$特斯拉(TSLA)_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

说下个人看法，轻喷。

Robotaxi是未来方向，但并不代表短期一两年就会给特斯拉带来利润。

我不太能想象三五年国外满大街都是无人驾驶的出租车。如果本次是8.8日发布新款车型的话，我倒是犹豫想做做多。发布robotaxi的时间点也很有意思，恰巧在新闻说放弃model2后。

本身目前特斯拉现在就是销量下滑，竞争下降。不解决眼前这个问题，利润怎么会好看？

说特斯拉的估值多少是FSD，多少是robot，利润贡献可大多数都是看销量的。

不怀疑老马的能力，但是老马野心太大，spacex,x都在牵扯他的精力。特斯拉他到底有没有在用心搞？

难以想象现在拿着苹果4s放在你面前，告诉你这款手机现在依旧很能打。。。

多头轻点喷。就这样吧。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

最稳美股赢家
04-08
最稳美股赢家
在chatgpt出现之前，人们认为还要10年初级ai才能使用。自动驾驶100%会实现，只是时间问题而已。fsd并不需要做到100%不出车祸才能运行robotaxi，只要比90%人开的好就行。目前v12可以说已经比30%人类驾驶开的好了。接下来只不是是堆数据量就可以解决的事情了。而且随着fsd的普及，ai驾驶会更能理解ai驾驶的逻辑。如果路上都是ai反而不会像现在这么难搞。事实上未来fsd会遇到的最大问题反而是路上的其他不守规矩的人类驾驶员（不打灯变道，乱开车）。fsd的价值就在于其能够解放人的双手。如果上下班2小时路上可以睡觉，80%的正常人都不会介意花10$来买自己一个小时睡觉时间。未来fsd甚至可以按里程收费0.15$一公里，就等于把省的油钱充值给fsd。fsd对于电动车的改变就等于自动挡变速箱对于燃油车的改变一样。
- 最稳美股赢家回复雁门关向东二万五千里:
  等能提高营收的时候你才买？英伟达之前营收下降被唱衰了一年，gpt3.5出来的时候人们也是说ai数据中心不能提高营收。fsd是世界上目前最大的ai项目，也是唯一一个实用型ai项目。等fsd提高营收的时候，股价早上天了。
- 雁门关向东二万五千里回复最稳美股赢家:
  不能提高营收就是画大饼。
- 最稳美股赢家回复雁门关向东二万五千里:
  目前fsd在某些特定地区可以达到l4。全面l4当然达不到。8月8也不可能是全面Robotaxi，肯定是某几个特定城市运行。随着fsd收集的数据量的上升，fsd最终必然会实现。目前全美地区的v12推送一部分是为了打广告，更大的原因是为了收集更多的数据。
- 雁门关向东二万五千里回复最稳美股赢家:
  Fsd现在远远达不到L4完全自动驾驶的水平，载人风险高，如果卖给亚马逊从事自动送货还是不错的生意(把货物送到每个小区门囗的快递柜应该不难)。
- 最稳美股赢家回复雁门关向东二万五千里:
  因为那是高精度地图+激光雷达的方案。那个方案永远不可能大规模商业化。
Jet2017
04-08
Jet2017
哪家公司的老板天天待在办公室里，那说明公司出问题了。
- 一只没有耳朵一只没有尾巴回复硅谷铝合金虾:
  这话说的没错，说什么坐不坐办公室那是在岔开话题。
- 硅谷铝合金虾:
  不是坐在办公室，而是心思放在特斯拉上，毕竟两个x和特斯拉没关系
木匠精神买股
04-08
木匠精神买股
老马野心确实不小,但特斯拉的核心业务还是需要他的全心全意投入。
- 硅谷铝合金虾:
  感觉最近他精力都在spacex上，是凡用点心搞特斯拉，也不会现在越来越拉跨。
Johnsonk
04-08
Johnsonk
有闲钱的话正股一买，旁边一丢就完事了
- 硅谷铝合金虾:
  哎，前年从300跌倒100被伤了
妥妥的幸福11
04-14
妥妥的幸福11
买股票就是买预期，犹豫期股票就不会有问题
骑母猪闯红灯
04-14
骑母猪闯红灯
看看当年的苹果，或许能找到答案

发表看法

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