one dayday
06-27
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@期权小班长:
近期大单一览
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<a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>自英伟达财报后,做市商数次拿捏股价失控。造成了财报后股价继续暴涨以及拆股后不跌反涨的奇观。</p><p>群众购买热情高涨,导致每周股价收敛区都不准确,周五收盘预测从110一路上跳至140,不得不说预测失灵也是牛市必须品鉴的一个环节。</p><p>也就是群众买入共识远超市场估价,华尔街做市商汗流浃背了。</p><p>明天周五四巫日,本季度期权到期量以期权名义价值计算,将达到5.5万亿美元。英伟达约三分之一看涨期权的未平仓合约将于21日(周五)到期。</p><p>根据期权未平仓分布,理论上来说,周五英伟达股价收盘应该在110附近,次一级目标是120。不过感觉周四周五再怎么跌,都很难达成目标的样子。</p><p>当然如果真能跌到120,大家懂得都懂。</p><p>要不要做周五暴跌的准备,只能明天看一下130之下put周四开仓情况,目前数据引发滑坡希望不大。</p><p>说一下近期几张大单:</p><p>1、看涨价差</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20240920 212.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020240920%20212.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20240920 212.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20240920 265.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020240920%20265.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20240920 265.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>共成交1.65万手,成交额60多万</p></li></ul><p>2、卖出看涨期权</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 250.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20250.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 250.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>成交1.5万手,成交额375万</p></li></ul><p>3、卖出看涨期权</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 180.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20180.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 180.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>成交1.3万手,成交额936万</p></li></ul><p>4、买入看涨期权</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250620 265.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20265.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 265.0 CALL$</a></p></li><li><p>成交1.43万手,成交额745万</p></li></ul><p>以上四张大单提取有效信息就是年底涨不到265。</p><p>卖出年底180看涨期权貌似是裸卖,顶部设置很极限,可以说属于激进空头,但问题不大,跟我之前提过的正股+sell call+sell put策略不矛盾。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>平仓卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20241018 220.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020241018%20220.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20241018 220.0 CALL$</a>,roll开仓买入 <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20241115 245.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020241115%20245.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20241115 245.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>目标价245,成交1万手不变,平仓970万,roll仓成交额435万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd3b6ab505bbb215cb15fa7ef7a058f8\" tg-width=\"2280\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p>没什么好说的,继续买买买,考虑苹果有长时间横盘的特性,建议持股+每周sell put。</p><p>再说一遍牛市持正股很重要,sell put是锦上添花,只做sell put大概率跑不赢正股收益。</p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"台积电\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> </p><p>平仓卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"TSM 20240816 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020240816%20140.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20240816 140.0 CALL$</a> ,roll开仓买入 <a data-mention-id=\"TSM 20240816 165.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020240816%20165.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20240816 165.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>8月目标价189,成交量5.5万手增至6.8万手,平仓2.42亿,roll仓成交额1.64亿。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6ee9db8b4d8f378342d9970b073906\" tg-width=\"2288\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"微软\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> </p><p>平仓卖出<a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20240816 375.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020240816%20375.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20240816 375.0 CALL$</a> ,roll开仓买入<a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20240816 420.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020240816%20420.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20240816 420.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>成交量数据不准确,至少是4万手roll 5万手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6229204eae15377460ae02bac29a63b\" tg-width=\"2294\" tg-height=\"150\"></p><p>平仓卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20241018 460.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020241018%20460.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20241018 460.0 CALL$</a> ,roll开仓买入 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20241115 510.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020241115%20510.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20241115 510.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>2万手roll 2万手,4060万 roll 1890万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/805d87bd9afa1292983969180772e436\" tg-width=\"2294\" tg-height=\"150\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"META\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Meta Platforms\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms(META)$</a> </p><p>8月16日440看涨期权 roll 470,方向存疑。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64ea49eaae8b83d9a86632d082daf858\" tg-width=\"2288\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"高通\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$高通(QCOM)$</a> </p><p>三腿策略:</p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM 20240705 230.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"QCOM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QCOM%2020240705%20230.0%20PUT\">$QCOM 20240705 230.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM 20240816 240.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"QCOM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QCOM%2020240816%20240.0%20CALL\">$QCOM 20240816 240.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM 20240816 260.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"QCOM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QCOM%2020240816%20260.0%20CALL\">$QCOM 20240816 260.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1cb3e7a33ce8014e32ffb51ad7ae70\" tg-width=\"2294\" tg-height=\"674\"></p><p>成交量put:call:call=7000:1.4万:1.4万</p><p>别看三条腿,但这套策略显示强烈看涨高通。7月5日前高通股价不低于230。而假如高通股价不跌,经计算后这套策略实际只需要支付400万即可杠杆看涨。</p><p>一句话总结以上大单观感:市场依然看涨</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"英伟达\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> </p><p>自英伟达财报后,做市商数次拿捏股价失控。造成了财报后股价继续暴涨以及拆股后不跌反涨的奇观。</p><p>群众购买热情高涨,导致每周股价收敛区都不准确,周五收盘预测从110一路上跳至140,不得不说预测失灵也是牛市必须品鉴的一个环节。</p><p>也就是群众买入共识远超市场估价,华尔街做市商汗流浃背了。</p><p>明天周五四巫日,本季度期权到期量以期权名义价值计算,将达到5.5万亿美元。英伟达约三分之一看涨期权的未平仓合约将于21日(周五)到期。</p><p>根据期权未平仓分布,理论上来说,周五英伟达股价收盘应该在110附近,次一级目标是120。不过感觉周四周五再怎么跌,都很难达成目标的样子。</p><p>当然如果真能跌到120,大家懂得都懂。</p><p>要不要做周五暴跌的准备,只能明天看一下130之下put周四开仓情况,目前数据引发滑坡希望不大。</p><p>说一下近期几张大单:</p><p>1、看涨价差</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p>买入 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20240920 212.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020240920%20212.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20240920 212.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20240920 265.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020240920%20265.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20240920 265.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>共成交1.65万手,成交额60多万</p></li></ul><p>2、卖出看涨期权</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 250.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20250.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 250.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>成交1.5万手,成交额375万</p></li></ul><p>3、卖出看涨期权</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20241220 180.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020241220%20180.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20241220 180.0 CALL$</a> </p></li><li><p>成交1.3万手,成交额936万</p></li></ul><p>4、买入看涨期权</p><ul style=\"\"><li><p> <a data-mention-id=\"NVDA 20250620 265.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"NVDA\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250620%20265.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250620 265.0 CALL$</a></p></li><li><p>成交1.43万手,成交额745万</p></li></ul><p>以上四张大单提取有效信息就是年底涨不到265。</p><p>卖出年底180看涨期权貌似是裸卖,顶部设置很极限,可以说属于激进空头,但问题不大,跟我之前提过的正股+sell call+sell put策略不矛盾。</p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"苹果\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> </p><p>平仓卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20241018 220.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020241018%20220.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20241018 220.0 CALL$</a>,roll开仓买入 <a data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20241115 245.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020241115%20245.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20241115 245.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>目标价245,成交1万手不变,平仓970万,roll仓成交额435万。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd3b6ab505bbb215cb15fa7ef7a058f8\" tg-width=\"2280\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p>没什么好说的,继续买买买,考虑苹果有长时间横盘的特性,建议持股+每周sell put。</p><p>再说一遍牛市持正股很重要,sell put是锦上添花,只做sell put大概率跑不赢正股收益。</p><p><a data-mention-id=\"TSM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"台积电\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">$台积电(TSM)$</a> </p><p>平仓卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"TSM 20240816 140.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020240816%20140.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20240816 140.0 CALL$</a> ,roll开仓买入 <a data-mention-id=\"TSM 20240816 165.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"TSM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSM%2020240816%20165.0%20CALL\">$TSM 20240816 165.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>8月目标价189,成交量5.5万手增至6.8万手,平仓2.42亿,roll仓成交额1.64亿。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb6ee9db8b4d8f378342d9970b073906\" tg-width=\"2288\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"微软\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> </p><p>平仓卖出<a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20240816 375.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020240816%20375.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20240816 375.0 CALL$</a> ,roll开仓买入<a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20240816 420.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020240816%20420.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20240816 420.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>成交量数据不准确,至少是4万手roll 5万手。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6229204eae15377460ae02bac29a63b\" tg-width=\"2294\" tg-height=\"150\"></p><p>平仓卖出 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20241018 460.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020241018%20460.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20241018 460.0 CALL$</a> ,roll开仓买入 <a data-mention-id=\"MSFT 20241115 510.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"MSFT\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/MSFT%2020241115%20510.0%20CALL\">$MSFT 20241115 510.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>2万手roll 2万手,4060万 roll 1890万</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/805d87bd9afa1292983969180772e436\" tg-width=\"2294\" tg-height=\"150\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"META\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"Meta Platforms\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">$Meta Platforms(META)$</a> </p><p>8月16日440看涨期权 roll 470,方向存疑。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64ea49eaae8b83d9a86632d082daf858\" tg-width=\"2288\" tg-height=\"156\"></p><p> <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"高通\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">$高通(QCOM)$</a> </p><p>三腿策略:</p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM 20240705 230.0 PUT\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"QCOM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QCOM%2020240705%20230.0%20PUT\">$QCOM 20240705 230.0 PUT$</a> </p><p>买 <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM 20240816 240.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"QCOM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QCOM%2020240816%20240.0%20CALL\">$QCOM 20240816 240.0 CALL$</a> </p><p>卖 <a data-mention-id=\"QCOM 20240816 260.0 CALL\" class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-name=\"QCOM\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/QCOM%2020240816%20260.0%20CALL\">$QCOM 20240816 260.0 CALL$</a> </p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c1cb3e7a33ce8014e32ffb51ad7ae70\" tg-width=\"2294\" tg-height=\"674\"></p><p>成交量put:call:call=7000:1.4万:1.4万</p><p>别看三条腿,但这套策略显示强烈看涨高通。7月5日前高通股价不低于230。而假如高通股价不跌,经计算后这套策略实际只需要支付400万即可杠杆看涨。</p><p>一句话总结以上大单观感:市场依然看涨</p></body></html>","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 自英伟达财报后,做市商数次拿捏股价失控。造成了财报后股价继续暴涨以及拆股后不跌反涨的奇观。 群众购买热情高涨,导致每周股价收敛区都不准确,周五收盘预测从110一路上跳至140,不得不说预测失灵也是牛市必须品鉴的一个环节。 也就是群众买入共识远超市场估价,华尔街做市商汗流浃背了。 明天周五四巫日,本季度期权到期量以期权名义价值计算,将达到5.5万亿美元。英伟达约三分之一看涨期权的未平仓合约将于21日(周五)到期。 根据期权未平仓分布,理论上来说,周五英伟达股价收盘应该在110附近,次一级目标是120。不过感觉周四周五再怎么跌,都很难达成目标的样子。 当然如果真能跌到120,大家懂得都懂。 要不要做周五暴跌的准备,只能明天看一下130之下put周四开仓情况,目前数据引发滑坡希望不大。 说一下近期几张大单: 1、看涨价差 买入 $NVDA 20240920 212.0 CALL$ 卖出 $NVDA 20240920 265.0 CALL$ 共成交1.65万手,成交额60多万 2、卖出看涨期权 $NVDA 20241220 250.0 CALL$ 成交1.5万手,成交额375万 3、卖出看涨期权 $NVDA 20241220 180.0 CALL$ 成交1.3万手,成交额936万 4、买入看涨期权 $NVDA 20250620 265.0 CALL$ 成交1.43万手,成交额745万 以上四张大单提取有效信息就是年底涨不到265。 卖出年底180看涨期权貌似是裸卖,顶部设置很极限,可以说属于激进空头,但问题不大,跟我之前提过的正股+sell call+sell put策略不矛盾。 $苹果(AAPL)$ 平仓卖出 $AAPL 20241018 220.0 CALL$,roll开仓买入 $AAPL 20241115 245.0 CALL$ 目标价245,成交1万手不变,平仓970万,roll仓成交额435万。 没什么好说的,继续买买买,考虑苹果有长时间横盘的特性,建议持股+每周sell put。 再说一遍牛市持正股很重要,sell put是锦上添花,只做sell put大概率跑不赢正股收益。 $台积电(TSM)$ 平仓卖出 $TSM 20240816 140.0 CALL$ ,roll开仓买入 $TSM 20240816 165.0 CALL$ 8月目标价189,成交量5.5万手增至6.8万手,平仓2.42亿,roll仓成交额1.64亿。 $微软(MSFT)$ 平仓卖出$MSFT 20240816 375.0 CALL$ ,roll开仓买入$MSFT 20240816 420.0 CALL$ 成交量数据不准确,至少是4万手roll 5万手。 平仓卖出 $MSFT 20241018 460.0 CALL$ ,roll开仓买入 $MSFT 20241115 510.0 CALL$ 2万手roll 2万手,4060万 roll 1890万 $Meta Platforms(META)$ 8月16日440看涨期权 roll 470,方向存疑。 $高通(QCOM)$ 三腿策略: 卖 $QCOM 20240705 230.0 PUT$ 买 $QCOM 20240816 240.0 CALL$ 卖 $QCOM 20240816 260.0 CALL$ 成交量put:call:call=7000:1.4万:1.4万 别看三条腿,但这套策略显示强烈看涨高通。7月5日前高通股价不低于230。而假如高通股价不跌,经计算后这套策略实际只需要支付400万即可杠杆看涨。 一句话总结以上大单观感:市场依然看涨","highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/319077252902984","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["NVDA","META","AAPL","QCOM","TSM","MSFT","QCOM 20240816 240.0 CALL","AAPL 20241115 245.0 CALL","NVDA 20241220 180.0 CALL","NVDA 20240920 212.0 CALL","NVDA 20241220 250.0 CALL","MSFT 20241018 460.0 CALL","QCOM 20240816 260.0 CALL","AAPL 20241018 220.0 CALL","MSFT 20240816 375.0 CALL","NVDA 20240920 265.0 CALL","TSM 20240816 165.0 CALL","QCOM 20240705 230.0 PUT","MSFT 20241115 510.0 CALL","TSM 20240816 140.0 CALL","NVDA 20250620 265.0 CALL","MSFT 20240816 420.0 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