Saras的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Saras

Saras

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2021-11-10

👍🏼

@看遍世界景赚足天下钱:不能太经验主义

2021-09-30

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@晚点LatePost:晚点独家丨恒大汽车要放假了

2021-09-18

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@鑫鑫洋:参与晒晒家乡的月亮活动第一张拍摄于天津市津门津塔，第二张拍摄于长焦月球表面，第三张借用我虎个元素。@小虎活动这样符合要求吗？请回复一下，谢谢啦！

2021-09-18

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@鑫鑫洋:参与晒晒家乡的月亮活动第一张拍摄于天津市津门津塔，第二张拍摄于长焦月球表面，第三张借用我虎个元素。@小虎活动这样符合要求吗？请回复一下，谢谢啦！

2021-09-16

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@gugu:中证500定投停止，安心持有

2021-09-11

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@UTOtrader:$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ppowering down to 13.01

2021-09-05

👍🏼//@鑫鑫Jason:[Cover your face] Good words are hard to persuade...! Don't say it, it doesn't sound good!

@毕肯证券学院:美股大盘涨不停，自己账户却不动？谜底在这里

2021-08-18

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3 Stocks I'm Never Selling

2021-08-04

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Tech Companies Are Facing a Global Chip Shortage: 5 Tips for Investors

2021-07-26

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Bitcoin Surges Toward $40,000 Level, Extending Recent Recovery

2021-07-26

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Amazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year

2021-07-25

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US IPO Week Ahead: 17 IPOs are coming

2021-07-23

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-23

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-19

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-18

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-16

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-16

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抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-07

Great info

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-07

👍🏼

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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文 | 王海璐编辑 | 程曼祺十一节后，恒大汽车的很多员工可能并不需要如期到岗。多位恒大汽车的员工对《晚点 LatePost》表示，他们所在的部门通知十一假期后继续休假到 10 月底。与恒驰 5、恒驰 6 两款车无关的研发人员，上海和广州南沙制造基地的大部分生产人员都将参与轮休。目前恒大汽车通知休假是 “带薪” 的，但多位员工表示，他们与恒大签的劳动合同，薪资结构由底薪加绩效构成，每月 5 日、20 日各发一半。“带薪” 的最低发放标准实际上是半薪。一位上海的员工表示，现在办公室里人心惶惶，“大家都在刷简历。”2019 年 8 月，恒大发布新品牌 “恒驰”，委托外部设计公司同时开发十几款车，称 2025 年实现年产销 100 万辆，2035 年则要超过 500 万辆。两年来，恒大围绕产业链上游大举投资、收购，在多地建设工厂。但研发进展并不顺利，这一问题正随着恒大集团资金链紧张而进一步放大。一位恒大研究院的研发人员表示，恒大汽车今年上半年有 6 个车型项目在同步开发，但不久前停止了其他项目，只保留进展最快的恒驰 5、恒驰 6。原计划用来生产这两款车的广州、上海工厂，目前已经停止投产准备。一部分负责生产的外包工程人员已经被遣散。恒驰 5 从广州运到天津继续生产，上海和广州基地的生产人员也被分批抽调到天津支援。恒大汽车在天津、上海、广州均设有工厂和研究院。天津工厂由恒大汽车收购的 NEVS（国能汽车）兴建，具备生产资质。广州和上海工厂均为恒大建设，但不具备生产资质。一位知情人士称，恒大起初可能希望曲线拿牌，但随着资金问题愈发严重，把恒驰 5 运到天津工厂生产的可行性更高。但天津工厂的生产设备是按照此前国能 “NEVS 93” 车型设计的，现在用来生产恒驰 5，还需要重新对生产线进行改造。恒大汽车的资金链问题已经不是秘密。恒大汽车曾在去年 9 月","listText":"恒大汽车的资金链问题已经不是秘密。 文 | 王海璐编辑 | 程曼祺十一节后，恒大汽车的很多员工可能并不需要如期到岗。多位恒大汽车的员工对《晚点 LatePost》表示，他们所在的部门通知十一假期后继续休假到 10 月底。与恒驰 5、恒驰 6 两款车无关的研发人员，上海和广州南沙制造基地的大部分生产人员都将参与轮休。目前恒大汽车通知休假是 “带薪” 的，但多位员工表示，他们与恒大签的劳动合同，薪资结构由底薪加绩效构成，每月 5 日、20 日各发一半。“带薪” 的最低发放标准实际上是半薪。一位上海的员工表示，现在办公室里人心惶惶，“大家都在刷简历。”2019 年 8 月，恒大发布新品牌 “恒驰”，委托外部设计公司同时开发十几款车，称 2025 年实现年产销 100 万辆，2035 年则要超过 500 万辆。两年来，恒大围绕产业链上游大举投资、收购，在多地建设工厂。但研发进展并不顺利，这一问题正随着恒大集团资金链紧张而进一步放大。一位恒大研究院的研发人员表示，恒大汽车今年上半年有 6 个车型项目在同步开发，但不久前停止了其他项目，只保留进展最快的恒驰 5、恒驰 6。原计划用来生产这两款车的广州、上海工厂，目前已经停止投产准备。一部分负责生产的外包工程人员已经被遣散。恒驰 5 从广州运到天津继续生产，上海和广州基地的生产人员也被分批抽调到天津支援。恒大汽车在天津、上海、广州均设有工厂和研究院。天津工厂由恒大汽车收购的 NEVS（国能汽车）兴建，具备生产资质。广州和上海工厂均为恒大建设，但不具备生产资质。一位知情人士称，恒大起初可能希望曲线拿牌，但随着资金问题愈发严重，把恒驰 5 运到天津工厂生产的可行性更高。但天津工厂的生产设备是按照此前国能 “NEVS 93” 车型设计的，现在用来生产恒驰 5，还需要重新对生产线进行改造。恒大汽车的资金链问题已经不是秘密。恒大汽车曾在去年 9 月","text":"恒大汽车的资金链问题已经不是秘密。 文 | 王海璐编辑 | 程曼祺十一节后，恒大汽车的很多员工可能并不需要如期到岗。多位恒大汽车的员工对《晚点 LatePost》表示，他们所在的部门通知十一假期后继续休假到 10 月底。与恒驰 5、恒驰 6 两款车无关的研发人员，上海和广州南沙制造基地的大部分生产人员都将参与轮休。目前恒大汽车通知休假是 “带薪” 的，但多位员工表示，他们与恒大签的劳动合同，薪资结构由底薪加绩效构成，每月 5 日、20 日各发一半。“带薪” 的最低发放标准实际上是半薪。一位上海的员工表示，现在办公室里人心惶惶，“大家都在刷简历。”2019 年 8 月，恒大发布新品牌 “恒驰”，委托外部设计公司同时开发十几款车，称 2025 年实现年产销 100 万辆，2035 年则要超过 500 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、17%沪深300加强 、8%中证1000加强。——整体策略：定投低估、roe趋势性上行的宽指，高估时卖出（80%百分位以上）；——沪深300的pe在12左右，10年的pe百分位50%时，定投买入；——中证500，定投结束，9月13日，中证500最后一次定投；——中概50：定投中，当日下跌2%卖入，已买入5万（9月8日、9月9日、9月14日）。组合目前盈利3.5%，每周定投1-2次。今天重点说说为什么中证500定投暂停。自从7月18日发文《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/173310891\" target=\"_blank\">中证500，一路向北</a>》文中已有2个月，估计大多数人是挣钱的。为什么今年白马业绩普遍承压，而中证500指数成分股盈利增长这么高呢？查询一下中证500的行业组成，其实就能明白。它是一个资源11.1%（金属&amp;矿）+9.7%化工+电器设备6.1%+电子设备5.3%+半导体5.3%+航空国防3.8%的股票组合，以上行业占比41%。上半年，周期股（石油、煤炭、化工）涨幅惊人，每股收益提升，股价翻了一番，pe还是在低位，有的甚至比年初还低。半导体、国防、电子设备，也是一直涨，这里面既有上半年营收利润的提升，也有行业前景的想象空间。之前我从pe角度看，觉得中证500极端低估，10年pe百分位是9.6%。近日，顾虑到中证500的成分股有一定的周期性，我又用近10年的pb百分位看，当前PB=2.2，大约在40%分位点。实际上估值不算极端低估。（见图1）图1：中证500近10年PB和收盘点位搞明白这个问题，也让我一直的疑惑找到答案。今年4月下旬开始，中证500pe（蓝色线）向下，股价","listText":"鉴于“能打能抗6人组”组合消费为主，估值较高。2021年4月底，我开始定投“不动如山的稳健低估组合”。目前持仓：45%中证500加强、30%中概50 、17%沪深300加强 、8%中证1000加强。——整体策略：定投低估、roe趋势性上行的宽指，高估时卖出（80%百分位以上）；——沪深300的pe在12左右，10年的pe百分位50%时，定投买入；——中证500，定投结束，9月13日，中证500最后一次定投；——中概50：定投中，当日下跌2%卖入，已买入5万（9月8日、9月9日、9月14日）。组合目前盈利3.5%，每周定投1-2次。今天重点说说为什么中证500定投暂停。自从7月18日发文《<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/TW/173310891\" target=\"_blank\">中证500，一路向北</a>》文中已有2个月，估计大多数人是挣钱的。为什么今年白马业绩普遍承压，而中证500指数成分股盈利增长这么高呢？查询一下中证500的行业组成，其实就能明白。它是一个资源11.1%（金属&amp;矿）+9.7%化工+电器设备6.1%+电子设备5.3%+半导体5.3%+航空国防3.8%的股票组合，以上行业占比41%。上半年，周期股（石油、煤炭、化工）涨幅惊人，每股收益提升，股价翻了一番，pe还是在低位，有的甚至比年初还低。半导体、国防、电子设备，也是一直涨，这里面既有上半年营收利润的提升，也有行业前景的想象空间。之前我从pe角度看，觉得中证500极端低估，10年pe百分位是9.6%。近日，顾虑到中证500的成分股有一定的周期性，我又用近10年的pb百分位看，当前PB=2.2，大约在40%分位点。实际上估值不算极端低估。（见图1）图1：中证500近10年PB和收盘点位搞明白这个问题，也让我一直的疑惑找到答案。今年4月下旬开始，中证500pe（蓝色线）向下，股价","text":"鉴于“能打能抗6人组”组合消费为主，估值较高。2021年4月底，我开始定投“不动如山的稳健低估组合”。目前持仓：45%中证500加强、30%中概50 、17%沪深300加强 、8%中证1000加强。——整体策略：定投低估、roe趋势性上行的宽指，高估时卖出（80%百分位以上）；——沪深300的pe在12左右，10年的pe百分位50%时，定投买入；——中证500，定投结束，9月13日，中证500最后一次定投；——中概50：定投中，当日下跌2%卖入，已买入5万（9月8日、9月9日、9月14日）。组合目前盈利3.5%，每周定投1-2次。今天重点说说为什么中证500定投暂停。自从7月18日发文《中证500，一路向北》文中已有2个月，估计大多数人是挣钱的。为什么今年白马业绩普遍承压，而中证500指数成分股盈利增长这么高呢？查询一下中证500的行业组成，其实就能明白。它是一个资源11.1%（金属&矿）+9.7%化工+电器设备6.1%+电子设备5.3%+半导体5.3%+航空国防3.8%的股票组合，以上行业占比41%。上半年，周期股（石油、煤炭、化工）涨幅惊人，每股收益提升，股价翻了一番，pe还是在低位，有的甚至比年初还低。半导体、国防、电子设备，也是一直涨，这里面既有上半年营收利润的提升，也有行业前景的想象空间。之前我从pe角度看，觉得中证500极端低估，10年pe百分位是9.6%。近日，顾虑到中证500的成分股有一定的周期性，我又用近10年的pb百分位看，当前PB=2.2，大约在40%分位点。实际上估值不算极端低估。（见图1）图1：中证500近10年PB和收盘点位搞明白这个问题，也让我一直的疑惑找到答案。今年4月下旬开始，中证500pe（蓝色线）向下，股价","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/788290004185aa0c316fdcbcf20fb70b","width":"688","height":"323"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882546384","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":2,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":187,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881330242,"gmtCreate":1631289781586,"gmtModify":1631887313580,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881330242","repostId":"881941402","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":881941402,"gmtCreate":1631287383906,"gmtModify":1631883628079,"author":{"id":"3574547619690492","authorId":"3574547619690492","name":"UTOtrader","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82be6befb29ac8516e463638d3f659d5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574547619690492","authorIdStr":"3574547619690492"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>ppowering down to 13.01","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TIGR\">$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$</a>ppowering down to 13.01","text":"$Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ppowering down to 13.01","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881941402","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":814612226,"gmtCreate":1630812037265,"gmtModify":1631887313593,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3443259955812259\">@鑫鑫Jason</a>:[Cover your face] &nbsp; Good words are hard to persuade...! Don't say it, it doesn't sound good!","listText":"👍🏼//<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3443259955812259\">@鑫鑫Jason</a>:[Cover your face] &nbsp; Good words are hard to persuade...! Don't say it, it doesn't sound good!","text":"👍🏼//@鑫鑫Jason:[Cover your face] Good words are hard to persuade...! Don't say it, it doesn't sound good!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814612226","repostId":"814041366","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":814041366,"gmtCreate":1630732661855,"gmtModify":1630742789495,"author":{"id":"3568953285250743","authorId":"3568953285250743","name":"毕肯证券学院","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80e5d5a312be5a119aed23e589ea95e6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3568953285250743","authorIdStr":"3568953285250743"},"themes":[],"title":"美股大盘涨不停，自己账户却不动？谜底在这里","htmlText":"本期【毕肯说：美股投资】来自毕肯证券学院【船老大老师】：1. 二季度美股大盘涨不停，但数据显示散户们却是亏损2. 原因一: 国内散户投资美股多操盘中概股3. 中概股是美股里的小众，值得投资的优质标的很少。目前大环境对中概股也不友好。4. 原因二: 国内投资者基于国内市场产生的美股热点认知偏差。国内的热点在美股里却可能并非热点，比如太阳能，电动车。另外由于思维定势，有人沉浸于过去，持续追逐过往强势股如电动车TSLA5. 原因三，恐\"高\"心理作祟。此\"高\"非大盘高位，而是很多优质股的\"高\"价格。\"高\"价优质股通常好赚钱，因为机构多看好此类股票。6. 原因四，近来股市板块飞速轮转。指数涨，但很多个股板块却可能会跌。简单buy and hold不奏效。7. 原因五，风控不到位。美股投资风控的一个有效工具是对冲。8.小结，美股入门易，赚钱难。美股交易知识储备，交易系统很重要美股大盘涨不停，自己账户却不动？谜底在这里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IWM\">$罗素2000指数ETF(IWM)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a>","listText":"本期【毕肯说：美股投资】来自毕肯证券学院【船老大老师】：1. 二季度美股大盘涨不停，但数据显示散户们却是亏损2. 原因一: 国内散户投资美股多操盘中概股3. 中概股是美股里的小众，值得投资的优质标的很少。目前大环境对中概股也不友好。4. 原因二: 国内投资者基于国内市场产生的美股热点认知偏差。国内的热点在美股里却可能并非热点，比如太阳能，电动车。另外由于思维定势，有人沉浸于过去，持续追逐过往强势股如电动车TSLA5. 原因三，恐\"高\"心理作祟。此\"高\"非大盘高位，而是很多优质股的\"高\"价格。\"高\"价优质股通常好赚钱，因为机构多看好此类股票。6. 原因四，近来股市板块飞速轮转。指数涨，但很多个股板块却可能会跌。简单buy and hold不奏效。7. 原因五，风控不到位。美股投资风控的一个有效工具是对冲。8.小结，美股入门易，赚钱难。美股交易知识储备，交易系统很重要美股大盘涨不停，自己账户却不动？谜底在这里<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IWM\">$罗素2000指数ETF(IWM)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指ETF(QQQ)$</a>","text":"本期【毕肯说：美股投资】来自毕肯证券学院【船老大老师】：1. 二季度美股大盘涨不停，但数据显示散户们却是亏损2. 原因一: 国内散户投资美股多操盘中概股3. 中概股是美股里的小众，值得投资的优质标的很少。目前大环境对中概股也不友好。4. 原因二: 国内投资者基于国内市场产生的美股热点认知偏差。国内的热点在美股里却可能并非热点，比如太阳能，电动车。另外由于思维定势，有人沉浸于过去，持续追逐过往强势股如电动车TSLA5. 原因三，恐\"高\"心理作祟。此\"高\"非大盘高位，而是很多优质股的\"高\"价格。\"高\"价优质股通常好赚钱，因为机构多看好此类股票。6. 原因四，近来股市板块飞速轮转。指数涨，但很多个股板块却可能会跌。简单buy and hold不奏效。7. 原因五，风控不到位。美股投资风控的一个有效工具是对冲。8.小结，美股入门易，赚钱难。美股交易知识储备，交易系统很重要美股大盘涨不停，自己账户却不动？谜底在这里$罗素2000指数ETF(IWM)$$标普500ETF(SPY)$$纳指ETF(QQQ)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/814041366","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":916,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":833767889,"gmtCreate":1629265025441,"gmtModify":1631885865390,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/833767889","repostId":"1114320591","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114320591","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629255336,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114320591?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-18 10:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"3 Stocks I'm Never Selling","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114320591","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The best investors in the world swear by holding high-quality companies for decades on end. These stocks fit that bill.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Time plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.</li>\n <li>These three business titans are leaders in their fields.</li>\n <li>They are also built to last for a very long time.</li>\n</ul>\n<p></p>\n<p>I'm about to show you my favorite stocks. Sometimes I invest with an eye to strong returns over the next few years. These are the ones that I expect to keep beating the market for the years and decades to come. It will take a lot to pry them out of my portfolio.</p>\n<p>Let me show you why I intend to hold&nbsp;<b>Netflix</b>(NASDAQ:NFLX),<b>Alphabet</b>(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), and&nbsp;<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)for the long haul. These stocks may not be slam-dunk forever holdings for every investor, but you should absolutely take a close look at these top-notch investments.</p>\n<p><b>1. Netflix</b></p>\n<p>First, you knew Netflix as the sender of red mail-order DVD rentals. The company introduced digital video streams as a free add-on for DVD customers in&nbsp;2007, then separated the streaming business into a separate subscription service in 2011. The Qwikster event was a big marketing mess and could certainly have been handled better, but it was absolutely the right idea in the long run.</p>\n<p>Going all-in on the all-digital streaming service allowed Netflix to roll out its paid subscription plans on a global scale, supplemented by an ambitious focus on original content. The subscriber count has skyrocketed from 26 million in the summer of 2011 to 209 million today. That fantastic trend has worked wonders for the company's top and bottom lines:</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/646be4c2a73d68810e962c19efe82476\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>NFLX REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p>\n<p>Netflix saw an opportunity to lead the charge into a brand-new market, with low infrastructure costs compared to the DVD-mailing business and buckets of worldwide growth potential. So the DVD business that had come to dominate the video rental sector in America was unceremoniously tossed aside in favor of better ideas.</p>\n<p>These days, Netflix is an award-winning content producer with an unmatched distribution network in every market that matters (except forChina, where the company must operate through local partnerships). The stock has delivered a 2,240% return since the Qwikster event, which works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%.</p>\n<p><b>2. Alphabet</b></p>\n<p>Alphabet is the parent company of online services giant Google. What started as a student project at Stanford quickly evolved into the world's leading online search tool. Paired with the moneymaking muscle of Google's digital advertising tools, the company generated strong cash flows early on. The cash profits were reinvested in more business ideas. Google eventually built or bought services with matchless market shares in important sectors such as web browsers, online video, email, and smartphone software.</p>\n<p>By 2015, co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page had concluded that Google's meat-and-potatoes search and advertising businesses eventually had to fade away, overtaken by mobile alternatives and other innovations. So the company made some big changes. Google hired CFO Ruth Porat, a banking executive with decades of experience in large-scale corporate finance. Later the same year, the company changed its name to Alphabet and reorganized itself into a loose conglomerate of different operations.</p>\n<p>Google is still the backbone of Alphabet, accounting for 99.6% of the holding company's total sales in 2020. The non-Google operations are still losing money on a regular basis, despite some progress in the fields of self-driving vehicles and fiber-optic internet connections. At the same time, the company is preparing for an uncertain future by developing a plethora of online and offline business projects with massive long-term growth prospects and equally large development risks.</p>\n<p>If the self-driving cars don't work out in the long run, Alphabet might find a cash machine in medical research or novel wind energy generators. We may never even have heard of the next big winner in Alphabet's sprawling portfolio. If and when Alphabet starts to make serious money from artificial intelligence tools or cancer drugs, most consumers probably won't think of that stuff as a Google business at all.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb97b6814df65240bd8f0b4a0690e77e\" tg-width=\"720\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>GOOGL REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.</span></p>\n<p>Alphabet continues to ride its Google heritage as far as it will go, but there is no shortage of completely unrelated operations that can take over when the browser-based search and advertising business starts to falter. Until then, the traditional search business is booming and Alphabet has rewarded investors with a 912% return in 10 years. That's an annual growth rate of 23.3%.</p>\n<p><b>3. Walt Disney</b></p>\n<p>And then there's the near-centennial entertainment giant. The House of Mouse was founded in 1923 by two cartoon-making brothers with a vision. The company has survived a world war, several terrible recessions, 10 decades of progress in distribution and production technologies, and much more.</p>\n<p>The leisure and entertainment conglomerate you see today is a far cry from the original business, which was a pure-play cartoon production studio. Disney World and Disneyland are cultural touchstones. The company is a leading provider of hotel and resort services, including a cruise line. I can't think of another company that has mastered the art of monetizing its intellectual property as effectively as Disney has. And that intellectual property -- characters, fictional worlds, and storylines that most Americans know by heart -- will always be the lifeblood of Disney's business.</p>\n<p>Times are tough right now, as the coronavirus pandemic closed down movie theaters, theme parks, resorts, and cruise ships around the world. So Disney took a good, hard look at the drastic changes in the entertainment industry and decided to put its full weight behind media-streaming platforms.</p>\n<p>The company has been reorganized from the top down to support Disney's streaming platforms. The Disney+, Hulu, Hotstar, and ESPN+ streaming services are poised to challenge Netflix for the global media-streaming market, adding up to 174 million subscribers in the third quarter of 2021. Disney took on some extra debt in the darkest days of the health crisis and will most likely use some of that spare cash to accelerate its streaming operations.</p>\n<p>The coronavirus caught Disney unprepared, but management didn't hesitate to turn on a dime. The whole behemoth is heading in a different direction now, supported by the same treasure trove of storytelling assets that took the company this far. This supremely well-managed company is also beating the market in the long run, with a 439% 10-year gain that works out to a CAGR of 13%.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/110cd288830d0e354767349fe36259e6\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p><b>The common denominator</b></p>\n<p>These three companies are very different, but they still have one all-important quality in common. I'm looking for flexibility in the face of good times and bad. If your company stands ready to make drastic changes to its operating plan when the business environment around it changes, you know you have an organization that will stand the test of time.</p>\n<p>Lots of&nbsp;time in the market equals wealth-building returns. That's the main lesson you can learn from the writings of Benjamin Graham and the stellar results of his star student, Warren Buffett. Building life-changing wealth does not require a couple of years of fantastic returns. All you need is generally solid gains for several decades.</p>\n<p>For example, an annual return of 10% -- in line with&nbsp;the long-term market average-- adds up to a 673% profit over 20 years. Beating the Street by a small margin makes a big difference on this long time scale. Boost your average gains to just 11%, and you'll see 806% returns over those 20 years. Larger increases bring even greater total long-haul returns. The three stocks discussed above are set up to do better than that, and their very survival in the long run is just about guaranteed by that willingness to change when market conditions require it.</p>\n<p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>3 Stocks I'm Never Selling</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n3 Stocks I'm Never Selling\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-18 10:55 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Key Points\n\nTime plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.\nThese three business titans are leaders in their fields.\nThey are also built to last for a very long time.\n\n\nI'm ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GOOG":"谷歌","DIS":"迪士尼","NFLX":"奈飞","GOOGL":"谷歌A"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/17/3-stocks-im-never-selling/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114320591","content_text":"Key Points\n\nTime plus patience adds up to wealth-building results in the stock market.\nThese three business titans are leaders in their fields.\nThey are also built to last for a very long time.\n\n\nI'm about to show you my favorite stocks. Sometimes I invest with an eye to strong returns over the next few years. These are the ones that I expect to keep beating the market for the years and decades to come. It will take a lot to pry them out of my portfolio.\nLet me show you why I intend to hold Netflix(NASDAQ:NFLX),Alphabet(NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL), and Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)for the long haul. These stocks may not be slam-dunk forever holdings for every investor, but you should absolutely take a close look at these top-notch investments.\n1. Netflix\nFirst, you knew Netflix as the sender of red mail-order DVD rentals. The company introduced digital video streams as a free add-on for DVD customers in 2007, then separated the streaming business into a separate subscription service in 2011. The Qwikster event was a big marketing mess and could certainly have been handled better, but it was absolutely the right idea in the long run.\nGoing all-in on the all-digital streaming service allowed Netflix to roll out its paid subscription plans on a global scale, supplemented by an ambitious focus on original content. The subscriber count has skyrocketed from 26 million in the summer of 2011 to 209 million today. That fantastic trend has worked wonders for the company's top and bottom lines:\nNFLX REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.\nNetflix saw an opportunity to lead the charge into a brand-new market, with low infrastructure costs compared to the DVD-mailing business and buckets of worldwide growth potential. So the DVD business that had come to dominate the video rental sector in America was unceremoniously tossed aside in favor of better ideas.\nThese days, Netflix is an award-winning content producer with an unmatched distribution network in every market that matters (except forChina, where the company must operate through local partnerships). The stock has delivered a 2,240% return since the Qwikster event, which works out to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 35.8%.\n2. Alphabet\nAlphabet is the parent company of online services giant Google. What started as a student project at Stanford quickly evolved into the world's leading online search tool. Paired with the moneymaking muscle of Google's digital advertising tools, the company generated strong cash flows early on. The cash profits were reinvested in more business ideas. Google eventually built or bought services with matchless market shares in important sectors such as web browsers, online video, email, and smartphone software.\nBy 2015, co-founders Sergey Brin and Larry Page had concluded that Google's meat-and-potatoes search and advertising businesses eventually had to fade away, overtaken by mobile alternatives and other innovations. So the company made some big changes. Google hired CFO Ruth Porat, a banking executive with decades of experience in large-scale corporate finance. Later the same year, the company changed its name to Alphabet and reorganized itself into a loose conglomerate of different operations.\nGoogle is still the backbone of Alphabet, accounting for 99.6% of the holding company's total sales in 2020. The non-Google operations are still losing money on a regular basis, despite some progress in the fields of self-driving vehicles and fiber-optic internet connections. At the same time, the company is preparing for an uncertain future by developing a plethora of online and offline business projects with massive long-term growth prospects and equally large development risks.\nIf the self-driving cars don't work out in the long run, Alphabet might find a cash machine in medical research or novel wind energy generators. We may never even have heard of the next big winner in Alphabet's sprawling portfolio. If and when Alphabet starts to make serious money from artificial intelligence tools or cancer drugs, most consumers probably won't think of that stuff as a Google business at all.\nGOOGL REVENUE (TTM) DATA BY YCHARTS.\nAlphabet continues to ride its Google heritage as far as it will go, but there is no shortage of completely unrelated operations that can take over when the browser-based search and advertising business starts to falter. Until then, the traditional search business is booming and Alphabet has rewarded investors with a 912% return in 10 years. That's an annual growth rate of 23.3%.\n3. Walt Disney\nAnd then there's the near-centennial entertainment giant. The House of Mouse was founded in 1923 by two cartoon-making brothers with a vision. The company has survived a world war, several terrible recessions, 10 decades of progress in distribution and production technologies, and much more.\nThe leisure and entertainment conglomerate you see today is a far cry from the original business, which was a pure-play cartoon production studio. Disney World and Disneyland are cultural touchstones. The company is a leading provider of hotel and resort services, including a cruise line. I can't think of another company that has mastered the art of monetizing its intellectual property as effectively as Disney has. And that intellectual property -- characters, fictional worlds, and storylines that most Americans know by heart -- will always be the lifeblood of Disney's business.\nTimes are tough right now, as the coronavirus pandemic closed down movie theaters, theme parks, resorts, and cruise ships around the world. So Disney took a good, hard look at the drastic changes in the entertainment industry and decided to put its full weight behind media-streaming platforms.\nThe company has been reorganized from the top down to support Disney's streaming platforms. The Disney+, Hulu, Hotstar, and ESPN+ streaming services are poised to challenge Netflix for the global media-streaming market, adding up to 174 million subscribers in the third quarter of 2021. Disney took on some extra debt in the darkest days of the health crisis and will most likely use some of that spare cash to accelerate its streaming operations.\nThe coronavirus caught Disney unprepared, but management didn't hesitate to turn on a dime. The whole behemoth is heading in a different direction now, supported by the same treasure trove of storytelling assets that took the company this far. This supremely well-managed company is also beating the market in the long run, with a 439% 10-year gain that works out to a CAGR of 13%.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nThe common denominator\nThese three companies are very different, but they still have one all-important quality in common. I'm looking for flexibility in the face of good times and bad. If your company stands ready to make drastic changes to its operating plan when the business environment around it changes, you know you have an organization that will stand the test of time.\nLots of time in the market equals wealth-building returns. That's the main lesson you can learn from the writings of Benjamin Graham and the stellar results of his star student, Warren Buffett. Building life-changing wealth does not require a couple of years of fantastic returns. All you need is generally solid gains for several decades.\nFor example, an annual return of 10% -- in line with the long-term market average-- adds up to a 673% profit over 20 years. Beating the Street by a small margin makes a big difference on this long time scale. Boost your average gains to just 11%, and you'll see 806% returns over those 20 years. Larger increases bring even greater total long-haul returns. The three stocks discussed above are set up to do better than that, and their very survival in the long run is just about guaranteed by that willingness to change when market conditions require it.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":163,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890126788,"gmtCreate":1628087701344,"gmtModify":1631885865431,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890126788","repostId":"2156060681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2156060681","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628085780,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2156060681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 22:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech Companies Are Facing a Global Chip Shortage: 5 Tips for Investors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2156060681","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.","content":"<blockquote>\n The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The global chip shortage has the potential to last through 2023.</li>\n <li>Investors should dig deeper into the semiconductor sector to understand those challenges.</li>\n <li>Investors should recognize the near-term headwinds for companies relying on a steady supply of new chips.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The global chip shortage started in 2018 and 2019 as escalating trade conflicts disrupted semiconductor supply chains, then worsened in 2020 as the pandemic exacerbated those disruptions. Many top chipmakers and analysts expect the ongoing crisis to last through 2023.</p>\n<p>That shortage is generating tailwinds and headwinds for certain companies, but it can be tough for investors to tune out the noise and separate the winners from the losers. Let's examine five main aspects of the chip shortage -- and how they could affect certain sectors and stocks.</p>\n<h3>1. Understand the secular tailwinds</h3>\n<p>Even if the trade war and pandemic didn't happen, the market's demand for chips would still be elevated today. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> 5G devices, gaming consoles, connected and driverless cars, and Internet of Things (IoT) gadgets all require increasing numbers of more advanced chips. Data centers are also upgrading their servers to deal with the surging usage of cloud, machine learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) services.</p>\n<p>However, the pandemic also accelerated sales of stay-at-home consumer electronics such as PCs and gaming consoles, while disrupting the available supply of chips. Those unexpected twists made it even tougher for chipmakers to keep up with the market's insatiable appetite for new chips.</p>\n<h3>2. Understand the geopolitical tensions</h3>\n<p>The tech war between the U.S. and China is causing headaches for many chipmakers. For example, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> Company</b> (NYSE:TSM), the world's top contract chipmaker, was forced to stop accepting orders from <b>Huawei</b> after the U.S. blacklisted the Chinese tech giant. U.S. chipmakers like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">Skyworks Solutions</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a></b> were also forced to cut ties with Huawei.</p>\n<p>That decoupling caused China to aggressively subsidize its domestic chipmakers, while its regulators threatened to delay big deals -- such as <b>Nvidia</b>'s (NASDAQ:NVDA) planned purchase of Arm -- that benefit <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> chipmakers. Meanwhile, the U.S. has granted subsidies to TSMC to build new plants in Arizona, and will likely subsidize <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a></b>'s (NASDAQ:INTC) plans to expand its domestic foundries.</p>\n<h3>3. Understand the different types of chipmakers</h3>\n<p>Investors shouldn't touch any chip stocks until they understand the differences between integrated device manufacturers (IDMs), fabless chipmakers, chip designers, and third-party foundries.</p>\n<p>IDMs design, manufacture, and sell their own chips. Intel, Skyworks, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TXN\">Texas Instruments</a></b>&nbsp;are all IDMs -- but Intel manufactures smaller and more complex chips than those other two chipmakers.</p>\n<p>Fabless chipmakers design their own chips but outsource the production to third-party foundries. These chipmakers -- which include Nvidia, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> Micro Devices</b>, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a></b> -- adopt this model because it's become too expensive to mass produce advanced chips on their own.</p>\n<p>Chip designers license their designs to other chipmakers instead of manufacturing any chips. The industry's most important chip designer is arguably Arm Holdings, which provides designs for most of the world's mobile chips. That's why Nvidia's planned takeover of Arm is so controversial.</p>\n<p>Lastly, third-party foundries do the heavy lifting for fabless chipmakers. TSMC and <b>Samsung</b>are the world's two most advanced contract chipmakers -- but Intel is trying to catch up with aggressive investments in its third-party foundry services. These leading foundries represent bottlenecks in the semiconductor market, and the chip shortage won't be resolved until they expand their capacity.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36e7c524b510f3ddf875d48fa2f3ac29\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>4. Evaluate the revenue growth vs. the rising costs</h3>\n<p>The global chip shortage seems to make TSMC a great investment since it's a linchpin of the market, but investors should realize it needs to significantly boost its capex to expand its capacity while maintaining its lead in the \"process race\" of creating smaller and more advanced chips.</p>\n<p>TSMC plans to boost its capex from $17.2 billion in 2020 to approximately $30 billion this year, then collectively spend roughly $100 billion on its expansion over the next three years. Investors should weigh those rising costs against its projected revenue growth to see if the stock is worth buying. They should also view Intel and Samsung (which isn't available on U.S. exchanges) through the same lens.</p>\n<p>Investors should also see where all that spending is going. One of those top beneficiaries is<b> ASML Holding</b> (NASDAQ:ASML), the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker that has monopolized the entire market for high-end EUV (extreme ultraviolet) systems -- which TSMC, Samsung, and Intel all need to manufacture their smallest and most advanced chips.</p>\n<p>Therefore, it might make more sense to invest in ASML, another linchpin of the global semiconductor market, instead of other chipmakers as a long-term play on the ongoing chip shortage.</p>\n<h3>5. Understand which companies are affected the most</h3>\n<p>In addition to treading carefully with chipmakers and equipment makers during the shortage, investors should understand how the current bottlenecks could affect consumer-facing companies like<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b> (NASDAQ:AAPL), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">Sony</a></b> , and <b>Nintendo</b>. Apple expects the chip shortage to impact its iPhone shipments this year, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">Sony</a> and Nintendo expect those headwinds to throttle their shipments of PS5 and Switch consoles, respectively. The shortage is also disrupting the production of new vehicles.</p>\n<p>Most of these companies should recover since there's plenty of pent-up demand for their products, but investors shouldn't ignore the near-term headwinds. Investors who want to profit from the shortage over the next two years should dive deeper into the semiconductor sector instead.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech Companies Are Facing a Global Chip Shortage: 5 Tips for Investors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech Companies Are Facing a Global Chip Shortage: 5 Tips for Investors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 22:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/04/tech-companies-facing-global-chip-shortage-5-tips/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe global chip shortage has the potential to last through 2023.\nInvestors should dig deeper into the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/04/tech-companies-facing-global-chip-shortage-5-tips/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达","INTC":"英特尔","SWKS":"思佳讯","QCOM":"高通","AAPL":"苹果","SONY":"索尼","TXN":"德州仪器","ASML":"阿斯麦","SSNLF":"三星电子","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/04/tech-companies-facing-global-chip-shortage-5-tips/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2156060681","content_text":"The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe global chip shortage has the potential to last through 2023.\nInvestors should dig deeper into the semiconductor sector to understand those challenges.\nInvestors should recognize the near-term headwinds for companies relying on a steady supply of new chips.\n\nThe global chip shortage started in 2018 and 2019 as escalating trade conflicts disrupted semiconductor supply chains, then worsened in 2020 as the pandemic exacerbated those disruptions. Many top chipmakers and analysts expect the ongoing crisis to last through 2023.\nThat shortage is generating tailwinds and headwinds for certain companies, but it can be tough for investors to tune out the noise and separate the winners from the losers. Let's examine five main aspects of the chip shortage -- and how they could affect certain sectors and stocks.\n1. Understand the secular tailwinds\nEven if the trade war and pandemic didn't happen, the market's demand for chips would still be elevated today. New 5G devices, gaming consoles, connected and driverless cars, and Internet of Things (IoT) gadgets all require increasing numbers of more advanced chips. Data centers are also upgrading their servers to deal with the surging usage of cloud, machine learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) services.\nHowever, the pandemic also accelerated sales of stay-at-home consumer electronics such as PCs and gaming consoles, while disrupting the available supply of chips. Those unexpected twists made it even tougher for chipmakers to keep up with the market's insatiable appetite for new chips.\n2. Understand the geopolitical tensions\nThe tech war between the U.S. and China is causing headaches for many chipmakers. For example, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSM), the world's top contract chipmaker, was forced to stop accepting orders from Huawei after the U.S. blacklisted the Chinese tech giant. U.S. chipmakers like Skyworks Solutions and Micron Technology were also forced to cut ties with Huawei.\nThat decoupling caused China to aggressively subsidize its domestic chipmakers, while its regulators threatened to delay big deals -- such as Nvidia's (NASDAQ:NVDA) planned purchase of Arm -- that benefit American chipmakers. Meanwhile, the U.S. has granted subsidies to TSMC to build new plants in Arizona, and will likely subsidize Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) plans to expand its domestic foundries.\n3. Understand the different types of chipmakers\nInvestors shouldn't touch any chip stocks until they understand the differences between integrated device manufacturers (IDMs), fabless chipmakers, chip designers, and third-party foundries.\nIDMs design, manufacture, and sell their own chips. Intel, Skyworks, and Texas Instruments are all IDMs -- but Intel manufactures smaller and more complex chips than those other two chipmakers.\nFabless chipmakers design their own chips but outsource the production to third-party foundries. These chipmakers -- which include Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Qualcomm -- adopt this model because it's become too expensive to mass produce advanced chips on their own.\nChip designers license their designs to other chipmakers instead of manufacturing any chips. The industry's most important chip designer is arguably Arm Holdings, which provides designs for most of the world's mobile chips. That's why Nvidia's planned takeover of Arm is so controversial.\nLastly, third-party foundries do the heavy lifting for fabless chipmakers. TSMC and Samsungare the world's two most advanced contract chipmakers -- but Intel is trying to catch up with aggressive investments in its third-party foundry services. These leading foundries represent bottlenecks in the semiconductor market, and the chip shortage won't be resolved until they expand their capacity.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\n4. Evaluate the revenue growth vs. the rising costs\nThe global chip shortage seems to make TSMC a great investment since it's a linchpin of the market, but investors should realize it needs to significantly boost its capex to expand its capacity while maintaining its lead in the \"process race\" of creating smaller and more advanced chips.\nTSMC plans to boost its capex from $17.2 billion in 2020 to approximately $30 billion this year, then collectively spend roughly $100 billion on its expansion over the next three years. Investors should weigh those rising costs against its projected revenue growth to see if the stock is worth buying. They should also view Intel and Samsung (which isn't available on U.S. exchanges) through the same lens.\nInvestors should also see where all that spending is going. One of those top beneficiaries is ASML Holding (NASDAQ:ASML), the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker that has monopolized the entire market for high-end EUV (extreme ultraviolet) systems -- which TSMC, Samsung, and Intel all need to manufacture their smallest and most advanced chips.\nTherefore, it might make more sense to invest in ASML, another linchpin of the global semiconductor market, instead of other chipmakers as a long-term play on the ongoing chip shortage.\n5. Understand which companies are affected the most\nIn addition to treading carefully with chipmakers and equipment makers during the shortage, investors should understand how the current bottlenecks could affect consumer-facing companies like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Sony , and Nintendo. Apple expects the chip shortage to impact its iPhone shipments this year, while Sony and Nintendo expect those headwinds to throttle their shipments of PS5 and Switch consoles, respectively. The shortage is also disrupting the production of new vehicles.\nMost of these companies should recover since there's plenty of pent-up demand for their products, but investors shouldn't ignore the near-term headwinds. Investors who want to profit from the shortage over the next two years should dive deeper into the semiconductor sector instead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800903922,"gmtCreate":1627269167866,"gmtModify":1631885865491,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800903922","repostId":"1143726595","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1143726595","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627268746,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143726595?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 11:05","market":"other","language":"en","title":"Bitcoin Surges Toward $40,000 Level, Extending Recent Recovery","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143726595","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Bitcoin surged on Monday in Asia to nearly $40,000, extending a recent recovery.\nThe largest cryptoc","content":"<p>Bitcoin surged on Monday in Asia to nearly $40,000, extending a recent recovery.</p>\n<p>The largest cryptocurrency rose as much as 15% to $39,681 before paring some of the climb. It was at about $38,100 as of 9:13 a.m. in Hong Kong. The token climbed above its 50-day moving average over the weekend.</p>\n<p>Bitcoin had looked to be in danger of further declines after it fell below $30,000 last week, a level widely flagged by strategists as potentially spurring further drops.</p>\n<p>But it got a boost when Elon Musk -- at “The B Word” conference on Wednesday -- said he wants Bitcoin to succeed and that his space-exploration company SpaceX Inc. owns some. Star investor Cathie Wood said corporations should consider adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, while Square Inc. CEO Jack Dorsey said the coin is resilient.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2c87ab0d72c7e6e46ad4cc12f6a27f37\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"523\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p>Second-largest cryptocurrency Ether also surged, though by a more modest 8.4% to a high of $2,339.</p>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bitcoin Surges Toward $40,000 Level, Extending Recent Recovery</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBitcoin Surges Toward $40,000 Level, Extending Recent Recovery\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 11:05 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-26/bitcoin-surges-toward-40-000-level-extending-recent-recovery><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Bitcoin surged on Monday in Asia to nearly $40,000, extending a recent recovery.\nThe largest cryptocurrency rose as much as 15% to $39,681 before paring some of the climb. It was at about $38,100 as ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-26/bitcoin-surges-toward-40-000-level-extending-recent-recovery\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-26/bitcoin-surges-toward-40-000-level-extending-recent-recovery","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143726595","content_text":"Bitcoin surged on Monday in Asia to nearly $40,000, extending a recent recovery.\nThe largest cryptocurrency rose as much as 15% to $39,681 before paring some of the climb. It was at about $38,100 as of 9:13 a.m. in Hong Kong. The token climbed above its 50-day moving average over the weekend.\nBitcoin had looked to be in danger of further declines after it fell below $30,000 last week, a level widely flagged by strategists as potentially spurring further drops.\nBut it got a boost when Elon Musk -- at “The B Word” conference on Wednesday -- said he wants Bitcoin to succeed and that his space-exploration company SpaceX Inc. owns some. Star investor Cathie Wood said corporations should consider adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, while Square Inc. CEO Jack Dorsey said the coin is resilient.\n\nSecond-largest cryptocurrency Ether also surged, though by a more modest 8.4% to a high of $2,339.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800067199,"gmtCreate":1627266664211,"gmtModify":1631885865535,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800067199","repostId":"1187084507","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187084507","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627265195,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187084507?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-26 10:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187084507","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Amazon.com is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD) payments by the end of the year and its","content":"<ul>\n <li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>&nbsp;is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD)&nbsp;payments by the end of the year and its exploring its own token for next year.</li>\n <li>Amazon has been working on the plan since 2019, according to a&nbsp;City A.M.report, which cites an unidentified insider. After bitcoin, the e-commerce behemoth is expected to accept ethereum (ETH-USD), cardano (ADA-USD) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH-USD) before the company brings another eight or so of the most popular cryptocurrencies online.</li>\n <li>The City A.M. report comes after a Friday report that anAmazon job posting signals potential plan to accept cryptocurrency.</li>\n <li>Earlier,Bitcoin rises nears $35K level in days following Musk, Wood, Dorsey comments.</li>\n</ul>\n<ul></ul>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title> Amazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n Amazon is said looking to accept bitcoin payments by the end of the year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-26 10:06 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3718834-amazon-is-said-looking-to-accept-bitcoin-payments-by-the-end-of-the-year><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon.com is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD) payments by the end of the year and its exploring its own token for next year.\nAmazon has been working on the plan since 2019, according to...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3718834-amazon-is-said-looking-to-accept-bitcoin-payments-by-the-end-of-the-year\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3718834-amazon-is-said-looking-to-accept-bitcoin-payments-by-the-end-of-the-year","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187084507","content_text":"Amazon.com is said to be looking to accept bitcoin (BTC-USD) payments by the end of the year and its exploring its own token for next year.\nAmazon has been working on the plan since 2019, according to a City A.M.report, which cites an unidentified insider. After bitcoin, the e-commerce behemoth is expected to accept ethereum (ETH-USD), cardano (ADA-USD) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH-USD) before the company brings another eight or so of the most popular cryptocurrencies online.\nThe City A.M. report comes after a Friday report that anAmazon job posting signals potential plan to accept cryptocurrency.\nEarlier,Bitcoin rises nears $35K level in days following Musk, Wood, Dorsey comments.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":114,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":177366817,"gmtCreate":1627181391939,"gmtModify":1631885865547,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177366817","repostId":"1118041582","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1118041582","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627175995,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1118041582?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-25 09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: 17 IPOs are coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118041582","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs schedul","content":"<p>After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs scheduled for the week ahead.</p>\n<p>Long-awaited retail brokerage&nbsp;<b>Robinhood Markets</b>(HOOD) plans to raise $2.2 billion at a $36.8 billion market cap. The company offers a no-commission retail brokerage platform with over 18 million MAUs. Despite triple-digit revenue growth in the 1Q21, the platform is dependent on trading volumes, and the recent retail trading boom may be unsustainable.</p>\n<p>Vehicle battery maker&nbsp;<b>Clarios International</b>(BTRY) plans to raise $1.7 billion at a $9.7 billion market cap. The company manufactures low-voltage vehicles batteries globally, stating that it has the number one market position in the Americas and EMEA. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Clarios saw revenue growth accelerate in the 1H FY21 after turning negative in the FY20 due to COVID.</p>\n<p>Altice’s ad-tech platform&nbsp;<b>Teads</b>(TEAD) plans to raise $751 million at a $4.6 billion market cap. Teads operates a cloud-based programmatic digital advertising platform for advertisers and publishers. Profitable with solid growth, Teads provides monetization services to about 3,100 publishers.</p>\n<p>Education software provider&nbsp;<b>PowerSchool Holdings</b>(PWSC) plans to raise $750 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. The company provides an education platform for teachers to manage classroom activities such as collecting work and grading assignments. Serving over 12,000 customers in over 90 countries globally, PowerSchool turned profitable on a net income basis in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>After withdrawing its IPO attempt in 2018,<b>Dole</b>(DOLE) plans to raise $559 million at a $2.0 billion market cap. This leading fruit and vegetable company offers over 300 products sourced from over 30 countries to over 80 countries globally. Slow growing and profitable, Dole's offering is being made in connection with its merger with Total Produce.</p>\n<p>Language learning platform&nbsp;<b>Duolingo</b>(DUOL) plans to raise $460 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Duolingo provides an online platform for over 300 million users to learn over 30 new languages. Benefiting from a COVID-related boost in demand, Duolingo posted triple-digit growth in 2020.</p>\n<p><b>Traeger</b>(COOK) plans to raise $400 million at a $2.2 billion market cap. This company makes premium backyard wood pellet grills with a tech feature, allowing owners to program, monitor, and control their grill through the Traeger app. Traeger is a category leader of the wood pellet grill, growing revenue at a 28% CAGR from 2017 to 2020.</p>\n<p>Israeli anti-fraud firm&nbsp;<b>Riskified</b>(RSKD) plans to raise $333 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. This company provides e-commerce fraud protection for enterprises. Growing but unprofitable, Riskified saw its free cash flow swing positive in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Financial software provider&nbsp;<b>MeridianLink</b>(MLNK) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. MeridianLink offers a cloud-based digital lending and account opening platform for mid-market community banks and credit unions. Although business is cyclical, the company saw double-digit organic growth in the FY20 due to strong mortgage activity.</p>\n<p>Smart home integration system&nbsp;<b>Snap One Holdings</b>(SNPO) plans to raise $270 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This company provides smart home technology products to over 16,000 professional integrators. Snap One has demonstrated solid growth and was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Specialty funding solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Preston Hollow Community Capital</b>(PHCC) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. This company is a market leader in providing specialized impact financing solutions for projects of significant social and economic importance to local communities in the US. It serves a variety of areas, including infrastructure, education, healthcare, and housing.</p>\n<p>Vaccine biotech&nbsp;<b>Icosavax</b>(ICVX) plans to raise $150 million at a $590 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is initially focused on developing vaccines against infectious respiratory diseases using its virus-like particle platform technology. Its most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 1/2 trial for SARS-CoV-2.</p>\n<p>Cancer biotech&nbsp;<b>Candel Therapeutics</b>(CADL) plans to raise $85 million at a $398 million market cap. Candel's most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 3 trial in combination with prodrug valacyclovir for newly diagnosed localized prostate cancer with an intermediate or high-risk for progression. The company expects to complete enrollment in the 3Q21 with a final data readout in 2024.</p>\n<p>Rare disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Rallybio</b>(RLYB) plans to raise $81 million at a $465 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is developing antibody therapies for rare diseases. Its lead program is currently being evaluated to treat fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia in a Phase 1/2 trial.</p>\n<p><b>Ocean Biomedical</b>(OCEA) plans to raise $50 million at a $506 million market cap. The company is currently pursuing preclinical programs in oncology, fibrosis, infectious disease, and inflammation that have been licensed directly or indirectly from Brown University, Stanford University, and Rhode Island Hospital.</p>\n<p>After postponing in November 2020,<b>IN8bio</b>(INAB) plans to raise $44 million at a $215 million market cap. This Phase 1 biotech is developing allogeneic gamma-delta T cell therapies to treat solid tumors. Although gamma-delta T cells could potentially treat solid tumors, the company is very early stage and has dosed a limited number of patients.</p>\n<p>Female cancer biotech&nbsp;<b>Context Therapeutics</b>(CNTX) plans to raise $20 million at a $93 million market cap. Context is developing treatments for female cancers, such as breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancer. The company’s lead candidate is currently in Phase 2 trials for ovarian and endometrial cancer, with preliminary results expected in the 2H21 and the 1H22.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b38a8af5f92621b2633830553616b5d\" tg-width=\"1271\" tg-height=\"702\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5faec597a337345b21c846808295821d\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021cc62ff4eaabd0b6a7dee91fc0d63e\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p>\n<p>The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/22/2021, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 1.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 16.3%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 3.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 8.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include EQT Partners and Smoore International.</p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: 17 IPOs are coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: 17 IPOs are coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 09:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84600/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Robinhood%E2%80%99s-billion-dollar-deal-headlines-a-17-IPO-week><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs scheduled for the week ahead.\nLong-awaited retail brokerage Robinhood Markets(HOOD) plans to raise $2.2 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84600/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Robinhood%E2%80%99s-billion-dollar-deal-headlines-a-17-IPO-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DOLE":"都乐食品","PWSC":"PowerSchool Holdings, Inc.","MLNK":"MeridianLink, Inc. (ex-Project Angel Parent, LLC)",".DJI":"道琼斯","INAB":"IN8bio, Inc.","DUOL":"多邻国","SNPO":"Snap One Holdings Corp.","FEOVF":"Oceanic Iron Ore Corp.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","RLYB":"Rallybio Corp.","CNTX":"Context Therapeutics Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HOOD":"Robinhood","COOK":"Traeger Inc. (TGPX Holdings I LLC)","ICVX":"Icosavax, Inc.","RSKD":"Riskified Ltd.","CADLF":"CADELER AS"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84600/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Robinhood%E2%80%99s-billion-dollar-deal-headlines-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118041582","content_text":"After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs scheduled for the week ahead.\nLong-awaited retail brokerage Robinhood Markets(HOOD) plans to raise $2.2 billion at a $36.8 billion market cap. The company offers a no-commission retail brokerage platform with over 18 million MAUs. Despite triple-digit revenue growth in the 1Q21, the platform is dependent on trading volumes, and the recent retail trading boom may be unsustainable.\nVehicle battery maker Clarios International(BTRY) plans to raise $1.7 billion at a $9.7 billion market cap. The company manufactures low-voltage vehicles batteries globally, stating that it has the number one market position in the Americas and EMEA. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Clarios saw revenue growth accelerate in the 1H FY21 after turning negative in the FY20 due to COVID.\nAltice’s ad-tech platform Teads(TEAD) plans to raise $751 million at a $4.6 billion market cap. Teads operates a cloud-based programmatic digital advertising platform for advertisers and publishers. Profitable with solid growth, Teads provides monetization services to about 3,100 publishers.\nEducation software provider PowerSchool Holdings(PWSC) plans to raise $750 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. The company provides an education platform for teachers to manage classroom activities such as collecting work and grading assignments. Serving over 12,000 customers in over 90 countries globally, PowerSchool turned profitable on a net income basis in the 1Q21.\nAfter withdrawing its IPO attempt in 2018,Dole(DOLE) plans to raise $559 million at a $2.0 billion market cap. This leading fruit and vegetable company offers over 300 products sourced from over 30 countries to over 80 countries globally. Slow growing and profitable, Dole's offering is being made in connection with its merger with Total Produce.\nLanguage learning platform Duolingo(DUOL) plans to raise $460 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Duolingo provides an online platform for over 300 million users to learn over 30 new languages. Benefiting from a COVID-related boost in demand, Duolingo posted triple-digit growth in 2020.\nTraeger(COOK) plans to raise $400 million at a $2.2 billion market cap. This company makes premium backyard wood pellet grills with a tech feature, allowing owners to program, monitor, and control their grill through the Traeger app. Traeger is a category leader of the wood pellet grill, growing revenue at a 28% CAGR from 2017 to 2020.\nIsraeli anti-fraud firm Riskified(RSKD) plans to raise $333 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. This company provides e-commerce fraud protection for enterprises. Growing but unprofitable, Riskified saw its free cash flow swing positive in the 1Q21.\nFinancial software provider MeridianLink(MLNK) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. MeridianLink offers a cloud-based digital lending and account opening platform for mid-market community banks and credit unions. Although business is cyclical, the company saw double-digit organic growth in the FY20 due to strong mortgage activity.\nSmart home integration system Snap One Holdings(SNPO) plans to raise $270 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This company provides smart home technology products to over 16,000 professional integrators. Snap One has demonstrated solid growth and was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1Q21.\nSpecialty funding solutions provider Preston Hollow Community Capital(PHCC) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. This company is a market leader in providing specialized impact financing solutions for projects of significant social and economic importance to local communities in the US. It serves a variety of areas, including infrastructure, education, healthcare, and housing.\nVaccine biotech Icosavax(ICVX) plans to raise $150 million at a $590 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is initially focused on developing vaccines against infectious respiratory diseases using its virus-like particle platform technology. Its most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 1/2 trial for SARS-CoV-2.\nCancer biotech Candel Therapeutics(CADL) plans to raise $85 million at a $398 million market cap. Candel's most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 3 trial in combination with prodrug valacyclovir for newly diagnosed localized prostate cancer with an intermediate or high-risk for progression. The company expects to complete enrollment in the 3Q21 with a final data readout in 2024.\nRare disease biotech Rallybio(RLYB) plans to raise $81 million at a $465 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is developing antibody therapies for rare diseases. Its lead program is currently being evaluated to treat fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia in a Phase 1/2 trial.\nOcean Biomedical(OCEA) plans to raise $50 million at a $506 million market cap. The company is currently pursuing preclinical programs in oncology, fibrosis, infectious disease, and inflammation that have been licensed directly or indirectly from Brown University, Stanford University, and Rhode Island Hospital.\nAfter postponing in November 2020,IN8bio(INAB) plans to raise $44 million at a $215 million market cap. This Phase 1 biotech is developing allogeneic gamma-delta T cell therapies to treat solid tumors. Although gamma-delta T cells could potentially treat solid tumors, the company is very early stage and has dosed a limited number of patients.\nFemale cancer biotech Context Therapeutics(CNTX) plans to raise $20 million at a $93 million market cap. Context is developing treatments for female cancers, such as breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancer. The company’s lead candidate is currently in Phase 2 trials for ovarian and endometrial cancer, with preliminary results expected in the 2H21 and the 1H22.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/22/2021, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 1.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 16.3%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 3.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 8.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include EQT Partners and Smoore 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(GME) This stock is&nbsp;volatile but Ihad luck by buying the stock at USD 146 then selling at USD 280 .&nbsp;","listText":"GameStop (GME) This stock is&nbsp;volatile but Ihad luck by buying the stock at USD 146 then selling at USD 280 .&nbsp;","text":"GameStop (GME) This stock is volatile but Ihad luck by buying the stock at USD 146 then selling at USD 280 .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168824569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890126788,"gmtCreate":1628087701344,"gmtModify":1631885865431,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890126788","repostId":"2156060681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2156060681","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1628085780,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2156060681?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 22:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tech Companies Are Facing a Global Chip Shortage: 5 Tips for Investors","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2156060681","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.","content":"<blockquote>\n The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.\n</blockquote>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>The global chip shortage has the potential to last through 2023.</li>\n <li>Investors should dig deeper into the semiconductor sector to understand those challenges.</li>\n <li>Investors should recognize the near-term headwinds for companies relying on a steady supply of new chips.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>The global chip shortage started in 2018 and 2019 as escalating trade conflicts disrupted semiconductor supply chains, then worsened in 2020 as the pandemic exacerbated those disruptions. Many top chipmakers and analysts expect the ongoing crisis to last through 2023.</p>\n<p>That shortage is generating tailwinds and headwinds for certain companies, but it can be tough for investors to tune out the noise and separate the winners from the losers. Let's examine five main aspects of the chip shortage -- and how they could affect certain sectors and stocks.</p>\n<h3>1. Understand the secular tailwinds</h3>\n<p>Even if the trade war and pandemic didn't happen, the market's demand for chips would still be elevated today. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NGD\">New</a> 5G devices, gaming consoles, connected and driverless cars, and Internet of Things (IoT) gadgets all require increasing numbers of more advanced chips. Data centers are also upgrading their servers to deal with the surging usage of cloud, machine learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) services.</p>\n<p>However, the pandemic also accelerated sales of stay-at-home consumer electronics such as PCs and gaming consoles, while disrupting the available supply of chips. Those unexpected twists made it even tougher for chipmakers to keep up with the market's insatiable appetite for new chips.</p>\n<h3>2. Understand the geopolitical tensions</h3>\n<p>The tech war between the U.S. and China is causing headaches for many chipmakers. For example, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</a> Company</b> (NYSE:TSM), the world's top contract chipmaker, was forced to stop accepting orders from <b>Huawei</b> after the U.S. blacklisted the Chinese tech giant. U.S. chipmakers like <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWKS\">Skyworks Solutions</a></b> and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a></b> were also forced to cut ties with Huawei.</p>\n<p>That decoupling caused China to aggressively subsidize its domestic chipmakers, while its regulators threatened to delay big deals -- such as <b>Nvidia</b>'s (NASDAQ:NVDA) planned purchase of Arm -- that benefit <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFG\">American</a> chipmakers. Meanwhile, the U.S. has granted subsidies to TSMC to build new plants in Arizona, and will likely subsidize <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/INTC\">Intel</a></b>'s (NASDAQ:INTC) plans to expand its domestic foundries.</p>\n<h3>3. Understand the different types of chipmakers</h3>\n<p>Investors shouldn't touch any chip stocks until they understand the differences between integrated device manufacturers (IDMs), fabless chipmakers, chip designers, and third-party foundries.</p>\n<p>IDMs design, manufacture, and sell their own chips. Intel, Skyworks, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TXN\">Texas Instruments</a></b>&nbsp;are all IDMs -- but Intel manufactures smaller and more complex chips than those other two chipmakers.</p>\n<p>Fabless chipmakers design their own chips but outsource the production to third-party foundries. These chipmakers -- which include Nvidia, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AEIS\">Advanced</a> Micro Devices</b>, and <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a></b> -- adopt this model because it's become too expensive to mass produce advanced chips on their own.</p>\n<p>Chip designers license their designs to other chipmakers instead of manufacturing any chips. The industry's most important chip designer is arguably Arm Holdings, which provides designs for most of the world's mobile chips. That's why Nvidia's planned takeover of Arm is so controversial.</p>\n<p>Lastly, third-party foundries do the heavy lifting for fabless chipmakers. TSMC and <b>Samsung</b>are the world's two most advanced contract chipmakers -- but Intel is trying to catch up with aggressive investments in its third-party foundry services. These leading foundries represent bottlenecks in the semiconductor market, and the chip shortage won't be resolved until they expand their capacity.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36e7c524b510f3ddf875d48fa2f3ac29\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"393\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>\n<h3>4. Evaluate the revenue growth vs. the rising costs</h3>\n<p>The global chip shortage seems to make TSMC a great investment since it's a linchpin of the market, but investors should realize it needs to significantly boost its capex to expand its capacity while maintaining its lead in the \"process race\" of creating smaller and more advanced chips.</p>\n<p>TSMC plans to boost its capex from $17.2 billion in 2020 to approximately $30 billion this year, then collectively spend roughly $100 billion on its expansion over the next three years. Investors should weigh those rising costs against its projected revenue growth to see if the stock is worth buying. They should also view Intel and Samsung (which isn't available on U.S. exchanges) through the same lens.</p>\n<p>Investors should also see where all that spending is going. One of those top beneficiaries is<b> ASML Holding</b> (NASDAQ:ASML), the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker that has monopolized the entire market for high-end EUV (extreme ultraviolet) systems -- which TSMC, Samsung, and Intel all need to manufacture their smallest and most advanced chips.</p>\n<p>Therefore, it might make more sense to invest in ASML, another linchpin of the global semiconductor market, instead of other chipmakers as a long-term play on the ongoing chip shortage.</p>\n<h3>5. Understand which companies are affected the most</h3>\n<p>In addition to treading carefully with chipmakers and equipment makers during the shortage, investors should understand how the current bottlenecks could affect consumer-facing companies like<b> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a></b> (NASDAQ:AAPL), <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">Sony</a></b> , and <b>Nintendo</b>. Apple expects the chip shortage to impact its iPhone shipments this year, while <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SONY\">Sony</a> and Nintendo expect those headwinds to throttle their shipments of PS5 and Switch consoles, respectively. The shortage is also disrupting the production of new vehicles.</p>\n<p>Most of these companies should recover since there's plenty of pent-up demand for their products, but investors shouldn't ignore the near-term headwinds. Investors who want to profit from the shortage over the next two years should dive deeper into the semiconductor sector instead.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tech Companies Are Facing a Global Chip Shortage: 5 Tips for Investors</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTech Companies Are Facing a Global Chip Shortage: 5 Tips for Investors\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-04 22:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/04/tech-companies-facing-global-chip-shortage-5-tips/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe global chip shortage has the potential to last through 2023.\nInvestors should dig deeper into the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/04/tech-companies-facing-global-chip-shortage-5-tips/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","AMD":"美国超微公司","NVDA":"英伟达","INTC":"英特尔","SWKS":"思佳讯","QCOM":"高通","AAPL":"苹果","SONY":"索尼","TXN":"德州仪器","ASML":"阿斯麦","SSNLF":"三星电子","TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/08/04/tech-companies-facing-global-chip-shortage-5-tips/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2156060681","content_text":"The chip shortage is creating new opportunities and risks for investors.\n\nKey Points\n\nThe global chip shortage has the potential to last through 2023.\nInvestors should dig deeper into the semiconductor sector to understand those challenges.\nInvestors should recognize the near-term headwinds for companies relying on a steady supply of new chips.\n\nThe global chip shortage started in 2018 and 2019 as escalating trade conflicts disrupted semiconductor supply chains, then worsened in 2020 as the pandemic exacerbated those disruptions. Many top chipmakers and analysts expect the ongoing crisis to last through 2023.\nThat shortage is generating tailwinds and headwinds for certain companies, but it can be tough for investors to tune out the noise and separate the winners from the losers. Let's examine five main aspects of the chip shortage -- and how they could affect certain sectors and stocks.\n1. Understand the secular tailwinds\nEven if the trade war and pandemic didn't happen, the market's demand for chips would still be elevated today. New 5G devices, gaming consoles, connected and driverless cars, and Internet of Things (IoT) gadgets all require increasing numbers of more advanced chips. Data centers are also upgrading their servers to deal with the surging usage of cloud, machine learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) services.\nHowever, the pandemic also accelerated sales of stay-at-home consumer electronics such as PCs and gaming consoles, while disrupting the available supply of chips. Those unexpected twists made it even tougher for chipmakers to keep up with the market's insatiable appetite for new chips.\n2. Understand the geopolitical tensions\nThe tech war between the U.S. and China is causing headaches for many chipmakers. For example, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:TSM), the world's top contract chipmaker, was forced to stop accepting orders from Huawei after the U.S. blacklisted the Chinese tech giant. U.S. chipmakers like Skyworks Solutions and Micron Technology were also forced to cut ties with Huawei.\nThat decoupling caused China to aggressively subsidize its domestic chipmakers, while its regulators threatened to delay big deals -- such as Nvidia's (NASDAQ:NVDA) planned purchase of Arm -- that benefit American chipmakers. Meanwhile, the U.S. has granted subsidies to TSMC to build new plants in Arizona, and will likely subsidize Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) plans to expand its domestic foundries.\n3. Understand the different types of chipmakers\nInvestors shouldn't touch any chip stocks until they understand the differences between integrated device manufacturers (IDMs), fabless chipmakers, chip designers, and third-party foundries.\nIDMs design, manufacture, and sell their own chips. Intel, Skyworks, and Texas Instruments are all IDMs -- but Intel manufactures smaller and more complex chips than those other two chipmakers.\nFabless chipmakers design their own chips but outsource the production to third-party foundries. These chipmakers -- which include Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Qualcomm -- adopt this model because it's become too expensive to mass produce advanced chips on their own.\nChip designers license their designs to other chipmakers instead of manufacturing any chips. The industry's most important chip designer is arguably Arm Holdings, which provides designs for most of the world's mobile chips. That's why Nvidia's planned takeover of Arm is so controversial.\nLastly, third-party foundries do the heavy lifting for fabless chipmakers. TSMC and Samsungare the world's two most advanced contract chipmakers -- but Intel is trying to catch up with aggressive investments in its third-party foundry services. These leading foundries represent bottlenecks in the semiconductor market, and the chip shortage won't be resolved until they expand their capacity.\n\nImage source: Getty Images.\n4. Evaluate the revenue growth vs. the rising costs\nThe global chip shortage seems to make TSMC a great investment since it's a linchpin of the market, but investors should realize it needs to significantly boost its capex to expand its capacity while maintaining its lead in the \"process race\" of creating smaller and more advanced chips.\nTSMC plans to boost its capex from $17.2 billion in 2020 to approximately $30 billion this year, then collectively spend roughly $100 billion on its expansion over the next three years. Investors should weigh those rising costs against its projected revenue growth to see if the stock is worth buying. They should also view Intel and Samsung (which isn't available on U.S. exchanges) through the same lens.\nInvestors should also see where all that spending is going. One of those top beneficiaries is ASML Holding (NASDAQ:ASML), the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker that has monopolized the entire market for high-end EUV (extreme ultraviolet) systems -- which TSMC, Samsung, and Intel all need to manufacture their smallest and most advanced chips.\nTherefore, it might make more sense to invest in ASML, another linchpin of the global semiconductor market, instead of other chipmakers as a long-term play on the ongoing chip shortage.\n5. Understand which companies are affected the most\nIn addition to treading carefully with chipmakers and equipment makers during the shortage, investors should understand how the current bottlenecks could affect consumer-facing companies like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Sony , and Nintendo. Apple expects the chip shortage to impact its iPhone shipments this year, while Sony and Nintendo expect those headwinds to throttle their shipments of PS5 and Switch consoles, respectively. The shortage is also disrupting the production of new vehicles.\nMost of these companies should recover since there's plenty of pent-up demand for their products, but investors shouldn't ignore the near-term headwinds. Investors who want to profit from the shortage over the next two years should dive deeper into the semiconductor sector instead.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":380,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173840976,"gmtCreate":1626654502995,"gmtModify":1631885865443,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173840976","repostId":"1123760994","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123760994","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626652367,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123760994?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 07:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How the Federal Reserve can really help America","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123760994","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"1913 was a big year for America. On October 7, Henry Ford introduced the world’s first moving car as","content":"<p>1913 was a big year for America. On October 7, Henry Ford introduced the world’s first moving car assembly line in Highland Park, Michigan. Then two months later, on December 23, Congress passed the Federal Reserve Act creating our nation’s central bank.</p>\n<p>The evolution of the automobile over the past 108 years, from the Ford Model T to Tesla's Model X, has been nothing short of stunning. The Federal Reserve’s advances have been, well, let’s just say slower. Much slower.</p>\n<p>Which brings me to my point: Yes, the Federal Reserve has greatly aided our economic well-being (by cushioning us from and even helping us avoid economic catastrophe) and yes it has expanded its influence over the decades (particularly in the 1930s and after the Great Recession in 2008/2009) but its primary modus operandi when it comes to guiding the economy have remained constant.</p>\n<p>I would argue those policies are now outmoded and potentially even detrimental. Yes, there has always been some downside to the Fed’s work, but now — and here’s the crux of it — because of dramatic and unprecedented moves by the central bank recently, the collateral damage may be coming close to outweighing the benefits of the moves themselves.</p>\n<p>Specifically, the Fed’s boosting of the economy by keeping interest rates low disproportionately helps rich people and thereby actually disadvantages those in need. To put a fine point on it, hedge fund types, corporate executives, hotshot techies and the like are becoming way, way richer, while working people, people with only a high school degree, people of color are falling further and further behind. This isn’t socialist bleating. These are facts, and the Fed is a party to it. As such, the Fed needs a wake-up call, or maybe a reset is a better way to put it.</p>\n<p>I generally abhor Fed bashing. There is an entire cottage industry of mostly conspiracy-minded wingnuts, who howl that the Fed is either moving too early or too late or too much or too little, or is in cahoots with the Trilateral Commission to take over the world. I pay this little heed and suggest you do the same.</p>\n<p>What I’m talking about though has nothing to do with harebrained stuff, rather it concerns a sophisticated, highly-regarded institution that has become locked into policies, which though well-intentioned are now producing consequences that can be construed as harmful to our society and economy.</p>\n<p>Before I get into the particulars, let’s first be clear about what the Federal Reserve is. For one thingthe Fed is a large and complex,(a “messy system”the Washington Post calls it), with “a dozen reserve banks based around the country, plus 20 smaller branch locations… and around 20,000 employees and $2.3 billion worth of real estate.</p>\n<p>The Fed states that it “provides the nation with a safe, flexible and stable monetary and financial system.” To fulfill that role, the central bank performsa number of functionsincluding regulating banks, settling payments between financial institutions like banks and promoting consumer protection. But when it comes to actually shepherding the economy, the central bank is informed by what’s called the Fed mandate, that being employment and stable prices.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f77ed796f6c2d18bfa7317337191de5c\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">FILE - In this May 4, 2021, file photo is the Federal Reserve in Washington. The Federal Reserve's latest nationwide business survey found that the economy strengthened further in late May and early June, despite supply-chain bottlenecks that led to price hikes. The Fed said Wednesday, July 14, 2021 that seven of its 12 regional bank districts reported strong price increases, with the other five reporting moderate gains in prices. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, File)More</p>\n<p>Congress spelled this out by establishing the mandate in theThe Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978(the Humphrey-Hawkins Act) which “establishes price stability and full employment as national economic policy objectives.” Essentially that means trying to ensure as many people as possible have jobs and guarding against too much inflation (or deflation.) A key third objective is to provide for moderate long-term interest rates.</p>\n<p>To accomplish these objectives, the Fed has utilized two primary mechanisms. The first has been to lower interest rates to boost the economy when it is slow, or slowing down, and raise them to prevent it from overheating. Since 2008 the Fed has kept rates rock bottom low to help the fragile economy, battered first by the Great Recession and recently by the pandemic.</p>\n<p>The second strategy is buying and selling financial instruments and assets like bonds from banks, or what is known as quantitative easing (when it buys) and quantitative tightening (when it sells.) Buying serves to flood the financial system with cash that spurs the economy, which is what the Fed has been doing so much of lately.</p>\n<p>Karen Petrou, managing partner of Federal Financial Analytics and the author of “Engine of Inequality: The Fed and the Future of Wealth in America,” notes in heropinion piece in the New York Timesthis week that: “assets the Fed has taken out of the economy as part of Q.E. (quantitative easing or buying) now stand at $8.1 trillion, or about one-third ofgross domestic product.” That’s a lot.</p>\n<p>It’s important to note here that low rates and goosing the economy does help people of color, lower educated women and other less wealthy groups, argues Michael Weber, an associate professor of finance at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business. It’s just that it benefits the already advantaged more.</p>\n<p>“Higher income and wealthier people hold stock, particularly white college educated Americans,” Weber says. “They benefit disproportionately more from loose monetary policy. If you put the pieces together, you would indeed see in the data lax monetary policy tends to increase income and wealth inequality.”</p>\n<p>Many economists poo-poo the idea of trickle down economics, but in a sense that’s what the Fed's policies really are. It puts money into the hands of banks and wealthy people and then hopes they use that money to boost the economy by expanding businesses, hiring workers and giving them raises. But guess what? Banks and rich people haven’t done this enough. How do I know? Simple: Because wealth inequality keeps rising.</p>\n<p>To be fair, much of the blame and responsibility here rests with Congress, which can employ its fiscal policy tools (such tax policy, the earned income tax credit and even a program like universal basic income — where every citizen would receive a government check each month.) It’s also the case that the Fed is using the tools it has at its disposal. Furthermore, of course the Fed doesn’t want to exacerbate wealth inequality. And yet that’s exactly what it keeps doing. It kind of reminds me of that old definition of insanity, as in doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different outcome.</p>\n<p>The notion of inequality being linked to Fed actions has been getting more visibility. A year ago, then presidential candidateJoe Biden proposedthat Congress amend the Federal Reserve Act to “add to that responsibility and aggressively target persistent racial gaps in job, wages, and wealth.”</p>\n<p>'We need to achieve more inclusive prosperity'</p>\n<p>The Fed itself seems to realize that it needs to change. In August 2020, it released a new strategic framework that suggests it will look at better ways of measuring a successful agenda, which would include all its programs benefiting all Americans. Fed Chair Jay Powell says that means it will look more closely at employment across gender and ethnic groups.</p>\n<p>Last October, Federal Reserve Bank of San FranciscoCEO Mary Daly,gave a speech titled“Is the Federal Reserve Contributing to Economic Inequality?”(which she did not answer directly, btw.) Daly did acknowledge however that the Fed needed to do more, noting that “we will not take the punch bowl away while so many remain on the economic sidelines.” (This is a reference to former Fed chairWilliam McChesney Martinwho in 1955 essentially said it was the job of the Fed to take away the punch bowl just as the party gets going. Meaning it should raise interest rates sooner rather than later to prevent an economic recovery from overheating.)</p>\n<p>Daly went on to say:</p>\n<blockquote>\n <i>“But the most critical aspect of our new framework is not about specific policies. Rather, it is about commitment. The commitment to regularly review our strategy to ensure it continues meeting the needs of the American people.</i>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <i>The ingredients of this ongoing review are simple. We need to listen, research, and engage. Keep our minds open to what we hear, bring the best data and analysis to the problems we find, and have hard, action-oriented conversations around the issues holding us back from achieving our full economic potential.”</i>\n</blockquote>\n<p>Again, a little short on specifics and action points but fair enough.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd858593f64461e93e08798e95aa414c\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">SAN FRANCISCO, CA - JANUARY 10: Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, poses for a photograph. (Photo by Nick Otto for the Washington Post)</p>\n<p>Fed Chair Powell himself recently acknowledged that wealth inequality needed to be addressed: “There’s a growing realization, really across the political spectrum, that we need to achieve more inclusive prosperity,” Mr. Powell remarked to Congress last month,noted the New York Times. But he said the Fed couldn’t be expected to accomplish this on its own and that Congress would need to enact “a much broader set of policies.”</p>\n<p>There seems to be a louder drumbeat coming from the media ranks as well. Besides Petrou’s Times piece,Frontline released “The Power of the Fed,”this week, which questions why the stock market players et al. benefit inordinately when the Fed “continues to pump billions of dollars into the financial system daily…” (Watch the trailer to hear theWill Lymannarration. I love his voice.)</p>\n<p>OK, so what in fact should the Fed do? Some close to the central bank, like David Wilcox,senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, former director of the Federal Reserve’s domestic economics division, and senior adviser to the past three Federal Reserve Chairs (Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, and Ben Bernanke), say not much more than it’s already doing.</p>\n<p>“Economic inequality is a serious problem, it’s something that has been trending in the wrong direction for many decades,” Wilcox says. “It’s something I believe should be addressed. It’s something that requires focused government policy actions to fix. But all of that is largely outside the range of capabilities that the Federal Reserve has.\"</p>\n<p>“The best that the Fed can do to promote economic equality is to try to ensure as best it can that everybody who wants a job can find one, and that prices are going up at a slow, steady, and predictable pace. The only thing worse for inequality than the Fed doing its job would be for the Fed not to do its job. I don’t think the Fed should be given a broader set of powers.”</p>\n<p>And what about the idea of different interest rates for specific regions of the country or for groups with less wealth versus those with more wealth, to pinpoint the Fed’s policies, we ask Wilcox?</p>\n<p>“I’m not going to buy into the premise of the question,” he responds. “For one thing, it would be extremely difficult to design a system that would actually have its intended effect. It’s essential those policy tools you’re talking about be wielded by elected representatives of the people. If the Congress has been unable to meaningfully address these issues that to me is a strong signal that there is no political consensus around how best to address these issues.”</p>\n<p>I’m not sure I agree with that last point. Consider all the things in which Congress can’t achieve consensus. Is there any reason that another branch of government, independent or otherwise — executive, judicial or the Fed — shouldn’t take action to address a pressing need?</p>\n<p>Petrou, on the other hand, envisions a Fed which is more open to changing its stripes. First, she believes that the Fed is not interpreting its own mandate correctly. “If you read the law, you will see the first mandate varies between full and maximum employment, but is described as a job for every person who wants to work, which means paying attention to the labor participation rate, not just the nominal unemployment numbers,” she says. That means Petrou thinks the Fed should be holding itself to a higher standard when it comes to employment. Further Petrou says when it comes to interest rates, the third mandate speaks to moderate rates. “No way that rates close to zero are moderate,” she says.</p>\n<p>So then what should the Fed do, Ms. Petrou? First like Wilcox, she does not believe in targeting specific groups with specific interest rates. “It’s structurally impossible, and from a policy perspective inadvisable,\" she says. “The less the Fed picks winners and losers, the better. They’re unelected, unaccountable, they should stick to their mission and make that mission as small a part of the macro economy as possible.”</p>\n<p>Having said that, Petrou is prescriptive to a degree. “First, the Fed has made a series of egregious analytical errors,” she says. For example, “it showed household income up because more people were working more hours, but not because wages had risen. Another fix is the gradual but significant reduction in the Fed portfolio. So it no longer owns the market; the market owns itself.\"</p>\n<p>“Another fix is that the Fed does not provide an iron safety net beneath the market, and allows bonds and other markets to correct themselves, so market discipline returns. The Fed has set markets up for asset price bubbles — that’s very dangerous and it needs to step back.\"</p>\n<p>“Those fixes are all very doable,” she says. “I do not think it will lead to anything other than perhaps a slight slow down or market correction. Frankly, what's the alternative? Like a drug addict, it hurts, but what do you do, keep taking? You have to stop.”</p>\n<p>Tough medicine indeed. The question is, would this withdrawal hurt just the wealthy and speculators, or those on the lower rungs of the economic ladder as well?</p>\n<p>Certainly that is unclear.</p>\n<p>What if the Fed, Treasury Secretary (and former Fed chair) Janet Yellen and congressional leaders from both parties, convened a summit on how the federal government should address inequality? I think it would be great. Unfortunately I also think it’s a pipe dream.</p>\n<p>Getting back to the Fed, though, it is a remarkable institution filled with whip-smart folks who can run circles around this pea-brain writer. Like any 100-year-old entity, however, it can get stuck in its ways. Consider the Fed’s take on what it sees as slow gains in productivity in our economy. I remember hearing former Fed vice chair, Stanley Fischer,insisting that technology and cellphones had not really improved productivity. Fischer said the Fed couldn't find any significant gains brought on by laptop or cellphone use in their data. (That made me snarkily wonder if Fischer &amp; Co. had ever even used these items.) The real question though is if you can’t see the effects in the way you measure something and it is blindingly obvious there is an effect, maybe your means of measuring are deficient or flawed and it’s time to change the way you do things.</p>\n<p>Ditto when it comes to the Fed changing the way it addresses inequality.</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How the Federal Reserve can really help America</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow the Federal Reserve can really help America\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-19 07:52 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-the-federal-reserve-can-really-help-america-100301361.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>1913 was a big year for America. On October 7, Henry Ford introduced the world’s first moving car assembly line in Highland Park, Michigan. Then two months later, on December 23, Congress passed the...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-the-federal-reserve-can-really-help-america-100301361.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/how-the-federal-reserve-can-really-help-america-100301361.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123760994","content_text":"1913 was a big year for America. On October 7, Henry Ford introduced the world’s first moving car assembly line in Highland Park, Michigan. Then two months later, on December 23, Congress passed the Federal Reserve Act creating our nation’s central bank.\nThe evolution of the automobile over the past 108 years, from the Ford Model T to Tesla's Model X, has been nothing short of stunning. The Federal Reserve’s advances have been, well, let’s just say slower. Much slower.\nWhich brings me to my point: Yes, the Federal Reserve has greatly aided our economic well-being (by cushioning us from and even helping us avoid economic catastrophe) and yes it has expanded its influence over the decades (particularly in the 1930s and after the Great Recession in 2008/2009) but its primary modus operandi when it comes to guiding the economy have remained constant.\nI would argue those policies are now outmoded and potentially even detrimental. Yes, there has always been some downside to the Fed’s work, but now — and here’s the crux of it — because of dramatic and unprecedented moves by the central bank recently, the collateral damage may be coming close to outweighing the benefits of the moves themselves.\nSpecifically, the Fed’s boosting of the economy by keeping interest rates low disproportionately helps rich people and thereby actually disadvantages those in need. To put a fine point on it, hedge fund types, corporate executives, hotshot techies and the like are becoming way, way richer, while working people, people with only a high school degree, people of color are falling further and further behind. This isn’t socialist bleating. These are facts, and the Fed is a party to it. As such, the Fed needs a wake-up call, or maybe a reset is a better way to put it.\nI generally abhor Fed bashing. There is an entire cottage industry of mostly conspiracy-minded wingnuts, who howl that the Fed is either moving too early or too late or too much or too little, or is in cahoots with the Trilateral Commission to take over the world. I pay this little heed and suggest you do the same.\nWhat I’m talking about though has nothing to do with harebrained stuff, rather it concerns a sophisticated, highly-regarded institution that has become locked into policies, which though well-intentioned are now producing consequences that can be construed as harmful to our society and economy.\nBefore I get into the particulars, let’s first be clear about what the Federal Reserve is. For one thingthe Fed is a large and complex,(a “messy system”the Washington Post calls it), with “a dozen reserve banks based around the country, plus 20 smaller branch locations… and around 20,000 employees and $2.3 billion worth of real estate.\nThe Fed states that it “provides the nation with a safe, flexible and stable monetary and financial system.” To fulfill that role, the central bank performsa number of functionsincluding regulating banks, settling payments between financial institutions like banks and promoting consumer protection. But when it comes to actually shepherding the economy, the central bank is informed by what’s called the Fed mandate, that being employment and stable prices.\nFILE - In this May 4, 2021, file photo is the Federal Reserve in Washington. The Federal Reserve's latest nationwide business survey found that the economy strengthened further in late May and early June, despite supply-chain bottlenecks that led to price hikes. The Fed said Wednesday, July 14, 2021 that seven of its 12 regional bank districts reported strong price increases, with the other five reporting moderate gains in prices. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, File)More\nCongress spelled this out by establishing the mandate in theThe Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978(the Humphrey-Hawkins Act) which “establishes price stability and full employment as national economic policy objectives.” Essentially that means trying to ensure as many people as possible have jobs and guarding against too much inflation (or deflation.) A key third objective is to provide for moderate long-term interest rates.\nTo accomplish these objectives, the Fed has utilized two primary mechanisms. The first has been to lower interest rates to boost the economy when it is slow, or slowing down, and raise them to prevent it from overheating. Since 2008 the Fed has kept rates rock bottom low to help the fragile economy, battered first by the Great Recession and recently by the pandemic.\nThe second strategy is buying and selling financial instruments and assets like bonds from banks, or what is known as quantitative easing (when it buys) and quantitative tightening (when it sells.) Buying serves to flood the financial system with cash that spurs the economy, which is what the Fed has been doing so much of lately.\nKaren Petrou, managing partner of Federal Financial Analytics and the author of “Engine of Inequality: The Fed and the Future of Wealth in America,” notes in heropinion piece in the New York Timesthis week that: “assets the Fed has taken out of the economy as part of Q.E. (quantitative easing or buying) now stand at $8.1 trillion, or about one-third ofgross domestic product.” That’s a lot.\nIt’s important to note here that low rates and goosing the economy does help people of color, lower educated women and other less wealthy groups, argues Michael Weber, an associate professor of finance at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business. It’s just that it benefits the already advantaged more.\n“Higher income and wealthier people hold stock, particularly white college educated Americans,” Weber says. “They benefit disproportionately more from loose monetary policy. If you put the pieces together, you would indeed see in the data lax monetary policy tends to increase income and wealth inequality.”\nMany economists poo-poo the idea of trickle down economics, but in a sense that’s what the Fed's policies really are. It puts money into the hands of banks and wealthy people and then hopes they use that money to boost the economy by expanding businesses, hiring workers and giving them raises. But guess what? Banks and rich people haven’t done this enough. How do I know? Simple: Because wealth inequality keeps rising.\nTo be fair, much of the blame and responsibility here rests with Congress, which can employ its fiscal policy tools (such tax policy, the earned income tax credit and even a program like universal basic income — where every citizen would receive a government check each month.) It’s also the case that the Fed is using the tools it has at its disposal. Furthermore, of course the Fed doesn’t want to exacerbate wealth inequality. And yet that’s exactly what it keeps doing. It kind of reminds me of that old definition of insanity, as in doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different outcome.\nThe notion of inequality being linked to Fed actions has been getting more visibility. A year ago, then presidential candidateJoe Biden proposedthat Congress amend the Federal Reserve Act to “add to that responsibility and aggressively target persistent racial gaps in job, wages, and wealth.”\n'We need to achieve more inclusive prosperity'\nThe Fed itself seems to realize that it needs to change. In August 2020, it released a new strategic framework that suggests it will look at better ways of measuring a successful agenda, which would include all its programs benefiting all Americans. Fed Chair Jay Powell says that means it will look more closely at employment across gender and ethnic groups.\nLast October, Federal Reserve Bank of San FranciscoCEO Mary Daly,gave a speech titled“Is the Federal Reserve Contributing to Economic Inequality?”(which she did not answer directly, btw.) Daly did acknowledge however that the Fed needed to do more, noting that “we will not take the punch bowl away while so many remain on the economic sidelines.” (This is a reference to former Fed chairWilliam McChesney Martinwho in 1955 essentially said it was the job of the Fed to take away the punch bowl just as the party gets going. Meaning it should raise interest rates sooner rather than later to prevent an economic recovery from overheating.)\nDaly went on to say:\n\n“But the most critical aspect of our new framework is not about specific policies. Rather, it is about commitment. The commitment to regularly review our strategy to ensure it continues meeting the needs of the American people.\n\n\nThe ingredients of this ongoing review are simple. We need to listen, research, and engage. Keep our minds open to what we hear, bring the best data and analysis to the problems we find, and have hard, action-oriented conversations around the issues holding us back from achieving our full economic potential.”\n\nAgain, a little short on specifics and action points but fair enough.\nSAN FRANCISCO, CA - JANUARY 10: Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, poses for a photograph. (Photo by Nick Otto for the Washington Post)\nFed Chair Powell himself recently acknowledged that wealth inequality needed to be addressed: “There’s a growing realization, really across the political spectrum, that we need to achieve more inclusive prosperity,” Mr. Powell remarked to Congress last month,noted the New York Times. But he said the Fed couldn’t be expected to accomplish this on its own and that Congress would need to enact “a much broader set of policies.”\nThere seems to be a louder drumbeat coming from the media ranks as well. Besides Petrou’s Times piece,Frontline released “The Power of the Fed,”this week, which questions why the stock market players et al. benefit inordinately when the Fed “continues to pump billions of dollars into the financial system daily…” (Watch the trailer to hear theWill Lymannarration. I love his voice.)\nOK, so what in fact should the Fed do? Some close to the central bank, like David Wilcox,senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, former director of the Federal Reserve’s domestic economics division, and senior adviser to the past three Federal Reserve Chairs (Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, and Ben Bernanke), say not much more than it’s already doing.\n“Economic inequality is a serious problem, it’s something that has been trending in the wrong direction for many decades,” Wilcox says. “It’s something I believe should be addressed. It’s something that requires focused government policy actions to fix. But all of that is largely outside the range of capabilities that the Federal Reserve has.\"\n“The best that the Fed can do to promote economic equality is to try to ensure as best it can that everybody who wants a job can find one, and that prices are going up at a slow, steady, and predictable pace. The only thing worse for inequality than the Fed doing its job would be for the Fed not to do its job. I don’t think the Fed should be given a broader set of powers.”\nAnd what about the idea of different interest rates for specific regions of the country or for groups with less wealth versus those with more wealth, to pinpoint the Fed’s policies, we ask Wilcox?\n“I’m not going to buy into the premise of the question,” he responds. “For one thing, it would be extremely difficult to design a system that would actually have its intended effect. It’s essential those policy tools you’re talking about be wielded by elected representatives of the people. If the Congress has been unable to meaningfully address these issues that to me is a strong signal that there is no political consensus around how best to address these issues.”\nI’m not sure I agree with that last point. Consider all the things in which Congress can’t achieve consensus. Is there any reason that another branch of government, independent or otherwise — executive, judicial or the Fed — shouldn’t take action to address a pressing need?\nPetrou, on the other hand, envisions a Fed which is more open to changing its stripes. First, she believes that the Fed is not interpreting its own mandate correctly. “If you read the law, you will see the first mandate varies between full and maximum employment, but is described as a job for every person who wants to work, which means paying attention to the labor participation rate, not just the nominal unemployment numbers,” she says. That means Petrou thinks the Fed should be holding itself to a higher standard when it comes to employment. Further Petrou says when it comes to interest rates, the third mandate speaks to moderate rates. “No way that rates close to zero are moderate,” she says.\nSo then what should the Fed do, Ms. Petrou? First like Wilcox, she does not believe in targeting specific groups with specific interest rates. “It’s structurally impossible, and from a policy perspective inadvisable,\" she says. “The less the Fed picks winners and losers, the better. They’re unelected, unaccountable, they should stick to their mission and make that mission as small a part of the macro economy as possible.”\nHaving said that, Petrou is prescriptive to a degree. “First, the Fed has made a series of egregious analytical errors,” she says. For example, “it showed household income up because more people were working more hours, but not because wages had risen. Another fix is the gradual but significant reduction in the Fed portfolio. So it no longer owns the market; the market owns itself.\"\n“Another fix is that the Fed does not provide an iron safety net beneath the market, and allows bonds and other markets to correct themselves, so market discipline returns. The Fed has set markets up for asset price bubbles — that’s very dangerous and it needs to step back.\"\n“Those fixes are all very doable,” she says. “I do not think it will lead to anything other than perhaps a slight slow down or market correction. Frankly, what's the alternative? Like a drug addict, it hurts, but what do you do, keep taking? You have to stop.”\nTough medicine indeed. The question is, would this withdrawal hurt just the wealthy and speculators, or those on the lower rungs of the economic ladder as well?\nCertainly that is unclear.\nWhat if the Fed, Treasury Secretary (and former Fed chair) Janet Yellen and congressional leaders from both parties, convened a summit on how the federal government should address inequality? I think it would be great. Unfortunately I also think it’s a pipe dream.\nGetting back to the Fed, though, it is a remarkable institution filled with whip-smart folks who can run circles around this pea-brain writer. Like any 100-year-old entity, however, it can get stuck in its ways. Consider the Fed’s take on what it sees as slow gains in productivity in our economy. I remember hearing former Fed vice chair, Stanley Fischer,insisting that technology and cellphones had not really improved productivity. Fischer said the Fed couldn't find any significant gains brought on by laptop or cellphone use in their data. (That made me snarkily wonder if Fischer & Co. had ever even used these items.) The real question though is if you can’t see the effects in the way you measure something and it is blindingly obvious there is an effect, maybe your means of measuring are deficient or flawed and it’s time to change the way you do things.\nDitto when it comes to the Fed changing the way it addresses inequality.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":193,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161087452,"gmtCreate":1623896693576,"gmtModify":1631885865454,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should invest in Apple Stock","listText":"Should invest in Apple Stock","text":"Should invest in Apple Stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161087452","repostId":"1152604932","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152604932","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623895461,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152604932?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-17 10:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple Stock Forecast For 2025: A Slow Start, Then Strong Growth","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152604932","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give","content":"<p>Summary</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Apple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give you nine reasons.</li>\n <li>The dangers to Apple’s long-term prospects are mostly event-based, and mostly out of their control.</li>\n <li>I lay out four scenarios and DCF models. You should treat DCF models with the skepticism they deserve.</li>\n <li>With the exception of the best case, they show the stock trading sideways or down through the end of fiscal 2022, then growing fast thereafter.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d06df668b5536634ebfca099d90d9852\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"988\"><span>Nikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>The Long-Term Apple Thesis</b></p>\n<p>I write a lot about Apple (AAPL), 15% of&nbsp;my articles&nbsp;here at Seeking Alpha since I started in 2018. Mostly, I write about what is happening now. For example, the last one was about the&nbsp;implications for Apple&nbsp;should they be forced to back off their App Store rules, whether through courts or regulation.</p>\n<p>Almost a year ago, I began breaking my conclusions about Apple stock into two sections: one for investors who are into Apple for the long haul like I am, and a section for those whose time horizons are much shorter than “I hope to die with these shares.” This article is for the Die With These Shares Crowd.</p>\n<p>I was first an Apple shareholder in 1982, but I sold those shares when Steve Jobs sold his. Since 2005, I have been a continuous shareholder and have never sold a share. Like I said, I hope to die with them. Over the years, the reasons I remain an Apple shareholder have grown:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>They have the most complete and unique tech stack in the world.</li>\n <li>They have the best product development process.</li>\n <li>They have the best corporate organization.</li>\n <li>They are the only megacap who sees privacy and security as a differentiator and marketable feature, not as a cost-center.</li>\n <li>ESG focus years ahead of everyone else.</li>\n <li>The Apple brand</li>\n <li>While the sum of their parts is impressive, the Apple ecosystem makes it so much more.</li>\n <li>When everything is taken into account, iPhone gives a lot of value for the price.</li>\n <li>A cash pile and cash flows to back up their ambitions.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>What it adds up to is a company that is prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. Success in tech is notoriously hard to maintain. IBM (IBM) dominated computers and high end office equipment for 80 years until they didn’t. Sitting here today in 2021, I have a very high level of confidence that this will not be happening to Apple any time soon.</p>\n<p><b>The Tech Stack</b></p>\n<p>One of my favorite factoids about Apple is that despite the fact that their intangible assets would be the most of anyone, they do not list any on their balance sheet. This is where IP and brands go. We’ll get to the brand in a moment, but the core of what makes Apple so durable is their tech stack, now higher and more complete than anyone’s.</p>\n<p>The most important things in the stack are at the base — the Apple chip design unit, which went from nothing to the best in the world in about a decade, and the operating systems, which at their root are all the same thing. They are the only company that designs products and the chips and operating systems that run them, though it looks like Microsoft (MSFT) would like to join them.</p>\n<p><b>Chip Design</b></p>\n<p>Custom chip design is becoming more and more important. Apple was one of the first to recognize the importance of this in making products that are unique in a crowded marketplace. The first iPhone came with a Samsung ARM-based system-on-a-chip (SoC). Less than a year later, Apple bought PA Semi, a low-power SoC designer, for $278 million in cash. Other than the NeXT acquisition that brought back Steve Jobs, this was the best investment Apple ever made.</p>\n<p>The first Apple-designed chip to show up in a product was the A4 in iPhone 4, only two years after the PA Semi acquisition. Quickly, the reaction went from “Apple thinks they can make a SoC?” to “Hey, these things are pretty good.” Now the A-series is widely regarded as the best smartphone SoC.</p>\n<p>The A-series is the most important, but that is only the beginning. There is also the S-series for Apple Watch, H-series for headphones, W-series for wireless connectivity, U-series, which enables AirTags features, and the new M-series for Macs. Within a couple of years, all Apple devices, from AirPods to the Mac Pro will run on Apple Silicon.</p>\n<p>The work they have done here is really showing up in the new M1 Macs, because we have something to compare to — the previous generation of the same model with Intel’s hardware.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c99acb1ab262241f7195d5ef491c64ac\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"361\"><span>Annotated Apple video screenshot.</span></p>\n<p>By switching to their own silicon, Apple was able to make the same computer, but with a tablet-sized motherboard, a larger screen, and very low power requirements, while still being much faster than the Intel alternative. Already, the next version of macOS will not support some features on Intel Macs, because they lack the machine learning cores. </p>\n<p><b>The Operating Systems</b></p>\n<p>When Apple was developing iPhone there was two ways to go for the operating system: build up from iPod, or shrink Mac OS X. There was an internal contest along parallel tracks, and the shrunken Mac won out. Because of this decision, all the operating systems are essentially the same thing.</p>\n<p>OS X came from NextStep which was the reason for the NeXT acquisition. Apple had not been able to move past what became known as Mac OS Classic with its own internal project, Copeland, and they needed help. Also, the deal came with Steve Jobs.</p>\n<p>NextStep was the first attempt to take a UNIX operating system and put a friendly graphical user interface on top of it. At the core is a UNIX microkernel. As the name implies, this is a small bit of software that manages the most basic functions of the software/hardware interface. Everything else is built in modular blocks of code layered on each other. Each device gets the blocks it needs, and excludes the ones it doesn’t.</p>\n<p>So at root, the microkernel and the core blocks of the operating systems have a ton of overlap, and are very much the same. The original iPhone OS and OS X were so similar that even before Apple released their official iPhone software development kit, or SDK, developers were already making iPhone apps using a slightly modified Mac SDK.</p>\n<p>A good example is networking. All the devices share the same basic networking software, but macOS has wired connection drivers the others don’t. iOS 14 has 5G drivers the others don’t.</p>\n<p><b>The Rest</b></p>\n<p>On top of that rock-solid foundation sits the rest of it. The list is too long to go through entirely. This is a company that&nbsp;patented a pizza box&nbsp;which is only used in Apple’s&nbsp;Caffe Macs&nbsp;employee cafeterias. But these are the parts where we see continuous development every year.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The location/orientation sensor package. Originally for iPhone, this now includes accelerometers, gyroscopes, GPS, altimeters, and the newest additions, LiDAR and the U1 chip, which makes AirTags possible, with more coming. With this combination, Apple devices know where they are in 3D space, orientation, and where they are relative to other objects, especially ones that also have the U1 chip.</li>\n <li>Voice recognition.</li>\n <li>AR.</li>\n <li>On-device machine learning. This includes continuous work on both hardware and software. The A-series and M-series SoCs come loaded with ML cores.</li>\n <li>Audio/video/photo. Again, both hardware and software.</li>\n <li>Maybe their own 5G radio chip. We’ll see.</li>\n</ul>\n<p><b>What This All Means For 2025</b></p>\n<p>What this means is that when Apple is setting out to build a new device, they begin halfway to the finish line. The basics are there already, and they get to spend their time and energy focusing on the parts that make each device unique. And as we’ll look at in the next section, they still spend more time sweating that last mile than anyone else.</p>\n<p>Let’s look at Apple’s current Big Idea, which is augmenting or replacing the venerable graphical user interface with a combination of AR and voice control, AKA Siri. Apple just hit a big milestone in that journey with the announcement of on-device voice recognition in iOS 15 coming this fall. This is key to their thinking in whatever they are doing with a car, and also of course in AR/VR products. According to rumors, we should see at least some aspects of both of these by the end of 2025.</p>\n<p>But beyond the AR-voice package, each device will get a chip specifically designed for that device, unlike most others who will be using chips designed for a wide range of OEMs. It will overlap a lot with other Apple SoCs, but it will contain a unique combination of units chosen just for that device. When the software team is working on the operating system and apps, most of the under-the-hood work is done. They get to focus on making the unique interface they want for that product. The sensor package will come into the design of either a car or AR glasses, as will all the rest of it.</p>\n<p><b>Product Development</b></p>\n<p>Apple approaches product development differently than every other company. In the first place, they say “no” to many things, even deep into the development process, most we never get to hear about. This allows them to focus on what they do make, and make their products unique, even when competing a crowded space.</p>\n<p>My favorite example here is a negative one, the&nbsp;ill-fated AirPower charging mat. Apple wanted to make a unique offering that was specifically designed around Apple products, but they could not pull off the dual-coil design without overheating. Instead of releasing an undifferentiated product, they killed it, even though it had been pre-announced. This sort of thing happens internally all the time. We got to see the sausage made, just this once.</p>\n<p>But it goes beyond just saying “no” a lot. Apple approaches almost everything in a very slow, deliberate manner:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Focus entirely on the customer experience.</li>\n <li>Don’t let anyone else get in between you and the customer.</li>\n <li>People often don’t know what they want until you show it to them.</li>\n <li>Don’t compete directly against successful incumbents, but figure out what Apple’s unique contribution is, focused on the entire ecosystem.</li>\n <li>Don’t release a new product or feature until you are ready to, no matter what analysts or the tech press say you should do.</li>\n <li>Find a way to dip your toe into the market first, gauge customer reaction, and slowly keep adding year after year.</li>\n <li>Have relatively few SKUs. Keep the product lines relatively simple.</li>\n <li>Don’t be afraid to ditch old but popular technologies.</li>\n <li>As much as possible, own all the key technologies in your devices.</li>\n <li>Hardware and software development are concurrent and work together.</li>\n <li>Do not worry that a new product is displacing another source of revenue.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Sometimes this can hurt an Apple product relative to competition. The HomePod is a good example here. Because of their relative lack of data collection, Siri will never be as capable as Alexa or Google Assistant. So when designing a “smart speaker,” Apple focused more on the speaker part, because they have handicapped themselves on the smart part. This led to an expensive device that didn’t have as much functionality as competing products. But it sounded great. This is a tradeoff they are willing to make, because security and privacy in the ecosystem is a higher level goal than having a smart speaker.</p>\n<p>But as careful and deliberate as Apple is, they can also act blazingly fast when they think they need to. This letter, recently served up by one of my favorite Twitter accounts,Internal Tech Emails,kind of blew my mind.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b90176b70c1560583646501f52a11f06\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"683\"></p>\n<p>Bertrand Serlet was the SVP of Software Engineering (“SWE” in the email) at the time. Scott Forstall was the lead on iOS. Steve Jobs you know. What you see here is the birth of the App Store, now worth $16 billion a year in net sales to Apple, decided in an email exchange in less than an hour.</p>\n<p>The timeline here is that iPhone was released in June 2007. In September 2007, the first easily installed app store for jailbroken iPhones, Cydia, was released. It was a warning to Apple that they had to release their own App Store, along with developer tools like they had on the Mac, or risk losing control of the device. Too many people looked at this “phone” and saw a pocket computer.</p>\n<p>This email exchange happened less than a month after Cydia. Serlet laid out everything the App Store was and still is in four quick bullets, made a request for a large amount of resources to pull it off (“whoever we need in SWE”), and asked for a yes-or-no decision. Jobs replied less than an hour later with an absurd timeline (it came out in March, but was announced in January), and approved a now-$16 billion a year business in a single sentence.</p>\n<p>Most of the time they move very slowly and deliberately, making sure everything is exactly right before release. But they can also push something out quickly if it is of strategic importance like App Store. This can also fall on its face at launch, like Apple Maps, which is why Apple prefers to move slowly, all else being equal.</p>\n<p><b>Organization</b></p>\n<p>One of the key foundations of Apple’s success is their amorphous org chart which promotes collaboration and prevents turf wars. On paper, there are three key technical function-based Senior VPs below CEO Tim Cook:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>SVP of Software Engineering, Craig Federighi.</li>\n <li>SVP of Hardware Engineering. This is now John Ternus, after longtime SVP of Hardware, Dan Riccio, moved over to shepherd AR/VR devices full time, underlining their importance.</li>\n <li>SVP of Services, Eddie Cue.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>This is supplemented by the SVP of Worldwide Marketing position, now filled by Greg Joswiak, after Apple lifer Phil Schiller moved on to semi-retirement as an “Apple Fellow,” whatever that is. The Epic trial made clear that Schiller is very much still involved. Joswiak and Schiller are sort of Ministers-Without-Portfolio, who dip in on all strategic questions, and the guardians of the brand. VP of Environment, Policy and Social Initiatives, Lisa Jackson, has a growing voice in big decisions.</p>\n<p>But as became apparent in a lot of the Apple corporate emails that Epic presented at trial, these people and their main lieutenants are constantly up in each other’s business, and that is by design. The walls between the SVPs are very thin, and no one gets to that position unless they understand that turf wars don’t happen at Apple. But the function-based organization sort of prevents it in the first place.</p>\n<p>When Apple decided to make iPhone, iPod was 35% of Apple’s revenue. But in meetings and email exchanges, there was no SVP of iPod to object loudly that their ox was being gored. There are many companies that would have killed iPhone because of this. Hardware, Software and Services all have big roles in all Apple products, whether it’s iPod, iPhone or anything that has followed. In that email in the previous section, Bertrand Serlet asks for whomever he needs to meet a fast timeline. That means he was pulling people off the Mac OS X team to work on the iPhone SDK and App Store, of course, in concert with Services and Hardware. Phil Schiller also had a lot to say. Again, there was no SVP of Mac to loudly object.</p>\n<p>We now see this collaborative organization and culture expressed as architecture in Apple Park.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51642a2ed19cf03d32baea87ed1d839f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"409\"><span>Apple Maps screenshot</span></p>\n<p>At a cost of $4-$5 billion, Apple built a new campus entirely designed around the idea of encouraging collaboration across groups, and random encounters between people who normally would not be interacting. The parking lots are to south out of frame of that screenshot, and everyone enters and exits on those footpaths. Along the way, they have to pass by lots of other offices and groups, or go through the center courtyard, a central place to hang out.</p>\n<p>Apple did not build this so people could&nbsp;work from home.</p>\n<p><b>The Ecosystem</b></p>\n<p>Before we talk about the sum of the parts, let’s start with the parts. These are the rankings that Apple product segments would have had in the&nbsp;2021 Fortune 500&nbsp;as stand-alones (by revenue)</p>\n<ul>\n <li>iPhone at $166 billion in TTM net sales would place at number 12, between Costco (COST) and Cigna (CI).</li>\n <li>Services at $60 billion would place 52 between Albertsons (ACI) and Valero (VLO). That’s about a third of all Google’s revenue (number 9), and about 70% of Facebook’s revenue (number 34).</li>\n <li>Wearables, Home, and Accessories at $35 billion would place at 89 between Deere (DE) and Abbott Labs (ABT). Apple is the largest maker of both watches and headphones now. For comparison, Swatch’s (OTCPK:SWGAF) TTM revenues were $6.3 billion.</li>\n <li>Mac at $34 billion would place at 90 between Abbott and Northwestern Mutual. This is about a third of Dell’s (DELL) revenue (number 28).</li>\n <li>iPad's $30 billion would be the only segment outside the Fortune 100 at number 101, between Tesla (TSLA) and Philip Morris (PM).</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple consolidated comes in third by revenue behind Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN), but first in profits, 30% higher than number two Microsoft.</p>\n<p>Of course the ecosystem is what feeds this sales machine. Apple Watch is so popular, in part, because of its tie-in to iPhone and the suite of services, especially now with Fitness+. Apple Music as a stand-alone may not have survived without the tie in to all the rest of Apple. I could keep going on, but the success of everything rests on top of everything else.</p>\n<p>The Walled Garden is a metaphor that people have used to describe the Apple family of products and services. Some, like Apple, put the emphasis on the garden. Others, like Epic, put the emphasis on the walls, like the ones in a prison. But whether people stay in the ecosystem because it’s hard to leave, or just because they like it there is a little immaterial until we get to antitrust, which we’ll talk about in a little bit. It’s a bit of both, of course, that make Apple products so sticky.</p>\n<p>The foundation of this is the wide-and-tall tech stack that lets Apple be the only company that makes PCs, tablets, smartphones, smartwatches and headphones, the SoCs that run them, and also every line of code these devices ship with. These devices can seamlessly work with each other in ways the Windows/Android alternative cannot. Another one of these features is coming with the fall OS updates, Universal Control.</p>\n<p>Every year at WWDC, Apple updates the software part of this, and the deep integration of services also gives Apple an advantage over competitors, which has become an antitrust focus, especially for Spotify (SPOT) in Europe.</p>\n<p>But beyond that, the Apple ecosystem is entirely unique</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Microsoft makes PC operating systems and software that sell well, and devices that sell poorly. They have some good consumer services like Xbox gaming, but not many. They are reportedly working on a chip for their Surface products.</li>\n <li>Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) makes a wide range of devices, but not operating systems (unless you count Tizen, now merging with Google's WearOS), or any notable apps or services. They design their own chips, but often use competitors’ in products.</li>\n <li>Google (GOOGL) has a very popular operating system and apps, and is the king of services, but their devices sell poorly. They make data center chips for their own use, but not for consumers.</li>\n <li>Amazon and Facebook (FB) are starting from the bottom-up. Both tried and failed with phones. Amazon has a fork of Android, and low-cost tablets that sell reasonably well. Amazon’s Echo products do well, Facebook’s hardware less so. Both do well with services and apps. The recent Amazon Sidewalk launch with Tile is Amazon trying to build up that ecosystem infrastructure. Amazon has a chip unit for AWS, but neither company has consumer chip design.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Only Apple has the complete package. But there are threats to the ecosystem, and I believe Apple is very likely to have to give up some control, especially with regard to App Store. By 2025 we should expect Apple’s App Store commission rate to drop, but the rest should remain very strong.</p>\n<p><b>Privacy, Security And ESG</b></p>\n<p>I’m lumping these together, because they add up to the same thing: Apple has been able to skate to where the puck is going on important societal issues. They see these things not as costs, but marketable features that burnish the Apple brand.</p>\n<p>I don’t think there’s any reason for me to belabor the security and privacy comparison with Windows and especially Android. Like everyone, Apple does not have a perfect record, and we’ll talk some more in a moment about that.</p>\n<p>But let’s return to that 2007 email, which is like an Apple Rosetta Stone. Serlet's first two bullets are about limits Apple is going to place on developers with the goals of “protect the user,” and “protect the networks.” Only after that does he get to what developers get access to. That’s indicative of all their thinking. Securing the user and networks is the first order priority.</p>\n<p>Here’s a quick list of the security and privacy enhancements they just announced at WWDC:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>iCloud VPN at no extra cost to paid iCloud accounts.</li>\n <li>On-device speech recognition.</li>\n <li>Third party Siri devices that do not give those third parties access to your commands. Common commands will execute without leaving the house.</li>\n <li>Further support for iCloud home security video, which does image analysis on-device, and only uploads encrypted video to the cloud.</li>\n <li>House keys and state ID support in Wallet. TSA will accept digital IDs when it becomes available.</li>\n <li>A new App Privacy Report with details on what all apps are doing with their permissions. Google just announced something very similar for Android 12.</li>\n <li>After grimly reminding us that we will all die someday, iOS 15 allows adding of legacy contact who can access your account after you are gone.</li>\n <li>Securely and privately share health data with a provider.</li>\n <li>Protection from email tracking pixels.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>That was just what they announced this year.</p>\n<p>So let’s turn it around and talk about what these things cost Apple. The biggest costs are not direct ones but opportunity costs from their relative lack of data collection. Their services suffer because of this:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The iAd ad network never got off the ground because it denied advertisers the data they were getting elsewhere.</li>\n <li>Similarly, all their attempts at adding social media features have failed for the same reason.</li>\n <li>Siri lags Alexa and Google Assistant, and this also hurt them in the smart speaker space.</li>\n <li>It is harder for them to build massive centralized AI models like Google and Facebook.</li>\n <li>The engagement and targeting algorithms for App Store, News, Music, TV+, Stocks, Arcade and ads would all be better. Apple has tried to be unique here with added human curation.</li>\n <li>They don’t trade user data like other credit card companies.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Then there are the direct costs, which we have little insight into, but certainly stretches into the billions of dollars. Some of the key parts come under the chip design unit: the Secure Enclave and the machine learning cores. Along with the supporting software these are key units in the A and M series SoCs.</p>\n<p>They currently already do a lot of work in keeping data analysis on-device, leveraging those machine learning cores, and only uploading encrypted data to the cloud using the secure enclave. But the eventual goal I believe is to have all Siri interactions happen on-device, which minimizes what Apple collects about users. As noted, they just took a major step in that direction with on-device voice recognition. To me, that was the single biggest announcement at WWDC. I thought Apple was maybe two years from announcing that.</p>\n<p>When we talk about ESG, the direct Capex costs are growing there. Apple Park is the largest LEED Platinum office building in North America. They are currently working through $4.7 billion in green bonds, building solar, wind and battery storage. Apple currently has all of Apple worldwide corporate operations carbon neutral. But the big, costly project is getting the entire supply chain to carbon neutral. They claim they will do that by 2030.</p>\n<p>In 2021, this is a very effective marketing narrative, and it will only become more so over time. In 2025 these issues will resonate even more deeply.</p>\n<p><b>The Brand</b></p>\n<p>Security, privacy and ESG burnish the brand, but the products are the core of it. Again, Apple does not list intangibles, but&nbsp;Interbrand&nbsp;put the value of the Apple brand at $323 billion in 2020. Amazon was number two at $201 billion. Here’s how Interbrand put it.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Ultimately, Apple’s distinctiveness – or, in fact, uniqueness – isn’t a result of what the brand says, but what it does. It’s Apple’s products, technologies and stores that speak to the organisation’s philosophy of beautiful simplicity and individual empowerment – much more than any campaign could ever do. Inasmuch as many talk about the brand’s aura, Apple has consistently changed what was in people’s minds by changing what was in their hands.\n</blockquote>\n<p>It’s amazing what 25 years of making great products will do. This is important because a strong brand can buoy a company through bad weather. Apple’s brand can weather a long storm.</p>\n<p><b>The iPhone Value Proposition</b></p>\n<p>Apple products are notoriously expensive. But are they? Mac is expensive when you compare to alternatives, but iPhone turns out to be a pretty good value. To begin with, iPhone gets many years of operating system support, in contrast to Android products outside of Google’s poorly-selling Pixel. I have a friend who can afford any phone he wants, but he likes small phones, and hated Jony Ive’s rounded edges. He bought an iPhone SE in March 2016 for $399, and held on to until last December when he traded it in for an iPhone 12 mini. When he traded it in, it was running the current version, iOS 14. If he still owned it, he would be able to upgrade it to iOS 15 in the fall.</p>\n<p>I joke with him that he really extracted maximum value from that iPhone SE, but let’s look at what that looks like for someone in 2021 who is budget conscious. Forgetting about any trade-in subsidies:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>$399 iPhone SE 2nd generation base model</li>\n <li>Paid for with Apple Card. That gets a 3% discount on price, and 24 months of 0% interest.</li>\n <li>Include AppleCare+ for product life to account for an inevitable battery replacement and unforeseeables.</li>\n <li>That’s $19.91 a month for the first 24 months, and $3.29 thereafter.</li>\n <li>Discount future payments by 1.75% a year for inflation.</li>\n <li>Since the phone is already a year old, we’ll shave a year off operating system support, so that’s 6 years.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>For 6 years of worry-free ownership and operating system updates, that’s $599 in 2021 dollars. If you wanted to risk it and not get AppleCare+, it’s only $381 paid over 2 years. This is very comparable to similar offerings from&nbsp;Samsung,OnePlus, and&nbsp;Google. Only Google’s Pixel gets guaranteed OS updates beyond that first year.</p>\n<p>Turning to the flagship models:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08bc783267a97e370e0a432f3ca6dcf\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"390\"></p>\n<p>Apple has the most expensive flagship but not by much. The Google Pixel 5 seems like a great deal to me, and I remain surprised at how poorly the Pixels have sold. Also, looking at the green bars, the iPhone 12 Pro Max looks like the best deal of the bunch.</p>\n<p>Only the Pixel gets guaranteed updates beyond that first year. Apple is still supporting 5 models released in the Obama administration. But there’s a lot more that comes with iPhone that doesn’t come with any Android phone.</p>\n<ul>\n <li>The best smartphone chip.</li>\n <li>Hardware and software developed together.</li>\n <li>Tight integration with PC, tablet, watch and wireless headphones.</li>\n <li>Far better malware security in App Store.</li>\n <li>Most new apps start on iOS, so Apple users get first crack.</li>\n <li>Native productivity suite.</li>\n <li>Native audio and video editing with surprising capability for phone apps.</li>\n <li>No tracking of location and other data by Google unless you use Google services.</li>\n <li>Convenient service and free classes at an Apple Store near you.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Apple users give up a little bit of freedom, mostly in App Store, for all this, but I think it’s a tradeoff everyone understands at this point. As time wears on, it has become harder and harder for other phone manufacturers to keep up with Apple on both price and features. By 2025, it will be even harder.</p>\n<p><b>Risks To The Story</b></p>\n<p>There are three big threats to the rosy picture I am painting. One is geopolitical, one is regulatory, and one is social.</p>\n<p><b>China</b></p>\n<p>US-China relations are at their lowest ebb since Mao hosted Nixon in 1972. The Biden Administration has pulled back from some of the excesses of the previous Administration, but we seem to be on a long march towards, at a minimum, a bifurcation of the technology world. I do not view this as a positive development for many reasons, but it hits Apple hard.</p>\n<p>Apple is pretty unique in the scale of their dependence on China from both the supply side and the demand side. Let’s start on the supply side.</p>\n<blockquote>\n Substantially all of the Company’s manufacturing is performed in whole or in part by outsourcing partners located primarily in Asia. A significant concentration of this manufacturing is currently performed by a small number of outsourcing partners, often in single locations.\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n - Apple annual report “Risk Factors”\n</blockquote>\n<p>From the demand side, it fluctuates, but in the current 3-year iPhone supercycle period, Apple is averaging 16.8% of net sales from Greater China, which includes Taiwan and Hong Kong.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f3a5e0338dac745a79fb9839439fa60\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"375\"></p>\n<p><b>Antitrust</b></p>\n<p>I’m not going to dwell on this, since everyone is better acquainted with this threat because of the Epic trial. But there is a movement afoot to refashion antitrust law in a way that would not be favorable to Apple, with the amount of control they like to exercise over the ecosystem. This is in the US courts now, but legislative and regulatory bodies in the US and Europe are turning towards iOS, especially App Store. The threat is not open-ended like it is for Google and Facebook, as it is contained to App Store, 28% of Services net sales and 5.4% of consolidated Apple. But that second number, small as it is, has been growing quickly.</p>\n<p>In contrast to China, I view some sort of reduced take from App Store as inevitable, and the only question is the scale of the reduction. Already, according to Epic trial filings, Apple’s take is probably between 25% and 26% on App Store, not 30% as it is always reported. That is going lower.</p>\n<p>Based on the comments in my articles on the&nbsp;Epic trial, I think Apple shareholders are also underestimating the probability of this happening.</p>\n<p><b>Tall Poppy Syndrome</b></p>\n<p>This is a phrase I just learned from an Australian friend. Wikipedia&nbsp;defines&nbsp;it as</p>\n<blockquote>\n a cultural phenomenon of jealous people holding back or directly attacking those who are perceived to be better than the norm, \"cutting down the tall poppy\".\n</blockquote>\n<p>That’s roughly how my Aussie friend described it to me. People love a comeback story, and that was the Apple narrative for a long time. But Apple is now far too profitable for too long to be the Comeback Kid anymore. Now there seems to be an appetite in the media and society for cutting Apple down to size.</p>\n<p>For example, Washington Post ran an article as I was writing this section that talked about&nbsp;18 scam apps&nbsp;that were in the top 1000 grossing apps on the day Apple was testifying in front of the Senate about App Store.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c268692981ac4739fd7390468e487103\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"137\"><span>Washington Post screenshot</span></p>\n<p>Apple needs to do better. But there is no control group. The article never asks how many scam apps they stopped that day, or how many scam apps were on the Google Play Store or other Android stores that day.Apple claims&nbsp;they stopped $1.5 billion in fraudulent transaction in 2020, 2.4% of all App Store transactions.</p>\n<p>To be clear, the Washington Post article is claiming that Apple is not really curating App Store based on their one-day survey. The total net sales to Apple for these apps was $8.3 million before Apple axed them. Apple is a company that will have around $350 billion in net sales in fiscal 2021, and had something like $16 billion from App Store in calendar 2020. They are not sandbagging their hard-earned reputation over $8.3 million.</p>\n<p>This is sometimes called the “Five Nines Problem.” Five nines is 99.999%, and is sort of the standard for “almost perfect” in a lot of tech. But tech companies like Apple, Google, Facebook, etc. operate at massive scale and they need more nines. App Store has 1.8 million apps, and five nines means 180 malicious apps get through, and maybe 10% of those wind up in the top 1000 grossers. The good news is that Apple does not need the Washington Post to tell them they need to get better at this, but it is not easy.</p>\n<p>This is a more nebulous threat than the others, but the last time I felt like this was when the narrative on Microsoft turned sharply after Windows 95. That ended up in a long battle with the Department of Justice that sucked corporate focus for years.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Stock Price Model: Four Scenarios</b></p>\n<p><i>Many of the assumptions for these models are all based off of my deep dives on Apple quarters after they report. The last of them on 2021 Q2is here.</i></p>\n<p>So let’s take all that qualitative data, and try and stuff it through a revenue and DCF model. I recommend you be very skeptical of all models of the future, and think a lot about the underlying assumptions. Models are generally an expression of the author’s biases with math laid over it. You have the 6,000 words above if you would like to know mine.</p>\n<p>The recent&nbsp;Tesla model from ARK Investment&nbsp;should stand as a cautionary tale for everyone. Anyway, I have posted&nbsp;Excel worksheets&nbsp;to GitHub with the model, and all the major assumptions are modifiable. Each scenario is a separate worksheet.</p>\n<p>Let’s first look at some assumptions common to all four:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>iPhone continues to exhibit a 3-year cyclical pattern. Fiscal 2021 is the high year, so 2024 is the next one.</li>\n <li>Services growth comes off to some extent in all scenarios from reduced App Store growth from legal or regulatory action in the US and Europe.</li>\n <li>Wearables, etc. remains on its strong growth path on Apple Watch, AirPods, and at least one new product category, a VR headset.</li>\n <li>Mac and iPad return roughly to their pre-pandemic patterns. Like all PC makes, Apple saw a&nbsp;big surge&nbsp;from work-from-home.</li>\n <li>Fiscal 2021 is half-reported, so all scenarios assume that it will complete along Apple’s average seasonal pattern from 2016-2019.</li>\n <li>Other assumptions are in the Excel sheets.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Scenarios:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Large, the most optimistic.</li>\n <li>Medium, my base case.</li>\n <li>Small is what Apple looks like if they come off the growth rates of the last 4-6 years.</li>\n <li>Tiny is the same as Small through 2023, and then we’re going to throw some real problems at Apple.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>In Medium:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>We’ll model the iPhone cycle with the average growth rates of the 2015 and 2018 cycles.</li>\n <li>Services growth comes off of 2016-2020 trajectory because of legal or regulatory action on App Store by 2 pp.</li>\n <li>The rest, as above.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Large and Small will, respectively, add and subtract from these growth rates in Medium. In addition, Large assumes:</p>\n<ul>\n <li>Boost in fiscal 2022-2025 for iPhone on 5G adoption.</li>\n <li>Apple Silicon Macs gain Apple some PC market share.</li>\n <li>The AR glasses come out in the middle of fiscal 2025. To be clear, I view that as an unlikely timeline, but it does not have a large effect on the model since it comes 6 months from the end of our interval.</li>\n</ul>\n<p>Tiny is a special event-based scenario where we will throw the two worst plausible scenarios we can at Apple. It starts with a huge reduction in App Store revenues due to antitrust action in the US and Europe at the end of fiscal 2023, and getting kicked out of China at the end of fiscal 2024. The former will be modeled as a sharp downturn in Services revenue in fiscal 2024. The China expulsion will lead to a 15% drop in top line revenue, and a decrease in products gross margin by 5 pp in 2025. I don’t view either of these as particularly likely, but this is the worst it can get.</p>\n<p><b>Is Apple Stock A Buy Now?</b></p>\n<p><i>Just to double up on the warning: you should treat all models of the future with skepticism, including this one.</i></p>\n<p>This table summarizes the results. Please hit up those Excel sheets if you’d like to frisk the math, or play around with your own assumptions.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5cc7ac9dba0aa62b43bacac07a51c1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"164\"></p>\n<p>As you can see, even Small doesn’t do so badly by 2025, and Tiny ends up almost in the green, since the bad events come towards the end. If they were to come earlier, those growth rates would be lower in Tiny.</p>\n<p>But the year-by-year results get to something I’ve been trying to tell Apple shareholders for almost a year now:</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f0dd5f3db1dee545821469b11fb4f01d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\"></p>\n<p>That chart will explain to you why I started breaking my Apple recommendations down between long and short term. Since the price hit $130 last summer, it was pretty clear to me that except in a best-case scenario, the gains of fiscal 2021 and 2022 were already baked in.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25ce181f892fdb01ae176c551fa19ec2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"347\"></p>\n<p>Even Large only shows a marginal gain by the end of the fiscal year 2021, and Medium and Small are flat or down through the end of 2022. I’ve used the phrase, “if your time horizon with Apple is short, now is a good time to take profits,” very frequently in the past 8 months. I still mean it.</p>\n<p><b>Apple Stock Forecast For 2025</b></p>\n<p>Let’s zoom into each a bit, starting with the base case, Medium.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b54f0f55b2d743586b10fdcfb3c4bbd1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>I've included actual price growth for fiscal 2020 so you can see how we got here. In this view we can think of slow fair value growth from today to the end of fiscal 2022 as averaging out fiscal 2020. If we look at 2019-2022, that’s a 27% CAGR, much more in line with the growth rates in the out years of the model. The model is simply predicting that 2021 and 2022 are baked into today’s price.</p>\n<p>But then you see that the model really picks up steam on the out-years, as Apple’s free cash flow, growing at a 15% 5-year CAGR in Medium, catches up with the price. All together, that’s a 13.8% CAGR over the four and a third years of the model, with a terminal value of $222.</p>\n<p>Of course Large is larger, with an enhanced iPhone cycle from 5G adoption and a little extra boost from the AR glasses at the end of fiscal 2025.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f1cb197112556270cfdbb2d293c0082\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>To be clear, I view this scenario as plausible, but not that likely, somewhere around the 25th percentile. In this scenario, 2022 does not show the flat or negative growth rates in 2022 like the others, and this is due to the 5G adoption part of our assumptions. That’s a 20.2% CAGR, and a terminal value of $283.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25c9feb0f396334a8c46a983c8191e37\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>This model starts off very slowly, with only an 11% 2019-2022 CAGR compared to 27% for Medium, and down in 2022. But even the Small scenario picks up steam beginning in 2023. That’s an 18% CAGR from 2023-2025. But over the life of the model it is less than half that, 7.9%, a $184 terminal value.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc10da2578deb47fb83ad5c2497fa16f\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"></p>\n<p>Tiny is the same as Small until the events kick in beginning fiscal 2024. 2024 price growth comes way off Small, and takes a dive in 2025. Keep in mind, we are talking about the fair value a year after the event, so the price would likely go down much further first. Anyway, this one winds up roughly at the June 11 close over four years later.</p>\n<p>So there it is: the thing I’ve been telling you for a while now, except with some modeling and pretty charts:</p>\n<ol>\n <li>Except in our best case, Apple is likely to trade sideways for a while as cash flows catch up with the share price.</li>\n <li>But absent some very bad events out of Apple’s control, the long term view is still very, very bright, even if they slow down.</li>\n</ol>\n<p>Seven thousand words summed up in two bullets.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Forecast For 2025: A Slow Start, Then Strong Growth</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Forecast For 2025: A Slow Start, Then Strong Growth\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-17 10:04 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435098-apple-stock-forecast-2025><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nApple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give you nine reasons.\nThe dangers to Apple’s long-term prospects are mostly event-based, and mostly out...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435098-apple-stock-forecast-2025\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4435098-apple-stock-forecast-2025","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152604932","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple is the products company most prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. I give you nine reasons.\nThe dangers to Apple’s long-term prospects are mostly event-based, and mostly out of their control.\nI lay out four scenarios and DCF models. You should treat DCF models with the skepticism they deserve.\nWith the exception of the best case, they show the stock trading sideways or down through the end of fiscal 2022, then growing fast thereafter.\n\nNikada/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images\nThe Long-Term Apple Thesis\nI write a lot about Apple (AAPL), 15% of my articles here at Seeking Alpha since I started in 2018. Mostly, I write about what is happening now. For example, the last one was about the implications for Apple should they be forced to back off their App Store rules, whether through courts or regulation.\nAlmost a year ago, I began breaking my conclusions about Apple stock into two sections: one for investors who are into Apple for the long haul like I am, and a section for those whose time horizons are much shorter than “I hope to die with these shares.” This article is for the Die With These Shares Crowd.\nI was first an Apple shareholder in 1982, but I sold those shares when Steve Jobs sold his. Since 2005, I have been a continuous shareholder and have never sold a share. Like I said, I hope to die with them. Over the years, the reasons I remain an Apple shareholder have grown:\n\nThey have the most complete and unique tech stack in the world.\nThey have the best product development process.\nThey have the best corporate organization.\nThey are the only megacap who sees privacy and security as a differentiator and marketable feature, not as a cost-center.\nESG focus years ahead of everyone else.\nThe Apple brand\nWhile the sum of their parts is impressive, the Apple ecosystem makes it so much more.\nWhen everything is taken into account, iPhone gives a lot of value for the price.\nA cash pile and cash flows to back up their ambitions.\n\nWhat it adds up to is a company that is prepared for the future, whatever that may bring. Success in tech is notoriously hard to maintain. IBM (IBM) dominated computers and high end office equipment for 80 years until they didn’t. Sitting here today in 2021, I have a very high level of confidence that this will not be happening to Apple any time soon.\nThe Tech Stack\nOne of my favorite factoids about Apple is that despite the fact that their intangible assets would be the most of anyone, they do not list any on their balance sheet. This is where IP and brands go. We’ll get to the brand in a moment, but the core of what makes Apple so durable is their tech stack, now higher and more complete than anyone’s.\nThe most important things in the stack are at the base — the Apple chip design unit, which went from nothing to the best in the world in about a decade, and the operating systems, which at their root are all the same thing. They are the only company that designs products and the chips and operating systems that run them, though it looks like Microsoft (MSFT) would like to join them.\nChip Design\nCustom chip design is becoming more and more important. Apple was one of the first to recognize the importance of this in making products that are unique in a crowded marketplace. The first iPhone came with a Samsung ARM-based system-on-a-chip (SoC). Less than a year later, Apple bought PA Semi, a low-power SoC designer, for $278 million in cash. Other than the NeXT acquisition that brought back Steve Jobs, this was the best investment Apple ever made.\nThe first Apple-designed chip to show up in a product was the A4 in iPhone 4, only two years after the PA Semi acquisition. Quickly, the reaction went from “Apple thinks they can make a SoC?” to “Hey, these things are pretty good.” Now the A-series is widely regarded as the best smartphone SoC.\nThe A-series is the most important, but that is only the beginning. There is also the S-series for Apple Watch, H-series for headphones, W-series for wireless connectivity, U-series, which enables AirTags features, and the new M-series for Macs. Within a couple of years, all Apple devices, from AirPods to the Mac Pro will run on Apple Silicon.\nThe work they have done here is really showing up in the new M1 Macs, because we have something to compare to — the previous generation of the same model with Intel’s hardware.\nAnnotated Apple video screenshot.\nBy switching to their own silicon, Apple was able to make the same computer, but with a tablet-sized motherboard, a larger screen, and very low power requirements, while still being much faster than the Intel alternative. Already, the next version of macOS will not support some features on Intel Macs, because they lack the machine learning cores. \nThe Operating Systems\nWhen Apple was developing iPhone there was two ways to go for the operating system: build up from iPod, or shrink Mac OS X. There was an internal contest along parallel tracks, and the shrunken Mac won out. Because of this decision, all the operating systems are essentially the same thing.\nOS X came from NextStep which was the reason for the NeXT acquisition. Apple had not been able to move past what became known as Mac OS Classic with its own internal project, Copeland, and they needed help. Also, the deal came with Steve Jobs.\nNextStep was the first attempt to take a UNIX operating system and put a friendly graphical user interface on top of it. At the core is a UNIX microkernel. As the name implies, this is a small bit of software that manages the most basic functions of the software/hardware interface. Everything else is built in modular blocks of code layered on each other. Each device gets the blocks it needs, and excludes the ones it doesn’t.\nSo at root, the microkernel and the core blocks of the operating systems have a ton of overlap, and are very much the same. The original iPhone OS and OS X were so similar that even before Apple released their official iPhone software development kit, or SDK, developers were already making iPhone apps using a slightly modified Mac SDK.\nA good example is networking. All the devices share the same basic networking software, but macOS has wired connection drivers the others don’t. iOS 14 has 5G drivers the others don’t.\nThe Rest\nOn top of that rock-solid foundation sits the rest of it. The list is too long to go through entirely. This is a company that patented a pizza box which is only used in Apple’s Caffe Macs employee cafeterias. But these are the parts where we see continuous development every year.\n\nThe location/orientation sensor package. Originally for iPhone, this now includes accelerometers, gyroscopes, GPS, altimeters, and the newest additions, LiDAR and the U1 chip, which makes AirTags possible, with more coming. With this combination, Apple devices know where they are in 3D space, orientation, and where they are relative to other objects, especially ones that also have the U1 chip.\nVoice recognition.\nAR.\nOn-device machine learning. This includes continuous work on both hardware and software. The A-series and M-series SoCs come loaded with ML cores.\nAudio/video/photo. Again, both hardware and software.\nMaybe their own 5G radio chip. We’ll see.\n\nWhat This All Means For 2025\nWhat this means is that when Apple is setting out to build a new device, they begin halfway to the finish line. The basics are there already, and they get to spend their time and energy focusing on the parts that make each device unique. And as we’ll look at in the next section, they still spend more time sweating that last mile than anyone else.\nLet’s look at Apple’s current Big Idea, which is augmenting or replacing the venerable graphical user interface with a combination of AR and voice control, AKA Siri. Apple just hit a big milestone in that journey with the announcement of on-device voice recognition in iOS 15 coming this fall. This is key to their thinking in whatever they are doing with a car, and also of course in AR/VR products. According to rumors, we should see at least some aspects of both of these by the end of 2025.\nBut beyond the AR-voice package, each device will get a chip specifically designed for that device, unlike most others who will be using chips designed for a wide range of OEMs. It will overlap a lot with other Apple SoCs, but it will contain a unique combination of units chosen just for that device. When the software team is working on the operating system and apps, most of the under-the-hood work is done. They get to focus on making the unique interface they want for that product. The sensor package will come into the design of either a car or AR glasses, as will all the rest of it.\nProduct Development\nApple approaches product development differently than every other company. In the first place, they say “no” to many things, even deep into the development process, most we never get to hear about. This allows them to focus on what they do make, and make their products unique, even when competing a crowded space.\nMy favorite example here is a negative one, the ill-fated AirPower charging mat. Apple wanted to make a unique offering that was specifically designed around Apple products, but they could not pull off the dual-coil design without overheating. Instead of releasing an undifferentiated product, they killed it, even though it had been pre-announced. This sort of thing happens internally all the time. We got to see the sausage made, just this once.\nBut it goes beyond just saying “no” a lot. Apple approaches almost everything in a very slow, deliberate manner:\n\nFocus entirely on the customer experience.\nDon’t let anyone else get in between you and the customer.\nPeople often don’t know what they want until you show it to them.\nDon’t compete directly against successful incumbents, but figure out what Apple’s unique contribution is, focused on the entire ecosystem.\nDon’t release a new product or feature until you are ready to, no matter what analysts or the tech press say you should do.\nFind a way to dip your toe into the market first, gauge customer reaction, and slowly keep adding year after year.\nHave relatively few SKUs. Keep the product lines relatively simple.\nDon’t be afraid to ditch old but popular technologies.\nAs much as possible, own all the key technologies in your devices.\nHardware and software development are concurrent and work together.\nDo not worry that a new product is displacing another source of revenue.\n\nSometimes this can hurt an Apple product relative to competition. The HomePod is a good example here. Because of their relative lack of data collection, Siri will never be as capable as Alexa or Google Assistant. So when designing a “smart speaker,” Apple focused more on the speaker part, because they have handicapped themselves on the smart part. This led to an expensive device that didn’t have as much functionality as competing products. But it sounded great. This is a tradeoff they are willing to make, because security and privacy in the ecosystem is a higher level goal than having a smart speaker.\nBut as careful and deliberate as Apple is, they can also act blazingly fast when they think they need to. This letter, recently served up by one of my favorite Twitter accounts,Internal Tech Emails,kind of blew my mind.\n\nBertrand Serlet was the SVP of Software Engineering (“SWE” in the email) at the time. Scott Forstall was the lead on iOS. Steve Jobs you know. What you see here is the birth of the App Store, now worth $16 billion a year in net sales to Apple, decided in an email exchange in less than an hour.\nThe timeline here is that iPhone was released in June 2007. In September 2007, the first easily installed app store for jailbroken iPhones, Cydia, was released. It was a warning to Apple that they had to release their own App Store, along with developer tools like they had on the Mac, or risk losing control of the device. Too many people looked at this “phone” and saw a pocket computer.\nThis email exchange happened less than a month after Cydia. Serlet laid out everything the App Store was and still is in four quick bullets, made a request for a large amount of resources to pull it off (“whoever we need in SWE”), and asked for a yes-or-no decision. Jobs replied less than an hour later with an absurd timeline (it came out in March, but was announced in January), and approved a now-$16 billion a year business in a single sentence.\nMost of the time they move very slowly and deliberately, making sure everything is exactly right before release. But they can also push something out quickly if it is of strategic importance like App Store. This can also fall on its face at launch, like Apple Maps, which is why Apple prefers to move slowly, all else being equal.\nOrganization\nOne of the key foundations of Apple’s success is their amorphous org chart which promotes collaboration and prevents turf wars. On paper, there are three key technical function-based Senior VPs below CEO Tim Cook:\n\nSVP of Software Engineering, Craig Federighi.\nSVP of Hardware Engineering. This is now John Ternus, after longtime SVP of Hardware, Dan Riccio, moved over to shepherd AR/VR devices full time, underlining their importance.\nSVP of Services, Eddie Cue.\n\nThis is supplemented by the SVP of Worldwide Marketing position, now filled by Greg Joswiak, after Apple lifer Phil Schiller moved on to semi-retirement as an “Apple Fellow,” whatever that is. The Epic trial made clear that Schiller is very much still involved. Joswiak and Schiller are sort of Ministers-Without-Portfolio, who dip in on all strategic questions, and the guardians of the brand. VP of Environment, Policy and Social Initiatives, Lisa Jackson, has a growing voice in big decisions.\nBut as became apparent in a lot of the Apple corporate emails that Epic presented at trial, these people and their main lieutenants are constantly up in each other’s business, and that is by design. The walls between the SVPs are very thin, and no one gets to that position unless they understand that turf wars don’t happen at Apple. But the function-based organization sort of prevents it in the first place.\nWhen Apple decided to make iPhone, iPod was 35% of Apple’s revenue. But in meetings and email exchanges, there was no SVP of iPod to object loudly that their ox was being gored. There are many companies that would have killed iPhone because of this. Hardware, Software and Services all have big roles in all Apple products, whether it’s iPod, iPhone or anything that has followed. In that email in the previous section, Bertrand Serlet asks for whomever he needs to meet a fast timeline. That means he was pulling people off the Mac OS X team to work on the iPhone SDK and App Store, of course, in concert with Services and Hardware. Phil Schiller also had a lot to say. Again, there was no SVP of Mac to loudly object.\nWe now see this collaborative organization and culture expressed as architecture in Apple Park.\nApple Maps screenshot\nAt a cost of $4-$5 billion, Apple built a new campus entirely designed around the idea of encouraging collaboration across groups, and random encounters between people who normally would not be interacting. The parking lots are to south out of frame of that screenshot, and everyone enters and exits on those footpaths. Along the way, they have to pass by lots of other offices and groups, or go through the center courtyard, a central place to hang out.\nApple did not build this so people could work from home.\nThe Ecosystem\nBefore we talk about the sum of the parts, let’s start with the parts. These are the rankings that Apple product segments would have had in the 2021 Fortune 500 as stand-alones (by revenue)\n\niPhone at $166 billion in TTM net sales would place at number 12, between Costco (COST) and Cigna (CI).\nServices at $60 billion would place 52 between Albertsons (ACI) and Valero (VLO). That’s about a third of all Google’s revenue (number 9), and about 70% of Facebook’s revenue (number 34).\nWearables, Home, and Accessories at $35 billion would place at 89 between Deere (DE) and Abbott Labs (ABT). Apple is the largest maker of both watches and headphones now. For comparison, Swatch’s (OTCPK:SWGAF) TTM revenues were $6.3 billion.\nMac at $34 billion would place at 90 between Abbott and Northwestern Mutual. This is about a third of Dell’s (DELL) revenue (number 28).\niPad's $30 billion would be the only segment outside the Fortune 100 at number 101, between Tesla (TSLA) and Philip Morris (PM).\n\nApple consolidated comes in third by revenue behind Walmart (WMT) and Amazon (AMZN), but first in profits, 30% higher than number two Microsoft.\nOf course the ecosystem is what feeds this sales machine. Apple Watch is so popular, in part, because of its tie-in to iPhone and the suite of services, especially now with Fitness+. Apple Music as a stand-alone may not have survived without the tie in to all the rest of Apple. I could keep going on, but the success of everything rests on top of everything else.\nThe Walled Garden is a metaphor that people have used to describe the Apple family of products and services. Some, like Apple, put the emphasis on the garden. Others, like Epic, put the emphasis on the walls, like the ones in a prison. But whether people stay in the ecosystem because it’s hard to leave, or just because they like it there is a little immaterial until we get to antitrust, which we’ll talk about in a little bit. It’s a bit of both, of course, that make Apple products so sticky.\nThe foundation of this is the wide-and-tall tech stack that lets Apple be the only company that makes PCs, tablets, smartphones, smartwatches and headphones, the SoCs that run them, and also every line of code these devices ship with. These devices can seamlessly work with each other in ways the Windows/Android alternative cannot. Another one of these features is coming with the fall OS updates, Universal Control.\nEvery year at WWDC, Apple updates the software part of this, and the deep integration of services also gives Apple an advantage over competitors, which has become an antitrust focus, especially for Spotify (SPOT) in Europe.\nBut beyond that, the Apple ecosystem is entirely unique\n\nMicrosoft makes PC operating systems and software that sell well, and devices that sell poorly. They have some good consumer services like Xbox gaming, but not many. They are reportedly working on a chip for their Surface products.\nSamsung (OTC:SSNLF) makes a wide range of devices, but not operating systems (unless you count Tizen, now merging with Google's WearOS), or any notable apps or services. They design their own chips, but often use competitors’ in products.\nGoogle (GOOGL) has a very popular operating system and apps, and is the king of services, but their devices sell poorly. They make data center chips for their own use, but not for consumers.\nAmazon and Facebook (FB) are starting from the bottom-up. Both tried and failed with phones. Amazon has a fork of Android, and low-cost tablets that sell reasonably well. Amazon’s Echo products do well, Facebook’s hardware less so. Both do well with services and apps. The recent Amazon Sidewalk launch with Tile is Amazon trying to build up that ecosystem infrastructure. Amazon has a chip unit for AWS, but neither company has consumer chip design.\n\nOnly Apple has the complete package. But there are threats to the ecosystem, and I believe Apple is very likely to have to give up some control, especially with regard to App Store. By 2025 we should expect Apple’s App Store commission rate to drop, but the rest should remain very strong.\nPrivacy, Security And ESG\nI’m lumping these together, because they add up to the same thing: Apple has been able to skate to where the puck is going on important societal issues. They see these things not as costs, but marketable features that burnish the Apple brand.\nI don’t think there’s any reason for me to belabor the security and privacy comparison with Windows and especially Android. Like everyone, Apple does not have a perfect record, and we’ll talk some more in a moment about that.\nBut let’s return to that 2007 email, which is like an Apple Rosetta Stone. Serlet's first two bullets are about limits Apple is going to place on developers with the goals of “protect the user,” and “protect the networks.” Only after that does he get to what developers get access to. That’s indicative of all their thinking. Securing the user and networks is the first order priority.\nHere’s a quick list of the security and privacy enhancements they just announced at WWDC:\n\niCloud VPN at no extra cost to paid iCloud accounts.\nOn-device speech recognition.\nThird party Siri devices that do not give those third parties access to your commands. Common commands will execute without leaving the house.\nFurther support for iCloud home security video, which does image analysis on-device, and only uploads encrypted video to the cloud.\nHouse keys and state ID support in Wallet. TSA will accept digital IDs when it becomes available.\nA new App Privacy Report with details on what all apps are doing with their permissions. Google just announced something very similar for Android 12.\nAfter grimly reminding us that we will all die someday, iOS 15 allows adding of legacy contact who can access your account after you are gone.\nSecurely and privately share health data with a provider.\nProtection from email tracking pixels.\n\nThat was just what they announced this year.\nSo let’s turn it around and talk about what these things cost Apple. The biggest costs are not direct ones but opportunity costs from their relative lack of data collection. Their services suffer because of this:\n\nThe iAd ad network never got off the ground because it denied advertisers the data they were getting elsewhere.\nSimilarly, all their attempts at adding social media features have failed for the same reason.\nSiri lags Alexa and Google Assistant, and this also hurt them in the smart speaker space.\nIt is harder for them to build massive centralized AI models like Google and Facebook.\nThe engagement and targeting algorithms for App Store, News, Music, TV+, Stocks, Arcade and ads would all be better. Apple has tried to be unique here with added human curation.\nThey don’t trade user data like other credit card companies.\n\nThen there are the direct costs, which we have little insight into, but certainly stretches into the billions of dollars. Some of the key parts come under the chip design unit: the Secure Enclave and the machine learning cores. Along with the supporting software these are key units in the A and M series SoCs.\nThey currently already do a lot of work in keeping data analysis on-device, leveraging those machine learning cores, and only uploading encrypted data to the cloud using the secure enclave. But the eventual goal I believe is to have all Siri interactions happen on-device, which minimizes what Apple collects about users. As noted, they just took a major step in that direction with on-device voice recognition. To me, that was the single biggest announcement at WWDC. I thought Apple was maybe two years from announcing that.\nWhen we talk about ESG, the direct Capex costs are growing there. Apple Park is the largest LEED Platinum office building in North America. They are currently working through $4.7 billion in green bonds, building solar, wind and battery storage. Apple currently has all of Apple worldwide corporate operations carbon neutral. But the big, costly project is getting the entire supply chain to carbon neutral. They claim they will do that by 2030.\nIn 2021, this is a very effective marketing narrative, and it will only become more so over time. In 2025 these issues will resonate even more deeply.\nThe Brand\nSecurity, privacy and ESG burnish the brand, but the products are the core of it. Again, Apple does not list intangibles, but Interbrand put the value of the Apple brand at $323 billion in 2020. Amazon was number two at $201 billion. Here’s how Interbrand put it.\n\n Ultimately, Apple’s distinctiveness – or, in fact, uniqueness – isn’t a result of what the brand says, but what it does. It’s Apple’s products, technologies and stores that speak to the organisation’s philosophy of beautiful simplicity and individual empowerment – much more than any campaign could ever do. Inasmuch as many talk about the brand’s aura, Apple has consistently changed what was in people’s minds by changing what was in their hands.\n\nIt’s amazing what 25 years of making great products will do. This is important because a strong brand can buoy a company through bad weather. Apple’s brand can weather a long storm.\nThe iPhone Value Proposition\nApple products are notoriously expensive. But are they? Mac is expensive when you compare to alternatives, but iPhone turns out to be a pretty good value. To begin with, iPhone gets many years of operating system support, in contrast to Android products outside of Google’s poorly-selling Pixel. I have a friend who can afford any phone he wants, but he likes small phones, and hated Jony Ive’s rounded edges. He bought an iPhone SE in March 2016 for $399, and held on to until last December when he traded it in for an iPhone 12 mini. When he traded it in, it was running the current version, iOS 14. If he still owned it, he would be able to upgrade it to iOS 15 in the fall.\nI joke with him that he really extracted maximum value from that iPhone SE, but let’s look at what that looks like for someone in 2021 who is budget conscious. Forgetting about any trade-in subsidies:\n\n$399 iPhone SE 2nd generation base model\nPaid for with Apple Card. That gets a 3% discount on price, and 24 months of 0% interest.\nInclude AppleCare+ for product life to account for an inevitable battery replacement and unforeseeables.\nThat’s $19.91 a month for the first 24 months, and $3.29 thereafter.\nDiscount future payments by 1.75% a year for inflation.\nSince the phone is already a year old, we’ll shave a year off operating system support, so that’s 6 years.\n\nFor 6 years of worry-free ownership and operating system updates, that’s $599 in 2021 dollars. If you wanted to risk it and not get AppleCare+, it’s only $381 paid over 2 years. This is very comparable to similar offerings from Samsung,OnePlus, and Google. Only Google’s Pixel gets guaranteed OS updates beyond that first year.\nTurning to the flagship models:\n\nApple has the most expensive flagship but not by much. The Google Pixel 5 seems like a great deal to me, and I remain surprised at how poorly the Pixels have sold. Also, looking at the green bars, the iPhone 12 Pro Max looks like the best deal of the bunch.\nOnly the Pixel gets guaranteed updates beyond that first year. Apple is still supporting 5 models released in the Obama administration. But there’s a lot more that comes with iPhone that doesn’t come with any Android phone.\n\nThe best smartphone chip.\nHardware and software developed together.\nTight integration with PC, tablet, watch and wireless headphones.\nFar better malware security in App Store.\nMost new apps start on iOS, so Apple users get first crack.\nNative productivity suite.\nNative audio and video editing with surprising capability for phone apps.\nNo tracking of location and other data by Google unless you use Google services.\nConvenient service and free classes at an Apple Store near you.\n\nApple users give up a little bit of freedom, mostly in App Store, for all this, but I think it’s a tradeoff everyone understands at this point. As time wears on, it has become harder and harder for other phone manufacturers to keep up with Apple on both price and features. By 2025, it will be even harder.\nRisks To The Story\nThere are three big threats to the rosy picture I am painting. One is geopolitical, one is regulatory, and one is social.\nChina\nUS-China relations are at their lowest ebb since Mao hosted Nixon in 1972. The Biden Administration has pulled back from some of the excesses of the previous Administration, but we seem to be on a long march towards, at a minimum, a bifurcation of the technology world. I do not view this as a positive development for many reasons, but it hits Apple hard.\nApple is pretty unique in the scale of their dependence on China from both the supply side and the demand side. Let’s start on the supply side.\n\n Substantially all of the Company’s manufacturing is performed in whole or in part by outsourcing partners located primarily in Asia. A significant concentration of this manufacturing is currently performed by a small number of outsourcing partners, often in single locations.\n\n\n - Apple annual report “Risk Factors”\n\nFrom the demand side, it fluctuates, but in the current 3-year iPhone supercycle period, Apple is averaging 16.8% of net sales from Greater China, which includes Taiwan and Hong Kong.\n\nAntitrust\nI’m not going to dwell on this, since everyone is better acquainted with this threat because of the Epic trial. But there is a movement afoot to refashion antitrust law in a way that would not be favorable to Apple, with the amount of control they like to exercise over the ecosystem. This is in the US courts now, but legislative and regulatory bodies in the US and Europe are turning towards iOS, especially App Store. The threat is not open-ended like it is for Google and Facebook, as it is contained to App Store, 28% of Services net sales and 5.4% of consolidated Apple. But that second number, small as it is, has been growing quickly.\nIn contrast to China, I view some sort of reduced take from App Store as inevitable, and the only question is the scale of the reduction. Already, according to Epic trial filings, Apple’s take is probably between 25% and 26% on App Store, not 30% as it is always reported. That is going lower.\nBased on the comments in my articles on the Epic trial, I think Apple shareholders are also underestimating the probability of this happening.\nTall Poppy Syndrome\nThis is a phrase I just learned from an Australian friend. Wikipedia defines it as\n\n a cultural phenomenon of jealous people holding back or directly attacking those who are perceived to be better than the norm, \"cutting down the tall poppy\".\n\nThat’s roughly how my Aussie friend described it to me. People love a comeback story, and that was the Apple narrative for a long time. But Apple is now far too profitable for too long to be the Comeback Kid anymore. Now there seems to be an appetite in the media and society for cutting Apple down to size.\nFor example, Washington Post ran an article as I was writing this section that talked about 18 scam apps that were in the top 1000 grossing apps on the day Apple was testifying in front of the Senate about App Store.\nWashington Post screenshot\nApple needs to do better. But there is no control group. The article never asks how many scam apps they stopped that day, or how many scam apps were on the Google Play Store or other Android stores that day.Apple claims they stopped $1.5 billion in fraudulent transaction in 2020, 2.4% of all App Store transactions.\nTo be clear, the Washington Post article is claiming that Apple is not really curating App Store based on their one-day survey. The total net sales to Apple for these apps was $8.3 million before Apple axed them. Apple is a company that will have around $350 billion in net sales in fiscal 2021, and had something like $16 billion from App Store in calendar 2020. They are not sandbagging their hard-earned reputation over $8.3 million.\nThis is sometimes called the “Five Nines Problem.” Five nines is 99.999%, and is sort of the standard for “almost perfect” in a lot of tech. But tech companies like Apple, Google, Facebook, etc. operate at massive scale and they need more nines. App Store has 1.8 million apps, and five nines means 180 malicious apps get through, and maybe 10% of those wind up in the top 1000 grossers. The good news is that Apple does not need the Washington Post to tell them they need to get better at this, but it is not easy.\nThis is a more nebulous threat than the others, but the last time I felt like this was when the narrative on Microsoft turned sharply after Windows 95. That ended up in a long battle with the Department of Justice that sucked corporate focus for years.\nApple Stock Price Model: Four Scenarios\nMany of the assumptions for these models are all based off of my deep dives on Apple quarters after they report. The last of them on 2021 Q2is here.\nSo let’s take all that qualitative data, and try and stuff it through a revenue and DCF model. I recommend you be very skeptical of all models of the future, and think a lot about the underlying assumptions. Models are generally an expression of the author’s biases with math laid over it. You have the 6,000 words above if you would like to know mine.\nThe recent Tesla model from ARK Investment should stand as a cautionary tale for everyone. Anyway, I have posted Excel worksheets to GitHub with the model, and all the major assumptions are modifiable. Each scenario is a separate worksheet.\nLet’s first look at some assumptions common to all four:\n\niPhone continues to exhibit a 3-year cyclical pattern. Fiscal 2021 is the high year, so 2024 is the next one.\nServices growth comes off to some extent in all scenarios from reduced App Store growth from legal or regulatory action in the US and Europe.\nWearables, etc. remains on its strong growth path on Apple Watch, AirPods, and at least one new product category, a VR headset.\nMac and iPad return roughly to their pre-pandemic patterns. Like all PC makes, Apple saw a big surge from work-from-home.\nFiscal 2021 is half-reported, so all scenarios assume that it will complete along Apple’s average seasonal pattern from 2016-2019.\nOther assumptions are in the Excel sheets.\n\nScenarios:\n\nLarge, the most optimistic.\nMedium, my base case.\nSmall is what Apple looks like if they come off the growth rates of the last 4-6 years.\nTiny is the same as Small through 2023, and then we’re going to throw some real problems at Apple.\n\nIn Medium:\n\nWe’ll model the iPhone cycle with the average growth rates of the 2015 and 2018 cycles.\nServices growth comes off of 2016-2020 trajectory because of legal or regulatory action on App Store by 2 pp.\nThe rest, as above.\n\nLarge and Small will, respectively, add and subtract from these growth rates in Medium. In addition, Large assumes:\n\nBoost in fiscal 2022-2025 for iPhone on 5G adoption.\nApple Silicon Macs gain Apple some PC market share.\nThe AR glasses come out in the middle of fiscal 2025. To be clear, I view that as an unlikely timeline, but it does not have a large effect on the model since it comes 6 months from the end of our interval.\n\nTiny is a special event-based scenario where we will throw the two worst plausible scenarios we can at Apple. It starts with a huge reduction in App Store revenues due to antitrust action in the US and Europe at the end of fiscal 2023, and getting kicked out of China at the end of fiscal 2024. The former will be modeled as a sharp downturn in Services revenue in fiscal 2024. The China expulsion will lead to a 15% drop in top line revenue, and a decrease in products gross margin by 5 pp in 2025. I don’t view either of these as particularly likely, but this is the worst it can get.\nIs Apple Stock A Buy Now?\nJust to double up on the warning: you should treat all models of the future with skepticism, including this one.\nThis table summarizes the results. Please hit up those Excel sheets if you’d like to frisk the math, or play around with your own assumptions.\n\nAs you can see, even Small doesn’t do so badly by 2025, and Tiny ends up almost in the green, since the bad events come towards the end. If they were to come earlier, those growth rates would be lower in Tiny.\nBut the year-by-year results get to something I’ve been trying to tell Apple shareholders for almost a year now:\n\nThat chart will explain to you why I started breaking my Apple recommendations down between long and short term. Since the price hit $130 last summer, it was pretty clear to me that except in a best-case scenario, the gains of fiscal 2021 and 2022 were already baked in.\n\nEven Large only shows a marginal gain by the end of the fiscal year 2021, and Medium and Small are flat or down through the end of 2022. I’ve used the phrase, “if your time horizon with Apple is short, now is a good time to take profits,” very frequently in the past 8 months. I still mean it.\nApple Stock Forecast For 2025\nLet’s zoom into each a bit, starting with the base case, Medium.\n\nI've included actual price growth for fiscal 2020 so you can see how we got here. In this view we can think of slow fair value growth from today to the end of fiscal 2022 as averaging out fiscal 2020. If we look at 2019-2022, that’s a 27% CAGR, much more in line with the growth rates in the out years of the model. The model is simply predicting that 2021 and 2022 are baked into today’s price.\nBut then you see that the model really picks up steam on the out-years, as Apple’s free cash flow, growing at a 15% 5-year CAGR in Medium, catches up with the price. All together, that’s a 13.8% CAGR over the four and a third years of the model, with a terminal value of $222.\nOf course Large is larger, with an enhanced iPhone cycle from 5G adoption and a little extra boost from the AR glasses at the end of fiscal 2025.\n\nTo be clear, I view this scenario as plausible, but not that likely, somewhere around the 25th percentile. In this scenario, 2022 does not show the flat or negative growth rates in 2022 like the others, and this is due to the 5G adoption part of our assumptions. That’s a 20.2% CAGR, and a terminal value of $283.\n\nThis model starts off very slowly, with only an 11% 2019-2022 CAGR compared to 27% for Medium, and down in 2022. But even the Small scenario picks up steam beginning in 2023. That’s an 18% CAGR from 2023-2025. But over the life of the model it is less than half that, 7.9%, a $184 terminal value.\n\nTiny is the same as Small until the events kick in beginning fiscal 2024. 2024 price growth comes way off Small, and takes a dive in 2025. Keep in mind, we are talking about the fair value a year after the event, so the price would likely go down much further first. Anyway, this one winds up roughly at the June 11 close over four years later.\nSo there it is: the thing I’ve been telling you for a while now, except with some modeling and pretty charts:\n\nExcept in our best case, Apple is likely to trade sideways for a while as cash flows catch up with the share price.\nBut absent some very bad events out of Apple’s control, the long term view is still very, very bright, even if they slow down.\n\nSeven thousand words summed up in two bullets.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164183182,"gmtCreate":1624180695646,"gmtModify":1631885865470,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noted","listText":"Noted","text":"Noted","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164183182","repostId":"1183124175","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1183124175","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624151620,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1183124175?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-20 09:13","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Beware these risky tech stocks in your portfolio, strategist Parker warns","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1183124175","media":"cnbc","summary":"As investors cycle back into growth stocks, one market strategist warns against certain technology names he believes are high risk.Growth stocks are shares of companies expected to grow at a faster rate than the rest of the market. However, these names are typically riskier and more volatile than the average stock.Adam Parker, former Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist and founder of Trivariate Research, said the time is right to buy growth shares, but investors should be cautious of a f","content":"<div>\n<p>As investors cycle back into growth stocks, one market strategist warns against certain technology names he believes are high risk.\nGrowth stocks are shares of companies expected to grow at a faster ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/19/tech-stocks-strategist-warns-of-risky-names.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cnbc_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beware these risky tech stocks in your portfolio, strategist Parker warns</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeware these risky tech stocks in your portfolio, strategist Parker warns\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-20 09:13 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/19/tech-stocks-strategist-warns-of-risky-names.html><strong>cnbc</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>As investors cycle back into growth stocks, one market strategist warns against certain technology names he believes are high risk.\nGrowth stocks are shares of companies expected to grow at a faster ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/19/tech-stocks-strategist-warns-of-risky-names.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果","SQ":"Block","MCHP":"微芯科技","TWLO":"Twilio Inc","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/19/tech-stocks-strategist-warns-of-risky-names.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/72bb72e1b84c09fca865c6dcb1bbcd16","article_id":"1183124175","content_text":"As investors cycle back into growth stocks, one market strategist warns against certain technology names he believes are high risk.\nGrowth stocks are shares of companies expected to grow at a faster rate than the rest of the market. However, these names are typically riskier and more volatile than the average stock.\nAdam Parker, former Morgan Stanley chief U.S. equity strategist and founder of Trivariate Research, said the time is right to buy growth shares, but investors should be cautious of a few.\n“We think that portfolio managers should be buying growth stocks again, focusing on positive free cash flow and margin expansion, not earnings-based valuation,” Parker said in a note released Wednesday.\nTrivariate Research used a number of criteria to identify risky stocks, including low or negative correlation to inflation, high correlation to the economic reopening and high levels of company insiders selling their shares. The research firm then identified the eight riskiest names based on those measures.\n“Our view is that these are among the riskiest stocks to own today, so investors who own these names should have disproportionate upside to their base cases to compensate them for these risks,” Parker said.\nTake a look at five of the riskiest technology stocks, according to Trivariate.\nRISKIEST TECH STOCKS, ACCORDING TO TRIVARIATE\n\n\n\nTICKER\nCOMPANY\nPRICE\n%CHANGE\n\n\n\n\nMCHP\nMicrochip Technology Inc\n145.62\n-3.0686\n\n\nTWLO\nTwilio Inc\n367.61\n1.84\n\n\nSQ\nSquare Inc\n237.05\n0.39\n\n\nNVDA\nNVIDIA Corp\n745.55\n-0.0992\n\n\nAAPL\nApple Inc\n130.46\n-1.0092\n\n\n\nApple is on Trivariate’s list of riskiest stocks. The research firm identifies Apple as one of the stocks with the most negative correlation to inflation. Trivariate predicts that if bond yields rise or if fears of inflation continue, shares of Apple will underperform the market.\nNvidiaalso makes the list of risky tech stocks. Trivariate found the semiconductor stock has one of the most asymmetric beta — meaning the stock is consistently more volatile than the broader market during a market pullback compared with typical times.\nTrivariate also named payments companySquare, cloud communications platformTwilioand semiconductor manufacturerMicrochip Technologyamong the riskiest technology stocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":242,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":188852865,"gmtCreate":1623429191657,"gmtModify":1631885865479,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alibaba is a well known e-commerce company and no doubt the share price could climb up","listText":"Alibaba is a well known e-commerce company and no doubt the share price could climb up","text":"Alibaba is a well known e-commerce company and no doubt the share price could climb up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/188852865","repostId":"1107871315","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800903922,"gmtCreate":1627269167866,"gmtModify":1631885865491,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800903922","repostId":"1143726595","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":140041881,"gmtCreate":1625621104343,"gmtModify":1631885865508,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great info","listText":"Great info","text":"Great 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09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: 17 IPOs are coming","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1118041582","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs schedul","content":"<p>After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs scheduled for the week ahead.</p>\n<p>Long-awaited retail brokerage&nbsp;<b>Robinhood Markets</b>(HOOD) plans to raise $2.2 billion at a $36.8 billion market cap. The company offers a no-commission retail brokerage platform with over 18 million MAUs. Despite triple-digit revenue growth in the 1Q21, the platform is dependent on trading volumes, and the recent retail trading boom may be unsustainable.</p>\n<p>Vehicle battery maker&nbsp;<b>Clarios International</b>(BTRY) plans to raise $1.7 billion at a $9.7 billion market cap. The company manufactures low-voltage vehicles batteries globally, stating that it has the number one market position in the Americas and EMEA. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Clarios saw revenue growth accelerate in the 1H FY21 after turning negative in the FY20 due to COVID.</p>\n<p>Altice’s ad-tech platform&nbsp;<b>Teads</b>(TEAD) plans to raise $751 million at a $4.6 billion market cap. Teads operates a cloud-based programmatic digital advertising platform for advertisers and publishers. Profitable with solid growth, Teads provides monetization services to about 3,100 publishers.</p>\n<p>Education software provider&nbsp;<b>PowerSchool Holdings</b>(PWSC) plans to raise $750 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. The company provides an education platform for teachers to manage classroom activities such as collecting work and grading assignments. Serving over 12,000 customers in over 90 countries globally, PowerSchool turned profitable on a net income basis in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>After withdrawing its IPO attempt in 2018,<b>Dole</b>(DOLE) plans to raise $559 million at a $2.0 billion market cap. This leading fruit and vegetable company offers over 300 products sourced from over 30 countries to over 80 countries globally. Slow growing and profitable, Dole's offering is being made in connection with its merger with Total Produce.</p>\n<p>Language learning platform&nbsp;<b>Duolingo</b>(DUOL) plans to raise $460 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Duolingo provides an online platform for over 300 million users to learn over 30 new languages. Benefiting from a COVID-related boost in demand, Duolingo posted triple-digit growth in 2020.</p>\n<p><b>Traeger</b>(COOK) plans to raise $400 million at a $2.2 billion market cap. This company makes premium backyard wood pellet grills with a tech feature, allowing owners to program, monitor, and control their grill through the Traeger app. Traeger is a category leader of the wood pellet grill, growing revenue at a 28% CAGR from 2017 to 2020.</p>\n<p>Israeli anti-fraud firm&nbsp;<b>Riskified</b>(RSKD) plans to raise $333 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. This company provides e-commerce fraud protection for enterprises. Growing but unprofitable, Riskified saw its free cash flow swing positive in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Financial software provider&nbsp;<b>MeridianLink</b>(MLNK) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. MeridianLink offers a cloud-based digital lending and account opening platform for mid-market community banks and credit unions. Although business is cyclical, the company saw double-digit organic growth in the FY20 due to strong mortgage activity.</p>\n<p>Smart home integration system&nbsp;<b>Snap One Holdings</b>(SNPO) plans to raise $270 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This company provides smart home technology products to over 16,000 professional integrators. Snap One has demonstrated solid growth and was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1Q21.</p>\n<p>Specialty funding solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Preston Hollow Community Capital</b>(PHCC) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. This company is a market leader in providing specialized impact financing solutions for projects of significant social and economic importance to local communities in the US. It serves a variety of areas, including infrastructure, education, healthcare, and housing.</p>\n<p>Vaccine biotech&nbsp;<b>Icosavax</b>(ICVX) plans to raise $150 million at a $590 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is initially focused on developing vaccines against infectious respiratory diseases using its virus-like particle platform technology. Its most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 1/2 trial for SARS-CoV-2.</p>\n<p>Cancer biotech&nbsp;<b>Candel Therapeutics</b>(CADL) plans to raise $85 million at a $398 million market cap. Candel's most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 3 trial in combination with prodrug valacyclovir for newly diagnosed localized prostate cancer with an intermediate or high-risk for progression. The company expects to complete enrollment in the 3Q21 with a final data readout in 2024.</p>\n<p>Rare disease biotech&nbsp;<b>Rallybio</b>(RLYB) plans to raise $81 million at a $465 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is developing antibody therapies for rare diseases. Its lead program is currently being evaluated to treat fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia in a Phase 1/2 trial.</p>\n<p><b>Ocean Biomedical</b>(OCEA) plans to raise $50 million at a $506 million market cap. The company is currently pursuing preclinical programs in oncology, fibrosis, infectious disease, and inflammation that have been licensed directly or indirectly from Brown University, Stanford University, and Rhode Island Hospital.</p>\n<p>After postponing in November 2020,<b>IN8bio</b>(INAB) plans to raise $44 million at a $215 million market cap. This Phase 1 biotech is developing allogeneic gamma-delta T cell therapies to treat solid tumors. Although gamma-delta T cells could potentially treat solid tumors, the company is very early stage and has dosed a limited number of patients.</p>\n<p>Female cancer biotech&nbsp;<b>Context Therapeutics</b>(CNTX) plans to raise $20 million at a $93 million market cap. Context is developing treatments for female cancers, such as breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancer. The company’s lead candidate is currently in Phase 2 trials for ovarian and endometrial cancer, with preliminary results expected in the 2H21 and the 1H22.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b38a8af5f92621b2633830553616b5d\" tg-width=\"1271\" tg-height=\"702\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5faec597a337345b21c846808295821d\" tg-width=\"1272\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/021cc62ff4eaabd0b6a7dee91fc0d63e\" tg-width=\"1270\" tg-height=\"483\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p>\n<p>The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/22/2021, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 1.0% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 16.3%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 3.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 8.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include EQT Partners and Smoore International.</p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: 17 IPOs are coming</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: 17 IPOs are coming\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-25 09:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84600/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Robinhood%E2%80%99s-billion-dollar-deal-headlines-a-17-IPO-week><strong>Renaissance Capital</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs scheduled for the week ahead.\nLong-awaited retail brokerage Robinhood Markets(HOOD) plans to raise $2.2 ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84600/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Robinhood%E2%80%99s-billion-dollar-deal-headlines-a-17-IPO-week\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DOLE":"都乐食品","PWSC":"PowerSchool Holdings, Inc.","MLNK":"MeridianLink, Inc. (ex-Project Angel Parent, LLC)",".DJI":"道琼斯","INAB":"IN8bio, Inc.","DUOL":"多邻国","SNPO":"Snap One Holdings Corp.","FEOVF":"Oceanic Iron Ore Corp.",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","RLYB":"Rallybio Corp.","CNTX":"Context Therapeutics Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HOOD":"Robinhood","COOK":"Traeger Inc. (TGPX Holdings I LLC)","ICVX":"Icosavax, Inc.","RSKD":"Riskified Ltd.","CADLF":"CADELER AS"},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/84600/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Robinhood%E2%80%99s-billion-dollar-deal-headlines-a-17-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1118041582","content_text":"After another week of record activity, the IPO market is expected to remain hot with 17 IPOs scheduled for the week ahead.\nLong-awaited retail brokerage Robinhood Markets(HOOD) plans to raise $2.2 billion at a $36.8 billion market cap. The company offers a no-commission retail brokerage platform with over 18 million MAUs. Despite triple-digit revenue growth in the 1Q21, the platform is dependent on trading volumes, and the recent retail trading boom may be unsustainable.\nVehicle battery maker Clarios International(BTRY) plans to raise $1.7 billion at a $9.7 billion market cap. The company manufactures low-voltage vehicles batteries globally, stating that it has the number one market position in the Americas and EMEA. Profitable on an EBIT basis, Clarios saw revenue growth accelerate in the 1H FY21 after turning negative in the FY20 due to COVID.\nAltice’s ad-tech platform Teads(TEAD) plans to raise $751 million at a $4.6 billion market cap. Teads operates a cloud-based programmatic digital advertising platform for advertisers and publishers. Profitable with solid growth, Teads provides monetization services to about 3,100 publishers.\nEducation software provider PowerSchool Holdings(PWSC) plans to raise $750 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. The company provides an education platform for teachers to manage classroom activities such as collecting work and grading assignments. Serving over 12,000 customers in over 90 countries globally, PowerSchool turned profitable on a net income basis in the 1Q21.\nAfter withdrawing its IPO attempt in 2018,Dole(DOLE) plans to raise $559 million at a $2.0 billion market cap. This leading fruit and vegetable company offers over 300 products sourced from over 30 countries to over 80 countries globally. Slow growing and profitable, Dole's offering is being made in connection with its merger with Total Produce.\nLanguage learning platform Duolingo(DUOL) plans to raise $460 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. Duolingo provides an online platform for over 300 million users to learn over 30 new languages. Benefiting from a COVID-related boost in demand, Duolingo posted triple-digit growth in 2020.\nTraeger(COOK) plans to raise $400 million at a $2.2 billion market cap. This company makes premium backyard wood pellet grills with a tech feature, allowing owners to program, monitor, and control their grill through the Traeger app. Traeger is a category leader of the wood pellet grill, growing revenue at a 28% CAGR from 2017 to 2020.\nIsraeli anti-fraud firm Riskified(RSKD) plans to raise $333 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. This company provides e-commerce fraud protection for enterprises. Growing but unprofitable, Riskified saw its free cash flow swing positive in the 1Q21.\nFinancial software provider MeridianLink(MLNK) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. MeridianLink offers a cloud-based digital lending and account opening platform for mid-market community banks and credit unions. Although business is cyclical, the company saw double-digit organic growth in the FY20 due to strong mortgage activity.\nSmart home integration system Snap One Holdings(SNPO) plans to raise $270 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. This company provides smart home technology products to over 16,000 professional integrators. Snap One has demonstrated solid growth and was profitable on an EBIT basis in the 1Q21.\nSpecialty funding solutions provider Preston Hollow Community Capital(PHCC) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. This company is a market leader in providing specialized impact financing solutions for projects of significant social and economic importance to local communities in the US. It serves a variety of areas, including infrastructure, education, healthcare, and housing.\nVaccine biotech Icosavax(ICVX) plans to raise $150 million at a $590 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is initially focused on developing vaccines against infectious respiratory diseases using its virus-like particle platform technology. Its most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 1/2 trial for SARS-CoV-2.\nCancer biotech Candel Therapeutics(CADL) plans to raise $85 million at a $398 million market cap. Candel's most advanced candidate is currently in a Phase 3 trial in combination with prodrug valacyclovir for newly diagnosed localized prostate cancer with an intermediate or high-risk for progression. The company expects to complete enrollment in the 3Q21 with a final data readout in 2024.\nRare disease biotech Rallybio(RLYB) plans to raise $81 million at a $465 million market cap. This clinical stage biotech is developing antibody therapies for rare diseases. Its lead program is currently being evaluated to treat fetal and neonatal alloimmune thrombocytopenia in a Phase 1/2 trial.\nOcean Biomedical(OCEA) plans to raise $50 million at a $506 million market cap. The company is currently pursuing preclinical programs in oncology, fibrosis, infectious disease, and inflammation that have been licensed directly or indirectly from Brown University, Stanford University, and Rhode Island Hospital.\nAfter postponing in November 2020,IN8bio(INAB) plans to raise $44 million at a $215 million market cap. This Phase 1 biotech is developing allogeneic gamma-delta T cell therapies to treat solid tumors. Although gamma-delta T cells could potentially treat solid tumors, the company is very early stage and has dosed a limited number of patients.\nFemale cancer biotech Context Therapeutics(CNTX) plans to raise $20 million at a $93 million market cap. Context is developing treatments for female cancers, such as breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancer. The company’s lead candidate is currently in Phase 2 trials for ovarian and endometrial cancer, with preliminary results expected in the 2H21 and the 1H22.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 7/22/2021, the Renaissance IPO Index was down 1.0% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 16.3%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 3.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 8.1%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include EQT Partners and Smoore International.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":433,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175160641,"gmtCreate":1627014359483,"gmtModify":1631885865561,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175160641","repostId":"2153918609","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153918609","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1627010293,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153918609?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 11:18","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"HK's GOME eyes best day in 5 months on deal to form supply chain sharing centre","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153918609","media":"Reuters","summary":"** Shares of China's electrical appliances retail chain operator GOME Retail Holdings Ltd rise 12.1%","content":"<p>** Shares of China's electrical appliances retail chain operator GOME Retail Holdings Ltd rise 12.1% to HK$1.02, on course for the best day Feb. 25</p>\n<p>** Stock hit the highest since July 2, extending gains for the third straight session; it's the top gainer in the Hang Seng Composite Index and the seventh biggest gainer on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** GOME says its unit has teamed up with a subsidiary of state-owned Shenzhen Investment Holdings Co Ltd and Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd&nbsp;for the formation of a commodity supply chain sharing centre, retail platform and smart production chain centered around the Bay Area</p>\n<p>** Shenzhen shares of Eternal Asia rise 5.1%</p>\n<p>** The Hong Kong Hang Seng Commerce &amp; Industry Index slips 0.7% and the Hang Seng consumer goods and services index&nbsp;eases 0.8%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng Composite Index&nbsp;slides 0.7%</p>\n<p>** Both the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index&nbsp;and the benchmark index&nbsp;eases 0.8%</p>\n<p>** As of last close, stock of Beijing-based GOME had slid 2.2% this year</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>HK's GOME eyes best day in 5 months on deal to form supply chain sharing centre</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHK's GOME eyes best day in 5 months on deal to form supply chain sharing centre\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-07-23 11:18</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>** Shares of China's electrical appliances retail chain operator GOME Retail Holdings Ltd rise 12.1% to HK$1.02, on course for the best day Feb. 25</p>\n<p>** Stock hit the highest since July 2, extending gains for the third straight session; it's the top gainer in the Hang Seng Composite Index and the seventh biggest gainer on the Hong Kong bourse</p>\n<p>** GOME says its unit has teamed up with a subsidiary of state-owned Shenzhen Investment Holdings Co Ltd and Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd&nbsp;for the formation of a commodity supply chain sharing centre, retail platform and smart production chain centered around the Bay Area</p>\n<p>** Shenzhen shares of Eternal Asia rise 5.1%</p>\n<p>** The Hong Kong Hang Seng Commerce &amp; Industry Index slips 0.7% and the Hang Seng consumer goods and services index&nbsp;eases 0.8%</p>\n<p>** The Hang Seng Composite Index&nbsp;slides 0.7%</p>\n<p>** Both the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index&nbsp;and the benchmark index&nbsp;eases 0.8%</p>\n<p>** As of last close, stock of Beijing-based GOME had slid 2.2% this year</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"00493":"国美零售"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153918609","content_text":"** Shares of China's electrical appliances retail chain operator GOME Retail Holdings Ltd rise 12.1% to HK$1.02, on course for the best day Feb. 25\n** Stock hit the highest since July 2, extending gains for the third straight session; it's the top gainer in the Hang Seng Composite Index and the seventh biggest gainer on the Hong Kong bourse\n** GOME says its unit has teamed up with a subsidiary of state-owned Shenzhen Investment Holdings Co Ltd and Eternal Asia Supply Chain Management Ltd for the formation of a commodity supply chain sharing centre, retail platform and smart production chain centered around the Bay Area\n** Shenzhen shares of Eternal Asia rise 5.1%\n** The Hong Kong Hang Seng Commerce & Industry Index slips 0.7% and the Hang Seng consumer goods and services index eases 0.8%\n** The Hang Seng Composite Index slides 0.7%\n** Both the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and the benchmark index eases 0.8%\n** As of last close, stock of Beijing-based GOME had slid 2.2% this year","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":292,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":179771309,"gmtCreate":1626581191901,"gmtModify":1631885865565,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/179771309","repostId":"2152968147","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2152968147","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626555600,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2152968147?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-18 05:00","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Battery tycoon charges ahead in wealth rankings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2152968147","media":"The Straits Times","summary":"(BLOOMBERG) - Looks like selling car batteries is a better business than e-commerce and fintech comb","content":"<div>\n<p>(BLOOMBERG) - Looks like selling car batteries is a better business than e-commerce and fintech combined.\nAfter all, Dr Zeng Yuqun, founder of the world's biggest electric-vehicle battery maker, has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/invest/battery-tycoon-charges-ahead-in-wealth-rankings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"straits_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Battery tycoon charges ahead in wealth rankings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBattery tycoon charges ahead in wealth rankings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-18 05:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.straitstimes.com/business/invest/battery-tycoon-charges-ahead-in-wealth-rankings><strong>The Straits Times</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(BLOOMBERG) - Looks like selling car batteries is a better business than e-commerce and fintech combined.\nAfter all, Dr Zeng Yuqun, founder of the world's biggest electric-vehicle battery maker, has ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/invest/battery-tycoon-charges-ahead-in-wealth-rankings\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"09988":"阿里巴巴-W","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数"},"source_url":"http://www.straitstimes.com/business/invest/battery-tycoon-charges-ahead-in-wealth-rankings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2152968147","content_text":"(BLOOMBERG) - Looks like selling car batteries is a better business than e-commerce and fintech combined.\nAfter all, Dr Zeng Yuqun, founder of the world's biggest electric-vehicle battery maker, has overtaken Mr Jack Ma in the wealth rankings, a symbolic moment in the rise of China's green billionaires.\nHis net worth has jumped to US$49.5 billion (S$67 billion), according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, as shares of Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) surged this year.\nThat exceeds Alibaba Group co-founder Mr Ma's wealth of US$48.1 billion and makes Dr Zeng one of the five richest people in Asia for the first time.\nInvestors have pushed up stocks such as CATL, a key supplier to Tesla, as the country leads the market for electric-vehicle sales and pursues an ambitious policy of reaching carbon neutrality in 2060.\n\"The billionaire ranking used to be dominated by real estate tycoons and later tech entrepreneurs, and now we are seeing more from the new energy sector,\" said Mr Hao Gao, director of Tsinghua University's NIFR Global Family Business Research Centre.\n\"As the industry leader for electric-vehicle batteries, CATL will benefit most from the carbon emission goal.\"\nDr Zeng, 53, who hails from a village in Fujian in south-east China, built CATL into a battery juggernaut in less than a decade, creating the largest global producer of rechargeable cells for plug-in vehicles.\nGlobal electric-vehicle battery sales more than doubled in the first four months of this year from a year earlier, with CATL accounting for 32.5 per cent of the market.\nCATL's stock has surged more than 20-fold since the company went public in Shenzhen in 2018. It is up about 60 per cent this year alone as demand for electric vehicles increases, countries work to reduce carbon emissions and costs tumble.\nCATL trades at more than 100 times estimated earnings, compared with about 13 times for its competitor Panasonic.\nIn addition to Tesla, CATL counts BMW and Volkswagen among its customers.\nIn an interview last year, Dr Zeng said he and Tesla chief executive officer Elon Musk text about technology, Covid-19 and Mr Musk's main interest: cheaper batteries and cars.\nDr Zeng, who earned his doctorate in condensed matter physics from the Chinese Academy of Science in Beijing, is not the only billionaire who is benefiting from the surge in CATL's stock. Mr Huang Shilin, a vice-chairman of the company, is worth more than US$21 billion, while Mr Li Ping, who is also a vice-chairman, has a fortune worth US$8.5 billion.\nAs Dr Zeng's star rises, Mr Ma's has been on the wane. The value of Mr Ma's fintech arm Ant Group has plummeted since the former English teacher openly pushed back against Beijing, prompting the Chinese authorities to quash the company's plans for a huge initial public offering. Mr Ma, 56, has all but dropped from public view, and has lost US$2.5 billion in wealth this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":205,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":170533971,"gmtCreate":1626441519993,"gmtModify":1631885865581,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/170533971","repostId":"1130848269","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1130848269","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626439445,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1130848269?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-16 20:44","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The dollar is doomed over the long term - Gundlach","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130848269","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"If inflation is on the rise, and tapering talk is making headlines, then why are U.S. Treasury yield","content":"<ul>\n <li>If inflation is on the rise, and tapering talk is making headlines, then why are U.S. Treasury yields heading lower? \"It's because of all the liquidity in the system,\" DoubleLine Capital's Jeffrey GundlachtoldCNBC. \"Banks are so flush with deposits\" that it is creating disorder in the broader financial markets. In fact, the New York Fed's overnight reverse repo program has started touching record levels around $1T as excess liquidity overwhelms U.S. money-market funds and a parking space for cash becomes harder to find.</li>\n <li><i>On the greenback:</i>\"Ultimately, the size of our deficits - both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts - suggest that in the intermediate term - I don't really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term - the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" proclaimed the so-called bond king. \"That's going to be a very important dynamic, because one of the things that’s helped the bond market, without any doubt, has been foreign buying, with the interest rate differentials having favored hedged U.S. bond positions for foreign bond investors.\"</li>\n <li><b>Hasn't the dollar gone up over the past month?</b>'It's a question of what your horizon is. In the short term, the dynamics have been and will continue to be in place for the dollar to be marginally or moderately stronger. In the longer term, I think the dollar [is] doomed.\"</li>\n <li>Gundlach also feels the stock market is sitting at \"extremely high\" valuations, though it can remain at \"nose-bleed\" levels as longas stimulus continues to pour into the system.</li>\n</ul>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The dollar is doomed over the long term - Gundlach</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe dollar is doomed over the long term - Gundlach\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-16 20:44 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/news/3715845-the-dollar-is-doomed-over-the-long-term-gundlach><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If inflation is on the rise, and tapering talk is making headlines, then why are U.S. Treasury yields heading lower? \"It's because of all the liquidity in the system,\" DoubleLine Capital's Jeffrey ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3715845-the-dollar-is-doomed-over-the-long-term-gundlach\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3715845-the-dollar-is-doomed-over-the-long-term-gundlach","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"1130848269","content_text":"If inflation is on the rise, and tapering talk is making headlines, then why are U.S. Treasury yields heading lower? \"It's because of all the liquidity in the system,\" DoubleLine Capital's Jeffrey GundlachtoldCNBC. \"Banks are so flush with deposits\" that it is creating disorder in the broader financial markets. In fact, the New York Fed's overnight reverse repo program has started touching record levels around $1T as excess liquidity overwhelms U.S. money-market funds and a parking space for cash becomes harder to find.\nOn the greenback:\"Ultimately, the size of our deficits - both trade deficit, which has exploded post-pandemic, and the budget deficit, which is, obviously, completely off the charts - suggest that in the intermediate term - I don't really think this year, exactly, but in the intermediate term - the dollar is going to fall pretty substantially,\" proclaimed the so-called bond king. \"That's going to be a very important dynamic, because one of the things that’s helped the bond market, without any doubt, has been foreign buying, with the interest rate differentials having favored hedged U.S. bond positions for foreign bond investors.\"\nHasn't the dollar gone up over the past month?'It's a question of what your horizon is. In the short term, the dynamics have been and will continue to be in place for the dollar to be marginally or moderately stronger. In the longer term, I think the dollar [is] doomed.\"\nGundlach also feels the stock market is sitting at \"extremely high\" valuations, though it can remain at \"nose-bleed\" levels as longas stimulus continues to pour into the system.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123436355,"gmtCreate":1624433614577,"gmtModify":1631885865609,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good info","listText":"Good info","text":"Good info","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123436355","repostId":"1174713517","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887360770,"gmtCreate":1631977673690,"gmtModify":1632804996743,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887360770","repostId":"887338467","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":887338467,"gmtCreate":1631973029259,"gmtModify":1631973029259,"author":{"id":"3443259955812259","authorId":"3443259955812259","name":"鑫鑫洋","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2d2f1f10442d11e847ff989eb36f7a0","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3443259955812259","authorIdStr":"3443259955812259"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"参与晒晒家乡的月亮活动第一张拍摄于天津市津门津塔，第二张拍摄于长焦月球表面，第三张借用我虎个元素。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a>这样符合要求吗？请回复一下，谢谢啦！","listText":"参与晒晒家乡的月亮活动第一张拍摄于天津市津门津塔，第二张拍摄于长焦月球表面，第三张借用我虎个元素。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/36984908995200\">@小虎活动</a>这样符合要求吗？请回复一下，谢谢啦！","text":"参与晒晒家乡的月亮活动第一张拍摄于天津市津门津塔，第二张拍摄于长焦月球表面，第三张借用我虎个元素。@小虎活动这样符合要求吗？请回复一下，谢谢啦！","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f3044f5fedd823847e13b1c45b2eec6","width":"1620","height":"1080"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5e311c5a77a11b583ce5677b6a18154","width":"500","height":"613"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d5535c1253b678f0ace5413f59947416","width":"600","height":"590"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887338467","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":238,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175187150,"gmtCreate":1627014271670,"gmtModify":1631885865621,"author":{"id":"3586338902882279","authorId":"3586338902882279","name":"Saras","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2bf0de0dd3a4c083e202aad7b1bc71ae","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586338902882279","authorIdStr":"3586338902882279"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍🏼","listText":"👍🏼","text":"👍🏼","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175187150","repostId":"2153793716","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2153793716","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1627010520,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2153793716?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-23 11:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"This Growth Stock Has 365% Upside, According to Cathie Wood","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2153793716","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Notable investor Cathie Wood's ARK Invest owns $3 billion in Tesla stock.","content":"<p>Cathie Wood&nbsp;has long been bullish on <b>Tesla</b> (NASDAQ:TSLA). In fact, she made a name for her asset management firm (ARK Invest) in 2019 when she put a $4,000 price target on the stock. Since then, shares have undergone a 5-for-1 split, meaning that her original share price target now corresponds to $800.</p>\n<p>Of course, Tesla stock hit $900 a share earlier this year. And though it's fallen by 27% since then, Wood is more bullish than ever. In fact, ARK Invest recently bumped its price target to $3,000 per share by 2025. That represents 365% upside, or an annualized return of 47% over the next four years.</p>\n<p>So, should you add Tesla to your portfolio? Let's take a look under the hood.</p>\n<h2>Tesla's present</h2>\n<p>Tesla is the market-leading manufacturer of electric vehicles (EVs). Last year, the company sold 499,500 EVs, capturing 16% of the global market. And that momentum has carried into 2021, as Tesla produced 206,400 vehicles&nbsp;in the second quarter, up 150% over the prior year.</p>\n<p>That rapid scaling underscores <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of Tesla's key advantages: manufacturing efficiency. In fact, CEO Elon Musk has often said this would be the company's primary long-term advantage,&nbsp;and he now has data to back that claim: Tesla posted an industry-leading operating margin of 6.3% in 2020.</p>\n<p>How did that happen? Last year, Tesla ramped production of the Model 3 and started producing the Model Y at Gigafactory Shanghai. This helped expand and localize its China business, offering a cost-efficient alternative to importing vehicles. At the same time, the company started making the Model Y at its factory in Fremont, California, further boosting capacity.</p>\n<p>In both cases, Tesla's highly automated, scalable approach to manufacturing is paying off. The Model Y was immediately profitable, marking the first time in the company's history that a new product achieved profitability in its first quarter&nbsp;of production. Investors should look for this trend to continue.</p>\n<p>However, while Tesla's performance in 2020 was impressive, the company's future looks even brighter. Tesla recently unveiled its new 4680 battery cell, an innovative&nbsp;design that will slash production costs by 56%, increase EV range by 54%, and cut capital expenditure by 69%.</p>\n<p>During the most recent earnings call, Musk said Tesla is roughly 12 to 18 months away from \"volume production of the 4680.\" But on the bright side, he believes this technology will allow Tesla to build a fully autonomous $25,000 EV in the next three years.</p>\n<h2>Tesla's future</h2>\n<p>If Tesla does indeed build an affordable self-driving EV in the next three years, it would expand the company's market opportunity dramatically. Rather than simply making cars, Tesla could follow through on its plan to launch an autonomous ride-hailing service, a market that ARK Invest values at $1.2 trillion&nbsp;by 2030.</p>\n<p>To add, Tesla could also sell its self-driving software to other automakers. In fact, Musk has already had \"preliminary discussions about licensing autopilot.\" In either case, this would transform Tesla's business, replacing its dependence on cyclical hardware sales (i.e., EVs) with highly recurring revenue in the form of ride fares or software subscription fees.</p>\n<p>Of course, before rushing to buy the stock, investors should consider Tesla's valuation. Shares currently trade at an absurd 19.8 times sales, while automakers like <b>General Motors</b> trade at a much more reasonable 0.7 times sales.</p>\n<p>However, a decade from now, that valuation may not look so crazy if Tesla does disrupt the mobility industry. For what it's worth, I'm a Tesla shareholder and I wouldn't sell this stock if it got cut in half tomorrow. In fact, I'd buy more.</p>","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>This Growth Stock Has 365% Upside, According to Cathie Wood</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThis Growth Stock Has 365% Upside, According to Cathie Wood\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-07-23 11:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/22/growth-stock-has-365-upside-cathie-wood-tesla/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Cathie Wood has long been bullish on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). In fact, she made a name for her asset management firm (ARK Invest) in 2019 when she put a $4,000 price target on the stock. Since then, ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/22/growth-stock-has-365-upside-cathie-wood-tesla/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/22/growth-stock-has-365-upside-cathie-wood-tesla/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2153793716","content_text":"Cathie Wood has long been bullish on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). In fact, she made a name for her asset management firm (ARK Invest) in 2019 when she put a $4,000 price target on the stock. Since then, shares have undergone a 5-for-1 split, meaning that her original share price target now corresponds to $800.\nOf course, Tesla stock hit $900 a share earlier this year. And though it's fallen by 27% since then, Wood is more bullish than ever. In fact, ARK Invest recently bumped its price target to $3,000 per share by 2025. That represents 365% upside, or an annualized return of 47% over the next four years.\nSo, should you add Tesla to your portfolio? Let's take a look under the hood.\nTesla's present\nTesla is the market-leading manufacturer of electric vehicles (EVs). Last year, the company sold 499,500 EVs, capturing 16% of the global market. And that momentum has carried into 2021, as Tesla produced 206,400 vehicles in the second quarter, up 150% over the prior year.\nThat rapid scaling underscores one of Tesla's key advantages: manufacturing efficiency. In fact, CEO Elon Musk has often said this would be the company's primary long-term advantage, and he now has data to back that claim: Tesla posted an industry-leading operating margin of 6.3% in 2020.\nHow did that happen? Last year, Tesla ramped production of the Model 3 and started producing the Model Y at Gigafactory Shanghai. This helped expand and localize its China business, offering a cost-efficient alternative to importing vehicles. At the same time, the company started making the Model Y at its factory in Fremont, California, further boosting capacity.\nIn both cases, Tesla's highly automated, scalable approach to manufacturing is paying off. The Model Y was immediately profitable, marking the first time in the company's history that a new product achieved profitability in its first quarter of production. Investors should look for this trend to continue.\nHowever, while Tesla's performance in 2020 was impressive, the company's future looks even brighter. Tesla recently unveiled its new 4680 battery cell, an innovative design that will slash production costs by 56%, increase EV range by 54%, and cut capital expenditure by 69%.\nDuring the most recent earnings call, Musk said Tesla is roughly 12 to 18 months away from \"volume production of the 4680.\" But on the bright side, he believes this technology will allow Tesla to build a fully autonomous $25,000 EV in the next three years.\nTesla's future\nIf Tesla does indeed build an affordable self-driving EV in the next three years, it would expand the company's market opportunity dramatically. Rather than simply making cars, Tesla could follow through on its plan to launch an autonomous ride-hailing service, a market that ARK Invest values at $1.2 trillion by 2030.\nTo add, Tesla could also sell its self-driving software to other automakers. In fact, Musk has already had \"preliminary discussions about licensing autopilot.\" In either case, this would transform Tesla's business, replacing its dependence on cyclical hardware sales (i.e., EVs) with highly recurring revenue in the form of ride fares or software subscription fees.\nOf course, before rushing to buy the stock, investors should consider Tesla's valuation. Shares currently trade at an absurd 19.8 times sales, while automakers like General Motors trade at a much more reasonable 0.7 times sales.\nHowever, a decade from now, that valuation may not look so crazy if Tesla does disrupt the mobility industry. For what it's worth, I'm a Tesla shareholder and I wouldn't sell this stock if it got cut in half tomorrow. In fact, I'd buy more.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}