceb\" tg-width=\"1140\" tg-height=\"916\"></p><h4>总结:</h4><p>近期反弹主要受解封的政策面影响,而能否反弹则需要衡量上方压力以及其他不利因素影响,比如今天疫情有起的苗头。而且我觉得就算没有额外不利因素影响,想要突破目前这个位置也比较困难,不太容易涨上去,从这一角度考虑期权策略,我觉得做call价差策略是比较合适的。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>CPI之前,市场交易还是很清淡,唯独中概除外。盘前蚂蚁公司在上市和不上市之间反复横跳,带领一众中概股的走势上蹿下跳,场景蔚为壮观。</p><p>昨天收盘阿里股价涨幅14%,股价接近3月反弹高点水平,其他中概股也差不多如此,所以目前这个位置的上行阻力较强,回调也是在预期之中,只是没想到会发生如此戏剧性的回调事件。</p><p>从期权异动方面也可以印证一二。个股期权多空方向比较混乱,建议参考三大中概ETF的期权异动:<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a> <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a></p><h4>首先<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FXI\">$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$</a></h4><p>成分主要为港股,包括美团阿里京东等港股科技巨头。虽然是港股ETF,但主要成分公司同时也在美股上市,方向判断具有一定的参考性。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45657ed0a3799406a5f1c7bfcec80850\" tg-width=\"1049\" tg-height=\"1873\">异动链中最瞩目的百万级别成交对分别为一对同时间下单的call、一对put价差组合和一个单独的put大单。</p><ul> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2033.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20220715 33.0 CALL$</a></li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2036.0%20CALL\">$FXI 20220715 36.0 CALL$</a></li> \n</ul><p>以及</p><ul> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2032.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20220715 32.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020220715%2029.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20220715 29.0 PUT$</a></li> \n</ul><p>和单独的put大单<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/FXI%2020230120%2034.0%20PUT\">$FXI 20230120 34.0 PUT$</a></p><p>之所以说第一对call不是价差组合,因为从历史成交来看行权价为33的这张call明显是平仓。也就是说第一对组合存在获利了结的目的。</p><p>第二对put组合,昨天是新开仓,无巨额历史成交量,所以倾向于是价差策略。推测目标价看到32以下29以上。</p><p>而第三张大单就非常直白了,交易者直接选择put做空,看到34以下。</p><p>所以综上推测,近期中概会有一定的回调出现。</p><h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/KWEB\">$中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$</a></h4><p>港股和美股成分混合的KWEB期权异动有比较强烈的看涨倾向。不过因为成交量比较活跃,新开仓大单比较少,难以区分大单是开仓还是平仓。不过整体方向上,没有put。几对同时间下单的call类似价差组合。因为昨天涨势很猛,所以KWEB call价差组合的行权价选择相比FXI要保守很多。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e71108ae6c75c0b7a98ff2fa341923fb\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"2085\"></p><h4><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ASHR\">$德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$</a></h4><p>德银沪深300是成交量最大的A股指数etf之一,它的期权大单方向也很有参考性。和KWEB一样,ASHR偏向看涨,区别在于看涨下注以平价call为主。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d3386b3dd6f8550cd6e6da0d8f24257\" tg-width=\"1170\" tg-height=\"1905\">不过我比较在意的是6月7日的宽跨大单组合:</p><ul> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ASHR%2020220715%2029.0%20PUT\">$ASHR 20220715 29.0 PUT$</a></li> \n <li><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/ASHR%2020220715%2033.0%20CALL\">$ASHR 20220715 33.0 CALL$</a></li> \n</ul><p>成交额分别为221万和386万。这笔组合的下单者在下注近期见顶后波动剧烈,所以不猜方向,索性两头下注。<img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d254f2e1e7a1e78401f45f92fcbceb\" tg-width=\"1140\" tg-height=\"916\"></p><h4>总结:</h4><p>近期反弹主要受解封的政策面影响,而能否反弹则需要衡量上方压力以及其他不利因素影响,比如今天疫情有起的苗头。而且我觉得就算没有额外不利因素影响,想要突破目前这个位置也比较困难,不太容易涨上去,从这一角度考虑期权策略,我觉得做call价差策略是比较合适的。</p></body></html>","text":"CPI之前,市场交易还是很清淡,唯独中概除外。盘前蚂蚁公司在上市和不上市之间反复横跳,带领一众中概股的走势上蹿下跳,场景蔚为壮观。 昨天收盘阿里股价涨幅14%,股价接近3月反弹高点水平,其他中概股也差不多如此,所以目前这个位置的上行阻力较强,回调也是在预期之中,只是没想到会发生如此戏剧性的回调事件。 从期权异动方面也可以印证一二。个股期权多空方向比较混乱,建议参考三大中概ETF的期权异动:$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$ $德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$ $中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$ 首先$中国大盘股ETF-iShares(FXI)$ 成分主要为港股,包括美团阿里京东等港股科技巨头。虽然是港股ETF,但主要成分公司同时也在美股上市,方向判断具有一定的参考性。异动链中最瞩目的百万级别成交对分别为一对同时间下单的call、一对put价差组合和一个单独的put大单。 $FXI 20220715 33.0 CALL$ $FXI 20220715 36.0 CALL$ 以及 $FXI 20220715 32.0 PUT$ $FXI 20220715 29.0 PUT$ 和单独的put大单$FXI 20230120 34.0 PUT$ 之所以说第一对call不是价差组合,因为从历史成交来看行权价为33的这张call明显是平仓。也就是说第一对组合存在获利了结的目的。 第二对put组合,昨天是新开仓,无巨额历史成交量,所以倾向于是价差策略。推测目标价看到32以下29以上。 而第三张大单就非常直白了,交易者直接选择put做空,看到34以下。 所以综上推测,近期中概会有一定的回调出现。 $中国海外互联网ETF-KraneShares(KWEB)$ 港股和美股成分混合的KWEB期权异动有比较强烈的看涨倾向。不过因为成交量比较活跃,新开仓大单比较少,难以区分大单是开仓还是平仓。不过整体方向上,没有put。几对同时间下单的call类似价差组合。因为昨天涨势很猛,所以KWEB call价差组合的行权价选择相比FXI要保守很多。 $德银沪深300指数ETF(ASHR)$ 德银沪深300是成交量最大的A股指数etf之一,它的期权大单方向也很有参考性。和KWEB一样,ASHR偏向看涨,区别在于看涨下注以平价call为主。不过我比较在意的是6月7日的宽跨大单组合: $ASHR 20220715 29.0 PUT$ $ASHR 20220715 33.0 CALL$ 成交额分别为221万和386万。这笔组合的下单者在下注近期见顶后波动剧烈,所以不猜方向,索性两头下注。 总结: 近期反弹主要受解封的政策面影响,而能否反弹则需要衡量上方压力以及其他不利因素影响,比如今天疫情有起的苗头。而且我觉得就算没有额外不利因素影响,想要突破目前这个位置也比较困难,不太容易涨上去,从这一角度考虑期权策略,我觉得做call价差策略是比较合适的。","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680326089","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["09988","JD","BABA","KWEB","ASHR","FXI"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1977,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":334,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":25,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/680783597"}
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