JTD会议纪要(20230821)

$英伟达(NVDA)$ $半导体指数三倍做空(SOXS)$ $FANG+指数3X反向杠杆ETN-MicroSectors(FNGD)$ #大空头# #半导体# #次新股#

1、周重点在NVDA中报，全市场乃至全球都是空势，只有NVDA一人多势，且整个SOX板块都为空势，关注NVDA中报的表现和SOX整体的相关性

2、NVDA的预期不好判断，一季报大涨的相关性是指引（预支）了中报的业绩（高开机构定价约400附近），那中报就要出更强的指引，因为整体市场此时加\/Jad01e已经非彼时了，几大AI牛的趋势已破，这其中以AAPL最为惨烈，在宣布入局AI大模型后，直接成为了断头顶

3、NVDA最大的问题在于产品过于单一，不像其他科技牛的业务、收入多样化，抗风险能力强。AI如果被证伪或需求放缓，就是算力过剩，结果就是你想的那样

4、CN指数进一步下探，前面提过很多次，非要出ZC动用非银，结果非银太高，下来后反而让指数更糟糕。在下降趋势动用权重，拉不了几个点，权重被拉高后，反向向下的速度要快的多，得不偿失

5、大的交易节奏是等待反弹结束的节点

期货达人俱乐部

这里是期货讨论大本营，无论行情怎么波动，我们这边的盈利总是先人一步。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

灯塔国02
2023-09-03
灯塔国02
$半导体指数三倍做空(SOXS)$短线看着可以做空
先救我她有对象
2023-09-03
先救我她有对象
英伟达100多倍的市盈率，不知道是谁还在买
奔跑吧美股
2023-09-03
奔跑吧美股
一直觉得英伟达仅仅是个硬件公司
豆腐王中王
2023-09-03
豆腐王中王
如果英伟达走势不好，半导体也会废
短线机遇
2023-09-03
短线机遇
这是美股，不做多的话可以做空嘛
MISS吴
2023-09-03
MISS吴
总感觉英伟达前期涨的太多了，有累计风险

发表看法

9

1

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半导体也会废</p>","text":"<p>如果英伟达走势不好， 半导体也会废</p>","html":"<p>如果英伟达走势不好， 半导体也会废</p>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":215878376841256,"commentId":"215878376841256","gmtCreate":1693711622564,"gmtModify":1693711626461,"authorId":3479274801441208,"author":{"id":3479274801441208,"idStr":"3479274801441208","authorId":3479274801441208,"name":"短线机遇","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/feeb9ebdd15bf88ae330659d935954fe","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":211296912011416,"objectIdStr":"211296912011416","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<p>这是美股，不做多的话可以做空嘛</p>","text":"<p>这是美股，不做多的话可以做空嘛</p>","html":"<p>这是美股，不做多的话可以做空嘛</p>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":215877890392104,"commentId":"215877890392104","gmtCreate":1693711503804,"gmtModify":1693711507533,"authorId":3479274770783753,"author":{"id":3479274770783753,"idStr":"3479274770783753","authorId":3479274770783753,"name":"MISS吴","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f20005843fcfdee4fc28ff79506cf","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":211296912011416,"objectIdStr":"211296912011416","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"<p>总感觉英伟达前期涨的太多了，有累计风险</p>","text":"<p>总感觉英伟达前期涨的太多了，有累计风险</p>","html":"<p>总感觉英伟达前期涨的太多了，有累计风险</p>","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/211296912011416"}