$WTI原油主连(C_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

Sevenoovv

2021-03-03

$WTI原油主连(CLmain)$ 算术题

增产后价格立马下降10%假设需求是50

增产后=0.9*50=45,

考虑到需求有可能会增加，就算5%得出50*1.05=52.5

价格0.9*52.5需求=47.25总收入

不增产价格上升10%.得出1.1*52.5=57.75总收入

增产后收入47.25,不增产57.75

47.25/57.25=0.825328-1=-0.174672

增产后的蛋糕还少了17%,只要不傻都知道该怎么做，主要变数是美国的原油产量！

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精彩评论

好无聊的老头
2021-03-03
好无聊的老头
如果不是美国，opec+早就搞到80+去了

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