$蔚来(NIO)$蔚_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

松果爸

2022-03-06

$蔚来(NIO)$蔚来年销量到20万，一定会实现盈利。

那么这道数学题就很简单了，保守一点：

2022年:

ES8+ES6+EC6+ES7：12万

ET7：2万

ET5：2.5万

总计：16.5万

2023年：

ES8+ES6+EC6+ES7：15万

ET7：3.5万

ET5：12万

总计：30.5万

很清楚了。

而且，这还没算有些固定投入这两年投出去后，后续成本的降低，比如换电站和牛屋等。另外他们的新品牌我还没认知，也先不算。

所以，即使最保守的估计，2023年上半年，蔚来也一定会开始盈利，很有可能是二季度财报。这是确定的事情。

现在空头继续砸，也就是配合着一些宏观和微观消息，欺负欺负小白罢了。

蔚来回港上市，股价会涨吗？

蔚来宣布已通过香港交易所聆讯，获得在港交所主板二次上市的原则上批准，并已发布相关上市文件。本次上市采用介绍上市的方式，不涉及新股发行及资金募集。公司计划于2022年3月10日开始挂牌交易，股票代码为“9866”。蔚来回港上市，对股价会有利好吗？

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

Ken9919
2022-03-06
Ken9919
2022ET7太太保守了，你的数据乘2以上
- kkltycm回复我希望有勇气:
  有钱人遍地都是…
- 樱桃巴比:
  产能跟上，就不止这点销量，但同时也会抢一部分8667的用户
- 我希望有勇气:
  你是疯了，et744万起步啊，你以为真的那么多有钱人
JaneLiu0128
2022-03-10
JaneLiu0128
大哥别光喝酒，多吃点菜
KOBE8
2022-03-06
KOBE8
蔚来即便今年20万的销量也挡不住下跌，销量只是股价的一个影响因素而已，蔚来根本没有安全边际
无酒亦醉
2022-03-06
无酒亦醉
ET5三个月交不了2万5。今年最大的看点是合肥江淮蔚来工厂啥时候能开双班，不开每月最多1万出头，今年16万销量都难。
carlzheng
2022-03-06
carlzheng
谁是小白，你可真得反思一下。
- carlzheng回复大爷还是你大爷:
  看来你得被市场好好教育才行。放心，有的是时间。
- 大爷还是你大爷:
  我觉得你就是小白，还不自知
carlzheng
2022-03-06
carlzheng
盈利了以后，估值就可以4，500亿美金，甚至更高么？麻烦学习一下股票的估值方法。

发表看法

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