MWD的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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0勋章

2023-01-30

仅一个月时间再来看看评论，挺有意思的，有种山中方一日，世上已千年的赶脚

@MWD:$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这样跌有点不正常，特斯拉的基本面没有变哈，只是最近负面的消息太多了，虽然大盘整体向下趋势，政策经济面也不太友好，看吧，事出反常必有妖。

2022-12-27

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这样跌有点不正常，特斯拉的基本面没有变哈，只是最近负面的消息太多了，虽然大盘整体向下趋势，政策经济面也不太友好，看吧，事出反常必有妖。

2022-10-24

调整刚开始//@MWD: 这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@交易员Owen:美股的熊市开始了吗？什么位置是底，何时会结束？

2022-05-14

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看

@交易员Owen:美股的熊市开始了吗？什么位置是底，何时会结束？

2021-08-02

你是真够恶心的，

抱歉，原内容已删除

2020-12-14

$美团-W(03690)$对美团应该是利好

2020-11-13

降降温，挺好，长期看好，目标120

2020-09-04

$美团点评-W(03690)$牛逼

2020-09-01

$腾讯控股(00700)$尼玛玩起了高开低走了

2020-08-24

$美团点评-W(03690)$美团的利好已经释放的差不多了，接下来会有一小波回调

2020-08-20

$腾讯控股(00700)$阴跌

2020-07-21

$拼多多(PDD)$用股价回应争议

2020-07-21

$美团点评-W(03690)$交叉盘是什么意思哈，代表什么

2020-07-16

$恒生指数(HSI)$拉三天，调整8个工作日，尼玛

2020-07-15

$拼多多(PDD)$多多阴跌

2020-07-15

$拼多多(PDD)$多多有点开启阴跌的模式了

2020-07-14

今天应该会

@谭瑞:$美团点评-W(03690)$啥时候回调，给个补仓的机会

2020-07-13

$特斯拉(TSLA)$无节操的涨

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$ &nbsp;</a>这样跌有点不正常，特斯拉的基本面没有变哈 ，只是最近负面的消息太多了，虽然大盘整体向下趋势，政策经济面也不太友好，看吧，事出反常必有妖。","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 这样跌有点不正常，特斯拉的基本面没有变哈 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首先我觉得，我们现在正处在美股罕见的熊市之中，这点毫无疑问。 市场的走势其实很有规律，当大多数人觉得这次美股暴跌来的猝不及防的时候，我们放眼到价格运行的大周期环境下就会发现，这只是美股例行调整中必不可少的一次，用我们中国话说就是：天行有常。 你可以把暴跌归因到通胀的飞涨失控，也可以归因为美联储的加息缩表，也可以归因到乌俄战争，但归根结底是，美股的调整时间到了： 从标普月线的买卖强弱指标RSI和STO来看，每7年就会出现一次调整周期，而这次的买卖强弱指标的调整幅度甚至高于2020年年初那次天灾造成的大崩盘。 但从美股的调整幅度上讲，这次周期性的调整要远远小于2020年的那次股灾，看看纳指的调整，从顶部已经回落了20%，相比Y情元年那次崩盘还差将近10个百分点。 MSCI全球股市指数也下跌了20个百分点，RIS指数来到了超跌区间里。但相比2020年RIS的跌幅，这个位置向下可能还有空间。 以2020年的那次崩盘作为参照并不是说股指的跌幅会重演当初的崩盘，而是说在RSI和STO两个指标的调整空间和时间上，应该会不亚于2年前的那次崩盘，但即便如此，RSI的调整幅度也很快就要到位了。 市场情绪极度悲观 但市场底部马上就要到来 现在对于美股来讲，应该就是黎明前最黑暗的时间，我们相信，美股很可能会在短期出现一次反弹出逃的机会，但长期而言，熊市可能才刚刚开始，按照美股的运行规律，牛市的持续时间通常是熊市的五倍，按照这个规律来算，美股的这次调整预期可能放在5到6个月的时间会是合适的。 下跌的导火索大家都知道，乌俄战争导致的通胀爆发，逼迫美联储大幅加息，利率的抬升对美股高估值形成压力，同时通胀的失控也对经济利润的实体形成冲击。所以这次的大调整，并不能简单的和2015年那次利率抬升引发的回撤相提并论。 我们今天来一起","listText":"本文只分享一些数据和我对数据的看法，我的结论并非就准确，大家见仁见智做个参考。 首先我觉得，我们现在正处在美股罕见的熊市之中，这点毫无疑问。 市场的走势其实很有规律，当大多数人觉得这次美股暴跌来的猝不及防的时候，我们放眼到价格运行的大周期环境下就会发现，这只是美股例行调整中必不可少的一次，用我们中国话说就是：天行有常。 你可以把暴跌归因到通胀的飞涨失控，也可以归因为美联储的加息缩表，也可以归因到乌俄战争，但归根结底是，美股的调整时间到了： 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