Is Apple overvalued now? Is it a good buy?

$Apple(AAPL)$


With Apple Market Cap hitting 2.5 Trillion USD, I am sure these questions are in your mind. 


Here are my key takeaways:

-With 94.77 Billion Free Cash flow for Trailing-Twele Months, current valuation of Apple could be 260 USD per share with a Discount Rate of 5% and Growth Estimate of 5% for the next 10 years. 


-Apple has the strongest MOAT among all smartphone producing companies, which is 20% of the global market share. 


-Apple's profits have grown at 9.6% yearly for the past 5 years. Free Cash flow has grown at a CAGR rate of 9.4% for the past years. Share buybacks has increased from 33 Billion USD in 2017 to 72 Billion USD in 2020. 


-Apple is currently working on launching Apple Cars, and its rumoured to began production by 2024. With the Tech and softwares that apple has, I am sure their cars will beat Tesla. 


-Sales and revenue of Apple is strong. With new products and constant investment into R&D, Apple is has become a brand status for everyone. 


-Apple largest contributor of revenue is Iphone which is at 44%. The second biggest is Apple's services which brought it 22% of revenue followed by 24% for ipads and Macs and 11% for weareables. 


-Warren buffet holds 5.4% of Apple Shares outstanding, and its the biggest holding of his Berkshire Hathaways Portfolio at 44.6% . If Buffet himself would bet a 44.6% stake of his portfolio into this company, investors can be assured that it is a solid company. 


My key Takeaways:

-Apple is a great company, with a strong fundamental Moat. The greatest in the world in fact. 

-I would buy, as I can foresee Apple taking more market share in the coming years. (Expected to take 40% of market share by 2024)

-With new rollouts and new projects in apple, more revenue is expected to be brought it in the voming years. 


Conservative Valuation: 150-160 (Fairly Valued)

Aggresive Valuation: 200-260 (Undervalued)


What do you guys think? Let me know!

# 今天什么值得买?晒晒你的交易计划!

免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

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  • 老夫追涨杀跌
    ·2021-09-11
    目前的苹果,专业机构都觉得他的估值是在合理的范围,但是如果没有创新产品,他目前的估值还是没有想象空间的。
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  • 苹果的只是经营的好,乔布斯走了,也带走了苹果基因里面的创新。
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  • Albertwong85
    ·2021-09-16
    Apple branding is strong and i do support them as long term investor.
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  • 揭人不揭短
    ·2021-09-11
    不是说新苹果会搭载卫星接收芯片?如果变为卫星手机应该是很有想象力的。
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  • 哎呀呀小伙子
    ·2021-09-11
    我很喜欢苹果的产品,很良心,但是库克确实只是会炒冷饭。
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  • 宝宝金水_
    ·2021-09-11
    相信苹果的汽车会打败特斯拉这点需要很大的勇气呀。
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  • 王无所不知
    ·2021-09-11
    我不是听说苹果宣布不会进入造车行业吗?是我听错了?还是我记错了
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  • 咪咕蜡
    ·2021-09-11
    PB看起来有点高了,你这么一说倒是给我一个新思路了
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  • 山头的小猪
    ·2021-09-11
    之所以这么高是因为新产品要发布了,那不得来点气氛呐
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  • 霎风雨
    ·2021-09-11
    推动时代前景的永远是这些科技大头,苹果当之无愧,一直看好
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  • 维克多1
    ·2021-09-11
    苹果永不过时,高估不存在的,他的内在发展未公开罢了
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  • old_gun
    ·2021-09-21
    高!实在是高
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  • 修炼吧
    ·2021-09-18
    还有苹果汽车这个念头在啊……
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  • 笑对牛市
    ·2021-09-15
    苹果遇官司,我坚持持有
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  • 回复
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  • ponymxk
    ·2021-09-14
    提供苹果不能不提手机,但苹果不只有手机
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  • Pisto
    ·2021-09-14
    感觉卖车还能涨一波
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  • Kurenai
    ·2021-09-14
    我觉得高估了
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  • 稳健正复利
    ·2021-09-14
    依然是龙头
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  • 马dr高勝利
    ·2021-09-14
    买容易,卖难
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