Richard凉介
2023-12-08
,
@船长每日观察:
逆向思考:大摩2024预判背后的深渊。
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class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae21c59ecaa90c764ea6d2c84ede1ccc\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"916\"><span></span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b0365819a9b45de9da722d0e75ad141\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"2306\"><span></span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc25015ecf7a63a42f85982b7aefc8d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1116\"><span></span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64750751203327ea8bc9acf21a287fb8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1042\"><span></span></p>\n<p>在他们眼中;</p>\n<p><b><i>中国要基本不做什么?</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>才会让这些资本对中国经济增长很悲观。</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>中国会很意外做什么?</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>才会让他们对中国经济增长十分的乐观。</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>中国大概率会折中怎么做?</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>才符合他们对现实客观规律的逻辑推理。</i></b></p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>秘密在图二的第二行选择里,</p>\n<p>关键词:<b><i>再次资源错配<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">$中国恒大(03333)$ </a>、财政改G—社会保障体系支出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a>、再通胀-债务重组<span class=\"stock-view-wrapper\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>\n <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>。</span></i></b></p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>理性看待短期经济波动,</p>\n<p>应更多关注中长期经济周期分。</p>\n<p>阅读提示:<i>“托底的同时,接受一定的周期波动不但不会引发系统性风险,还会给必要的资源分配调整、资产价格修正和企业优胜劣汰留下空间。”</i></p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>反过来想,</p>\n<p>总是反过来想。</p>\n<p>以人(大摩/盎格鲁白男资本)为镜,</p>\n<p>可以明(中国)得失。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae21c59ecaa90c764ea6d2c84ede1ccc\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"916\"><span></span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b0365819a9b45de9da722d0e75ad141\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"2306\"><span></span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4cc25015ecf7a63a42f85982b7aefc8d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1116\"><span></span></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\" style=\"display: flex;flex-direction: column;align-items: center;\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64750751203327ea8bc9acf21a287fb8\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1042\"><span></span></p>\n<p>在他们眼中;</p>\n<p><b><i>中国要基本不做什么?</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>才会让这些资本对中国经济增长很悲观。</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>中国会很意外做什么?</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>才会让他们对中国经济增长十分的乐观。</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>中国大概率会折中怎么做?</i></b></p>\n<p><b><i>才符合他们对现实客观规律的逻辑推理。</i></b></p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>秘密在图二的第二行选择里,</p>\n<p>关键词:<b><i>再次资源错配<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03333\">$中国恒大(03333)$ </a>、财政改G—社会保障体系支出<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ </a>、再通胀-债务重组<span class=\"stock-view-wrapper\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PDD\">$拼多多(PDD)$ </a>\n <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>。</span></i></b></p>\n<p><br></p>\n<p>理性看待短期经济波动,</p>\n<p>应更多关注中长期经济周期分。</p>\n<p>阅读提示:<i>“托底的同时,接受一定的周期波动不但不会引发系统性风险,还会给必要的资源分配调整、资产价格修正和企业优胜劣汰留下空间。”</i></p></body></html>","text":"反过来想, 总是反过来想。 以人(大摩/盎格鲁白男资本)为镜, 可以明(中国)得失。 在他们眼中; 中国要基本不做什么? 才会让这些资本对中国经济增长很悲观。 中国会很意外做什么? 才会让他们对中国经济增长十分的乐观。 中国大概率会折中怎么做? 才符合他们对现实客观规律的逻辑推理。 秘密在图二的第二行选择里, 关键词:再次资源错配$中国恒大(03333)$ 、财政改G—社会保障体系支出$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 、再通胀-债务重组$拼多多(PDD)$ 。 理性看待短期经济波动, 应更多关注中长期经济周期分。 阅读提示:“托底的同时,接受一定的周期波动不但不会引发系统性风险,还会给必要的资源分配调整、资产价格修正和企业优胜劣汰留下空间。”","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/248367137235240","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["03333"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":549,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":314,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/249633038446904"}
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