梓坚
11-18 23:21
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@期权小班长：
11.22机构备兑一览：TSLA、NVDA
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<a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>上周机构备兑特斯拉的sell call行权价是340，对冲区间是340～375，周五收盘320成功低于340。</p><p>本周备兑期权行权价是330，对冲区间是330-360，也就是机构预期本周股价最高不会超过上周高点：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20241122 330.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020241122%20330.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 330.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20241122 360.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020241122%20360.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 360.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a21bae3c17c3a4c47f91c0c60ab8129\" tg-width=\"2420\" tg-height=\"250\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>本周财报可能比较平淡。上周四英伟达赌财报的机构期权大单开始进场，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/371067490537504\" title=\"先头部队将目标放于160之上\" target=\"_blank\">先头部队将目标放于160之上</a>。因为周五市场低迷，第二批进场大单预期有所下降，目标150。</p><p>首先来看一下每周备兑roll仓机构，他们认为英伟达本周股价在150以下，对冲区间是150～162.5：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241122 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241122%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241122 150.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>买<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241122 162.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241122%20162.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241122 162.5 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7002d0f936c1237cf873c67a1a02f9\" tg-width=\"2420\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>然后是第二批进场大单。策略分别是价差，roll仓，以及2亿哥减仓：</p><p>1、buy 140 sell 150悄悄开仓：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 140.0 CALL$</a> ，成交2万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 150.0 CALL$</a> ，成交2万手</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9555aa3150db9ba9ab4f0355d8265ed\" tg-width=\"2038\" tg-height=\"1442\"></p><p>不知道是哪家机构交易的，通过分时图交易量可以看到，毫无大单痕迹，检索线索只有大批量组合成交，买入非常低调，可信度较高，感觉是本周财报答案。</p><p>2、场内交易大单roll仓170：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>平仓 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20160.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 160.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>roll买入 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250117 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250117%20170.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250117 170.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5517650468cba1cd767b533bf5b982c6\" tg-width=\"2422\" tg-height=\"166\"></p><p>上周我复盘了coin的roll仓情况，根据之前经验这次roll仓不好也不坏，更符合震荡拖时间这种情况，即股价涨了波动率降低，于看涨期权有磨损所以要roll仓。</p><p>3、2亿哥减仓：</p><p>2亿哥周四周五分别减仓了2.6万手跟1.75万手135call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 135.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20135.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 135.0 CALL$</a> ，还剩12.4万手左右。</p><p>按买入成本价18计算，135call需要股价涨到153刚好盈亏平衡，考虑财报前期权价格有波动率托底，财报后波动率会下降，如果预期财报股价150的话，提前减仓也合理。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/178cd0043a76b3921a0fb5f988326ec0\" tg-width=\"1988\" tg-height=\"1434\"></p><p>初步总结本周财报看多，很适合做空波动率。明天看看第三批进场的人是什么判断。</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"特斯拉\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> </p><p>上周机构备兑特斯拉的sell call行权价是340，对冲区间是340～375，周五收盘320成功低于340。</p><p>本周备兑期权行权价是330，对冲区间是330-360，也就是机构预期本周股价最高不会超过上周高点：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20241122 330.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020241122%20330.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 330.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"TSLA 20241122 360.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSLA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA%2020241122%20360.0%20CALL\">$TSLA 20241122 360.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a21bae3c17c3a4c47f91c0c60ab8129\" tg-width=\"2420\" tg-height=\"250\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>本周财报可能比较平淡。上周四英伟达赌财报的机构期权大单开始进场，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/371067490537504\" title=\"先头部队将目标放于160之上\" target=\"_blank\">先头部队将目标放于160之上</a>。因为周五市场低迷，第二批进场大单预期有所下降，目标150。</p><p>首先来看一下每周备兑roll仓机构，他们认为英伟达本周股价在150以下，对冲区间是150～162.5：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241122 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241122%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241122 150.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>买<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241122 162.5 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241122%20162.5%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241122 162.5 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd7002d0f936c1237cf873c67a1a02f9\" tg-width=\"2420\" tg-height=\"254\"></p><p>然后是第二批进场大单。策略分别是价差，roll仓，以及2亿哥减仓：</p><p>1、buy 140 sell 150悄悄开仓：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20140.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 140.0 CALL$</a> ，成交2万手</p></li><li><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 150.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20150.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 150.0 CALL$</a> ，成交2万手</p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a9555aa3150db9ba9ab4f0355d8265ed\" tg-width=\"2038\" tg-height=\"1442\"></p><p>不知道是哪家机构交易的，通过分时图交易量可以看到，毫无大单痕迹，检索线索只有大批量组合成交，买入非常低调，可信度较高，感觉是本周财报答案。</p><p>2、场内交易大单roll仓170：</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>平仓 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 160.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20160.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 160.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>roll买入 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250117 170.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250117%20170.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250117 170.0 CALL$</a> </p></li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5517650468cba1cd767b533bf5b982c6\" tg-width=\"2422\" tg-height=\"166\"></p><p>上周我复盘了coin的roll仓情况，根据之前经验这次roll仓不好也不坏，更符合震荡拖时间这种情况，即股价涨了波动率降低，于看涨期权有磨损所以要roll仓。</p><p>3、2亿哥减仓：</p><p>2亿哥周四周五分别减仓了2.6万手跟1.75万手135call <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 135.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20135.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 135.0 CALL$</a> ，还剩12.4万手左右。</p><p>按买入成本价18计算，135call需要股价涨到153刚好盈亏平衡，考虑财报前期权价格有波动率托底，财报后波动率会下降，如果预期财报股价150的话，提前减仓也合理。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/178cd0043a76b3921a0fb5f988326ec0\" tg-width=\"1988\" tg-height=\"1434\"></p><p>初步总结本周财报看多，很适合做空波动率。明天看看第三批进场的人是什么判断。</p></body></html>","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 上周机构备兑特斯拉的sell call行权价是340，对冲区间是340～375，周五收盘320成功低于340。 本周备兑期权行权价是330，对冲区间是330-360，也就是机构预期本周股价最高不会超过上周高点： 卖 $TSLA 20241122 330.0 CALL$ 买 $TSLA 20241122 360.0 CALL$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ 本周财报可能比较平淡。上周四英伟达赌财报的机构期权大单开始进场，先头部队将目标放于160之上。因为周五市场低迷，第二批进场大单预期有所下降，目标150。 首先来看一下每周备兑roll仓机构，他们认为英伟达本周股价在150以下，对冲区间是150～162.5： 卖 $NVDA 20241122 150.0 CALL$ 买$NVDA 20241122 162.5 CALL$ 然后是第二批进场大单。策略分别是价差，roll仓，以及2亿哥减仓： 1、buy 140 sell 150悄悄开仓： 买 $NVDA 20241220 140.0 CALL$ ，成交2万手 卖 $NVDA 20241220 150.0 CALL$ ，成交2万手 不知道是哪家机构交易的，通过分时图交易量可以看到，毫无大单痕迹，检索线索只有大批量组合成交，买入非常低调，可信度较高，感觉是本周财报答案。 2、场内交易大单roll仓170： 平仓 $NVDA 20241220 160.0 CALL$ roll买入 $NVDA 20250117 170.0 CALL$ 上周我复盘了coin的roll仓情况，根据之前经验这次roll仓不好也不坏，更符合震荡拖时间这种情况，即股价涨了波动率降低，于看涨期权有磨损所以要roll仓。 3、2亿哥减仓： 2亿哥周四周五分别减仓了2.6万手跟1.75万手135call $NVDA 20241220 135.0 CALL$ ，还剩12.4万手左右。 按买入成本价18计算，135call需要股价涨到153刚好盈亏平衡，考虑财报前期权价格有波动率托底，财报后波动率会下降，如果预期财报股价150的话，提前减仓也合理。 初步总结本周财报看多，很适合做空波动率。明天看看第三批进场的人是什么判断。","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/372424062820368","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","TSLA","NVDA 20241220 135.0 CALL","NVDA 20241220 160.0 CALL","NVDA 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