年初也是你们说衰退的_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2023-02-01

年初也是你们说衰退的风险，把市场吓得屁滚尿流，现在又想这样做空赚钱，乱中获利，左右都是你们说的，脑子神经混乱

小摩：2023年市场最大风险是经济不衰退

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大王834111
2023-02-01
大王834111
不错
dingdibg
2023-02-01
dingdibg
感谢分享
云中梧桐
2023-02-01
云中梧桐
[微笑]

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Bell表示，目前市场面临的最大威胁是，如果经济衰退没有成为现实，将迫使美联储继续保持鹰派立场，这将迫使美联储加息幅度超过预期以遏制通胀。如果美联储不能像市场预期的那样降息，股市和债市都会下跌。自去年3月以来，美联储一直在积极加息，以遏制通胀。一系列经济数据表明，物价正在降温，但由于紧缩的货币政策导致经济放缓，市场正在为衰退做准备。标普500指数和纳斯达克指数过去一个月分别上涨近6%和11%，因为华尔街预计美联储将扭转为应对经济低迷而采取的紧缩政策。但如果美国经济仍未衰退，工资增长保持在高位，那么美联储将不会像预期的那样降息，而是不得不在今年下半年恢复加息，加息幅度将高于华尔街目前的预期。但Bell表示，小摩基本预测2023年将出现经济衰退，这将缓和工资压力，那么美联储将在2024年降息。“我最乐观的猜测是，美联储将在2024年底前将利率降至2.5%左右”。美联储为期两天的政策会议将于本周三结束，预计加息幅度将是近一年来最小的一次。本次预计加息25个基点，今年晚些时候将再加息25个基点，市场普遍预计这将使美联储利率升至4.75%-5.00%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1417,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":103,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":7852902,"commentId":"7852902","gmtCreate":1675258418398,"gmtModify":1675258431542,"authorId":4126081247367592,"author":{"id":4126081247367592,"idStr":"4126081247367592","authorId":4126081247367592,"name":"大王834111","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68691e9564870606bffbc2b20524e550","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":622102476,"objectIdStr":"622102476","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"不错","text":"不错","html":"不错","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":7852868,"commentId":"7852868","gmtCreate":1675257281132,"gmtModify":1675257294422,"authorId":3494827487225209,"author":{"id":3494827487225209,"idStr":"3494827487225209","authorId":3494827487225209,"name":"dingdibg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7b17454644aee77f68e0e7df7924e3e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":622102476,"objectIdStr":"622102476","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"感谢分享","text":"感谢分享","html":"感谢分享","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":7852861,"commentId":"7852861","gmtCreate":1675256917348,"gmtModify":1675256930577,"authorId":3570100124824816,"author":{"id":3570100124824816,"idStr":"3570100124824816","authorId":3570100124824816,"name":"云中梧桐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d6b9da5ab9b1439a5866b2dda18152e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":622102476,"objectIdStr":"622102476","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/622102476"}