铁路木盒
2023-08-08
这篇文章不错,转发给大家看看
@价值投资为王:
理想Q2业绩炸裂,但产能受限,三季度销量指引没有惊喜!
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class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7860fcef5c4cf48262f7bf08fa846b1b\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"528\"></p>\n<p>其中,车辆销售收入279.7亿,同比增长229.7%,配件及服务收入6.8亿,同比增长173%。</p>\n<p>带动营收大幅增长的主要原因是车辆销售的增长,二季度总交付量达到86533辆,同比增长202%:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ef00791d402436dd724c1b3374c070\" tg-width=\"1451\" tg-height=\"681\"></p>\n<p>除了销量增长之外,单车收入也同比增长9.1%,达到32.3万:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c11e378c1b59575fef5807520d227e32\" tg-width=\"1220\" tg-height=\"587\"></p>\n<p>营收大增之下,理想汽车的盈利能力大幅改善,其中,二季度毛利率为21.8%,净利率达到8.1%,该盈利能力在中国汽车厂中名列前茅:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9eca1065fa848f6608f85c8458e6f4d\" tg-width=\"1113\" tg-height=\"530\"></p>\n<p>强大的盈利能力之下,理想当下的财务状况非常优秀,其中二季度自由现金流达到96亿,现金类资产达到737.7亿,充沛的现金为理想未来应对激烈的竞争做足了准备。</p>\n<p>虽然二季度业绩炸裂,但理想美股盘前股价一度跌超4%,可见投资者并不满意这份财报:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcfe6ac1e7baf11064d44b35ba3b264e\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"488\"></p>\n<p>问题出在哪里?</p>\n<p>首先,二季度营收超预期并不是真的超预期,比如彭博上分析师对二季度销量的预测是83495辆,实际是86533辆,看似超预期,但实际上理想汽车早就发布了月度销量公告,因此,分析师的预测值大幅落后实际情况,故而并未超出投资者的预期。</p>\n<p>其次,理想汽车给出的三季度销量指引没有惊喜。公司预测三季度销量为100000-103000辆,分析师预期89467辆,看似又超出了预期,但根据已公布的7月销量34134辆计算,取公司销量指引中间值,则8-9月平均的单月销量在33683辆左右,环比7月几无增长。</p>\n<p>三季度销量或受限于产能,此前理想汽车CEO曾在社交媒体上表示,当前理想周产能峰值只有7500辆,需等到四季度才能达到1万/周产能,且看业绩会上管理层是否会有所跟进。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd6dbbe682fe6f17037506dca3dbeef\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"257\"></p>\n<p>于新能源汽车公司而言,由于投资者可以拿到周度高频销量数据,因此,股价多数会及时反映,而从三季度销量指引来看,似乎很难刺激投资者继续追高,毕竟理想今年的股价已经大涨129%。</p>\n<p>相比财报而言,月度销量数据更能刺激股价,且看业绩会上管理层是否会释放远期乐观信号!</p>\n<p>虽然业绩指引没有惊喜,但管理层预期2023年全年营收1000亿人民币,据此测算,动态市销率不过3.5倍,处于历史估值低位,也远低于同行特斯拉8倍的估值:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7a68217db05c11c8d335125804f9f4\" tg-width=\"981\" tg-height=\"488\"></p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$</a> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>刚刚,理想汽车发布了二季报,其中:</p>\n<p>二季度营收286.5亿人民币,同比暴增228.1%,超出分析师一致预期的272亿;</p>\n<p>毛利率为21.8%,超出分析师预期的20.7%;</p>\n<p>净利润23.1亿,净利率达到8.1%。</p>\n<p>具体来看,二季度营收286.5亿人民币,同比增长228.1%,增速创2年来新高:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7860fcef5c4cf48262f7bf08fa846b1b\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"528\"></p>\n<p>其中,车辆销售收入279.7亿,同比增长229.7%,配件及服务收入6.8亿,同比增长173%。</p>\n<p>带动营收大幅增长的主要原因是车辆销售的增长,二季度总交付量达到86533辆,同比增长202%:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9ef00791d402436dd724c1b3374c070\" tg-width=\"1451\" tg-height=\"681\"></p>\n<p>除了销量增长之外,单车收入也同比增长9.1%,达到32.3万:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c11e378c1b59575fef5807520d227e32\" tg-width=\"1220\" tg-height=\"587\"></p>\n<p>营收大增之下,理想汽车的盈利能力大幅改善,其中,二季度毛利率为21.8%,净利率达到8.1%,该盈利能力在中国汽车厂中名列前茅:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9eca1065fa848f6608f85c8458e6f4d\" tg-width=\"1113\" tg-height=\"530\"></p>\n<p>强大的盈利能力之下,理想当下的财务状况非常优秀,其中二季度自由现金流达到96亿,现金类资产达到737.7亿,充沛的现金为理想未来应对激烈的竞争做足了准备。</p>\n<p>虽然二季度业绩炸裂,但理想美股盘前股价一度跌超4%,可见投资者并不满意这份财报:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fcfe6ac1e7baf11064d44b35ba3b264e\" tg-width=\"816\" tg-height=\"488\"></p>\n<p>问题出在哪里?</p>\n<p>首先,二季度营收超预期并不是真的超预期,比如彭博上分析师对二季度销量的预测是83495辆,实际是86533辆,看似超预期,但实际上理想汽车早就发布了月度销量公告,因此,分析师的预测值大幅落后实际情况,故而并未超出投资者的预期。</p>\n<p>其次,理想汽车给出的三季度销量指引没有惊喜。公司预测三季度销量为100000-103000辆,分析师预期89467辆,看似又超出了预期,但根据已公布的7月销量34134辆计算,取公司销量指引中间值,则8-9月平均的单月销量在33683辆左右,环比7月几无增长。</p>\n<p>三季度销量或受限于产能,此前理想汽车CEO曾在社交媒体上表示,当前理想周产能峰值只有7500辆,需等到四季度才能达到1万/周产能,且看业绩会上管理层是否会有所跟进。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9bd6dbbe682fe6f17037506dca3dbeef\" tg-width=\"936\" tg-height=\"257\"></p>\n<p>于新能源汽车公司而言,由于投资者可以拿到周度高频销量数据,因此,股价多数会及时反映,而从三季度销量指引来看,似乎很难刺激投资者继续追高,毕竟理想今年的股价已经大涨129%。</p>\n<p>相比财报而言,月度销量数据更能刺激股价,且看业绩会上管理层是否会释放远期乐观信号!</p>\n<p>虽然业绩指引没有惊喜,但管理层预期2023年全年营收1000亿人民币,据此测算,动态市销率不过3.5倍,处于历史估值低位,也远低于同行特斯拉8倍的估值:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba7a68217db05c11c8d335125804f9f4\" tg-width=\"981\" tg-height=\"488\"></p>\n<p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">$理想汽车(LI)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02015\">$理想汽车-W(02015)$</a> </p></body></html>","text":"刚刚,理想汽车发布了二季报,其中: 二季度营收286.5亿人民币,同比暴增228.1%,超出分析师一致预期的272亿; 毛利率为21.8%,超出分析师预期的20.7%; 净利润23.1亿,净利率达到8.1%。 具体来看,二季度营收286.5亿人民币,同比增长228.1%,增速创2年来新高: 其中,车辆销售收入279.7亿,同比增长229.7%,配件及服务收入6.8亿,同比增长173%。 带动营收大幅增长的主要原因是车辆销售的增长,二季度总交付量达到86533辆,同比增长202%: 除了销量增长之外,单车收入也同比增长9.1%,达到32.3万: 营收大增之下,理想汽车的盈利能力大幅改善,其中,二季度毛利率为21.8%,净利率达到8.1%,该盈利能力在中国汽车厂中名列前茅: 强大的盈利能力之下,理想当下的财务状况非常优秀,其中二季度自由现金流达到96亿,现金类资产达到737.7亿,充沛的现金为理想未来应对激烈的竞争做足了准备。 虽然二季度业绩炸裂,但理想美股盘前股价一度跌超4%,可见投资者并不满意这份财报: 问题出在哪里? 首先,二季度营收超预期并不是真的超预期,比如彭博上分析师对二季度销量的预测是83495辆,实际是86533辆,看似超预期,但实际上理想汽车早就发布了月度销量公告,因此,分析师的预测值大幅落后实际情况,故而并未超出投资者的预期。 其次,理想汽车给出的三季度销量指引没有惊喜。公司预测三季度销量为100000-103000辆,分析师预期89467辆,看似又超出了预期,但根据已公布的7月销量34134辆计算,取公司销量指引中间值,则8-9月平均的单月销量在33683辆左右,环比7月几无增长。 三季度销量或受限于产能,此前理想汽车CEO曾在社交媒体上表示,当前理想周产能峰值只有7500辆,需等到四季度才能达到1万/周产能,且看业绩会上管理层是否会有所跟进。 于新能源汽车公司而言,由于投资者可以拿到周度高频销量数据,因此,股价多数会及时反映,而从三季度销量指引来看,似乎很难刺激投资者继续追高,毕竟理想今年的股价已经大涨129%。 相比财报而言,月度销量数据更能刺激股价,且看业绩会上管理层是否会释放远期乐观信号! 虽然业绩指引没有惊喜,但管理层预期2023年全年营收1000亿人民币,据此测算,动态市销率不过3.5倍,处于历史估值低位,也远低于同行特斯拉8倍的估值: $理想汽车(LI)$ $理想汽车-W(02015)$","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/206679533719640","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":["LI","02015"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1755,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":27,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/206741057958088"}
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