寂寞的演奏家的个人主页 - 老虎社区

寂寞的演奏家

寂寞的演奏家

不负每一份热爱

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寂寞的演奏家

12-31 12:02

年初到现在美元已经贬值超过10%了，也就是说90%以上的人，25年的收益已经干没了，并且这才刚刚开始贬值，还有人幻想美股还会再涨，我和你说，这次不同，这次美元是真摊上事儿了。

寂寞的演奏家

12-31 08:05

Replying to @effortless:划重点，无限的//@effortless:在 2026 年的投资主线中，AI 依然是绝对的主角，而英伟达就是这出大戏里的“男主角”。 ● 地位稳固：无论是摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）还是美国银行证券（BofA Securities），在评选 2026 年首选芯片股或核心标的时，英伟达都稳居第一。 ● 核心逻辑：全球对 AI 算力的需求被认为是“无限的”

寂寞的演奏家

12-30 04:56

‌$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 着波估计200 以下了

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-20

$苹果(AAPL)$ 尾盘有人操纵

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-19

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 再整两句

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-19

$耐克(NKE)$ 已经没人了

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-17

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 整两句

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-17

现在就等那个暴跌时刻

@专买砬积股:$TSLA 20251219 475.0 PUT$ 为认知付费了家人们

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-16

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 机器人这种大饼从没人信到有人信，哈哈哈真是厉害

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-13

‌$博通(AVGO)$ 都 -11 了期权怎么不动啊？？

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-12

哈哈哈，很好

特斯拉销量暴跌，但股价在全球困局下依然上涨

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-11

‌$甲骨文(ORCL)$ ‌‌ 最关键‌‌‌的是，明年还打算继续扩大经营，这是致命一击，这种债务规模如果没有高盈利财报支撑，风险是很大的，一旦现金流断裂，就是美国的恒大

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-09

$谷歌(GOOG)$ 实测gemini3在写代码方面与2.5一样是一个脑残，与clouad已经差距明显了，可以说稍微大一点的项目几乎不可用

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-06

哈哈哈

英伟达推出CUDA 13.1 与 CUDA Tile，黄仁勋称是20年来最大进步

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-02

‌$苹果(AAPL)$ AI能力和隐私保护天生就是背道而驰的，苹果正在做一件两边都不讨好的事情。还那这个开了发布会，那就是基于大模型的隐私保护。。。。。。如果明年siri还是一坨屎，那苹果就彻底歇菜了

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-01

‌$甲骨文(ORCL)$ 我put要是没卖现在已经提车了

寂寞的演奏家

2025-12-01

哪有那么不堪，标题这么劲爆我以为有实锤，结果只是据传说。小心律师函

OpenAI大溃败！GPT-5“换皮”GPT-4o，两年半预训练0突破

寂寞的演奏家

2025-11-25

还能打对折？还有对折的空间吗？？？

特斯拉盘初跌超2%，10月在欧洲销量同比减少48.5%

寂寞的演奏家

2025-11-25

‌$蔚来(NIO)$ 这公司还活着就是奇迹

寂寞的演奏家

2025-11-25

‌$美国超微公司(AMD)$ AMD这波要没了。干了这么多年，不如谷歌一天

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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尾盘有人操纵","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 尾盘有人操纵","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/512618555077784","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":512434872242832,"gmtCreate":1766133134944,"gmtModify":1766133136830,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> &nbsp;再整两句","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v> &nbsp;再整两句","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251219 475.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251219 475.0 PUT$</a> 为认知付费了家人们","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/TSLA 20251219 475.0 PUT\">$TSLA 20251219 475.0 PUT$</a> 为认知付费了家人们","text":"$TSLA 20251219 475.0 PUT$ 为认知付费了家人们","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6acdb08b67644fcd0fa47e5cb47ef382","width":"927","height":"1599"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/511646956749528","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":364,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":511396882338968,"gmtCreate":1765879794888,"gmtModify":1765879797156,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a> 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&nbsp;</a> 都 -11 了 期权怎么不动啊？？","text":"‌$博通(AVGO)$ 都 -11 了 期权怎么不动啊？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510079430889648","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":381,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":510114766099072,"gmtCreate":1765552594697,"gmtModify":1765552597110,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"哈哈哈，很好","listText":"哈哈哈，很好","text":"哈哈哈，很好","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/510114766099072","repostId":"1131970505","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1131970505","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1765552110,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131970505?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-12 23:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉销量暴跌，但股价在全球困局下依然上涨","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131970505","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"今年以来，销量疲软似乎并没有对特斯拉股价造成太大困扰。截至周五开盘前，特斯拉股价在 2025 年已累计上涨 11%，虽然跑输标普 500，但涨幅仍属可观。尽管汽车业务面临多重逆风，特斯拉股价依然实现上涨。截至 11 月，特斯拉在中国的销量同比下降约 6%。特斯拉今年极有可能在中国市场出现史上首次年度下滑，并在全球范围内录得连续第二年下降。特斯拉已在今年 6 月启动机器人出租车业务，并可能在 2026 年开始销售部分机器人产品。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>特斯拉（TSLA）今年过得并不轻松。在中国面临竞争压力，在欧洲遭遇政治问题，在美国又有政策阻碍。尽管如此，即便在销售持续疲弱的情况下，这家公司的股价仍然保持了韧性。</p><p>据外电在周四收盘后援引数据供应商 Cox Automotive 的数据报道，特斯拉 11 月的销量跌至三年来的最低水平。即便如此，特斯拉股价仍上涨 2%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/58de2652340cda241094edf9bedf2933\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>今年以来，销量疲软似乎并没有对特斯拉股价造成太大困扰。截至周五开盘前，特斯拉股价在 2025 年已累计上涨 11%，虽然跑输标普 500，但涨幅仍属可观。</p><p>尽管汽车业务面临多重逆风，特斯拉股价依然实现上涨。投资者早已预期年底会很艰难。自特朗普在 9 月底取消 7,500 美元联邦电动车购置税抵扣后，电动车销量开始下滑。</p><p>特斯拉在美国以外也遇到麻烦。10 月前，公司在欧洲共售出 180,688 辆汽车，同比下降 30%。</p><p>马斯克与欧洲政界的冲突也可能雪上加霜，甚至对销量造成打击。马斯克近期在推特上表示，“欧盟委员会应该被解散。”</p><p>竞争同样是问题。10 月前，比亚迪（1211）在欧洲售出 138,390 辆汽车，同比激增 285%。</p><p>中国市场的竞争压力同样严峻。截至 11 月，特斯拉在中国的销量同比下降约 6%。特斯拉今年极有可能在中国市场出现史上首次年度下滑，并在全球范围内录得连续第二年下降。</p><p>从汽车业务数据来看情况并不乐观。然而，投资者目前的关注点已不再是电动车，而是人工智能。特斯拉利用 AI 算力训练汽车实现自动驾驶，并训练人形机器人完成实际任务。特斯拉已在今年 6 月启动机器人出租车业务，并可能在 2026 年开始销售部分机器人产品。</p><p>AI 业务蕴含巨大的未来盈利潜力，而这正足以支撑当下投资者的信心。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉销量暴跌，但股价在全球困局下依然上涨</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉销量暴跌，但股价在全球困局下依然上涨\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-12-12 23:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>特斯拉（TSLA）今年过得并不轻松。在中国面临竞争压力，在欧洲遭遇政治问题，在美国又有政策阻碍。尽管如此，即便在销售持续疲弱的情况下，这家公司的股价仍然保持了韧性。</p><p>据外电在周四收盘后援引数据供应商 Cox Automotive 的数据报道，特斯拉 11 月的销量跌至三年来的最低水平。即便如此，特斯拉股价仍上涨 2%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/58de2652340cda241094edf9bedf2933\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p>今年以来，销量疲软似乎并没有对特斯拉股价造成太大困扰。截至周五开盘前，特斯拉股价在 2025 年已累计上涨 11%，虽然跑输标普 500，但涨幅仍属可观。</p><p>尽管汽车业务面临多重逆风，特斯拉股价依然实现上涨。投资者早已预期年底会很艰难。自特朗普在 9 月底取消 7,500 美元联邦电动车购置税抵扣后，电动车销量开始下滑。</p><p>特斯拉在美国以外也遇到麻烦。10 月前，公司在欧洲共售出 180,688 辆汽车，同比下降 30%。</p><p>马斯克与欧洲政界的冲突也可能雪上加霜，甚至对销量造成打击。马斯克近期在推特上表示，“欧盟委员会应该被解散。”</p><p>竞争同样是问题。10 月前，比亚迪（1211）在欧洲售出 138,390 辆汽车，同比激增 285%。</p><p>中国市场的竞争压力同样严峻。截至 11 月，特斯拉在中国的销量同比下降约 6%。特斯拉今年极有可能在中国市场出现史上首次年度下滑，并在全球范围内录得连续第二年下降。</p><p>从汽车业务数据来看情况并不乐观。然而，投资者目前的关注点已不再是电动车，而是人工智能。特斯拉利用 AI 算力训练汽车实现自动驾驶，并训练人形机器人完成实际任务。特斯拉已在今年 6 月启动机器人出租车业务，并可能在 2026 年开始销售部分机器人产品。</p><p>AI 业务蕴含巨大的未来盈利潜力，而这正足以支撑当下投资者的信心。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/470c7cb7483c270761f6679ffa0ee057","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131970505","content_text":"特斯拉（TSLA）今年过得并不轻松。在中国面临竞争压力，在欧洲遭遇政治问题，在美国又有政策阻碍。尽管如此，即便在销售持续疲弱的情况下，这家公司的股价仍然保持了韧性。据外电在周四收盘后援引数据供应商 Cox Automotive 的数据报道，特斯拉 11 月的销量跌至三年来的最低水平。即便如此，特斯拉股价仍上涨 2%。今年以来，销量疲软似乎并没有对特斯拉股价造成太大困扰。截至周五开盘前，特斯拉股价在 2025 年已累计上涨 11%，虽然跑输标普 500，但涨幅仍属可观。尽管汽车业务面临多重逆风，特斯拉股价依然实现上涨。投资者早已预期年底会很艰难。自特朗普在 9 月底取消 7,500 美元联邦电动车购置税抵扣后，电动车销量开始下滑。特斯拉在美国以外也遇到麻烦。10 月前，公司在欧洲共售出 180,688 辆汽车，同比下降 30%。马斯克与欧洲政界的冲突也可能雪上加霜，甚至对销量造成打击。马斯克近期在推特上表示，“欧盟委员会应该被解散。”竞争同样是问题。10 月前，比亚迪（1211）在欧洲售出 138,390 辆汽车，同比激增 285%。中国市场的竞争压力同样严峻。截至 11 月，特斯拉在中国的销量同比下降约 6%。特斯拉今年极有可能在中国市场出现史上首次年度下滑，并在全球范围内录得连续第二年下降。从汽车业务数据来看情况并不乐观。然而，投资者目前的关注点已不再是电动车，而是人工智能。特斯拉利用 AI 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实测gemini3在写代码方面与2.5一样是一个脑残，与clouad已经差距明显了，可以说稍微大一点的项目几乎不可用","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/508900661899656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":873,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":508141738430680,"gmtCreate":1765034269316,"gmtModify":1765034272080,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"哈哈哈","listText":"哈哈哈","text":"哈哈哈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/508141738430680","repostId":"1103201473","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1103201473","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1764998281,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1103201473?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-06 13:18","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"英伟达推出CUDA 13.1 与 CUDA Tile，黄仁勋称是20年来最大进步","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1103201473","media":"智通财经","summary":"CUDA Tile 在 Python 中也有可用版本。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> 推出了 CUDA 13.1 和 CUDA Tile，该公司CEO黄仁勋表示这是该平台自约 20 年前推出以来所取得的最大进步。英伟达工程师Jonathan Bentz与Tony Scudiero在一篇博客文章中表示：“这一令人兴奋的创新引入了一套针对基于模块的并行编程的虚拟指令集，重点在于能够以更高的层次编写算法，并将诸如张量核心等专用硬件的细节抽象出来。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CUDA 是由英伟达公司开发的一种并行计算平台及编程模型。它能够帮助开发者利用图形处理单元的强大计算能力来提升应用程序的运行速度。新的基于图元的编程选项使开发人员能够“精细地控制”其代码的执行方式，尤其是在涉及多种 GPU 架构的情况下。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达工程师指出：“基于图块的编程允许您通过指定数据块(即图块)来编写算法，然后定义对这些图块执行的计算操作。您无需在逐元素级别设置算法的执行方式：编译器和运行时会为您处理好这一切。”</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">CUDA Tile 在 Python 中也有可用版本。英伟达计划在未来某个时候发布与 C++ 兼容的版本。英伟达CUDA 架构师Stephen Jones说道：“它刚刚在 Python 中得以实现，我认为这与人工智能开发框架的结合非常完美。我们有意将 CUDA Tile 前沿语言作为开源项目进行发布。”</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>英伟达推出CUDA 13.1 与 CUDA Tile，黄仁勋称是20年来最大进步</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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class=\"title\">\n英伟达推出CUDA 13.1 与 CUDA Tile，黄仁勋称是20年来最大进步\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-06 13:18 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1378442.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>英伟达 推出了 CUDA 13.1 和 CUDA Tile，该公司CEO黄仁勋表示这是该平台自约 20 年前推出以来所取得的最大进步。英伟达工程师Jonathan Bentz与Tony Scudiero在一篇博客文章中表示：“这一令人兴奋的创新引入了一套针对基于模块的并行编程的虚拟指令集，重点在于能够以更高的层次编写算法，并将诸如张量核心等专用硬件的细节抽象出来。”CUDA 是由英伟达公司开发的...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1378442.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a38a835ce9ea3fa9ab9da16c7b07b17e","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1378442.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"1103201473","content_text":"英伟达 推出了 CUDA 13.1 和 CUDA Tile，该公司CEO黄仁勋表示这是该平台自约 20 年前推出以来所取得的最大进步。英伟达工程师Jonathan Bentz与Tony Scudiero在一篇博客文章中表示：“这一令人兴奋的创新引入了一套针对基于模块的并行编程的虚拟指令集，重点在于能够以更高的层次编写算法，并将诸如张量核心等专用硬件的细节抽象出来。”CUDA 是由英伟达公司开发的一种并行计算平台及编程模型。它能够帮助开发者利用图形处理单元的强大计算能力来提升应用程序的运行速度。新的基于图元的编程选项使开发人员能够“精细地控制”其代码的执行方式，尤其是在涉及多种 GPU 架构的情况下。英伟达工程师指出：“基于图块的编程允许您通过指定数据块(即图块)来编写算法，然后定义对这些图块执行的计算操作。您无需在逐元素级别设置算法的执行方式：编译器和运行时会为您处理好这一切。”CUDA Tile 在 Python 中也有可用版本。英伟达计划在未来某个时候发布与 C++ 兼容的版本。英伟达CUDA 架构师Stephen Jones说道：“它刚刚在 Python 中得以实现，我认为这与人工智能开发框架的结合非常完美。我们有意将 CUDA Tile 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如果明年siri还是一坨屎，那苹果就彻底歇菜了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506161545683344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":630,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":506139389506336,"gmtCreate":1764599800838,"gmtModify":1764599802907,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$ &nbsp;</a>我put要是没卖现在已经提车了","listText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$ &nbsp;</a>我put要是没卖现在已经提车了","text":"‌$甲骨文(ORCL)$ 我put要是没卖现在已经提车了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/506139389506336","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":505873420173704,"gmtCreate":1764528663339,"gmtModify":1764528666036,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"哪有那么不堪，标题这么劲爆我以为有实锤，结果只是据传说。小心律师函","listText":"哪有那么不堪，标题这么劲爆我以为有实锤，结果只是据传说。小心律师函","text":"哪有那么不堪，标题这么劲爆我以为有实锤，结果只是据传说。小心律师函","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/505873420173704","repostId":"2587795167","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2587795167","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1764485625,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2587795167?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-30 14:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"OpenAI大溃败！GPT-5“换皮”GPT-4o，两年半预训练0突破","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2587795167","media":"新智元","summary":"OpenAI核心预训练，接连翻车？传言称，GPT-5的基石仍是GPT-4o，且GPT-4.5之后的预训练版本，都被OpenAI放弃了！在前沿模型预训练上，OpenAI的研发似乎陷入了僵局——如今第五代旗舰模型GPT-5，包括最新GPT-5.1，其“技术根基”本质或仍未突破GPT-4o的范畴。然而，OpenAI的Orion大规模预训练，却打破了这一常规，其训练时间超过了3个月。但至于GPT-5真正基于哪一款GPT打造，还有待证实。OpenAI主动放弃了这一范式，为劲敌让出了一条速通道。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>OpenAI被曝陷入严重技术停滞——其最新发布的GPT-5实质仍是基于GPT-4o架构的优化版本，自2022年GPT-4发布后长达两年半期间未能实现预训练技术的实质性突破。与此同时，谷歌凭借TPUv7在预训练领域突飞猛进，迫使OpenAI紧急启动新模型研发计划以应对技术落后危机。</p></blockquote><p>OpenAI核心预训练，接连翻车？</p><p>传言称，GPT-5的基石仍是GPT-4o，且GPT-4.5之后的预训练版本，都被OpenAI放弃了！</p><p>这么说并非空穴来风，核心爆料恰恰来自权威SemiAnalysis的最新一文——</p><p>OpenAI顶尖团队自GPT-4o发布之后，迄今尚未完成一次完整的，为下一代前沿模型设计的大规模预训练。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/17b01384fdead3e442ce6446294fcca2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"1317\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a85ba896dc71539eae0ffe7640c8fd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"163\"/></p><p>文章中，高级分析师强调：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">谷歌</a>正手持TPUv7这把利剑，向<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>王座发起冲锋，或将终结CUDA护城河。</p><p>众所周知，OpenAI全栈模型是在纯英伟达GPU上炼出的。</p><p>然而，圈内人的焦点，大都放在了大模型“推理”和“后训练”的硬件之上。</p><p>殊不知，没有前沿模型的预训练，一切皆是“无米之炊”。恰恰这一环节，成为了AI硬件里最难、最耗资源的一关。</p><p>如今，一个不为人知的内幕爆出了：</p><p>事实证明，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">谷歌</a>TPU彻底经受住了这一考验；</p><p>相较之下，自2024年5月GPT-4o诞生之后，OpenAI的预训练却毫无进展.....</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96925999a2f079cdc34c93805d99a3ec\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"284\"/></p><p>过去，两年半的时间，OpenAI没有真正Scaling预训练的规模。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/02adb07ec4500dfb06d8f57e9a419fc0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"682\"/></p><p>GPT的预训练，或许在GPT-4o之后触及了天花板，由此也解释了GPT-5性能未达业界预期的关键原因。</p><p>有网友表示，那不正是Ilya离开的时候吗.....</p><p>恰在昨天，Ilya最新发文称，Scaling不会停，但某个重要的东西仍然会缺失。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7332362c7b866ea1b461ba37aa58e2b9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"153\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4a4cc533e69b244512a4aa8458b68b1b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"420\"/></p><p><strong>OpenAI预训练，大溃败</strong></p><p>还记得去年底，那场铺天盖地的“Orion”传闻吗？</p><p>这一秘密项目，原定以GPT-5面世，但因训练未达预期，最终被降级为GPT-4.5发布。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a7e9650c9b0c237429ef77db04b2410\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"350\"/></p><p>在前沿模型预训练上，OpenAI的研发似乎陷入了僵局——</p><p>如今第五代旗舰模型GPT-5，包括最新GPT-5.1，其“技术根基”本质或仍未突破GPT-4o的范畴。</p><p>SemiAnalysis去年底一篇文章，曾对外公开了Orion训练的困境。</p><p>当前，算法的进步使得模型每年所需的物理计算量减少约三分之一，因此，训练运行时间很少超过3个月。</p><p>甚至，行业中大多数预训练通常仅需要1-2个月。</p><p>然而，OpenAI的Orion大规模预训练，却打破了这一常规，其训练时间超过了3个月。</p><p>另据Information同一时间爆出，Orion不会像前代实现巨大的飞跃，相较于从GPT-3到GPT-4的迭代，改进幅度要小得多。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1286f5442a0b9b02f8d2b0c7628caa7f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"306\"/></p><p>不仅如此，Orion性能提升也基本局限在——语言能力上，其代码能力甚至不如旧模型，且成本更高。</p><p>如今再回看2月，GPT-4.5的诞生，基于代号Orion的模型，OpenAI追求的是：</p><p>更强的语言能力+更稳的对话体验+更大知识库</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4db88e04bca5ddff4684dcf0281db961\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"862\" tg-height=\"190\"/></p><p>情商，成为了GPT-4.5的关键词。代码虽有提升，但并非主菜。</p><p>这一切的一切，从侧面印证了，此前外媒关于“Orion遇挫”爆料的准确性——</p><p><strong>LLM有提升，但不大。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6921884c3cb5ce3f00bafde300764e6c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"660\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b88a4b3e7a3c48111d7ed25362dabf\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"292\" tg-height=\"73\"/></p><p><strong>GPT-4o，成Scaling主线？</strong></p><p>今年8月，GPT-5的那场发布，奥特曼将其定调为“博士级AI，是通往AGI又一里程碑”。</p><p>实则，业界对于GPT-5的反响，唏嘘一片。</p><p>大家原本以为，GPT-5会是全面超越前代的一次飞跃，但实际发布后，更像是GPT-4.5的进一步优化版，不是“颠覆版”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/877c420235c2765936cefa6b68976418\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"261\"/></p><p>但至于GPT-5真正基于哪一款GPT打造，还有待证实。</p><p>正如之前传闻的猜测，有可能是GPT-4o，还有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RDDT\">Reddit</a>网友称是GPT-4.1....</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/519913614c83d5cfd2e45812c5779712\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"310\"/></p><p>但不论是哪一款，都证明了GPT-5，没有在全新前沿模型的大规模预训练上淬炼。</p><p>搞笑的，那个曾将OpenAI三颗????????????“焊在”名字中的大佬，如今改成了三个????????????。</p><p>他表示，这已经不是什么秘密了——</p><p>GPT-4.5将预训练推向极致之后，OpenAI加倍投入了推理范式，主打o系列+RL。</p><p>不同的是，谷歌和Anthropic仍在Scaling预训练，并增强了强化学习。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/723129e431e6721ce0dc4559751fb026\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"757\"/></p><p>OpenAI主动放弃了这一范式，为劲敌让出了一条速通道。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c3e200950fd36f1cb9ff7b28189c45c9\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"193\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1704e104ceef163448365c26ab87c150\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"156\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/612407691c118a53eda673fc15662d7f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"353\"/></p><p><strong>奥特曼：这事儿瞒不住了！</strong></p><p>Gemini 3发布后，谷歌和OpenAI攻守之势易形——</p><p>Gemini 3来势汹汹，而OpenAI这次终于坐不住了！</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2513583f1a36406cc833dbd45d5f1b06\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"455\"/></p><p>据泄露的内部备忘录，奥特曼坦言：“近期， 从各方面来看，谷歌在大语言模型表现出色”，特别是预训练。</p><p>这番表态标志OpenAI的重大转变——它终于承认，一个重新崛起的竞争对手与逐渐降温的企业需求，已彻底打破了其“天下无敌”的光环。</p><p>所谓预训练，是训练生成式AI模型（无论是文本还是图像）过程中的第一阶段。在这一阶段，研究人员会用网页等大量数据“投喂”模型，让它掌握数据之间的各种关联。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67af68aad0c888ff9a44df3ff97dc271\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"351\"/></p><p>大语言模型（LLM）开发与训练流程概述：预训练和后训练是关键</p><p>在预训练领域，谷歌取得了新突破，给Gemini 3带来了空前的推理深度。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8cfd09777725c8ba9c83e359f71534b\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"935\"/></p><p>这让不少AI研究者颇感意外——</p><p>毕竟，OpenAI去年曾屡屡碰壁，而谷歌自己过去也曾陷入瓶颈。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb2d39f20abcbf0ca8a09b75fe93e7d6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"738\"/></p><p>正因如此，在一段时间内，OpenAI选择将更多精力转向另一种新型AI架构——“推理模型”，这种模型虽然计算量更大，但有望输出更优质的回答。</p><p>在推出GPT-5之前，OpenAI团队曾尝试对预训练阶段做出一系列调整，这些方法在小模型上有效，一旦模型变大就失效了。</p><p>GPT-5发布第二天，西班牙与波兰Talan公司AI应用负责人Javier Alba de Alba表示：</p><p>(GPT-5）整体观感颇为失望：</p><p>这是个优秀的模型——响应迅捷、价格亲民、能力全面，但远非人们基于OpenAI过往发布会所预期的代际飞跃。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/733e8aa6a1de749e77b4ae2d5fc36241\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"347\"/></p><p>GPT-5带来了不少提升——</p><p>编程能力显著提升、推理能力进阶、幻觉现象减少、医疗领域表现优化，甚至免费用户也享有更长的默认使用时长。此外命名体系全面简化：GPT-4o/4.1/turbo/mini等繁杂名称悉数消失，统一更名为GPT-5。</p><p>不过，Javier Alba de Alba提醒：“千万不要被名称迷惑：GPT-5并非新一代产品。”他解释道：</p><p>技术层面而言，它更像是GPT-4o的功能增强版，即便命名为GPT-4.2也毫不违和。</p><p>OpenAI此举虽完成了必要的名称统一，但整场发布会未能达到预期，让技术社区颇感失落。</p><p>GPT-5发布后，Epoch AI也发现了其中的异常：</p><p>相比前代GPT-4.5，GPT-5很可能消耗了更少的训练算力。</p><p>虽然具体数值尚未公开，但GPT-4.5使用的训练算力极有可能超过GPT-5。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d718b394a2db766bce08136b6bc7820a\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"768\"/></p><p>预训练并未消亡，它依然是胜负关键。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03ccaae7cb8157d43abeb1c182f453f6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"4357\"/></p><p>在内部会议中，奥特曼鼓舞士气，称在未来几个月，OpenAI将重新夺回优势。其中关键举措之一，就是打造一款代号为“Shallotpeat”的新一代大语言模型。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/426ef21c21851844e4005686c5f0d509\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"656\"/></p><p>据知情人士透露，该模型的设计目标之一，就是专门修复OpenAI在预训练过程中遇到的种种“疑难杂症”。</p><p><strong>OpenAI：内部的风向变了</strong></p><p>GPT-5发布的实质是什么？</p><p>对现有ChatGPT用户而言，GPT-5是个好消息，但这并未开启<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00166\">新时代</a>。</p><p>它只是进化历程中的一小步，而非革命性飞跃。</p><p>既然更多算力通常意味着更强性能，为何OpenAI会反其道而行？这对未来模型发展意味着什么？</p><p>在与a16z合伙人Martin Casado对话中，OpenAI平台工程负责人Sherwin Wu，深度拆解了OpenAI当前平台架构、定价逻辑与未来方向。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c40b2ba267dde1f05f4ec328eeb02c6\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"480\"/></p><p>在这次访谈中，他们深入探讨了为何开发者往往会长期依赖某个“值得信赖”的模型系列，信任感是如何建立的，以及为什么行业已经逐步放弃了“一个模型通吃所有任务”的幻想。</p><p>Sherwin还讲解了从提示词工程到上下文设计的演变过程，以及企业如何借助OpenAI的微调（fine-tuning）和RFT API，利用自有数据定制模型行为。</p><p><strong>共识已变</strong></p><p>几年前，OpenAI内部认为：未来会有一个“统治一切”的超级模型。但现在行业共识已经转变为“模型的专业化和多样化”。</p><p>虽然会有强大的通用模型，但也需要针对特定任务（如编程Codex、视频Sora）的专用模型。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ffb70725eae1fb889e3782b87239bba\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"591\"/></p><p>文本、图像、视频背后的技术堆栈各不同。目前，在后台。这些模型往往是分开优化的独立系统，很难简单地“一锅炖”。</p><p>顺便提一句，正是DALL-E 2的出现让Sherwin决定加入OpenAI，因为那是他第一次感受到AI的魔力。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6e12233fa906f34344941cdb25a9810\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"934\"/></p><p><strong>而微调（Fine-tuning）也悄然进化——</strong></p><p>早期的微调，主要用于调整“语气”或“指令遵循”。 现在的重头戏，是强化学习微调（Reinforcement Fine-Tuning） 。</p><p>这允许企业利用其庞大的专有数据（Data Treasure Troves），将较小的模型在特定领域训练至SOTA水平。这是解锁企业数据的关键。</p><p>也就是说，企业拥有大量内部数据，但与ChatGPT“毫无关系”，对企业专属AI而言却是黄金。</p><p>他们多次提到AI代码编辑器Cursor作为建立在 OpenAI API 之上的成功产品案例，证明了：</p><p>即使OpenAI自己有竞品，开发者依然可以建立伟大的垂直应用。</p><p><strong>Agent开发模式</strong></p><p>从第一天起，奥特曼和Greg Brockman就确立了“App+ API”的双轨战略。</p><p>这样做是为了尽可能广泛地分发AGI的利益——</p><p>如果只做 API，你就无法触达普通消费者；如果只做应用，你就无法赋能各行各业的开发者。</p><p>在这次对话中，他们重点谈论了智能体开发工具“Agent Builder”。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/201dfae6a43449d8005d3da7970dee23\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"619\"/></p><p>Sherwin认为，智能体（Agent）并非一种全新的模态，而是AI的一种新使用方式。</p><p>本质上，智能体是一个能够代表用户、在<strong>较长的时间跨度</strong>（Long Time Horizons）内执行一系列操作并完成任务的AI系统。</p><p>OpenAI曾推出了可视化的“Agent Builder”（节点式构建），但发现对于开发者而言，这种方式可能过于受限。</p><p>访谈中，Sherwin和Martin将智能体清晰地划分为两类，这解释了为什么目前市面上的Agent产品形态各异——</p><p>探索型/非定向工作 (Undirected/Exploratory Work)</p><p>流程型/SOP导向工作 (Procedural/SOP-oriented Work)</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60688c8a0e1f7ff3a88cde86be9dc509\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"784\" tg-height=\"1168\"/></p><p><strong>在对话中，第二类</strong>Agent开发可能更像传统的软件工程或游戏开发中的<strong>NPC（非玩家角色）逻辑</strong>。</p><p>与其让模型完全自由发挥，不如通过代码给予它明确的逻辑框架和标准操作程序（SOP），特别是在受监管的行业（如客户支持、金融）。</p><p>也就是说，<strong>逻辑必须写死在代码里，而不是提示词里。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0febfd6f41c50dad6d657fa232544d55\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"573\"/></p><p>这就是Agent Builder想要解决的问题：为那些必须控制智能体行为的行业和场景，提供一个简单、清晰、可验证的解决方案。</p><p><strong>One More Thing</strong></p><p>2025年度压轴大戏，谷歌Gemini 3 Pro无疑打了一场胜仗，但OpenAI不会袖手旁观。</p><p>内部已确认，圣诞节前夕，一连串发布连番轰炸。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/068139b0bfd7eab3ce6848402d785da0\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"531\"/></p><p>据传，一系列新模型，在路上了——</p><p>Image Gen v2</p><p>IMO和IOI金牌多模态模型</p><p>GPT-5.2 Codex</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7469baa6b21e416b62badf3a90092a1\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"358\"/></p><p>12月，AI圈一定非常热闹。</p><p> </p></body></html>","source":"lsy1569730104218","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>OpenAI大溃败！GPT-5“换皮”GPT-4o，两年半预训练0突破</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpenAI大溃败！GPT-5“换皮”GPT-4o，两年半预训练0突破\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-30 14:53 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Y4nvwCeB8xXXPD4-MEeNeg><strong>新智元</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>OpenAI被曝陷入严重技术停滞——其最新发布的GPT-5实质仍是基于GPT-4o架构的优化版本，自2022年GPT-4发布后长达两年半期间未能实现预训练技术的实质性突破。与此同时，谷歌凭借TPUv7在预训练领域突飞猛进，迫使OpenAI紧急启动新模型研发计划以应对技术落后危机。OpenAI核心预训练，接连翻车？传言称，GPT-5的基石仍是GPT-4o，且GPT-4.5之后的预训练版本，都被...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Y4nvwCeB8xXXPD4-MEeNeg\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf31e5a2ea5c40f9fab4d1b4548dc76d","relate_stocks":{"GOOGL":"谷歌A","GOOG":"谷歌"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Y4nvwCeB8xXXPD4-MEeNeg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2587795167","content_text":"OpenAI被曝陷入严重技术停滞——其最新发布的GPT-5实质仍是基于GPT-4o架构的优化版本，自2022年GPT-4发布后长达两年半期间未能实现预训练技术的实质性突破。与此同时，谷歌凭借TPUv7在预训练领域突飞猛进，迫使OpenAI紧急启动新模型研发计划以应对技术落后危机。OpenAI核心预训练，接连翻车？传言称，GPT-5的基石仍是GPT-4o，且GPT-4.5之后的预训练版本，都被OpenAI放弃了！这么说并非空穴来风，核心爆料恰恰来自权威SemiAnalysis的最新一文——OpenAI顶尖团队自GPT-4o发布之后，迄今尚未完成一次完整的，为下一代前沿模型设计的大规模预训练。文章中，高级分析师强调：谷歌正手持TPUv7这把利剑，向英伟达王座发起冲锋，或将终结CUDA护城河。众所周知，OpenAI全栈模型是在纯英伟达GPU上炼出的。然而，圈内人的焦点，大都放在了大模型“推理”和“后训练”的硬件之上。殊不知，没有前沿模型的预训练，一切皆是“无米之炊”。恰恰这一环节，成为了AI硬件里最难、最耗资源的一关。如今，一个不为人知的内幕爆出了：事实证明，谷歌TPU彻底经受住了这一考验；相较之下，自2024年5月GPT-4o诞生之后，OpenAI的预训练却毫无进展.....过去，两年半的时间，OpenAI没有真正Scaling预训练的规模。GPT的预训练，或许在GPT-4o之后触及了天花板，由此也解释了GPT-5性能未达业界预期的关键原因。有网友表示，那不正是Ilya离开的时候吗.....恰在昨天，Ilya最新发文称，Scaling不会停，但某个重要的东西仍然会缺失。OpenAI预训练，大溃败还记得去年底，那场铺天盖地的“Orion”传闻吗？这一秘密项目，原定以GPT-5面世，但因训练未达预期，最终被降级为GPT-4.5发布。在前沿模型预训练上，OpenAI的研发似乎陷入了僵局——如今第五代旗舰模型GPT-5，包括最新GPT-5.1，其“技术根基”本质或仍未突破GPT-4o的范畴。SemiAnalysis去年底一篇文章，曾对外公开了Orion训练的困境。当前，算法的进步使得模型每年所需的物理计算量减少约三分之一，因此，训练运行时间很少超过3个月。甚至，行业中大多数预训练通常仅需要1-2个月。然而，OpenAI的Orion大规模预训练，却打破了这一常规，其训练时间超过了3个月。另据Information同一时间爆出，Orion不会像前代实现巨大的飞跃，相较于从GPT-3到GPT-4的迭代，改进幅度要小得多。不仅如此，Orion性能提升也基本局限在——语言能力上，其代码能力甚至不如旧模型，且成本更高。如今再回看2月，GPT-4.5的诞生，基于代号Orion的模型，OpenAI追求的是：更强的语言能力+更稳的对话体验+更大知识库情商，成为了GPT-4.5的关键词。代码虽有提升，但并非主菜。这一切的一切，从侧面印证了，此前外媒关于“Orion遇挫”爆料的准确性——LLM有提升，但不大。GPT-4o，成Scaling主线？今年8月，GPT-5的那场发布，奥特曼将其定调为“博士级AI，是通往AGI又一里程碑”。实则，业界对于GPT-5的反响，唏嘘一片。大家原本以为，GPT-5会是全面超越前代的一次飞跃，但实际发布后，更像是GPT-4.5的进一步优化版，不是“颠覆版”。但至于GPT-5真正基于哪一款GPT打造，还有待证实。正如之前传闻的猜测，有可能是GPT-4o，还有Reddit网友称是GPT-4.1....但不论是哪一款，都证明了GPT-5，没有在全新前沿模型的大规模预训练上淬炼。搞笑的，那个曾将OpenAI三颗????????????“焊在”名字中的大佬，如今改成了三个????????????。他表示，这已经不是什么秘密了——GPT-4.5将预训练推向极致之后，OpenAI加倍投入了推理范式，主打o系列+RL。不同的是，谷歌和Anthropic仍在Scaling预训练，并增强了强化学习。OpenAI主动放弃了这一范式，为劲敌让出了一条速通道。奥特曼：这事儿瞒不住了！Gemini 3发布后，谷歌和OpenAI攻守之势易形——Gemini 3来势汹汹，而OpenAI这次终于坐不住了！据泄露的内部备忘录，奥特曼坦言：“近期， 从各方面来看，谷歌在大语言模型表现出色”，特别是预训练。这番表态标志OpenAI的重大转变——它终于承认，一个重新崛起的竞争对手与逐渐降温的企业需求，已彻底打破了其“天下无敌”的光环。所谓预训练，是训练生成式AI模型（无论是文本还是图像）过程中的第一阶段。在这一阶段，研究人员会用网页等大量数据“投喂”模型，让它掌握数据之间的各种关联。大语言模型（LLM）开发与训练流程概述：预训练和后训练是关键在预训练领域，谷歌取得了新突破，给Gemini 3带来了空前的推理深度。这让不少AI研究者颇感意外——毕竟，OpenAI去年曾屡屡碰壁，而谷歌自己过去也曾陷入瓶颈。正因如此，在一段时间内，OpenAI选择将更多精力转向另一种新型AI架构——“推理模型”，这种模型虽然计算量更大，但有望输出更优质的回答。在推出GPT-5之前，OpenAI团队曾尝试对预训练阶段做出一系列调整，这些方法在小模型上有效，一旦模型变大就失效了。GPT-5发布第二天，西班牙与波兰Talan公司AI应用负责人Javier Alba de Alba表示：(GPT-5）整体观感颇为失望：这是个优秀的模型——响应迅捷、价格亲民、能力全面，但远非人们基于OpenAI过往发布会所预期的代际飞跃。GPT-5带来了不少提升——编程能力显著提升、推理能力进阶、幻觉现象减少、医疗领域表现优化，甚至免费用户也享有更长的默认使用时长。此外命名体系全面简化：GPT-4o/4.1/turbo/mini等繁杂名称悉数消失，统一更名为GPT-5。不过，Javier Alba de Alba提醒：“千万不要被名称迷惑：GPT-5并非新一代产品。”他解释道：技术层面而言，它更像是GPT-4o的功能增强版，即便命名为GPT-4.2也毫不违和。OpenAI此举虽完成了必要的名称统一，但整场发布会未能达到预期，让技术社区颇感失落。GPT-5发布后，Epoch AI也发现了其中的异常：相比前代GPT-4.5，GPT-5很可能消耗了更少的训练算力。虽然具体数值尚未公开，但GPT-4.5使用的训练算力极有可能超过GPT-5。预训练并未消亡，它依然是胜负关键。在内部会议中，奥特曼鼓舞士气，称在未来几个月，OpenAI将重新夺回优势。其中关键举措之一，就是打造一款代号为“Shallotpeat”的新一代大语言模型。据知情人士透露，该模型的设计目标之一，就是专门修复OpenAI在预训练过程中遇到的种种“疑难杂症”。OpenAI：内部的风向变了GPT-5发布的实质是什么？对现有ChatGPT用户而言，GPT-5是个好消息，但这并未开启新时代。它只是进化历程中的一小步，而非革命性飞跃。既然更多算力通常意味着更强性能，为何OpenAI会反其道而行？这对未来模型发展意味着什么？在与a16z合伙人Martin Casado对话中，OpenAI平台工程负责人Sherwin Wu，深度拆解了OpenAI当前平台架构、定价逻辑与未来方向。在这次访谈中，他们深入探讨了为何开发者往往会长期依赖某个“值得信赖”的模型系列，信任感是如何建立的，以及为什么行业已经逐步放弃了“一个模型通吃所有任务”的幻想。Sherwin还讲解了从提示词工程到上下文设计的演变过程，以及企业如何借助OpenAI的微调（fine-tuning）和RFT API，利用自有数据定制模型行为。共识已变几年前，OpenAI内部认为：未来会有一个“统治一切”的超级模型。但现在行业共识已经转变为“模型的专业化和多样化”。虽然会有强大的通用模型，但也需要针对特定任务（如编程Codex、视频Sora）的专用模型。文本、图像、视频背后的技术堆栈各不同。目前，在后台。这些模型往往是分开优化的独立系统，很难简单地“一锅炖”。顺便提一句，正是DALL-E 2的出现让Sherwin决定加入OpenAI，因为那是他第一次感受到AI的魔力。而微调（Fine-tuning）也悄然进化——早期的微调，主要用于调整“语气”或“指令遵循”。 现在的重头戏，是强化学习微调（Reinforcement Fine-Tuning） 。这允许企业利用其庞大的专有数据（Data Treasure Troves），将较小的模型在特定领域训练至SOTA水平。这是解锁企业数据的关键。也就是说，企业拥有大量内部数据，但与ChatGPT“毫无关系”，对企业专属AI而言却是黄金。他们多次提到AI代码编辑器Cursor作为建立在 OpenAI API 之上的成功产品案例，证明了：即使OpenAI自己有竞品，开发者依然可以建立伟大的垂直应用。Agent开发模式从第一天起，奥特曼和Greg Brockman就确立了“App+ API”的双轨战略。这样做是为了尽可能广泛地分发AGI的利益——如果只做 API，你就无法触达普通消费者；如果只做应用，你就无法赋能各行各业的开发者。在这次对话中，他们重点谈论了智能体开发工具“Agent Builder”。Sherwin认为，智能体（Agent）并非一种全新的模态，而是AI的一种新使用方式。本质上，智能体是一个能够代表用户、在较长的时间跨度（Long Time Horizons）内执行一系列操作并完成任务的AI系统。OpenAI曾推出了可视化的“Agent Builder”（节点式构建），但发现对于开发者而言，这种方式可能过于受限。访谈中，Sherwin和Martin将智能体清晰地划分为两类，这解释了为什么目前市面上的Agent产品形态各异——探索型/非定向工作 (Undirected/Exploratory Work)流程型/SOP导向工作 (Procedural/SOP-oriented Work)在对话中，第二类Agent开发可能更像传统的软件工程或游戏开发中的NPC（非玩家角色）逻辑。与其让模型完全自由发挥，不如通过代码给予它明确的逻辑框架和标准操作程序（SOP），特别是在受监管的行业（如客户支持、金融）。也就是说，逻辑必须写死在代码里，而不是提示词里。这就是Agent Builder想要解决的问题：为那些必须控制智能体行为的行业和场景，提供一个简单、清晰、可验证的解决方案。One More Thing2025年度压轴大戏，谷歌Gemini 3 Pro无疑打了一场胜仗，但OpenAI不会袖手旁观。内部已确认，圣诞节前夕，一连串发布连番轰炸。据传，一系列新模型，在路上了——Image Gen v2IMO和IOI金牌多模态模型GPT-5.2 Codex12月，AI圈一定非常热闹。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":497,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":504006205161904,"gmtCreate":1764082711586,"gmtModify":1764082716956,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"还能打对折？ 还有对折的空间吗？？？","listText":"还能打对折？ 还有对折的空间吗？？？","text":"还能打对折？ 还有对折的空间吗？？？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/504006205161904","repostId":"1152883060","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1152883060","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1764082372,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152883060?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-25 22:52","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"特斯拉盘初跌超2%，10月在欧洲销量同比减少48.5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152883060","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"市场份额从1.3%降至0.6%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周二， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 盘初下挫，跌幅超2%。特斯拉10月在欧洲新车注册量为6964辆，较一年前的13519辆减少48.5%，市场份额从1.3%降至0.6%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9102f40238a40945ea6a8859140fc400\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>特斯拉盘初跌超2%，10月在欧洲销量同比减少48.5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n特斯拉盘初跌超2%，10月在欧洲销量同比减少48.5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-11-25 22:52</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周二， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a> 盘初下挫，跌幅超2%。特斯拉10月在欧洲新车注册量为6964辆，较一年前的13519辆减少48.5%，市场份额从1.3%降至0.6%。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9102f40238a40945ea6a8859140fc400\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/340d3c04436bbba1df239d6d4a7e3fd2","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152883060","content_text":"周二， 特斯拉 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vivo的新旗舰大家看了吗，44w快充我觉得小米9这波要悬了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/417504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3459857573109261","authorId":"3459857573109261","name":"Jeff王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94b06d59e7b1c780df8a7d240cca1620","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3459857573109261","authorIdStr":"3459857573109261"},"content":"没用的，要是一个两个功能点，就可以超越竞争对手，那国产手机早就超过苹果了","text":"没用的，要是一个两个功能点，就可以超越竞争对手，那国产手机早就超过苹果了","html":"没用的，要是一个两个功能点，就可以超越竞争对手，那国产手机早就超过苹果了"},{"author":{"id":"3512048333600745","authorId":"3512048333600745","name":"熬夜","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3512048333600745","authorIdStr":"3512048333600745"},"content":"预约数差了9倍左右。","text":"预约数差了9倍左右。","html":"预约数差了9倍左右。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":362237185577184,"gmtCreate":1729455547187,"gmtModify":1729455548878,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a 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储能业务都可以与特斯拉造车业务剥离。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":9,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/362237185577184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5247,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4093596070918460","authorId":"4093596070918460","name":"闲人马斯克","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8de4bb6ae7ead34f761208585a438824","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"4093596070918460","authorIdStr":"4093596070918460"},"content":"有想法,但可能性为零。看一下特斯拉强健的财务，哪一个车企比得上？财报只是不及预期而已，有亏损吗？","text":"有想法,但可能性为零。看一下特斯拉强健的财务，哪一个车企比得上？财报只是不及预期而已，有亏损吗？","html":"有想法,但可能性为零。看一下特斯拉强健的财务，哪一个车企比得上？财报只是不及预期而已，有亏损吗？"},{"author":{"id":"3570167338507458","authorId":"3570167338507458","name":"xxw___","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3570167338507458","authorIdStr":"3570167338507458"},"content":"现在人分析都开始凭空想象了吗","text":"现在人分析都开始凭空想象了吗","html":"现在人分析都开始凭空想象了吗"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":417715803041792,"gmtCreate":1743023027935,"gmtModify":1743024294241,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a 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估计4年内不会涨了，小散户们可以割肉了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/417715803041792","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5659,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3559952201911889","authorId":"3559952201911889","name":"人人有功练","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6e9d535ce8e9a4c683917bac23452d0a","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3559952201911889","authorIdStr":"3559952201911889"},"content":"NV在美国当地没生产厂家吗","text":"NV在美国当地没生产厂家吗","html":"NV在美国当地没生产厂家吗"},{"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"content":"5月份的财报估计要跌20%以上， 加上它的新产品不及预期，财报指引应该会非常差。","text":"5月份的财报估计要跌20%以上， 加上它的新产品不及预期，财报指引应该会非常差。","html":"5月份的财报估计要跌20%以上， 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京东超市都开到你家楼下了，你还在猜京东有没有假货？某些人是不是应该更新一下自己的眼界了是不是我可爱的@搜索关键字701计划","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":7,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/343090","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3367,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3456148144210798","authorId":"3456148144210798","name":"红运当头588","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/e64dd6a35d010ea53e62ddc888735359","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3456148144210798","authorIdStr":"3456148144210798"},"content":"上海青浦某些京东超市脏乱差。都是以前私人小卖部加入的。以前我也经常在京东买东西，但是看见一些挂了京东超市的小卖部以后我再也不在京东超市买东西了。","text":"上海青浦某些京东超市脏乱差。都是以前私人小卖部加入的。以前我也经常在京东买东西，但是看见一些挂了京东超市的小卖部以后我再也不在京东超市买东西了。","html":"上海青浦某些京东超市脏乱差。都是以前私人小卖部加入的。以前我也经常在京东买东西，但是看见一些挂了京东超市的小卖部以后我再也不在京东超市买东西了。"},{"author":{"id":"3494368871169017","authorId":"3494368871169017","name":"keith_w","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3494368871169017","authorIdStr":"3494368871169017"},"content":"京东超市只是一个冠名罢了","text":"京东超市只是一个冠名罢了","html":"京东超市只是一个冠名罢了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":504002096386160,"gmtCreate":1764081679462,"gmtModify":1764081681531,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ &nbsp;</a>‌‌最尴尬的是‌AMD，跟NVDA干了这么多年，最后让Google给摘了果子","listText":"‌<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$ &nbsp;</a>‌‌最尴尬的是‌AMD，跟NVDA干了这么多年，最后让Google给摘了果子","text":"‌$英伟达(NVDA)$ ‌‌最尴尬的是‌AMD，跟NVDA干了这么多年，最后让Google给摘了果子","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/504002096386160","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3863,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4092177932484180","authorId":"4092177932484180","name":"雁门关向东二万五千里","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07291789f4dae4cc64e158f365e7e31b","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4092177932484180","authorIdStr":"4092177932484180"},"content":"其实就是庄家炒作出货，看看甲骨文就知道","text":"其实就是庄家炒作出货，看看甲骨文就知道","html":"其实就是庄家炒作出货，看看甲骨文就知道"},{"author":{"id":"3486352703133754","authorId":"3486352703133754","name":"Vinsa8","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4aa0eb0aaff159d9b2509af8452bc77f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3486352703133754","authorIdStr":"3486352703133754"},"content":"哈哈哈哈哈哈","text":"哈哈哈哈哈哈","html":"哈哈哈哈哈哈"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":412114331177128,"gmtCreate":1741633957864,"gmtModify":1741633959197,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"‌<a 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那事情可能比较严重了"},{"author":{"id":"3516069222588608","authorId":"3516069222588608","name":"赌狗终将一无所有","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5dea5b60703e4a675b801d078999d34d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3516069222588608","authorIdStr":"3516069222588608"},"content":"如果金融机构按照revenue大减来重新评估，170都难止住","text":"如果金融机构按照revenue大减来重新评估，170都难止住","html":"如果金融机构按照revenue大减来重新评估，170都难止住"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":344705,"gmtCreate":1543814418638,"gmtModify":1704782577288,"author":{"id":"3495002759494258","authorId":"3495002759494258","name":"寂寞的演奏家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9027c93e57bb45c8170d7860486ffda7","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3495002759494258","authorIdStr":"3495002759494258"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"#2018年度大放送# 参与参与","listText":"#2018年度大放送# 参与参与","text":"#2018年度大放送# 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