超超_6103
2023-09-13
巴菲特卖了吗?没卖啊?那我就当你放屁了
期权大单 | 苹果“摆烂”,华尔街集体做空,下份财报会爆雷?
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scauzhangzhi
2023-09-13
scauzhangzhi
大哥,还是看好苹果?
超超_6103
:
老巴都看好,那我为什么不看好?
什么也没有了~
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tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>具体细节相信大家都已经了解,就不再赘述。口碑方面,普遍是失望情绪。总体感觉是苹果真的老了,很明显感觉到创新乏力。</p><p>并且,这种失望不只是抱怨,而是正在转化为资本市场的真实风暴。就在苹果发布iPhone 15的前一周,对冲基金Satori Fund创始人兼投资组合经理丹·尼尔斯(Dan Niles)在推特表示,“已经出售苹果股票,苹果公司现在是他们最大的单一股票空头头寸。”</p><p>【点击可交易苹果期权】 <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20230915 165.0 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230915%20165.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20230915 165.0 CALL$</a></p><p>他给出了4个做空理由:<strong>一是关键市场(占苹果营收的19%)禁令扩大到国有企业;二是华为复苏;三是学生贷款偿还重启;四是CQ3连续第四年同比下降。</strong></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a6becf17b0459cab9fd5298fc937d5\" alt=\"\"/>同时,摩根大通上周五发布报告称:<strong>苹果iPhone15并没有实质性的升级,因此也不会吸引大量用户更新换代。摩根大通将苹果目标股价从235美元调低至230美元。</strong></p><p>美国投行Needham的报告中写道:<strong>苹果公司是当前全球市值最大的公司,但人工智能的发展趋势最终可能会颠覆这一排名。这可能会导致苹果被微软、谷歌和亚马逊这三家科技巨无霸超越。</strong></p><p>期权成交方面,周二成交了大量177.5美元以下的看空单。如果后续iPhone 15的发货情况不如人意,不安情绪显然还会继续发酵。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3164195a19f3dc3e8e8113568a385e9e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"398\"/></p><p><strong>3万亿市值已是不可能的梦想?</strong></p><p>2022年开始,全球智能手机市场开始饱和,iPhone的创新也乏善可陈,苹果高估值的基础由此动摇。但竞争对手被限制,苹果依旧依靠惯性赢得了多数市场。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">TechInsights发布的最新研究指出,2023年第一季度,全球智能手机出货量2.691亿部,同比下降14%。华为Mate60系列的意外推出,让其基本面再受打击。投资公司Oppenheimer的分析师Martin Yang表示,<strong>由于华为这款新手机的推出,苹果公司2024年的iPhone出货量可能减少1000万部。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">目前,市场一致公认,近几代iPhone创新力不足,这导致未来的盈利预期下降;竞争对手蚕食市场,当下盈利下降,苹果确实有可能在下一个财报遭遇戴维斯双杀。<strong>华尔街对冲基金做空苹果,逻辑上并无差错。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">苹果目前的P/E比率约为30倍,当前的股价明显代表了该公司的高估值,这个估值水平,也正是五年估值标准差区间的上缘。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">即便是正常回归,也要到约18倍的区间下缘!如果,神话破灭呢?2.8万亿美元市值将被挤掉多少,尚在未知之中。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n期权大单 | 苹果“摆烂”,华尔街集体做空,下份财报会爆雷?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2023-09-13 11:58</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h3 id=\"id_880334941\">周二市场概览</h3><p>9月12日,市场重燃“油价上涨将推高通胀”的恐慌,美股三大指数周二集体收跌,纳指跌幅超1%。当日美股期权市场总成交量34,897,944张合约。其中,看涨期权占比53%,看跌期权占比47%。</p><h3 id=\"id_680536718\">期权成交观察:苹果,真的“烂”了?</h3><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/790a48241612e93436ae9032696055ee\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"439\" tg-height=\"841\"/></p><p>成交方面,苹果直追特斯拉,排在第四的位置。消息面上,苹果于北京时间今天凌晨发布了iPhone 15系列、新款Apple Watch,业界首款3nm芯片、全系列拥抱USB-C充电、4800万像素……不过,将硬件卷到极致似乎也并没能刺激到用户的“爽点”。苹果的股价发布会开市后就开始走低,至收盘跌幅1.71%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4730cdef8e9d2e6451d34fdf219a353\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>具体细节相信大家都已经了解,就不再赘述。口碑方面,普遍是失望情绪。总体感觉是苹果真的老了,很明显感觉到创新乏力。</p><p>并且,这种失望不只是抱怨,而是正在转化为资本市场的真实风暴。就在苹果发布iPhone 15的前一周,对冲基金Satori Fund创始人兼投资组合经理丹·尼尔斯(Dan Niles)在推特表示,“已经出售苹果股票,苹果公司现在是他们最大的单一股票空头头寸。”</p><p>【点击可交易苹果期权】 <a class=\"teditor-mention\" data-mention-id=\"AAPL 20230915 165.0 CALL\" data-mention-name=\"AAPL\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020230915%20165.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20230915 165.0 CALL$</a></p><p>他给出了4个做空理由:<strong>一是关键市场(占苹果营收的19%)禁令扩大到国有企业;二是华为复苏;三是学生贷款偿还重启;四是CQ3连续第四年同比下降。</strong></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19a6becf17b0459cab9fd5298fc937d5\" alt=\"\"/>同时,摩根大通上周五发布报告称:<strong>苹果iPhone15并没有实质性的升级,因此也不会吸引大量用户更新换代。摩根大通将苹果目标股价从235美元调低至230美元。</strong></p><p>美国投行Needham的报告中写道:<strong>苹果公司是当前全球市值最大的公司,但人工智能的发展趋势最终可能会颠覆这一排名。这可能会导致苹果被微软、谷歌和亚马逊这三家科技巨无霸超越。</strong></p><p>期权成交方面,周二成交了大量177.5美元以下的看空单。如果后续iPhone 15的发货情况不如人意,不安情绪显然还会继续发酵。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3164195a19f3dc3e8e8113568a385e9e\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"610\" tg-height=\"398\"/></p><p><strong>3万亿市值已是不可能的梦想?</strong></p><p>2022年开始,全球智能手机市场开始饱和,iPhone的创新也乏善可陈,苹果高估值的基础由此动摇。但竞争对手被限制,苹果依旧依靠惯性赢得了多数市场。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">TechInsights发布的最新研究指出,2023年第一季度,全球智能手机出货量2.691亿部,同比下降14%。华为Mate60系列的意外推出,让其基本面再受打击。投资公司Oppenheimer的分析师Martin Yang表示,<strong>由于华为这款新手机的推出,苹果公司2024年的iPhone出货量可能减少1000万部。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">目前,市场一致公认,近几代iPhone创新力不足,这导致未来的盈利预期下降;竞争对手蚕食市场,当下盈利下降,苹果确实有可能在下一个财报遭遇戴维斯双杀。<strong>华尔街对冲基金做空苹果,逻辑上并无差错。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">苹果目前的P/E比率约为30倍,当前的股价明显代表了该公司的高估值,这个估值水平,也正是五年估值标准差区间的上缘。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">即便是正常回归,也要到约18倍的区间下缘!如果,神话破灭呢?2.8万亿美元市值将被挤掉多少,尚在未知之中。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/980522969e8f077e22524fe91f48fecd","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1108753811","content_text":"周二市场概览9月12日,市场重燃“油价上涨将推高通胀”的恐慌,美股三大指数周二集体收跌,纳指跌幅超1%。当日美股期权市场总成交量34,897,944张合约。其中,看涨期权占比53%,看跌期权占比47%。期权成交观察:苹果,真的“烂”了?成交方面,苹果直追特斯拉,排在第四的位置。消息面上,苹果于北京时间今天凌晨发布了iPhone 15系列、新款Apple Watch,业界首款3nm芯片、全系列拥抱USB-C充电、4800万像素……不过,将硬件卷到极致似乎也并没能刺激到用户的“爽点”。苹果的股价发布会开市后就开始走低,至收盘跌幅1.71%。具体细节相信大家都已经了解,就不再赘述。口碑方面,普遍是失望情绪。总体感觉是苹果真的老了,很明显感觉到创新乏力。并且,这种失望不只是抱怨,而是正在转化为资本市场的真实风暴。就在苹果发布iPhone 15的前一周,对冲基金Satori Fund创始人兼投资组合经理丹·尼尔斯(Dan Niles)在推特表示,“已经出售苹果股票,苹果公司现在是他们最大的单一股票空头头寸。”【点击可交易苹果期权】 $AAPL 20230915 165.0 CALL$他给出了4个做空理由:一是关键市场(占苹果营收的19%)禁令扩大到国有企业;二是华为复苏;三是学生贷款偿还重启;四是CQ3连续第四年同比下降。同时,摩根大通上周五发布报告称:苹果iPhone15并没有实质性的升级,因此也不会吸引大量用户更新换代。摩根大通将苹果目标股价从235美元调低至230美元。美国投行Needham的报告中写道:苹果公司是当前全球市值最大的公司,但人工智能的发展趋势最终可能会颠覆这一排名。这可能会导致苹果被微软、谷歌和亚马逊这三家科技巨无霸超越。期权成交方面,周二成交了大量177.5美元以下的看空单。如果后续iPhone 15的发货情况不如人意,不安情绪显然还会继续发酵。3万亿市值已是不可能的梦想?2022年开始,全球智能手机市场开始饱和,iPhone的创新也乏善可陈,苹果高估值的基础由此动摇。但竞争对手被限制,苹果依旧依靠惯性赢得了多数市场。TechInsights发布的最新研究指出,2023年第一季度,全球智能手机出货量2.691亿部,同比下降14%。华为Mate60系列的意外推出,让其基本面再受打击。投资公司Oppenheimer的分析师Martin 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