可爱馨风雅
2021-04-28
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@nomi
:岁数大了实现了财务自由还有意义吗？能买得起好多美食，可惜牙(￣～￣)嚼不动了，能全世界旅游，可惜跑不动了！//
@nomi
:手动点赞！我再偷偷告诉你，斌哥回答过对自家股票的看法，回答特简单“当你岁数大了，打开你的账户，你大概率会发现你已经财务自由了！”这是原话🙃
@乘枫破浪：
投资组合的优化：没有人愿意慢慢变富
免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
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nomi
2021-04-28
nomi
别跟我说，也别杠，真杠去问问巴菲特老爷子
可爱馨风雅
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nomi
:
揍你，还调皮😜
nomi
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可爱馨风雅
:
我说你说谎了？
可爱馨风雅
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nomi
:
那我说的不是实话吗？老了真的嚼不动美食，有美女主动投怀送抱都消受不起了。
nomi
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可爱馨风雅
:
不是，我根本没有必要和你杠，你要是把我的每句话都往恶意去理解那是你的事，我希望你是个善良的人
可爱馨风雅
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nomi
:
我以为你是代表老巴来怼我的，不是吗
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src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53f13ac36fcd691dd54f7fb494763bb7\" tg-width=\"600\" tg-height=\"514\"></p> <p>而我的投资组合最终就反映了这样的问题：</p> <p><b>在趋势投资时代，价值投资趋向明显。</b></p> <p>关键是还没有掌握价值投资的核心要素——低价。</p> <p><br></p> <p>未来像蔚来一样大涨特涨的日子着实一去不返了……</p> <p>但这并不代表，各行各业里不存在涌现的风口。</p> <p><br></p> <p>比如TCL，面板和智慧屏迎来了风口；</p> <p>比如苹果，站在了即将到来的AR风口——</p> <p>即便是万亿市值也会像过往的IT巨头一样，在垄断中蓬勃发展，然后持续垄断……</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a650b4d7d1152c8595e192ead260ba16\" tg-width=\"688\" tg-height=\"381\"></p> <p>包括Luminar，或许依然是步险棋——</p> <p>很多人质疑市场空间不大，自动驾驶遥不可及，行业内激光雷达至今尚未量产等……</p> <p>当我看好ta的技术壁垒，就像行业里无数汽车巨头看好ta并愿意与之合作一样。</p> <p><br></p> <p>尽管如此，但宏观看这投资组合，拥有大概率增长并且可能短期翻倍的股票整体竟然只占投资总额的45%？</p> <p>而像腾讯、宁德时代、药明康德这些“慢牛”占了整个投资组合的39%。</p> <p><br></p> <p>我在去年投资蔚来的文章 《放弃收益200%AMD，只为豪赌一场蔚来的未来！》提到过：</p> <ul> \n <li>如果真的学巴老爷子，可能我这辈子实现财富自由的概率为零；</li> \n <li>所以，作为资金体量小，又敢于冒一定风险去趋势投资的我来讲，投资方式一定会和行业里的“股神”不同；</li> \n <li>不过，这并不代表我们可以完全无视好的企业——我们只是把更多资金投入在了更有可能带来高额增长回报的地方……</li> \n</ul> <p><br></p> <p><b>所以，我一直持有腾讯</b>。</p> <p>尽管，3%的资金占比导致即便腾讯已翻倍，我的收入也微乎其微。</p> <p><br></p> <p>不过，作为稍微激进一点的投资者，这样的投资组合着实需要优化。</p> <p>而我对宁德时代和药明康德的研究，远远不如蔚来、Luminar。</p> <p><br></p> <p>这时，警钟敲响！</p> <p>之前，基金经理人贝佐斯问过巴菲特：“你的投资体系这么简单，为什么别人不做和你一样的事？”</p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9c907090ce910131b1bee1b70b7c95f\" tg-width=\"688\" tg-height=\"459\"></p> <p>巴菲特回答：<b>“因为没有人愿意慢慢变富。”</b></p> <p><br></p> <p>互联网时代，大部分人都希望快速变现，实现财富增长。</p> <p>你告诉他们：我做的不是炒股，而是投资。</p> <p>他们会认为这毫无区别，只想知道变现多少倍，何时变现。</p> <p><br></p> <p><b>所以，投资是一个克服人性的过程。</b></p> <p>杀鸡取卵的事情并不只存在寓言中，在股票市场里比比皆是。</p> <p><br></p> <p>而我，也存在这样的疑惑，并多次同自己争执过——</p> <p>我要优化我的投资组合，让它的收益率更高，变现更快！</p> <p>而同时，巴老爷子又在远处看着你，仿佛在说：</p> <p><b>想要快速变富的人最终都失败了！</b></p> <p><br></p> <p>投资的魅力也在于此：</p> <p>你想要扩宽边界，逻辑上是对的，但可能失败了；</p> <p>你想要恪守规则，经验上是对的，但时代变化了。</p> <p><br></p> <p>投资是一门艺术。</p> <p>谁对谁错要根据时代，根据场景，根据掌握知识的深度和投资的经验综合评判，而不能一概而论……</p> <p><br></p> <p></p> <p><br></p></body></html>","text":"好久没有更新我的投资笔记，而今一动笔，发现问题颇多。 大概罗列了下自己投资组合中的股票资金占比—— 美股：蔚来 20%，Luminar 12%，苹果 9%； 港股：腾讯 3%； A股：TCL 24%，宁德时代 20%，药明康德 12% 看过之前文章《最近的股市，跌惨了…》，就知道我在宁德时代和药明康德上都是高价位进去的。 所以，并未能幸免于美债新高下的基金踩踏事件…… 而在股票价格的高位进入还存在一个问题： 企业是好企业，涨肯定涨，但因价格太高翻个几倍的概率就别想了。 那又有什么办法呢？ 当初脑袋一热，又一拍，就—— 而我的投资组合最终就反映了这样的问题： 在趋势投资时代，价值投资趋向明显。 关键是还没有掌握价值投资的核心要素——低价。 未来像蔚来一样大涨特涨的日子着实一去不返了…… 但这并不代表，各行各业里不存在涌现的风口。 比如TCL，面板和智慧屏迎来了风口； 比如苹果，站在了即将到来的AR风口—— 即便是万亿市值也会像过往的IT巨头一样，在垄断中蓬勃发展，然后持续垄断…… 包括Luminar，或许依然是步险棋—— 很多人质疑市场空间不大，自动驾驶遥不可及，行业内激光雷达至今尚未量产等…… 当我看好ta的技术壁垒，就像行业里无数汽车巨头看好ta并愿意与之合作一样。 尽管如此，但宏观看这投资组合，拥有大概率增长并且可能短期翻倍的股票整体竟然只占投资总额的45%？ 而像腾讯、宁德时代、药明康德这些“慢牛”占了整个投资组合的39%。 我在去年投资蔚来的文章 《放弃收益200%AMD，只为豪赌一场蔚来的未来！》提到过： 如果真的学巴老爷子，可能我这辈子实现财富自由的概率为零； 所以，作为资金体量小，又敢于冒一定风险去趋势投资的我来讲，投资方式一定会和行业里的“股神”不同； 不过，这并不代表我们可以完全无视好的企业——我们只是把更多资金投入在了更有可能带来高额增长回报的地方…… 所以，我一直持有腾讯。 尽管，3%的资金占比导致即便腾讯已翻倍，我的收入也微乎其微。 不过，作为稍微激进一点的投资者，这样的投资组合着实需要优化。 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