价值投资为王
11-14
嘿,还真红了!
$京东(JD)$
@价值投资为王:
超预期的京东,怎么还大跌了?
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你看好哪几家?周四美股盘前,各热门中概表现不一,其中网易股价上扬,京东股价下跌,你会选择怎么操作?","image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7596ca2628000615861bc24d5fbd331c"}],"images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8a34e4545cd2ffd58322521b5b75fa","width":"1086","height":"373"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c9d96e70a109ca70cea47fed753e34","width":"1300","height":"835"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a80b6ae38ccc26c422255b90ba0d51e0","width":"1234","height":"556"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7d0f4b58c5917d10fb3ef41112eb3c5","width":"1233","height":"567"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5469037a19dae5af32bed8467481755d","width":"1243","height":"567"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36c6aac2babad95d07dede11062d9949","width":"915","height":"379"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e21793e3a2315cfef4e2d38e21bf6be2","width":"1324","height":"633"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/767658a704a50c3cc874b11d596536ba","width":"1317","height":"618"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1716fef071b238dd290a034c3ec33d99","width":"561","height":"571"}],"coverImages":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8a34e4545cd2ffd58322521b5b75fa","width":"1086","height":"373"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c9d96e70a109ca70cea47fed753e34","width":"1300","height":"835"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a80b6ae38ccc26c422255b90ba0d51e0","width":"1234","height":"556"}],"title":"超预期的京东,怎么还大跌了?","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>刚刚,京东发布了三季报,业绩全面超预期:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8a34e4545cd2ffd58322521b5b75fa\" tg-width=\"1086\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p>但令人匪夷所思的是,京东盘前股价却一度大跌近5%: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c9d96e70a109ca70cea47fed753e34\" tg-width=\"1300\" tg-height=\"835\"></p>\n<p>发生了什么?为何超预期的财报会引来大跌?</p>\n<p>从收入上看,京东三季度为2603.87亿,同比增长5.1%,略超分析师一致预期的2597.3亿:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a80b6ae38ccc26c422255b90ba0d51e0\" tg-width=\"1234\" tg-height=\"556\"></p>\n<p>分业务来看,三季度京东零售营收2249.86亿,同比增长6.1%,略超分析师预期的2243亿:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7d0f4b58c5917d10fb3ef41112eb3c5\" tg-width=\"1233\" tg-height=\"567\"></p>\n<p>京东物流三季度营收为444亿,同比增长6.6%,略低于分析师预期的449亿:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5469037a19dae5af32bed8467481755d\" tg-width=\"1243\" tg-height=\"567\"></p>\n<p>新业务(达达、京东产发、京喜及海外业务)营收49.7亿,同比下滑26%,但略超分析师预期的47.1亿。</p>\n<p>若安排产品类型划分,三季度电子产品及家用电器营收1225.6亿,同比增长2.7%,略超分析师预期的2035亿;日用百货营收820.5亿,同比增长8%,不及分析师预期的827亿;广告及物流收入同样不及分析师预期:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36c6aac2babad95d07dede11062d9949\" tg-width=\"915\" tg-height=\"379\"></p>\n<p>由此来看,虽然京东整体营收超预期,但主要靠电子产品及家用电器带动,其他业务悉数低于预期。</p>\n<p>利润方面,三季度毛利率为17.3%,创历史记录:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e21793e3a2315cfef4e2d38e21bf6be2\" tg-width=\"1324\" tg-height=\"633\"></p>\n<p>经营利润率4.6%,同样创记录:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/767658a704a50c3cc874b11d596536ba\" tg-width=\"1317\" tg-height=\"618\"></p>\n<p>净利润117.3亿,同比增长48%,调整后每股收益8.68元,高于分析师预期的7.42亿。</p>\n<p>由此来看,京东三季度盈利状况大超预期。</p>\n<p>不过,从细分业务的利润情况来看,三季度超预期的主要动力来自物流,当季经营利润20.86亿,经营利润率达到4.7%,远高于去年同期的0.7%;而核心主业京东零售三季度经营利润率为5.2%,与去年同期持平:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1716fef071b238dd290a034c3ec33d99\" tg-width=\"561\" tg-height=\"571\"></p>\n<p>因此,京东三季度在利润端方面也略有瑕疵。</p>\n<p>最令人意外的地方或在于费用端,今年三季度,京东销售费用达到100亿,同比增长25.7%;研发费用44亿,同比增长16%,仅行政费用同比下滑6%。</p>\n<p>销售费用和研发费用重回高增长,凸显京东增长压力较大,如果四季度营收增速不回升,京东利润高速增长阶段或告一段落。</p>\n<p>另外,从利润角度看,虽然三季度净利润同比增长48%,但主要来自毛利率的提升,如今年三季度,京东营收增长5.1%,但营业成本却只增加了3.1%。</p>\n<p>京东是如何控制住商品成本的?财报中没有给出解释,个人猜测,或跟当下通缩大环境有关,各类产品价格普遍下降。</p>\n<p>通缩助力能受益多久犹未可知,从估值上看,京东市盈率不过9倍,并不算贵,考虑到四季度开始的家电以旧换新活动以及京东物流接入淘宝,京东的好日子还能过一段时间。</p>\n<p>加上京东新批准的50亿美元回购计划,或许能上演今日腾讯财报后低开高走的局面。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a></p>\n<p> </p>\n<p> </p>\n<p> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>刚刚,京东发布了三季报,业绩全面超预期:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d8a34e4545cd2ffd58322521b5b75fa\" tg-width=\"1086\" tg-height=\"373\"></p>\n<p>但令人匪夷所思的是,京东盘前股价却一度大跌近5%: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">$京东(JD)$</a></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b1c9d96e70a109ca70cea47fed753e34\" tg-width=\"1300\" tg-height=\"835\"></p>\n<p>发生了什么?为何超预期的财报会引来大跌?</p>\n<p>从收入上看,京东三季度为2603.87亿,同比增长5.1%,略超分析师一致预期的2597.3亿:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a80b6ae38ccc26c422255b90ba0d51e0\" tg-width=\"1234\" tg-height=\"556\"></p>\n<p>分业务来看,三季度京东零售营收2249.86亿,同比增长6.1%,略超分析师预期的2243亿:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7d0f4b58c5917d10fb3ef41112eb3c5\" tg-width=\"1233\" tg-height=\"567\"></p>\n<p>京东物流三季度营收为444亿,同比增长6.6%,略低于分析师预期的449亿:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5469037a19dae5af32bed8467481755d\" tg-width=\"1243\" tg-height=\"567\"></p>\n<p>新业务(达达、京东产发、京喜及海外业务)营收49.7亿,同比下滑26%,但略超分析师预期的47.1亿。</p>\n<p>若安排产品类型划分,三季度电子产品及家用电器营收1225.6亿,同比增长2.7%,略超分析师预期的2035亿;日用百货营收820.5亿,同比增长8%,不及分析师预期的827亿;广告及物流收入同样不及分析师预期:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36c6aac2babad95d07dede11062d9949\" tg-width=\"915\" tg-height=\"379\"></p>\n<p>由此来看,虽然京东整体营收超预期,但主要靠电子产品及家用电器带动,其他业务悉数低于预期。</p>\n<p>利润方面,三季度毛利率为17.3%,创历史记录:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e21793e3a2315cfef4e2d38e21bf6be2\" tg-width=\"1324\" tg-height=\"633\"></p>\n<p>经营利润率4.6%,同样创记录:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/767658a704a50c3cc874b11d596536ba\" tg-width=\"1317\" tg-height=\"618\"></p>\n<p>净利润117.3亿,同比增长48%,调整后每股收益8.68元,高于分析师预期的7.42亿。</p>\n<p>由此来看,京东三季度盈利状况大超预期。</p>\n<p>不过,从细分业务的利润情况来看,三季度超预期的主要动力来自物流,当季经营利润20.86亿,经营利润率达到4.7%,远高于去年同期的0.7%;而核心主业京东零售三季度经营利润率为5.2%,与去年同期持平:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1716fef071b238dd290a034c3ec33d99\" tg-width=\"561\" tg-height=\"571\"></p>\n<p>因此,京东三季度在利润端方面也略有瑕疵。</p>\n<p>最令人意外的地方或在于费用端,今年三季度,京东销售费用达到100亿,同比增长25.7%;研发费用44亿,同比增长16%,仅行政费用同比下滑6%。</p>\n<p>销售费用和研发费用重回高增长,凸显京东增长压力较大,如果四季度营收增速不回升,京东利润高速增长阶段或告一段落。</p>\n<p>另外,从利润角度看,虽然三季度净利润同比增长48%,但主要来自毛利率的提升,如今年三季度,京东营收增长5.1%,但营业成本却只增加了3.1%。</p>\n<p>京东是如何控制住商品成本的?财报中没有给出解释,个人猜测,或跟当下通缩大环境有关,各类产品价格普遍下降。</p>\n<p>通缩助力能受益多久犹未可知,从估值上看,京东市盈率不过9倍,并不算贵,考虑到四季度开始的家电以旧换新活动以及京东物流接入淘宝,京东的好日子还能过一段时间。</p>\n<p>加上京东新批准的50亿美元回购计划,或许能上演今日腾讯财报后低开高走的局面。</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">$京东集团-SW(09618)$</a></p>\n<p> </p>\n<p> </p>\n<p> </p></body></html>","text":"刚刚,京东发布了三季报,业绩全面超预期: 但令人匪夷所思的是,京东盘前股价却一度大跌近5%: $京东(JD)$ 发生了什么?为何超预期的财报会引来大跌? 从收入上看,京东三季度为2603.87亿,同比增长5.1%,略超分析师一致预期的2597.3亿: 分业务来看,三季度京东零售营收2249.86亿,同比增长6.1%,略超分析师预期的2243亿: 京东物流三季度营收为444亿,同比增长6.6%,略低于分析师预期的449亿: 新业务(达达、京东产发、京喜及海外业务)营收49.7亿,同比下滑26%,但略超分析师预期的47.1亿。 若安排产品类型划分,三季度电子产品及家用电器营收1225.6亿,同比增长2.7%,略超分析师预期的2035亿;日用百货营收820.5亿,同比增长8%,不及分析师预期的827亿;广告及物流收入同样不及分析师预期: 由此来看,虽然京东整体营收超预期,但主要靠电子产品及家用电器带动,其他业务悉数低于预期。 利润方面,三季度毛利率为17.3%,创历史记录: 经营利润率4.6%,同样创记录: 净利润117.3亿,同比增长48%,调整后每股收益8.68元,高于分析师预期的7.42亿。 由此来看,京东三季度盈利状况大超预期。 不过,从细分业务的利润情况来看,三季度超预期的主要动力来自物流,当季经营利润20.86亿,经营利润率达到4.7%,远高于去年同期的0.7%;而核心主业京东零售三季度经营利润率为5.2%,与去年同期持平: 因此,京东三季度在利润端方面也略有瑕疵。 最令人意外的地方或在于费用端,今年三季度,京东销售费用达到100亿,同比增长25.7%;研发费用44亿,同比增长16%,仅行政费用同比下滑6%。 销售费用和研发费用重回高增长,凸显京东增长压力较大,如果四季度营收增速不回升,京东利润高速增长阶段或告一段落。 另外,从利润角度看,虽然三季度净利润同比增长48%,但主要来自毛利率的提升,如今年三季度,京东营收增长5.1%,但营业成本却只增加了3.1%。 京东是如何控制住商品成本的?财报中没有给出解释,个人猜测,或跟当下通缩大环境有关,各类产品价格普遍下降。 通缩助力能受益多久犹未可知,从估值上看,京东市盈率不过9倍,并不算贵,考虑到四季度开始的家电以旧换新活动以及京东物流接入淘宝,京东的好日子还能过一段时间。 加上京东新批准的50亿美元回购计划,或许能上演今日腾讯财报后低开高走的局面。 $京东集团-SW(09618)$","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370965483782200","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["09618","JD"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1767,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":911,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":["JD","09618"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":22,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/371003136475216"}
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